【视野环球财经】20260401美股 标普的地板和天花板！6月底前，JPM策略点位！上涨结束最容易的部分！CTA爆买位置在哪？重要个股一览！

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大家好

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欢迎回到视野

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环球财经

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我是RINO

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现在是美东时间26年4月1号

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周三晚上的8.15分

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首先声明一下啊

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今天虽然是愚人节

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但咱们今天所讲的内容没有一点点玩笑哈

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好今天的市场呢是继续反弹上涨

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标普和纳指今天是高开高走啊

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一路是上攻到压力位

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午后才开始承压回落

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收盘呢是回吐了部分的涨幅

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但总体表现依旧是不错的

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标普成份股有303只个股上涨

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198只下跌

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标普的11个板块只有能源和消费品下跌啊

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其他九个板块上涨

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那么市场呢现在最上涨啊

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就是最容易的两天已经是结束了啊

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非常非常的快

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已经是来到了压力位呃

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包括咱们昨天跟大家讲过的

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像标普s spy653到672

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今天攻上去压下来

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还有QQQ啊

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这个点位呢是在588~613

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同样是攻上去压下来好呃

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那么今天呢我会讲到几个比较关键的问题啊

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包括我对CCTA的流动性的更新呃

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因为他们现在啊已经是卖无可卖啊

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卖压非常的小

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咱们要关注一下什么地方他们会被打爆啊

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什么地方会拉爆他们

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让他们被动买入

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触发爆买上涨

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还有一个就是JPM的旗舰策略啊

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摩根大通那边是在3月31号结束之后

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已经有了更新

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那么现在呢

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他们的滚动策略会到6月底之前结束

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那么他们这个策略认为标普从现在开始

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到6月份

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地板和天花板在哪里

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还有呢今天呢会应大家的要求啊

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很多朋友说这个股票最近讲的少

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但是呢是因为他们点位没有怎么动啊

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所以今天我把从英伟达

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然后呢到镁光这一串我都给大家过一下好吧

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有一些没有变的呢

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也给大家展示一下

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有一些变化的给大家强调一下好额

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然后呢我们接着就开始一点点的来啊

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大家先别着急啊

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呃首先呢是今天的这个消息面呢

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依旧是相当的混乱啊

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给大家做一个总结啊

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呃另外呢我说一下

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昨天那是有一个信息的错误啊

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就是美国总统川普呢

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是在今天晚上的九点钟发表讲话啊

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也就是我现在节目大概上传的这个时间点吧

