BV1oK5D63ETD · 浑水摸鱼清源1 00:00:00,520 --> 00:00:01,080 最近怎么样 2 00:00:01,080 --> 00:00:01,919 大家还好吗 3 00:00:01,919 --> 00:00:02,879 在今天的节目中 4 00:00:02,879 --> 00:00:05,080 我要分析今早的价格走势 5 00:00:05,080 --> 00:00:08,140 我们还会讨论昨天的价格走势 6 00:00:08,140 --> 00:00:10,169 我没有上传回顾视频 7 00:00:10,169 --> 00:00:12,529 昨天是无交易日 8 00:00:12,529 --> 00:00:15,509 今天也是无交易日 9 00:00:15,509 --> 00:00:17,190 我在保持耐心 10 00:00:17,190 --> 00:00:18,730 而且很挑剔 11 00:00:18,730 --> 00:00:24,199 但也不想承受不必要的损失 12 00:00:24,199 --> 00:00:27,500 月初我有过几个好日子 13 00:00:27,500 --> 00:00:30,039 这个月我已处于有利位置 14 00:00:30,039 --> 00:00:32,689 五月份表现远超上月同期 15 00:00:32,689 --> 00:00:33,988 上个月这个时候 16 00:00:33,988 --> 00:00:35,249 我处于亏损状态 17 00:00:35,249 --> 00:00:37,329 七十万美元在努力 18 00:00:37,329 --> 00:00:38,609 挽回损失 19 00:00:38,609 --> 00:00:42,409 这一切都因为我降低了质量标准 20 00:00:42,409 --> 00:00:47,259 激进交易低质量布局大仓位 21 00:00:47,259 --> 00:00:49,600 完全被套了 22 00:00:49,600 --> 00:00:55,079 今年我的交易策略是更大仓位 23 00:00:55,079 --> 00:00:56,359 甚至比往年 24 00:00:56,359 --> 00:01:01,219 许多交易者的目标是逐年小幅增仓 25 00:01:01,219 --> 00:01:02,520 不是三倍增长 26 00:01:02,520 --> 00:01:05,349 而是稳步增加仓位 27 00:01:05,349 --> 00:01:08,209 但我的仓位规模已到临界点 28 00:01:08,209 --> 00:01:12,609 当我交易某只股票时 29 00:01:12,609 --> 00:01:16,539 价格在四到六七美元之间 30 00:01:16,539 --> 00:01:18,338 我买入两万股 31 00:01:18,338 --> 00:01:21,299 入场时可能会有少许滑点 32 00:01:21,299 --> 00:01:22,319 可能四美分 33 00:01:22,319 --> 00:01:23,579 可能五美分 34 00:01:23,579 --> 00:01:24,859 相当于一千美元 35 00:01:24,859 --> 00:01:26,579 两万股的滑点成本 36 00:01:27,579 --> 00:01:28,769 抱歉打断 37 00:01:28,769 --> 00:01:29,290 换句话说 38 00:01:29,290 --> 00:01:30,930 如果交易两百股 39 00:01:30,930 --> 00:01:33,829 我能精准买入五美元五角 40 00:01:33,829 --> 00:01:35,739 但下单两万股时 41 00:01:35,739 --> 00:01:36,939 会有小幅滑点 42 00:01:36,939 --> 00:01:38,939 因为从卖方的卖出价买入 43 00:01:38,939 --> 00:01:41,079 可能成交价五美元五角 44 00:01:41,079 --> 00:01:41,780 例如 45 00:01:41,780 --> 00:01:43,599 高出五美分 46 00:01:43,879 --> 00:01:45,519 因为仓位更大 47 00:01:45,519 --> 00:01:47,299 然后当我卖出时 48 00:01:47,299 --> 00:01:49,599 离场时常有滑点 49 00:01:49,599 --> 00:01:51,180 如果必须在买价卖出 50 00:01:51,180 --> 00:01:52,879 如果能在强势区卖出在卖价 51 00:01:52,879 --> 00:01:53,780 这不会发生 52 00:01:53,780 --> 00:01:55,459 但如果股票走势不佳 53 00:01:55,459 --> 00:01:56,359 我将以出价卖出 54 00:01:56,359 --> 00:01:58,069 我会在退出时遇到滑点 55 00:01:58,069 --> 00:02:04,400 这意味着我在二十万股仓位上可能因滑点损失十美分 56 00:02:04,400 --> 00:02:08,840 为了弥补滑点导致的亏损 57 00:02:08,840 --> 00:02:13,729 我需要交易价格上涨至少十美分以覆盖这部分 58 00:02:13,729 --> 