BV1k3RzBSEst · 浑水摸鱼清源1 00:00:02,080 --> 00:00:04,379 欢迎观看布鲁克斯交易课程 2 00:00:04,379 --> 00:00:06,280 这是大反转的第四节课 3 00:00:06,280 --> 00:00:08,679 也是最后一节课 4 00:00:11,679 --> 00:00:14,599 首先我会讲解大反转的底部 5 00:00:15,320 --> 00:00:18,280 然后我会讲头肩顶和头肩顶 6 00:00:19,670 --> 00:00:22,149 最后大反转经常失败 7 00:00:22,149 --> 00:00:24,910 我会谈一谈失败的反转 8 00:00:27,859 --> 00:00:29,679 这里有一个上涨趋势 9 00:00:29,679 --> 00:00:31,559 然后是一个相当不错的线 10 00:00:31,559 --> 00:00:32,799 画一条趋势线 11 00:00:32,799 --> 00:00:33,460 差不多 12 00:00:33,460 --> 00:00:39,020 在这里我需要看到的第一件事是突破趋势线 13 00:00:39,020 --> 00:00:42,119 我喜欢看到强势的突破 14 00:00:42,529 --> 00:00:45,759 比如5~10根K线反弹到均线 15 00:00:45,759 --> 00:00:48,259 如果制造了缺口K线就更好了 16 00:00:48,259 --> 00:00:50,240 有一根K线完全在均线上 17 00:00:50,240 --> 00:00:52,119 这意味着多头足够强大 18 00:00:52,119 --> 00:00:55,170 可以把K线完全放在均线上方 19 00:00:55,170 --> 00:00:56,789 这是多头强势的信号 20 00:00:56,789 --> 00:00:59,969 通常下一次下跌是最后一段下跌 21 00:01:00,250 --> 00:01:03,530 然后多头会尝试制造大反转 22 00:01:05,319 --> 00:01:07,680 上涨突破下降趋势线 23 00:01:07,680 --> 00:01:09,519 这让交易者认为 24 00:01:09,519 --> 00:01:11,040 下降趋势可能正 25 00:01:11,040 --> 00:01:14,219 可能会变成震荡区间或上涨趋势 26 00:01:16,239 --> 00:01:19,719 接下来你希望反弹碰到均线 27 00:01:21,739 --> 00:01:24,019 你希望反弹展示出买压的信号 28 00:01:24,019 --> 00:01:25,299 比如大阳线 29 00:01:25,299 --> 00:01:27,219 你希望它碰到均线 30 00:01:27,219 --> 00:01:30,329 你希望它远远超过趋势线 31 00:01:32,620 --> 00:01:35,599 最好回调能持续十根K线左右 32 00:01:35,599 --> 00:01:37,040 有时会更多 33 00:01:37,040 --> 00:01:39,019 有时少一些 34 00:01:39,840 --> 00:01:43,049 并不一定要连续的大阳线收在最高 35 00:01:43,049 --> 00:01:45,290 当然有的话更好 36 00:01:45,290 --> 00:01:48,170 这里有一根大阳线跟随不好 37 00:01:48,170 --> 00:01:52,584 然后另一根大阳线收盘在均线的上方 38 00:01:55,379 --> 00:01:57,299 这个反弹的买压非常不错 39 00:01:58,700 --> 00:02:02,269 下降趋势趋势线不必完美 40 00:02:02,269 --> 00:02:04,349 这是一条大致的趋势线 41 00:02:04,349 --> 00:02:06,829 突破连续三根阳线 42 00:02:06,829 --> 00:02:08,310 一根收在最高 43 00:02:08,310 --> 00:02:10,110 另外两根也收在高位 44 00:02:10,110 --> 00:02:11,830 非常好的买压 45 00:02:13,069 --> 00:02:14,710 尽管只有三根K线 46 00:02:14,710 --> 00:02:15,689 而不是十根 47 00:02:15,689 --> 00:02:17,830 但买压非常好 48 00:02:18,550 --> 00:02:20,750 这通常足以让交易者思考 49 00:02:20,750 --> 00:02:23,110 如果下降趋势恢复 50 00:02:23,539 --> 00:02:25,560 空投的恢复会失败吗 51 00:02:25,560 --> 00:02:28,139 是否只是测试前期的低点 52 00:02:28,139 --> 00:02:30,580 然后市场再次反转上涨 53 00:02:30,580 --> 00:02:32,340 这里反转上涨了 54 00:02:32,340 --> 00:02:34,180 第一次上涨是小反转 55 00:02:34,180 --> 00:02:36,080 通常会进入震荡区间 56 00:02:36,080 --> 00:02:41,330 然而第二次上涨通常可以变成波段交易的机会 57 00:02:42,860 --> 00:02:44,280 突破下降通道 58 00:02:44,280 --> 00:02:46,719 如果是十根K线更好 59 00:02:46,919 --> 00:02:50,960 或者有二三或四根非常强势的大阳线也可以 60 00:02:50,960 --> 00:02:53,759 这就足以证明多头足够强大 61 00:02:53,759 --> 00:02:55,439 可以掌控局面 62 00:02:55,439 --> 00:02:57,400 空头尝试再次下跌 63 00:02:57,400 --> 00:02:59,960 但他们又失败了 64 00:03:05,740 --> 00:03:07,289 看看这根K线 65 00:03:07,289 --> 00:03:10,050 K线的最低点在均线上方 66 00:03:10,050 --> 00:03:11,889 它是均线缺口K线 67 00:03:11,889 --> 00:03:14,110 这表明多头足够强大 68 00:03:14,110 --> 00:03:16,610 可以将K线完全放在均线上方 69 00:03:16,610 --> 00:03:18,330 这是多头强势的信号 70 00:03:18,330 --> 00:03:20,310 后面如果下跌 71 00:03:20,669 --> 00:03:23,229 往往是大反转之前的最后一段下跌 72 00:03:24,469 --> 00:03:27,310 当你看到这种非常强势的反弹 73 00:03:28,069 --> 00:03:30,090 你应该关注接下来的下跌 74 00:03:30,090 --> 00:03:32,449 并寻找反转上涨的机会 75 00:03:32,449 --> 00:03:35,069 如果从一个更高的低点开始上涨 76 00:03:35,069 --> 00:03:36,210 那就是低点 77 00:03:36,210 --> 00:03:38,550 如果正好从前期低点开始上涨 78 00:03:38,550 --> 00:03:40,490 那就是完美的双底大反转 79 00:03:40,490 --> 00:03:42,889 如果从一个更低的低点开始上涨 80 00:03:42,889 --> 00:03:45,909 那就是低点降低的大反转 81 00:03:49,400 --> 00:03:53,639 均线缺口K线之后的下跌往往是最后一段下跌 82 00:03:53,639 --> 00:03:57,319 在下降趋势恢复后寻找反转上涨的机会 83 00:03:57,319 --> 00:04:00,259 