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不是早上的九点

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昨天的置顶评论呢

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我后来写了一个信息更正

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可能有很多朋友当时已经是看完了视频啊

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后来也没看呃

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估计是没有看到这条消息啊

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不过呢今天的行情呢也是一个等待行情啊

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该走的趋势他也走了啊

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也还是表现不错的

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等会看看九点之后

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那么总统会讲什么呃

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但是根据有一些媒体的报道呢

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其实有很多的细节已经都曝光了啊

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比如说他会可能聊一聊北约对吧

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包括呃继续的抨击一下北约

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在这场这个战争中没有给力

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然后呢还可能会宣布战争会逐渐的结束啊

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但还是会持续两到三周啊

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估计是这两点

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那么剩下的呢媒体没报道

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咱们也不知道他会讲什么好

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那么隔夜消息方面嗯

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川普总统说呢

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伊朗新的总统要求停火呃

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那么美国将在霍尔木兹开放的时候考虑停火

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这个就是咱们之前讲过的那个问题啊

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你到底是先释放人质

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然后咱们再谈

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还是呢你先把条件谈好再放人质

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当然伊朗那边给出的消息又是不一样的

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伊朗否认了要求停火的说法

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而且伊朗的议会的副议长表示说

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霍尔木兹海峡永远不会开放

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还有报道说呢

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阿联酋正在准备帮助美国及其盟友

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武力开放霍尔木兹海峡

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所以你看这个信息各方说法都不一样

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伊朗内部几派人马的说法也不一样

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当然这个是政治方面的谈判呢

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看上去大家都在释放一些烟雾弹

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军事方面的准备并没有停下来

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那么根据纽约时报的报道啊

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今天呃这个美国战争部呢

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实际上是已经呃做了一些新的准备准备

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在不久的将来啊

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把他在中东部署的这个A10

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雷电二型的攻击机呃

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也会成为这个叫做疣猪攻击机的

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机队规模扩大一倍呃根据这篇报道说呢

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是援引了美国呃战争部官员的报道

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除了这个地区已经有的

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十几架的A10攻击机外

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美国还增派了多达18架的疣猪攻击机

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那么这些飞机呢将被用于击沉霍尔木兹海峡

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要道的伊朗的船只

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并且打击伊朗境内的这个支持的

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这个民兵组织啊

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所以呢这是军事方面也在准备没有停下来

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国际油价方面呢

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今天呢确实是比昨天又进一步回落啊

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而且现在呢

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布伦特原油这边是回到了100的下方

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我给大家画了个框框啊