00:02:16,229 所以本质上 59 00:02:16,229 --> 00:02:20,189 如果我在交易中设了十美分止损 60 00:02:20,189 --> 00:02:22,709 加上十美分滑点 61 00:02:22,709 --> 00:02:24,609 我的实际亏损是二十美分 62 00:02:24,609 --> 00:02:27,429 这意味着我需要两倍的盈亏比 63 00:02:27,429 --> 00:02:29,669 你可能能获得每股四美分利润 64 00:02:29,669 --> 00:02:33,930 因此每股四美分是扩大仓位的最低门槛 65 00:02:33,930 --> 00:02:36,680 因为现实中我无法设置更紧的止损 66 00:02:36,680 --> 00:02:38,400 通常比十美分更紧 67 00:02:38,400 --> 00:02:41,719 当股票在3到6或8美元之间交易时 68 00:02:41,719 --> 00:02:43,199 十美分止损 69 00:02:43,199 --> 00:02:44,539 这止损很紧 70 00:02:44,539 --> 00:02:45,780 加上十美分滑点 71 00:02:45,780 --> 00:02:49,338 总共有二十美分，需有四美分利润潜力才能交易 72 00:02:49,338 --> 00:02:52,579 而目前我没有看到合适的交易机会 73 00:02:52,579 --> 00:02:56,439 我觉得无法获得四五十美分的利润潜力 74 00:02:56,439 --> 00:02:59,419 因此我选择观望 75 00:02:59,419 --> 00:02:59,639 现在 76 00:02:59,639 --> 00:03:02,590 有人可能会建议减小交易规模 77 00:03:02,590 --> 00:03:03,590 当然可以 78 00:03:03,590 --> 00:03:05,250 我可以交易两千股 79 00:03:05,250 --> 00:03:06,349 完全下注 80 00:03:06,349 --> 00:03:09,539 交易规模比常规仓位减少90% 81 00:03:09,539 --> 00:03:12,379 因此利润也会减少90% 82 00:03:12,379 --> 00:03:16,219 减小规模交易的动机并不强烈 83 00:03:16,219 --> 00:03:18,490 因为我收益会更低 84 00:03:18,490 --> 00:03:21,909 我更想保持纪律并耐心等待 85 00:03:21,909 --> 00:03:23,449 并保存资金 86 00:03:23,449 --> 00:03:25,740 等到有优质机会时再全力出击 87 00:03:25,740 --> 00:03:29,599 然后进行二十万美元的盈利交易 88 00:03:29,599 --> 00:03:31,449 在活跃市场中 89 00:03:31,449 --> 00:03:33,689 每日目标是二十万美元 90 00:03:33,689 --> 00:03:34,710 在冷淡市场中 91 00:03:34,710 --> 00:03:37,280 通常每日收益约五千美元 92 00:03:37,280 --> 00:03:40,240 一周下来可达二万五千美元 93 00:03:40,240 --> 00:03:41,500 左右浮动 94 00:03:41,500 --> 00:03:42,740 现实情况是 95 00:03:42,740 --> 00:03:46,759 每周一次成功交易足以支撑一周 96 00:03:46,759 --> 00:03:48,419 周一我抓住了那次交易 97 00:03:48,419 --> 00:03:50,159 当天盈利两万美元 98 00:03:50,159 --> 00:03:55,629 但过度持仓导致几乎全部回吐 99 00:03:55,870 --> 00:03:57,990 最终当日仅盈利两千八百美元 100 00:03:57,990 --> 00:03:59,530 现在我坐在这里 101 00:03:59,530 --> 00:04:01,050 本周最高只涨了两千八百美元 102 00:04:01,050 --> 00:04:03,569 因为昨天和今天都是休市日 103 00:04:03,569 --> 00:04:05,650 现在我这周只剩下两天时间了 104 00:04:05,650 --> 00:04:07,650 希望能有第二次机会 105 00:04:07,650 --> 00:04:08,870 就像周一的情况一样 106 00:04:08,870 --> 00:04:12,270 这次可不能再搞砸了 107 00:04:12,270 --> 00:04:13,590 让我们看截图 108 00:04:13,590 --> 00:04:14,909 现在回到周一 109 00:04:14,909 --> 00:04:18,738 我感到有些气馁 110 00:04:18,738 --> 00:04:21,858 之前赚了两万美元又被回吐 111 00:04:21,858 --> 00:04:22,598 你知道的 112 00:04:22,598 --> 00:04:25,480 几乎九成利润都回吐了 113 00:04:25,480 --> 00:04:29,860 但我要提醒自己两千八百美元也是一笔巨款 