BV1egd2BtENf · 请不要叫我梁同学1 00:00:00,040 --> 00:00:01,560 中东战火引爆 2 00:00:01,560 --> 00:00:03,240 油价跳涨7% 3 00:00:03,240 --> 00:00:07,040 而纳斯达克却以13连阳的史诗级反弹 4 00:00:07,040 --> 00:00:08,419 傲视全场 5 00:00:08,419 --> 00:00:10,220 这场刀尖上的博弈 6 00:00:10,220 --> 00:00:13,939 终将决定4月最后一周是避险天堂 7 00:00:13,939 --> 00:00:16,160 还是科技狂欢 8 00:00:16,160 --> 00:00:17,179 特斯拉 9 00:00:17,179 --> 00:00:19,480 英特尔等巨头的业绩呢 10 00:00:19,480 --> 00:00:23,660 将直接决定科技股这轮狂奔式空中加油 11 00:00:23,660 --> 00:00:25,519 还是获利回吐 12 00:00:25,519 --> 00:00:30,640 而中东停火协议的到期更是悬在市场头顶的剑 13 00:00:30,640 --> 00:00:31,960 在这个位置 14 00:00:31,960 --> 00:00:34,439 防守比进攻更重要 15 00:00:34,439 --> 00:00:36,920 节奏比仓位更关键 16 00:00:36,920 --> 00:00:41,299 本周核心日历呢一定要盯紧这三个爆点日 17 00:00:41,299 --> 00:00:43,820 接下来ta米细细跟你分析 18 00:00:43,820 --> 00:00:44,380 Hello 19 00:00:44,380 --> 00:00:44,880 大家好 20 00:00:44,880 --> 00:00:46,179 我是致富学院的AI 21 00:00:46,179 --> 00:00:47,240 如果你也投资美股 22 00:00:47,240 --> 00:00:48,359 记得点击订阅 23 00:00:48,359 --> 00:00:49,299 打开小铃铛 24 00:00:49,299 --> 00:00:53,479 一起用靠谱的工具和方法来发现美股市场机会 25 00:01:02,079 --> 00:01:04,280 今天是香港时间4月20日 26 00:01:04,280 --> 00:01:06,620 我们来做一下美股周行情展望 27 00:01:06,620 --> 00:01:10,530 主要会通过以下三个部分来跟大家重点来分享 28 00:01:10,530 --> 00:01:14,289 第一个部分重点解读的是美股本周的行情 29 00:01:14,289 --> 00:01:15,569 而第二个部分呢 30 00:01:15,569 --> 00:01:19,188 我们会谈到当下配置比较热门的方向 31 00:01:19,188 --> 00:01:20,228 科技主线 32 00:01:20,228 --> 00:01:23,159 能源板块以及防御性的价值股 33 00:01:23,159 --> 00:01:26,310 最后呢会跟大家做一下风险以及仓位的提示 34 00:01:26,310 --> 00:01:27,049 老规矩 35 00:01:27,049 --> 00:01:27,810 先赞后看 36 00:01:27,810 --> 00:01:28,450 财运不断 37 00:01:28,450 --> 00:01:30,709 但有的粉丝朋友不要忘记评论区打卡 38 00:01:30,709 --> 00:01:31,650 签到留言哦 39 00:01:31,650 --> 00:01:33,530 在进行正式内容之前呢 40 00:01:33,530 --> 00:01:35,198 先提醒一下粉丝朋友们 41 00:01:35,198 --> 00:01:37,739 A米频道呢做了最新的更新 42 00:01:37,739 --> 00:01:40,709 后续A米投资学堂这个频道呢 43 00:01:40,709 --> 00:01:43,170 我们主要做的是周行情的展望 44 00:01:43,170 --> 00:01:45,069 而对于每日的行情更新呢 45 00:01:45,069 --> 00:01:48,890 依旧在A米说美股频道大家要记好时间 46 00:01:48,890 --> 00:01:50,010 怕记不住的呢 47 00:01:50,010 --> 00:01:51,790 就一定要点赞订阅 48 00:01:51,790 --> 00:01:54,450 并且打开两个频道的小铃铛 49 00:01:54,450 --> 00:01:56,049 这样给你上传视频呢 50 00:01:56,049 --> 00:01:57,478 你就不会错过了 51 00:01:57,478 --> 00:02:01,400 也可以直接根据评论区置顶的TG链接 52 00:02:01,400 --> 00:02:03,939 加入到AMY的免费教学频道 53 00:02:03,939 --> 00:02:06,069 每一次艾米出了新的视频 54 00:02:06,069 --> 00:02:08,889 助教老师都会在TG频道通知大家 55 00:02:08,889 --> 00:02:12,000 如果还没在AMY的pg教学频道的呢 56 00:02:12,000 --> 00:02:14,280 可以根据评论区置顶的链接 57 00:02:14,280 --> 00:02:17,599 联系助教老师加入咱们的免费教学频道 58 00:02:17,599 --> 00:02:19,139 好啦回到第一个部分 59 00:02:19,139 --> 00:02:20,810 关于美股本周的行情 60 00:02:20,810 --> 00:02:24,740 美股已经创出了难得一遇的13连涨 61 00:02:24,740 --> 00:02:26,919 而通过这里连阳大涨上来 62 00:02:26,919 --> 00:02:30,310 纳值也是陆续走出了相对应的缺口 63 00:02:30,310 --> 00:02:34,030 从最开始的普通缺口到突破型的缺口 64 00:02:34,030 --> 00:02:36,879 再到这几处的持续性缺口 65 00:02:36,879 --> 00:02:39,759 而关于上周四和上周五的这个缺口呢 66 00:02:39,759 --> 00:02:43,000 