BV1gTf4BzEFa · 浑水摸鱼清源1 00:00:01,800 --> 00:00:02,399 你好 2 00:00:02,399 --> 00:00:04,200 我是阿尔布鲁克斯 3 00:00:04,200 --> 00:00:06,620 欢迎观看布鲁克斯交易课程 4 00:00:06,620 --> 00:00:09,279 这是突破的第七节课 5 00:00:13,679 --> 00:00:19,410 我会先讲什么是5tick陷阱和11peek陷阱 6 00:00:19,570 --> 00:00:21,850 即市场在差一点点达到包头皮目标的时候 7 00:00:21,850 --> 00:00:22,289 反转了 8 00:00:22,289 --> 00:00:23,969 然后我会讲遇到弱的交易机会 9 00:00:23,969 --> 00:00:25,289 可以反向交易注 10 00:00:25,289 --> 00:00:27,050 比如多头的突破反转很弱 11 00:00:27,050 --> 00:00:28,945 那么反向去做空 12 00:00:32,619 --> 00:00:35,179 在es as及标普股指期货中 13 00:00:35,179 --> 00:00:35,740 剥头皮 14 00:00:35,740 --> 00:00:40,299 交易者经常在一个点二三或四个点的地方止盈 15 00:00:40,960 --> 00:00:42,579 一个点是四个tips 16 00:00:42,579 --> 00:00:44,280 四个点是16个tips 17 00:00:44,280 --> 00:00:47,200 这意味着每当价格移动四个tips 18 00:00:47,200 --> 00:00:48,859 八个tips 19 00:00:49,179 --> 00:00:51,039 12个ticks或16个tips 20 00:00:51,039 --> 00:00:53,539 都可能会形成支撑或阻力 21 00:00:54,399 --> 00:00:57,819 例如假如一个多头在这根K线的高点上方买入 22 00:00:57,819 --> 00:00:59,518 寻求一个点的包头皮利润 23 00:00:59,518 --> 00:01:02,090 它在这个高点上方一个tick买入 24 00:01:02,090 --> 00:01:03,950 然后他挂一个限价卖单 25 00:01:03,950 --> 00:01:05,769 在高点上方四个tips卖出 26 00:01:05,769 --> 00:01:08,840 也就是在这根K线上方五个tips的位置 27 00:01:08,840 --> 00:01:11,540 除非价格超过这个高点六个tips 28 00:01:11,540 --> 00:01:13,739 不然限价卖单无法确保成交 29 00:01:13,739 --> 00:01:14,760 对于多头来说 30 00:01:14,760 --> 00:01:16,560 想要赚到一个点 31 00:01:17,009 --> 00:01:20,528 通常需要市场超过这根K线的高点六个tips 32 00:01:20,528 --> 00:01:23,069 比如这里他比这个高点高六个tips 33 00:01:23,069 --> 00:01:25,629 所以包头皮交易者能够赚到一个点及四个tips 34 00:01:25,629 --> 00:01:26,090 的利润 35 00:01:26,090 --> 00:01:27,670 如果多头想要赚到两个点的利润 36 00:01:27,670 --> 00:01:29,739 通常需要市场上涨十个tips 37 00:01:29,739 --> 00:01:30,680 注同上 38 00:01:30,680 --> 00:01:31,659 两个点是八个tips 39 00:01:31,659 --> 00:01:32,719 1+8加一等于十 40 00:01:32,719 --> 00:01:34,019 如果他想要三个点的利润 41 00:01:34,019 --> 00:01:35,519 通常需要上涨14个tick数 42 00:01:35,519 --> 00:01:37,500 1+3乘以4+1=14 43 00:01:37,500 --> 00:01:38,980 如果他想要四个点的利润 44 00:01:38,980 --> 00:01:40,719 市场需要上涨18个KX住 45 00:01:40,719 --> 00:01:42,280 1+4乘以4+1=18 46 00:01:42,280 --> 00:01:44,219 这意味着在一个合理的做多信号 47 00:01:44,219 --> 00:01:47,030 K线上方18个ticks的地方可能会有阻力 48 00:01:47,030 --> 00:01:49,030 因为多头会在那里卖出止盈 49 00:01:49,030 --> 00:01:51,590 如果市场在离这些目标位一个key的地方 50 00:01:51,590 --> 00:01:52,159 停下来了 51 00:01:52,159 --> 00:01:53,079 然后开始反转 52 00:01:53,079 --> 00:01:55,439 那么这些包头皮交易者就被困住了住 53 00:01:55,439 --> 00:01:56,879 就差一点点达到目标 54 00:01:56,879 --> 00:01:58,640 然后开始反转 55 00:01:59,329 --> 00:02:01,209 例如如果市场涨了五个ticks 56 00:02:01,209 --> 00:02:02,129 而不是六个ticks 57 00:02:02,129 --> 00:02:03,439 然后就开始反转 58 00:02:03,439 --> 00:02:06,140 多头差一个tick就能赚到一个点利润了 59 00:02:06,140 --> 00:02:07,780 但是现在他们被困住了 60 00:02:07,780 --> 00:02:09,759 许多人会开始卖出 61 00:02:13,439 --> 00:02:15,439 假设一个多头在这根K线上方 62 00:02:15,439 --> 00:02:17,400 一个K买入绿色框框压住 63 00:02:17,400 --> 00:02:17,919 这是失败的 64 00:02:17,919 --> 00:02:18,439 空头突破 65 00:02:18,439 --> 00:02:19,560 他是不错的做多信号 66 00:02:19,560 --> 00:02:20,680 K 67 00:02:23,300 --> 00:02:27,039 这里市场在他们入场价上方上涨了十个tips 68 00:02:27,039 --> 00:02:29,000 对于想赚两个点的多头而言 69 00:02:29,000 --> 00:02:32,209 他们能够在八个ticks的地方止盈离场 70 00:02:32,719 --> 00:02:34,860 因为他在K线上方一个tick买入 71 00:02:34,860 --> 00:02:36,819 所以还需要市场在上涨九个tips 72 00:02:36,819 --> 00:02:39,080 才能确保他可以赚到八个tips及两个点 73 00:02:39,080 --> 00:02:41,689 而这里市场上涨了十个tips 74 00:02:42,009 --> 00:02:43,469 所以这不是一个陷阱 75 00:02:43,469 --> 00:02:47,210 多头成功的在这笔剥头皮交易中赚到了两个点 76 00:02:49,280 --> 00:02:50,479 再来看一个案例 77 00:02:50,479 --> 00:02:52,000 假设多头看到了这个机会 78 00:02:52,000 --> 00:02:53,340 有一个三推新形底 79 00:02:53,340 --> 00:02:58,118 123或123急速变下降通道的底部形态 80 00:02:58,118 --> 00:03:00,199 可能会有一个上涨波段的反转反弹 81 00:03:00,199 --> 00:03:02,219 测试下降通道的起跌点 82 00:03:02,219 --> 00:03:05,060 所以多头在这个做多信号K的高点上方 83 00:03:05,060 --> 00:03:06,699 一个tick买入绿色框框 84 00:03:06,699 --> 00:03:07,919 期待有上涨的波段 85 00:03:07,919 --> 00:03:11,020 他们想赚四个点及16个ticks 86 00:03:11,659 --> 