BV1kpR1BiEH5 · 浑水摸鱼清源1 00:00:00,360 --> 00:00:04,040 接下来的两节课我们来讲末端骑行 2 00:00:06,700 --> 00:00:09,919 第一节课我会介绍末端骑行的定义 3 00:00:09,919 --> 00:00:12,060 然后给出一些案例 4 00:00:16,660 --> 00:00:17,960 我反复说过 5 00:00:17,960 --> 00:00:20,960 大多数反转的结构都涉及震荡区间 6 00:00:20,960 --> 00:00:23,980 末端骑行就是一个震荡区间 7 00:00:27,600 --> 00:00:29,179 当你看到一个趋势 8 00:00:29,179 --> 00:00:31,359 然后趋势反转 9 00:00:31,899 --> 00:00:34,259 这个趋势是由一系列骑行组成 10 00:00:34,259 --> 00:00:35,439 有些骑行大 11 00:00:35,439 --> 00:00:36,600 有些非常小 12 00:00:36,600 --> 00:00:40,598 最终趋势一定会反转或进入震荡区间 13 00:00:40,598 --> 00:00:44,399 所以存在最后一个骑行及末端骑行 14 00:00:46,840 --> 00:00:48,619 这里有一个小三角形 15 00:00:48,619 --> 00:00:50,280 一个小震荡区间 16 00:00:50,280 --> 00:00:52,320 又一个小三角形 17 00:00:52,600 --> 00:00:54,880 骑行就是回调的意思 18 00:00:54,880 --> 00:00:57,079 回调意味着趋势会继续 19 00:00:57,079 --> 00:00:58,159 而不是反转 20 00:00:58,159 --> 00:01:03,969 然而在某个时刻骑行回调之后是最后的突破 21 00:01:03,969 --> 00:01:05,409 然后趋势结束 22 00:01:05,409 --> 00:01:07,049 反转 23 00:01:09,040 --> 00:01:11,040 这是一个三角骑行的案例 24 00:01:11,040 --> 00:01:14,260 三次向下推动123 25 00:01:14,260 --> 00:01:17,159 这里还是一个三次向下推动 26 00:01:17,560 --> 00:01:19,400 当上涨趋势的后期 27 00:01:19,400 --> 00:01:21,719 出现了一个水平的震荡区间 28 00:01:21,719 --> 00:01:23,620 并且持续了20根K线 29 00:01:23,620 --> 00:01:24,599 你就必须卡 30 00:01:24,599 --> 00:01:27,280 可能是反转前的末端骑行 31 00:01:28,269 --> 00:01:31,209 水平震荡区间代表共识区域 32 00:01:31,209 --> 00:01:33,629 注多空双方都觉得是个价 33 00:01:33,629 --> 00:01:35,349 突破了这个共识区域 34 00:01:35,349 --> 00:01:37,950 他常常会发现价格太高了 35 00:01:37,950 --> 00:01:40,230 不得不回落到这个共识区域 36 00:01:40,230 --> 00:01:43,069 有时甚至会继续下跌 37 00:01:48,000 --> 00:01:49,620 这里是下降趋势 38 00:01:49,620 --> 00:01:51,948 沿途有几个骑行雄奇 39 00:01:51,948 --> 00:01:54,868 在连续五根阴线之后尝试反转 40 00:01:54,868 --> 00:01:56,588 上涨大概率只是小反转 41 00:01:56,588 --> 00:01:59,650 即熊奇趋势将继续下跌 42 00:01:59,650 --> 00:02:01,349 一路下跌的过程中 43 00:02:01,349 --> 00:02:02,750 有几个小的雄奇 44 00:02:02,750 --> 00:02:04,689 双顶雄奇 45 00:02:10,479 --> 00:02:11,800 小上涨趋势 46 00:02:11,800 --> 00:02:15,159 这里的小横盘就是这个上涨趋势的末端 47 00:02:15,159 --> 00:02:16,180 牛奇 48 00:02:16,180 --> 00:02:17,580 每一个趋势 49 00:02:17,580 --> 00:02:19,860 即使是震荡区间内的小波段 50 00:02:19,860 --> 00:02:23,139 也会以末端骑行反转的形式结束 51 00:02:25,620 --> 00:02:29,699 下降趋势E结构连续三根运线 52 00:02:30,930 --> 00:02:32,409 下降趋势继续 53 00:02:32,409 --> 00:02:33,409 然后就反转了 54 00:02:33,409 --> 00:02:36,849 所以这是下降趋势中的末端雄奇 