我们目前不能够去确认它是持续性的缺口 67 00:02:43,000 --> 00:02:44,870 还是消耗性的缺口 68 00:02:44,870 --> 00:02:46,969 如果从缺口的理论来说 69 00:02:46,969 --> 00:02:48,949 一波单边上涨的行情 70 00:02:48,949 --> 00:02:53,099 一般能够走出的就是5~6个缺口之后呢 71 00:02:53,099 --> 00:02:55,599 可能就会产生相对应的反转 72 00:02:55,599 --> 00:02:57,219 所以对于第六个缺口呢 73 00:02:57,219 --> 00:02:59,879 我们暂时把它定义为消耗性的缺口 74 00:02:59,879 --> 00:03:01,460 概率会更大一些 75 00:03:01,460 --> 00:03:03,500 那怎样能够确认这个位置 76 00:03:03,500 --> 00:03:05,340 是一个消耗性的缺口呢 77 00:03:05,340 --> 00:03:08,740 根据前期AI在会员频道跟大家上传的 78 00:03:08,740 --> 00:03:09,800 这个缺口理论 79 00:03:09,800 --> 00:03:12,519 咱们来去回顾一下消耗性的缺口 80 00:03:12,519 --> 00:03:13,519 它主要讲的呢 81 00:03:13,519 --> 00:03:16,778 是股价在一波单边上涨的过程之中 82 00:03:16,778 --> 00:03:19,329 而且涨幅非常的快 83 00:03:19,329 --> 00:03:20,808 走完了普通缺口 84 00:03:20,808 --> 00:03:23,449 突破性缺口和持续性缺口之后 85 00:03:23,449 --> 00:03:25,740 出现的消耗性缺口 86 00:03:25,740 --> 00:03:28,120 这个跳空高开股价产生了 87 00:03:28,120 --> 00:03:31,310 后续会快速的把这个缺口给回补 88 00:03:31,310 --> 00:03:33,349 可以以K线的形式回补 89 00:03:33,349 --> 00:03:36,569 也可以是以跳空低开的缺口给回补 90 00:03:36,569 --> 00:03:38,909 如果以跳空低开缺口回补呢 91 00:03:38,909 --> 00:03:41,019 那你会看到这个缺口 92 00:03:41,019 --> 00:03:44,399 它跟前面的消耗性缺口形成了共振 93 00:03:44,399 --> 00:03:47,338 也就会构成岛形反转的形态 94 00:03:47,338 --> 00:03:49,689 那也是强烈看跌的信号 95 00:03:49,689 --> 00:03:51,810 因此对于当下的纳值而言呢 96 00:03:51,810 --> 00:03:54,020 我们并不能够去确认这个位置 97 00:03:54,020 --> 00:03:56,259 就是一个明确的消耗性缺口 98 00:03:56,259 --> 00:03:58,240 关注的呢是后续的股价 99 00:03:58,240 --> 00:04:01,169 也就是在本周未来的三天 100 00:04:01,169 --> 00:04:04,729 会否出现K线或者跳空低开的形式 101 00:04:04,729 --> 00:04:06,379 把这个缺口给回补 102 00:04:06,379 --> 00:04:07,560 如果回补了 103 00:04:07,560 --> 00:04:09,979 那就说明消耗性缺口产生 104 00:04:09,979 --> 00:04:12,879 股价后续看跌的动能会更加的明显 105 00:04:12,879 --> 00:04:15,599 关于不知道如何去辨别普通缺口 106 00:04:15,599 --> 00:04:18,579 突破缺口或者持续性缺口的粉丝呢 107 00:04:18,579 --> 00:04:21,978 可以去翻看我们会员频道的这个视频里面 108 00:04:21,978 --> 00:04:25,000 跟大家详细讲到了所有缺口的用法 109 00:04:25,000 --> 00:04:27,600 那再通过机构指标来做一下共振 110 00:04:27,600 --> 00:04:30,480 当下的纳指不仅仅是走出了六个 111 00:04:30,480 --> 00:04:31,740 跳空高开的缺口 112 00:04:31,740 --> 00:04:35,540 而且在这里已经走出了一波完整的上涨结构 113 00:04:35,540 --> 00:04:39,149 九结构九的高点呢也是已经连续两天被突破 114 00:04:39,149 --> 00:04:42,089 结合缺口跟九转的理论支撑呢 115 00:04:42,089 --> 00:04:43,850 当下短线的支撑位 116 00:04:43,850 --> 00:04:47,259 我们要去关注的是2万4156 117 00:04:47,259 --> 00:04:49,540 看一下这个价格会否被跌落 118 00:04:49,540 --> 00:04:53,220 如果这个价格在未来三天之内快速跌落了 119 00:04:53,220 --> 00:04:55,589 那就是短线看跌的信号 120 00:04:55,589 --> 00:04:57,990 在顶底预警趋势线上面也能够看到 121 00:04:57,990 --> 00:05:00,850 目前的价格是到达了超买区 122 00:05:00,850 --> 00:05:03,279 也就是高危估值风险区 123 00:05:03,279 --> 00:05:05,800 说明当下的这个地方风险较大 124 00:05:05,800 --> 00:05:07,199 就像我们看到前面 125 00:05:07,199 --> 00:05:09,819 这里也是到达了高危估值泡沫区 126 00:05:09,819 --> 00:05:11,399 随即粉线下穿 127 00:05:11,399 --> 00:05:13,250 股票呢就一路的下跌 128 00:05:13,250 --> 00:05:15,329 那这个位置如果2万4000 129 00:05:15,329 --> 00:05:18,970 156的价格跌落了前面前期的这个高点 130 00:05:18,970 --> 