下降趋势恢复寻找反转上涨的机会 84 00:04:00,259 --> 00:04:03,050 第二做多入场点在两根大阴线之后 85 00:04:03,050 --> 00:04:05,409 最好不要在一个弱的十字星上方买 86 00:04:05,409 --> 00:04:07,069 反转成功的可能性不高 87 00:04:07,069 --> 00:04:08,710 大概率只是小反转 88 00:04:08,710 --> 00:04:11,139 但是当你看到第二做多入场点 89 00:04:11,139 --> 00:04:12,219 并且低点抬高 90 00:04:12,219 --> 00:04:14,939 它和多头突破的起涨点组成了双底 91 00:04:14,939 --> 00:04:17,720 这个低点和那个低点组成双 92 00:04:17,720 --> 00:04:19,399 这是一个合理的做多机会 93 00:04:19,399 --> 00:04:22,240 可能是低点抬高的大反转 94 00:04:22,439 --> 00:04:26,279 你在这个做多信号K的上方挂突破买单 95 00:04:26,689 --> 00:04:29,730 订单会在这根K线上成交 96 00:04:31,060 --> 00:04:33,420 下降趋势可以画一条趋势线 97 00:04:33,420 --> 00:04:34,980 反转下跌反转 98 00:04:34,980 --> 00:04:36,860 下跌可以画一条趋势线 99 00:04:36,860 --> 00:04:38,439 趋势线被突破了 100 00:04:38,439 --> 00:04:41,060 我可以在这里画一条更窄的趋势线 101 00:04:41,060 --> 00:04:43,319 这也是一次突破都可以 102 00:04:43,319 --> 00:04:46,439 这里反弹持续了6~7根K线 103 00:04:46,439 --> 00:04:48,620 并且有均线缺口K线 104 00:04:48,620 --> 00:04:50,730 当看到这个缺口K线时 105 00:04:50,730 --> 00:04:53,129 交易者会关注接下来的下跌 106 00:04:53,129 --> 00:04:56,290 市场会在前期低点附近反转吗 107 00:04:59,339 --> 00:05:03,720 均线缺口K线市场通常会进入震荡区间 108 00:05:03,720 --> 00:05:05,860 甚至相反的趋势 109 00:05:09,439 --> 00:05:12,300 你可以说这是一个低点降低的大反转 110 00:05:12,300 --> 00:05:13,879 并不是特别理想的机会 111 00:05:13,879 --> 00:05:15,339 当下降通道这么窄 112 00:05:15,339 --> 00:05:17,050 几乎没有买压 113 00:05:17,050 --> 00:05:18,589 几乎没什么阳线 114 00:05:18,589 --> 00:05:20,810 通常反转上涨不会走的很远 115 00:05:21,889 --> 00:05:23,029 只是小反弹 116 00:05:23,029 --> 00:05:25,410 然后进入震荡区间 117 00:05:26,160 --> 00:05:28,120 然而一旦出现震动 118 00:05:28,120 --> 00:05:30,519 就可以再次尝试大反转 119 00:05:31,870 --> 00:05:34,050 你也可以说这是一个楔形底 120 00:05:34,050 --> 00:05:37,459 123楔形是一个通道 121 00:05:37,459 --> 00:05:39,879 我可以连接这些低点画一条线头 122 00:05:39,879 --> 00:05:41,759 尝试加速跌破通道 123 00:05:41,759 --> 00:05:44,560 75%的概率会反转上涨 124 00:05:44,560 --> 00:05:47,560 这也是跌破这个低五根K线之内反转注 125 00:05:47,560 --> 00:05:50,060 或者说多头第二次尝试 126 00:05:50,060 --> 00:05:52,178 但是有一下方向上反转注 127 00:05:52,178 --> 00:05:53,298 第一次尝试反转 128 00:05:53,298 --> 00:05:56,358 现在再次尝试反转上另一种理解的方式 129 00:05:56,358 --> 00:05:59,478 第二次尝试突破一个更高概率的做多信号 130 00:05:59,478 --> 00:06:00,298 双K反转 131 00:06:00,298 --> 00:06:01,350 漂亮的阳线 132 00:06:01,350 --> 00:06:02,829 这是一个合理的买点 133 00:06:02,829 --> 00:06:05,189 这会是一个大反转吗 134 00:06:05,519 --> 00:06:06,420 不一定 135 00:06:06,420 --> 00:06:08,519 因为这个下跌的通道太窄了 136 00:06:08,519 --> 00:06:10,970 然而这是一次合理的尝试 137 00:06:10,970 --> 00:06:12,170 这个反弹有六 138 00:06:12,170 --> 00:06:14,560 而且已经达到了至少两血的亏 139 00:06:14,560 --> 00:06:15,639 也制造了缺口 140 00:06:15,639 --> 00:06:18,160 K线如果下降趋势再次恢复 141 00:06:18,160 --> 00:06:21,490 多头很可能会继续尝试大反转 142 00:06:21,810 --> 00:06:24,790 例如这里低点抬高的大反转 143 00:06:24,790 --> 00:06:27,310 测试了之前这个做多信号K 144 00:06:27,310 --> 00:06:29,269 然后很不错的反转上涨 145 00:06:29,269 --> 00:06:30,790 第二次尝试反转 146 00:06:30,790 --> 00:06:33,029 多头在这根K线上方买入 147 00:06:33,029 --> 00:06:35,038 强势再次回到这个价格 148 00:06:35,038 --> 00:06:37,199 他们再次买入 149 00:06:37,519 --> 00:06:39,319 这是一个大反转的案例 150 00:06:40,319 --> 00:06:41,980 最终变成震荡区间 151 00:06:41,980 --> 00:06:44,360 而不是上涨趋势 152 00:06:46,259 --> 00:06:47,279 请记住 153 00:06:47,279 --> 00:06:49,959 大反转机会只有40%的概率 154 00:06:49,959 --> 00:06:51,160 变成波段交易 155 00:06:51,160 --> 00:06:54,339 60%的时候都是小赚小亏 156 00:06:54,858 --> 00:06:57,019 在这60%的交易中 157 00:06:57,019 --> 00:07:00,350 通常最后的输赢互相抵消打平 158 00:07:00,350 --> 00:07:01,610 有一些小亏 159 00:07:01,610 --> 00:07:02,829 有一些小赚 160 00:07:02,829 --> 00:07:05,269 他们互相抵消了 161 00:07:06,699 --> 00:07:09,439 所以你需要那40%的波段交易 162 00:07:09,439 --> 00:07:11,899 这样总体才能盈利 163 00:07:16,519 --> 00:07:18,279 每当看到下降趋势 164 00:07:18,279 --> 00:07:20,040 你应该画好趋势线 165 00:07:20,040 --> 00:07:23,158 