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这个目前形势如果出现了极大的缓和啊

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那么我认为布伦特原油应该跌破90啊

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应该跌破90是一个实质性的

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确实是市场已经放松了

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对于这场战争的压住啊

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这是我画了一个框框在这里啊

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90目前90~96的这个位置

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大家看一下

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这是一个合理的震荡区域

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那么美油方面大概是在85~88啊

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我认为美油跌破85之后

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那么也就预示着这个市场对于这场战争的计价

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开始在放松

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也就是市场呢整个朝着利好的方向在发展好吧

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所以呢大家自行关注一下好

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接下来呢过一下重要的经济数据啊

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简单的过一下

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有三个数据

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首先呢是美国的3月的ADP哈

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这个DP小非农人数是增加了6.2万

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与前1月的6.6万是基本持平啊

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这个是修正过了啊

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6.3上修到6.6

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高于预期的4万

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那么中位工资方面呢

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呃

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留职者的工资增长是保持在4.5%不变

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跳槽工作的工资增长从6.3上升到百分之

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增长6.6

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另外2月的零售表现得不错

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呃

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整个的2月零售的环比是增长了

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0.6%啊

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高于预期的0.4

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那么呈现出强劲的反弹

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创下了七个月来的新高

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那么之前呢是下降了0.2

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这次的反弹主要是得益于百货商店增长

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3%

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保健及个人护理用品商店增长2.3%

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还有服装增长2%的销售额的增长

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第三个数据呢是美国的3月的SM的制造业

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采购经理人指数

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这个是从52.4L到了52.7

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高于预期的52.3

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那么价格指数呢是有所上涨

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是跑到了78.3啊

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预期是72.5

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前值只有70.5

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那么这个可能和伊朗的这个冲突

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导致的供应链呃有一定的这个关系啊

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还有新订单指数呢

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从55.8降到了53.5

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那么就业指数基本持平是48.7啊

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和上年同期是一样的

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好这个呢就是几个经济数据

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那么接下来咱们就在讲

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这个重要的机构的流动性

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包括呃JPM的新的策略的天花板和地板

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好我还是给大家打开一下标普啊

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这个呢是在今天更新的啊

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再次强调

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虽然是4月1号

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但咱们这里财经的节目没有愚人节啊