00:05:20,209 大家也要去注意一下 131 00:05:20,209 --> 00:05:22,009 也就是2万4的价格 132 00:05:22,009 --> 00:05:25,050 这个位置已经作为纳指的一个支撑位了 133 00:05:25,050 --> 00:05:27,180 假使纳指把这个缺口回补 134 00:05:27,180 --> 00:05:29,839 还把2万4000的价格给跌漏了 135 00:05:29,839 --> 00:05:31,259 那可能再往下探呢 136 00:05:31,259 --> 00:05:34,110 我们会看到的就是前期这个结构卷的低点 137 00:05:34,110 --> 00:05:35,550 这个是跟大家去提醒 138 00:05:35,550 --> 00:05:36,589 要去关注的 139 00:05:36,589 --> 00:05:37,750 整体而言呢 140 00:05:37,750 --> 00:05:40,910 本周科技股会面临高波动的考验 141 00:05:40,910 --> 00:05:43,810 大家一定要切记在财报之前 142 00:05:43,810 --> 00:05:45,870 不要盲目的去追高 143 00:05:45,870 --> 00:05:48,529 甚至于该采取的是止盈的策略 144 00:05:48,529 --> 00:05:50,290 这是关于第一部分的内容 145 00:05:50,290 --> 00:05:53,029 那接着呢我们就来重点跟大家去讲一下 146 00:05:53,029 --> 00:05:54,620 热门个股的解析 147 00:05:54,620 --> 00:05:55,860 刚才已经提到 148 00:05:55,860 --> 00:05:58,240 在本周科技股呢有财报 149 00:05:58,240 --> 00:06:00,939 先来看一下本周的核心日历 150 00:06:00,939 --> 00:06:02,860 首先就是在4月22号 151 00:06:02,860 --> 00:06:05,730 本周二特斯拉会在盘后发布财报 152 00:06:05,730 --> 00:06:08,009 而对于特斯拉的交付量来说呢 153 00:06:08,009 --> 00:06:09,970 应该风险是比较高的哈 154 00:06:09,970 --> 00:06:12,139 可能这个数据不会特别的乐观 155 00:06:12,139 --> 00:06:15,639 另外呢要去关注的就是robot taxi的进展 156 00:06:15,639 --> 00:06:17,788 这个会决定科技股的情绪 157 00:06:17,788 --> 00:06:20,288 第二个同样是关于本周二 158 00:06:20,288 --> 00:06:22,560 美已停火的协议就到期了 159 00:06:22,560 --> 00:06:25,459 伊朗在周末重新封锁海峡的消息呢 160 00:06:25,459 --> 00:06:28,319 导致油价哈是又再度出现了跳涨 161 00:06:28,319 --> 00:06:31,199 那我们就要密切的去关注本周二的谈判 162 00:06:31,199 --> 00:06:32,560 如果谈判破裂 163 00:06:32,560 --> 00:06:36,259 那油价跟避险情绪可能都会去飙升 164 00:06:36,259 --> 00:06:38,620 面临的就是能源有机会 165 00:06:38,620 --> 00:06:40,709 但科技会更加承压 166 00:06:40,709 --> 00:06:43,649 再一个是本周三英特尔谈后的财报 167 00:06:43,649 --> 00:06:47,439 它呢会作为验证AI算力的风向标 168 00:06:47,439 --> 00:06:49,100 先来看一下特斯拉 169 00:06:49,100 --> 00:06:50,660 对于特斯拉这支股票呢 170 00:06:50,660 --> 00:06:52,399 其实在上周六的公开直播 171 00:06:52,399 --> 00:06:53,839 艾米也有跟大家去讲过 172 00:06:53,839 --> 00:06:54,939 整体而言呢 173 00:06:54,939 --> 00:06:57,540 Q1的交付量应该是不及预期的 174 00:06:57,540 --> 00:06:59,259 所以在财报之前 175 00:06:59,259 --> 00:07:01,769 市场的情绪可能会谨慎为主 176 00:07:01,769 --> 00:07:03,329 大家要密切关注一下 177 00:07:03,329 --> 00:07:04,129 在今天开盘 178 00:07:04,129 --> 00:07:07,050 特斯拉能否站稳顺势交易指标的上沿 179 00:07:07,050 --> 00:07:08,569 如果遇阻回落呢 180 00:07:08,569 --> 00:07:10,689 建议在60分钟级别减点仓 181 00:07:10,689 --> 00:07:13,810 或者布局一些保护性的期权 182 00:07:13,810 --> 00:07:15,829 而财报之后的应对方案是 183 00:07:15,829 --> 00:07:19,180 如果财报后股价因毛利率超预期大涨 184 00:07:19,180 --> 00:07:22,459 那大家要去把握的是短线的止盈机会 185 00:07:22,459 --> 00:07:23,579 关注我60分钟 186 00:07:23,579 --> 00:07:24,639 如果趋势走坏 187 00:07:24,639 --> 00:07:26,329 建议先获利了结 188 00:07:26,329 --> 00:07:28,250 我们通过技术层面来看一下 189 00:07:28,250 --> 00:07:30,769 当下走到的是上涨结构五 190 00:07:30,769 --> 00:07:33,009 按照结构九的理论来说呢 191 00:07:33,009 --> 00:07:35,230 只要这个上涨的数字不消失 192 00:07:35,230 --> 00:07:36,959 大家是可以去持股的 193 00:07:36,959 --> 00:07:39,899 但在上周走到结构五的时候 194 00:07:39,899 --> 00:07:43,060 