00:03:13,780 需要市场上涨18个tips才能让他们赚到钱 87 00:03:13,780 --> 00:03:15,689 注1+4乘以4+1=18 88 00:03:15,689 --> 00:03:18,169 他在这个高点上方一个tick买入 89 00:03:18,169 --> 00:03:21,459 需要上涨16个tick才能赚到四个点 90 00:03:21,459 --> 00:03:23,938 要确保它的限价卖单会成交 91 00:03:23,938 --> 00:03:25,359 必须再多涨一个T 92 00:03:25,359 --> 00:03:28,370 所以总共需要市场上涨18个tips 93 00:03:28,370 --> 00:03:30,189 如果纸上涨了17个tips 94 00:03:30,189 --> 00:03:31,789 正好碰到了他的限价卖单 95 00:03:31,789 --> 00:03:33,689 大部分交易者无法顺利的止盈 96 00:03:33,689 --> 00:03:35,129 因为他们的订单不会成交 97 00:03:35,129 --> 00:03:38,115 注必须多走一个T才能确保成交 98 00:03:38,460 --> 00:03:39,860 当遇到这种情况时 99 00:03:39,860 --> 00:03:41,759 他们就必须考虑哎呀 100 00:03:41,759 --> 00:03:43,479 价格达到了我的限价卖单 101 00:03:43,479 --> 00:03:44,379 但没有成交 102 00:03:44,379 --> 00:03:46,139 现在出现了一根阴线 103 00:03:46,139 --> 00:03:47,719 也许我被困住了 104 00:03:47,719 --> 00:03:50,340 也许这是一个17tick陷阱 105 00:03:50,340 --> 00:03:52,620 因此为了让成功率更高 106 00:03:52,620 --> 00:03:54,560 很多交易者会这样选择 107 00:03:54,560 --> 00:03:58,900 我不确定市场是否会正好让我赚到四个点 108 00:03:59,090 --> 00:04:01,289 我把止盈的限价卖单放低一个tick 109 00:04:02,289 --> 00:04:03,810 所以他们现在的目标是三个点 110 00:04:03,810 --> 00:04:04,810 再加上三个ticks 111 00:04:04,810 --> 00:04:05,969 也就是15个ticks 112 00:04:05,969 --> 00:04:08,159 三星号4+3=15 113 00:04:08,159 --> 00:04:11,099 这就是为什么会出现17tick陷阱的原因之一 114 00:04:11,099 --> 00:04:12,259 因为有交易者会想 115 00:04:12,259 --> 00:04:13,960 也许不一定能完全达到四个点 116 00:04:13,960 --> 00:04:17,038 所以我把现价卖单放低一个tick注 117 00:04:17,038 --> 00:04:18,098 甚至放低两个tips 118 00:04:18,098 --> 00:04:19,278 牺牲利润提高概率 119 00:04:19,278 --> 00:04:21,199 这是为什么市场会上涨17个tick 120 00:04:21,199 --> 00:04:23,360 然后就反转下跌的部分原因 121 00:04:23,360 --> 00:04:27,319 因为有多头提前一个kick止盈离场 122 00:04:32,259 --> 00:04:34,079 做空的包头皮交易者 123 00:04:34,079 --> 00:04:36,680 当他们看到市场达到了多头的目标 124 00:04:36,680 --> 00:04:40,139 他们会卖出做空压住多头会离场 125 00:04:40,750 --> 00:04:41,790 这里会有空头卖出 126 00:04:41,790 --> 00:04:42,589 做空压住高点 127 00:04:42,589 --> 00:04:43,509 降低两段式上涨 128 00:04:43,509 --> 00:04:44,149 一回调 129 00:04:44,149 --> 00:04:48,899 二他们会在那根K线下方或这根K线下方卖出 130 00:04:48,899 --> 00:04:50,199 这里会有空头卖出 131 00:04:50,199 --> 00:04:51,459 压住下降通道会继续 132 00:04:51,459 --> 00:04:53,480 所以他们会在这根K线的低点下方卖出 133 00:04:53,480 --> 00:04:56,860 在那根阴线的低点下方一个T开仓及红色框框 134 00:04:58,879 --> 00:05:00,540 仔细看这里发生了什么 135 00:05:00,540 --> 00:05:03,279 空投在这根K线下方一个T开仓做空压住 136 00:05:03,279 --> 00:05:04,720 至少可以做一笔包头皮交易 137 00:05:04,720 --> 00:05:05,759 价格下跌了五个tick 138 00:05:05,759 --> 00:05:06,959 然后开始反转向上 139 00:05:06,959 --> 00:05:08,660 所以在那根K线下方卖出的空投 140 00:05:08,660 --> 00:05:10,680 他们的卖单在这里成交 141 00:05:11,120 --> 00:05:12,300 现在被困住了住 142 00:05:12,300 --> 00:05:14,199 只差一个K就可以止盈 143 00:05:14,199 --> 00:05:16,279 他们只能买回他们的空头仓位 144 00:05:16,279 --> 00:05:19,209 空头回补是造成反转的其中一个原因 145 00:05:19,209 --> 00:05:20,810 价格必须下跌六个tips 146 00:05:20,810 --> 00:05:21,810 他们才能赚到一个点 147 00:05:21,810 --> 00:05:23,250 然而它只下跌了五个tips 148 00:05:23,250 --> 00:05:25,279 刚好打到了他们的现价买单 149 00:05:25,279 --> 00:05:27,079 但是大部分的订单无法成交 150 00:05:27,079 --> 00:05:28,540 当价格开始反转上涨时 151 00:05:28,540 --> 00:05:29,839 被困的空头陷入恐慌 152 00:05:29,839 --> 00:05:30,980 只能选择买入平仓 153 00:05:30,980 --> 00:05:32,939 所以造成了这个5tick的陷阱和反转 154 00:05:32,939 --> 00:05:34,980 有一些空投在这根K线下方卖出订单 155 00:05:34,980 --> 00:05:36,180 在这里成交 156 00:05:36,180 --> 00:05:38,779 在那个低点下方一个tick红色框框 157 00:05:38,779 --> 00:05:41,939 他们想赚两个点或三个点的包头皮利润 158 00:05:41,939 --> 00:05:44,360 这里市场下跌了13个teeth 159 00:05:44,360 --> 00:05:47,189 那些空投希望能赚到三个点 160 00:05:47,350 --> 00:05:49,370 需要价格下跌14个tick处 161 00:05:49,370 --> 00:05:51,410 1+3乘以4+1=14 162 00:05:51,410 --> 00:05:55,379 他们在K线下方一个tick卖出三个点 163 00:05:55,379 --> 00:05:56,139 等于12个tips 164 00:05:56,139 --> 00:05:57,300 还需要再下跌一个tick 165 00:05:57,300 --> 00:05:58,620 确保现价买单可以成交 166 00:05:58,620 --> 00:06:01,610 所以总共需要14个tips才能赚到三个点 167 00:06:01,610 --> 00:06:03,889 然而它正好下跌了13个ticks 168 00:06:03,889 --> 00:06:04,949 然后反转向上 169 00:06:04,949 --> 00:06:07,620 所以这是一个13tick陷阱 170 