114 00:04:29,860 --> 00:04:31,379 这可是实实在在的收益 115 00:04:31,379 --> 00:04:34,410 所以我决定停止交易 116 00:04:34,410 --> 00:04:35,529 我说我要休息一下 117 00:04:35,529 --> 00:04:36,889 今天不再交易了 118 00:04:36,889 --> 00:04:37,980 我做了当日总结 119 00:04:37,980 --> 00:04:41,120 然后开车去了园艺店 120 00:04:41,120 --> 00:04:43,560 我说我要找些 121 00:04:43,560 --> 00:04:44,379 嗯 122 00:04:45,259 --> 00:04:47,379 能在院子里种植的东西 123 00:04:47,379 --> 00:04:49,759 看到他们有苹果树 124 00:04:49,759 --> 00:04:52,819 还有梨树和桃树 125 00:04:52,819 --> 00:04:54,839 每棵大概一百美元 126 00:04:54,839 --> 00:04:58,348 于是我决定买十棵这样的树 127 00:04:58,348 --> 00:05:00,769 我要扩建我的果园 128 00:05:00,769 --> 00:05:02,988 在现有基础上再添十棵树 129 00:05:02,988 --> 00:05:04,139 总共一千美元 130 00:05:04,139 --> 00:05:08,459 就这样突然花了千美元 131 00:05:08,459 --> 00:05:09,408 而且 132 00:05:09,408 --> 00:05:14,319 实际上只用了当天收益的三分之一左右 133 00:05:14,319 --> 00:05:18,408 现在有了实实在在的成果 134 00:05:18,408 --> 00:05:22,470 突然对那两百美元不再介意 135 00:05:22,470 --> 00:05:24,790 我出去后意识到 136 00:05:24,790 --> 00:05:25,050 哇 137 00:05:25,050 --> 00:05:25,389 好吧 138 00:05:25,389 --> 00:05:25,709 你知道吗 139 00:05:25,709 --> 00:05:27,329 这两百美元能派上大用场 140 00:05:27,329 --> 00:05:29,230 但如果继续待在电脑前 141 00:05:29,230 --> 00:05:31,110 很快就会挥霍掉这笔钱 142 00:05:31,110 --> 00:05:33,310 因为接下来会发生的是 143 00:05:33,310 --> 00:05:36,009 我会用两万股买入另一只股票 144 00:05:36,009 --> 00:05:37,949 再损失十美分滑点 145 00:05:37,949 --> 00:05:39,250 加上十美分止损 146 00:05:39,250 --> 00:05:42,250 结果从赚两千八百变成亏一千五百 147 00:05:42,250 --> 00:05:43,350 然后重复这个过程 148 00:05:43,350 --> 00:05:44,839 现在亏损五千 149 00:05:44,839 --> 00:05:46,240 开始不断下滑 150 00:05:46,240 --> 00:05:49,908 下一秒可能就亏十五二十甚至三十万美元 151 00:05:50,028 --> 00:05:53,108 所以有时候当你在交易时 152 00:05:53,108 --> 00:05:55,370 我们可能会与 153 00:05:55,610 --> 00:05:56,290 你知道的 154 00:05:56,290 --> 00:05:58,370 收益与亏损 155 00:05:58,370 --> 00:05:59,129 这些收益 156 00:05:59,129 --> 00:06:01,949 尤其是在可能大幅回吐的行情中 157 00:06:01,949 --> 00:06:04,250 我们再也无法感恩自己所 158 00:06:04,250 --> 00:06:06,709 拥有的因此需要一点视角 159 00:06:06,709 --> 00:06:08,329 脱离现实世界可能有帮助 160 00:06:08,329 --> 00:06:10,509 这周一确实帮了我不少 161 00:06:10,509 --> 00:06:14,490 让我有事可做而非坐在这里盯着毫无起色的股票 162 00:06:14,490 --> 00:06:16,089 但周一最有趣的是 163 00:06:16,089 --> 00:06:18,129 当然就是W K 164 00:06:18,129 --> 00:06:23,230 这是一只周一盘前突然异动的中国股票 165 00:06:23,230 --> 00:06:24,449 如果你还记得的话 166 00:06:24,449 --> 00:06:25,788 我们曾关注过它 167 00:06:25,788 --> 00:06:26,949 我说我不会交易 168 00:06:26,949 --> 00:06:28,389 它在盘前突然出现 169 00:06:28,389 --> 00:06:30,028 25美元大幅下跌 170 