BV1iNEX6sEFc · 请不要叫我梁同学1 00:00:06,240 --> 00:00:07,059 大家好 2 00:00:07,059 --> 00:00:09,320 今天是6月9号星期二 3 00:00:09,320 --> 00:00:11,398 我们继续分析美股 4 00:00:11,398 --> 00:00:14,679 本期内容包括对基本面的跟进 5 00:00:14,679 --> 00:00:18,239 随后分析大盘指数和热门股票 6 00:00:19,480 --> 00:00:23,789 open i秘密地表冲刺IPO 7 00:00:24,670 --> 00:00:27,210 秘密递交上市申请 8 00:00:27,210 --> 00:00:31,140 OpenAI近期向美国证券交易委员会 9 00:00:31,140 --> 00:00:34,399 秘密递交了S1招股书草案 10 00:00:34,399 --> 00:00:37,018 正式启动上市筹备 11 00:00:37,499 --> 00:00:40,789 鉴于消息提议被媒体提前曝光 12 00:00:40,789 --> 00:00:44,630 公司决定主动对外披露这一重大进展 13 00:00:44,630 --> 00:00:47,100 以掌握舆论主动权 14 00:00:47,100 --> 00:00:49,659 并稳步推进相关流程 15 00:00:50,820 --> 00:00:53,000 上市时间表未定 16 00:00:53,000 --> 00:00:55,179 尽管已迈出关键一步 17 00:00:55,179 --> 00:00:56,899 但OpenAI强调 18 00:00:56,899 --> 00:01:00,240 目前尚未确定具体的上市时间表 19 00:01:00,240 --> 00:01:01,810 公司表示 20 00:01:01,810 --> 00:01:03,990 作为非上市公司 21 00:01:03,990 --> 00:01:10,459 在某些业务决策和运营层面仍享有更高灵活性 22 00:01:10,459 --> 00:01:13,760 上市可能还需要一段时间准备 23 00:01:13,760 --> 00:01:18,579 以便在必要时能更快推进进程 24 00:01:19,569 --> 00:01:21,689 携手顶级投行筹备 25 00:01:21,689 --> 00:01:24,209 据市场消息透露 26 00:01:24,209 --> 00:01:27,209 OpenAI正与高热和摩根士丹利 27 00:01:27,209 --> 00:01:29,890 等顶级投行紧密合作 28 00:01:29,890 --> 00:01:32,329 全力筹备上市事宜 29 00:01:32,329 --> 00:01:35,370 若各项准备工作推进顺利 30 00:01:35,370 --> 00:01:40,120 公司最早有望于今年秋季正式登陆资本市场 31 00:01:40,120 --> 00:01:43,310 开启全新的发展篇章 32 00:01:43,310 --> 00:01:45,969 启动员工持股变现 33 00:01:45,969 --> 00:01:48,489 在正式上市前 34 00:01:48,489 --> 00:01:53,918 OpenAI计划以当前8520亿美元的估值 35 00:01:53,918 --> 00:01:57,620 启动员工持股转让程序 36 00:01:57,620 --> 00:02:02,120 此举旨在为员工提供股权变现机会 37 00:02:02,120 --> 00:02:04,459 缓解流动性压力 38 00:02:04,459 --> 00:02:08,080 此前公司在3月完成巨额融资 39 00:02:08,080 --> 00:02:11,979 创下硅谷企业最高融资记录 40 00:02:15,800 --> 00:02:19,180 在OpenAI递交申请之际 41 00:02:19,180 --> 00:02:23,099 其竞争对手也在加紧资本化步伐 42 00:02:23,099 --> 00:02:28,000 ANTHROPIC1周前也秘密递交IPO申请 43 00:02:28,000 --> 00:02:32,280 且估值反超马斯克旗下的SPACEX 44 00:02:32,280 --> 00:02:35,139 同样计划于6月中旬上市 45 00:02:35,139 --> 00:02:40,099 目标估值高达约1.765万亿美元 46 00:02:40,099 --> 00:02:42,769 抢占全球资金高地 47 00:02:42,769 --> 00:02:44,508 分析人士指出 48 00:02:44,508 --> 00:02:47,908 在全球资本供给有限的背景下 49 00:02:47,908 --> 00:02:50,209 谁能率先完成上市 50 00:02:50,209 --> 00:02:54,009 就有机会在激烈的资金争夺中 51 00:02:54,009 --> 00:02:56,610 占据更有利的位置 52 00:02:57,340 --> 00:03:03,060 这场史无前例的超级IPO竞逐赛已然鸣锣开赛 53 00:03:03,060 --> 00:03:06,259 将深刻影响行业格局 54 00:03:08,860 --> 00:03:12,819 SPACEX首发轨道AI卫星 55 00:03:14,080 --> 00:03:17,669 发布初代轨道数据中心卫星 56 00:03:17,669 --> 00:03:22,750 space ex正式公布第一代轨道数据中心卫星 57 00:03:22,750 --> 00:03:26,539 AI1峰值算力达150千瓦 58 00:03:26,539 --> 00:03:27,860 