00:06:07,740 --> 00:06:09,279 实际上在这种情况下 171 00:06:09,279 --> 00:06:11,040 在这里挂限价买单不是好的选择 172 00:06:11,040 --> 00:06:12,620 因为需要价格跌破这个低点 173 00:06:12,620 --> 00:06:14,620 我认为是比较低胜率的做法 174 00:06:14,620 --> 00:06:17,839 注前期这个低点附近很可能有非常多的买盘 175 00:06:17,839 --> 00:06:20,490 如果是我做这笔三个点的包头皮易 176 00:06:20,490 --> 00:06:22,709 我会提前一个tick止盈 177 00:06:22,709 --> 00:06:23,569 也就是说 178 00:06:23,569 --> 00:06:26,709 我会在这个低点上方一个tick止盈离场 179 00:06:26,709 --> 00:06:29,230 以防出现一个完美的双抵触 180 00:06:29,230 --> 00:06:31,149 双底的两个低点一样高 181 00:06:31,149 --> 00:06:33,870 无法向下多跌一个T 182 00:06:34,889 --> 00:06:36,029 正如之前所说 183 00:06:36,029 --> 00:06:38,209 有时交易者并不确定他们的目标位 184 00:06:38,209 --> 00:06:39,370 是否会完全达到 185 00:06:39,370 --> 00:06:42,730 于是他们会提前一个tick甚至两个tips离场 186 00:06:43,589 --> 00:06:45,209 希望赚到四个点的多头 187 00:06:45,209 --> 00:06:45,949 看到这个实惠 188 00:06:45,949 --> 00:06:47,529 说看上去没有那么好 189 00:06:47,529 --> 00:06:50,750 我不确定16个tips的限价卖单是否会成交 190 00:06:50,750 --> 00:06:52,930 我还是把目标挂在15个tips吧 191 00:06:52,930 --> 00:06:54,538 这里也是一样 192 00:06:54,538 --> 00:06:56,158 在这里卖出的空投 193 00:06:56,158 --> 00:06:58,459 直到价格必须下跌14个ticks 194 00:06:58,459 --> 00:07:00,379 才能让他们赚到12个ticks 195 00:07:00,379 --> 00:07:03,519 他们会把限价买单挂高一个tick 196 00:07:03,920 --> 00:07:07,120 而在这里我不会入场做空 197 00:07:07,120 --> 00:07:10,709 而且我肯定不会追求三个tips的利润 198 00:07:10,709 --> 00:07:11,509 在我看来 199 00:07:11,509 --> 00:07:13,910 es包头皮交易至少要赚一个点 200 00:07:13,910 --> 00:07:14,810 即四个tips 201 00:07:14,810 --> 00:07:17,649 所以我永远不会把目标放在三个tips外面 202 00:07:17,649 --> 00:07:19,923 至少要赚四个tips 203 00:07:23,879 --> 00:07:27,759 让我们从反向交易的角度去思考 204 00:07:29,540 --> 00:07:32,870 比如在这里多头会想好吧 205 00:07:33,069 --> 00:07:36,550 很多空头知道这可能不会跌的太远 206 00:07:36,550 --> 00:07:39,970 他们只想要剥头皮赚一个点 207 00:07:40,129 --> 00:07:41,529 价格必须下跌六个ticks 208 00:07:41,529 --> 00:07:43,930 那么我就在下面四个ticks的地方挂现价买单 209 00:07:43,930 --> 00:07:46,290 就算他变成一个5KK陷阱 210 00:07:46,290 --> 00:07:48,319 我的买单也能成交 211 00:07:48,319 --> 00:07:50,970 相反的情况也适用于这里 212 00:07:50,970 --> 00:07:52,389 许多空头会说 213 00:07:52,389 --> 00:07:53,990 这是个反弹还不错 214 00:07:53,990 --> 00:07:56,129 但他大概率不会超过这个高点 215 00:07:56,129 --> 00:07:58,449 也许会变成一个更低的高点 216 00:07:58,449 --> 00:08:00,949 他们知道很多多头想要在四个点的地方止盈 217 00:08:00,949 --> 00:08:02,569 所以他们知道在这个高点上方 218 00:08:02,569 --> 00:08:05,439 17个kiss的地方有很多止盈的买单 219 00:08:05,439 --> 00:08:07,680 于是空投也下限价卖单做空 220 00:08:07,680 --> 00:08:09,199 现价卖单挂在这个高点上方 221 00:08:09,199 --> 00:08:10,199 17个tips的距离 222 00:08:10,199 --> 00:08:11,800 至少想做一笔包头皮的交易 223 00:08:11,800 --> 00:08:14,879 空投也知道有可能会出现17tick陷阱 224 00:08:15,120 --> 00:08:18,790 所以他们会把限价卖单挂在16个tips的地方 225 00:08:18,790 --> 00:08:21,430 多头和空头都在这个高点上方 226 00:08:21,430 --> 00:08:23,029 16个tips的地方卖出 227 00:08:23,029 --> 00:08:25,470 所以有时会出现这样的反转 228 00:08:25,470 --> 00:08:27,670 更多时候会是一个足够深的回调 229 00:08:27,670 --> 00:08:30,750 让空投可以赚到一笔包头皮的利润 230 00:08:32,840 --> 00:08:34,139 正如之前所说 231 00:08:34,139 --> 00:08:35,740 那些在这里上方买入 232 00:08:35,740 --> 00:08:37,179 想赚两个点的多头 233 00:08:37,179 --> 00:08:39,120 需要市场上涨十的tips 234 00:08:39,120 --> 00:08:43,678 这里他们成功了赚到了两个点 235 00:08:44,879 --> 00:08:47,240 空投知道多头会在那里止盈 236 00:08:47,240 --> 00:08:50,409 尤其是因为这个目标为略低于这个高点 237 00:08:50,409 --> 00:08:55,019 所以空投会在多头的目标位挂单做空啊 238 00:08:58,759 --> 00:09:01,039 反向的包头皮交易者压住 239 00:09:01,039 --> 00:09:02,620 用突破单入场的交易者 240 00:09:02,620 --> 00:09:04,039 无法赚到他们的目标 241 00:09:04,039 --> 00:09:07,340 不论是一个点还是234个点 242 00:09:07,340 --> 00:09:09,419 所以他们在相反方向下 243 00:09:09,419 --> 00:09:12,440 限价卖单就挂在多头目标位的下方 244 00:09:12,440 --> 00:09:14,818 一获两个kiss 245 00:09:15,458 --> 00:09:17,698 空投知道多头的目标在他的上方九个tips 246 00:09:17,698 --> 00:09:19,219 他们知道价格必须上涨十个TSS 247 00:09:19,219 --> 00:09:20,539 多头才能赚到钱 248 00:09:20,539 --> 00:09:24,179 所以空投会在目标下方疑惑两个tick 249 00:09:24,179 --> 00:09:25,299 挂现价卖单 250 00:09:25,299 --> 00:09:29,110 这里多头知道空投可能想赚三个点 251 00:09:29,110 --> 00:09:31,389 空投需要价格下跌14个tips 252 00:09:31,389 --> 00:09:32,870 来确保自己能赚到三个点 253 