55 00:02:36,849 --> 00:02:39,219 这里也有一个下降趋势 56 00:02:39,219 --> 00:02:42,209 反弹尝试反转 57 00:02:42,408 --> 00:02:44,028 下降通道非常窄 58 00:02:44,028 --> 00:02:45,889 所以第一次只是小凡 59 00:02:45,889 --> 00:02:47,188 他变成了雄奇 60 00:02:47,188 --> 00:02:49,860 你可以说他是双顶雄奇 61 00:02:49,860 --> 00:02:51,539 下降趋势继续 62 00:02:51,539 --> 00:02:53,740 但这就是最后一段下跌了 63 00:02:53,740 --> 00:02:55,870 趋势反转上涨 64 00:02:55,870 --> 00:02:59,430 这个部分就是整个下降趋势的末端雄奇 65 00:02:59,430 --> 00:03:01,870 这也是一个雄奇 66 00:03:02,509 --> 00:03:06,750 此时交易者还无法确定趋势到底会继续下跌 67 00:03:06,750 --> 00:03:08,189 还是会反转上涨 68 00:03:08,189 --> 00:03:10,209 这个熊奇被跌破了 69 00:03:10,209 --> 00:03:11,949 尽管没有创新低 70 00:03:11,949 --> 00:03:15,669 但事实上这也是下降趋势中的末端骑行 71 00:03:15,669 --> 00:03:18,479 这一次它形成了抬高的低点 72 00:03:18,479 --> 00:03:19,840 他是末端雄奇 73 00:03:20,960 --> 00:03:23,120 他也是末端雄奇 74 00:03:27,400 --> 00:03:28,840 市场反转上涨 75 00:03:28,840 --> 00:03:30,439 这里有一个小的牛骑 76 00:03:30,439 --> 00:03:33,580 它是这个上涨波段的末端牛旗 77 00:03:33,979 --> 00:03:36,099 市场反转下跌 78 00:03:37,159 --> 00:03:39,340 现在市场处于上涨波段 79 00:03:39,340 --> 00:03:40,560 甚至可能是上涨 80 00:03:40,560 --> 00:03:44,908 突破回调恢复上涨的可能性很大 81 00:03:44,908 --> 00:03:46,759 所以这是牛骑 82 00:03:46,759 --> 00:03:49,199 但它变成了末端牛骑 83 00:03:49,199 --> 00:03:50,919 价格反转下跌 84 00:03:50,919 --> 00:03:53,439 或至少正在尝试反转 85 00:03:54,159 --> 00:03:56,479 在这里也有几段下跌 86 00:03:56,479 --> 00:03:57,729 一反弹 87 00:03:57,729 --> 00:04:00,008 这根阳线超过了前一根阴线的高点 88 00:04:00,008 --> 00:04:01,649 上涨趋势尝试恢复 89 00:04:01,649 --> 00:04:03,829 它也是反转下跌前的末端牛 90 00:04:03,829 --> 00:04:04,968 其 91 00:04:11,159 --> 00:04:12,659 正如之前所说 92 00:04:12,659 --> 00:04:16,000 有时候下降趋势跌破了熊奇 93 00:04:16,000 --> 00:04:18,160 但并没有创新低 94 00:04:19,519 --> 00:04:21,199 这里也是类似的 95 00:04:21,199 --> 00:04:24,360 尤其略微突破了一点点 96 00:04:24,360 --> 00:04:27,779 市场没有创新高就反转下跌了 97 00:04:27,779 --> 00:04:33,199 所以有时候末端骑行后的突破不会创新高新低 98 00:04:36,279 --> 00:04:37,500 跌破熊奇 99 00:04:37,500 --> 00:04:41,120 但是从更高的低点开始反转上涨 100 00:04:44,040 --> 00:04:45,439 上涨突破牛旗 101 00:04:47,680 --> 00:04:50,759 从更低的高点开始反转下跌 102 00:04:53,779 --> 00:04:54,800 两段上涨 103 00:04:54,800 --> 00:04:56,980 你可以说它是一个更大的雄奇 104 00:04:56,980 --> 00:04:58,180 然后被跌破 105 00:04:58,180 --> 00:05:01,420 但是空头突破被反转上涨 106 00:05:01,779 --> 00:05:03,399 它也是末端雄奇 107 00:05:03,399 --> 00:05:05,360 这个末端雄奇形成后 108 00:05:05,360 --> 00:05:06,620 价格创新低 109 00:05:06,620 --> 