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你开车系安全带的时候
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不是因为你知道今天一定会撞车
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你要是知道今天会撞
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你根本不会出门
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你系它是因为你知道可能会撞
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而一旦撞了
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没有安全带是生和死的区别
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交易里的止损就是你系的那根安全带
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他不负责让你不撞车
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他只负责让你撞了以后还能活下来
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还能开下一趟止损
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不是对行情的判断
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是对你自己活着这件事的底线保护
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但绝大多数人对止损的理解从根上就错了
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我们拿一个具体的案例来说
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容积率能2022年高点的时候
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大概在67块左右
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到2024年
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股价一度跌到了十块附近
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两年时间中间没有连续跌停
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几乎每一天都有机会离场
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假设你是在60块买的
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跌到55的时候
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你想着回到60就走
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跌到45的时候
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你觉得都跌了这么多
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总该反弹了
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跌到25的时候
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你已经不看了
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这笔交易最后亏了将近80%
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要涨回律师快
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需要涨400%不止损
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真正可怕的地方不是单笔交易亏了多少
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而是它在数学上让你丧失了翻身的机会
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亏5%回本需要5.26%
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亏10%回本需要11.1%
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亏20%
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回本需要25%
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这道坎开始变难了
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亏50%回本需要100%
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亏80%
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回本需要400%
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这个数列你仔细看
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每一档不止损
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下一档的回本难度是跳涨的
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这不是心态问题
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不是纪律问题
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这是冷冰冰的数学
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不止损
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就是你主动把下一笔下下笔的难度
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调成了地狱模式
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那问题来了
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如果止损这么重要
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为什么大多数人就是做不到
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绝大多数人觉得止损就是认错
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就是承认这笔交易失败了
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止损出发的那一刻
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浮亏变成真的亏损
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板上钉钉
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割肉了
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不止损呢
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至少还能挂着
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挂着就有希望
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但这件事刚好理解反了
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止损不是失败
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止损是继续玩下去的资格
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你开一家餐厅
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每个月要交房租
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这个月生意不好
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你会不会跟房东说没赚到钱
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这个月不交了
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你知道不交房租
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店就没了
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下个月不管什么机会都跟你没有关系了
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止损就是你在交易市场里每个月要交的房租
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它不是亏损
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它是成本
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是你买下个月还能继续留在这个市场里
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这张门票的钱
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你再往深想一层
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这种触发那一刻亏掉的那些钱
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并不是止损造成的
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它早就在那里了
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只是你一直拒绝看见他止损只做了一件事
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就是把浮亏变成已实现的亏损
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让血流到这里为止
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不要再往外流了
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真正让你亏钱的是你那笔错误的进场
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是行情朝着对你不利的方向走了一大段止损
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只是最后把那个门关上了
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动作搞清楚了本质
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我们在聊怎么设
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怎么设
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不是最难的
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但怎么想很关键
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有三个锚定原则
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你可以把它们当成自检清单
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第一个止损必须在进场之前就设好
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不能进场之后再补
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这句话听起来简单到像废话
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但绝大多数人就是做不到
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为什么必须提前射
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因为进场之后
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那个你已经不是进场之前那个你了
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进场之前你在岸上人是理智的
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你知道自己最多能承受多少
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你知道这笔交易的逻辑是什么
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你知道破了这个逻辑就应该走
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进场之后
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你在水里的价格在波动
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盈亏在跳动
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你的大脑会自动切换到另一个模式
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他会用尽一切理由说服你
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再等等再看看
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这次可能不一样
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所以自从这件事不能交给水里的那个
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自己来决策
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你必须把他交给上岸的那一刻
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还保持着理智的那个自己
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第二个这种必须是一个绝对数字
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不能用跌破支撑这种动态概念
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你肯定听过这种说法
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跌破60日线我就走
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你知道有多少人就是因为这句话留在了山顶上
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因为这称蔚是会移动的
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今天的60日线在35块
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明天就可能在35块二了
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你每一天都在悄悄拿动自己的止损线
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到最后这个止损其实根本不存在
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固定止损的意思是你的止损是一个死数字
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比如你十块进的止损就是九块五
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跟论坛均线没关系
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跟论坛支撑没关系
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跟论坛技术指标都没关系
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它就是一个树死在那不动
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模糊的止损和没有止损是一回事
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第三个止损必须锚定在你无所谓的金额上
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不能锚定在技术位置上
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无所谓的意思是这笔亏损发生之后
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它不会影响你下一笔的判断
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你不会因为亏了他就想翻本
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不会失眠
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不会第二天开盘的时候
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因为这一笔亏损慌慌张张的乱
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按技术位置可以破
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支撑
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可以失效
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均线可以被击穿
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那些东西你控制不了
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但你能控制一个东西
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这笔交易你最多愿意亏多少
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那个数是你自己能接受的
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不是行情替你画出来的计数
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是给你进场理由的
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但止损的唯一标准是你自己1400
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绝对数无所谓金额
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这三条叠在一起
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你的止损就落地了
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讲到这里
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你心里一定有一个问题在往外冒
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这个问题不回应
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前面说的都白说了
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止损色了被扫掉
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然后行情又涨回去
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白亏了一笔
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这怎么办
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但我反问你一个问题
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你买过意外险
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一年交几千块
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到年底你健健康康什么事都没有
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你会不会跟保险公司说
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今年白交了
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因为你买的根本不是今年一定会出事
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你买的是万一出事
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家里不会天塌了
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止损是一模一样的东西
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你设了止损行情把你扫掉
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然后转头大涨
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你懊恼觉得这笔钱白亏了
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但你想过没有
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这不是止损的问题
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这次你站在事后回头看才知道它会涨回去
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盘中你不可能知道
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你永远不可能知道至尊宝的
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不是你
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事后诸葛亮那种后悔至尊保的是哪一次
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万一他真的不回头了
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你回头看看A股历史
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从6100跌到1600
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从5100跌到2600
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哪一次不是无数人一路扛着
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想着迟早会涨回来
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然后一等就是56年
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78年
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你真的想在那种行情里没有安全带吗
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没带止损被扫出去
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你会懊恼一次
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没带止损
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碰上一次不回头的
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你
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可能再也没有机会懊恼了
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止损不是为你的私货复盘服务的
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它是为那一次你赌不起的意外服务的
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回到我们开头说的那个画面
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开车系安全带
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花你三秒钟
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撞车的时候
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它能让你活着
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从车里出来
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止损也是一样
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它不是你交易里最高深的技术
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但它是你所有技术能持续下去的前提
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下一次进场之前
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只问自己三个问题就够了
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止损设哪了
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是具体数字吗
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这笔钱亏掉
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我会不会难受的睡不着
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三个问题都有答案
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而且答案都让你心里踏实
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那这单可以下
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有一个不对就停下来
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规则都给你铺好了
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自己不遵守
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那就是活该了