00:06:30,028 --> 00:06:31,629 一度跌至一美元 171 00:06:31,629 --> 00:06:37,730 暂停交易后跌破一美元 下探至每股15美分 172 00:06:37,730 --> 00:06:38,250 我意思是 173 00:06:38,250 --> 00:06:39,689 这只股票简直被摧毁了 174 00:06:40,930 --> 00:06:45,319 随后逐渐回升 175 00:06:45,319 --> 00:06:47,600 甚至回升至超一美元 176 00:06:47,600 --> 00:06:49,269 到下午时分 177 00:06:49,389 --> 00:06:50,589 突破1.5美元 178 00:06:50,589 --> 00:06:51,939 涨至2美元 179 00:06:51,939 --> 00:06:54,459 突然进入盘后时段 180 00:06:54,459 --> 00:06:59,740 强劲拉升至3美元 震荡回调至4美元 181 00:06:59,740 --> 00:07:04,540 冲高至6.5美元以上 182 00:07:04,540 --> 00:07:06,660 从每股20美分的低点 183 00:07:06,660 --> 00:07:10,920 这简直难以置信的复苏 184 00:07:10,920 --> 00:07:14,959 这就是典型的中国股票走势 185 00:07:14,959 --> 00:07:17,250 随后一路回落至2美元 186 00:07:17,250 --> 00:07:19,529 看起来完全结束了 187 00:07:19,529 --> 00:07:22,529 而昨日又强劲反弹 188 00:07:22,529 --> 00:07:23,689 到7点 189 00:07:23,689 --> 00:07:24,139 晚间 190 00:07:24,139 --> 00:07:27,600 一路拉升至11.5-12美元高点 191 00:07:27,600 --> 00:07:30,538 今早又大幅回落 192 00:07:30,538 --> 00:07:31,778 但看啊 193 00:07:31,778 --> 00:07:33,098 最终收盘会到20美元吗 194 00:07:33,098 --> 00:07:34,319 收盘时 195 00:07:34,319 --> 00:07:35,720 我不知道 196 00:07:35,720 --> 00:07:37,459 这些股票 197 00:07:37,459 --> 00:07:38,560 实在难以消化 198 00:07:38,560 --> 00:07:39,879 这种波动 199 00:07:39,879 --> 00:07:42,069 真是过山车 200 00:07:42,069 --> 00:07:43,870 我完全没参与交易 201 00:07:43,870 --> 00:07:45,129 我错过了所有这些 202 00:07:45,129 --> 00:07:47,970 因为我出去摘这些苹果了 203 00:07:47,970 --> 00:07:49,189 桃树和梨树 204 00:07:49,189 --> 00:07:50,800 所以我错过了这一切 205 00:07:50,800 --> 00:07:53,000 嗯然后昨天我说 206 00:07:53,000 --> 00:07:53,839 这是一只死猫 207 00:07:53,839 --> 00:07:55,040 弹跳过低点 208 00:07:55,040 --> 00:07:56,360 无论如何我并不 209 00:07:56,360 --> 00:07:57,899 我对玩弄这个没兴趣 210 00:07:57,899 --> 00:08:00,399 很多停顿难以交易 211 00:08:00,399 --> 00:08:01,779 所以那个不做交易 212 00:08:01,779 --> 00:08:02,759 盘后上涨 213 00:08:02,759 --> 00:08:04,000 今天早上同样情况 214 00:08:04,000 --> 00:08:04,519 没有交易 215 00:08:04,519 --> 00:08:05,540 我不感兴趣 216 00:08:05,540 --> 00:08:08,620 我不会在这里以每股四毛钱买入 217 00:08:08,620 --> 00:08:10,699 你知道也许在这些区域我能 218 00:08:10,699 --> 00:08:13,279 但我不常在那时交易 219 00:08:13,279 --> 00:08:15,189 总之没进展 220 00:08:15,189 --> 00:08:16,009 工作台 221 00:08:16,009 --> 00:08:17,069 FC L 222 00:08:17,069 --> 00:08:18,189 这个出现在扫描器里 223 00:08:18,189 --> 00:08:21,908 今天早上发现它空头持仓非常高 224 00:08:21,908 --> 00:08:25,569 但交易价在60到220之间略低 225 00:08:25,569 --> 00:08:28,629 波动范围不够适合做交易 226 00:08:28,629 --> 00:08:29,488 太便宜了 227 00:08:29,488 --> 00:08:31,709 