上周四跟周五这两根K线就出现了 195 00:07:43,060 --> 00:07:46,658 A米跟大家分享过的上下翻飞的K线形态 196 00:07:46,658 --> 00:07:50,038 一个股价不论是在上涨还是下跌的过程之中 197 00:07:50,038 --> 00:07:51,838 出现这种上下翻飞 198 00:07:51,838 --> 00:07:54,699 都有可能预示着股价的变盘 199 00:07:54,699 --> 00:07:57,660 那特斯拉从这个低位337的位置起 200 00:07:57,660 --> 00:07:58,259 涨上来 201 00:07:58,259 --> 00:08:00,759 算作是一个反弹的上涨动能 202 00:08:00,759 --> 00:08:04,540 这个上下翻飞的形态呢又面临顺势交易指标 203 00:08:04,540 --> 00:08:05,939 九紫离火带的上沿 204 00:08:05,939 --> 00:08:07,759 我们就可以把这个上下翻飞 205 00:08:07,759 --> 00:08:09,740 K线的高点和低点划线 206 00:08:09,740 --> 00:08:14,019 也就意味着如果高点409的价格突破了 207 00:08:14,019 --> 00:08:16,649 那特斯拉呢有望继续向上 208 00:08:16,649 --> 00:08:17,129 反之 209 00:08:17,129 --> 00:08:18,930 如果是把上下翻飞的下沿 210 00:08:18,930 --> 00:08:20,910 391的位置给跌漏 211 00:08:20,910 --> 00:08:22,639 可能风险会比较大 212 00:08:22,639 --> 00:08:26,129 这是利用上下翻飞技术分析形态来去预测到的 213 00:08:26,129 --> 00:08:28,829 而如果再来去关注一下顺势交易指标 214 00:08:28,829 --> 00:08:30,730 这个九子离火带上沿 215 00:08:30,730 --> 00:08:33,240 它的价格呢是408 216 00:08:33,240 --> 00:08:34,360 AI的建议是 217 00:08:34,360 --> 00:08:36,350 我们关注一下今天的K线 218 00:08:36,350 --> 00:08:39,090 能否去站在这个顺势交易指标上方 219 00:08:39,090 --> 00:08:40,250 如果站不上 220 00:08:40,250 --> 00:08:41,509 他遇阻回落 221 00:08:41,509 --> 00:08:42,750 收的是一个阴线 222 00:08:42,750 --> 00:08:44,830 你看毕竟在上周五的时候 223 00:08:44,830 --> 00:08:46,990 它的最高价409.28 224 00:08:46,990 --> 00:08:49,730 就在去冲击顺势交易指标的上沿 225 00:08:49,730 --> 00:08:51,849 但最终的收盘价是400 226 00:08:51,849 --> 00:08:54,589 如果今天最终收的是阴K线 227 00:08:54,589 --> 00:08:57,249 那么呢就建议大家可以减一点仓位 228 00:08:57,249 --> 00:08:59,230 来去应对特斯拉的财报 229 00:08:59,230 --> 00:09:01,289 你看在这里的特斯拉 230 00:09:01,289 --> 00:09:04,190 也是在去冲击九紫离火带的上方 231 00:09:04,190 --> 00:09:05,279 没有冲击成功 232 00:09:05,279 --> 00:09:07,600 最终以阴K线遇阻回落 233 00:09:07,600 --> 00:09:11,099 那后续的特斯拉是不是就开始了下降的行情 234 00:09:11,099 --> 00:09:12,739 所以在这里也是一样的 235 00:09:12,739 --> 00:09:15,958 就密切关注一下这个位置能否占得上 236 00:09:15,958 --> 00:09:17,438 包括在中线级别 237 00:09:17,438 --> 00:09:18,589 大家能够看到 238 00:09:18,589 --> 00:09:22,169 在特斯拉上周虽然收出了一个大阳线 239 00:09:22,169 --> 00:09:26,129 但是呢对应下方有一个二次探底的B信号 240 00:09:26,129 --> 00:09:29,419 给到的价格呢是325.53 241 00:09:29,419 --> 00:09:32,360 也就意味着特斯拉在这个位置企稳上来呢 242 00:09:32,360 --> 00:09:33,519 要去关注一下 243 00:09:33,519 --> 00:09:35,470 如果财报不及预期 244 00:09:35,470 --> 00:09:36,909 它遇阻回落 245 00:09:36,909 --> 00:09:38,190 再次调下来 246 00:09:38,190 --> 00:09:40,190 可能会到达325 247 00:09:40,190 --> 00:09:43,309 这个价格区间才会真正的去企稳哈 248 00:09:43,309 --> 00:09:45,149 所以这是为什么跟大家去讲 249 00:09:45,149 --> 00:09:47,769 如果今天顺势交易指标遇阻回落 250 00:09:47,769 --> 00:09:49,740 我们先减点仓位的原因 251 00:09:49,740 --> 00:09:51,879 先保住当下的利润 252 00:09:51,879 --> 00:09:54,068 再去谈后续的操作空间 253 00:09:54,068 --> 00:09:58,429 毕竟特斯拉这支股票它属于暴涨暴跌型的 254 00:09:58,429 --> 00:09:59,549 目前来说呢 255 00:09:59,549 --> 00:10:02,629 已经不值得我们以年的周期来去持有它了 256 00:10:02,629 --> 00:10:05,039 最好呢就是做高抛低吸 257 00:10:05,039 --> 00:10:06,919 性价比会更高一些 258 00:10:06,919 --> 00:10:09,779 第二个呢来重点说一下半导体板块 