00:05:07,420 然后反转 110 00:05:07,420 --> 00:05:09,339 这是一个小的末端雄奇 111 00:05:09,339 --> 00:05:12,060 这里有一个更大的末端空头突破 112 00:05:12,060 --> 00:05:14,060 但没有创新低 113 00:05:14,569 --> 00:05:17,290 价格从更高的低点开始反转上涨 114 00:05:18,769 --> 00:05:22,449 它仍然是下降趋势中的末端骑行 115 00:05:27,779 --> 00:05:31,019 回到这个上涨趋势和三角形 116 00:05:33,100 --> 00:05:35,860 研究末端骑行的原因是 117 00:05:37,300 --> 00:05:39,899 趋势的末端骑行往往有一些特征 118 00:05:39,899 --> 00:05:44,379 可以帮助交易者预期突破失败并导致反转 119 00:05:46,000 --> 00:05:50,100 识别趋势中潜在的最后一个骑行是很重要的 120 00:05:50,100 --> 00:05:52,220 因为假如你在这里买入 121 00:05:52,220 --> 00:05:54,389 你应该快速止盈离场 122 00:05:54,389 --> 00:05:57,750 然后寻找反转做空的机会 123 00:06:01,319 --> 00:06:05,089 上涨趋势尝试加速突破通道的上沿 124 00:06:05,089 --> 00:06:07,670 也许市场涨的太快太猛了 125 00:06:07,670 --> 00:06:10,250 所以价格回调尝试反转 126 00:06:10,250 --> 00:06:12,250 第一次反转的尝试失败 127 00:06:12,250 --> 00:06:14,209 趋势恢复上涨 128 00:06:14,209 --> 00:06:16,850 然后再次尝试反转 129 00:06:17,170 --> 00:06:20,290 这个高点降低了高点降低的双顶大反转 130 00:06:20,290 --> 00:06:21,790 它变成了一个三角形 131 00:06:21,790 --> 00:06:23,389 并且向上突破 132 00:06:23,389 --> 00:06:25,490 所以这个顶部反转失败了 133 00:06:25,490 --> 00:06:28,129 然而在上涨趋势的后期 134 00:06:28,129 --> 00:06:29,528 每当一个顶部失败 135 00:06:29,528 --> 00:06:31,449 然后恢复上涨趋势时 136 00:06:31,449 --> 00:06:34,608 要做好再次尝试反转的准备 137 00:06:37,360 --> 00:06:42,490 上涨趋势线通过横盘的方式跌破了趋势线 138 00:06:42,810 --> 00:06:44,269 这警告了交易者 139 00:06:44,269 --> 00:06:46,589 如果趋势恢复上涨 140 00:06:46,589 --> 00:06:48,529 并测试前期的高点 141 00:06:48,529 --> 00:06:52,750 上涨趋势可能会失败并反转下跌 142 00:06:57,759 --> 00:07:01,220 所有的上涨趋势总是在某个阻力位结束 143 00:07:01,220 --> 00:07:05,350 如果在某个阻力位下方有一个水平的骑行 144 00:07:05,350 --> 00:07:09,149 那个骑行之后可能就是最后一段上涨了 145 00:07:09,149 --> 00:07:10,569 测试阻力位 146 00:07:10,569 --> 00:07:12,439 然后反转下跌 147 00:07:12,439 --> 00:07:13,740 正因如此 148 00:07:13,740 --> 00:07:17,399 寻找支撑和阻力总是最重要的 149 00:07:19,339 --> 00:07:21,279 可以看到一个明确的突破 150 00:07:21,279 --> 00:07:25,329 一看到突破就要考虑mm目标位 151 00:07:25,529 --> 00:07:27,329 价格突破了这个高点 152 00:07:27,329 --> 00:07:30,649 所以也许会上涨到某个从趋势的起涨点 153 00:07:30,649 --> 00:07:34,540 到这个突破点往上翻一倍 154 00:07:34,540 --> 00:07:38,319 然后观察当价格接近页面目标位的时候 155 00:07:38,319 --> 00:07:39,379 会有什么行为 156 00:07:39,379 --> 00:07:42,360 可以看到尝试上涨失败了 157 00:07:42,360 --> 00:07:43,620 多次尝试上涨 158 00:07:43,620 --> 00:07:46,319 但未能突破那个阻力区域 159 00:07:47,019 --> 00:07:49,259 而且就在阻力位下方 160 00:07:49,259 --> 00:07:51,009 在上涨趋势的后期 