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咱们这个财经节目信息呃

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这个没有跟大家开玩笑哈

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好第一个是CCTA呢

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由于在这一波的下行过程中

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它触发了所有的中呃

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短期中期和长期点位

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所以他一直是卖方

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甚至卖成了空头持仓啊

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持有了空头的头寸

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当然在过去的两天时间里边

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他们已经是损失惨重好

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那么现在呢他们其实啊要卖的东西也不多了

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没什么可卖的

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大家可以看到我这里很明确的给大家写出来啊

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卖的话大概是卖50亿

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非常的小

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在横盘状况下

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上涨状况下

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下跌状况下

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他们都是卖啊

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但是卖极小极小

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大家可以忽略不计

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但是呢一旦上涨超出了某些位置

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它有470亿要买这个买盘

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就比养老金的那个规模还要更大一些

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那么什么地方会触发呢

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上涨突破6735和6738

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会出现爆买的情况

219
00:09:08,799 --> 00:09:11,480
那那种情况只要利好消息同时推动

220
00:09:11,480 --> 00:09:14,240
那么相信价格呢会直接被拉爆啊

221
00:09:14,240 --> 00:09:16,200
那这个情况呢就非常的好了对吧

222
00:09:16,200 --> 00:09:20,269
因为正好在67356738其实是这个位置

223
00:09:20,269 --> 00:09:23,279
大家看一下这个地方的一个强压力位

224
00:09:23,279 --> 00:09:26,100
可以帮助很顺利的突破这个强压力

225
00:09:26,100 --> 00:09:29,970
但是能不能突破上方的6800~6980

226
00:09:29,970 --> 00:09:32,730
这个就看看大家跟不跟了啊

227
00:09:32,730 --> 00:09:33,450
那个时候啊

228
00:09:33,450 --> 00:09:35,230
反正他们到时候就是转买了啊

229
00:09:35,230 --> 00:09:38,769
所以这是CCTA的重要的策略

230
00:09:38,769 --> 00:09:41,830
好呃那么这个策略更新完了之后

231
00:09:41,830 --> 00:09:45,009
还有一个更加重要的是摩根大通

232
00:09:45,009 --> 00:09:48,559
我们之前在上个月接近月底的时候

233
00:09:48,559 --> 00:09:50,720
不是讲了很多关于这个摩根大通

234
00:09:50,720 --> 00:09:52,279
大通的这个j pm collar

235
00:09:52,279 --> 00:09:55,950
就是领口或者叫领圈策略的那个点位吗

236
00:09:55,950 --> 00:09:57,549
他们每个季度会更新一下

237
00:09:57,549 --> 00:09:59,029
而且中间呢是不会调仓

238
00:09:59,029 --> 00:10:01,340
所以这个点位呢一旦确定下来了

239
00:10:01,340 --> 00:10:02,879
就是一个固定的点位

240
00:10:02,879 --> 00:10:04,820
代表了在未来的一个季度

241
00:10:04,820 --> 00:10:07,740
他们对于市场的天花板和地板的看法的

242
00:10:07,740 --> 00:10:08,940
大范围的一个压注啊

243
00:10:08,940 --> 00:10:11,078
大概率的一个压注啊

244
00:10:11,078 --> 00:10:14,958
好我调出月线级别给大家看一下

245
00:10:16,659 --> 00:10:19,700
好大家可以看到现在呢我给大家写到这里了啊

246
00:10:19,700 --> 00:10:21,360
因为这个枪械面的图表比较少

247
00:10:21,360 --> 00:10:22,950
比较容易分辨

248
00:10:22,950 --> 00:10:25,149
大家可以看到这个上面的点位

249
00:10:25,149 --> 00:10:26,830
是不是觉得呃看不懂对吧

250
00:10:26,830 --> 00:10:27,190
没关系

251
00:10:27,190 --> 00:10:28,779
我给大家解释一下啊

252
00:10:28,779 --> 00:10:31,259
这个点位他重置之后啊

253
00:10:31,259 --> 00:10:32,809
6月30号到期

254
00:10:32,809 --> 00:10:35,450
新的开仓是long put啊

255
00:10:35,450 --> 00:10:37,490
就是put6150

256
00:10:37,490 --> 00:10:38,970
大概是我说一个范围是在

257
00:10:38,970 --> 00:10:40,779
6150~6180

258
00:10:40,779 --> 00:10:42,100
为什么说一个范围呢

259
00:10:42,100 --> 00:10:44,679
因为这个点位有一点点的变化

260
00:10:44,679 --> 00:10:48,679
由于现在啊还是在这个重新重置的初期

261
00:10:48,679 --> 00:10:50,639
他其中呢和做市商的交易

262
00:10:50,639 --> 00:10:52,919
有一些是这个叫block trade

263
00:10:52,919 --> 00:10:56,559
这种block trade呢有的时候啊做市商需要消化吸收

264
00:10:56,559 --> 00:10:58,559
所以大家最近如果看到说啊

265
00:10:58,559 --> 00:10:59,919
那6150~6000呃

266
00:10:59,919 --> 00:11:02,289
这个6180之间

267
00:11:02,289 --> 00:11:05,570
没有任何的特别大的未平仓期权

268
