【Al Brooks价格行为交易课】20B移动测量｜ 官方中文配音版

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你好

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我是欢迎观看布鲁克斯交易课程

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这是MM目标位的第二节课

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我会先讲基于震荡区间高度的mm目标位

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然后再讲基于突破高度的mm目标位

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每当市场突破时

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通常会尝试移动和之前相同的距离

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例如这里有一个震荡区间

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然后被明确的突破

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因此交易者会寻找向下的MM目标位

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就像这样

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价格跌到了下方的mm目标位

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基于这个震荡区间的高度

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看一看跌破之后的反弹

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跌破了区间

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然后反弹反弹的高点超过了突破点的低点

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这是一个实体缺口

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尽管它们的引线之间有重叠

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值得注意的是

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仔细看反弹K线和突破点

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K线的实体部分

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无论是在这里还是这里

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实体部分没有重叠

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只是引线重叠

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我称之为实体缺口

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也叫副缺口

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尽管回调的最高点超过了突破前的最低点

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及引线之间碰撞

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但K线的实体部分并没有重叠

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这种情况下

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当市场再次下跌

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仍有60%的概率会去到下方的某个mm

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只不过概率没有完全不重叠时那么高

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市场周期很重要

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它在趋势和震荡区间之间交替

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当市场在震荡时

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我会根据震荡区间的高度去测量mm

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目标位和趋势

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突破K线强势的跟随很可能是测量型缺口

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大概率会基于之前震荡区间的高度

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向上达到MM目标位

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区间下沿到上沿翻一倍

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可以看到很多电脑计算了这个目标

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并且挂了限价卖单等待止盈

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做空的电脑程序也在卖出

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做剥头皮交易

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震荡区间这里这里这里是一个共识区域

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而人们往往在中间达成共识

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所以每当市场上涨

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然后横盘

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也许这是整个趋势的中间部分

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因此区间的中点也通常是整个趋势的终点

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市场上涨横盘

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而这个震荡区间的

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通常也是最终整个趋势的中间部分

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多头突破

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然后是一个达成共识的区域

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这里是共识区域的终点

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价格会等距离上涨

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直到再次开始震荡

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所以很多时候

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如果你在上涨趋势之后看到一个震荡

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你可以根据这个区间的终点向上测量

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变MM目标位

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因为会有多头在那里止盈

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也会有空头在那里做空

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上涨趋势震荡区间是共识区域

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人们在中间达成共识

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所以也许这也是整个上涨趋势的中间部分

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从区间的终点可以看到

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价格被快速吸到上方

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在到达目标位的一瞬间

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交易者就卖出多头卖出止盈

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空头卖出做空

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抛售

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然后震荡共识区域

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所以可能也是趋势的中间部分

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第一段下跌到区间中部

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然后第二段多头开始买入做多

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包头皮空头开始止盈

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总体而言

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这种mm目标位没有那么重要

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大多数电脑程序也不太关注他们

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交易者对我提到的其他类型的MM目标位

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例如基于震荡区间高度的MM目标位

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或第一段等于第二段的MM目标位

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第一段回调

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第二段

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第一段反弹

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第二段

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第一段震荡区间

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第二段

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如果你还记得我之前说的内容

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当你在上涨趋势之后

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看到震荡区间

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电脑会假设第一段上涨在震荡区间开始时结束

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所以第一段上涨

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这里是第一段的结束

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第一段震荡

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尽管后面价格涨得更高

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但震荡区间是从这里开始的

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所以第一段然后开始震荡

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再是第二段再次向下突破

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我还说过

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电脑会使用震荡区间的高度来测量mm目标位

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震荡区间向上的EMM

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震荡区间向上的MMM

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震荡区间也许有向下的MMM

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可以看到这里和这里确实有向上的mm目标

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这里没有达到下方的mm目标位

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当价格突破时

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突破的高度本身可以导致mm目标位

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当市场突破时

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交易者假设会有

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基于第一段突破高度的第二段上涨

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我们已经讲过