259 00:10:09,779 --> 00:10:13,429 那我们要重点关注的就是英特尔的财报指引 260 00:10:13,429 --> 00:10:16,730 英特尔的财报可以说是半导体板块的试金石 261 00:10:16,730 --> 00:10:19,049 因为它的数据中心业务表现 262 00:10:19,049 --> 00:10:21,519 将影响板块后续的走向 263 00:10:21,519 --> 00:10:24,399 如果说英特尔数据中心的业务强劲 264 00:10:24,399 --> 00:10:26,059 那我们可以去关注一下 265 00:10:26,059 --> 00:10:28,220 比如像拉姆研究等设备商 266 00:10:28,220 --> 00:10:29,789 它可能会面临补涨 267 00:10:29,789 --> 00:10:31,429 而如果指引疲软 268 00:10:31,429 --> 00:10:34,549 就要警惕整个半导体板块的回调 269 00:10:34,549 --> 00:10:36,480 来看一下英特尔的技术面 270 00:10:36,480 --> 00:10:39,200 从这个低点咱们跟大家提醒到 271 00:10:39,200 --> 00:10:42,149 现在整体的涨幅是相当的惊人的 272 00:10:42,149 --> 00:10:44,649 而在通过机构指标来共振 273 00:10:44,649 --> 00:10:46,230 能够发现资金流向 274 00:10:46,230 --> 00:10:48,840 这个红色的柱体是在逐级的收窄 275 00:10:48,840 --> 00:10:52,559 顶底预警趋势线也是到达了价格超买区 276 00:10:52,559 --> 00:10:54,120 虽然超买还没有确认 277 00:10:54,120 --> 00:10:57,078 但你会发现这里已经严重超买了哈 278 00:10:57,078 --> 00:10:58,719 再来看K线的走势 279 00:10:58,719 --> 00:11:01,578 虽然说目前是占到结构九的高点 280 00:11:01,578 --> 00:11:02,798 不过在上周五呢 281 00:11:02,798 --> 00:11:05,490 说出了一个带有长上影线的十字星 282 00:11:05,490 --> 00:11:06,929 那这种K线产生呢 283 00:11:06,929 --> 00:11:10,309 大家就要去密切注意一下会否有调整的风险 284 00:11:10,309 --> 00:11:13,000 可以把结构九的高点来划线 285 00:11:13,000 --> 00:11:15,500 62~65块一毛八 286 00:11:15,500 --> 00:11:17,480 如果说在英特尔财报之前 287 00:11:17,480 --> 00:11:19,460 股价把这个位置给破位了 288 00:11:19,460 --> 00:11:21,480 建议大家呢先止盈离场 289 00:11:21,480 --> 00:11:24,419 毕竟它整体的涨幅来说已经比较的惊人了 290 00:11:24,419 --> 00:11:26,960 而且就算财报利好股价呢 291 00:11:26,960 --> 00:11:27,820 也不一定说 292 00:11:27,820 --> 00:11:30,360 因为财报超预期就会立马大涨 293 00:11:30,360 --> 00:11:34,328 我们要去谨防买消息卖事实的情况产生 294 00:11:34,328 --> 00:11:37,208 包括像英伟达从这个低点起来 295 00:11:37,208 --> 00:11:39,389 到现在走到了结构12 296 00:11:39,389 --> 00:11:42,299 也是到达了高危估值的风险区 297 00:11:42,299 --> 00:11:45,320 而且还面临前高212的阻力位 298 00:11:45,320 --> 00:11:47,519 所以同样的对于英伟达这支股价 299 00:11:47,519 --> 00:11:49,839 我们也要去设置它的止盈目标 300 00:11:49,839 --> 00:11:53,178 如果说他没有办法去突破前高阻力位 301 00:11:53,178 --> 00:11:54,479 212的价格 302 00:11:54,479 --> 00:11:57,539 而是在这里产生了强势的顶分型 303 00:11:57,539 --> 00:12:00,960 或者说把结构九的高低点跌落 304 00:12:00,960 --> 00:12:03,259 也就是190~196 305 00:12:03,259 --> 00:12:06,110 这个价格区间呢应该作为我们减仓的位置 306 00:12:06,110 --> 00:12:09,149 比如说跌漏196可以减一点仓位 307 00:12:09,149 --> 00:12:11,039 而如果跌破了190 308 00:12:11,039 --> 00:12:13,240 就可以先暂时全仓离场 309 00:12:13,240 --> 00:12:15,480 等它回调到合适的位置呢 310 00:12:15,480 --> 00:12:17,169 我们再选择接回来 311 00:12:17,169 --> 00:12:19,649 包括像迈威尔科技这支股票呢 312 00:12:19,649 --> 00:12:23,649 是我们在4月行情展望之中跟大家去讲到的 313 00:12:23,649 --> 00:12:26,039 重点要关注的核心企业名单 314 00:12:26,039 --> 00:12:28,200 当时呢我们重点谈到了英伟达 315 00:12:28,200 --> 00:12:28,980 迈威尔科技 316 00:12:28,980 --> 00:12:29,879 包括台积电 317 00:12:29,879 --> 00:12:31,740 那现在再来看这三家公司 318 00:12:31,740 --> 00:12:33,159 从4月初到现在 319 00:12:33,159 --> 00:12:35,129 整体的涨幅都是比较不错的啊 320 00:12:35,129 --> 00:12:38,529 迈威尔科技从我们4月初跟大家提醒到现在 321 00:12:38,529 --> 00:12:41,250 整体的涨幅呢是超过了4% 