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今天来嘉兴理财给兄弟们谈政策啊
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家信的话其实是没有交易手续费的
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而且呢它的这个活期存款的话
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是和美国的国债利率差不多
5
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大概3.5左右吧
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啊今天过来谈谈
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因为上次我们找了我们new port1家
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他给的政策是1000万美金
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就是你要在你的账户里面有1000万美金
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他才给你这个3.5
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然后今天看看这个啊
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加以理财给多少啊
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如果能把这个金额谈下来啊
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任何活期都有这个3.5以上的活期利率的话
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那你的期权策略那就收益很高了啊
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不过呢我还是给大家讲啊
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做美股投资啊
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还是要做价值投资
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一定不能说今天某某涨了
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我没买
21
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我感到可惜啊
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我买了跌了哈
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所以说我就很痛苦
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哎呀我早知道买那个就好了
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如果你能做到这么神
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那天底下的钱都是你的了对吧
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那还轮到别人吗
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巴菲特都做不到你
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巴菲特还错过了整个AI产业链的
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对不对
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你想想巴菲特这两年买的啥呀
32
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200块卖的苹果少赚多少钱
33
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现在苹果两百七一千个亿
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少了350亿美金对吧
35
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250多买了谷歌
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各位为什么他很可惜呢
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因为巴菲特最早的时候你知道什么概念吗
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他苹果上市的时候
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那时候几块钱的时候啊
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嗯嗯发苹果不是谷歌翻了几千倍啊
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当时巴菲特最早的时候
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谷歌在国创之前拿到的优先权的
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就是创始人那个布林嘛
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当时找了巴菲特2003年啊
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说说说希望他投资谷歌
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从那时候翻了两三千倍吧
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他不是损失了这个几个亿啊
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是几千亿的问题啊
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说真的
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如果说当时巴菲特买入谷歌到现在
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他的年化可不得20%了
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他30%起了
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各位你想想是不是
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那那那那我给大家讲
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如果巴菲特都能错过整个AI行情
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那你错过一个股价涨
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那算啥呀
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所以有的时候我就搞不懂啊
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就是咱咱咱很多时候这个股民那是什么呢
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就是我买了东西跌了啊
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别人涨了
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我就我心里难受
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各位你不能有这种心理
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每个人只能赚自己能力圈的钱
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赚自己认知的钱
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咱再举个例子啊
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咱倒退在两个月前
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那时候AMD190多啊
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甲骨文呃120多
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130多啊
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那时候高通120多啊
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然后呢这个啊存储也是暴跌
73
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对不对
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那时候英伟达160多
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那我问你在一个月两个月前
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3月底的时候
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你为什么不买呀
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各位你为什么不买呀
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那时候我拍了很多视频
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我说你看这赛灯肯定要停的对吧
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那那为啥呢
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我当时拍了很多
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4月5号我在安纳海姆
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我还真没说
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我说站那肯定快停了
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一个月内肯定要停的
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对不对啊