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第一段等于第二段的EMM目标位

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第二段上涨的高度大约与第一段相同

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我们也将料基于震荡区间高度的MM目标位

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有时市场也会根据突破的高度进行MM移动

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多头突破

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从阳线的开盘价到收盘价

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把这个高度往上翻一倍

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作为mm目标位

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多头止盈

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激进的空头做空

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强势的多头突破大概率会有向上的MM目标

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在强势突破之后

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40%的概率会有反向的MM移动

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强势突破的起涨点到突破的最高点

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或者最高的那个收盘价

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都有不同的程序

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有不同的算法

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也许他们会选择从这里到那里去测量

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无论如何

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每当我看到一个强势

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我就会寻找MM目标位

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60%的概率会是向上的

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顺势的40%的概率

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它会跌破上涨波段的起涨点

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这里或这里

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然后跌到反向的MM目标位

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一旦你开始看到相当强势的空投反转

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以及连续234根阴线

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你必须考虑空投的第一个目标位

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是多头突破的起涨点

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然后可能是反向的MM目标位

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我会观察其涨点被跌破的时候发生了什么

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市场反弹还是继续下跌

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可以看到空投制造了连续的阴线

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而不是在支撑处发生反弹

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似乎还会继续下跌

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所以我开始测量下方的mm目标位

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当市场到达那里时

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尤其是如果下降趋势在多头会买入做多包头皮

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而空投也会买入止盈

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相反的情况

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强势的多头突破

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也许从第一根K线的开盘到第二根K线的收盘

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会有一个向上的mm目标位

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每当我看到这个有60%的概率

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会去到上方的mm目标位

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40%的概率会向下反转

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并去到反向的

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但数学期望对于买入做多更有利

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交易者会在那个阳线的收盘买入

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当突破如此强势时

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有60%

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甚至70%的会达到上方的某个mm目标位

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K线的开盘到突破最后一根K线的收盘

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这是一个两根K线组成的突破

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那里是MM目

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你可以看到多头止盈

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空头做空

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一般来说

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尤其是当上涨趋势像这样减弱时

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交易者应该在明显的阻力位

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比如MM止盈部分或者全部仓位

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空投突破时也是一样非常强势的

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空头突破跟随不好

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但这根大阴线很强势

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所以很可能会有基于突破K线的高度的MM

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目标位60%的概率

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MM目标位在下方

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但是跟随很糟糕

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你必须考虑它也可能是反向的

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ml价格突破了抛售高潮的起跌点

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并继续上涨

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达到MM目标位

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尝试在这里突破抛售高潮的起点

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这里再次尝试又十多头看到一个头肩底

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而空投看到一个双顶或三角形

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三次向上的推动突破模式

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三

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多头会在双顶上方或三角形上方挂突破

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买单做多

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而空投会在头肩底的右肩下方

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就在这个低点下方

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挂突破卖单进行做空

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这里大阴线跌破

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但是看后面发生了什么

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价格上涨

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达到了反向的mm目标位

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多头在这根K线

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那根K线或这里用突破单买入

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希望去到向上的mm目标位

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他们成功了

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大阴线实体部分的高度网上翻一倍

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作为MM目标位

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看看价格在那个MM目标位

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发生强势的反转下跌

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这告诉你多头再卖出止盈

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空投也在卖出做空

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期待至少有一个足够大的回调

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可以让他们做一笔包头皮交易

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有一个下跌波段

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或者至少是震荡区间

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再次强调mm目标位有多种选择

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强势的多头突破

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然后完全反转下跌

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跌到突破

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或者说抢购高潮的起涨点会形成双底

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然后恢复上涨呢

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还是会跌破双底

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然后跌到反向的MM目标位

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00:12:13,539 --> 00:12:17,309
一旦这么强势的多头突破的起点被跌破

227
00:12:17,470 --> 00:12:21,990
有50%的概率会跌到反向的MM目标位

228
00:12:21,990 --> 00:12:25,549
也有50%的概率不会下跌

229
00:12:26,340 --> 00:12:29,460
会保持横盘或者上涨

230
00:12:31,200 --> 00:12:32,279
作为空投

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00:12:32,279 --> 00:12:35,519
我考虑的第一个mm目标位

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00:12:36,149 --> 00:12:39,870
就是把这两根大阳线的高度往下翻一倍

