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大家好
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欢迎回到娜娜说美股
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今天12月23号周一关系的不确定性呢
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在新一周开始之际
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打压了市场风险偏好
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川普上周五先宣布征收10%的全球关税
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周末又突然加码到15%
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立即生效
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先执行五个月期间再重新制定
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并且颁布新的合法关税框架
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其实这个关税金都念了一年
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大家都适应了
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现在市场的反应呢是远没有去年4月那么剧烈
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问题不在于关税本身
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而在于政策的摇摆和执行路径的不确定性啊
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这今天说10%
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明天就改口说15%
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这个政策变化太随意了哈
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不确定性才是让市场变得谨慎的原因
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大资金当下明显进入观望模式
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风险偏好被压低
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嗯嗯盘面上也挺戏剧性的
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盘前股指期货一度觉得稀里哗啦
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结果临近开盘被硬生生拉回指数
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平开后还象征性地上冲了一下
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搞出一个要平开高走的诱多假象啊
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于是呢当时有一些空头回补
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一些人呢追多
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结果10分钟不到
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指数就一泻如注
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拉裤子了
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快速回落哈
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抛售一直持续到了尾盘
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最后三大股指集体收跌
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除了新关税带来的不确定性之外呢
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AI颠覆恐慌也开始外溢
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从软件板块蔓延到了配送
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支付娱乐金融等多个传统行业
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起因是一家小机构c training research
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发布了一份假想情景分析报告
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这份内容并非是正式预测
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而是构建了一个AI繁荣危机的压力测试
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情景
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报告中阐述了
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AI技术可能对全球经济不同领域构成潜在风险
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AI大规模替代中高端岗位
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美国失业率将会升到10.2%
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消费收缩
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企业盈利塌陷
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美股进入熊市
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这篇小作文出来后呢
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迅速在交易员圈子里传播
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引发了算法模型跟风抛售
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多个板块出现了集中性踩踏