88
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那个时候这么便宜
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你都不买
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那今天稍微跌一点
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3%你就受不了了
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5%就受不了了
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哎呦我靠存储涨
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说句心里话啊
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存储那个2X海力士在战争时候跌到11块钱
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当时在26的时候
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有个29的时候
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有个人问我
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20哦
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不是丢了
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第21
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二十九三十的时候
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有人问我和强哥那个呃
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我能不能买
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我说你那枕头波动了吗
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你那枕头波动你就买
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结果第二天跌到21了
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现在又涨了40多了
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我给大家讲哈
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没有几个人受得了
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每天上下10%
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你普通人哎
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你就几10万能跌到五个点
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你受不了对吧
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别说上十二十%了
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都那纯属于二三十%的跌幅
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根本就不可能
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我给大家讲啊
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就是你这个人啊一定要别贪心
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知道吗
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贪心的人没有一个能赚到大钱的
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因为什么呢
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因为你要遵守社会规律啊
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这个社会规律是啥呢
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就是我们第一个无法预测股价
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我们只能说内在价值
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第二个你能做到年化10%
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很牛逼了
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巴菲特这10年8%啊
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第三个哈就是投资这个事啊
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就他很难做到你每一个都能抓到点上
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知道吗
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其实呢你的整个账户多少配置
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那比如说巴菲特他最近买的这个披萨啊
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那披萨我告诉你发财报跌了10%
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为啥嘞对吧
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他就增速下降了
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预期不好
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对不对啊
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那那消费惨的一塌糊涂
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那那那我跟你讲
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巴哈菲特买的公司
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像这个哈佛城市哈集提了100多亿美金
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拿了几十年
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他要找个这么惨
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他早卖了不就完了吗
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他为什么没卖啊
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其实他也预测不到
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说卡博恒是后面能把那个能被这个啊
150
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沃尔玛cos过的所有品牌能替代掉
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就这个问题在于什么呢
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就是我们很难确定一件事啊
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这个事就是什么
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就是他是不是真正的没有价值的
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他是不是真正的去啊
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做着做着的公司就开始走下坡路了
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是不是这个品牌有品类
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会不会被其他品牌替代
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没有可能
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去年去年的时候啊
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就是不在年初的时候
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微软啊还是这个牛夫人啊
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这牛逼的要命啊
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为什么呢
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他这商业模式比这个英伟达好多了哈
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比这个呃其他品牌好多了哈
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因为那微软可能是那美股第一大市值公司啊
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市值马上冲5万亿了
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结果现在呢变成了这个啊SAS的啊
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最落后的这个公司了啊
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变成了这个重资产啊
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笨资产啊
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变成了一个没有前途的公司了
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变成了一个没有啊大毛线的公司了啊
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00:04:43,680 --> 00:04:45,199