233
00:12:42,159 --> 00:12:46,519
从第一根K线的开盘到第二根K线的收盘

234
00:12:46,828 --> 00:12:49,009
这是向下的MM目标位

235
00:12:49,009 --> 00:12:50,668
而空头忽略了他

236
00:12:50,668 --> 00:12:53,428
所以还会至少再下跌一些

237
00:13:01,659 --> 00:13:05,340
可以看到在这个mm目标位没有找到买家

238
00:13:05,340 --> 00:13:06,860
价格跌破了它

239
00:13:06,860 --> 00:13:09,100
并且有跟随

240
00:13:11,539 --> 00:13:13,299
当这种情况发生时

241
00:13:13,299 --> 00:13:16,100
交易者会寻找下一个目标

242
00:13:27,340 --> 00:13:29,399
多头尝试形成一个双底

243
00:13:29,399 --> 00:13:30,440
这里是颈线

244
00:13:30,440 --> 00:13:31,980
他们想要突破颈线

245
00:13:31,980 --> 00:13:32,860
到达上方

246
00:13:32,860 --> 00:13:35,519
相反mm目标双底被跌破

247
00:13:35,720 --> 00:13:37,139
在这种情况下

248
00:13:37,139 --> 00:13:40,480
我反向测量下方的MM目标位

249
00:13:41,690 --> 00:13:44,370
这是一个相当强势的下跌波段

250
00:13:44,370 --> 00:13:46,509
趋势大概率不会在这里结束

251
00:13:46,509 --> 00:13:48,929
这也是一个非常窄的下降通道

252
00:13:48,929 --> 00:13:51,049
任何反弹都是小反转

253
00:13:51,049 --> 00:13:54,870
这意味着在5~10根K线之后可能会再次下跌

254
00:13:54,870 --> 00:13:57,370
然后才有可能大反转

255
00:13:57,750 --> 00:14:00,129
比如低点降低的大反转

256
00:14:00,129 --> 00:14:01,610
三推楔形底

257
00:14:01,610 --> 00:14:04,110
123

258
00:14:10,399 --> 00:14:13,799
所以不一定只看多头突破的高度

259
00:14:13,799 --> 00:14:17,519
也许是基于整个上涨趋势的高度

260
00:14:20,379 --> 00:14:22,480
多头想要形成双底反转

261
00:14:22,480 --> 00:14:24,039
但没有成功

262
00:14:24,039 --> 00:14:28,059
当一个强势的上涨波段的起涨点被测试

263
00:14:28,970 --> 00:14:30,730
如果价格继续下跌

264
00:14:30,730 --> 00:14:33,350
我把它看作一个失败的双底尝试

265
00:14:33,350 --> 00:14:37,649
然后我会向下寻找反向的MM目标位

266
00:14:43,179 --> 00:14:47,539
测量得到的目标位在这里没有完全达到

267
00:14:49,179 --> 00:14:51,139
大阴线空头突破

268
00:14:52,139 --> 00:14:53,700
多头尝试在这里筑底

269
00:14:53,700 --> 00:14:55,100
但是被跌破了

270
00:14:55,100 --> 00:14:57,980
所以很可能还会再下跌一些

271
00:15:01,679 --> 00:15:05,279
这里达到了向下的EMM目标位

272
00:15:05,279 --> 00:15:09,220
从这个高点到那个低点或者到缺口的终点

273
00:15:09,220 --> 00:15:11,759
这个低点和这个高点多头买入均衡

274
00:15:11,759 --> 00:15:13,419
多头买入做多

275
00:15:13,419 --> 00:15:17,028
同时这可能是低点降低的大反转

276
00:15:17,028 --> 00:15:19,349
下降趋势楔形雄奇

277
00:15:19,349 --> 00:15:20,808
然后是较弱的抛售

278
00:15:20,808 --> 00:15:22,489
形成三推楔形底

279
00:15:22,489 --> 00:15:26,750
123多头会寻找反转做多的机会

280
00:15:26,750 --> 00:15:29,669
一些人会在那个阴线收盘时开始压住

281
00:15:29,669 --> 00:15:32,149
下一次空投突破会失败

282
00:15:36,500 --> 00:15:39,200
每个上涨趋势都在阻力位结束

283
00:15:39,200 --> 00:15:42,620
每个下降趋势都在支撑位结束

284
00:15:43,460 --> 00:15:46,779
通常有许多潜在的支撑或阻力位

285
00:15:50,879 --> 00:15:54,120
我要寻找多个阻力或支撑的汇聚

286
00:15:55,549 --> 00:15:58,049
这里在一个下降趋势中

287
00:15:58,049 --> 00:15:59,190
我在寻找支撑

288
00:15:59,190 --> 00:16:02,110
在这里制造支撑的因素越多

289
00:16:03,159 --> 00:16:06,120
下降趋势在这里结束的可能性就越大

290
00:16:06,120 --> 00:16:07,440
更有可能会反转

291
00:16:07,440 --> 00:16:08,399
形成上涨趋势

292
00:16:08,399 --> 00:16:09,980
可能会变成震荡区间

293
00:16:09,980 --> 00:16:12,179
可能会变成上涨趋势

294
00:16:14,159 --> 00:16:15,759
正如之前所说的

295
00:16:15,759 --> 00:16:17,889
低点降低的大反转

296
00:16:17,889 --> 00:16:19,309
三推楔形底

297
00:16:19,309 --> 00:16:22,029
一多头会在阴线的收盘买入

298
00:16:22,029 --> 00:16:23,990
在那根K线上方买入

299
00:16:23,990 --> 00:16:25,549
在阳线的收盘买入

300
00:16:25,549 --> 00:16:27,350
在这根K线的下方买入

301
00:16:27,350 --> 00:16:30,029
期待至少有两段上涨

302
00:16:31,570 --> 00:16:32,750
涨到哪里

303
00:16:32,750 --> 00:16:35,090
涨到mm目标位

304
00:16:38,379 --> 00:16:39,980
低点降低的大反转

305
00:16:41,139 --> 00:16:43,059
三推楔形底

306
00:16:45,620 --> 00:16:50,039
这节课我们讲了基于震荡区间高度的mm目标位

307
00:16:50,039 --> 00:16:50,720
突破

308
00:16:50,720 --> 00:16:53,779
通常会在mm目标位附近暂停

309
00:16:56,019 --> 00:16:59,750
然后我讲了基于突破高度的mm目标位

310
00:16:59,750 --> 00:17:01,149
一旦达到目标

311
00:17:01,149 --> 00:17:03,110
通常会有足够多的指引

312
00:17:03,110 --> 00:17:06,029
导致形成一个小的震荡区间

313
00:17:09,900 --> 00:17:11,220
我是阿尔布鲁克斯

314
00:17:11,220 --> 00:17:15,299
感谢观看布鲁克斯交易课程mm目标位的两节课

315
00:17:15,299 --> 00:17:17,140
到这里就讲完了

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