马斯克表示 59 00:03:27,860 --> 00:03:31,189 其设计比星链更简易 60 00:03:31,189 --> 00:03:34,269 依托成熟技术可快速量产 61 00:03:34,269 --> 00:03:36,949 尽管目前仅为试验产品 62 00:03:36,949 --> 00:03:42,269 但远期组网总算力有望达到太瓦级别 63 00:03:42,389 --> 00:03:46,269 攻克太空散热与能源难题 64 00:03:46,269 --> 00:03:50,590 AI1卫星配备70米翼展 65 00:03:50,590 --> 00:03:53,969 太阳能帆板及液冷辐射器 66 00:03:53,969 --> 00:04:01,219 搭载冗余泵送回路和微流星体防护层 67 00:04:01,219 --> 00:04:03,000 这种创新架构 68 00:04:03,000 --> 00:04:08,879 有效解决了真空环境下热量善意的难题 69 00:04:08,879 --> 00:04:14,580 保障了太空算力设施在极端环境中的稳定运行 70 00:04:16,839 --> 00:04:20,540 新建巨型卫星量产工厂 71 00:04:20,540 --> 00:04:24,158 为加速AI1等卫星的落地 72 00:04:24,158 --> 00:04:30,060 SPACEX宣布将在德州新建名为giga set 73 00:04:30,060 --> 00:04:32,699 的巨型卫星工厂 74 00:04:32,699 --> 00:04:35,709 该厂区占地超千英亩 75 00:04:35,709 --> 00:04:40,899 规划生产厂房面积高达1100万平方英尺 76 00:04:40,899 --> 00:04:42,480 旨在大幅提升 77 00:04:42,480 --> 00:04:48,579 从方案设计到硬件量产的全流程制造能力 78 00:04:48,579 --> 00:04:52,410 贝莱德推出欧洲太空ETF 79 00:04:52,410 --> 00:04:57,949 全球资管巨头贝莱德面向欧洲推出star etf 80 00:04:57,949 --> 00:05:01,009 内置IPO快速纳入机制 81 00:05:01,009 --> 00:05:06,829 允许新股在挂牌后10~30天内被纳入指数 82 00:05:06,829 --> 00:05:11,810 该产品追踪全球太空卫星与无人机指数 83 00:05:11,810 --> 00:05:14,769 要求标的公司至少25% 84 00:05:14,769 --> 00:05:17,810 收入远于相关活动 85 00:05:18,879 --> 00:05:21,658 太空主题投资热潮升温 86 00:05:21,658 --> 00:05:24,959 受SPACEX上市预期推动 87 00:05:24,959 --> 00:05:28,959 今年太空主题ETF已吸引80亿美元 88 00:05:28,959 --> 00:05:30,660 资金流入规模 89 00:05:30,660 --> 00:05:33,939 超越国防主题跃居第二 90 00:05:33,939 --> 00:05:35,220 贝莱德指出 91 00:05:35,220 --> 00:05:39,038 随着发射成本下降与应用普及 92 00:05:39,038 --> 00:05:44,560 太空经济正成为日益重要的长期投资主线 93 00:05:44,560 --> 00:05:47,420 提供重磅IPO替代路径 94 00:05:51,319 --> 00:05:54,538 已允许巨型IPO快速入职 95 00:05:54,538 --> 00:05:57,370 但贝莱德的快速纳入机制 96 00:05:57,370 --> 00:05:59,790 为投资者提供了替代方案 97 00:05:59,790 --> 00:06:02,220 这不仅提升了配置效率 98 00:06:02,220 --> 00:06:06,079 也为捕捉商业航天龙头早期红利 99 00:06:06,079 --> 00:06:09,100 搭建了合规的资金入口 100 00:06:11,279 --> 00:06:15,399 博通350亿美元压住AI基建 101 00:06:17,139 --> 00:06:20,339 联手巨头推出AI融资平台 102 00:06:20,339 --> 00:06:24,509 博通宣布携手阿波罗全球管理 103 00:06:24,509 --> 00:06:27,370 即黑石信贷保险板块 104 00:06:27,370 --> 00:06:28,370 重磅推出 105 00:06:28,370 --> 00:06:32,319 首期资金达350亿美元的专项平台 106 00:06:32,319 --> 00:06:34,639 此举旨在为人工智能 107 00:06:34,639 --> 00:06:38,319 基础设施项目提供强有力的融资支持 108 00:06:38,319 --> 00:06:41,639 标志着科技与金融资本的深度融合 109 00:06:42,759 --> 00:06:46,399 剑指20吉瓦庞大算力规模 110 00:06:47,160 --> 00:06:51,360 该平台命名为aix SPA v 111 00:06:52,180 --> 00:06:56,399 计划至2028年前落地超20几瓦算力规模 112 00:06:56,399 --> 00:07:00,990 全部搭载博通自研芯片与网络解决方案 113 00:07:00,990 --> 00:07:04,410 其服务对象精准锁定ANTHROPIC 114 00:07:04,410 --> 00:07:06,689 OpenAI等头部AI企业 115 00:07:06,689 --> 00:07:10,189 全面赋能前沿大模型的发展 116 00:07:12,060 --> 00:07:15,459 首期巨资助力ANTHROPIC扩建 117 00:07:15,459 --> 00:07:16,720 博东表示 118 00:07:16,720 --> 00:07:20,009 平台首期的350亿美元资金 119 00:07:20,009 --> 00:07:21,850 将优先用于落地 120 00:07:21,850 --> 00:07:25,709 ANTHROPIC此前公布的算力扩建计划 121 00:07:25,709 --> 00:07:29,310 该项目新增算力规模超一级瓦 122 00:07:29,310 --> 00:07:33,949 将为这家顶级AI公司缓解重资产投入压力 123 00:07:33,949 --> 00:07:37,029 加速其商业化进程 124 00:07:37,319 --> 00:07:40,959 打造降本增效的长效机制 125 00:07:41,620 --> 00:07:45,100 平台还将搭建长效落地机制 126 00:07:45,100 --> 00:07:50,060 持续推进基于XPU架构的算力与网络 127 00:07:50,060 --> 00:07:51,579 基础设施建设 128 00:07:51,579 --> 00:07:56,319 其核心目标是降低大模型训练与推理环节 129 00:07:56,319 --> 00:07:59,230 的综合成本及能耗需求 130 00:07:59,230 --> 00:08:04,949 推动整个AI生态向更高效的方向演进 131 00:08:06,480 --> 00:08:09,839 技术路线与长期资本深度绑定 132 00:08:09,839 --> 00:08:12,908 博通首席执行官陈福阳指出 133 00:08:12,908 --> 00:08:17,309 该平台成功打通了博通完整的技术迭代路线 134 00:08:17,309 --> 00:08:19,048 与长期资本 135 00:08:19,048 --> 00:08:21,579 这种强强联合的模式 136 00:08:21,579 --> 00:08:27,100 能够完美承接市场持续扩张的AI算力基建需求 137 00:08:27,100 --> 00:08:30,769 巩固其在产业链中的核心地位 138 00:08:30,769 --> 00:08:34,149 私募资本重塑数字基建格局 139 00:08:34,149 --> 00:08:35,690 阿波罗强调 140 00:08:35,690 --> 00:08:41,179 本次联合黑石作为核心资本方参与合作 141 00:08:41,179 --> 00:08:42,019 印证了 142 00:08:42,019 --> 00:08:45,559 私募资本在数字基建融资领域的权重 143 00:08:45,559 --> 00:08:47,419 正持续提升 144 00:08:47,419 --> 00:08:50,779 这一创新模式不仅拓宽了资金来源 145 00:08:50,779 --> 00:08:55,820 也为未来的大型AI基建项目树立了新标杆 146 00:08:57,220 --> 00:09:00,580 好我们看一下今天市场的表现 147 00:09:04,360 --> 00:09:07,460 我看到今天日内时剧烈的震荡哈 148 00:09:07,460 --> 00:09:12,149 表明现在其实多头还没有特别的止跌企稳是吧 149 00:09:12,149 --> 00:09:15,889 但今天的这个K线呢啊具有长长的下影线 150 00:09:15,889 --> 00:09:20,580 或许或许也有可能止跌对吧 151 00:09:21,139 --> 00:09:24,980 但啊这根黑线呢远不如多头预期的好看哈 152 00:09:24,980 --> 00:09:28,419 我们看一下5分钟图表 153 00:09:30,100 --> 00:09:32,460 我们今天在欧洲早期时段呢 154 00:09:32,460 --> 00:09:34,320 也就是盘前的时段啊 155 00:09:34,320 --> 00:09:37,100 观察到市场在这个位置运动对吧 156 00:09:37,100 --> 00:09:40,039 我们说要提防是一个所谓的二次探顶 157 00:09:40,039 --> 00:09:42,259 然后再再掉下来 158 00:09:42,259 --> 00:09:45,740 这个所谓的二次探娘指的是这个局部区域而言 159 00:09:45,740 --> 00:09:46,220 诶 160 00:09:46,220 --> 00:09:48,059 果然真的掉下来一下 161 00:09:48,059 --> 00:09:50,360 那么市场呢测试到了啊 162 00:09:50,360 --> 00:09:51,860 这个地点之后呢 163 00:09:51,860 --> 00:09:53,519 迅速的卫星反转哈 164 00:09:53,519 --> 00:09:56,100 但现在一定会安全吗 165 00:09:56,399 --> 00:09:59,440 只能说暂时有一些止跌的迹象哈 166 00:09:59,440 --> 00:10:03,559 那么市场的K线的重心呢还是偏向于下移了 167 00:10:04,580 --> 00:10:08,740 我们当前应该把啊可能的下跌曲线画一画 168 00:10:11,860 --> 00:10:13,649 这样的话可以吧 169 00:10:13,649 --> 00:10:16,210 那么这样的话多头就有进一步的依据了 170 00:10:16,210 --> 00:10:19,429 就说如果市场能进入到下跌扇的右侧 171 