161 00:07:51,009 --> 00:07:53,129 有一个持续了很多K线的水平牛 162 00:07:53,129 --> 00:07:56,920 这些特征单向交易者要准备好做反转交易 163 00:07:56,920 --> 00:07:59,779 至少上涨趋势可能即将结束 164 00:07:59,779 --> 00:08:02,899 刚开始反转下跌的时候 165 00:08:03,300 --> 00:08:06,100 价格横盘震荡了大约20根K线 166 00:08:06,100 --> 00:08:10,689 所以最初末端牛起只是让上涨趋势结束 167 00:08:10,689 --> 00:08:11,790 然后形成震荡 168 00:08:11,790 --> 00:08:13,310 一旦进入震荡区间 169 00:08:13,310 --> 00:08:15,149 空投就有机会突破 170 00:08:15,149 --> 00:08:17,589 并且制造下跌的波段 171 00:08:23,779 --> 00:08:27,259 上涨趋势持续了20或更多K线之后的牛骑 172 00:08:27,259 --> 00:08:28,740 可能是末端牛企 173 00:08:28,740 --> 00:08:30,519 尝试超过mm目标位 174 00:08:30,519 --> 00:08:31,699 目标阻力位 175 00:08:31,699 --> 00:08:33,360 再看看这段上涨 176 00:08:33,360 --> 00:08:38,759 上涨回调上涨回调上涨三次向上的推动 177 00:08:38,759 --> 00:08:40,200 然后回调 178 00:08:40,200 --> 00:08:42,080 所以这是一个楔形顶 179 00:08:42,080 --> 00:08:44,279 也是大反转的结构 180 00:08:44,509 --> 00:08:46,429 增加了他是末端牛骑 181 00:08:46,429 --> 00:08:50,309 并且至少横盘或下跌几段的可能性 182 00:08:50,729 --> 00:08:52,589 也许是一回调 183 00:08:52,589 --> 00:08:54,668 二也许是一回调 184 00:08:54,668 --> 00:08:56,928 二或者一回调 185 00:08:56,928 --> 00:09:02,230 二交易者会预期某种形式的回调 186 00:09:02,230 --> 00:09:05,970 在阻力位附近有楔形顶反转结构 187 00:09:05,970 --> 00:09:07,960 有潜在的末端骑行 188 00:09:07,960 --> 00:09:10,779 上涨趋势大概率至少会停滞 189 00:09:10,779 --> 00:09:14,240 10~20根K线有可能会出现下跌的波段 190 00:09:18,899 --> 00:09:21,100 可以在这根阳线下方卖出吗 191 00:09:21,100 --> 00:09:22,059 我不会这么做 192 00:09:22,059 --> 00:09:24,600 这里有三四根不错的阳线 193 00:09:24,600 --> 00:09:27,059 我会在第二做空入场点开仓 194 00:09:27,059 --> 00:09:28,460 最好是在阴线的下面 195 00:09:28,460 --> 00:09:29,679 最小的这个十字星 196 00:09:29,679 --> 00:09:31,600 也许他有一点点看不清楚 197 00:09:31,600 --> 00:09:32,820 但他是一爱连续 198 00:09:32,820 --> 00:09:33,860 他在他的里面 199 00:09:33,860 --> 00:09:35,750 他又在他的里面 200 00:09:35,750 --> 00:09:38,509 在一个较小时间周期的K线图上 201 00:09:38,509 --> 00:09:39,669 这是一个小三角形 202 00:09:39,669 --> 00:09:43,549 而趋势后期的压抑结构通常会导致反转 203 00:09:43,769 --> 00:09:47,769 这也是mm目标位附近楔形的顶点 204 00:09:48,129 --> 00:09:49,629 所有的这些特征 205 00:09:49,629 --> 00:09:52,330 让交易者愿意在那个低点的下方卖出作品 206 00:09:52,330 --> 00:09:53,610 你可以清楚的看到 207 00:09:53,610 --> 00:09:55,990 当价格跌破爱的时候发生了什么 208 00:09:55,990 --> 00:09:57,750 价格先尝试上涨 209 00:09:57,750 --> 00:10:00,950 但立刻反转下跌变成很大很大的大势 210 00:10:00,950 --> 00:10:01,690 告诉你 211 00:10:01,690 --> 00:10:03,889 当价格跌破这个小运线的时候 212 00:10:03,889 --> 00:10:06,350 