1
00:00:00,040 --> 00:00:00,520
各位好
2
00:00:00,520 --> 00:00:01,639
油又窜上去了
3
00:00:01,639 --> 00:00:02,980
107有反复啊
4
00:00:02,980 --> 00:00:04,559
有反复有反复
5
00:00:04,759 --> 00:00:06,139
12.43分
6
00:00:06,139 --> 00:00:08,380
日本跌1.4%
7
00:00:08,380 --> 00:00:10,619
韩国掉3.38%
8
00:00:10,619 --> 00:00:12,199
印度掉2%
9
00:00:12,199 --> 00:00:14,519
还是冲高回落啊
10
00:00:14,519 --> 00:00:15,279
不叫冲高回落
11
00:00:15,279 --> 00:00:16,920
就是反复回落
12
00:00:16,920 --> 00:00:18,679
外资有一个报道啊
13
00:00:21,309 --> 00:00:24,149
其实我在1月27号
14
00:00:24,149 --> 00:00:28,030
提醒韩国的股票市场的风险的时候呢
15
00:00:28,030 --> 00:00:31,089
其实还是没多少外资看空的
16
00:00:31,089 --> 00:00:32,070
现在跌了嘛
17
00:00:32,070 --> 00:00:32,829
是吧哈
18
00:00:32,829 --> 00:00:33,590
跌了之后
19
00:00:33,590 --> 00:00:35,530
大规模的外资就撤走了
20
00:00:35,530 --> 00:00:37,229
2月27日
21
00:00:37,229 --> 00:00:41,429
我在22月27日开始看空韩国的时候呢
22
00:00:41,429 --> 00:00:44,810
是没有多少外资看空的
23
00:00:44,810 --> 00:00:45,490
为什么
24
00:00:45,490 --> 00:00:46,450
现在开始
25
00:00:46,450 --> 00:00:48,350
现在是3月31号了
26
00:00:52,810 --> 00:00:55,170
这是有一个明显的滞后性
27
00:00:55,170 --> 00:00:58,109
第二个呢他跑了之后再来告诉你
28
00:00:58,109 --> 00:01:00,810
其实韩国也有做空的
29
00:01:00,960 --> 00:01:04,400
就是外资在涨的时候吃了一波之后
30
00:01:04,400 --> 00:01:06,359
狠狠的做空又吃一波啊
31
00:01:06,359 --> 00:01:07,489
他们吃两波
32
00:01:07,489 --> 00:01:09,209
日本也是同样的道理啊
33
00:01:09,209 --> 00:01:10,530
日本现在跌了这么多
34
00:01:10,530 --> 00:01:12,620
日本是26号见底
35
00:01:12,620 --> 00:01:15,640
为什么不26号发砍空的报告呢
36
00:01:15,640 --> 00:01:18,420
现在某大行我们不点名了
37
00:01:18,420 --> 00:01:20,239
哈哈都是友商
38
00:01:20,319 --> 00:01:22,640
差不多是最大的大行预测啊
39
00:01:22,640 --> 00:01:25,120
日本还要调调的很低了
40
00:01:25,120 --> 00:01:27,430
大家看看报告就行了
41
00:01:32,049 --> 00:01:33,090
发出来呢
42
00:01:33,090 --> 00:01:35,620
不一个是不敢啊
43
00:01:35,620 --> 00:01:38,680
第二个呢那个时候还看不清楚
44
00:01:38,680 --> 00:01:43,239
那现在都3月31日的一个多月了啊
45
00:01:43,239 --> 00:01:44,278
这个报告才出来
46
00:01:44,278 --> 00:01:45,978
还会看空到多少道点啊
47
00:01:45,978 --> 00:01:47,358
现在就做空了啊
48
00:01:47,358 --> 00:01:48,439
他吃两头啊
49
00:01:48,439 --> 00:01:50,000
这就是日韩的情况
50
00:01:50,000 --> 00:01:51,819
印度也一样啊
51
00:01:51,819 --> 00:01:54,060
印度的股市我已经看空
52
00:01:54,060 --> 00:01:55,659
提出很长很长时间了
53
00:01:55,659 --> 00:01:58,109
日印度从什么时候开始见顶呢
54
00:01:58,109 --> 00:02:00,790
25年的12月1日就鉴定了印度
55
00:02:00,790 --> 00:02:02,810
我已经讲了差不多有四个月了
56
00:02:02,810 --> 00:02:04,109
甚至更长的时间了
57
00:02:04,109 --> 00:02:04,849
提醒风险
58
00:02:04,849 --> 00:02:05,450
为什么
59
00:02:05,450 --> 00:02:06,409
因为我们的国人
60
00:02:06,409 --> 00:02:09,300
