BV1zHVF6NEuw · 浑水摸鱼清源1 00:00:01,379 --> 00:00:02,040 最近有什么新鲜事吗 2 00:00:02,040 --> 00:00:02,779 大家还好吧 3 00:00:02,779 --> 00:00:03,700 在今天的节目中 4 00:00:03,700 --> 00:00:06,240 我将拆解周二早上的待看清单 5 00:00:06,240 --> 00:00:08,640 我们正在享受长周末 6 00:00:08,640 --> 00:00:10,859 这里因阵亡将士纪念日休市 7 00:00:10,859 --> 00:00:12,380 所以在美国的朋友们 8 00:00:12,380 --> 00:00:14,148 希望大家好好享受长周末 9 00:00:14,148 --> 00:00:17,469 而位于美国以外的朋友们 10 00:00:17,469 --> 00:00:17,888 嗯 11 00:00:17,888 --> 00:00:19,689 你们也有一天的交易假期 12 00:00:19,689 --> 00:00:20,768 这有点令人失望 13 00:00:20,768 --> 00:00:24,140 或许因为这个月市场表现平淡 14 00:00:24,140 --> 00:00:25,539 行情稍显低迷 15 00:00:25,539 --> 00:00:26,379 不过 16 00:00:26,379 --> 00:00:28,820 上周确实出现了一些大幅波动 17 00:00:28,820 --> 00:00:32,939 周五收盘时AKTX暴涨超250% 18 00:00:32,939 --> 00:00:35,490 实际上一度触及300%峰值 19 00:00:35,490 --> 00:00:37,729 周五能有这样的涨幅相当不错 20 00:00:38,770 --> 00:00:40,710 最近我发现了一个有趣现象 21 00:00:40,710 --> 00:00:41,509 即 22 00:00:41,509 --> 00:00:42,149 呃 23 00:00:42,149 --> 00:00:44,750 我想过去一年左右 24 00:00:44,750 --> 00:00:46,119 可能近半年时间 25 00:00:46,119 --> 00:00:48,780 小盘股市场略显疲软 26 00:00:48,780 --> 00:00:49,859 我们看到 27 00:00:49,859 --> 00:00:50,640 你知道的 28 00:00:50,640 --> 00:00:54,429 去年末加密货币市场大幅回调 29 00:00:54,429 --> 00:00:58,909 许多小盘公司采用了加密货币储备策略 30 00:00:58,909 --> 00:01:01,659 通过投资加密货币 31 00:01:01,659 --> 00:01:03,920 人们实际上用股票作为 32 00:01:03,920 --> 00:01:07,500 加密货币投资的替代品 33 00:01:07,500 --> 00:01:09,359 如果使用股票 34 00:01:09,359 --> 00:01:12,030 可以实现两倍杠杆买入 35 00:01:12,030 --> 00:01:14,750 而在多数平台 36 00:01:14,750 --> 00:01:16,150 无法使用杠杆交易加密货币 37 00:01:16,150 --> 00:01:20,849 这使人们能以杠杆方式购买加密货币 38 00:01:20,849 --> 00:01:24,709 这对这些公司来说理论上是个好主意 39 00:01:24,709 --> 00:01:28,189 若加密货币价格持续上涨 40 00:01:28,189 --> 00:01:29,909 但实际情况是它们下跌了 41 00:01:29,909 --> 00:01:30,599 所以 42 00:01:30,599 --> 00:01:35,420 由于数百家小盘公司采用加密策略 43 00:01:35,420 --> 00:01:39,090 加密货币储备策略导致 44 00:01:39,090 --> 00:01:39,609 你知道的 45 00:01:39,609 --> 00:01:42,049 今年第一季度延续到第二季度 46 00:01:43,049 --> 00:01:48,239 我们看到许多小盘股缺乏持续动量 47 00:01:48,239 --> 00:01:50,579 因为这些数百家公司 48 00:01:50,579 --> 00:01:51,269 你知道的 49 00:01:51,269 --> 00:01:53,989 目前表现不佳难以操作 50 00:01:53,989 --> 00:01:55,069 因为投资效果不理想 51 00:01:55,069 --> 