非常多的交易者卖出了 213 00:10:10,840 --> 00:10:12,120 一个上涨趋势 214 00:10:12,120 --> 00:10:15,700 后期的牛企存在几个特征 215 00:10:15,700 --> 00:10:19,039 会让交易者怀疑他可能是末端牛骑 216 00:10:19,320 --> 00:10:21,240 有一系列的抢购高潮 217 00:10:21,240 --> 00:10:22,519 这里的K线 218 00:10:22,519 --> 00:10:23,850 这根阳线 219 00:10:23,850 --> 00:10:25,169 这根大阳线 220 00:10:25,169 --> 00:10:26,610 这几根大阳线 221 00:10:26,610 --> 00:10:29,409 还有这些几乎没有回调 222 00:10:29,580 --> 00:10:31,399 当这种情况发生时 223 00:10:31,399 --> 00:10:34,899 两段10K回调的概率开始变高 224 00:10:36,539 --> 00:10:37,700 换句话说 225 00:10:37,700 --> 00:10:41,139 上涨趋势结束的可能性正在增加 226 00:10:43,100 --> 00:10:45,460 横盘的震荡区间刚开始 227 00:10:45,460 --> 00:10:46,519 这是牛骑 228 00:10:46,519 --> 00:10:47,500 是回调 229 00:10:47,500 --> 00:10:50,620 当它发展个时时20根K线时 230 00:10:50,620 --> 00:10:52,779 交易者不再说他是回调 231 00:10:52,779 --> 00:10:53,980 而是称之为震荡 232 00:10:53,980 --> 00:10:57,259 回调这个词意味着交易者相信上涨趋势会 233 00:10:57,259 --> 00:11:00,429 然而当回调持续超过20根K线反转 234 00:11:00,429 --> 00:11:04,350 下跌的概率就变得和恢复上涨的概率一样高 235 00:11:05,779 --> 00:11:09,980 所以在上涨趋势的后期发展成震荡区间的回调 236 00:11:09,980 --> 00:11:11,950 增加了反转的概率 237 00:11:11,950 --> 00:11:15,789 有时可能直接从这个高点降低的双顶反转 238 00:11:15,789 --> 00:11:16,509 下跌了 239 00:11:16,509 --> 00:11:18,690 有时他会先向上突破 240 00:11:18,690 --> 00:11:20,950 然后反转下跌 241 00:11:23,000 --> 00:11:25,639 一定要关注支撑和阻力 242 00:11:26,080 --> 00:11:28,080 这里市场多次尝试上涨 243 00:11:28,080 --> 00:11:28,919 突破阻力 244 00:11:28,919 --> 00:11:30,879 但一直失败 245 00:11:36,480 --> 00:11:37,980 在趋势的后期 246 00:11:37,980 --> 00:11:39,759 即趋势持续了20或更多 247 00:11:39,759 --> 00:11:41,720 尤其是有一系列的抢购高潮 248 00:11:41,720 --> 00:11:43,840 且几乎没有回调 249 00:11:44,059 --> 00:11:46,669 趋势很可能即将结束 250 00:11:47,029 --> 00:11:48,730 要么变成震荡区间 251 00:11:48,730 --> 00:11:50,710 要么反转 252 00:11:56,720 --> 00:11:58,480 回调不断的发展 253 00:11:58,480 --> 00:12:00,440 它仍然是牛骑 254 00:12:00,440 --> 00:12:03,419 但在这个时候我会说它是震荡区间 255 00:12:03,419 --> 00:12:04,240 这意味着 256 00:12:04,240 --> 00:12:08,840 反转下跌的概率与恢复上涨的概率大致相同 257 00:12:10,139 --> 00:12:12,259 因为市场横盘了很多根K线 258 00:12:13,620 --> 00:12:17,860 空头和多头在很多K线上力量一样强大 259 00:12:18,750 --> 00:12:21,500 这意味着存在一个共识区域 260 00:12:21,500 --> 00:12:24,720 多空双方都认为这是一个公平的价格 261 00:12:24,720 --> 00:12:26,799 如果它低于公平价格 262 00:12:26,799 --> 00:12:28,839 空投就不太愿意卖出 263 00:12:28,839 --> 00:12:30,818 而多头会急切的买入 264 00:12:30,818 --> 00:12:32,639 于是市场回到公平价格 265 00:12:32,639 --> 