00:11:05,570 --> 00:11:06,389
正常的啊

269
00:11:06,389 --> 00:11:08,769
因为做市商这个还没有映射到期权

270
00:11:08,769 --> 00:11:10,929
未平仓期权上要过个几天

271
00:11:10,929 --> 00:11:12,330
大概过个两三天啊

272
00:11:12,330 --> 00:11:13,610
最多不会超过五天

273
00:11:13,610 --> 00:11:15,570
就能看到更精确的点位

274
00:11:15,570 --> 00:11:18,519
但是范围大概就是在6150和

275
00:11:18,519 --> 00:11:19,799
到6180啊

276
00:11:19,799 --> 00:11:21,399
大概率是在6150左右

277
00:11:21,399 --> 00:11:23,450
因为6150出现的比较多的

278
00:11:23,450 --> 00:11:25,389
大的一个成交量好

279
00:11:25,389 --> 00:11:27,480
这是大概是轻的

280
00:11:27,480 --> 00:11:29,139
做空的是在6150

281
00:11:29,139 --> 00:11:30,399
那么在short put

282
00:11:30,399 --> 00:11:31,720
就是在sell put这边

283
00:11:31,720 --> 00:11:35,269
是在5190~5210啊

284
00:11:35,269 --> 00:11:36,110
非常低的位置对吧

285
00:11:36,110 --> 00:11:37,529
这是他们策略要求啊

286
00:11:37,529 --> 00:11:39,850
那么上方呢还有一个short call啊

287
00:11:39,850 --> 00:11:40,909
也叫SCOE

288
00:11:40,909 --> 00:11:44,509
是在6840~6865

289
00:11:44,509 --> 00:11:48,328
那么这个就是他的一个三条腿的这个策略

290
00:11:48,328 --> 00:11:51,129
好这个呢大家可能说那还是不懂啊

291
00:11:51,129 --> 00:11:51,808
不懂没关系

292
00:11:51,808 --> 00:11:54,370
我给大家直接解释一下看法是什么

293
00:11:54,370 --> 00:11:56,570
对标普来讲代表什么

294
00:11:56,570 --> 00:12:02,519
代表着JPM的旗舰基金在6月30号之前

295
00:12:02,519 --> 00:12:06,379
策略压住的大概率的波动范围

296
00:12:06,379 --> 00:12:11,509
他们认为标普下方6150是地板

297
00:12:11,750 --> 00:12:16,830
上方6865是天花板两端

298
00:12:16,830 --> 00:12:21,529
凡是超出这些范围的都称之为风险啊

299
00:12:21,529 --> 00:12:24,309
下行风险和上行风险啊

300
00:12:24,309 --> 00:12:25,830
他们就不受控了啊

301
00:12:25,830 --> 00:12:29,078
就代表他们呢是超出了他们的预期

302
00:12:29,078 --> 00:12:32,839
好这个策略点位下面的6150

303
00:12:32,839 --> 00:12:35,399
还有上方的6800点左右

304
00:12:35,399 --> 00:12:42,129
其实呢和我给大家谈到的关于标普的这个下方

305
00:12:42,129 --> 00:12:43,929
还有上方的这个压力的

306
00:12:43,929 --> 00:12:46,549
这个看法呢几乎是一致的

307
00:12:46,549 --> 00:12:49,019
那么我谈到下方

308
00:12:49,019 --> 00:12:53,909
如果两个月内霍尔木兹海峡开放的前提下

309
00:12:53,909 --> 00:12:56,750
下方越接近6100点

310
00:12:56,750 --> 00:12:58,289
越是底部

311
00:12:58,289 --> 00:13:01,129
那么上方呢目前是以反弹对待

312
00:13:01,129 --> 00:13:02,470
有两个强压力

313
00:13:02,470 --> 00:13:06,419
那么比较强的这个6800~6980

314
00:13:06,419 --> 00:13:10,100
过了之后才叫计入右侧重回新高啊

315
00:13:10,100 --> 00:13:12,820
在这之前都叫承压啊

316
00:13:12,820 --> 00:13:16,179
这个承压随时遇到利空或者市场信心不足

317
00:13:16,179 --> 00:13:18,220
有可能会被卖下来

318
00:13:18,539 --> 00:13:20,019
好这个看法呢

319
00:13:20,019 --> 00:13:22,980
那看来跟这个摩根大通的这种这个点位压注的

320
00:13:22,980 --> 00:13:24,440
看法是趋同一致的啊

321
00:13:24,440 --> 00:13:27,659
那我相信很多机构的看法大概也是这么个情况

322
00:13:27,659 --> 00:13:28,580
好额

323
00:13:28,580 --> 00:13:33,460
那么超出了这些的都属于叫超出预期

324
00:13:33,460 --> 00:13:35,740
出现了小概率事件

325
00:13:35,740 --> 00:13:38,179
那么这里呢我一定要跟大家解释一下

326
00:13:38,179 --> 00:13:41,970
就是大家一定要注意这个策略点位啊

327
00:13:41,970 --> 00:13:45,809
我刚才讲的下方的这个6150

328
00:13:45,809 --> 00:13:48,610
上方的6865

329
00:13:48,610 --> 00:13:52,470
这个地板和天花板他都只叫大概率啊

330
00:13:52,470 --> 00:13:55,740
不叫百分之百金融市场啊

331
00:13:55,740 --> 00:13:57,019
我一直在强调一点

332
00:13:57,019 --> 00:13:58,519
它没有百分之百

333
00:13:58,519 --> 00:13:59,500
如果有

334
00:13:59,500 --> 00:14:03,080
那么期权就有百分百分之百获胜的概率

335
00:14:03,080 --> 00:14:05,419
这是不符合数学的

336
00:14:05,419 --> 00:14:09,599
那也就意味着期权定价公式失效了

337
00:14:09,599 --> 00:14:11,038
如果有人告诉你啊

338
00:14:11,038 --> 00:14:11,798
他有方法

339
00:14:11,798 --> 00:14:14,889
在期权市场能够有百分之百成功的策略

340
00:14:14,889 --> 00:14:18,690
那这个人他就可以重写期权定价公式

341
00:14:18,690 --> 00:14:21,750
也同时可以拿到诺贝尔经济学奖

342
00:14:21,750 --> 00:14:24,190
所以我这里呢还是提醒大家一下啊

343
00:14:24,190 --> 00:14:26,070
不管大家在什么样的途径

344
00:14:26,070 --> 00:14:28,200
在学习期权的过程中

345
00:14:28,200 --> 00:14:30,220
请尊重数学

346
00:14:30,220 --> 00:14:33,269
避免落入邪修的陷阱

347
00:14:33,590 --> 00:14:36,509
好这个呢是对于几个点位跟大家讲完了

348
00:14:36,509 --> 00:14:39,009
相信大家心里边大概也有一个谱了啊

349
00:14:39,009 --> 00:14:39,409
好

350
00:14:39,409 --> 00:14:43,850
接下来呢我把重要的个股给大家快速的过一下

351
00:14:47,259 --> 00:14:49,159
好首先说英伟达呃

352
00:14:49,159 --> 00:14:53,580
英伟达这边呢今天这个没有杀出重围啊

353
00:14:53,580 --> 00:14:56,120
嗯175强压力对吧

354
00:14:56,120 --> 00:14:56,860
跌破之后

355
00:14:56,860 --> 00:14:59,019
张邦这个地方没有杀出重围

356
00:14:59,019 --> 00:15:02,960
所以呢基本上走势和标普纳指是差不多的对吧

357
00:15:02,960 --> 00:15:04,039