00:10:19,429 --> 00:10:20,799 形成止跌架构 172 00:10:20,799 --> 00:10:22,379 会更安全一点 173 00:10:22,379 --> 00:10:25,710 那么当前呢仍旧有继续震荡下行的潜力哈 174 00:10:25,710 --> 00:10:26,950 说可以止跌吗 175 00:10:26,950 --> 00:10:27,830 也可以啊 176 00:10:27,830 --> 00:10:30,110 因为多头还是有一定的力度的 177 00:10:30,110 --> 00:10:31,370 大家看是吧 178 00:10:31,370 --> 00:10:33,089 这里反弹了起来 179 00:10:33,089 --> 00:10:34,548 有人说可不可以下行 180 00:10:34,548 --> 00:10:35,828 反弹继续下行 181 00:10:35,828 --> 00:10:39,408 是的也要考虑到这种悲观的情形 182 00:10:40,730 --> 00:10:41,529 对吧 183 00:10:41,529 --> 00:10:42,330 那么这样的话 184 00:10:42,330 --> 00:10:45,870 我们多头呢更安全的区域还是要聚焦在右侧 185 00:10:45,870 --> 00:10:49,335 下跌趋势的右侧会好一点嗯 186 00:10:51,179 --> 00:10:53,700 好我们再看一下日线 187 00:10:54,870 --> 00:10:55,490 对吧 188 00:10:55,490 --> 00:10:59,340 我们刚才画的加计算实际上是这里啊 189 00:10:59,340 --> 00:11:01,639 是这里这样的一个画法嗯 190 00:11:01,639 --> 00:11:04,220 稍微等一等会好一点 191 00:11:04,870 --> 00:11:07,730 但你如果选择现在就做多的话 192 00:11:07,730 --> 00:11:10,669 那我们的止损呢还是要定一定哈 193 00:11:10,669 --> 00:11:12,350 那之前的止损可能在这儿 194 00:11:12,350 --> 00:11:15,860 现在止损可以降低到这里来 195 00:11:18,480 --> 00:11:21,200 好我们看一下罗素 196 00:11:21,200 --> 00:11:25,360 罗素今天是一个超级大的十字星K线啊 197 00:11:25,360 --> 00:11:26,139 大不大 198 00:11:26,139 --> 00:11:28,120 上影线和下影线极大 199 00:11:28,120 --> 00:11:30,299 表明此处还是有分歧 200 00:11:30,299 --> 00:11:32,259 空头认为这是楔形反转 201 00:11:32,259 --> 00:11:33,470 应该做空 202 00:11:33,470 --> 00:11:35,830 多头认为还是顺势的做多 203 00:11:35,830 --> 00:11:39,230 但是多头也并没有强势很多哈 204 00:11:39,658 --> 00:11:43,240 我们看看5分钟图的感觉是吧 205 00:11:43,240 --> 00:11:45,200 呃上去之后呢又砸了回来 206 00:11:45,200 --> 00:11:46,879 表面空头有一定的力度 207 00:11:46,879 --> 00:11:49,120 下去之后呢又微微了起来 208 00:11:49,120 --> 00:11:50,779 表明多头有一定的力度 209 00:11:50,779 --> 00:11:53,519 目前还处在这个区域啊 210 00:11:53,519 --> 00:11:56,840 所以我们应该进一步观察这里的倾向哈 211 00:11:57,500 --> 00:11:58,820 今天没有什么倾向 212 00:12:03,940 --> 00:12:07,539 大致也是横盘十字星K线是吧 213 00:12:07,539 --> 00:12:10,360 嗯比多头预期的要差一点哈 214 00:12:10,360 --> 00:12:12,539 多头希望能强劲的止跌哈 215 00:12:12,539 --> 00:12:15,289 但事实上这根K线不是太理想 216 00:12:15,289 --> 00:12:18,120 我们看一下5分钟处也是一样哈 217 00:12:18,120 --> 00:12:21,860 在这里啊拉升掉下来再拉升 218 00:12:21,860 --> 00:12:23,580 还是在这里震荡是吧 219 00:12:23,580 --> 00:12:25,809 所以多头还要再忍一忍 220 00:12:25,809 --> 00:12:28,740 再观察一下这个片儿嗯 221 00:12:29,899 --> 00:12:31,580 每当遇到十字星K线 222 00:12:31,580 --> 00:12:35,500 就知道这里分歧比较严重 223 00:12:39,549 --> 00:12:42,909 你看纳指不是这个标普呢也是十字星啊 224 00:12:42,909 --> 00:12:43,710 有人说啊 225 00:12:43,710 --> 00:12:46,879 其实这多头已经不愿意太深跌了 226 00:12:47,120 --> 00:12:48,320 有点这意思哈 227 00:12:48,320 --> 00:12:49,460 有点这意思 228 00:12:49,460 --> 00:12:52,019 我们看一下5分钟图 229 00:12:52,539 --> 00:12:56,860 你看哎欧洲时段是在这哈盘前在这里掉下来 