趋势线被突破就是一种提醒 166 00:07:23,158 --> 00:07:25,598 如果下降趋势尝试恢复 167 00:07:25,598 --> 00:07:28,319 那有可能就是最后一段下跌 168 00:07:29,290 --> 00:07:31,930 下降趋势画一条线 169 00:07:35,560 --> 00:07:37,269 这是一个大反转吗 170 00:07:37,269 --> 00:07:38,389 这个是吗 171 00:07:38,389 --> 00:07:40,350 不是没有什么买压 172 00:07:40,350 --> 00:07:42,149 大概率只是小反转 173 00:07:42,149 --> 00:07:45,389 也就是雄奇或震荡区间 174 00:07:47,540 --> 00:07:50,620 这个抬高的低点并不重要 175 00:07:51,220 --> 00:07:52,220 再次下跌 176 00:07:52,220 --> 00:07:53,019 再画一条线 177 00:07:54,019 --> 00:07:56,439 有足够的K线制造大反转吗 178 00:07:56,439 --> 00:07:59,870 没有很可能又是一个小反弹 179 00:07:59,870 --> 00:08:05,259 所以下一个低点仍然无法形成大反转 180 00:08:05,728 --> 00:08:09,288 你可以说这些东西都突破了下降趋势线 181 00:08:09,288 --> 00:08:10,329 确实如此 182 00:08:11,689 --> 00:08:15,939 然而这是一个非常窄的下降通道和后面这个窄 183 00:08:15,939 --> 00:08:17,738 对于下降通道而言 184 00:08:17,738 --> 00:08:20,500 通常第一次上涨都只是小反弹 185 00:08:20,500 --> 00:08:23,439 下降趋势会恢复非常窄的下降通道 186 00:08:23,439 --> 00:08:24,480 小反弹 187 00:08:24,480 --> 00:08:26,019 下降趋势恢复 188 00:08:26,019 --> 00:08:29,100 最后市场进入横向的盘整 189 00:08:32,480 --> 00:08:34,340 低点降低的大反转 190 00:08:34,340 --> 00:08:36,860 下降趋势突破趋势线 191 00:08:36,860 --> 00:08:38,279 下降趋势恢复 192 00:08:38,279 --> 00:08:39,980 然后再次反转上涨 193 00:08:39,980 --> 00:08:41,538 但下降通道很窄 194 00:08:41,679 --> 00:08:42,759 没有什么买压 195 00:08:44,360 --> 00:08:45,440 阳线的数量不多 196 00:08:45,440 --> 00:08:48,099 很可能只是小反弹 197 00:08:48,578 --> 00:08:51,739 然后变成震荡区间或熊奇 198 00:08:54,039 --> 00:08:57,049 反转下跌再画一条线 199 00:08:57,289 --> 00:09:00,889 价格突破了趋势线和均线还有缺口 200 00:09:00,889 --> 00:09:03,370 所以当市场跌到前期低点时 201 00:09:03,370 --> 00:09:06,484 寻找潜在的大反转的机会 202 00:09:08,320 --> 00:09:11,500 均线缺口K线是多头强势的信号 203 00:09:11,500 --> 00:09:13,120 几根阳线收在最高 204 00:09:13,120 --> 00:09:15,539 是多头强势的信号 205 00:09:15,779 --> 00:09:19,230 多头对市场的掌控持续了八根K线左右 206 00:09:19,230 --> 00:09:20,309 这还是不错的 207 00:09:20,309 --> 00:09:22,470 也许他们能够阻止下降趋势 208 00:09:22,470 --> 00:09:25,159 把下降趋势转变为震荡区间 209 00:09:25,159 --> 00:09:27,269 甚至上涨趋势 210 00:09:27,590 --> 00:09:29,809 当你看到下降趋势恢复时 211 00:09:29,809 --> 00:09:34,350 也许下一次反转上涨的尝试会变成大反转 212 00:09:35,470 --> 00:09:36,710 和刚才一样 213 00:09:36,710 --> 00:09:38,450 低点降低的大反转 214 00:09:38,450 --> 00:09:41,250 但是下降通过中没有什么阳线 215 00:09:41,250 --> 00:09:42,429 大概率 216 00:09:42,429 --> 00:09:44,595 这也只是一次小反转 217 00:09:45,070 --> 00:09:47,250 变成震荡区间深度的回调 218 00:09:47,250 --> 00:09:48,750 反弹 219 00:09:50,759 --> 00:09:52,460 你可以重复这个过程 220 00:09:52,460 --> 00:09:54,279 画一条新的下降趋势线 221 00:09:55,279 --> 00:09:57,600 下降趋势线被突破 222 00:09:57,720 --> 00:09:59,759 这里有一系列的均线缺口 223 00:09:59,759 --> 00:10:01,159 K线再次下跌之后 224 00:10:01,159 --> 00:10:04,159 很可能会再次尝试大反转 225 00:10:07,039 --> 00:10:07,799 确实如此 226 00:10:07,799 --> 00:10:09,799 你可以在这里买入 227 00:10:16,720 --> 00:10:18,399 下降趋势正在恢复 228 00:10:18,399 --> 00:10:20,600 下降趋势尝试反转 229 00:10:20,600 --> 00:10:22,059 下降趋势恢复 230 00:10:22,059 --> 00:10:23,899 测试初始入场价格 231 00:10:23,899 --> 00:10:27,259 以及测试这个低点之后再次反转上涨 232 00:10:27,259 --> 00:10:28,750 这是合理的买点 233 00:10:28,750 --> 00:10:30,450 潜在的大反转机会 234 00:10:30,450 --> 00:10:34,578 然而最终只是以震荡的方式结束下降趋势 235 00:10:34,778 --> 00:10:37,818 并没有顺利的变成上涨趋势 236 00:10:38,019 --> 00:10:39,038 请记住 237 00:10:39,038 --> 00:10:41,798 大反转只有40%的成功率 238 00:10:41,798 --> 00:10:44,938 可以形成上涨的波段或趋势 239 00:10:53,899 --> 00:10:56,259 每当看到低点降低的大反转 240 00:10:56,259 --> 00:10:58,409 或是双底大反转的机会 241 00:10:58,409 --> 00:11:00,730 你期待的是至少两段上涨 242 00:11:00,730 --> 00:11:02,029 一回调 243 00:11:02,029 --> 00:11:06,129 因此二这个回调是低点抬高的大反转 244 00:11:06,419 --> 00:11:08,600 如果是低点抬高的大反转 245 00:11:08,600 --> 00:11:10,850 你只能期待一段上涨 246 00:11:10,850 --> 00:11:13,409 因为之前已经有一段上涨了 247 00:11:13,409 --> 00:11:16,250 反转低点第一段上涨是第一段上涨 248 00:11:16,250 --> 00:11:17,940 这就是最上涨 249 00:11:18,139 --> 00:11:20,399 如果是低点降低的大反转 250 00:11:20,399 --> 00:11:22,440 你期待的是两段上涨 251 00:11:22,440 --> 00:11:24,919 如果是低点抬高的大反转 252 00:11:24,919 --> 00:11:26,820 可能只剩一段上涨了 253 00:11:26,820 --> 00:11:30,120 所以你必须做好如何止盈的决策 254 00:11:33,720 --> 00:11:35,940 我想稍微讲一下头肩结构 255 00:11:35,940 --> 00:11:38,519 注在第27章节的两节课 256 00:11:38,519 --> 00:11:40,840 会更详细的讲解上涨趋势 257 00:11:40,840 --> 00:11:41,960 画一条趋势线 258 00:11:41,960 --> 00:11:44,700 也可以那样画一条趋势线 259 00:11:46,919 --> 00:11:49,500 这里是高点降低的大反转结构 260 00:11:49,500 --> 00:11:51,940 这里是高点抬高的大反转结构 261 00:11:51,940 --> 00:11:55,000 每个头肩顶先是高点抬高的大反转 262 00:11:55,000 --> 00:11:55,899 左肩头 263 00:11:57,658 --> 00:11:59,879 然后是高点降低的大反转 264 00:11:59,879 --> 00:12:00,719 头右肩 265 00:12:00,719 --> 00:12:03,359 不管你叫他头肩顶还是大反转 266 00:12:03,359 --> 00:12:05,778 每当你看到头肩顶的结构 267 00:12:06,639 --> 00:12:09,840 你就知道先是高点抬高的大反转 268 00:12:09,840 --> 00:12:12,879 然后是高点降低的大反转 269 00:12:15,580 --> 00:12:20,019 高点降低说明多头已经无力突破前期高点 270 00:12:21,100 --> 00:12:22,659 所以多头在变弱 271 00:12:22,659 --> 00:12:25,279 你必须假设上涨趋势要么结束 272 00:12:25,279 --> 00:12:26,120 要么暂停 273 00:12:26,120 --> 00:12:27,519 也许会进入震荡区间 274 00:12:27,519 --> 00:12:28,879 如果空头柱足够强大 275 00:12:28,879 --> 00:12:31,799 头肩结构的本质上下就是震荡区间 276 00:12:37,419 --> 00:12:39,740 上涨趋势需要高点不断抬高 277 00:12:39,740 --> 00:12:41,000 如果高点降低 278 00:12:41,000 --> 00:12:42,139 而且开始下跌 279 00:12:42,139 --> 00:12:43,159 你必须考虑 280 00:12:43,159 --> 00:12:46,019 也许上涨趋势已经结束 281 00:12:48,759 --> 00:12:51,440 下降趋势可以在这里画一条趋势线 282 00:12:51,440 --> 00:12:53,419 可以在那里画一条趋势线 283 00:12:53,419 --> 00:12:55,279 通道上沿 284 00:12:57,080 --> 00:12:59,960 左肩头右肩 285 00:13:00,320 --> 00:13:01,820 这是一个大反转 286 00:13:01,820 --> 00:13:03,200 是头肩底的结构 287 00:13:04,399 --> 00:13:05,639 左肩有一个小双底 288 00:13:07,039 --> 00:13:09,080 头有一个小双底 289 00:13:12,059 --> 00:13:14,200 右肩这里和这里 290 00:13:14,200 --> 00:13:15,779 或者你可以叫它双底 291 00:13:15,779 --> 00:13:18,120 右肩注市成型的结构 292 00:13:18,120 --> 00:13:19,320 突破了下降通道 293 00:13:19,320 --> 00:13:20,759 然后再次创新低 294 00:13:20,759 --> 00:13:22,559 所以是低点降低的大反转 295 00:13:22,559 --> 00:13:24,159 突破了另一条趋势线 296 00:13:24,159 --> 00:13:25,539 然后低点抬高了 297 00:13:25,539 --> 00:13:27,740 低点抬高的大反转机会 298 00:13:27,740 --> 00:13:31,179 每个头肩底都先是低点降低的大反转 299 00:13:31,179 --> 00:13:32,129 左肩头 300 00:13:32,129 --> 00:13:34,370 然后是低点抬高的大反转 301 00:13:34,370 --> 00:13:37,710 头右肩空投无力再创新低 302 00:13:37,710 --> 00:13:40,090 所以空头越来越弱 303 00:13:41,720 --> 00:13:43,879 而多头越来越强 304 00:13:45,149 --> 00:13:47,710 下降趋势需要低点不断降低 305 00:13:47,710 --> 00:13:49,149 如果低点反而抬高 306 00:13:49,149 --> 00:13:51,909 并且必须思考下降趋势是否 307 00:13:51,909 --> 00:13:56,830 市场是否已经转变为震荡区间甚至上涨趋势 308 00:14:00,500 --> 00:14:01,399 嵌套结构 309 00:14:01,399 --> 00:14:05,220 大结构之中有小结构是很常见的 310 00:14:05,220 --> 00:14:08,379 尤其是在头肩顶和头肩底中 311 00:14:19,299 --> 00:14:21,000 这里有一个头肩顶 312 00:14:21,000 --> 00:14:22,139 若上涨趋势 313 00:14:23,299 --> 00:14:25,899 左肩头右肩 314 00:14:26,259 --> 00:14:31,220 但是看看那个左肩在里面有一个更小的头肩顶 315 00:14:31,220 --> 00:14:33,000 小的右肩不是很明显 316 00:14:33,000 --> 00:14:36,370 但确实在那里头也是一样 317 00:14:36,370 --> 00:14:37,669 有小的头肩肩 318 00:14:37,669 --> 00:14:39,190 头右肩 319 00:14:39,190 --> 00:14:44,049 所以在大的头肩顶中嵌套了小的头肩顶 320 00:14:47,100 --> 00:14:49,100 再看看右肩 321 00:14:49,649 --> 00:14:51,690 它细分为一个更小的头肩顶 322 00:14:52,730 --> 00:14:53,929 左肩头 323 00:14:53,929 --> 00:14:58,370 右肩在头肩中看到嵌套的结构是很常见的 324 00:15:00,340 --> 00:15:02,379 头肩底左肩头 325 00:15:02,379 --> 00:15:03,899 右肩 326 00:15:08,559 --> 00:15:09,659 大的左肩 327 00:15:09,659 --> 00:15:12,700 右肩和头通常包含双底结构 328 00:15:12,700 --> 00:15:15,059 这里左肩和头有小双底 329 00:15:15,059 --> 00:15:17,429 右肩包含更大的双底 330 00:15:18,440 --> 00:15:20,919 你也可以说这里有一个小的头肩底 