对OpenAI也失去控制了
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各位你就想一条短短的半年
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为什么同样一家公司啊
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从这个大家都啊顶礼膜拜
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变成了大家都唾弃呢
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说明什么呢
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说明任何的公式都有可能
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因为在AI面前
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他所有的变革你是无法预测的
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那今天我们看到的这个啊AI啊
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00:05:00,589 --> 00:05:03,470
很多的存储公司产的公司AAMD都崛起了
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那你就再回想啊
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00:05:04,629 --> 00:05:05,310
2月份的时候
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AMD当时发财报的时候
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直接暴跌三十二三十%对吧
190
00:05:09,978 --> 00:05:11,559
然后那时候掉到了一百七八
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那为什么你不买呀
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对不对
193
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那为什么那行
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你不懂嘛
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对不对
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我那时候我还讲了
197
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我是CPU的需求量暴增
198
00:05:17,889 --> 00:05:18,970
我还专门有了实盘
199
00:05:18,970 --> 00:05:19,490
有了截图
200
00:05:19,490 --> 00:05:20,370
我还买了这个
201
00:05:20,370 --> 00:05:21,769
不过我的AAMD不便宜
202
00:05:21,769 --> 00:05:22,750
是215啊
203
00:05:22,750 --> 00:05:23,829
哎我还买了呀
204
00:05:23,829 --> 00:05:25,410
英特尔Y有英特尔翻倍了
205
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英特尔那买的不多呀
206
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为什么还不懂
207
00:05:27,529 --> 00:05:28,009
还是不懂
208
00:05:28,009 --> 00:05:28,949
各位还是不懂
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00:05:28,949 --> 00:05:29,610
那如果懂的话
210
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我不就重仓了吗
211
00:05:30,470 --> 00:05:30,930
对不对
212
00:05:30,930 --> 00:05:33,269
我觉得英特尔是美国制造业回流是吧
213
00:05:33,269 --> 00:05:34,709
是这个啊
214
00:05:34,709 --> 00:05:37,310
CPU暴涨是吧啊是这个啊
215
00:05:37,310 --> 00:05:38,230
提前呢给游泳池
216
00:05:38,230 --> 00:05:38,629
在游泳池
217
00:05:38,629 --> 00:05:40,910
给我们的小区里的邻居聊过这个话题啊
218
00:05:40,910 --> 00:05:41,769
都是用英特尔
219
00:05:41,769 --> 00:05:44,050
他英特尔的话可能在第一季度财报不好
220
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他预测的很对
221
00:05:44,810 --> 00:05:45,810
他说英特尔财报不好
222
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为什么呢
223
00:05:46,329 --> 00:05:48,180
他因为第四季度生意太好
224
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把材料给卖光了
225
00:05:49,199 --> 00:05:50,300
他他的材料缺乏
226
00:05:50,300 --> 00:05:51,730
这导致他这个可能跟不上
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实际上你看没有啊
228
00:05:52,649 --> 00:05:53,930
就是人家预测的很对
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00:05:53,930 --> 00:05:54,829
但问题来了
230
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预测对了
231
00:05:55,569 --> 00:05:56,529
他也没中汤呀
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所以永远不要因为股价涨跌影响你的心情对吧
233
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你懂什么你就买什么啊
234
00:06:03,180 --> 00:06:04,899
你不懂你就不碰就行了啊
235
00:06:04,899 --> 00:06:06,220
做人一定不要贪心啊
236
00:06:06,220 --> 00:06:08,060
巴菲特能赚10年8%啊
237
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你能做到10%
238
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相当牛逼了哈
239
00:06:10,100 --> 00:06:11,980
这个世界上没有一件事
240
00:06:11,980 --> 00:06:13,560
好事都让我们一个人全揽了
241
00:06:13,560 --> 00:06:14,500
如果有这件事
242
00:06:14,500 --> 00:06:15,870
他妈天底下全都是你的
243
00:06:15,870 --> 00:06:18,470
所以呢这个一定要树立正确价值观啊
244
00:06:18,470 --> 00:06:20,750
就是我这我这些年讲投资呢啊
245
00:06:20,750 --> 00:06:23,550
我就发现了这个有大钱的人呢都是种价值观
246
00:06:23,550 --> 00:06:24,149
很对的人
247
00:06:24,149 --> 00:06:26,069
他永远不会说哎呀我的蝇头小利啊
248
00:06:26,069 --> 00:06:27,699
我短期的东西啊没有
249
00:06:27,699 --> 00:06:29,420
但凡挣大钱的都得看长期的
250
00:06:29,420 --> 00:06:30,540
要不一换35年对吧
251
00:06:30,540 --> 00:06:33,240
你看我在美国买股票起步就一年起对吧
252
00:06:33,240 --> 00:06:34,879
一年之内的涨跌我都不看
253
00:06:34,879 --> 00:06:36,360
要不我就不买对吧
254
00:06:36,360 --> 00:06:38,720
那包括那些资产配置里面的很多烟蒂股
255
00:06:38,720 --> 00:06:39,480
我也是啊
256
00:06:39,480 --> 00:06:40,600
比如四到5年回本了
257
00:06:40,600 --> 00:06:42,220
我接受20%的年化
258
00:06:42,220 --> 00:06:42,839
很好啦
259
00:06:42,839 --> 00:06:43,839
国家不涨不涨啊
260
00:06:43,839 --> 00:06:44,980
靠回购分红也行
261
00:06:44,980 --> 00:06:45,420
对不对
262
00:06:45,420 --> 00:06:46,939
能够我的生活开支我就很好了
263
00:06:46,939 --> 00:06:47,800
我就这种心态
264
00:06:47,800 --> 00:06:49,259
那如果说能发掘潜力股
265
00:06:49,259 --> 00:06:50,300
那自己又懂能重仓
266
00:06:50,300 --> 00:06:51,279
那最好不过了啊
267
00:06:51,279 --> 00:06:52,240
如果发酵不了啊
268
00:06:52,240 --> 00:06:52,800
就玩一玩
269
00:06:52,800 --> 00:06:53,639
因为你不懂嘛
270
00:06:53,639 --> 00:06:55,079
你不懂凭什么钱是你的呀
271
00:06:55,079 --> 00:06:56,660
那亏了和赚了都和你没关系
272
00:06:56,660 --> 00:06:59,019
所以各位价值观是最重要的哈
273
00:06:59,019 --> 00:07:00,339
就是这次我来到美国之后
274
00:07:00,339 --> 00:07:01,500
我为什么开心啊
275
00:07:01,500 --> 00:07:04,529
第一我不在一个哈尔虞我诈啊
276
00:07:04,529 --> 00:07:06,329
互相攻击零和博弈的氛围里面
277
00:07:08,699 --> 00:07:11,100
我我每天帮着兄弟们去解决一些问题啊
278
00:07:11,100 --> 00:07:11,500
第三个呢
279
00:07:11,500 --> 00:07:13,959
就是远离了很多和我价值观不一致的人啊
280
00:07:13,959 --> 00:07:15,279
这是最开心的一点啊
281
00:07:15,279 --> 00:07:15,680
加油吧
282
00:07:15,680 --> 00:07:16,360
兄弟们