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银行定存利率低,未到期无法赎回,从债券、etf、股票三个角度给你解决方案

BV1qGRcBvEoc · 投资知识分享
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发布时间 2026-05-03 23:14
时长 13分15秒
播放 1239
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资料区

原始字幕、评论和弹幕默认折叠,作为学习核查材料。
原始字幕
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一个冷知识

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你把钱存进银行

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00:00:03,399 --> 00:00:05,000
本金数字是在涨

4
00:00:05,000 --> 00:00:07,740
但是购买力却一直在掉

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00:00:07,740 --> 00:00:09,259
2026年4月

6
00:00:09,259 --> 00:00:11,939
中国四大行的一年期定期利率

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00:00:11,939 --> 00:00:13,949
只有0.95%

8
00:00:13,949 --> 00:00:16,670
而生活里真正感受到的通胀

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00:00:16,670 --> 00:00:20,660
房租医疗教育服务综合算下来

10
00:00:20,660 --> 00:00:23,500
一年差不多3%到4%

11
00:00:23,500 --> 00:00:25,920
也就是说定存一年之后

12
00:00:25,920 --> 00:00:29,699
你的购买力实际上少了大约三个百分点

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00:00:29,699 --> 00:00:31,160
这不是情绪

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这是算术

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今天这期视频

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我把一种绕开这个隐形亏损的思路讲清楚

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美元被动收入三层金字塔

18
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每个月让美元自动打进你的账户

19
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先把定存这笔账算清楚

20
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工农中建四大行2026年4月的挂牌利率

21
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一年定期0.9%

22
00:00:56,100 --> 00:00:58,420
53年1.2%

23
00:00:58,420 --> 00:01:00,979
55年1.3%

24
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同一时间

25
00:01:02,020 --> 00:01:06,140
中国官方的CPI同比涨幅大约是1%

26
00:01:06,140 --> 00:01:07,620
但如果把房租

27
00:01:07,620 --> 00:01:10,620
医疗教育服务类综合加权

28
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大家体感的通胀

29
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大约在3%到4%之间

30
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10万人民币存一年名义利息950块

31
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但通胀按4%算

32
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购买力少了4000块

33
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一正一负

34
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净亏3050

35
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存的越久

36
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账面数字看起来越漂亮

37
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购买力却越薄

38
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结论很直接

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在人民币计价1%利率的大环境下

40
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定存不是在保本

41
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它是在以一个稳定的速度让你的钱慢慢变小

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所以要解决这个问题只有两条路

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第一换一种计价货币换成美元

44
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第二换一种每月自动派息的美元证券

45
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美元被动收入不是某一只神奇的票

46
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它是一个三层金字塔

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底层稳中层涨

48
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顶层猛

49
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三层叠在一起才是完整的

50
00:02:05,209 --> 00:02:06,909
每月美元自动到账

51
00:02:06,909 --> 00:02:09,860
工程底层现金管理

52
00:02:09,860 --> 00:02:12,939
代表品种是SGOV和BIL

53
00:02:12,939 --> 00:02:16,060
年化分配率3.5%到4%

54
00:02:16,060 --> 00:02:18,180
负责替代活期和定存

55
00:02:18,180 --> 00:02:22,519
中层古稀蓝筹代表品种是可口可乐

56
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宝洁

57
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强生耐克以及SCHD和VYM

58
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年化分配率2.3%到3.8%

59
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负责抗通胀和复利

60
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顶层背对看涨

61
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代表品种是j e p i g e p q s spy