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可见现在市场神经太脆弱了
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对AI风险这四个字异常的敏感
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投资者已经被AI叙事搞成了惊弓之鸟
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利好的时候就说哎呀AI是嗯这个技术革命是吧
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像当初的互联网革命一样子
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推动一个时代的大爆发
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利空的时候呢
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就说AI毁灭就业
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毁灭那些传统行业
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反正叙事就只差一个方向
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那就是天差地别
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更值得注意的是
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这一波抛压不再局限于科技股
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而是波及到过去
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被认为不会被AI冲击的传统蓝筹
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创去年6月以来最大单日跌幅
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master card跌超5.7%
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也创去年4月以来的最大单日跌幅
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市场给出的恐慌逻辑是
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如果AI未来可以绕过传统支付网络
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或者帮助企业构建更低成本的金融基础设施
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那么这些支付巨头的议价权会不会下降
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这个逻辑未必马上成立哈
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但是市场现在不管是不是
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只在乎有没有这个可能嗯
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较去年10月峰值已经回撤了约45%
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一方面是消费放缓担忧哈
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另一方面是自动化配送
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智能调度
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甚至无人配送
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对商业模式带来的不确定性
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投资者担心的是
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如果未来AI重塑配送生态
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那平台是否还能维持现有的利润结构呢
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当估值本身已经高选的时候
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一点点的蓄势波动哈
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就足以触发估值压缩呃
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大家注意了哈
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这里不是杀业绩
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而是杀估值
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老牌科技公司IBM股价也没能够夺过去啊
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成为了AI技术快速迭代之下的最新受害者
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ENTROPIK旗下的cloud宣布增强对coo嗯
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编程语言的支持能力
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冲击了IBM的业务
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目前全球大量银行与政府机构的核心系统呢
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仍运行在COBO语言之上
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而多数大型主机系统由IBM生产
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长期以来IBM的一大护城河
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就是这个没人敢动的老系统
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现在如果AI可以帮助开发者更轻松的理解迁移
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甚至重构COBO代码
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那是否会削弱IBM大型主机的技术壁垒呢