00:12:34,078 如果高于公平价格 266 00:12:34,078 --> 00:12:35,798 多头就不太愿意买入 267 00:12:35,798 --> 00:12:37,860 而空头会急切的卖出 268 00:12:37,860 --> 00:12:40,179 所以价格会回到震荡区间 269 00:12:40,179 --> 00:12:43,980 震荡区间具有磁力吸引力 270 00:12:45,740 --> 00:12:50,340 磁力吸引增加了突破向上或向下失败的概率 271 00:12:52,179 --> 00:12:54,220 记住我的80%法则 272 00:12:54,220 --> 00:12:58,259 震荡区间80%的突破尝试会失败 273 00:13:02,080 --> 00:13:05,068 市场迅速达到mm目标位 274 00:13:05,349 --> 00:13:06,729 这足够强势 275 00:13:06,729 --> 00:13:09,269 可以预期至少会有小的第二段上场 276 00:13:09,269 --> 00:13:15,948 可能是他他或者他市场被吸到mm目标位 277 00:13:16,950 --> 00:13:18,389 突破三角形失败 278 00:13:19,389 --> 00:13:21,169 市场强势的反转下跌 279 00:13:21,169 --> 00:13:22,870 这里也是 280 00:13:25,240 --> 00:13:27,120 这是一个常见的顺序 281 00:13:27,120 --> 00:13:30,159 一趋势持续了20或更多K线 282 00:13:30,159 --> 00:13:32,159 二就在阻力位的下方 283 00:13:32,159 --> 00:13:35,879 形成了高粱牛鳍及双底牛旗或窄震荡区间 284 00:13:35,879 --> 00:13:37,259 区间或三角形 285 00:13:37,259 --> 00:13:41,210 这通常是末端牛骑三突破阻力位的尝试 286 00:13:41,210 --> 00:13:43,110 很可能会失败趋势 287 00:13:43,110 --> 00:13:44,730 然后变成震荡区间 288 00:13:44,730 --> 00:13:47,029 甚至反转下跌 289 00:13:49,960 --> 00:13:53,779 下降趋势你可以在这里画一条趋势线 290 00:13:53,779 --> 00:13:55,879 趋势线被多头突破 291 00:13:55,879 --> 00:13:57,600 测试均线 292 00:13:58,119 --> 00:14:00,739 这里多头制造了连续五根阳线 293 00:14:00,739 --> 00:14:02,570 远远突破了趋势线 294 00:14:02,570 --> 00:14:05,809 你必须思考多头是否已经足够强大 295 00:14:05,809 --> 00:14:07,169 如果再次下跌 296 00:14:07,169 --> 00:14:10,370 很可能是最后一段下跌之后 297 00:14:10,370 --> 00:14:12,629 多头可能会掌控局面 298 00:14:13,220 --> 00:14:15,360 因为左边的下降通道很窄 299 00:14:15,360 --> 00:14:16,779 所以这大概率是一 300 00:14:16,779 --> 00:14:19,299 所以这段上涨大概率是熊奇 301 00:14:19,299 --> 00:14:22,259 至少会去测试前期的低点 302 00:14:26,779 --> 00:14:28,139 空头突破很强 303 00:14:28,139 --> 00:14:30,539 预期至少会有第二段下跌反弹 304 00:14:30,539 --> 00:14:32,539 第二段下跌 305 00:14:34,519 --> 00:14:35,360 突破 306 00:14:35,360 --> 00:14:39,039 所以从趋势的起点到突破点往下翻译 307 00:14:39,039 --> 00:14:41,019 被寻找mm目标位 308 00:14:41,019 --> 00:14:42,220 那里是支撑 309 00:14:42,220 --> 00:14:44,259 会有买盘出现 310 00:14:44,419 --> 00:14:45,600 空头止盈 311 00:14:45,600 --> 00:14:47,220 多头开始买入 312 00:14:47,220 --> 00:14:50,220 价格被迅速的吸到支撑位 313 00:14:51,299 --> 00:14:54,320 虽然大多数支撑无法阻止下降趋势 314 00:14:54,320 --> 00:14:58,059 但每个下降趋势都在某个支撑位结束 315 00:15:01,039 --> 00:15:02,559 这是小反转 316 00:15:02,559 --> 00:15:04,960 这不是低点降低的大反转 317 00:15:06,120 --> 00:15:09,570 这不是一个明显的楔形底小反转 