AEH L同样问题 228 00:08:31,709 --> 00:08:32,629 太便宜了 229 00:08:32,629 --> 00:08:33,289 它在动吗 230 00:08:33,289 --> 00:08:36,049 在小幅上涨延续 231 00:08:36,049 --> 00:08:38,450 但只是标题效应 232 00:08:38,450 --> 00:08:40,809 追逐下一个爆炸性小盘股 233 00:08:40,809 --> 00:08:42,970 中国推广公司 234 00:08:42,970 --> 00:08:43,669 不 235 00:08:43,669 --> 00:08:44,919 暂不操作 236 00:08:44,919 --> 00:08:46,940 嗯你知道的 237 00:08:46,940 --> 00:08:50,019 今天不幸的是我们没什么可操作的 238 00:08:50,019 --> 00:08:51,379 扫描器里没好机会 239 00:08:51,379 --> 00:08:54,480 回滚扫描到今早之前 240 00:08:54,480 --> 00:08:58,259 看到WOK流通量高2800万股 241 00:08:58,259 --> 00:08:59,779 工作台 242 00:08:59,779 --> 00:09:02,779 从凌晨四点开始 243 00:09:02,779 --> 00:09:08,039 然后立即转为FC HL四点半 244 00:09:08,039 --> 00:09:09,179 TDIC 245 00:09:09,179 --> 00:09:10,460 我们之前交易过这个 246 00:09:10,460 --> 00:09:11,419 太便宜了 247 00:09:11,419 --> 00:09:15,759 交易不流畅AEHL 248 00:09:15,759 --> 00:09:18,110 之前已经讨论过这家中国公司 249 00:09:18,309 --> 00:09:20,009 嗯MRAM 250 00:09:20,009 --> 00:09:21,710 周日就在观察列表里 251 00:09:21,710 --> 00:09:22,649 但我不感兴趣 252 00:09:22,649 --> 00:09:24,629 因为这些浮标的价位更高 253 00:09:24,629 --> 00:09:25,950 没有交易 254 00:09:26,669 --> 00:09:30,429 那我们来看看埃娜扫描仪的情况 255 00:09:30,429 --> 00:09:31,328 没有新闻 256 00:09:31,328 --> 00:09:33,229 没有剩余交易 257 00:09:33,229 --> 00:09:33,828 同样的标题 258 00:09:33,828 --> 00:09:36,109 追逐下一个爆炸性的小盘股 259 00:09:36,109 --> 00:09:39,909 嗯，所以你知道的 260 00:09:39,909 --> 00:09:40,429 然后是的 261 00:09:40,429 --> 00:09:41,629 八八三九 262 00:09:41,629 --> 00:09:42,889 没有任何头条新闻 263 00:09:42,889 --> 00:09:45,470 所以一片寂静 264 00:09:45,470 --> 00:09:45,909 我的意思是 265 00:09:45,909 --> 00:09:47,309 这其实就是我们有的全部 266 00:09:47,309 --> 00:09:50,799 嗯，所以我保持耐心 267 00:09:50,799 --> 00:09:51,980 这并不容易 268 00:09:51,980 --> 00:09:54,100 但这才是正确的选择 269 00:09:54,100 --> 00:09:55,929 整体市场处于历史最高点 270 00:09:55,929 --> 00:09:59,669 交易者可能感觉无需进入投机性资产类别 271 00:09:59,669 --> 00:10:01,710 当整体市场表现良好时 272 00:10:01,710 --> 00:10:03,929 这可能是一个因素 273 00:10:03,929 --> 00:10:05,720 但你知道的 274 00:10:05,720 --> 00:10:08,179 我的意思是市场当然会有涨跌波动 275 00:10:08,179 --> 00:10:12,399 回顾我最近九十天的交易 276 00:10:12,399 --> 00:10:13,519 你可以看到 277 00:10:13,519 --> 00:10:15,519 这里曾出现回撤 278 00:10:15,519 --> 00:10:16,539 那真是糟糕的一次 279 00:10:16,539 --> 00:10:18,539 十二月曾有一次下跌 280 00:10:18,539 --> 00:10:20,078 这也是艰难的一次 281 00:10:20,078 --> 00:10:23,519 但更多的红色交易日规模较小且可控 282 00:10:23,519 --> 00:10:24,889 这很好 283 00:10:24,889 --> 00:10:26,330 所以你知道的 284 00:10:26,330 --> 00:10:28,809 我的盈亏净值达到历史新高 