大家看的也比较清楚

358
00:15:04,039 --> 00:15:05,399
几乎的走势是一样的

359
00:15:05,399 --> 00:15:07,549
它可以代表大盘了啊

360
00:15:07,549 --> 00:15:09,509
所以还是要继续等待啊

361
00:15:09,509 --> 00:15:12,230
这个要过了再说上方两个强压力

362
00:15:12,230 --> 00:15:13,029
Md

363
00:15:13,029 --> 00:15:13,850
今天涨的不错

364
00:15:13,850 --> 00:15:17,480
他有什么新的故事吗

365
00:15:17,480 --> 00:15:20,379
嗯结论是也没有位置呢

366
00:15:20,379 --> 00:15:23,220
210222仍旧没有过

367
00:15:23,220 --> 00:15:24,759
刚刚摸到而已啊

368
00:15:24,759 --> 00:15:25,940
刚刚才摸到

369
00:15:25,940 --> 00:15:27,820
所以没有什么进展啊

370
00:15:27,820 --> 00:15:29,769
还在继续等

371
00:15:30,370 --> 00:15:31,809
特斯拉

372
00:15:32,539 --> 00:15:36,480
特斯拉呢跌破上方的420之后陷入震荡波段

373
00:15:36,480 --> 00:15:37,980
下方曾触及过啊

374
00:15:37,980 --> 00:15:40,190
352触及过这个这个区域

375
00:15:40,190 --> 00:15:41,470
现在呢也是一样

376
00:15:41,470 --> 00:15:43,549
乒乓球弹下来弹上去

377
00:15:43,549 --> 00:15:45,230
那么无非就是弹的力度

378
00:15:45,230 --> 00:15:47,229
能不能弹到420而已啊

379
00:15:47,229 --> 00:15:48,989
这个就是力度的强弱的问题

380
00:15:48,989 --> 00:15:50,869
那现在呢才380对吧

381
00:15:50,869 --> 00:15:51,869
380~405

382
00:15:51,869 --> 00:15:52,948
这里还有个小压力呢

383
00:15:52,948 --> 00:15:54,668
当然小压力压力可以先不管啊

384
00:15:54,668 --> 00:15:57,279
只看这个两个上下呃

385
00:15:57,279 --> 00:15:58,700
沿这两个地方呢

386
00:15:58,700 --> 00:16:02,100
你想波段的朋友呢就是用盈亏比去思考

387
00:16:02,100 --> 00:16:03,470
越接近下沿

388
00:16:03,470 --> 00:16:05,009
你止损的就越小

389
00:16:05,009 --> 00:16:07,750
那么只要出现反弹往上方走

390
00:16:07,750 --> 00:16:10,210
那你过滤的这个空间就越大啊

391
00:16:10,210 --> 00:16:12,490
以这种方式你去思考380对吧

392
00:16:12,490 --> 00:16:14,980
上方420还有大概40块钱

393
00:16:14,980 --> 00:16:16,340
下方380呃

394
00:16:16,340 --> 00:16:17,460
现在市价380

395
00:16:17,460 --> 00:16:18,580
跌破315

396
00:16:18,580 --> 00:16:20,059
那还有差不多呃

397
00:16:20,059 --> 00:16:20,960
六七十块呢

398
00:16:20,960 --> 00:16:23,100
很明显这个盈亏比似乎不对对吧

399
00:16:23,100 --> 00:16:26,159
如果你在之前的350左右开了这个仓位

400
00:16:26,159 --> 00:16:27,879
那你这个盈亏比就是对的啊

401
00:16:27,879 --> 00:16:31,909
你的盈利的这个呃这个呃如果产生盈利

402
00:16:31,909 --> 00:16:34,789
它的获利空间就要大于产生的这个亏损啊

403
00:16:34,789 --> 00:16:35,529
潜在亏损

404
00:16:35,529 --> 00:16:38,309
所以现在这个位置呢这样经过两天的反弹呢

405
00:16:38,309 --> 00:16:40,304
它这个波段呢就又不好做了

406
00:16:40,490 --> 00:16:41,110
好

407
00:16:41,110 --> 00:16:42,529
然后是微软

408
00:16:44,289 --> 00:16:46,960
微软呢就是也是跌破了这个

409
00:16:46,960 --> 00:16:49,840
360~375的支撑之后反弹承压对吧

410
00:16:49,840 --> 00:16:51,259
现在先要回到375上方

411
00:16:51,259 --> 00:16:55,620
才能够确认他是能够暂时站稳啊

412
00:16:55,620 --> 00:16:57,039
暂时站站稳

413
00:16:57,039 --> 00:16:59,200
他想要回到上行还很早

414
00:16:59,200 --> 00:17:01,059
还要突破430好吧

415
00:17:01,059 --> 00:17:03,740
所以呢这也是一个震荡看待啊

416
00:17:03,740 --> 00:17:05,700
目前也没有杀出重围

417
00:17:06,769 --> 00:17:09,009
亚马逊情况也是一样啊

418
00:17:09,009 --> 00:17:10,880
上方跌破219之后

419
00:17:10,880 --> 00:17:12,680
目前呢是在210啊

420
00:17:12,680 --> 00:17:14,480
同样下方强支撑

421
00:17:14,480 --> 00:17:17,759
上方强压力震荡也是没有杀出重围

422
00:17:17,759 --> 00:17:19,559
仍旧在等待

423
00:17:20,849 --> 00:17:24,230
谷歌之前跌破311做头之后

424
00:17:24,230 --> 00:17:27,930
现在反弹去测试这个压力和大盘走势一致

425
00:17:27,930 --> 00:17:29,880
所以也是一样的情况啊

426
00:17:29,880 --> 00:17:32,170
看能不能回到325上方

427
00:17:32,170 --> 00:17:33,569
确认它能不能够企稳

428
00:17:33,569 --> 00:17:36,150
不然的话还是有可能承压下行

429
00:17:36,150 --> 00:17:38,650
然后呢继续走下方的强支撑

430
00:17:39,349 --> 00:17:42,549
好苹果呢呃这个就没啥好说的了

431
00:17:42,549 --> 00:17:43,630
之前已经跌破过

432
00:17:43,630 --> 00:17:45,460
然后现在长期震荡

433
00:17:45,460 --> 00:17:48,440
波动也是几个里边相对比较小的对吧

434
00:17:48,440 --> 00:17:50,119
所以这个就没什么可看的

435
00:17:50,119 --> 00:17:54,259
基本上也是在很小的范围横盘好

436
00:17:54,259 --> 00:17:55,690
博通很久没讲

437
00:17:55,690 --> 00:17:58,730
博通呢是在跌破了326之后啊

438
00:17:58,730 --> 00:18:00,369
这个地方曾经是做了一个头部

439
00:18:00,369 --> 00:18:02,130
所以他现在的最大的问题是

440
00:18:02,130 --> 00:18:03,559
技术性压制比较厉害

441
00:18:03,559 --> 00:18:08,519
回到363上方才能够延续上涨

442
00:18:08,519 --> 00:18:11,700
否则也是承压受阻的一个走势

443
00:18:11,700 --> 00:18:12,819
请大家注意啊

444
00:18:12,819 --> 00:18:14,720
不要太过于乐观

445
00:18:14,720 --> 00:18:15,940
很多朋友呢可能会想

446
00:18:15,940 --> 00:18:17,719
那博通最近走的不好

447
00:18:17,719 --> 00:18:19,098
这个marvel这边走得好

448
00:18:19,098 --> 00:18:21,659
两个都是定制芯片的这个龙头