62
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IQQQI年化分配率8%到14%

63
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是整个金字塔的现金流引擎

64
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对照国内一年定期0.95%

65
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以及体感通胀4%

66
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底层就已经同时跑赢定存3.5倍

67
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并且覆盖通胀顶层

68
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则直接把现金流放大到定存的14倍

69
00:02:58,650 --> 00:03:01,969
下面一层一层拆底层

70
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我们只看两只ETF

71
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SGOV全称are shares

72
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0~3个月

73
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美国国债ETF

74
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把短期美债切成每股100美元卖给你

75
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bl全称SPDR1到三个月

76
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美国国债ETF逻辑和SGOV完全一致

77
00:03:19,789 --> 00:03:23,810
两只加在一起管理规模超过1000亿美元

78
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这是全球机构资金停泊的国家级安全资产

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收益和成本

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我们看最新数据

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SGOV30天sec收益率3.55%

82
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费率0.09%

83
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规模大约840亿美元

84
00:03:40,439 --> 00:03:43,520
每月分红BL30天

85
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sec收益率3.50%

86
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分配收益率3.95%

87
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同样每月分红

88
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这个收益率已经是国内一年

89
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定期0.95%的3.7倍

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SGOV的四个关键机制

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你必须记住

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第一每月派息

93
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股价基本定在100美元附近

94
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每月几毛钱现金准时到账

95
00:04:07,830 --> 00:04:10,990
第二跟美联储利率同呼吸

96
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美联储不降息

97
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它的收益率就不掉

98
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第三几乎零波动

99
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九七只有零点10年

100
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价格曲线基本就是一条平线

101
00:04:21,100 --> 00:04:24,100
第四替代场景非常明确

102
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美元账户里所有等待加仓的闲钱

103
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都应该放在这里

104
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而不是0%的活期

105
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打个比方

106
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SGOV就是美元版的加强型货机

107
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年化3.5%起步

108
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这一层不是用来发财的

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它是用来在4%的通胀面前

110
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先把你的购买力保住

111
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中层我们进入高股息蓝筹

112
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这一层

113
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在美股叫做dividend aristocrats和dividend kings