00:01:57,250 基础投资表现不佳 52 00:01:57,250 --> 00:01:58,730 然而 53 00:01:59,700 --> 00:02:01,879 这在此处形成了有趣的局面 54 00:02:01,879 --> 00:02:04,900 我们看到许多这类股票涌现 55 00:02:04,900 --> 00:02:07,000 正被更激进地做空 56 00:02:07,000 --> 00:02:08,849 被更激进地做空 57 00:02:08,849 --> 00:02:12,509 做空需求增加也推高了 58 00:02:12,509 --> 00:02:15,810 借股和寻股的成本 59 00:02:15,810 --> 00:02:17,610 我甚至注意到在闪电交易中 60 00:02:17,610 --> 00:02:18,789 当我查看借股费率时 61 00:02:18,789 --> 00:02:21,159 它们远高于正常水平 62 00:02:21,159 --> 00:02:25,300 这意味着做空这些小盘股的成本更高 63 00:02:25,300 --> 00:02:28,919 因此需要更大的利润来支撑 64 00:02:28,919 --> 00:02:32,900 同时我们也看到做空的保证金要求提高 65 00:02:32,900 --> 00:02:35,719 通常当你做多交易时 66 00:02:35,719 --> 00:02:38,060 若想买入价值十万美元的股票 67 00:02:38,060 --> 00:02:38,979 举例来说 68 00:02:38,979 --> 00:02:40,539 只需投入十万美元 69 00:02:40,539 --> 00:02:42,539 账户中需有十万美元 70 00:02:42,539 --> 00:02:43,719 如果你没有 71 00:02:43,719 --> 00:02:45,819 若不使用杠杆 72 00:02:46,099 --> 00:02:48,419 对于日内交易经纪商 73 00:02:48,419 --> 00:02:50,960 账户中可能只需二万五千美元 74 00:02:50,960 --> 00:02:54,080 即可买入十万美元股票 75 00:02:54,080 --> 00:02:55,020 四倍杠杆 76 00:02:55,020 --> 00:02:56,669 十万美元一股的股票 77 00:02:56,669 --> 00:02:58,129 但做空时 78 00:02:58,129 --> 00:03:01,389 许多经纪商设置了保证金要求 79 00:03:01,389 --> 00:03:02,870 要进行做空操作 80 00:03:02,870 --> 00:03:10,110 需准备两倍资金以支持仓位 81 00:03:10,110 --> 00:03:13,419 若想做空十万股 82 00:03:13,419 --> 00:03:17,939 需账户中有五十万美元 83 00:03:17,939 --> 00:03:19,819 或若要做空十万美元 84 00:03:19,819 --> 00:03:22,079 需账户中有五万美元 85 00:03:22,079 --> 00:03:24,799 为何需要这么多额外资金呢 86 00:03:24,799 --> 00:03:30,810 因为他们预见到股票可能上涨五倍的风险 87 00:03:30,810 --> 00:03:32,909 经纪商不希望 88 00:03:32,909 --> 00:03:34,229 不愿承担风险 89 00:03:34,229 --> 00:03:37,590 若你陷入股票持续停牌上涨的困境 90 00:03:37,590 --> 00:03:40,838 股价从五美元涨至三十或四十美元 91 00:03:40,838 --> 00:03:44,250 因频繁停牌无法平仓 92 00:03:44,250 --> 00:03:45,289 因此他们规定 93 00:03:45,289 --> 00:03:46,389 若想做空该股票 94 00:03:46,389 --> 00:03:51,680 需账户中有足够资金覆盖潜在亏损 95 00:03:51,680 --> 00:03:57,919 许多经纪商还禁止持仓过夜 96 00:03:57,919 --> 00:04:01,620 例如你做空了AKTX 97 00:04:01,620 --> 00:04:02,419 知道吧 98 00:04:02,419 --> 00:04:04,039 较早交易时段入场 99 00:04:04,039 --> 00:04:08,088 希望股价回落至原点 100 00:04:08,088 --> 00:04:10,489 现在接近收盘时间 101 00:04:10,489 --> 00:04:12,909 所以收盘钟声就在这里 102 