449
00:18:21,659 --> 00:18:23,319
为什么会出现这么大区别

450
00:18:23,319 --> 00:18:26,699
区别就在于马维尔的技术面很好

451
00:18:26,699 --> 00:18:28,419
之前我们给大家给过技术面

452
00:18:28,419 --> 00:18:31,459
94块一突破之后上看109级上方

453
00:18:31,459 --> 00:18:33,549
你看他什么时候突破的

454
00:18:35,460 --> 00:18:37,579
星期三上个星期三啊

455
00:18:37,579 --> 00:18:39,160
已经是突破了

456
00:18:39,160 --> 00:18:42,299
突破了以后中间有过一次回踩对吧

457
00:18:42,299 --> 00:18:43,990
然后又突破

458
00:18:43,990 --> 00:18:47,069
然后今天又拉升107了

459
00:18:47,069 --> 00:18:49,910
最高基本上他这一波波段走完了都对吧

460
00:18:49,910 --> 00:18:52,259
他很快上去下来上去下来一下就走完了

461
00:18:52,259 --> 00:18:52,859
那这没办法

462
00:18:52,859 --> 00:18:54,099
你要没跟上呢

463
00:18:54,099 --> 00:18:54,980
这就跟不上了

464
00:18:54,980 --> 00:18:56,539
暂时啊因为上方空间没有了

465
00:18:56,539 --> 00:18:58,099
他还上看109级

466
00:18:58,099 --> 00:19:00,359
上方马上要接触到109的一个压力了

467
00:19:00,359 --> 00:19:01,960
上方的压力是在

468
00:19:01,960 --> 00:19:03,980
109~119的强压力啊

469
00:19:03,980 --> 00:19:06,359
109~119啊

470
00:19:06,359 --> 00:19:07,880
所以呢这个大家自己注意啊

471
00:19:07,880 --> 00:19:09,710
他是走的太快了

472
00:19:10,069 --> 00:19:12,269
李来李来呢

473
00:19:12,269 --> 00:19:14,049
下方在这个地方

474
00:19:14,049 --> 00:19:17,730
890928这个地方有企稳对吧

475
00:19:17,730 --> 00:19:20,109
然后呢八他是打到了880的下方

476
00:19:20,109 --> 00:19:21,309
最低是877嘛

477
00:19:21,309 --> 00:19:23,150
然后现在又回到了928上方

478
00:19:23,150 --> 00:19:25,250
这个支撑相当于是现在又回去了

479
00:19:25,250 --> 00:19:28,069
但是呢1000块钱强压力跌破之后

480
00:19:28,069 --> 00:19:29,160
之前是中等压力

481
00:19:29,160 --> 00:19:30,880
现在呢根据对比来讲

482
00:19:30,880 --> 00:19:32,400
我认为他应该是个强压力啊

483
00:19:32,400 --> 00:19:34,839
所以1000往上有两个强压力

484
00:19:34,839 --> 00:19:37,049
它的走势几乎和大盘也差不多

485
00:19:37,049 --> 00:19:37,890
做了一个头部

486
00:19:37,890 --> 00:19:38,490
上方看到没有

487
00:19:38,490 --> 00:19:40,690
大家这里很明显的一个头部啊

488
00:19:40,690 --> 00:19:41,329
我们看一下周线

489
00:19:41,329 --> 00:19:43,759
你就看出来了对吧

490
00:19:43,759 --> 00:19:46,529
这个地方一个一个一个比较大的一个

491
00:19:46,529 --> 00:19:48,529
头部的这个套牢盘在这里

492
00:19:48,529 --> 00:19:50,470
所以呢情况和标普差不多

493
00:19:50,470 --> 00:19:52,670
所以要往上去走的更多

494
00:19:52,670 --> 00:19:56,750
才才能够实现真正的大涨呃

495
00:19:56,750 --> 00:19:59,170
当然往下的这些位置是你吸筹的位置啊

496
00:19:59,170 --> 00:20:00,150
你要想吸的话

497
00:20:00,150 --> 00:20:01,230
之前给大家都标识过

498
00:20:01,230 --> 00:20:04,380
你要想吸慢慢吸好镁光

499
00:20:04,740 --> 00:20:07,460
美方的情况呢是跌破362做头

500
00:20:07,460 --> 00:20:09,539
然后呢反弹367啊

501
00:20:09,539 --> 00:20:10,619
现在没过

502
00:20:10,619 --> 00:20:12,960
仍旧是反弹承压

503
00:20:12,960 --> 00:20:14,809
反弹承压啊

504
00:20:14,809 --> 00:20:16,289
这是目前美光的情况啊

505
00:20:16,289 --> 00:20:17,789
并没有再次走强

506
00:20:17,789 --> 00:20:18,930
这都属于反弹

507
00:20:18,930 --> 00:20:20,089
因为它是高动量股票

508
00:20:20,089 --> 00:20:20,930
所以高动量股票

509
00:20:20,930 --> 00:20:23,380
今天反弹的都是相当相当不错的

510
00:20:23,380 --> 00:20:24,849
好吧好

511
00:20:24,849 --> 00:20:27,849
其他的呢NETFLIX是在横横向走啊

512
00:20:27,849 --> 00:20:29,009
这个就没什么可看的了

513
00:20:29,009 --> 00:20:30,490
非常横的太久了

514
00:20:30,490 --> 00:20:34,009
呃这个就属于没有什么不热了啊

515
00:20:34,009 --> 00:20:35,650
最近因为成交量一直在萎缩

516
00:20:35,650 --> 00:20:36,890
所以我最近没怎么讲它啊

517
00:20:36,890 --> 00:20:37,829
继续等一等吧

518
00:20:37,829 --> 00:20:39,769
没什么新话题啊

519
00:20:39,769 --> 00:20:41,609
呃SNDK这边呢

520
00:20:41,609 --> 00:20:43,809
之前在这一天那天我们给大家讲的时候

521
00:20:43,809 --> 00:20:44,589
大家还记得吗

522
00:20:44,589 --> 00:20:46,710
561跌破之后会做头

523
00:20:46,710 --> 00:20:49,519
当天开盘开到了这个多少呢

524
00:20:49,519 --> 00:20:52,440
开到了这个588还记得吗

525
00:20:52,440 --> 00:20:53,799
当天有一个开盘

526
00:20:53,799 --> 00:20:54,279
我们在这里

527
00:20:54,279 --> 00:20:55,279
周二周一讲的吧

528
00:20:55,279 --> 00:20:57,779
应该是他开盘开造了五八呃

529
00:20:57,779 --> 00:21:01,619
这个这个这个这个588这个地方上去了对吧

530
00:21:01,619 --> 00:21:02,420
又回去了

531
00:21:02,420 --> 00:21:06,079
回到了把这个强压力又给吃掉了对吧

532
00:21:06,079 --> 00:21:08,480
所以呢他差一点点

533
00:21:08,480 --> 00:21:10,599
当时差一点点就出现了

534
00:21:10,599 --> 00:21:12,990
比如如果是直接跳空下来的

535
00:21:12,990 --> 00:21:14,269
那他这个地方就做投了

536
00:21:14,269 --> 00:21:16,710
但现在他反而成了一个强势股对吧

537
00:21:16,710 --> 00:21:17,829
技术面的一个强势啊

538
00:21:17,829 --> 00:21:19,138
它上方没什么压力

539
00:21:19,138 --> 00:21:20,618
所以跟镁光的情况还不一样

540
00:21:20,618 --> 00:21:23,369