322 00:12:41,250 --> 00:12:41,690 十 323 00:12:41,690 --> 00:12:44,049 一路都是连阳在上涨 324 00:12:44,049 --> 00:12:45,769 走出了完整的结构九 325 00:12:45,769 --> 00:12:49,129 而当下来看这个红色的资金流向也是比较窄 326 00:12:49,129 --> 00:12:51,899 顶底预警也到达了高位估值的泡沫区 327 00:12:51,899 --> 00:12:54,700 我们同样把结构组的高低点来划线 328 00:12:54,700 --> 00:12:58,429 给到的参考价格是127~133 329 00:12:58,429 --> 00:12:59,470 也就意味着 330 00:12:59,470 --> 00:13:02,960 如果迈威尔科技把127的价格给跌落了 331 00:13:02,960 --> 00:13:04,940 大家也要做适当的减仓 332 00:13:04,940 --> 00:13:06,919 留小部分仓位在里面 333 00:13:06,919 --> 00:13:09,139 或者说把你的本金抽出来 334 00:13:09,139 --> 00:13:10,730 留利润在里面博弈 335 00:13:10,730 --> 00:13:12,990 包括mu这只个股呢 336 00:13:12,990 --> 00:13:16,129 也是在4月的行情展望会员频道之中 337 00:13:16,129 --> 00:13:17,909 给咱们的会员朋友提醒到的 338 00:13:17,909 --> 00:13:20,190 存储芯片的核心企业名单 339 00:13:20,190 --> 00:13:21,970 包括了镁光西部数据 340 00:13:21,970 --> 00:13:23,529 包括SNDK 341 00:13:23,529 --> 00:13:26,889 那可以看到这只个股呢也是从我们提醒到现在 342 00:13:26,889 --> 00:13:29,720 整体走了一个完整的上涨结构九 343 00:13:29,720 --> 00:13:31,679 但是美观要去注意的就是 344 00:13:31,679 --> 00:13:35,269 几乎它到达前高的这个阻力位都会有回调 345 00:13:35,269 --> 00:13:36,669 你看前面美观 346 00:13:36,669 --> 00:13:38,269 再走到这个结构酒的价格 347 00:13:38,269 --> 00:13:41,370 它的一个阻力位呢是455.35 348 00:13:41,370 --> 00:13:43,070 在这一波涨上来 349 00:13:43,070 --> 00:13:45,690 达到455.35的价格之后呢 350 00:13:45,690 --> 00:13:46,690 就一直回落 351 00:13:46,690 --> 00:13:48,750 虽然说这里有个假阴线在上 352 00:13:48,750 --> 00:13:50,309 但是何为有效的 353 00:13:50,309 --> 00:13:52,950 在上三天不跌漏才叫有效 354 00:13:52,950 --> 00:13:56,029 在上这里仅仅在上一天次日就跌落了 355 00:13:56,029 --> 00:13:57,769 随即就是联姻的下达 356 00:13:57,769 --> 00:13:59,129 那对于当下而言呢 357 00:13:59,129 --> 00:14:01,889 他又再去冲击前面的这个高点的阻力位 358 00:14:01,889 --> 00:14:03,519 471.19 359 00:14:03,519 --> 00:14:07,740 可以看到在上周五的最高价470.97 360 00:14:07,740 --> 00:14:09,460 就是在冲击这个价格 361 00:14:09,460 --> 00:14:10,860 但是没有冲击成功 362 00:14:10,860 --> 00:14:12,080 那我们要关注一下 363 00:14:12,080 --> 00:14:14,700 如果本周继续冲击失败 364 00:14:14,700 --> 00:14:16,799 走出了一个顶分型的形态 365 00:14:16,799 --> 00:14:18,659 大家呢也就要止盈离场 366 00:14:18,659 --> 00:14:19,899 落袋为安了 367 00:14:19,899 --> 00:14:22,200 接着我们来说一下能源板块 368 00:14:22,200 --> 00:14:24,159 只要是AMY的资深观众啊 369 00:14:24,159 --> 00:14:25,289 应该都知道 370 00:14:25,289 --> 00:14:27,250 我们给到大家的观点 371 00:14:27,250 --> 00:14:30,029 就是能源和科技两个板块 372 00:14:30,029 --> 00:14:32,440 一定呈现的是跷跷板的效应 373 00:14:32,440 --> 00:14:34,980 你发现3月份能源涨的时候 374 00:14:34,980 --> 00:14:36,200 科技股就跌 375 00:14:36,200 --> 00:14:38,179 而4月科技上涨 376 00:14:38,179 --> 00:14:39,740 能源股它就下跌 377 00:14:39,740 --> 00:14:42,240 这两个板块在2026年 378 00:14:42,240 --> 00:14:44,860 应该会一直呈现跷跷板的效应 379 00:14:44,860 --> 00:14:45,799 那对于能源 380 00:14:45,799 --> 00:14:47,480 每次在谈判期间 381 00:14:47,480 --> 00:14:49,980 他可能就会有结构性的机会 382 00:14:49,980 --> 00:14:52,700 如果说油价站稳95美元 383 00:14:52,700 --> 00:14:54,929 那可能新能源的替代会加速 384 00:14:54,929 --> 00:14:57,629 伊朗在周末重新封锁海峡的消息 385 00:14:57,629 --> 00:15:00,250 导致周一的油价已经跳涨了7% 386 00:15:00,250 --> 00:15:02,750 但是这个不能作为决定性的信号啊 