230 00:12:56,860 --> 00:12:57,950 又弹起来了 231 00:12:57,950 --> 00:13:00,509 所以我们也可以画一个下跌小趋势线啊 232 00:13:00,509 --> 00:13:03,610 去看一看接下来一个时段能不能上去 233 00:13:03,610 --> 00:13:06,289 还是继续震荡下行 234 00:13:06,850 --> 00:13:09,690 有时空头空头其实不是那么坚持的 235 00:13:10,149 --> 00:13:12,049 有点儿这意思 236 00:13:15,159 --> 00:13:18,159 好说可以距离吗 237 00:13:18,159 --> 00:13:19,379 有人就担心啊 238 00:13:19,379 --> 00:13:21,409 应该是也可以哈 239 00:13:21,409 --> 00:13:22,889 因为十字星K线嘛 240 00:13:22,889 --> 00:13:27,399 就是就是说今天没有特别明显的倾向啊 241 00:13:27,399 --> 00:13:30,690 啊但是科技股呢还是略微跌了一点哈 242 00:13:31,049 --> 00:13:33,309 我们看一下黄金 243 00:13:33,309 --> 00:13:36,629 今天黄金是给了一个中等强度的阴线哈 244 00:13:36,629 --> 00:13:40,134 里面下行的潜力可能要大开 245 00:13:40,948 --> 00:13:42,889 下行的空间要打开 246 00:13:42,889 --> 00:13:44,109 看一下5分钟图 247 00:13:46,919 --> 00:13:50,019 我们在这里画了一个支撑位啊 248 00:13:50,019 --> 00:13:51,340 你看他有点跌破 249 00:13:51,340 --> 00:13:53,318 当然他也可以再拉上去哈 250 00:13:53,318 --> 00:13:56,038 唉所以下一个时段观察是继续震荡下行 251 00:13:56,038 --> 00:13:59,658 还是拉上去继续震荡对吧 252 00:14:00,269 --> 00:14:03,750 那我们可以把下跌趋向可以换成它画到这里来 253 00:14:03,750 --> 00:14:05,470 因为这里创了新低嘛 254 00:14:05,470 --> 00:14:08,578 等待右侧走多会好一点哈 255 00:14:08,578 --> 00:14:10,458 因为日线图是阴线啊 256 00:14:10,458 --> 00:14:12,678 所以贸然在做多有点难度啊 257 00:14:12,678 --> 00:14:16,458 但还是阴线是吧 258 00:14:22,179 --> 00:14:25,620 看下日内的情况嗯 259 00:14:26,309 --> 00:14:27,990 画好下季曲线吧 260 00:14:27,990 --> 00:14:29,169 看一看得了 261 00:14:29,169 --> 00:14:31,350 不要做这个图 262 00:14:33,168 --> 00:14:34,048 那综合来看 263 00:14:34,048 --> 00:14:37,109 今天的科技股表现不是太理想啊 264 00:14:37,109 --> 00:14:40,408 我们看一下市场的表现 265 00:14:41,740 --> 00:14:43,360 半导体软件 266 00:14:43,360 --> 00:14:45,340 消费电子都是下跌的哈 267 00:14:45,340 --> 00:14:46,860 互联网啊 268 00:14:46,860 --> 00:14:49,179 微微的上涨一点点 269 00:14:49,500 --> 00:14:52,100 航空航天和国防是微涨一点点哈 270 00:14:52,100 --> 00:14:54,639 这里医药涨一点点 271 00:14:54,960 --> 00:14:57,080 汽车是下跌 272 00:14:57,639 --> 00:15:01,399 半导体设备与材料微涨上涨一点点 273 00:15:01,399 --> 00:15:07,359 计算机硬件和通信设备下跌幅度比较明显嗯 274 00:15:08,918 --> 00:15:10,879 应用软件下跌哈 275 00:15:11,200 --> 00:15:13,480 所以你看这些行业有涨有跌 276 00:15:13,480 --> 00:15:16,320 但是好像跌的幅度会略大一点哈 277 00:15:16,320 --> 00:15:20,379 这是纳指下跌的这个原因 278 00:15:21,740 --> 00:15:25,639 嗯领涨的板块我们比较熟悉的是DKNG啊 279 00:15:25,639 --> 00:15:27,019 是博彩领域 280 00:15:27,019 --> 00:15:28,539 我们看一眼 281 00:15:29,500 --> 00:15:33,299 哎呀这图呢有可能是要质地哈 282 00:15:33,990 --> 00:15:36,029 因为你要是在这儿画支撑位的话 283 00:15:36,029 --> 00:15:37,230 差不多 284 00:15:38,539 --> 00:15:41,899 你要是局部的下跌趋势线呢 285 00:15:41,899 --> 00:15:43,460 这样一画诶 286 00:15:43,460 --> 00:15:45,419 今天有点突破的意味是吧 287 00:15:45,419 --> 00:15:49,470 所以多头有可能迎来一个啊反弹的一个空间哈 288 00:15:49,470 --> 