00:09:32,870 --> 00:09:34,009 多头也知道这一点 254 00:09:34,009 --> 00:09:36,450 而且多头看到了一个潜在的双底 255 00:09:36,450 --> 00:09:38,370 所以多头会在这个低点下方 256 00:09:38,370 --> 00:09:40,129 12或13个tick挂限价买单 257 00:09:40,129 --> 00:09:41,409 试图破坏空投的计划 258 00:09:41,409 --> 00:09:42,609 把他们困住 259 00:09:42,609 --> 00:09:43,769 这里也是一样 260 00:09:43,769 --> 00:09:46,539 多头知道这不是一个好的做空机会 261 00:09:46,539 --> 00:09:48,519 他们知道在这里做空的空投 262 00:09:48,519 --> 00:09:49,919 可能只是为了赚一个点 263 00:09:49,919 --> 00:09:52,000 多头知道价格必须下跌六个tick 264 00:09:52,000 --> 00:09:53,779 那些空投才能赚钱 265 00:09:53,779 --> 00:09:56,500 所以多头会在那个低点下方 266 00:09:56,500 --> 00:09:58,860 四或五个ticks挂限价买单 267 00:09:58,860 --> 00:10:01,799 压住空头也会在那里买入 268 00:10:01,799 --> 00:10:02,840 空投在买入 269 00:10:02,840 --> 00:10:03,679 多头也在买入 270 00:10:03,679 --> 00:10:06,440 所以多头很大的概率可以赚到钱 271 00:10:13,960 --> 00:10:15,759 这里空投会在这个高点上方 272 00:10:15,759 --> 00:10:16,799 四个tick挂卖单做空 273 00:10:16,799 --> 00:10:18,769 并且打算逢高继续加仓卖出 274 00:10:18,769 --> 00:10:19,929 压住多头 275 00:10:19,929 --> 00:10:22,110 只是想做一笔剥头皮交易 276 00:10:22,110 --> 00:10:23,009 换句话说 277 00:10:23,009 --> 00:10:25,818 多头对大涨没有太多信心 278 00:10:25,818 --> 00:10:27,259 他们不会坚定持有 279 00:10:27,259 --> 00:10:28,038 做波段交易 280 00:10:28,038 --> 00:10:29,119 也不会逢高追涨 281 00:10:29,119 --> 00:10:32,090 也就是说他们不会继续买入空投 282 00:10:32,090 --> 00:10:33,830 要么在这个高点开始卖出做空 283 00:10:33,830 --> 00:10:36,629 然后在上方一个点两个点加仓卖出更多 284 00:10:36,629 --> 00:10:39,210 或者他们会在一个点或两个点外面的地方 285 00:10:39,210 --> 00:10:40,210 开始卖出 286 00:10:40,210 --> 00:10:41,629 这里也是一样 287 00:10:41,629 --> 00:10:45,669 空投直到在这个高点上方四个点左右的位置 288 00:10:45,669 --> 00:10:47,529 很可能会有多头的止盈卖单 289 00:10:47,529 --> 00:10:49,370 然后市场会进入震荡区间 290 00:10:49,370 --> 00:10:50,970 于是他们开始卖出做空 291 00:10:50,970 --> 00:10:52,470 他们可能会在上方一个点 292 00:10:52,470 --> 00:10:53,029 两个点 293 00:10:53,029 --> 00:10:54,919 三个点分批次卖出做空 294 00:10:54,919 --> 00:10:56,200 我个人不会这样做 295 00:10:56,200 --> 00:10:58,139 目前的背景是一个上涨波段 296 00:10:58,139 --> 00:11:00,419 即将转变成震荡区间 297 00:11:00,419 --> 00:11:04,000 如果我要在多头的止盈目标位卖出做空 298 00:11:04,000 --> 00:11:08,080 我会在上方三个点或四个点的地方开始卖出 299 00:11:08,080 --> 00:11:09,519 也就是做多信号 300 00:11:09,519 --> 00:11:13,039 K高点上方16或17个ticks的地方 301 00:11:16,659 --> 00:11:18,399 多头在做空信号 302 00:11:18,399 --> 00:11:23,059 K线下方四八十二十六个tips的地方挂限价买单 303 00:11:23,059 --> 00:11:25,639 压住空头会在那里止盈 304 00:11:26,539 --> 00:11:28,720 多头买入是为了做一笔包头皮交易 305 00:11:28,720 --> 00:11:30,500 压住震荡区间 306 00:11:35,620 --> 00:11:38,269 当空投看到一个弱的做多机会 307 00:11:38,269 --> 00:11:41,169 他们会在做多信号K的高点挂卖单做空 308 00:11:41,169 --> 00:11:44,549 然后在上方一个点或两个点的地方加仓卖出 309 00:11:44,549 --> 00:11:49,629 更多卖单就挂在多头止盈目标位的下方 310 00:11:52,460 --> 00:11:53,840 强烈的空头突破 311 00:11:53,840 --> 00:11:55,019 多头尝试反转 312 00:11:55,019 --> 00:11:56,059 正如之前所说 313 00:11:56,059 --> 00:11:58,299 一些空头会在这里开始卖出 314 00:11:58,299 --> 00:11:59,179 再高一个点 315 00:11:59,179 --> 00:11:59,779 卖出更多 316 00:11:59,779 --> 00:12:00,419 再高两个点 317 00:12:00,419 --> 00:12:01,000 卖出更多 318 00:12:01,000 --> 00:12:03,509 当价格跌回他们的初始入场价格 319 00:12:03,509 --> 00:12:05,049 他们的第一笔仓位打平 320 00:12:05,049 --> 00:12:06,470 这一笔仓位赚一个点 321 00:12:06,470 --> 00:12:09,379 这笔仓位赚两个点 322 00:12:17,320 --> 00:12:18,679 这根阴线时 323 00:12:18,679 --> 00:12:23,250 运线可能是在空头突破后的一个新型通道 324 00:12:23,250 --> 00:12:26,359 所以是急速下跌变通道的下降趋势 325 00:12:26,359 --> 00:12:29,038 这个做空信号K线有较长的下影线 326 00:12:29,038 --> 00:12:30,178 很多多头会压住 327 00:12:30,178 --> 00:12:32,370 这是一个糟糕的雄起 328 00:12:32,570 --> 00:12:35,750 他们会在那根K线的低点挂现价买单做多 329 00:12:35,750 --> 00:12:37,919 并在低点下方四个tick买入更多 330 00:12:37,919 --> 00:12:40,799 当价格回到他们的第一笔仓位的入场价时 331 00:12:40,799 --> 00:12:42,899 他们会止盈离场 332 00:12:43,100 --> 00:12:44,360 第一笔仓位打平 333 00:12:44,360 --> 00:12:45,820 第二笔仓位赚一个点 334 00:12:45,820 --> 00:12:47,320 一些多头会继续持有 335 00:12:47,320 --> 00:12:50,139 如果他们认为会继续上涨的话 336 00:12:56,440 --> 00:12:58,500 当一些包头皮交易者被困住的时候 337 00:12:58,500 --> 00:13:00,659 其他包头皮交易者会反向交易 338 00:13:00,659 --> 00:13:05,169 在这里多头和空头同时在买入 