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啊这不是今天就会发生的事情
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但是在AI技术迭代极快的背景之下
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资本市场不管那么多哈
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选择先砍估值再说
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软件板块呢依然是流血不止呀
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技术面已经严重超跌了
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可是没有资金愿意去接板块的
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地心探险之路还在持续
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成份股个个都已经跌成狗了
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月初的时候
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我曾连续做过几期视频哈
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但是就让大家不要急着去这个软件股
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挑拣所谓被错杀的股票
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什么adobe crm ServiceNow等等
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当一个板块整体被资金抛弃的时候
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抛压是系统性的哈
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不分青红皂白的
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就算是你选对了公司
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徒手接飞刀
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也得先承受巨大的浮亏
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更何况在AI技术飞速迭代的背景之下
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今天的护城河3年之后还在不在呢
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10年之后呢
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这才是市场真正担心的哈
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哪怕有一丝丝的可能都成为这个杀估值的理由
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或者说借口
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就连巨头微软都跌成重伤了
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股价已经跌穿了这条长期上升趋势线啊
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如果不能够在两三个交易日内尽快涨回去的话
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那这个中长期趋势就彻底走坏了
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下一个重要支撑要看向去年4月份的低点
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340美元
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这里同时呢也是2021年那个时候的峰值
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当股价回踩测试这个关键技术位的时候
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可能会引发超跌反弹
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波动率指数VIX呢
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今天啊收盘已经冲上了20
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市场明显处于这个防御状态
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机构们其实早就为鳄鱼回调做好准备了
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通过期权对冲反向ETF配置
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还有减仓操作
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整体市场的对冲比例已经处于高位了哈
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这说明情绪悲观的同时呢
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也意味着潜在的反弹燃料正在堆积
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一旦利空无法进一步压低啊
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关键支撑的话
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那后面空头回补会非常的猛烈
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标普500指数在月均线遇阻后回落
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上个周五我是不是在视频里已经提醒大家
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本周开市指数大概率就会先回踩6800点
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非常的接近呃
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也许明天可能会去碰一下6800