318 00:15:09,570 --> 00:15:12,330 这意味着它更有可能会变成雄奇 319 00:15:12,330 --> 00:15:14,830 或者就算没有继续下跌 320 00:15:14,830 --> 00:15:17,190 也只是变成震荡区间 321 00:15:17,549 --> 00:15:19,870 空头尝试恢复下降趋势 322 00:15:19,870 --> 00:15:21,409 但没有持续多久 323 00:15:21,409 --> 00:15:23,899 市场最终进入震荡区间 324 00:15:23,899 --> 00:15:27,220 形成了低点抬高的大反转结构 325 00:15:27,679 --> 00:15:31,080 然后反转进入上涨趋势 326 00:15:32,309 --> 00:15:34,470 下降趋势持续了20或更多 327 00:15:34,470 --> 00:15:36,429 K线出现了楔形雄起 328 00:15:36,429 --> 00:15:39,029 并且下方有一个支撑位 329 00:15:39,909 --> 00:15:41,769 在强势的空投突破后 330 00:15:41,769 --> 00:15:43,029 大概率会有第二段 331 00:15:43,029 --> 00:15:45,220 但不一定会有第三或第四段 332 00:15:45,220 --> 00:15:49,179 所以这可能就是下降趋势的最后一段下跌 333 00:15:49,179 --> 00:15:51,019 这可能是末端雄奇 334 00:15:51,019 --> 00:15:53,860 下降趋势中的最后一个雄奇 335 00:15:57,080 --> 00:15:58,679 尝试反转上涨 336 00:15:58,679 --> 00:16:00,639 但左边是连根大阴线 337 00:16:00,639 --> 00:16:02,159 做多信号K很弱 338 00:16:02,159 --> 00:16:04,450 很可能只是小反转 339 00:16:04,450 --> 00:16:07,789 现在第二次尝试从支撑位反转上涨 340 00:16:07,789 --> 00:16:10,669 左边是潜在的末端骑行 341 00:16:10,950 --> 00:16:12,610 这是一个合理的买点 342 00:16:12,610 --> 00:16:15,029 多头预期至少一个上涨波段 343 00:16:15,029 --> 00:16:17,200 很可能会有两段上涨 344 00:16:17,200 --> 00:16:19,679 你可以说它是低点降低的大反转 345 00:16:21,080 --> 00:16:24,720 然而在如此剧烈的抛售之后 346 00:16:25,299 --> 00:16:27,559 第一次更有可能只是小反转 347 00:16:27,559 --> 00:16:29,159 这意味着会有一个深 348 00:16:29,159 --> 00:16:30,679 然后变成震荡区间 349 00:16:30,679 --> 00:16:32,860 而不是直接上涨 350 00:16:38,980 --> 00:16:42,039 如果一个雄奇正好处于支撑位的上方 351 00:16:42,039 --> 00:16:43,659 比如MM目标位 352 00:16:43,659 --> 00:16:46,860 那么他更有可能是末端雄奇 353 00:16:49,100 --> 00:16:51,059 如果有一系列的抛售高潮 354 00:16:51,059 --> 00:16:53,779 换句话说即将衰竭的趋势 355 00:16:53,779 --> 00:16:56,240 空头会停止卖出 356 00:17:00,059 --> 00:17:02,240 如果在十或20根K线后 357 00:17:02,240 --> 00:17:04,019 多头无法反转市场 358 00:17:04,019 --> 00:17:06,180 这时空投会再次入场做空 359 00:17:06,180 --> 00:17:08,079 在一系列的抛售高潮之后 360 00:17:08,079 --> 00:17:10,380 很多时候空投会停止卖出 361 00:17:10,380 --> 00:17:12,000 他们会先止盈离场 362 00:17:12,000 --> 00:17:16,339 然后看看多头能做什么趋势 363 00:17:16,339 --> 00:17:19,960 后期20根或更多K线没有太多反弹 364 00:17:19,960 --> 00:17:21,299 如果出现反弹 365 00:17:21,299 --> 00:17:24,710 那可能是下降趋势中的末端雄奇 366 00:17:25,109 --> 00:17:28,250 末端雄奇通常是横向的小震荡区间 367 00:17:28,250 --> 00:17:31,549 但有时候是这样的一个楔形雄奇 368 00:17:36,980 --> 00:17:38,920 强势的空头突破 369 00:17:38,920 --> 00:17:41,299 