00:04:12,909 --> 00:04:15,810 这就是所有空头必须平仓的时间点 103 00:04:15,810 --> 00:04:17,939 在下午四点收盘前 104 00:04:17,939 --> 00:04:20,120 现在突然在三十分钟内 105 00:04:20,120 --> 00:04:20,879 这一小时 106 00:04:20,879 --> 00:04:23,038 收盘前的三十分钟 107 00:04:23,038 --> 00:04:24,879 我们看到这波上涨 108 00:04:24,879 --> 00:04:28,959 因空头时间紧迫需平仓获利 109 00:04:28,959 --> 00:04:31,199 现在他们开始有点慌了 110 00:04:31,199 --> 00:04:33,019 我们在多只股票上都看到过这种情况 111 00:04:33,019 --> 00:04:37,360 过去几周我们在TDIC上看到大幅波动 112 00:04:37,360 --> 00:04:41,959 临近收盘钟声响起，看TDIC现在已跌至40美分/股 113 00:04:41,959 --> 00:04:45,040 并非空头判断错误 114 00:04:45,040 --> 00:04:48,899 只是他们过早交易了 115 00:04:48,899 --> 00:04:51,918 这只股票从3美元涨到3 116 00:04:51,918 --> 00:04:52,778 6美元/股 117 00:04:53,858 --> 00:04:54,999 嗯 好的 118 00:04:54,999 --> 00:04:58,829 这也是大幅波动的股票之一 119 00:04:58,829 --> 00:05:00,649 现在股价回落至11美分/股 120 00:05:00,649 --> 00:05:01,629 这并不意外 121 00:05:01,629 --> 00:05:02,930 这是中国公司 122 00:05:02,930 --> 00:05:03,629 那 123 00:05:03,629 --> 00:05:04,610 你知道的 124 00:05:04,610 --> 00:05:08,230 这些股票的价格走势相当可疑 125 00:05:08,230 --> 00:05:11,009 但如果你做空前期上涨阶段 126 00:05:11,009 --> 00:05:11,949 突然间 127 00:05:11,949 --> 00:05:13,939 这时就会引发逼空行情 128 00:05:13,939 --> 00:05:16,360 所以总结来说 129 00:05:16,360 --> 00:05:19,519 我认为市场正在发生小幅转变 130 00:05:19,519 --> 00:05:22,319 我认为空头正在积极行动 131 00:05:23,480 --> 00:05:26,959 但这些股票仍保持良好走势 132 00:05:26,959 --> 00:05:30,439 因此空头会更加谨慎 133 00:05:30,439 --> 00:05:31,060 在 134 00:05:31,060 --> 00:05:33,699 选择哪些股票发起进攻 135 00:05:33,699 --> 00:05:36,048 以及如何精准时机 136 00:05:36,048 --> 00:05:39,829 因此对多头交易者来说有一定优势 137 00:05:39,829 --> 00:05:41,129 即使 138 00:05:41,129 --> 00:05:42,088 尽管 139 00:05:42,088 --> 00:05:46,050 我们不再有加密货币市场全盛期的助力 140 00:05:46,050 --> 00:05:47,870 像这类情况 141 00:05:47,870 --> 00:05:54,009 我认为当前现象是自然周期的一部分 142 00:05:54,009 --> 00:05:57,189 市场控盘与空头的此消彼长 143 00:05:57,189 --> 00:05:58,850 多方与空方的博弈 144 00:05:58,850 --> 00:06:00,290 bulls和bears的市场力量 145 00:06:00,290 --> 00:06:02,730 总存在这种拉锯战 146 00:06:04,009 --> 00:06:06,410 AKTX周五大幅上涨 147 00:06:06,410 --> 00:06:09,389 这是否值得周二早盘关注 148 00:06:09,389 --> 00:06:11,470 目前来看 149 00:06:11,470 --> 00:06:14,290 我不太喜欢这种局面 150 00:06:14,290 --> 00:06:19,100 因为这让我感觉可能在此买入 151 00:06:19,100 --> 