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说不定回落的原因也解释过
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因为上个周五的那根拉升
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本质上是延伸品到其与做市商对冲行为
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推动的技术性买盘哈
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不是真实的资金进场
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而这一周恢复了正常交易力量之后呢
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价格自然就回归真实的供需嗯
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在刚过去周末的会员周报里
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我也强调了本周初的回调风险就不是周一
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就是周二要回踩6800
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那我就很高兴了啊
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如果嗯不信暂时被套呢
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也别慌
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因为明天川普要讲话
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只要他能说一些好听的指数
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会有反弹空间的
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现在市场对冲头寸那么拥挤
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如果关税利空或者其他利空没能够有效击穿
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6800点的关键技术位
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就跌破之后能够迅速收回的话
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那就不算有效击穿哈
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或者呢本周有这个美国和伊朗嗯有协议进展
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那就要警惕空头回补引发的利空出境走势呃
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总体来说在周三盘后英伟达财报出来之前
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大盘估计还是震荡为主
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现在短线节奏非常的难做
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预测难度呢也加倍嗯
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情绪来回的摇摆
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指数却长期横盘
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我都记不清
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上一次股指出现这么长时间的横盘整理
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到底是什么时候了
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大盘目前看起来还算稳定是吧
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但是底下个股波动极其剧烈啊
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个股与指数的实际波动率差呢
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刚突破了历史最高水平
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平均个股的波动率
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比指数高出约25个百分点
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主经济三数据显示
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过去四周中有三周每股被净卖出
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其中科技媒体电信占净卖出的70%
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行业层面出现明显的分化
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基金大幅减持软件与互联网股
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同时呢增配半导体和存储芯片
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就嗯抛售软件哈
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这个增持硬件嘛
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资金呢也在外流
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据美银统计
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过去四周数百亿美元流入了韩国和日本股市
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其中韩国股市六周累计流入
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约177亿美元
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为历史最大规模之一
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资金热捧这两个国家的股市逻辑是
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韩国那边因为存储芯片周期复苏