114
00:04:56,079 --> 00:04:59,699
翻译过来就是古希贵族和古希国王

115
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规则很简单

116
00:05:01,100 --> 00:05:04,980
连续25年每年都上调古稀叫贵族

117
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连续50年每年都上调股息

118
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叫国王能穿越

119
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2008

120
00:05:10,459 --> 00:05:13,000
202020223轮危机

121
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还在加分红的公司都是被时间筛过的

122
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现金奶牛

123
00:05:17,180 --> 00:05:18,759
四张核心牌

124
00:05:18,759 --> 00:05:23,139
可口可乐KO股息率大约2.6%年

125
00:05:23,139 --> 00:05:25,120
股息每股两块一毛二

126
00:05:25,120 --> 00:05:26,860
连续上调64年

127
00:05:26,860 --> 00:05:32,519
是股息国王宝洁pg股息率大约2.9%年

128
00:05:32,519 --> 00:05:34,579
股息每股四块三毛五

129
00:05:34,579 --> 00:05:36,139
连续上调70年

130
00:05:36,139 --> 00:05:37,769
也是股息国王

131
00:05:37,769 --> 00:05:41,730
强生券N券股息率大约2.2%

132
00:05:41,730 --> 00:05:44,529
5年股息每股五块三毛六

133
00:05:44,529 --> 00:05:46,560
连续上调64年

134
00:05:46,560 --> 00:05:50,459
耐克NKE股息率大约3.7%

135
00:05:50,459 --> 00:05:51,860
因为股价回调

136
00:05:51,860 --> 00:05:53,399
股息率被动抬高

137
00:05:53,399 --> 00:05:55,870
连续派息30多年

138
00:05:55,870 --> 00:05:57,769
不想研究个股

139
00:05:57,769 --> 00:06:00,670
两只ETF就能一键打包

140
00:06:00,670 --> 00:06:06,699
第一支SCHD加信美国红利股票ETF30天

141
00:06:06,699 --> 00:06:09,939
sec收益率3.84%

142
00:06:09,939 --> 00:06:12,259
费率只有0.06%

143
00:06:12,259 --> 00:06:14,158
基本可以忽略不计

144
00:06:14,158 --> 00:06:16,199
自2011年成立以来

145
00:06:16,199 --> 00:06:19,538
年化总回报大约13.3%

146
00:06:19,538 --> 00:06:21,319
1万美元买进去不动

147
00:06:21,319 --> 00:06:23,928
现在已经滚到5.9万美元

148
00:06:23,928 --> 00:06:26,488
第二支VYM先锋

149
00:06:26,488 --> 00:06:30,459
高股息ETF股息率大约2.4%

150
00:06:30,459 --> 00:06:32,300
规模720亿美元

151
00:06:32,300 --> 00:06:33,540
按季度派息

152
00:06:33,540 --> 00:06:37,689
过去5年股息的复合增长率5.9%

153
00:06:37,689 --> 00:06:42,029
这一层真正赚的不是今天3%的股息率

154
00:06:42,029 --> 00:06:43,610
而是复利加股息

155
00:06:43,610 --> 00:06:46,620
每年上调这两件事加起来的力量

156
00:06:46,620 --> 00:06:50,019
2011年买进SCHD的早期投资者

157
00:06:50,019 --> 00:06:53,160
当年只拿到大约2.6%的股息率

158
00:06:53,160 --> 00:06:54,189
十几年之后

159
00:06:54,189 --> 00:06:55,990
按当年买入成本计算

160
00:06:55,990 --> 00:06:59,480
他们的股息率已经涨到12.5%

161
00:06:59,480 --> 00:07:00,540
你不动手

162
00:07:00,540 --> 00:07:03,000
公司每年主动给你涨工资

163
00:07:03,000 --> 00:07:05,240
在4%通胀面前

164
00:07:05,240 --> 00:07:08,769
这一层就是真正的抗通胀发动机

165
00:07:08,769 --> 00:07:12,110
顶层是近3年美股最火的玩法

166
00:07:12,110 --> 00:07:13,910
背对看涨ETF

167
00:07:13,910 --> 00:07:15,600
英文叫cover call

168
00:07:15,600 --> 00:07:16,959
一句话原理

169
00:07:16,959 --> 00:07:19,040
用波动率换现金流

170
00:07:19,040 --> 00:07:20,560
操作是这样的

171
00:07:20,560 --> 00:07:22,360
先持有底层的股票

172
00:07:22,360 --> 00:07:25,519
比如标普500或者纳指100的指数

173
00:07:25,519 --> 00:07:30,279
然后再卖出虚值的看涨期权或者期权挂钩票据

174
00:07:30,279 --> 00:07:31,689
英文缩写ELN

175
00:07:31,689 --> 00:07:35,250
把收到的权利金每个月派发给投资者

176
00:07:35,250 --> 00:07:37,300
结果也很好理解

177
00:07:37,300 --> 00:07:38,959
市场下跌的时候

178
00:07:38,959 --> 00:07:41,819
每月的权利金就是你的缓冲垫

179