00:06:21,819 但这已是顶峰，我们现在处于下行阶段 152 00:06:21,819 --> 00:06:25,439 我认为这里就是空头开始变得更有信心的位置 153 00:06:25,439 --> 00:06:27,100 他们可能在这个区域有过这种感觉 154 00:06:27,100 --> 00:06:28,860 同时开始出现回落迹象 155 00:06:28,860 --> 00:06:31,319 他们可能在此前平仓获利 156 00:06:31,319 --> 00:06:32,740 你知道的，然后退出市场 157 00:06:32,740 --> 00:06:36,360 那么何时可能再次反弹重回交易区间 158 00:06:36,360 --> 00:06:40,360 通常我会说如果能回撤约半段涨幅 159 00:06:40,360 --> 00:06:41,360 如果它能回升到 160 00:06:41,360 --> 00:06:42,279 如果它能重返上方 161 00:06:42,279 --> 00:06:44,009 每股十六美元左右 162 00:06:44,009 --> 00:06:47,209 那这就是我说的水平 163 00:06:47,209 --> 00:06:53,139 我们有机会测试上周五高点 164 00:06:53,259 --> 00:06:57,100 我会继续关注这个水平 165 00:06:57,259 --> 00:06:58,680 我不知道是否会发生 166 00:06:58,680 --> 00:07:00,720 我觉得概率有所降低 167 00:07:00,720 --> 00:07:02,319 我认为可能性较低 168 00:07:02,319 --> 00:07:03,180 但如果真的发生 169 00:07:03,180 --> 00:07:04,870 这就是我需要关注的水平 170 00:07:04,870 --> 00:07:06,470 这就是aktx 171 00:07:06,470 --> 00:07:07,889 这是周一的观察清单 172 00:07:07,889 --> 00:07:09,209 然后是或周二 173 00:07:09,209 --> 00:07:10,589 接着是pca 174 00:07:10,589 --> 00:07:14,589 这里可以看到类似的走势 175 00:07:14,589 --> 00:07:16,430 我们切换全屏看这张图表 176 00:07:16,430 --> 00:07:19,610 盘后出现大幅拉升 177 00:07:19,610 --> 00:07:20,769 随后回落整理 178 00:07:20,769 --> 00:07:22,560 然后横盘震荡 179 00:07:22,560 --> 00:07:24,120 综合来看 180 00:07:24,120 --> 00:07:25,279 并未出现反转 181 00:07:25,279 --> 00:07:26,579 并未失去动能 182 00:07:26,579 --> 00:07:28,860 仍处于活跃状态 183 00:07:28,860 --> 00:07:34,899 昨日或周五在日线图上形成小K线 184 00:07:34,899 --> 00:07:37,060 现在展示日线图 185 00:07:37,500 --> 00:07:39,540 如果周二继续 186 00:07:39,540 --> 00:07:41,750 只是延续日线走势 187 00:07:41,750 --> 00:07:44,990 不会形成新高 188 00:07:44,990 --> 00:07:47,149 这样的情况我们可能更倾向 189 00:07:47,149 --> 00:07:49,870 我认为值得持续关注 190 00:07:49,870 --> 00:07:51,490 但不确定能否成功 191 00:07:51,490 --> 00:07:53,009 R y o j 192 00:07:53,009 --> 00:07:55,209 这支股票大幅上涨 193 00:07:55,209 --> 00:07:58,639 但随后回吐大部分涨幅如图所示 194 00:07:58,639 --> 00:08:05,009 尽管最终仍上涨146% 195 00:08:05,009 --> 00:08:07,569 因大幅回撤了涨幅 196 00:08:07,569 --> 00:08:09,538 要重回交易区间 197 00:08:09,538 --> 00:08:10,059 你知道的 198 00:08:10,059 --> 00:08:11,418 需要回升到哪个位置 199 00:08:11,418 --> 00:08:16,129 必须重返约6美元的支撑位 200 00:08:16,129 --> 00:08:18,269 如果能突破该水平 201 