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日本那边呢通胀预期回升
215
00:10:06,899 --> 00:10:09,740
投资者还关注中东局势进展
216
00:10:09,740 --> 00:10:13,750
目前预计美国和伊朗两国将会在这个周四嗯
217
00:10:13,750 --> 00:10:16,590
在日内瓦举行第三轮和谈判
218
00:10:16,590 --> 00:10:20,909
这提高了通过外交途径解决问题的希望
219
00:10:20,909 --> 00:10:22,169
不过呢
220
00:10:22,169 --> 00:10:27,330
据一位中央情报局前官员在播客节目中爆料
221
00:10:27,330 --> 00:10:30,009
这个周四的谈判是最后机会
222
00:10:30,009 --> 00:10:33,429
美国已经决定呃数日内要对伊朗动武
223
00:10:33,429 --> 00:10:35,330
甚至可能在两天内出手
224
00:10:35,330 --> 00:10:39,379
大家都知道这种情况都是呃小消息满天飞的哈
225
00:10:39,379 --> 00:10:42,279
呃据说美军多个基地已经启动了
226
00:10:42,279 --> 00:10:43,720
应急人员的调动
227
00:10:44,019 --> 00:10:44,899
不知道真假
228
00:10:44,899 --> 00:10:47,059
现在局势就变化太快了
229
00:10:47,059 --> 00:10:47,980
噪音太多了
230
00:10:47,980 --> 00:10:50,019
我们没有办法提前知道结果
231
00:10:50,019 --> 00:10:52,899
毕竟咱们也没有白宫那些人的电话嘛
232
00:10:52,899 --> 00:10:56,019
所以只能够提前做好应对的计划
233
00:10:56,019 --> 00:10:58,499
就是这个时候呢不能够激进啊
234
00:10:58,499 --> 00:11:00,399
只能走一步看一步
235
00:11:00,399 --> 00:11:04,399
不过这一周真正的关键变量还是英伟达
236
00:11:04,399 --> 00:11:09,649
财报可能成为触发大盘方向性突破的催化剂
237
00:11:09,649 --> 00:11:13,490
市场预期公司Q4营收同比增长67%
238
00:11:13,490 --> 00:11:16,409
每股收益同比增长66%啊
239
00:11:16,409 --> 00:11:18,309
都是非常好的数字
240
00:11:18,309 --> 00:11:19,850
华尔街的共识是
241
00:11:19,850 --> 00:11:21,909
英伟达的业绩呢依然很强
242
00:11:21,909 --> 00:11:26,350
实际财报数据出来可能会再次大超预期
243
00:11:26,350 --> 00:11:27,309
科技巨头们
244
00:11:27,309 --> 00:11:30,309
2026年资本支出总额超过6000亿美元
245
00:11:30,309 --> 00:11:33,399
其中大部分都是投向AI基础设施的
246
00:11:33,399 --> 00:11:35,539
所以这位因为党的增长逻辑
247
00:11:35,539 --> 00:11:37,549
提供了强有力的支撑
248
00:11:37,549 --> 00:11:40,029
不过比起Q4业绩
249
00:11:40,029 --> 00:11:41,789
投资者更关注的是
250
00:11:41,789 --> 00:11:45,649
2027财年第一财季的前瞻指引
251
00:11:45,649 --> 00:11:49,889
如果黄仁勋在讲话中大幅上调指引
252
00:11:49,889 --> 00:11:52,529
强调芯片依然供不应求
253
00:11:52,529 --> 00:11:54,889
股价呢才有望向上突破
254
00:11:54,889 --> 00:11:57,269
如果指引只是符合预期
255
00:11:57,269 --> 00:12:00,570
或者老黄讲话中出现哪怕一丝丝
256
00:12:00,570 --> 00:12:03,909
关于供需正常化或者定制芯片
257
00:12:03,909 --> 00:12:06,090
竞争压力的微妙错字
258
00:12:06,090 --> 00:12:09,019
都很容易演变成利好出镜
259
00:12:09,019 --> 00:12:11,740
呃以我对老黄的了解
260
00:12:11,740 --> 00:12:14,980
他肯定会在电话会议上大力唱多
261
00:12:14,980 --> 00:12:17,889
这个自家显卡需求的
262
00:12:17,889 --> 00:12:20,809
而且还会唱好软件股
263
00:12:20,809 --> 00:12:24,240
因为嗯目前软件行业的动荡
264
00:12:24,240 --> 00:12:27,589
其实正在动摇AI支出的根基
265
00:12:27,589 --> 00:12:30,068
当硬件大赚特赚
266
00:12:30,068 --> 00:12:34,139
而软件应用端却在忍受利润萎缩的时候
267
00:12:34,139 --> 00:12:37,700
那整个AI生态链的逻辑就是断裂的
268
00:12:37,700 --> 00:12:40,169
最终会反噬硬件的需求
269
00:12:40,169 --> 00:12:42,190
所以呢老黄必须要说
270
00:12:42,190 --> 00:12:44,149
AI不仅不会替代软件
271
00:12:44,149 --> 00:12:45,649
还会让软件更强大
272
00:12:45,649 --> 00:12:46,990
更赚钱是吧
273
00:12:46,990 --> 00:12:48,049
事实上哈
274
00:12:48,049 --> 00:12:52,429
呃有一说一就是老黄无论说什么都是其次的
275
00:12:52,429 --> 00:12:54,049
市场从来不看他说什么
276
00:12:54,049 --> 00:12:57,629
而是看资金要如何解读上一次财报那么好
277
00:12:57,629 --> 00:13:00,070
老黄说话也很动听啊
278
00:13:00,070 --> 00:13:02,889
结果股价走势还是那么坑人呀
279
00:13:02,889 --> 00:13:04,279
嗯不过呢
280
00:13:04,279 --> 00:13:08,259
这个长达数月的股价盘整也是有个好处的
281
00:13:08,259 --> 00:13:11,230
就是为英伟达挤掉了不少泡沫
282
00:13:11,230 --> 00:13:13,350
目前因为达到远期市盈率
283
00:13:13,350 --> 00:13:15,230
已经回落到24倍附近
284
00:13:15,230 --> 00:13:16,909
接近5年来的最低点
285
00:13:16,909 --> 00:13:20,339
而且远低于5年均值38倍
286
00:13:20,339 --> 00:13:23,479
整个科技板块的估值也在下修
287
00:13:23,479 --> 00:13:24,519
据美银桶
288
00:13:24,519 --> 00:13:27,320