339 00:13:05,169 --> 00:13:09,769 而这里多头和空头同时在卖出 340 00:13:11,820 --> 00:13:15,779 这意味着只因目标为创造了支撑和阻力 341 00:13:16,809 --> 00:13:19,029 多头的止盈目标是阻力 342 00:13:19,029 --> 00:13:23,318 因为多头和空头都会在那些止盈目标卖出 343 00:13:23,318 --> 00:13:25,958 空投的止盈目标是支撑 344 00:13:25,958 --> 00:13:31,399 因为多头和空头都会在那个止盈目标买入 345 00:13:35,379 --> 00:13:36,940 在外汇交易中剥头皮 346 00:13:36,940 --> 00:13:38,179 交易者经常在十个点 347 00:13:38,179 --> 00:13:38,779 20个点 348 00:13:38,779 --> 00:13:39,419 30个点 349 00:13:39,419 --> 00:13:41,059 50个点止盈 350 00:13:41,820 --> 00:13:43,600 如果他们用突破单入场 351 00:13:43,600 --> 00:13:44,779 想赚十个点 352 00:13:44,779 --> 00:13:46,799 价格必须移动12个点 353 00:13:46,799 --> 00:13:48,080 要赚50个点 354 00:13:48,080 --> 00:13:50,090 价格必须移动52个点 355 00:13:50,090 --> 00:13:51,929 如果价格少走一个点 356 00:13:51,929 --> 00:13:55,009 那么这些交易者就被困住了 357 00:13:57,179 --> 00:14:00,220 例如假设有一个包头皮交易者想要做多 358 00:14:00,220 --> 00:14:01,440 他看到这里的突破 359 00:14:01,440 --> 00:14:03,220 然后回调回测了这个高点 360 00:14:03,220 --> 00:14:04,500 也许这是一个测量型 361 00:14:04,500 --> 00:14:04,879 缺口 362 00:14:04,879 --> 00:14:06,759 会向上达到MM目标位 363 00:14:06,870 --> 00:14:09,110 他们会在这个K线的高点上方 364 00:14:09,110 --> 00:14:10,730 一个点挂突破买单 365 00:14:10,730 --> 00:14:12,789 期待价格上涨幅度足够大 366 00:14:12,789 --> 00:14:15,269 可以让他们赚到十个点 367 00:14:16,220 --> 00:14:19,220 如果他们在这个K线上方一个点买入 368 00:14:19,220 --> 00:14:20,460 想赚十个点 369 00:14:20,460 --> 00:14:21,700 那就是11个点 370 00:14:21,700 --> 00:14:23,100 为了确保他们的止盈 371 00:14:23,100 --> 00:14:24,220 卖单可以成交 372 00:14:24,220 --> 00:14:26,700 价格还需要再涨一个点 373 00:14:26,940 --> 00:14:29,480 也就是说在这个高点上方 374 00:14:29,480 --> 00:14:33,440 用突破单买入的多头需要价格上涨12个点 375 00:14:33,440 --> 00:14:36,639 他们才能赚到十个点的利润 376 00:14:37,210 --> 00:14:39,190 如果市场只上涨了11个点 377 00:14:39,190 --> 00:14:40,330 然后反转下跌 378 00:14:41,370 --> 00:14:43,029 他们的目标就没有被满足 379 00:14:43,029 --> 00:14:44,419 他们必须离场 380 00:14:44,419 --> 00:14:46,679 所以他们被困在了交易中 381 00:14:46,679 --> 00:14:49,480 如果市场在11个点时反转下跌 382 00:14:49,480 --> 00:14:52,340 我称之为11个点的陷阱 383 00:14:54,320 --> 00:14:55,929 这是一个例子 384 00:14:55,929 --> 00:14:58,950 多头会在这个K线高点上方一个点买入 385 00:14:58,950 --> 00:15:01,830 然后在入场价上方十个点挂限价卖单 386 00:15:01,830 --> 00:15:05,360 也就是信号K线高点上方11个点的地方 387 00:15:05,360 --> 00:15:07,320 如果价格开始下跌 388 00:15:07,320 --> 00:15:10,318 那么这些多头就被困住了 389 00:15:10,479 --> 00:15:11,759 他们还在交易中 390 00:15:11,759 --> 00:15:13,278 但没有达到利润目标 391 00:15:13,278 --> 00:15:16,038 在某个时候他们会放弃 392 00:15:18,559 --> 00:15:22,909 空头知道多头尝试赚十个点离场 393 00:15:23,149 --> 00:15:24,470 当天的波动很小 394 00:15:24,470 --> 00:15:26,029 所以很多多头把赚十个点 395 00:15:26,029 --> 00:15:27,429 作为自己的包头皮目标 396 00:15:27,429 --> 00:15:28,789 空投会在做多信号 397 00:15:28,789 --> 00:15:30,990 K线高点上方十个点的地方挂现价 398 00:15:30,990 --> 00:15:35,769 买单压住多头也会在那里卖出 399 00:15:38,779 --> 00:15:40,879 这里假设有空头 400 00:15:40,879 --> 00:15:42,779 预计多头会被困住 401 00:15:42,779 --> 00:15:45,340 然后开始反转下跌 402 00:15:45,539 --> 00:15:46,980 这是一个末端骑行 403 00:15:46,980 --> 00:15:49,240 也许价格会跌到这里或更低 404 00:15:49,240 --> 00:15:50,059 无论如何 405 00:15:50,059 --> 00:15:52,519 假设空投在这根阳线的低点下方一个点卖出 406 00:15:52,519 --> 00:15:53,000 外汇中 407 00:15:53,000 --> 00:15:54,820 包头皮交易的最低目标是十个点 408 00:15:54,820 --> 00:15:55,919 注低于十个点 409 00:15:55,919 --> 00:15:56,840 盈亏比太差了 410 00:15:56,840 --> 00:15:58,200 不值得做 411 00:15:58,960 --> 00:16:01,568 因此价格必须下跌12个点 412 00:16:01,568 --> 00:16:03,048 空投才能顺利止盈 413 00:16:03,048 --> 00:16:04,948 实现包头皮交易的最低目标 414 00:16:04,948 --> 00:16:07,129 他们在这个K线低点下方一个点卖出 415 00:16:07,129 --> 00:16:10,860 价格必须在下跌十个点才能达到他们的限价 416 00:16:10,860 --> 00:16:13,500 买单要确保现价买单会成交 417 00:16:13,500 --> 00:16:14,980 还要再多跌一个点 418 00:16:14,980 --> 00:16:17,379 所以市场需要下跌12个点 419 00:16:17,379 --> 00:16:19,440 空投才能赚到十个点 420 00:16:19,440 --> 00:16:22,700 如果价格在打到12个点之前就开始上涨 421 00:16:22,700 --> 00:16:24,759 这就变成了11个点的陷阱 422 00:16:24,759 --> 00:16:27,700 这意味着卖出的空投被困住了 423 00:16:27,700 --> 00:16:29,440 价格只下跌了11个点 424 00:16:29,440 --> 00:16:31,899 大多数空投没有能赚到十个点的利润 425 00:16:31,899 --> 00:16:33,019 