00:08:18,269 --> 00:08:20,230 我想重新测试八号 202 00:08:20,230 --> 00:08:23,038 但我们离那还有一段距离 203 00:08:23,038 --> 00:08:25,978 所以这个可能行不通 204 00:08:25,978 --> 00:08:28,910 嗯，我现在要检查扫描仪 205 00:08:28,910 --> 00:08:30,290 我喜欢查看盘后行情 206 00:08:30,290 --> 00:08:31,009 领涨股 207 00:08:31,009 --> 00:08:31,810 扫描仪 208 00:08:31,810 --> 00:08:33,769 只是看看盘中有哪些活跃股票 209 00:08:33,769 --> 00:08:35,460 周五盘后时段 210 00:08:35,460 --> 00:08:38,860 我们有ARTL出现两百三十万股的交易量 211 00:08:38,860 --> 00:08:41,379 这可能在明早延续上涨 212 00:08:41,379 --> 00:08:45,399 所以我会关注PHD，但觉得它有点便宜 213 00:08:45,399 --> 00:08:47,419 QTEC也太便宜了 214 00:08:47,419 --> 00:08:51,059 TKLF涨幅只有18% 215 00:08:51,059 --> 00:08:53,559 还不足以引起我的兴趣 216 00:08:53,559 --> 00:08:56,899 现在我们的观察清单有AKTX、PC 217 00:08:56,899 --> 00:08:58,159 ARTL 218 00:08:58,159 --> 00:08:59,750 这些都是目前的 219 00:08:59,750 --> 00:09:02,590 我周一或周二一定会开课 220 00:09:02,590 --> 00:09:04,370 当然还有 221 00:09:04,370 --> 00:09:07,029 早起查看领涨股扫描仪 222 00:09:07,029 --> 00:09:08,669 哪些股票表现领先 223 00:09:08,669 --> 00:09:10,210 哪些是最明显的 224 00:09:10,210 --> 00:09:13,809 这才是这个月最有效的策略 225 00:09:13,809 --> 00:09:14,809 目前持仓 226 00:09:14,809 --> 00:09:17,509 本月已获利近十万 227 00:09:17,509 --> 00:09:18,490 嗯 228 00:09:18,490 --> 00:09:22,990 一百五十万是我冷市月度目标 229 00:09:22,990 --> 00:09:23,919 大概 230 00:09:24,740 --> 00:09:26,419 我现在还差一点 231 00:09:26,419 --> 00:09:29,340 但最后四周还有机会 232 00:09:29,340 --> 00:09:34,169 争取每天赚四万六，达到十五万 233 00:09:34,169 --> 00:09:35,730 就像四号那天的 234 00:09:35,730 --> 00:09:36,669 五月四日 235 00:09:36,669 --> 00:09:38,450 可能一次交易就能完成 236 00:09:38,450 --> 00:09:41,610 上周一非常成功 237 00:09:41,610 --> 00:09:42,929 周二稍显平淡 238 00:09:42,929 --> 00:09:44,190 周三和周四 239 00:09:44,190 --> 00:09:44,830 没有交易 240 00:09:44,830 --> 00:09:47,610 周五通过几笔交易打破僵局 241 00:09:47,610 --> 00:09:48,889 如果有的话你可以看到 242 00:09:48,889 --> 00:09:49,830 我交易量不足 243 00:09:49,830 --> 00:09:51,740 上周仅十九笔交易 244 00:09:51,740 --> 00:09:53,759 最佳周有十三笔 245 00:09:53,759 --> 00:09:56,379 但看到机会时我会积极出击 246 00:09:56,379 --> 00:09:58,139 这才是关键所在 247 00:09:58,139 --> 00:09:59,620 保持观望 248 00:09:59,620 --> 00:10:00,419 你知道的 249 00:10:00,419 --> 00:10:03,200 稳住阵脚，伺机而动 250 00:10:03,200 --> 00:10:04,929 看到机会立即行动 251 00:10:04,929 --> 00:10:08,970 