331 00:15:20,919 --> 00:15:23,828 左肩头右肩 332 00:15:24,428 --> 00:15:26,708 所以有嵌套式的反转结构 333 00:15:26,708 --> 00:15:30,908 在大的头肩结构中嵌套了小的反转结构 334 00:15:35,879 --> 00:15:39,059 下降趋势多头突破主要是横盘 335 00:15:39,059 --> 00:15:41,259 持续了20~30根K线 336 00:15:41,259 --> 00:15:43,399 窄震荡区间 337 00:15:44,879 --> 00:15:48,000 大反转通常存在双底的结构 338 00:15:49,419 --> 00:15:52,940 尤其是横向突破下降趋势线的时候 339 00:15:53,679 --> 00:15:55,559 通常都会有双底结构 340 00:15:56,799 --> 00:15:59,639 低点抬高的双底大反转 341 00:16:01,820 --> 00:16:04,500 当你看到市场以窄震荡区间的方式 342 00:16:04,500 --> 00:16:05,980 突破下降趋势线 343 00:16:05,980 --> 00:16:08,259 就可以寻找双底 344 00:16:09,120 --> 00:16:10,639 双底反转 345 00:16:10,639 --> 00:16:13,649 上涨时买入只有40%的概率 346 00:16:13,649 --> 00:16:15,509 你可以抓到一个上涨波段 347 00:16:15,509 --> 00:16:17,909 但风险在这根K线上方买入 348 00:16:17,909 --> 00:16:20,129 止损放在下面 349 00:16:21,100 --> 00:16:24,700 大反转的顶部通常都存在双顶结构 350 00:16:25,570 --> 00:16:26,909 这是一个头肩顶 351 00:16:26,909 --> 00:16:28,250 左肩头 352 00:16:28,250 --> 00:16:31,389 右肩这个头是不是太大了 353 00:16:31,389 --> 00:16:32,609 没关系 354 00:16:32,609 --> 00:16:38,048 上涨回调上涨第二次上涨回调 355 00:16:38,048 --> 00:16:39,950 然后是右肩 356 00:16:40,429 --> 00:16:44,549 请记住每个头肩顶都是大反转的模式机会 357 00:16:45,629 --> 00:16:48,909 右肩显然是高点降低的大反转 358 00:16:49,700 --> 00:16:51,960 有时候头不是大反转 359 00:16:51,960 --> 00:16:54,779 比如说如果你说这是左肩 360 00:16:54,779 --> 00:16:56,360 这是一个降低的高点吗 361 00:16:56,360 --> 00:16:57,809 很难判断 362 00:16:57,809 --> 00:16:59,970 我认为这不是一个大反转 363 00:16:59,970 --> 00:17:02,370 有可能是这样上涨趋势 364 00:17:02,370 --> 00:17:03,549 空头突破 365 00:17:03,549 --> 00:17:06,049 然后测试前期高点 366 00:17:10,339 --> 00:17:13,059 大部分计算机会这样看待这个头肩顶 367 00:17:14,059 --> 00:17:15,019 这是左肩 368 00:17:15,019 --> 00:17:17,059 这个双顶是头 369 00:17:17,460 --> 00:17:19,299 然后这个是右肩 370 00:17:19,299 --> 00:17:21,220 你可以把它看作双顶 371 00:17:21,220 --> 00:17:27,278 也可以看作三次向上推动123或者123 372 00:17:27,278 --> 00:17:29,179 所以他也有嵌套的 373 00:17:29,179 --> 00:17:33,298 在大的反转结构中嵌套了小的反转结构 374 00:17:35,059 --> 00:17:36,880 它也是一个三角形的顶部 375 00:17:36,880 --> 00:17:38,200 三次向上推动 376 00:17:38,200 --> 00:17:42,529 1233角形是突破模式 377 00:17:42,529 --> 00:17:44,329 趋势可能恢复上涨 378 00:17:44,329 --> 00:17:46,650 也可能反转下跌 379 00:17:49,440 --> 00:17:51,640 右肩有小双顶 380 00:17:53,460 --> 00:17:54,980 左肩有小双顶 381 00:17:54,980 --> 00:17:56,400 头是大的双顶 382 00:17:56,400 --> 00:17:58,579 所以是嵌套式的反转结构 383 00:17:58,579 --> 00:18:02,519 在大的反转结构中嵌套了小的反转结构 384 00:18:04,940 --> 00:18:06,980 上涨趋势回调 385 00:18:06,980 --> 00:18:11,900 然后新的高点新高之后进入了窄震荡区间 386 00:18:13,200 --> 00:18:15,079 在一个潜在的顶部之后 387 00:18:15,079 --> 00:18:17,359 每当你看到市场进入了窄震荡区 388 00:18:17,359 --> 00:18:19,960 总是要寻找双顶的机会 389 00:18:21,089 --> 00:18:24,569 因为可能会有双顶反转下跌的机会 390 00:18:25,359 --> 00:18:27,079 前期的高点在这里 391 00:18:27,079 --> 00:18:29,559 这个双顶比前期的高点略低一些 392 00:18:29,559 --> 00:18:32,240 当然有些时候或者完全一样高 393 00:18:32,240 --> 00:18:33,359 不论如何 394 00:18:33,359 --> 00:18:35,200 在一个潜在的顶部之后 395 00:18:35,200 --> 00:18:37,880 每当你看到窄震荡区间之中存在双 396 00:18:37,880 --> 00:18:38,759 必须思考 397 00:18:38,759 --> 00:18:42,160 这个窄震荡区间可能会导致大反转 398 00:18:43,859 --> 00:18:46,940 你可以说下降趋势从这里开始 399 00:18:46,940 --> 00:18:49,180 因为这是整个上涨趋势的最高点 400 00:18:49,180 --> 00:18:51,759 那么这个窄区间就变成了双顶雄奇 401 00:18:51,759 --> 00:18:54,380 所以这是下降趋势的初期 402 00:18:54,380 --> 00:18:58,500 然后是我更倾向于把它看作高点降低的大反转 403 00:19:01,400 --> 00:19:03,000 你说他是头肩顶 404 00:19:03,000 --> 00:19:04,440 左肩头 405 00:19:04,440 --> 00:19:06,000 右肩 406 00:19:07,579 --> 00:19:09,380 或者左肩头 407 00:19:09,380 --> 00:19:10,220 这里是右肩 408 00:19:10,220 --> 00:19:11,019 其实没区别 409 00:19:11,019 --> 00:19:13,619 你必须意识到这个反转过程的本质是什么 410 00:19:13,619 --> 00:19:15,089 不要纠结名称 411 00:19:15,089 --> 00:19:16,430 上涨趋势 412 00:19:16,430 --> 00:19:17,490 空头突破 413 00:19:17,490 --> 00:19:19,880 上涨趋势的恢复停滞了 414 00:19:19,880 --> 00:19:21,559 现在处于突破模式 415 00:19:21,559 --> 00:19:22,859 趋势可能会恢复 416 00:19:22,859 --> 00:19:24,700 也有可能会反转下跌 417 00:19:24,700 --> 00:19:25,960 如果开始下跌 418 00:19:25,960 --> 00:19:28,119 做好卖出的准备 419 00:19:33,660 --> 00:19:35,839 这里有一个强上涨趋势 420 00:19:35,839 --> 00:19:38,339 然后横盘了20~30根K线 421 00:19:38,339 --> 00:19:41,700 在那个窄震荡区间内有一个双顶 422 00:19:42,180 --> 00:19:44,019 它稍微高于这个高点 423 00:19:44,019 --> 00:19:46,339 然而每当上涨趋势 424 00:19:46,339 --> 00:19:49,638 并且在那个窄区间中存在双顶 425 00:19:49,838 --> 00:19:53,118 你就必须考虑大反转的可能性 426 00:19:58,160 --> 00:20:00,079 窄震荡区间内的双顶 427 00:20:00,079 --> 00:20:02,019 这次是一个抬高的高点 428 00:20:02,019 --> 00:20:04,920 这是一种大反转的类型 429 00:20:05,829 --> 00:20:06,990 可以这样看 430 00:20:06,990 --> 00:20:10,269 上涨趋势以窄震荡区间的方式横向 431 00:20:10,269 --> 00:20:12,289 然后是高点抬高的大反转 432 00:20:12,289 --> 00:20:14,509 其中存在双顶 433 00:20:17,039 --> 00:20:21,000 任何反转的最低目标是两段10K 434 00:20:23,480 --> 00:20:25,319 第一段反弹 435 00:20:25,319 --> 00:20:28,009 这里大约15~20根K线 436 00:20:28,009 --> 00:20:29,390 这是最低目标 437 00:20:29,390 --> 00:20:31,970 当然有可能会变成一个巨大的下降趋势 438 00:20:31,970 --> 00:20:36,009 但任何大反转的最低目标就是两段10K 439 00:20:39,259 --> 00:20:42,529 如果两段下跌是这样的一个窄通道 440 00:20:42,650 --> 00:20:45,490 你必须考虑到它们作为一个整体 441 00:20:45,490 --> 00:20:47,609 可能是两个大波段中的第一段 442 00:20:48,609 --> 00:20:50,789 也许这就是整个下跌波段 443 00:20:50,789 --> 00:20:52,869 又或者一窄下降通道 444 00:20:52,869 --> 00:20:54,529 整个是第一段下跌 445 00:20:54,529 --> 00:20:58,109 反弹之后有更大的第二段下跌 446 00:20:58,950 --> 00:21:03,430 只不过第一段下跌可以细分为两个更小的波段 447 00:21:03,779 --> 00:21:05,579 跌到前期低点的时候 448 00:21:05,579 --> 00:21:08,740 出现了强势的反转上涨 449 00:21:11,019 --> 00:21:12,839 所有模式都会失败 450 00:21:12,839 --> 00:21:14,900 而且经常失败 451 00:21:15,108 --> 00:21:18,388 大多数模式至少40%的时间会失败 452 00:21:18,388 --> 00:21:19,189 大反转 453 00:21:19,189 --> 00:21:22,709 只有40%的时间可以抓到波段交易 454 00:21:23,519 --> 00:21:27,880 也就是说基本60%的时间都会失败 455 00:21:31,099 --> 00:21:35,910 上涨趋势跌破趋势线高点抬高的大反转 456 00:21:35,910 --> 00:21:38,730 然后尝试高点降低的大反转 457 00:21:38,730 --> 00:21:39,730 头肩顶 458 00:21:39,730 --> 00:21:45,390 左肩头右肩交易者会在这根K线下方卖出 459 00:21:45,390 --> 00:21:46,849 因为他是小双顶 460 00:21:46,849 --> 00:21:48,869 也可以在那根K线下方卖出 461 00:21:48,869 --> 00:21:52,619 然而向上突破了注定失败 462 00:21:53,190 --> 00:21:55,170 每当顶部大反转失败 463 00:21:55,170 --> 00:21:57,369 必须预期会有两段上涨 464 00:21:57,369 --> 00:21:58,789 一回调 465 00:21:58,789 --> 00:22:01,200 多头突破非常强势 466 00:22:01,200 --> 00:22:04,319 所以预期至少还会有一段上涨 467 00:22:09,819 --> 00:22:11,640 不管是什么类型的顶部 468 00:22:11,640 --> 00:22:14,380 60%的大反转尝试都会失败 469 00:22:14,380 --> 00:22:18,680 其中40%刚刚形成顶部立刻就失败 470 00:22:19,559 --> 00:22:21,319 如果发生这样的情况 471 00:22:21,319 --> 00:22:25,200 你必须预期会去到上方的某个以及两断上涨 472 00:22:25,200 --> 00:22:26,539 一回调 473 00:22:26,539 --> 00:22:28,039 一 474 00:22:28,920 --> 00:22:30,640 突破震荡区间 475 00:22:30,640 --> 00:22:34,619 一看到突破就去找mm目标位 476 00:22:34,900 --> 00:22:38,490 一个合理的选择是最近一段上涨的高度 477 00:22:38,650 --> 00:22:39,730 可以看到 478 00:22:39,730 --> 00:22:41,829 当价格达到MM目标位时 479 00:22:41,829 --> 00:22:43,089 发生了多头止盈 480 00:22:43,089 --> 00:22:44,529 也会有空头卖出 481 00:22:44,529 --> 00:22:46,410 做剥头皮交易 482 00:22:47,609 --> 00:22:49,430 高点降低的大反转 483 00:22:49,430 --> 00:22:50,529 头肩顶 484 00:22:50,529 --> 00:22:52,319 当右肩被突破时 485 00:22:52,319 --> 00:22:54,299 筑顶的尝试就失败了 486 00:22:54,299 --> 00:22:56,440 那里是空头设置止损的位置 487 00:22:56,440 --> 00:22:58,079 就在这个高点上方 488 00:22:58,079 --> 00:23:00,490 所以多头会在那个位置买入 489 00:23:00,490 --> 00:23:01,349 他们知道 490 00:23:01,349 --> 00:23:03,089 如果空头被止损出局 491 00:23:03,089 --> 00:23:04,890 很可能就会得到几段上涨 492 00:23:04,890 --> 00:23:07,769 所以多头会在空头设置止损的地方买入 493 00:23:07,769 --> 00:23:10,009 就在这个高点上方 494 00:23:13,740 --> 00:23:15,440 