即目前美股科技股的动态市盈率
289
00:13:27,320 --> 00:13:29,200
甚至低于非必需消费品
290
00:13:29,200 --> 00:13:31,909
工业和必需消费品板块
291
00:13:31,909 --> 00:13:34,570
软件股的暴跌是核心拖累哈
292
00:13:34,570 --> 00:13:37,259
现在大家都眼巴巴的盼着嗯
293
00:13:37,259 --> 00:13:41,179
英伟达的财报能够带领科技股重启涨势
294
00:13:41,179 --> 00:13:42,950
推动大盘突破
295
00:13:42,950 --> 00:13:43,950
在此之前
296
00:13:43,950 --> 00:13:47,980
就周二周三市场仍然是多空资金的博弈场
297
00:13:47,980 --> 00:13:50,279
黄金和白银今天一起走高
298
00:13:50,279 --> 00:13:51,940
因为避险情绪升温
299
00:13:51,940 --> 00:13:54,279
推动资金呢流入贵金属
300
00:13:54,279 --> 00:13:57,779
比特币这一边跌破了6.5万美元
301
00:13:57,779 --> 00:13:59,960
币权的情绪又再次恶化
302
00:13:59,960 --> 00:14:03,039
加密货币概念股也跟随着集体走低
303
00:14:03,039 --> 00:14:04,179
其他个股方面
304
00:14:04,179 --> 00:14:08,158
丹麦减肥药巨头诺和诺德再遭重锤
305
00:14:08,158 --> 00:14:09,399
因为在试验中
306
00:14:09,399 --> 00:14:11,279
他的下一代减肥药
307
00:14:11,279 --> 00:14:15,360
CARGRE瑞sea的效果不及里来的畅销啊
308
00:14:15,360 --> 00:14:16,990
药物ZEBRAND
309
00:14:16,990 --> 00:14:22,269
接受标准剂量实验药物咖啡ca治疗的受试者呢
310
00:14:22,269 --> 00:14:23,450
在八十四周后
311
00:14:23,450 --> 00:14:25,990
体重减轻了20.2%
312
00:14:25,990 --> 00:14:26,909
相比之下
313
00:14:26,909 --> 00:14:30,990
李莱的那个减重效果为23.6%
314
00:14:30,990 --> 00:14:34,690
结果诺和诺德一边公布这个声明
315
00:14:34,690 --> 00:14:37,730
一边呢CEO却死鸭子嘴硬
316
00:14:37,730 --> 00:14:41,669
还说我们坚信卡格瑞希曼目前的减肥疗效
317
00:14:41,669 --> 00:14:43,940
是优于市面上任何产品的
318
00:14:43,940 --> 00:14:46,700
好啦这不仅没有安抚到投资者
319
00:14:46,700 --> 00:14:50,909
还反而更激起了对管理层的这个质疑
320
00:14:50,909 --> 00:14:54,149
由于诺和诺德的畅销药物we go v
321
00:14:54,149 --> 00:14:57,059
还有奥some pk的专利即将到期了
322
00:14:57,059 --> 00:14:57,879
卡归维希曼呢
323
00:14:57,879 --> 00:14:59,059
被视为诺和诺德
324
00:14:59,059 --> 00:15:02,940
继续保持竞争力的关键战略产品
325
00:15:02,940 --> 00:15:06,379
所以这一次的失败对该股的打击是巨大的哈
326
00:15:09,539 --> 00:15:10,919
创下新低
327
00:15:10,919 --> 00:15:14,279
PAPO今天因为彭博士一篇新闻
328
00:15:14,279 --> 00:15:15,740
股价逆势上涨
329
00:15:15,740 --> 00:15:19,919
报道说PAPO只吸引潜在买家的收购兴趣
330
00:15:19,919 --> 00:15:22,759
公司已经在主动接触的印象方中
331
00:15:22,759 --> 00:15:24,899
与多家银行进行了会面
332
00:15:24,899 --> 00:15:29,710
至少有一家大型竞争对手正在考虑整体收购
333
00:15:29,710 --> 00:15:31,490
而其他一些意向方呢
334
00:15:31,490 --> 00:15:35,059
只对配票的部分资产感兴趣啊
335
00:15:35,059 --> 00:15:38,340
报道说目前收购意向仍处于初步阶段哈
336
00:15:38,340 --> 00:15:39,809
不一定会达成交易
337
00:15:39,809 --> 00:15:42,389
我也好奇到底是谁要收购它
338
00:15:42,389 --> 00:15:45,409
不知道公司是真的打算要卖身呢
339
00:15:45,409 --> 00:15:48,809
还是放消息出来试探市场反映的
340
00:15:48,809 --> 00:15:52,129
既然这个资金要炒作收购了
341
00:15:52,129 --> 00:15:54,490
那么股价40美元附近啊
342
00:15:54,490 --> 00:15:56,440
估计就是底部了哈
343
00:15:56,440 --> 00:15:59,600
嗯每次传闻被收购的时候呢
344
00:15:59,600 --> 00:16:00,379
暴涨一下
345
00:16:00,379 --> 00:16:02,599
然后传闻呃冷却了
346
00:16:02,599 --> 00:16:03,759
没了又回落
347
00:16:03,759 --> 00:16:05,339
就反反复复来几次
348
00:16:05,339 --> 00:16:07,419
最终才会尘埃落定
349
00:16:07,419 --> 00:16:09,759
太空概念股近期降温
350
00:16:09,759 --> 00:16:13,259
RDW股价从近期峰值腰斩
351
00:16:13,259 --> 00:16:16,720
小火箭rocket lab回撤了约35%
352
00:16:16,720 --> 00:16:17,659
前段时间
353
00:16:17,659 --> 00:16:19,340
由于马斯克不断的鼓吹
354
00:16:19,340 --> 00:16:22,419
太空数据中心将会取代地面设施
355
00:16:22,419 --> 00:16:25,220
以及space x ipo前景的预热
356
00:16:25,220 --> 00:16:27,350
太空股呢就大幅上涨
357
00:16:27,350 --> 00:16:30,730
但是最近由于美联储降息意愿不大
358
00:16:30,730 --> 00:16:33,190
高利率可能维持更长的时间
359
00:16:33,190 --> 00:16:36,490
压制了热钱对题材概念股的炒作
360
00:16:36,490 --> 00:16:39,200
太空股呢也就集体回调了
361
00:16:39,200 --> 00:16:42,779
其他科技高管也对太空数据中心这个大饼
362
00:16:42,779 --> 00:16:43,879
表示质疑哈
363
00:16:43,879 --> 00:16:44,720