285 00:10:28,809 --> 00:10:30,889 这还不包括周一的利润 286 00:10:30,889 --> 00:10:34,500 但只有两千八百美元，嗯，好吧 287 00:10:34,500 --> 00:10:36,279 扣除十棵苹果树的成本 288 00:10:36,279 --> 00:10:37,539 但我不考虑这部分 289 00:10:37,539 --> 00:10:39,559 这只是毛利润 290 00:10:39,559 --> 00:10:44,610 无论如何，过去九十天赚了一百万美元 291 00:10:44,610 --> 00:10:45,269 生活很美好 292 00:10:45,269 --> 00:10:47,009 我无可抱怨 293 00:10:47,049 --> 00:10:48,549 但我会稍微抱怨一下 294 00:10:48,549 --> 00:10:51,529 因为最近几周行情较慢 295 00:10:51,529 --> 00:10:54,049 我的意思是我在经历周期性波动 296 00:10:54,049 --> 00:10:55,970 出现四五十万美元的绿色交易日 297 00:10:55,970 --> 00:10:57,269 这太棒了 298 00:10:57,269 --> 00:11:00,409 然后又是十五到二十万美元的日收益 299 00:11:00,409 --> 00:11:02,029 很多五千元的日收益 300 00:11:02,029 --> 00:11:03,509 但中间有这些波动 301 00:11:03,509 --> 00:11:04,889 你其实看不到的 302 00:11:04,889 --> 00:11:09,210 事实上有很多非交易日 303 00:11:09,450 --> 00:11:11,950 非交易日 304 00:11:11,950 --> 00:11:12,909 非交易日 305 00:11:12,909 --> 00:11:13,850 非交易日 306 00:11:13,850 --> 00:11:14,789 非交易日 307 00:11:14,789 --> 00:11:15,919 非交易日 308 00:11:16,600 --> 00:11:17,399 非交易日 309 00:11:17,399 --> 00:11:18,120 非交易日 310 00:11:18,120 --> 00:11:20,320 非交易非交易 311 00:11:20,320 --> 00:11:21,879 我觉得这很好 312 00:11:21,879 --> 00:11:23,120 周五假期 313 00:11:23,120 --> 00:11:24,000 非交易日 314 00:11:24,000 --> 00:11:24,779 非交易日 315 00:11:24,779 --> 00:11:25,539 非交易日 316 00:11:25,539 --> 00:11:28,859 可能是总统日非交易 317 00:11:29,320 --> 00:11:30,120 非交易日 318 00:11:30,120 --> 00:11:30,639 非交易日 319 00:11:30,639 --> 00:11:30,919 所以你 320 00:11:30,919 --> 00:11:31,240 你知道的 321 00:11:31,240 --> 00:11:33,839 你看到了很多非交易日 322 00:11:33,839 --> 00:11:35,619 你知道我们回顾去年 323 00:11:35,619 --> 00:11:36,798 仅作对比 324 00:11:37,999 --> 00:11:39,879 这里也有一些非交易日 325 00:11:39,879 --> 00:11:40,690 嗯 326 00:11:40,690 --> 00:11:43,009 你知道所以 327 00:11:43,009 --> 00:11:46,970 偶尔有几天非交易日并不罕见 328 00:11:46,970 --> 00:11:49,269 你知道全年零星分布 329 00:11:49,269 --> 00:11:51,250 这里有很多非交易日 330 00:11:51,250 --> 00:11:55,169 我意思是八月几乎非交易日多于交易日 331 00:11:55,169 --> 00:11:56,690 这非常缓慢 332 00:11:56,690 --> 00:11:58,690 所以你看这里 333 00:11:58,690 --> 00:12:01,100 我意思是确实 334 00:12:01,100 --> 00:12:02,059 我意思是这 335 00:12:02,059 --> 00:12:04,059 这确实很慢 336 00:12:04,059 --> 00:12:06,039 我一开始大幅亏损 337 00:12:06,039 --> 00:12:08,559 然后你知道在第二周 338 00:12:08,559 --> 00:12:10,179 你知道在第二周 339 00:12:10,179 --> 00:12:11,559 然后一切顺利 340 00:12:11,559 --> 00:12:12,139 心怀感激 341 00:12:12,139 --> 00:12:13,389 你挽回了亏损 342 00:12:13,389 --> 00:12:15,269 保持高标准 343 00:12:15,269 --> 00:12:16,289 这是主题 344 00:12:16,289 --> 00:12:17,230 大幅亏损 345 00:12:17,230 --> 00:12:18,970 调整标准 346 00:12:18,970 --> 00:12:20,370 减少交易 347 00:12:20,370 --> 00:12:22,250 刚才发生了什么 348 00:12:22,250 --> 00:12:25,009 你知道三月或四月 349 00:12:25,009 --> 00:12:26,809 我有大幅亏损 350 00:12:26,809 --> 00:12:28,649 我调整了标准 351 00:12:28,649 --> 00:12:31,090 然后还有一些较少的特质 352 00:12:31,090 --> 00:12:31,779 现在 353 00:12:31,779 --> 00:12:33,179 你还是不错 354 00:12:33,179 --> 00:12:34,320 但稍微少一点 355 00:12:34,320 --> 00:12:38,460 而在这里五月因为月初我有一颗幸运星 356 00:12:38,460 --> 00:12:39,259 我就像好吧 357 00:12:39,259 --> 00:12:41,039 我们保持镇定 358 00:12:41,039 --> 00:12:42,799 你知道不要过度交易 359 00:12:42,799 --> 00:12:44,639 只需抓住优质机会 360 00:12:44,639 --> 00:12:45,700 所以不交易 361 00:12:45,700 --> 00:12:46,940 不交易交易 362 00:12:46,940 --> 00:12:47,659 最好的离开 363 00:12:47,659 --> 00:12:48,059 剩下的 364 00:12:48,059 --> 00:12:49,360 我现在就是这样 365 00:12:49,360 --> 00:12:50,789 所以是的 366 00:12:50,789 --> 00:12:52,029 今天不交易 367 00:12:52,029 --> 00:12:53,289 明天我继续 368 00:12:53,289 --> 00:12:55,830 希望明天有更好的机会 369 00:12:55,830 --> 00:12:57,490 这太神奇了 370 00:12:57,490 --> 00:12:59,370 动量可以瞬间转变 371 00:12:59,370 --> 00:13:00,490 公司发布新闻 372 00:13:00,490 --> 00:13:01,370 突然就爆发了 373 00:13:01,370 --> 00:13:01,950 我们有了行动 374 00:13:01,950 --> 00:13:03,190 我们有了可操作的东西 375 00:13:03,190 --> 00:13:04,929 但直到那时 376 00:13:05,169 --> 00:13:06,750 我只是在场边观望 377 00:13:06,750 --> 00:13:09,549 所以我们正在攻坚阶段 378 00:13:09,549 --> 00:13:11,529 你知道我们在节省弹药 379 00:13:11,529 --> 00:13:13,070 我们正在加固防御 380 00:13:13,070 --> 00:13:14,110 我们只是在生存 381 00:13:15,190 --> 00:13:17,149 当有机会时 382 00:13:17,149 --> 00:13:18,899 我们知道如何出击 383 00:13:18,899 --> 00:13:22,220 只是现在好机会不多 384 00:13:22,220 --> 00:13:24,679 但这在冷市场很正常 385 00:13:24,679 --> 00:13:26,320 在交易中 386 00:13:26,320 --> 00:13:30,139 你知道有一定程度的嗯 387 00:13:30,139 --> 00:13:34,889 你知道如果你看过那个节目独行侠 388 00:13:34,889 --> 00:13:36,330 不知道在哪个频道 389 00:13:36,330 --> 00:13:39,210 但你知道他们要去一些偏远地区 390 00:13:39,210 --> 00:13:40,220 必须生存下去 391 00:13:40,220 --> 00:13:43,360 你采用大型猎物策略 392 00:13:43,360 --> 00:13:45,759 要猎杀麋鹿或熊 393 00:13:45,759 --> 00:13:47,980 然后靠它生存 394 00:13:47,980 --> 00:13:48,919 你知道几个月 395 00:13:48,919 --> 00:13:49,539 你知道 396 00:13:49,539 --> 00:13:51,179 或者你是吃 397 00:13:51,179 --> 00:13:54,990 你知道蒲公英和野胡萝卜 398 00:13:54,990 --> 00:13:57,169 以及根茎之类 399 00:13:57,169 --> 00:14:00,769 只是啃食最小的残渣 400 00:14:00,769 --> 00:14:01,529 你能得到 401 00:14:01,529 --> 00:14:03,210 嗯，呃 402 