预期至少有小的第二段下跌 370 00:17:41,299 --> 00:17:43,259 也许这里就是第二段下跌 371 00:17:43,259 --> 00:17:44,400 也许是这里 372 00:17:44,400 --> 00:17:46,799 也许一直到这里 373 00:17:49,119 --> 00:17:53,319 下降趋势非常强势的突破了下降趋势线 374 00:17:53,480 --> 00:17:56,200 下降趋势持续了20根或更多K线 375 00:17:56,200 --> 00:17:58,920 这里是D2D1D二 376 00:17:59,670 --> 00:18:01,869 也可以说他是双顶雄奇 377 00:18:01,869 --> 00:18:04,509 是第二做空入场点 378 00:18:05,430 --> 00:18:08,789 所以在下降趋势持续了20或更多K线后 379 00:18:08,789 --> 00:18:11,349 市场进入了某种水平的震荡区间 380 00:18:12,430 --> 00:18:14,109 抛售停止了 381 00:18:14,920 --> 00:18:17,000 多空双方的力量正在变得平和 382 00:18:17,000 --> 00:18:18,839 多头正在变得和空投一样近 383 00:18:18,839 --> 00:18:22,019 因此如果下降趋势恢复恢复 384 00:18:22,019 --> 00:18:23,119 有可能会失败 385 00:18:23,119 --> 00:18:25,750 多头将更加迫切的买入 386 00:18:25,910 --> 00:18:28,390 如果之前多头愿意在这里买入 387 00:18:28,390 --> 00:18:30,650 那么当价格跌得更低的时候 388 00:18:30,650 --> 00:18:32,679 多头会更加迫切的买入 389 00:18:32,679 --> 00:18:36,519 就像他们在这里和这里所做的那样嗯 390 00:18:38,319 --> 00:18:42,359 支撑三角形震荡区间被跌破 391 00:18:43,150 --> 00:18:45,869 这是下方的mm目标位 392 00:18:46,589 --> 00:18:49,809 又一个低两第一第二 393 00:18:49,809 --> 00:18:51,789 双顶雄奇 394 00:18:53,460 --> 00:18:56,059 你也可以说它是低点降低的大反转 395 00:18:57,460 --> 00:18:58,099 这里 396 00:18:58,099 --> 00:19:01,319 然后这里这是多头的第二次尝试 397 00:19:01,319 --> 00:19:04,039 尝试在这里反转上涨这个低点 398 00:19:04,039 --> 00:19:06,599 然后价格在这里更强势的反转上涨 399 00:19:06,599 --> 00:19:08,359 多头会在那个阳线上方买入 400 00:19:08,359 --> 00:19:10,480 一些交易者会在这根K线上方买 401 00:19:10,480 --> 00:19:12,529 尽管左边是连续四根阴线 402 00:19:12,529 --> 00:19:13,809 尤其这根大阴线 403 00:19:13,809 --> 00:19:16,509 大多交易者不会在第一次上涨时买入 404 00:19:16,509 --> 00:19:18,170 他们会等待第二买点 405 00:19:18,170 --> 00:19:19,799 等待小双底 406 00:19:19,799 --> 00:19:21,559 你也可以说它是三推 407 00:19:21,559 --> 00:19:23,819 依次向下推动一二 408 00:19:23,819 --> 00:19:27,400 第三推可以细分成两段更小的下跌 409 00:19:28,640 --> 00:19:31,140 多头预期空投的突破会失败 410 00:19:31,140 --> 00:19:33,759 就像他在前面这里和这里失败一样 411 00:19:33,759 --> 00:19:35,619 空投再次尝试跌破 412 00:19:35,619 --> 00:19:37,259 但是被暴利的反转了 413 00:19:37,259 --> 00:19:38,359 多头会买入 414 00:19:38,359 --> 00:19:40,259 预期至少有几段上涨 415 00:19:40,259 --> 00:19:45,710 一回调二或者一回调二 416 00:19:48,900 --> 00:19:51,980 这节课我介绍了末端骑行的定义 417 00:19:51,980 --> 00:19:54,180 并展示了几个案例 418 00:19:58,759 --> 00:20:00,119 我是阿尔布鲁克斯 419 00:20:00,119 --> 00:20:02,299 感谢观看布鲁克斯交易课程 420 00:20:02,299 --> 00:20:05,519 末端骑行的第一节课就先讲到这里
评论采集失败
采集完成，该视频无弹幕