上涨趋势恢复 495 00:23:15,440 --> 00:23:17,099 如果你想做反转 496 00:23:17,099 --> 00:23:19,220 就必须重新这个过程 497 00:23:19,220 --> 00:23:21,539 需要再次跌破设置趋势线 498 00:23:21,539 --> 00:23:23,839 然后上涨趋势尝试恢复 499 00:23:23,839 --> 00:23:26,619 然后多头在前期高点失败 500 00:23:29,920 --> 00:23:32,819 下降趋势强势突破下降通道 501 00:23:32,819 --> 00:23:33,960 并有几根缺口 502 00:23:33,960 --> 00:23:37,529 K线在下降趋势恢复之后 503 00:23:37,529 --> 00:23:40,569 多头通常会尝试大反转 504 00:23:41,219 --> 00:23:43,778 头肩底低点抬高的大反转 505 00:23:44,979 --> 00:23:47,019 多头在这根K线上方买入 506 00:23:47,019 --> 00:23:50,049 把止损放在这个低点下方 507 00:23:54,039 --> 00:23:55,220 再次强调 508 00:23:55,220 --> 00:23:59,640 大部分大反转无法成功地形成相反的趋势 509 00:24:00,869 --> 00:24:04,990 通常会进入震荡区间或者继续下跌 510 00:24:09,240 --> 00:24:12,519 在这里买入的多头把止损放在这个低点下方 511 00:24:12,519 --> 00:24:15,559 然后就被打到止损离场 512 00:24:16,660 --> 00:24:18,740 空投知道多头会这么做 513 00:24:18,740 --> 00:24:20,960 他们知道多头会这里放弃 514 00:24:20,960 --> 00:24:24,089 所以空投就在这个低点下方做空 515 00:24:24,089 --> 00:24:26,369 就在多头被止损的地方 516 00:24:26,369 --> 00:24:28,710 交易者会预期有两段下跌 517 00:24:28,710 --> 00:24:30,930 这里有好几段下跌 518 00:24:33,039 --> 00:24:36,319 最低目标是某个mm目标位 519 00:24:36,839 --> 00:24:40,799 一个合理的选择是最近一段下跌波段的高度 520 00:24:42,559 --> 00:24:45,680 再次突破之后向下的mm目标位 521 00:24:45,680 --> 00:24:48,079 这里的跌幅远不止于此 522 00:24:48,279 --> 00:24:49,859 这个低点被跌破 523 00:24:49,859 --> 00:24:51,849 所以多头卖出止损 524 00:24:51,849 --> 00:24:54,029 同时空头会卖出做空 525 00:24:54,029 --> 00:24:55,809 多头再次尝试筑底 526 00:24:55,809 --> 00:24:58,470 也许是这样的双底大反转 527 00:24:58,470 --> 00:25:00,829 但是在这个突破点附近失败了 528 00:25:02,069 --> 00:25:05,509 这次反弹可能只是在测试那个突破点 529 00:25:08,420 --> 00:25:11,720 也许mm目标位的测量不是到这个低点 530 00:25:11,720 --> 00:25:14,059 而是整个底部的高度注 531 00:25:14,059 --> 00:25:15,980 或者左边下可以看到的高度 532 00:25:15,980 --> 00:25:17,339 在MM目标位附近 533 00:25:17,339 --> 00:25:18,900 有一些买盘 534 00:25:19,019 --> 00:25:20,480 一些多头会买入 535 00:25:20,480 --> 00:25:21,539 做包头皮交易 536 00:25:21,539 --> 00:25:22,940 一些空头会买入 537 00:25:22,940 --> 00:25:25,220 只赢至少一部分 538 00:25:30,839 --> 00:25:32,339 下降趋势恢复 539 00:25:32,339 --> 00:25:34,220 如果你想做反转 540 00:25:34,220 --> 00:25:37,240 你必须重新开始这个过程 541 00:25:38,170 --> 00:25:40,630 需要多头再次突破下降趋势线 542 00:25:40,630 --> 00:25:42,309 然后下降趋势恢复 543 00:25:42,309 --> 00:25:44,990 等恢复在前期低点附近失败的时候 544 00:25:44,990 --> 00:25:47,670 多头尝试反转上涨 545 00:25:51,279 --> 00:25:53,839 在这段下跌中有相当不错的买压 546 00:25:53,839 --> 00:25:55,019 有很多重叠 547 00:25:55,019 --> 00:25:56,679 没有连续的大阴线 548 00:25:56,679 --> 00:25:59,138 反而有很多大阳线尝试反转 549 00:25:59,138 --> 00:26:00,378 这里有阳线 550 00:26:00,378 --> 00:26:02,390 阳线阳线 551 00:26:02,390 --> 00:26:04,230 这里是第二做多入场 552 00:26:04,230 --> 00:26:05,750 这是一个高胜率的买点 553 00:26:05,750 --> 00:26:08,269 至少有两段上涨 554 00:26:08,960 --> 00:26:10,400 一回调 555 00:26:10,400 --> 00:26:12,700 二或者一回调 556 00:26:12,700 --> 00:26:14,400 这是一个不错的买点 557 00:26:14,400 --> 00:26:16,160 这个也是 558 00:26:18,940 --> 00:26:24,140 你可以说它是三角形三次向下推动123 559 00:26:24,140 --> 00:26:27,319 然后再突破三角形的时候买入 560 00:26:30,819 --> 00:26:33,460 多头在这里尝试制造双底大反转 561 00:26:34,819 --> 00:26:35,779 下降趋势 562 00:26:35,779 --> 00:26:36,900 多头突破 563 00:26:36,900 --> 00:26:37,819 这里有缺口 564 00:26:37,819 --> 00:26:40,450 K线如果再次下跌 565 00:26:40,450 --> 00:26:42,049 可能是最后一段下跌 566 00:26:42,049 --> 00:26:43,349 下降通道很窄 567 00:26:43,349 --> 00:26:45,980 所以第一次上涨只是小反转 568 00:26:45,980 --> 00:26:47,599 但现在有了小双底 569 00:26:47,599 --> 00:26:48,660 后面又形成了 570 00:26:48,660 --> 00:26:50,329 这是一个合理的买点 571 00:26:50,329 --> 00:26:52,309 这也是一个合理的买点 572 00:26:52,309 --> 00:26:55,329 第一段上涨还是不错的 573 00:26:55,650 --> 00:26:58,309 多头会把止损放在那个低点下方 574 00:26:58,309 --> 00:27:03,359 然而他们会担心会出现反转下跌再次反转 575 00:27:03,359 --> 00:27:09,980 下跌变成扩张三角形12312 576 00:27:09,980 --> 00:27:12,789 