以二十三十%乃至50的代价
61
00:02:09,300 --> 00:02:10,879
溢价去买印度啊
62
00:02:10,879 --> 00:02:11,659
买日本
63
00:02:11,659 --> 00:02:12,360
买韩国啊
64
00:02:12,360 --> 00:02:13,060
买美股啊
65
00:02:14,180 --> 00:02:17,180
只有我一个人在那里喊喊呐
66
00:02:17,180 --> 00:02:18,060
不划算
67
00:02:18,060 --> 00:02:18,800
太贵啦
68
00:02:18,800 --> 00:02:22,360
就像当下我还溢价40%去追石油
69
00:02:22,360 --> 00:02:23,719
也不合算啊
70
00:02:23,719 --> 00:02:26,430
同志们不核算啊
71
00:02:26,430 --> 00:02:28,629
不要等到现在是什么时候了
72
00:02:28,629 --> 00:02:29,870
印度跌到多少了
73
00:02:29,870 --> 00:02:33,000
8万6159点开始跌
74
00:02:33,319 --> 00:02:35,000
跌到现在都不认识了啊
75
00:02:35,000 --> 00:02:37,020
7万1774点
76
00:02:37,020 --> 00:02:38,139
1万5000点没了
77
00:02:38,139 --> 00:02:40,930
那现在都当然有大量的外资看空净度了
78
00:02:40,930 --> 00:02:42,210
掉了吗
79
00:02:42,210 --> 00:02:43,569
掉了当然看空了是吧
80
00:02:44,729 --> 00:02:46,449
当然这个报告有滞后性啊
81
00:02:47,610 --> 00:02:49,830
还有一个消息涨价了
82
00:02:49,830 --> 00:02:52,838
家电大面积的家电宣布要提价
83
00:02:52,838 --> 00:02:54,598
不要提太贵了是吧
84
00:02:54,598 --> 00:02:56,179
这个也说明了啊
85
00:02:56,179 --> 00:02:56,979
注意啊
86
00:02:56,979 --> 00:02:58,498
提价不一定涨啊
87
00:02:58,498 --> 00:03:00,158
我说股票不一定涨啊
88
00:03:00,158 --> 00:03:01,799
为啥啊
89
00:03:02,020 --> 00:03:03,379
呃如果提价
90
00:03:03,379 --> 00:03:05,300
它卖仍然卖的很好啊
91
00:03:05,300 --> 00:03:06,259
可能会涨
92
00:03:06,259 --> 00:03:08,099
但是如果提价卖的不好
93
00:03:08,099 --> 00:03:10,300
那就可能就涨幅有限
94
00:03:10,300 --> 00:03:12,060
还有可能因为它提价呢
95
00:03:12,060 --> 00:03:13,699
因为原材料料大涨了啊
96
00:03:13,699 --> 00:03:15,879
提价之后跟原材料上涨之后
97
00:03:15,879 --> 00:03:18,060
可能也没多少利润增长
98
00:03:18,060 --> 00:03:19,438
但不管怎么说呃
99
00:03:19,438 --> 00:03:21,838
我们看到整个的提价信号
100
00:03:21,838 --> 00:03:23,699
对家电的上市公司来说
101
00:03:23,699 --> 00:03:26,590
应该是一个不大不小的好消息
102
00:03:26,590 --> 00:03:28,909
但对消费者来说肯定是不好的
103
00:03:28,909 --> 00:03:30,490
但是这个也没办法啊
104
00:03:30,490 --> 00:03:32,189
因为他那边原材料上涨
105
00:03:32,189 --> 00:03:33,990
他也受不了啊
106
00:03:34,500 --> 00:03:35,580
但不管怎么说
107
00:03:35,580 --> 00:03:36,340
从一个不多
108
00:03:36,340 --> 00:03:39,810
暗暗的杀杀杀杀杀杀杀杀价的互相比赛的
109
00:03:39,810 --> 00:03:41,830
谁谁杀的多的这么一个过程
110
00:03:41,830 --> 00:03:43,669
终于有底气提价了啊
111
00:03:43,669 --> 00:03:46,599
我还是建议卖给出口的
112
00:03:46,599 --> 00:03:48,319
卖给外面的提点价吧
113
00:03:48,319 --> 00:03:49,439
总体来看啊
114
00:03:49,439 --> 00:03:53,280
我们还是要面对外围不确定性的时候
115
00:03:53,280 --> 00:03:54,819
紧密盯住油价
116
00:03:54,819 --> 00:03:56,759
紧密盯住霍尔木兹
117
00:03:56,759 --> 00:03:58,840
紧密盯住进展情况
118
00:03:58,840 --> 00:04:03,300
来随时调整我们的这样的一个策略
119
00:04:03,300 --> 00:04:04,620
再见