然后反转向上 426 00:16:33,019 --> 00:16:33,799 在某个时候 427 00:16:33,799 --> 00:16:35,820 那些空投会放弃 428 00:16:41,320 --> 00:16:42,480 很多时候 429 00:16:42,480 --> 00:16:44,779 如果交易者担心 430 00:16:45,019 --> 00:16:47,480 假设一个交易者在这根K线下方卖出 431 00:16:47,480 --> 00:16:50,419 他不确定价格是否会像他希望的那样快速下跌 432 00:16:50,419 --> 00:16:51,500 他就会改变订单 433 00:16:51,500 --> 00:16:53,580 尝试提前一个点离场 434 00:16:54,250 --> 00:16:57,730 所以他不再以十个点为包头皮的目标 435 00:16:57,730 --> 00:17:01,159 而是尝试赚九个点离场 436 00:17:01,159 --> 00:17:04,420 这意味着在下方十个点会有支撑 437 00:17:04,420 --> 00:17:06,400 价格必须下跌11个点 438 00:17:06,400 --> 00:17:08,400 他的订单才能在做空信号 439 00:17:08,400 --> 00:17:11,269 K下方十个点的地方成交 440 00:17:11,430 --> 00:17:15,069 然后赚到九个点的利润 441 00:17:15,960 --> 00:17:17,759 此外有反向的交易者 442 00:17:17,759 --> 00:17:19,900 他们相信空投在做剥头皮交易 443 00:17:19,900 --> 00:17:21,819 反向的交易者指的就是多头 444 00:17:21,819 --> 00:17:24,759 他们会期望在这个低点附近有支撑 445 00:17:25,400 --> 00:17:28,880 他们知道大多数空头包头皮的目标是十个点 446 00:17:28,880 --> 00:17:32,640 所以多头会在空头止盈的地方买入 447 00:17:32,979 --> 00:17:35,138 多头会在这个K线低点下方 448 00:17:35,138 --> 00:17:36,858 十个点附近挂现价买单 449 00:17:36,858 --> 00:17:38,558 市场必须下跌11个点 450 00:17:38,558 --> 00:17:41,160 这些多头的订单才能成交 451 00:17:41,319 --> 00:17:44,400 所以有多头试图在这个K线下方十个点买入 452 00:17:44,400 --> 00:17:46,200 有空头试图在这个K线下方 453 00:17:46,200 --> 00:17:48,200 11或12个点买入 454 00:17:48,359 --> 00:17:52,339 这可能导致空投的订单无法全部成交 455 00:17:52,339 --> 00:17:55,650 如果有足够多的多头再买入 456 00:17:55,650 --> 00:17:58,609 并且有足够多的空头提前一个点止盈 457 00:17:58,609 --> 00:18:00,569 很多时候市场会下跌11个点 458 00:18:00,569 --> 00:18:01,490 而不是12个点 459 00:18:01,490 --> 00:18:02,670 然后就反转上涨 460 00:18:02,670 --> 00:18:05,255 这就变成了一个11个点的陷阱 461 00:18:09,700 --> 00:18:12,259 这里一些空头会说 462 00:18:12,259 --> 00:18:14,220 也许这是50%回调 463 00:18:14,220 --> 00:18:16,210 也许会形成一个双底 464 00:18:16,210 --> 00:18:18,289 我不一定能赚到十个点 465 00:18:18,289 --> 00:18:20,569 我还是提前一个点只赢罢 466 00:18:20,569 --> 00:18:22,388 多头也知道这一点 467 00:18:22,388 --> 00:18:26,559 所以他们也会在相同的价格买入 468 00:18:27,119 --> 00:18:29,819 在这个K线低点下方十个点的位置 469 00:18:29,819 --> 00:18:32,690 价格必须下跌11个点才能成交 470 00:18:32,690 --> 00:18:35,930 所以在做空信号K下方11个点的地方 471 00:18:35,930 --> 00:18:37,650 会有很多限价买单 472 00:18:37,650 --> 00:18:40,250 多头和空头都在买入 473 00:18:40,450 --> 00:18:41,789 市场没有下跌12个点 474 00:18:41,789 --> 00:18:42,930 而是下跌了11个点 475 00:18:42,930 --> 00:18:44,009 然后就反转向上 476 00:18:44,009 --> 00:18:46,109 这变成了11个点的陷阱 477 00:18:46,309 --> 00:18:47,869 尝试赚十个点的空投 478 00:18:47,869 --> 00:18:48,930 现在被困住了 479 00:18:48,930 --> 00:18:50,190 他们的目标没有达到 480 00:18:50,190 --> 00:18:51,230 他们必须退出 481 00:18:52,430 --> 00:18:54,950 他们在这里放弃了 482 00:18:59,440 --> 00:19:01,660 外汇交易中不同的券商数据不同 483 00:19:01,660 --> 00:19:03,539 另外现在有更小的价格单位了 484 00:19:03,539 --> 00:19:04,679 所以不是11个点 485 00:19:04,679 --> 00:19:06,138 可能是11.3个点 486 00:19:06,138 --> 00:19:07,038 11.9个点 487 00:19:07,038 --> 00:19:09,199 另外因为一些图表只显示要架注 488 00:19:09,199 --> 00:19:10,598 关于外汇点数的计算 489 00:19:10,598 --> 00:19:13,940 具体内容在03C而不是实际的成交价格 490 00:19:13,940 --> 00:19:15,779 所以你的订单可能没有成交 491 00:19:15,779 --> 00:19:17,480 尽管看起来你应该成交 492 00:19:17,480 --> 00:19:18,660 所以试图剥头皮 493 00:19:18,660 --> 00:19:20,259 赚十个点的外汇交易者 494 00:19:20,259 --> 00:19:21,789 这是很难做到的 495 00:19:21,789 --> 00:19:24,769 大多数外汇交易者不应该这样做 496 00:19:24,769 --> 00:19:27,549 只有高手可以这样做 497 00:19:27,990 --> 00:19:30,170 必须要能够快速思考 498 00:19:30,170 --> 00:19:32,670 必须快速做出决定 499 00:19:34,900 --> 00:19:38,059 接下来我们来讲遇到弱的交易机会 500 00:19:39,220 --> 00:19:40,299 如何反向交易 501 00:19:40,299 --> 00:19:41,960 如果有一个弱的做多机会 502 00:19:41,960 --> 00:19:43,759 交易者会卖出做空 503 00:19:48,619 --> 00:19:50,000 让我们来看这个案例 504 00:19:50,000 --> 00:19:51,279 市场在下跌 505 00:19:51,279 --> 00:19:53,970 然后尝试反转向上 506 00:19:53,970 --> 00:19:55,630 一些空头看到他会说 507 00:19:55,630 --> 00:19:57,690 这并不是一个特别好的做多信号 508 00:19:57,690 --> 00:19:59,960 K线尤其是在这么大的阴线之后 509 00:19:59,960 --> 00:20:01,740 我压住这个做多信号会失败 510 00:20:01,740 --> 00:20:03,019 所以在这个高点上方 511 00:20:03,019 --> 00:20:04,319 或者在这个高点上方 