所以对于那些还没体验过两周试用的朋友们 252 00:10:08,970 --> 00:10:09,649 战士交易课程 253 00:10:09,649 --> 00:10:10,730 我会在描述中放上链接 254 00:10:10,730 --> 00:10:11,809 大家可以去查看 255 00:10:11,809 --> 00:10:14,230 但如果你已经体验过两周试用 256 00:10:14,230 --> 00:10:18,440 现在我们的阵亡将士纪念日促销正在进行中 257 00:10:18,440 --> 00:10:20,399 现在加入我们正是绝佳时机 258 00:10:20,399 --> 00:10:21,840 当你访问我们的网站时 259 00:10:21,840 --> 00:10:25,429 你会看到我们提供的特别优惠 260 00:10:26,029 --> 00:10:29,210 针对我们的战士专业会员和战士入门会员 261 00:10:29,210 --> 00:10:34,960 阵亡将士纪念日特惠在此展示，战士入门版起价597美元 262 00:10:34,960 --> 00:10:39,919 而战士专业版包含我完整的教育课程体系 263 00:10:39,919 --> 00:10:42,690 价格稍高，详情请见此处 264 00:10:42,690 --> 00:10:43,909 立即点击加入 265 00:10:43,909 --> 00:10:46,169 现在查看我们的促销活动 266 00:10:46,169 --> 00:10:47,679 即将结束 267 00:10:47,679 --> 00:10:48,259 呃 268 00:10:48,259 --> 00:10:49,000 截至目前 269 00:10:49,000 --> 00:10:49,399 还有两天 270 00:10:49,399 --> 00:10:51,059 十三小时九秒 271 00:10:51,059 --> 00:10:53,220 八秒七六五 272 00:10:53,220 --> 00:10:53,919 好的 273 00:10:53,919 --> 00:10:55,169 你应该明白了吧 274 00:10:55,169 --> 00:10:57,710 当你成为战士专业会员后 275 00:10:57,710 --> 00:11:01,409 还将享受七天满意保障 276 00:11:01,409 --> 00:11:04,938 这意味着你有七天时间参与聊天室 277 00:11:04,938 --> 00:11:05,599 使用工具 278 00:11:05,599 --> 00:11:07,519 并学习部分课程 279 00:11:07,519 --> 00:11:09,818 判断是否适合你 280 00:11:09,818 --> 00:11:11,859 如果你最近一直在观望 281 00:11:11,859 --> 00:11:13,339 希望大家能查看这个机会 282 00:11:13,339 --> 00:11:16,090 我想我们即将接近 283 00:11:16,090 --> 00:11:19,068 五月六月会因几个原因变得有趣 284 00:11:19,068 --> 00:11:19,788 首先 285 00:11:19,788 --> 00:11:22,609 模式日交易规则将于六月四日起废除 286 00:11:22,609 --> 00:11:23,389 六月四日 287 00:11:23,389 --> 00:11:24,980 大约两周后 288 00:11:24,980 --> 00:11:27,620 即将迎来SpaceX IPO 289 00:11:27,620 --> 00:11:28,759 这将非常值得关注 290 00:11:28,759 --> 00:11:34,750 所有这些因素可能造就一个有趣的夏季 291 00:11:34,750 --> 00:11:37,099 我将继续在这里 292 00:11:37,099 --> 00:11:40,419 我们期待大家过来体验 293 00:11:40,419 --> 00:11:41,299 说到这里 294 00:11:41,299 --> 00:11:44,259 再次提醒大家交易有风险 295 00:11:44,259 --> 00:11:45,559 我的成果非典型 296 00:11:45,559 --> 00:11:47,299 希望大家管理好风险 297 00:11:47,299 --> 00:11:53,049 循序渐进并在实盘前先模拟练习 298 00:11:53,049 --> 00:11:55,210 明天早上七点准时直播再见 299 00:11:55,210 --> 00:11:56,500 明天早上七点
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