Open a su
364
00:16:44,720 --> 00:16:45,320
奥特曼
365
00:16:45,320 --> 00:16:49,159
将当下在太空建设数据中心的概念
366
00:16:49,159 --> 00:16:50,929
成为荒谬至极
367
00:16:50,929 --> 00:16:52,809
AI芯片故障率那么高
368
00:16:52,809 --> 00:16:55,839
要怎么在太空中对设施进行维修呢
369
00:16:55,839 --> 00:16:59,639
至于后来马斯克吹的要在月球建立城市
370
00:16:59,639 --> 00:17:00,220
人类哦
371
00:17:00,220 --> 00:17:02,860
活在最高150℃和
372
00:17:02,860 --> 00:17:06,710
最低零下180℃的环境下
373
00:17:06,710 --> 00:17:08,029
当社畜打工
374
00:17:08,029 --> 00:17:09,710
科幻片都不敢这么演
375
00:17:09,710 --> 00:17:11,269
不过这对于马斯克来说
376
00:17:11,269 --> 00:17:12,210
那都不是事
377
00:17:12,210 --> 00:17:15,588
马教主的号召力不是凹凸曼能够理解的了的
378
00:17:15,588 --> 00:17:16,868
就算是奥特曼呃
379
00:17:16,868 --> 00:17:17,548
能理解
380
00:17:17,548 --> 00:17:19,548
也只能够羡慕嫉妒恨哈
381
00:17:19,548 --> 00:17:21,009
无法互制呃
382
00:17:21,009 --> 00:17:23,759
这个神说信我得永生嘛
383
00:17:23,759 --> 00:17:27,720
马教主说信我去月球打工都是同个性质哈
384
00:17:27,720 --> 00:17:29,460
所以太空股回调之后
385
00:17:29,460 --> 00:17:32,880
等后面NASA再出一个登月任务啦
386
00:17:32,880 --> 00:17:36,069
或者川普宣布太空发展计划啦
387
00:17:36,069 --> 00:17:37,730
又或者space x呃
388
00:17:37,730 --> 00:17:39,690
IPO日期出来
389
00:17:39,690 --> 00:17:42,509
这个板块还是会再炒作起来的
390
00:17:42,509 --> 00:17:45,400
只不过在下一波炒作之前呢
391
00:17:45,400 --> 00:17:48,019
要先等这一波的底部出来
392
00:17:48,019 --> 00:17:51,880
散户们熟知的市场热度高的什么小火箭啦
393
00:17:51,880 --> 00:17:52,660
小月亮啦
394
00:17:52,660 --> 00:17:57,069
那都是亏损企业靠热钱炒作的题材概念哈
395
00:17:57,069 --> 00:17:58,849
真正有基本面的
396
00:17:58,849 --> 00:18:01,490
比如像AATI这家公司
397
00:18:01,490 --> 00:18:02,630
他就很低调
398
00:18:02,630 --> 00:18:04,818
公司主要提供航空
399
00:18:04,818 --> 00:18:08,019
航天级铝合金和高强度不锈钢
400
00:18:08,019 --> 00:18:11,710
是SPACEX和波音的核心材料供应商
401
00:18:11,710 --> 00:18:13,430
股价自2022年以来
402
00:18:13,430 --> 00:18:15,890
从16美元涨到了160美元
403
00:18:15,890 --> 00:18:17,589
翻了十倍啊
404
00:18:17,589 --> 00:18:19,569
讨论的热度呢却很低
405
00:18:19,569 --> 00:18:21,829
不过现在股价已经涨很高了哈
406
00:18:21,829 --> 00:18:23,710
你说这不比那个特斯拉
407
00:18:23,710 --> 00:18:24,569
英伟达
408
00:18:24,569 --> 00:18:26,579
微软是不是要香很多吗
409
00:18:28,140 --> 00:18:30,299
股价已经接近年线支撑
410
00:18:33,539 --> 00:18:35,839
它是有群众基础的是吧
411
00:18:35,839 --> 00:18:38,380
别的科技股享受科技溢价
412
00:18:38,380 --> 00:18:39,880
特斯拉这只宗教股
413
00:18:39,880 --> 00:18:42,190
他享受的是信仰溢价
414
00:18:42,190 --> 00:18:44,309
非要这个去纠结
415
00:18:44,309 --> 00:18:48,059
到底马总催的大饼哪一天能够实现爱
416
00:18:48,059 --> 00:18:50,500
那个答案就是不争朝夕
417
00:18:50,500 --> 00:18:52,140
向天再借500年
418
00:18:52,140 --> 00:18:54,200
我这不是阴阳马斯克哈
419
00:18:54,200 --> 00:18:57,029
事实上马总的确非常的牛逼
420
00:18:57,029 --> 00:18:59,369
涕很多原本别人质疑的事情
421
00:18:59,369 --> 00:19:01,079
他最后也都做到了是吧
422
00:19:01,079 --> 00:19:04,480
我一直坚定的认为马总要么是外星人
423
00:19:04,480 --> 00:19:08,809
要么就是外星人在地球选的一个代理人呃
424
00:19:08,809 --> 00:19:11,519
所以才能够对天对地
425
00:19:14,460 --> 00:19:18,259
在中美不同意识阵营之间两头通吃
426
00:19:18,259 --> 00:19:21,339
拳打拜登口喷川大把蒙分打通
427
00:19:21,339 --> 00:19:22,539
还按在地上摩擦
428
00:19:22,539 --> 00:19:23,500
总而言之
429
00:19:23,500 --> 00:19:27,019
你说这个世界上有马斯克这种胆量的
430
00:19:27,019 --> 00:19:28,299
没有马斯克的能力
431
00:19:28,299 --> 00:19:29,579
有马斯克能力的
432
00:19:29,579 --> 00:19:31,619
没有马斯克的胆气
433
00:19:31,619 --> 00:19:34,640
所以呢特斯拉只要有马斯克在一天
434
00:19:38,000 --> 00:19:39,880
马斯克要是哪天离开了
435
00:19:39,880 --> 00:19:43,119
那个后果绝对是股东们承受不起的哈
436
00:19:43,680 --> 00:19:45,920
所以这也是为什么我不敢将特斯拉
437
00:19:45,920 --> 00:19:48,670
作为重仓投资标的的原因之一
438
00:19:48,670 --> 00:19:49,130
呃
439
00:19:49,130 --> 00:19:51,130
行今天我们就说到这里
440
00:19:51,130 --> 00:19:52,759
那我们明天见拜拜