512 00:20:04,319 --> 00:20:04,799 一个kick 513 00:20:04,799 --> 00:20:08,460 用突破单买入的多头可能会被套牢 514 00:20:08,460 --> 00:20:12,680 所以空投会在那个高点挂限价卖单做空 515 00:20:12,680 --> 00:20:16,859 或者在略高于那个高点的地方挂卖单 516 00:20:18,369 --> 00:20:20,990 很多时候我会在那个高点挂限价卖单 517 00:20:20,990 --> 00:20:22,529 然后在这里成交压住 518 00:20:22,529 --> 00:20:24,730 这是一个糟糕的买点 519 00:20:25,200 --> 00:20:28,480 保护性止损放在抛售高潮的起跌点 520 00:20:28,480 --> 00:20:31,559 或者整个下降趋势的起跌点 521 00:20:35,400 --> 00:20:36,720 我的止损在这里 522 00:20:36,720 --> 00:20:38,500 当我开仓做空之后 523 00:20:38,500 --> 00:20:40,779 我会在上方疑惑两个点 524 00:20:40,779 --> 00:20:41,839 加仓卖出 525 00:20:41,839 --> 00:20:42,460 压住 526 00:20:42,460 --> 00:20:43,680 就算再涨一些 527 00:20:43,680 --> 00:20:45,900 可能有50%反弹 528 00:20:45,900 --> 00:20:49,480 但大概率在价格碰到我的止损之前 529 00:20:49,480 --> 00:20:52,259 我会先赚到一笔包头皮的利润 530 00:20:55,500 --> 00:20:57,440 所以空投在这个高点卖出 531 00:20:57,440 --> 00:20:59,619 他们在上面四个tips的地方卖出更多 532 00:20:59,619 --> 00:21:02,579 价格必须反弹五个tips才能成交 533 00:21:06,000 --> 00:21:08,140 多头知道他们的做多机会很弱 534 00:21:08,140 --> 00:21:10,200 但一些多头只是想剥头皮 535 00:21:10,200 --> 00:21:11,119 赚四个tips 536 00:21:11,119 --> 00:21:14,519 那么价格就必须上涨六个tips才行 537 00:21:15,009 --> 00:21:16,970 非常大的阴线之后做多信号 538 00:21:16,970 --> 00:21:18,049 K线是一个阴线 539 00:21:18,049 --> 00:21:19,069 而不是阳线 540 00:21:19,069 --> 00:21:21,410 这不是一个强势的买点 541 00:21:25,000 --> 00:21:27,670 他的左边是大阴线 542 00:21:27,670 --> 00:21:29,809 如果价格上涨五个ticks 543 00:21:29,809 --> 00:21:32,369 他就会打到多头的限价卖单 544 00:21:32,369 --> 00:21:36,589 多头在这根K线上方一个tick买入他们的订单 545 00:21:36,589 --> 00:21:38,430 在那条灰线上触发成交 546 00:21:38,430 --> 00:21:41,450 然后他们在上方个kiss的地方挂止盈的限价卖单 547 00:21:41,450 --> 00:21:42,960 也就是这条灰线 548 00:21:42,960 --> 00:21:46,720 可以看到价格正好打到了他们的限价卖单 549 00:21:46,720 --> 00:21:48,759 大部分订单无法成交 550 00:21:48,759 --> 00:21:50,750 那些多头就会离场 551 00:21:50,750 --> 00:21:51,589 担心这事 552 00:21:51,589 --> 00:21:54,430 5KK陷阱会把他们困住 553 00:21:58,660 --> 00:22:01,279 所以多头和空头都在那里卖出 554 00:22:01,279 --> 00:22:02,819 空投在卖出压住 555 00:22:02,819 --> 00:22:04,859 这是一个弱的做多信号 556 00:22:04,859 --> 00:22:06,859 多头也在那里卖出止盈 557 00:22:06,859 --> 00:22:08,039 在若做多信号 558 00:22:08,039 --> 00:22:10,599 K线高点上方四和五个tips的地方 559 00:22:10,599 --> 00:22:12,740 有很多限价卖单 560 00:22:14,440 --> 00:22:17,519 这可能会导致价格快速下跌 561 00:22:23,140 --> 00:22:24,920 很多空投在这个高点做空 562 00:22:24,920 --> 00:22:26,900 他们会在上方一个点加仓卖出更多 563 00:22:26,900 --> 00:22:28,230 当价格跌回来的时候 564 00:22:28,230 --> 00:22:29,549 他们的第一笔仓位打平 565 00:22:29,549 --> 00:22:30,910 第二笔仓位可以赚一个点 566 00:22:30,910 --> 00:22:31,890 止盈离场再注 567 00:22:31,890 --> 00:22:33,269 现在2024波动更大 568 00:22:33,269 --> 00:22:34,779 不应该只赚一个点 569 00:22:34,779 --> 00:22:36,619 在这个K线上方一个tick 570 00:22:36,619 --> 00:22:38,079 用突破单买入的多头 571 00:22:38,079 --> 00:22:39,559 当市场反转下跌时 572 00:22:39,559 --> 00:22:41,138 他们被困住了 573 00:22:41,138 --> 00:22:42,659 他们会尝试打平离场 574 00:22:42,659 --> 00:22:45,170 所以多头和空投都在卖出嗯 575 00:22:45,170 --> 00:22:47,450 一些空头持有部分仓位做波段交易 576 00:22:47,450 --> 00:22:48,769 一些人只是做包头皮交易 577 00:22:48,769 --> 00:22:49,450 具体怎么做 578 00:22:49,450 --> 00:22:50,539 取决于背景 579 00:22:50,539 --> 00:22:53,140 如果这是一个巨大下降趋势的一部分 580 00:22:53,140 --> 00:22:55,220 那么很多空投就不会在这里止盈 581 00:22:55,220 --> 00:22:56,420 他们愿意持有更久 582 00:22:56,420 --> 00:22:58,099 做波段交易 583 00:23:02,319 --> 00:23:03,319 反之亦然 584 00:23:03,319 --> 00:23:07,599 如果多头认为空投有一个糟糕的做空机会 585 00:23:08,670 --> 00:23:11,750 多头会在这个做空信号K线的低点挂单买入 586 00:23:11,750 --> 00:23:12,609 下降趋势柱 587 00:23:12,609 --> 00:23:13,720 这是外汇 588 00:23:13,720 --> 00:23:15,319 也许这是一个雄奇 589 00:23:15,319 --> 00:23:17,119 空投没有连续的大阴线 590 00:23:17,119 --> 00:23:19,839 反而多头在这里有一个相当好的反转 591 00:23:19,839 --> 00:23:22,519 阳线以及跟随的阳线 592 00:23:23,720 --> 00:23:25,819 在这里做空胜率不高 593 00:23:25,819 --> 00:23:29,480 更有可能会被止损亏钱 594 00:23:32,599 --> 00:23:35,140 他是一个糟糕的做空信号K线 595 00:23:35,140 --> 00:23:37,720 因此许多多头会在那个低点买入 596 00:23:37,720 --> 00:23:39,220 寻求包头皮的机会 597 00:23:39,220 --> 00:23:41,539 压住空头突破会失败 598 00:23:46,400 --> 