00:07:41,819 --> 00:07:43,019
帮你扛跌

180
00:07:43,019 --> 00:07:44,620
市场横盘的时候

181
00:07:44,620 --> 00:07:46,040
你什么都不用干

182
00:07:46,040 --> 00:07:48,220
每个月稳定吃权利金

183
00:07:48,220 --> 00:07:49,759
市场暴涨的时候

184
00:07:49,759 --> 00:07:52,500
因为你把上涨的潜力提前卖掉了

185
00:07:52,500 --> 00:07:54,548
它会跑输底层指数

186
00:07:54,548 --> 00:07:56,488
这就是他的代价

187
00:07:56,488 --> 00:07:57,528
一句话

188
00:07:57,528 --> 00:08:00,269
你是在用未来可能的上行空间

189
00:08:00,269 --> 00:08:03,199
换当下每月到手的现金流

190
00:08:03,199 --> 00:08:05,180
顶层的四张主力牌

191
00:08:05,180 --> 00:08:07,019
一张一张报给你

192
00:08:07,019 --> 00:08:10,589
第一张QQQI底层是纳值100

193
00:08:10,589 --> 00:08:12,269
分配率大约10%

194
00:08:12,269 --> 00:08:12,550
四

195
00:08:12,550 --> 00:08:15,290
月月派系费率0.68%

196
00:08:15,290 --> 00:08:17,110
发行方式NEOS

197
00:08:17,110 --> 00:08:20,750
第二章s spy i底层是标普500

198
00:08:20,750 --> 00:08:21,389
分配率

199
00:08:21,389 --> 00:08:22,889
大约11.9%

200
00:08:22,889 --> 00:08:25,649
月月派系费率0.68%

201
00:08:25,649 --> 00:08:30,658
也是NEOS第三张GEPQ底层是纳指100

202
00:08:30,658 --> 00:08:32,698
分配率大约10.6%

203
00:08:32,698 --> 00:08:35,499
月月派息费率0.35%

204
00:08:35,499 --> 00:08:37,379
发行方是摩根大通

205
00:08:37,379 --> 00:08:41,169
第四章GEPI底层是标普500

206
00:08:41,169 --> 00:08:43,009
分配率大约8%点

207
00:08:43,009 --> 00:08:46,179
4月月派息费率0.35%

208
00:08:46,179 --> 00:08:49,019
也是摩根大通一句话总结

209
00:08:49,019 --> 00:08:52,840
两家大厂NUS走的是更激进的高派系路线

210
00:08:52,840 --> 00:08:56,200
摩根大通走的是相对稳健的中高派息路线

211
00:08:56,200 --> 00:08:58,679
你可以混着配顶层

212
00:08:58,679 --> 00:09:01,259
这一层税务必须讲清楚

213
00:09:01,259 --> 00:09:02,679
NEOS系列

214
00:09:02,679 --> 00:09:05,450
也就是QQQI和s spy i

215
00:09:05,450 --> 00:09:08,730
他们分出来的很多钱会被划为return of capital

216
00:09:11,328 --> 00:09:13,688
意思是当年不用交税

217
00:09:13,688 --> 00:09:16,249
但会相应下调你的持仓成本

218
00:09:16,249 --> 00:09:18,929
基础可以理解为延税

219
00:09:18,929 --> 00:09:22,149
摩根大通的GEPR和GEPQ

220
00:09:22,149 --> 00:09:25,909
用的是医药N期权票据结构派出来的钱

221
00:09:25,909 --> 00:09:29,090
在美国税法下属于普通利息收入

222
00:09:29,090 --> 00:09:30,490
作为中国居民

223
00:09:30,490 --> 00:09:32,610
你需要在券商填一张表

224
00:09:32,610 --> 00:09:34,568
叫做W8BEN

225
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填完之后

226
00:09:35,609 --> 00:09:39,369
券商会按星号星号30%的预提税率

227
00:09:39,369 --> 00:09:41,379
星号星号自动扣税

228
00:09:41,379 --> 00:09:45,019
因为中美之间没有股息预提税的减免协定

229
00:09:45,019 --> 00:09:49,549
像bk2这样的主流券商默认就是30%

230
00:09:49,549 --> 00:09:51,610
所以有一个简化公式

231
00:09:51,610 --> 00:09:52,509
记住就行

232
00:09:52,509 --> 00:09:55,730
你的实际到手率大约等于标称分配率

233
00:09:55,730 --> 00:09:57,399
乘以70%

234
00:09:57,399 --> 00:09:58,740
举个例子

235
00:09:58,740 --> 00:10:02,340
QQQI标称14%乘0.7

236
00:10:02,340 --> 00:10:04,970
实际到手大约9.8%

237
00:10:04,970 --> 00:10:08,830
仍然是国内定存0.95%的十倍以上

238
00:10:08,830 --> 00:10:12,000
也是4%通胀的两倍以上

239
00:10:12,000 --> 00:10:14,059
10万美元怎么配

240
00:10:14,059 --> 00:10:16,429
月现金流到底有多少

241
00:10:16,429 --> 00:10:18,250
一个稳健型势例

242
00:10:18,250 --> 00:10:19,309
仅做演示

243
00:10:19,309 --> 00:10:21,190
不构成投资建议

244
00:10:21,190 --> 00:10:24,470
SGOV占三成3万美元

245
00:10:24,470 --> 00:10:26,110
年化3.5%

246
00:10:26,110 --> 00:10:29,100