00:15:52,490 这里有80%左右的一个利润空间 289 00:15:52,490 --> 00:15:53,710 那么更高的话 290 00:15:53,710 --> 00:15:56,539 实际上是要去测试最高位的阻力区啊 291 00:15:56,539 --> 00:15:58,360 这也是80% 292 00:15:58,360 --> 00:16:01,769 那更高是大概160%嗯 293 00:16:01,995 --> 00:16:03,450 好DOTTER 294 00:16:03,450 --> 00:16:06,289 可以关注继续拉升的潜力 295 00:16:08,299 --> 00:16:09,799 我们看一下啊 296 00:16:09,799 --> 00:16:15,879 这个rocket rocket这东西嗯 297 00:16:15,879 --> 00:16:17,039 我们之前分析过这个啊 298 00:16:17,039 --> 00:16:18,860 好像没有没有怎么跟进啊 299 00:16:18,860 --> 00:16:19,860 算了啊 300 00:16:19,860 --> 00:16:22,929 大家还是等那个4space x上市 301 00:16:22,929 --> 00:16:27,629 咱们再找相关的那个标的去跟进研究对吧 302 00:16:27,629 --> 00:16:32,179 嗯嗯其他的都不是我们喜欢的行业 303 00:16:32,179 --> 00:16:35,639 好我们回到我们的龙头股 304 00:16:37,019 --> 00:16:39,500 你看今天领涨的呃 305 00:16:39,500 --> 00:16:40,580 有台积电哈 306 00:16:40,580 --> 00:16:41,899 我们看哈 307 00:16:43,320 --> 00:16:45,620 你看K线和纳指是一样的哈 308 00:16:45,620 --> 00:16:46,980 和标普都是一样的 309 00:16:46,980 --> 00:16:48,480 往下掉又弹了起来 310 00:16:48,480 --> 00:16:51,379 表明在测试这根上涨趋势线的过程中 311 00:16:51,379 --> 00:16:53,100 空头还是有点犹豫 312 00:16:53,100 --> 00:16:55,879 这对来多头来说是一件好事哈 313 00:16:55,879 --> 00:16:57,879 但不是所有的图片都是这种 314 00:16:57,879 --> 00:17:00,470 我们看一下它的5分钟图 315 00:17:00,830 --> 00:17:03,029 嗯啊又掉了回来 316 00:17:03,029 --> 00:17:03,929 又围了起来 317 00:17:03,929 --> 00:17:06,269 这样的话我们的下跌趋势线实际上应该这么调 318 00:17:07,470 --> 00:17:09,670 跟大盘保持一致哈 319 00:17:10,259 --> 00:17:12,638 好有说这真难下跌啊 320 00:17:12,638 --> 00:17:15,239 嗯有点那意思好 321 00:17:15,239 --> 00:17:17,659 明天继续观察这篇哈 322 00:17:19,839 --> 00:17:22,400 嗯反正日线图没有跌破这个趋势线啊 323 00:17:23,559 --> 00:17:26,400 另外就是阿斯迈尔也是一样啊 324 00:17:26,400 --> 00:17:27,680 而且还稍涨一点点 325 00:17:32,640 --> 00:17:34,059 好这是这两个哈 326 00:17:34,059 --> 00:17:39,119 磨下谷歌谷歌今天是啊小反弹啊 327 00:17:39,119 --> 00:17:41,679 但是啊不是太理想的多头K线 328 00:17:41,679 --> 00:17:46,239 表明当前的支撑位还是有一定的力度支撑啊 329 00:17:46,239 --> 00:17:46,898 有效哈 330 00:17:46,898 --> 00:17:50,148 目前来看我们看一下5分钟图 331 00:17:50,769 --> 00:17:52,888 哎市场再次掉到这个下边 332 00:17:52,888 --> 00:17:54,209 我画的这个支撑位哈 333 00:17:54,209 --> 00:17:56,088 又弹了起来是吧 334 00:17:56,088 --> 00:17:58,969 你看又弹了起来啊 335 00:17:58,969 --> 00:18:02,799 但是其实趋势还没有强劲的拉升哈 336 00:18:02,799 --> 00:18:05,769 所以它实际上还是在局部震荡 337 00:18:05,769 --> 00:18:09,269 这震荡区间你看就这么大啊 338 00:18:09,269 --> 00:18:12,049 他这个K线收线正好收在中间位置啊 339 00:18:12,049 --> 00:18:13,940 所以多头要提防啊 340 00:18:13,940 --> 00:18:16,900 进一步下挫的可能性或者是恢复上涨 341 00:18:16,900 --> 00:18:19,220 你看这个震荡行情还是比较标准啊 342 00:18:19,220 --> 00:18:22,009 比较齐平的一个震荡行情 343 00:18:22,009 --> 00:18:25,970 所以今天其实没有明显的上涨或下跌的倾向啊 344 00:18:25,970 --> 00:18:27,430 大家继续观察哈 345 00:18:27,430 --> 00:18:29,289 下一个交易日 346 00:18:30,190 --> 00:18:30,670 是吧 347 00:18:30,670 --> 00:18:31,509 你看日线图 348 00:18:32,750 --> 00:18:35,109 他实际上就是几根黑线在这里横盘是吧 349 00:18:35,109 --> 00:18:38,710 但如果他选择强势下破这个支撑位啊 350 00:18:38,710 --> 00:18:39,910 就要注意风险了 351 00:18:39,910 --> 00:18:43,190 因为我们近期的下跌券还是这么画的 352 00:18:43,190 --> 00:18:45,009 你看这个十字星K线 353 00:18:45,009 --> 00:18:48,210 这根十字星K线实际上它没有明显的倾向 354 00:18:48,210 --> 00:18:49,109 它是要跌呢 355 00:18:49,109 --> 00:18:51,089 还是要恢复上涨 356 00:18:51,289 --> 00:18:53,049 今天没有给出答案 357 00:18:53,049 --> 00:18:55,289 好继续观察 358 00:18:58,759 --> 00:19:00,460 我们看一下英伟达吧 359 00:19:02,680 --> 00:19:03,799 又弹了起来 360 00:19:03,799 --> 00:19:06,680 微跌0.2% 361 00:19:07,420 --> 00:19:08,519 看这个K线呢 362 00:19:08,519 --> 00:19:09,900 实际上多头更喜欢啊 363 00:19:09,900 --> 00:19:12,119 因为下影线极长 364 00:19:12,559 --> 00:19:15,599 还下5分钟图嗯 365 00:19:16,960 --> 00:19:19,160 我们说要观察这根下跌线 366 00:19:19,160 --> 00:19:20,700 右侧点位能不能给出来 367 00:19:20,700 --> 00:19:22,599 今天没有给出来 368 00:19:23,079 --> 00:19:24,880 所以明天有可能给出来啊 369 00:19:24,880 --> 00:19:29,609 因为新跌下跌的空投的意图挫败了啊 370 00:19:29,609 --> 00:19:31,529 微型反转还是微的比较厉害 371 00:19:31,529 --> 00:19:36,650 这样的话看明天能不能突破回调止跌一下对吧 372 00:19:36,650 --> 00:19:39,609 那么这条下跌腿实际上已经一个小五浪了 373 00:19:39,609 --> 00:19:45,009 还是有可能止跌的嗯这是当前结构上哈 374 00:19:45,009 --> 00:19:48,200 对多头有利的一个形态 375 00:19:48,200 --> 00:19:51,319 是一个前代的看涨形态是吧 376 00:19:51,319 --> 00:19:54,429 但是呢我们还是需要右侧点位来直接确认一下 377 00:19:54,429 --> 00:19:55,788 因为有时候啊震荡下行 378 00:19:55,788 --> 00:19:57,148 它会一直震荡下行 379 00:19:57,148 --> 00:19:59,368 你只是看起来它才有止跌哈 380 00:19:59,368 --> 00:20:02,669 但实际上能不能直接的 381 00:20:03,150 --> 00:20:06,150 不过看起来止跌的概率还是高一点啊 382 00:20:06,819 --> 00:20:09,299 好这是英伟达 383 00:20:10,980 --> 00:20:11,220 好 384 00:20:11,220 --> 00:20:13,369 其他的我们刚才提到了博通 385 00:20:13,369 --> 00:20:15,970 博通也类似昨天的K线 386 00:20:15,970 --> 00:20:17,349 虽然说收涨一点点 387 00:20:17,349 --> 00:20:18,930 是跳空高开导致的 388 00:20:18,930 --> 00:20:20,730 它今天属于跳空 389 00:20:20,730 --> 00:20:22,230 也是属于天空高开 390 00:20:22,230 --> 00:20:23,930 因为昨天收盘价在这哈 391 00:20:23,930 --> 00:20:25,329 今天收盘价跳上去了 392 00:20:25,329 --> 00:20:26,609 冲高一下又砸下来 393 00:20:26,609 --> 00:20:27,500 又弹了起来 394 00:20:27,500 --> 00:20:30,619 我们这里还是震荡偏空的一个状态 395 00:20:30,619 --> 00:20:33,730 我们看一下5分钟图嗯 396 00:20:35,049 --> 00:20:36,130 按照我们的画法呢 397 00:20:36,130 --> 00:20:39,089 我们应该把下跌顺线调整到这里来 398 00:20:40,380 --> 00:20:43,140 哎我们看到多头再次尝试突破 399 00:20:43,140 --> 00:20:45,019 这个下跌趋势线啊 400 00:20:45,019 --> 00:20:46,849 有所突破的迹象 401 00:20:46,849 --> 00:20:48,809 所以明天如果能延续止跌的话 402 00:20:48,809 --> 00:20:49,970 就没没事了 403 00:20:49,970 --> 00:20:51,690 对吧嗯 404 00:20:52,210 --> 00:20:52,650 好 405 00:20:55,089 --> 00:20:56,779 