00:23:49,859 他们可能会在下方十个点加仓买入更多 599 00:23:49,859 --> 00:23:52,359 但这需要价格下跌11个点 600 00:23:52,359 --> 00:23:55,289 他们才能在十个点的地方买到 601 00:23:55,900 --> 00:23:58,539 这是多头加仓的方法 602 00:24:01,680 --> 00:24:04,349 这里一共下跌了14个点 603 00:24:04,349 --> 00:24:07,549 在这个低点买入的多头压住这个熊奇会失败 604 00:24:07,549 --> 00:24:09,390 他们在下方十个点加仓买入 605 00:24:09,390 --> 00:24:10,480 更多 606 00:24:10,480 --> 00:24:11,759 下跌了14个点 607 00:24:11,759 --> 00:24:14,519 所以他们的现价买单肯定可以成交 608 00:24:16,640 --> 00:24:18,539 再次强调多头这样做 609 00:24:18,539 --> 00:24:20,339 前提是因为他们有信心 610 00:24:20,339 --> 00:24:22,829 这是一个糟糕的雄起 611 00:24:23,150 --> 00:24:24,849 后面更有可能是震荡区间 612 00:24:24,849 --> 00:24:25,930 最多是一次反弹 613 00:24:25,930 --> 00:24:28,190 而不是延续的下降趋势 614 00:24:31,160 --> 00:24:33,640 这样做的多头从他们的第一次入场算起 615 00:24:33,640 --> 00:24:35,319 可能要冒大约30个点的风险 616 00:24:35,319 --> 00:24:36,240 他们在这里买入 617 00:24:36,240 --> 00:24:38,170 在下方十个点买入更多 618 00:24:38,170 --> 00:24:40,730 也许他们愿意在下方20个点继续买入更多 619 00:24:40,730 --> 00:24:41,289 一般来说 620 00:24:41,289 --> 00:24:42,888 如果你用这种模式交易 621 00:24:42,888 --> 00:24:45,249 你大约需要冒三倍最低目标 622 00:24:45,249 --> 00:24:46,440 十个点的风险 623 00:24:46,440 --> 00:24:48,160 也就是30个点的风险 624 00:24:48,160 --> 00:24:50,299 大多数交易者不应该这样做 625 00:24:50,299 --> 00:24:52,259 他们当然不应该加仓住 626 00:24:52,259 --> 00:24:54,380 关于如何加仓 627 00:24:54,579 --> 00:24:56,599 以及新手为什么不应该加仓 628 00:24:56,599 --> 00:24:58,630 具体的内容在第35单元 629 00:24:58,630 --> 00:25:00,309 尽管高手会经常这样做 630 00:25:00,309 --> 00:25:02,470 空头知道在这个K线下方做空 631 00:25:02,470 --> 00:25:04,049 不是一笔好的交易 632 00:25:04,049 --> 00:25:06,449 很可能赚不到钱 633 00:25:06,769 --> 00:25:08,169 连续的阳线 634 00:25:08,169 --> 00:25:10,409 左边的下降趋势比较弱 635 00:25:10,409 --> 00:25:12,868 可以说是一个三推歇行底 636 00:25:12,868 --> 00:25:13,969 三个低点 637 00:25:13,969 --> 00:25:17,220 1233 638 00:25:19,240 --> 00:25:20,519 可能会有几段上涨 639 00:25:20,519 --> 00:25:22,900 至少是横盘 640 00:25:26,619 --> 00:25:29,240 这些空投会迅速买回他们的空单 641 00:25:29,240 --> 00:25:31,359 如果他们在做剥头皮交易 642 00:25:31,359 --> 00:25:34,000 他们的目标仅仅是赚十个点 643 00:25:34,000 --> 00:25:37,259 这意味着在这个低点下方12个点或11个点 644 00:25:37,259 --> 00:25:38,880 会有很多限价买单 645 00:25:38,880 --> 00:25:41,029 所以如果市场下跌12个点 646 00:25:41,029 --> 00:25:44,980 大概率会有很多买盘出现弱熊奇 647 00:25:44,980 --> 00:25:47,200 所以在前期低点很可能会有买盘 648 00:25:48,480 --> 00:25:50,730 空投会在前期低点买入止盈 649 00:25:50,730 --> 00:25:52,490 多头也会在这个低点买入 650 00:25:52,490 --> 00:25:54,170 压注会有足够大的反弹 651 00:25:54,170 --> 00:25:56,029 让他们赚到包头皮的利润 652 00:25:56,029 --> 00:25:57,710 所以他们会在这里买入 653 00:25:57,710 --> 00:26:00,869 然后在下方十个点买入更多压住 654 00:26:00,869 --> 00:26:02,910 这是震荡区间 655 00:26:07,420 --> 00:26:10,420 当价格涨回来的时候 656 00:26:11,680 --> 00:26:14,359 他们的第一笔仓位可以打平离场 657 00:26:14,359 --> 00:26:17,049 加仓的部分可以赚十个点 658 00:26:17,049 --> 00:26:19,650 一些多头不会在这个低点买入 659 00:26:19,650 --> 00:26:22,519 他们只在下方十个点挂买单 660 00:26:22,720 --> 00:26:26,460 一些多头认为空头突破创新低的尝试会失败 661 00:26:26,460 --> 00:26:29,529 所以他们直接在这个低点挂买单 662 00:26:29,529 --> 00:26:32,390 然后他们在这个位置止盈 663 00:26:32,390 --> 00:26:34,670 因为这是提前买入的 664 00:26:34,670 --> 00:26:37,289 多头会离场的地方 665 00:26:39,160 --> 00:26:40,660 这是多头的止盈区域 666 00:26:40,660 --> 00:26:42,279 如果交易者认为背景足够好 667 00:26:42,279 --> 00:26:43,119 支持波段上涨 668 00:26:43,119 --> 00:26:45,660 那么他们可能会继续持有一部分仓位 669 00:26:45,660 --> 00:26:46,740 但总的来说 670 00:26:46,740 --> 00:26:47,799 K线体积很小 671 00:26:47,799 --> 00:26:48,519 影线很长 672 00:26:48,519 --> 00:26:49,259 区间很小 673 00:26:49,259 --> 00:26:51,420 交易者在做包头皮交易 674 00:26:55,000 --> 00:26:57,779 这节课我们讲了标普股指期货的5kg陷阱 675 00:26:57,779 --> 00:26:59,640 以及外汇交易中的11pk陷阱 676 00:26:59,640 --> 00:27:00,220 意思是 677 00:27:00,220 --> 00:27:02,640 市场差一点点就达到包头皮交易的目标了 678 00:27:02,640 --> 00:27:03,990 结果开始反转 679 00:27:04,319 --> 00:27:05,319 然后我讲了 680 00:27:05,319 --> 00:27:08,759 遇到弱的交易机会可以反向交易 681 00:27:10,960 --> 00:27:12,480 我是二布鲁克斯 682 00:27:12,480 --> 00:27:16,920 感谢观看布鲁克斯交易课程突破的第七节课 683 00:27:16,920 --> 00:27:19,119 到这里就讲完了
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