5年现金流1065美元

247
00:10:29,100 --> 00:10:32,220
SCHD占三成3万美元

248
00:10:32,220 --> 00:10:33,779
年化3.8%

249
00:10:33,779 --> 00:10:36,929
4年现金流1152美元

250
00:10:36,929 --> 00:10:39,289
JEPQ占25

251
00:10:39,289 --> 00:10:40,809
2万5000美元

252
00:10:40,809 --> 00:10:43,129
年化10.6%年

253
00:10:43,129 --> 00:10:45,539
现金流2650美元

254
00:10:45,539 --> 00:10:47,820
SSPYI占15

255
00:10:47,820 --> 00:10:49,200
1万5000美元

256
00:10:49,200 --> 00:10:51,340
年化11.9%年

257
00:10:51,340 --> 00:10:53,839
现金流1785美元

258
00:10:53,839 --> 00:10:57,119
加在一起加权分配率6.6%

259
00:10:57,119 --> 00:11:00,809
5年现金流大约6652美元

260
00:11:00,809 --> 00:11:06,039
折算一下税前月均现金流大约554美元

261
00:11:06,039 --> 00:11:10,220
填好W8BEN按30%扣预提税之后

262
00:11:10,220 --> 00:11:13,669
月均到手大约388美元

263
00:11:13,669 --> 00:11:15,690
按7.2的汇率换算

264
00:11:15,690 --> 00:11:17,509
接近2800人民币

265
00:11:17,509 --> 00:11:20,409
每月同样金额的70万人民币

266
00:11:20,409 --> 00:11:24,610
放一年定期到手大约每月554人民币

267
00:11:24,610 --> 00:11:25,389
结论

268
00:11:25,389 --> 00:11:27,049
美元组合的月道首

269
00:11:27,049 --> 00:11:29,809
现金流大约是国内定存的五倍

270
00:11:29,809 --> 00:11:34,730
并且收益率结构性高于4%的通胀风险

271
00:11:34,730 --> 00:11:36,129
汇率合规

272
00:11:36,129 --> 00:11:40,009
一张卡片讲完第一投资风险

273
00:11:40,009 --> 00:11:41,330
美股有波动

274
00:11:41,330 --> 00:11:45,090
被对看涨的ETF在大牛市里会跑输指数

275
00:11:45,090 --> 00:11:46,629
这是结构决定的

276
00:11:46,629 --> 00:11:50,340
不能指望他技高派息又长得比指数快

277
00:11:50,340 --> 00:11:52,009
第二汇率

278
00:11:52,009 --> 00:11:53,590
人民币换美元

279
00:11:53,590 --> 00:11:56,269
每人每年5万美元的购汇额度

280
00:11:56,269 --> 00:11:59,570
要走正规银行渠道合规申报

281
00:11:59,570 --> 00:12:02,529
第三税务一定要填好

282
00:12:02,529 --> 00:12:06,450
W8BEN分红统一按30%余提

283
00:12:06,450 --> 00:12:08,330
在c rs框架下

284
00:12:08,330 --> 00:12:08,850
香港

285
00:12:08,850 --> 00:12:11,110
新加坡等账户的资金流动

286
00:12:14,029 --> 00:12:15,710
第四底线

287
00:12:15,710 --> 00:12:20,379
今天讲到的所有标的SGOVSCHDQQ

288
00:12:20,379 --> 00:12:24,960
qi s spy i都是美国证监会注册主流券商

289
00:12:24,960 --> 00:12:26,870
可以公开买卖的证券

290
00:12:26,870 --> 00:12:29,690
这是合法的境外金融资产配置

291
00:12:29,690 --> 00:12:32,940
和任何灰色资金往来无关

292
00:12:32,940 --> 00:12:34,779
最后一句总结

293
00:12:34,779 --> 00:12:36,360
定存1%

294
00:12:36,360 --> 00:12:38,039
通胀4%

295
00:12:38,039 --> 00:12:39,940
这不是所谓的保本

296
00:12:39,940 --> 00:12:42,090
是慢性的购买力流失

297
00:12:42,090 --> 00:12:45,389
而三层被动收入金字塔是用工具

298
00:12:45,389 --> 00:12:46,269
用证券

299
00:12:46,269 --> 00:12:47,970
用全球资本市场

300
00:12:47,970 --> 00:12:51,980
把你的现金流结构从头到尾重新搭建一次

301
00:12:51,980 --> 00:12:55,220
底层用SGOV和BIL跑赢通胀

302
00:12:55,220 --> 00:12:57,820
中层用SCHD和蓝筹吃福利

303
00:12:57,820 --> 00:13:00,799
顶层用QQQISSPYI

304
00:13:00,799 --> 00:13:04,019
把月现金流放大三层组合起来

305
00:13:04,019 --> 00:13:07,830
才是真正意义上的每月美元自动到账

306
00:13:07,830 --> 00:13:10,250
如果这期内容你觉得有用

307
00:13:10,250 --> 00:13:11,070
点个赞

308
00:13:11,070 --> 00:13:12,289
点个关注

309
00:13:12,289 --> 00:13:14,539
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zxf爱吃巧乐兹 为什么感觉现在在通货紧缩[吃瓜][笑哭] 0 1 2026-05-30 11:50
an随便玩玩 covered call反的权利金也算股息? qqqi权利金复投和qqq本身的走势对比哪个要好一点,有没有哪个软件能设置对比图。 0 1 2026-05-29 17:51
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