我们看一下镁光 406 00:20:57,099 --> 00:20:59,019 镁光也是没有能有效砸破 407 00:20:59,019 --> 00:21:00,779 我们的长的上涨趋势线 408 00:21:00,779 --> 00:21:03,099 又弹了起来又弹了起来 409 00:21:03,099 --> 00:21:06,099 按下5分钟图嗯好 410 00:21:06,099 --> 00:21:09,200 那这样的话明天有望之地哈 411 00:21:09,828 --> 00:21:13,788 今天其实下午盘就有止跌的强劲的表现啊 412 00:21:15,140 --> 00:21:15,660 好 413 00:21:15,660 --> 00:21:18,480 但是呢我们处在趋势线的临界位置 414 00:21:18,480 --> 00:21:20,059 往下跌的概率也是有的 415 00:21:20,059 --> 00:21:21,500 要注意 416 00:21:26,779 --> 00:21:29,380 可见这个局部震荡行情没有彻底的解除 417 00:21:30,380 --> 00:21:32,349 我们看见5分钟图 418 00:21:32,950 --> 00:21:35,710 你看和英伟达有类似之处哈 419 00:21:35,710 --> 00:21:38,029 就说我们画了一个局部的下跌趋势线 420 00:21:38,029 --> 00:21:39,349 他去尝试突破 421 00:21:39,349 --> 00:21:40,970 但是没能站上去 422 00:21:40,970 --> 00:21:43,210 而是选择了摘下来再谈起来 423 00:21:43,210 --> 00:21:44,609 所以这样的一个工作呢 424 00:21:44,609 --> 00:21:48,230 需要下一个交易日继续去测试多头儿的意愿 425 00:21:48,230 --> 00:21:50,170 多头没有坚持啊 426 00:21:50,170 --> 00:21:52,049 上去一点点就砸了回来 427 00:21:52,049 --> 00:21:55,470 所以明天能不能弄上去呢是吧 428 00:21:55,470 --> 00:22:00,470 今天没有给出答案好这也是这也是特斯拉哈 429 00:22:00,470 --> 00:22:03,329 特斯拉今天的空头略强一点点 430 00:22:05,619 --> 00:22:08,940 好我们看一下迈威尔科技啊 431 00:22:08,940 --> 00:22:09,940 你看这个图 432 00:22:09,940 --> 00:22:11,259 昨天天空高开啊 433 00:22:11,259 --> 00:22:12,400 在这里横盘震荡 434 00:22:12,400 --> 00:22:13,759 形成十字星K线 435 00:22:13,759 --> 00:22:14,960 虽然说收涨 436 00:22:14,960 --> 00:22:16,400 但是是缺口导致 437 00:22:16,400 --> 00:22:20,450 但是日内交易呢它实际上是一个均衡的状态 438 00:22:20,450 --> 00:22:23,500 那今天天空高开又砸盘啊 439 00:22:23,500 --> 00:22:28,089 所以啊这是一个非常复杂的一个形态哈 440 00:22:28,089 --> 00:22:30,210 其实多头没有那么坚持 441 00:22:30,210 --> 00:22:32,950 我们看5分钟图对吧 442 00:22:32,950 --> 00:22:34,170 昨天是拉上去了 443 00:22:34,170 --> 00:22:35,869 但今天又掉了下来 444 00:22:35,869 --> 00:22:36,509 这样的话 445 00:22:36,509 --> 00:22:40,369 我们也可以给他画一个局部的下跌趋势线啊 446 00:22:40,890 --> 00:22:44,569 我们也要重新观察能不能拉上去还是下跌 447 00:22:44,569 --> 00:22:46,589 反弹下跌好 448 00:22:46,589 --> 00:22:48,569 这是迈威尔科技 449 00:22:49,299 --> 00:22:50,619 不是说尾盘反弹 450 00:22:50,619 --> 00:22:52,359 它就明天一定会拉上去啊 451 00:22:52,359 --> 00:22:54,259 刚才我们看到这个英伟达也好 452 00:22:54,259 --> 00:22:54,900 特斯拉也好 453 00:22:54,900 --> 00:22:57,960 它实际上都有进一步震荡下行的潜力 454 00:22:57,960 --> 00:22:59,859 但这个每个股都不一样哈 455 00:22:59,859 --> 00:23:03,559 我们还要进一步观察多头回归的情况 456 00:23:04,000 --> 00:23:07,880 所以今天整体市场不是一个偏强多的一个状态 457 00:23:07,880 --> 00:23:10,609 对吧好 458 00:23:10,609 --> 00:23:11,849 我们先分析这几只 459 00:23:11,849 --> 00:23:14,829 典型的大家也可以看我们的会员视频哈 460 00:23:14,829 --> 00:23:17,250 以及我们的盘前的视频 461 00:23:17,250 --> 00:23:17,730 好 462 00:23:17,730 --> 00:23:19,109 我们下一个时段再见 463 00:23:19,109 --> 00:23:19,859 拜拜
评论采集失败
采集完成，该视频无弹幕