00:14:03,210 --> 00:14:08,409 或许在我的看法里 403 00:14:09,090 --> 00:14:09,490 嗯 404 00:14:11,210 --> 00:14:12,269 这合乎逻辑 405 00:14:12,269 --> 00:14:14,980 至少在市场背景下 406 00:14:14,980 --> 00:14:19,279 试着设定更高的目标并保存能量 407 00:14:19,279 --> 00:14:20,220 为了更大的 408 00:14:20,220 --> 00:14:21,279 更大的机会 409 00:14:21,279 --> 00:14:22,120 嗯 410 00:14:22,559 --> 00:14:24,620 击中目标是有道理的 411 00:14:24,620 --> 00:14:25,220 你知道的 412 00:14:25,220 --> 00:14:26,620 许多小胜利 413 00:14:26,620 --> 00:14:32,789 但在当前市场这根本不可行 414 00:14:32,789 --> 00:14:37,200 因为我们看不到足够优质的入场点获取这些小收益 415 00:14:37,200 --> 00:14:38,320 甚至只是小收益 416 00:14:38,320 --> 00:14:38,740 我的意思是 417 00:14:38,740 --> 00:14:42,159 除非降到四到六分位的小收益 418 00:14:42,159 --> 00:14:46,009 这些非常微小且 419 00:14:46,009 --> 00:14:46,809 现实来说是 420 00:14:47,929 --> 00:14:48,490 我的意思是 421 00:14:48,490 --> 00:14:50,009 这确实太小了 422 00:14:50,009 --> 00:14:50,889 你其实 423 00:14:50,889 --> 00:14:53,590 但这样设定的门槛太低了 424 00:14:53,590 --> 00:14:56,190 就像吃蟋蟀或蚂蚁 425 00:14:56,190 --> 00:14:57,509 我的意思是你可以做到 426 00:14:57,509 --> 00:14:58,529 但天啊 427 00:14:58,529 --> 00:15:00,359 似乎有更好的方法 428 00:15:00,359 --> 00:15:03,818 我现在在这个月处于不错的位置 429 00:15:03,818 --> 00:15:04,778 因为我 430 00:15:04,778 --> 00:15:08,658 你知道我在月初成功平仓了两笔交易 431 00:15:08,658 --> 00:15:09,078 真的 432 00:15:09,078 --> 00:15:11,139 现在我可以稍微耐心些 433 00:15:11,139 --> 00:15:14,179 我们知道希望能每天捕捉大行情 434 00:15:14,179 --> 00:15:15,139 在强势市场中 435 00:15:15,139 --> 00:15:15,879 这是可能的 436 00:15:15,879 --> 00:15:18,210 但并非当前现实 437 00:15:18,210 --> 00:15:22,269 必须接受当前现实 438 00:15:22,269 --> 00:15:24,860 作为交易者 439 00:15:24,860 --> 00:15:26,440 有涨有跌 440 00:15:26,440 --> 00:15:27,700 有热周期 441 00:15:27,700 --> 00:15:28,899 也有冷周期 442 00:15:28,899 --> 00:15:30,970 如果无法度过冷周期 443 00:15:30,970 --> 00:15:32,509 就无法享受热周期 444 00:15:32,509 --> 00:15:34,629 必须熬过冷周期 445 00:15:34,629 --> 00:15:35,769 才能到达另一端 446 00:15:35,769 --> 00:15:37,690 从而收获热市红利 447 00:15:37,690 --> 00:15:39,789 我们现在正在经历这种情况 448 00:15:39,789 --> 00:15:41,230 只是度过这个阶段 449 00:15:41,230 --> 00:15:42,549 这就是我的看法 450 00:15:42,549 --> 00:15:43,269 温馨提示 451 00:15:43,269 --> 00:15:43,830 始终在交易 452 00:15:43,830 --> 00:15:44,669 当然有风险 453 00:15:44,669 --> 00:15:45,610 我的结果并不典型 454 00:15:45,610 --> 00:15:46,710 所以管理好风险 455 00:15:46,710 --> 00:15:47,629 慢慢来 456 00:15:47,629 --> 00:15:49,970 稍后我会在这里和大家直播见 457 00:15:49,970 --> 00:15:52,309 明天早上七点见，好的 458 00:15:52,309 --> 00:15:53,440 明天早上见大家
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