所以多头担心这可能会失败 577 00:27:12,789 --> 00:27:15,390 多头会在那根阴线下方先离场 578 00:27:15,390 --> 00:27:16,670 如果再次上涨 579 00:27:16,670 --> 00:27:18,589 或者他们就重新会把止损 580 00:27:18,589 --> 00:27:20,869 放在这个低点或那个低点的下方 581 00:27:20,869 --> 00:27:22,849 可以看到它被跌破了 582 00:27:22,849 --> 00:27:25,609 大阴线跌破至少会有几段下跌 583 00:27:25,609 --> 00:27:29,838 一反弹二或者一反弹二 584 00:27:31,078 --> 00:27:32,019 无论如何 585 00:27:32,019 --> 00:27:34,009 这是一个失败的底部 586 00:27:34,009 --> 00:27:36,009 下降趋势正在恢复 587 00:27:36,009 --> 00:27:37,430 如果想做反转 588 00:27:37,430 --> 00:27:39,529 必须重新开始寻找底部的过程 589 00:27:39,529 --> 00:27:41,069 空投会卖出做空 590 00:27:41,069 --> 00:27:43,869 他们会在这个低点或那个低点下方卖出 591 00:27:43,869 --> 00:27:46,750 而多头会在那个低点下方放弃 592 00:27:49,099 --> 00:27:52,500 并且重新开始寻找底部下降趋势 593 00:27:52,500 --> 00:27:54,619 可以在那里画一条趋势线 594 00:27:54,619 --> 00:27:57,099 或者直接在这里多一条趋势线 595 00:27:57,099 --> 00:27:58,660 这根大阳线非常好 596 00:27:58,660 --> 00:28:00,240 这根也很好 597 00:28:00,240 --> 00:28:02,180 然后是一个小三角形 598 00:28:02,180 --> 00:28:04,039 低点抬高 599 00:28:05,940 --> 00:28:08,380 低点抬高的大反转模式 600 00:28:08,380 --> 00:28:09,500 非常好的 601 00:28:09,500 --> 00:28:10,539 多头突破 602 00:28:10,539 --> 00:28:12,119 很强势的阳线 603 00:28:12,119 --> 00:28:14,909 在那个高点上方挂突破买单 604 00:28:18,619 --> 00:28:22,019 最低目标是两段上涨一回调 605 00:28:22,019 --> 00:28:23,838 二以及至少上涨 606 00:28:23,838 --> 00:28:26,558 多头获得了至少十根K线和两段上涨 607 00:28:26,558 --> 00:28:28,278 这个突破是非常低目标 608 00:28:28,278 --> 00:28:30,690 所以大概率还能再涨一些 609 00:28:30,690 --> 00:28:32,210 继续上涨了一些 610 00:28:32,210 --> 00:28:34,349 但现在空投正在考虑 611 00:28:34,349 --> 00:28:36,880 也许有双顶大反转的机会 612 00:28:36,880 --> 00:28:40,680 上涨趋势空头突破双顶高点 613 00:28:40,680 --> 00:28:42,000 空投可能在这里卖出 614 00:28:42,000 --> 00:28:44,049 做空跌破了这个双顶的颈线 615 00:28:44,049 --> 00:28:46,460 但空投突破失败了 616 00:28:46,700 --> 00:28:49,480 多头会在恢复上涨时买入做多 617 00:28:49,480 --> 00:28:54,839 ABC回调A回调B也就是大的高二杠杠一反弹 618 00:28:54,839 --> 00:28:57,140 尽管第一段下跌之后的反弹 619 00:28:57,140 --> 00:29:00,759 超过了之前上涨的最高点 620 00:29:02,759 --> 00:29:05,400 交易者会把它看作是一次失败的反转 621 00:29:05,400 --> 00:29:08,759 尝试尝试在这里反转下跌 622 00:29:08,759 --> 00:29:10,799 双顶大反转 623 00:29:11,289 --> 00:29:14,190 第二次尝试反转下跌失败了 624 00:29:14,190 --> 00:29:17,490 多头会在这里上方或这里上方买入 625 00:29:17,490 --> 00:29:20,750 把这个看作是强上涨趋势中的牛旗 626 00:29:20,750 --> 00:29:24,009 筑双底高两牛企买入 627 00:29:24,009 --> 00:29:27,369 做大反转的多头至少期待两段上涨 628 00:29:27,369 --> 00:29:29,670 一最终他们得到了第三 629 00:29:29,670 --> 00:29:32,059 有时候会有很多个波段注 630 00:29:32,059 --> 00:29:34,339 也就是远大于两倍盈亏比的大赚 631 00:29:35,380 --> 00:29:38,569 这节课我首先讲解了底部的大反转 632 00:29:38,569 --> 00:29:42,470 十根K线两段上涨是最低的目标 633 00:29:42,470 --> 00:29:46,690 大约40%的时间多头可以达到目标 634 00:29:47,509 --> 00:29:48,789 尽管概率不高 635 00:29:48,789 --> 00:29:50,750 但回报通常是风险的好几倍 636 00:29:50,750 --> 00:29:53,549 因此数学期望是不错的 637 00:29:54,239 --> 00:29:56,078 我谈到了头肩的反转结构 638 00:29:57,519 --> 00:30:01,358 每个头肩顶都是高点降低的大反转头右肩 639 00:30:01,940 --> 00:30:05,470 而左肩和头通常是高点抬高的大反转 640 00:30:05,470 --> 00:30:06,769 每个头肩底失败后 641 00:30:06,769 --> 00:30:08,529 低点抬高的形成右肩头右肩 642 00:30:08,529 --> 00:30:10,009 然后再次尝试反转 643 00:30:10,009 --> 00:30:13,769 而左肩和头通常是低点抬高的大反转 644 00:30:13,769 --> 00:30:16,720 注失败后形成又失败的大反转 645 00:30:16,720 --> 00:30:18,279 之后再次尝试反转 646 00:30:18,279 --> 00:30:20,740 如果反转一方的止损被达到 647 00:30:20,740 --> 00:30:22,609 而且突破很强 648 00:30:22,609 --> 00:30:24,990 反转一方就会止损离场 649 00:30:24,990 --> 00:30:27,210 而顺势一方就会预期趋势回 650 00:30:27,210 --> 00:30:28,930 并且至少有两段上涨 651 00:30:28,930 --> 00:30:30,869 因为反转的结构失败了 652 00:30:30,869 --> 00:30:33,910 注寻找mm目标位 653 00:30:35,619 --> 00:30:37,019 我是阿尔布鲁克斯 654 00:30:37,019 --> 00:30:41,019 感谢观看布鲁克斯交易课程大反转的四节课 655 00:30:41,019 --> 00:30:43,359 到这里就全部讲完了
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