比镁光镁光的技术面还要稍微强一点

541
00:21:23,650 --> 00:21:26,569
好这个呢就是对于一些个股的跟踪啊

542
00:21:26,569 --> 00:21:29,730
跟大家简单也跟了一下指数层面的

543
00:21:29,730 --> 00:21:32,710
我们也讲的呢是7788对吧

544
00:21:32,710 --> 00:21:36,079
最近基本上每天差不多都带一下变化

545
00:21:36,079 --> 00:21:37,200
就没什么太大变化

546
00:21:37,200 --> 00:21:39,480
还是那刚才讲的以那些点位为主

547
00:21:39,480 --> 00:21:43,279
包括s spy的位置在这里

548
00:21:43,279 --> 00:21:46,349
653672和676~696

549
00:21:46,349 --> 00:21:48,269
然后纳指在这里啊

550
00:21:48,269 --> 00:21:49,650
588~613

551
00:21:49,650 --> 00:21:53,039
然后上方是617~628

552
00:21:53,039 --> 00:21:57,599
好这个呢就是对于呃目前的一个状况的跟踪吧

553
00:21:57,599 --> 00:22:00,539
因为毕竟呢又是重启了新的一个月

554
00:22:00,539 --> 00:22:03,460
而且现在马上现在等会我上传节目的时候

555
00:22:03,460 --> 00:22:05,099
应该就是正在讲话啊

556
00:22:05,099 --> 00:22:06,220
不知道会讲什么啊

557
00:22:06,220 --> 00:22:07,500
希望是带来好消息

558
00:22:07,500 --> 00:22:08,920
市场当成利好处理

559
00:22:08,920 --> 00:22:10,460
目前的情况呢是

560
00:22:10,460 --> 00:22:12,519
市场处于一个横向波动的状况啊

561
00:22:12,519 --> 00:22:13,940
期货这边基本上也没动

562
00:22:13,940 --> 00:22:16,220
布伦特原油呢是小幅回落啊

563
00:22:16,220 --> 00:22:17,619
小幅回落看看能不能砸穿

564
00:22:17,619 --> 00:22:18,240
90块

565
00:22:18,240 --> 00:22:18,920
能砸穿

566
00:22:18,920 --> 00:22:20,799
那就是实质性的利好会出现啊

567
00:22:20,799 --> 00:22:22,589
机价就会反转

568
00:22:22,910 --> 00:22:26,009
好这个呢就是咱们今天节目的全部内容啊

569
00:22:26,009 --> 00:22:30,609
呃当然呃今天呢由于是咱们呃按照惯例啊

570
00:22:30,609 --> 00:22:33,730
今天是4月的第一个交易日呃

571
00:22:33,730 --> 00:22:34,930
每个月的第一个交易日呢

572
00:22:34,930 --> 00:22:37,490
我都希望找大家去讨个好彩头啊

573
00:22:37,490 --> 00:22:41,079
大家可以自愿赞助咖啡活络咱们的评论区

574
00:22:41,079 --> 00:22:43,519
咱们的咖啡赞助呢还是三条原则哈

575
00:22:43,519 --> 00:22:44,859
就是第一条呃

576
00:22:44,859 --> 00:22:46,680
在赞助的时候呢

577
00:22:46,680 --> 00:22:49,430
希望大家啊能够写上原因啊

578
00:22:49,430 --> 00:22:50,269
这是为什么

579
00:22:50,269 --> 00:22:50,950
因为这样呢

580
00:22:50,950 --> 00:22:53,910
我就知道在哪些方面帮到了大家以后呢

581
00:22:53,910 --> 00:22:55,980
在这些方面咱们就继续加强

582
00:22:55,980 --> 00:22:57,099
第二个原则是呢

583
00:22:57,099 --> 00:22:58,339
在过去的几天啊

584
00:22:58,339 --> 00:23:00,299
如果你已经送过咖啡的

585
00:23:00,299 --> 00:23:02,059
就不要再重复的送了啊

586
00:23:02,059 --> 00:23:04,099
你就帮忙点个赞就可以了

587
00:23:04,099 --> 00:23:06,240
第三如果因为地域限制问题

588
00:23:06,240 --> 00:23:08,079
没有办法在YOUTUBE上支付的

589
00:23:08,079 --> 00:23:09,539
不要找其他的渠道啊

590
00:23:09,539 --> 00:23:11,859
没有什么微信支付宝配套都没有啊

591
00:23:11,859 --> 00:23:13,680
千万不要上当受骗

592
00:23:13,680 --> 00:23:16,859
因为现在有很多冒充呃各种博主

593
00:23:16,859 --> 00:23:17,980
然后拉群啊

594
00:23:17,980 --> 00:23:18,559
干什么的

595
00:23:18,559 --> 00:23:19,299
我都没有啊

596
00:23:19,299 --> 00:23:20,920
我讲过我没有任何的群群啊

597
00:23:20,920 --> 00:23:23,079
就是和投资的这个群一个都没有好吧

598
00:23:23,079 --> 00:23:24,839
所以呢千万不要上当受骗

599
00:23:24,839 --> 00:23:26,440
不要去找这些途径

600
00:23:26,440 --> 00:23:28,670
大家只要点个赞

601
00:23:28,670 --> 00:23:30,650
那么我就心领了啊

602
00:23:30,650 --> 00:23:31,670
好意就心领了

603
00:23:31,670 --> 00:23:35,210
帮忙今天把这个点赞的总数和点赞率都冲上去

604
00:23:35,210 --> 00:23:37,960
就是一个好的这个彩头

605
00:23:37,960 --> 00:23:40,259
那么在过去的3月份呐

606
00:23:40,259 --> 00:23:44,009
整个的市场呢是中东这边战火纷飞

607
00:23:44,289 --> 00:23:46,450
大盘呢也是跌的稀里哗啦啊

608
00:23:46,450 --> 00:23:51,519
一直到最后一天呢才像样的往上去走了一走

609
00:23:51,519 --> 00:23:52,359
希望啊

610
00:23:52,359 --> 00:23:55,319
我个人是真的是希望4月份啊

611
00:23:55,319 --> 00:23:58,170
霍尔木兹海峡能够如期开通

612
00:23:58,170 --> 00:24:01,829
让美股呢是回到基本面为王

613
00:24:01,829 --> 00:24:06,210
摆脱日内消息反复摇摆带来的这个困扰啊

614
00:24:06,210 --> 00:24:09,789
呃这个呢就不仅为长线基本面投资的朋友

615
00:24:09,789 --> 00:24:14,170
也为一直在做波段的朋友带来更多的确定性

616
00:24:14,170 --> 00:24:17,519
更不顺畅的这种交易环境

617
00:24:17,519 --> 00:24:19,480
稳定的交易环境啊

618
00:24:19,480 --> 00:24:22,200
衷心的祝愿大家在新的4月份呢

619
00:24:22,200 --> 00:24:25,170
能够有不错的回血和增长

620
00:24:25,170 --> 00:24:27,450
也祝大家长期投资顺利啊

621
00:24:27,450 --> 00:24:30,519
实现自己的远期财务目标

622
00:24:30,519 --> 00:24:33,440
好这个呢就是咱们今天节目的全部内容啊

623
00:24:33,440 --> 00:24:36,640
如果你觉得我的节目确实对你有所帮助呢

624
00:24:36,640 --> 00:24:40,588
还是希望大家能够多多的帮忙点赞啊

625
00:24:40,588 --> 00:24:43,308
评论包括转发给你身边有需要的朋友

626
00:24:43,308 --> 00:24:44,148
感谢大家

627
00:24:44,148 --> 00:24:45,628
那我们今天就到这啊

628
00:24:45,628 --> 00:24:49,519
咱们就明天的同一时间不见不散

共 10 条，按点赞数排序。

共 1 条，按视频时间排序。