387 00:15:02,750 --> 00:15:05,049 因为市场对于地缘风险的敏感度 388 00:15:05,049 --> 00:15:07,389 相比之前而言已经有所降低了 389 00:15:07,389 --> 00:15:09,289 科技股仍旧是主线 390 00:15:09,289 --> 00:15:10,370 这个是不变的 391 00:15:10,370 --> 00:15:12,029 如果我们去做能源呢 392 00:15:12,029 --> 00:15:15,159 只能够利用消息打短快进快出 393 00:15:15,159 --> 00:15:17,679 大家如果想打短快进快出呢 394 00:15:17,679 --> 00:15:22,190 可以去关注的就是能源股的XL1或者OXY 395 00:15:22,190 --> 00:15:24,610 包括像航运国ZIM 396 00:15:24,610 --> 00:15:26,960 他们呢都可以去逢低布局 397 00:15:26,960 --> 00:15:29,799 但一定要去紧盯美伊谈判的进展 398 00:15:29,799 --> 00:15:32,318 就比如4月22日的停火协议 399 00:15:32,318 --> 00:15:34,198 或者说就直接停火了 400 00:15:34,198 --> 00:15:36,879 那么能源股大家就要快速的抛掉啊 401 00:15:36,879 --> 00:15:40,600 而储能呢比如说SEDG也可以去关注一下 402 00:15:40,600 --> 00:15:41,279 60分钟 403 00:15:41,279 --> 00:15:42,419 资金如果流进 404 00:15:42,419 --> 00:15:43,559 大家可以去跟进 405 00:15:43,559 --> 00:15:45,519 我们拿几只个股来具体看一下 406 00:15:45,519 --> 00:15:48,919 比如说OXY它在高点跌下来 407 00:15:48,919 --> 00:15:51,700 已经走出了三个跳空低开的缺口 408 00:15:51,700 --> 00:15:52,669 没有回补 409 00:15:52,669 --> 00:15:54,190 而在上周五呢 410 00:15:54,190 --> 00:15:57,360 跳空低开是出现了一个金针探底的形态 411 00:15:57,360 --> 00:16:01,370 金针探底呢有可能是股价会去企稳的增长 412 00:16:01,370 --> 00:16:04,149 我们可以把金针探底K线的低点划线 413 00:16:04,149 --> 00:16:05,549 只要这个低点不破 414 00:16:05,549 --> 00:16:08,370 大概率呢这个位置都能迎来一个反弹 415 00:16:08,370 --> 00:16:10,350 只是看它反弹的周期 416 00:16:10,350 --> 00:16:13,889 比如说看到前面这里有一个金针探底 417 00:16:13,889 --> 00:16:14,850 产生之后呢 418 00:16:14,850 --> 00:16:16,169 股价反弹了吧 419 00:16:16,169 --> 00:16:19,049 所以这个位置有金针探底的形态 420 00:16:19,049 --> 00:16:21,440 那大概率在今天可能会有个反弹 421 00:16:21,440 --> 00:16:23,159 但是通过资金流向来看 422 00:16:23,159 --> 00:16:25,120 这个青色柱体还是很宽的 423 00:16:25,120 --> 00:16:26,820 包括顶底预警的趋势线 424 00:16:26,820 --> 00:16:29,159 当下来说也是转折向下 425 00:16:29,159 --> 00:16:30,399 顺势交易指标呢 426 00:16:30,399 --> 00:16:33,120 是刚好打到了红绿色飘带的位置 427 00:16:33,120 --> 00:16:35,000 所以三个指标共振来看呢 428 00:16:35,000 --> 00:16:36,379 并不是走好的 429 00:16:36,379 --> 00:16:38,620 因此这个金针探底产生 430 00:16:38,620 --> 00:16:40,360 我们当下来确定的 431 00:16:40,360 --> 00:16:41,659 仅仅只能够做的是 432 00:16:41,659 --> 00:16:44,470 T加零或者T加一的快进快出 433 00:16:44,470 --> 00:16:47,029 密切关注60分钟级别的动向 434 00:16:47,029 --> 00:16:49,440 如果60分钟级别在今天的尾盘 435 00:16:49,440 --> 00:16:51,799 或者说周二开始资金流出 436 00:16:51,799 --> 00:16:54,480 就先快速的去获利止盈离场 437 00:16:54,480 --> 00:16:56,220 包括像XL1 438 00:16:56,220 --> 00:16:59,789 它也是在昨天出现了一个金针探底的型号 439 00:16:59,789 --> 00:17:02,990 而且呢这里已经走完了一个下降的结构九 440 00:17:02,990 --> 00:17:05,940 但你可以看到这个结构九的高点划线 441 00:17:05,940 --> 00:17:07,240 目前是三天 442 00:17:07,240 --> 00:17:08,859 结构酒的高点没有回补 443 00:17:08,859 --> 00:17:11,828 它的反弹动能并不能够看到很强势 444 00:17:11,828 --> 00:17:14,469 可能也就是看到这个结构指的高点附近 445 00:17:14,469 --> 00:17:15,388 如果突不破 446 00:17:15,388 --> 00:17:17,009 就会再次的预阻回落 447 00:17:17,009 --> 00:17:17,989 所以还是那句话 448 00:17:17,989 --> 00:17:18,669 如果要做 449 00:17:18,669 --> 00:17:20,970 目前只能够短线的快进快出 450 00:17:20,970 --> 00:17:22,509 除非周二谈判破裂 451 00:17:22,509 --> 00:17:24,549 那能源股可能才会接着去反攻 452 00:17:24,549 --> 00:17:28,278 包括SEDG这只个股呢在前面跌下来 453 00:17:28,278 --> 00:17:30,219 同样走完了完整的结构九 454 00:17:30,219 --> 00:17:33,358 当下结构九的高点和低点既没有有效的突破 455 00:17:33,358 --> 00:17:34,759 也没有有效的跌落 456 00:17:34,759 --> 00:17:38,140 在这个顺势交易指标九子离火带的中间 457 00:17:38,140 --> 00:17:40,130 以一个横盘震荡的走势 458 00:17:40,130 --> 00:17:42,869 那我们就可以去关注一下今天的盘中 459 00:17:42,869 --> 00:17:44,849 30或60分钟级别资金 460 00:17:44,849 --> 00:17:47,539 留意30或60分钟级别资金流进 461 00:17:47,539 --> 00:17:49,809 我们可以博弈一个短线的反弹 462 00:17:49,809 --> 00:17:52,130 接着来看一下防御的价值股 463 00:17:52,130 --> 00:17:53,670 那第一个呢就是军工 464 00:17:53,670 --> 00:17:54,650 航空航天 465 00:17:54,650 --> 00:17:57,799 这个其实在上一周的视频也有跟大家去提到 466 00:17:57,799 --> 00:17:59,319 对于军工标的呢 467 00:17:59,319 --> 00:18:01,619 比如像波音还有l mt 468 00:18:01,619 --> 00:18:05,259 他们都属于军工航空航天领域的核心标的 469 00:18:05,259 --> 00:18:06,880 地缘紧张升级 470 00:18:06,880 --> 00:18:08,700 那么这些军工标的 471 00:18:08,700 --> 00:18:11,130 就可能会成为直接的受益对象 472 00:18:11,130 --> 00:18:12,930 建议大家在周一周二 473 00:18:12,930 --> 00:18:14,769 这个标的出现回调的时候呢 474 00:18:14,769 --> 00:18:17,130 可以采取分批低吸的操作模式 475 00:18:17,130 --> 00:18:20,089 但是在周二没有确认之前 476 00:18:20,089 --> 00:18:22,170 都只能够以短线为主 477 00:18:22,170 --> 00:18:24,619 如果周二谈判和平顺利 478 00:18:24,619 --> 00:18:27,759 那我们呢就在60分钟级别可以做一个高抛 479 00:18:27,759 --> 00:18:29,920 比如说以l mt为例啊 480 00:18:29,920 --> 00:18:32,619 他当下已经走到了下降结构六 481 00:18:32,619 --> 00:18:34,519 股价走到结构六 482 00:18:34,519 --> 00:18:35,880 未来7893天 483 00:18:35,880 --> 00:18:38,859 将要密切关注一下资金有没有去流入的动能 484 00:18:38,859 --> 00:18:41,960 如果有就可以逢低左侧抄底 485 00:18:41,960 --> 00:18:44,759 然后等到真正结构九那天产生 486 00:18:44,759 --> 00:18:46,720 如果说资金还在持续流入 487 00:18:46,720 --> 00:18:47,619 就可以拿着它 488 00:18:47,619 --> 00:18:49,680 但是如果资金流出就要卖掉 489 00:18:49,680 --> 00:18:52,980 反之如果7893天资金依旧是青色流出 490 00:18:52,980 --> 00:18:54,200 那你就不要去买了 491 00:18:54,200 --> 00:18:56,319 比如说我们看到前面这个位置 492 00:18:56,319 --> 00:18:58,539 也是走了一个完整的下降结构 493 00:18:58,539 --> 00:18:58,880 六 494 00:18:58,880 --> 00:19:01,910 未来的7893天都是阴K线 495 00:19:01,910 --> 00:19:02,829 资金没有流进 496 00:19:02,829 --> 00:19:04,289 那就没有操作的必要 497 00:19:04,289 --> 00:19:05,329 所以结构久之后 498 00:19:05,329 --> 00:19:06,950 你看他又接着下跌了吧 499 00:19:06,950 --> 00:19:09,170 资金一路青色一路的去流出 500 00:19:09,170 --> 00:19:11,730 那对于当下股价走到了下降的结构 501 00:19:11,730 --> 00:19:12,009 六 502 00:19:12,009 --> 00:19:16,099 又贴近了顺势交易指标九子离火带的上沿 503 00:19:16,099 --> 00:19:20,059 并且前面这里也有出现一个二次探底的B信号 504 00:19:20,059 --> 00:19:22,660 给到的价格是589 505 00:19:22,660 --> 00:19:24,539 当下的价格是592 506 00:19:24,539 --> 00:19:26,410 比较贴近这个价格了哈 507 00:19:26,410 --> 00:19:28,130 所以未来7893天 508 00:19:28,130 --> 00:19:30,650 我们就可以关注60分钟级别 509 00:19:30,650 --> 00:19:33,769 资金流进呢可以博弈一下短线的反弹 510 00:19:33,769 --> 00:19:35,869 而对于消费必需品来说呢 511 00:19:35,869 --> 00:19:38,700 我觉得把它做防御型的个股会更加的安全 512 00:19:38,700 --> 00:19:39,940 宝洁这支股票呢 513 00:19:39,940 --> 00:19:42,180 我们不止一次跟大家去提醒的哈 514 00:19:42,180 --> 00:19:44,339 我觉得无论市场怎样去波动 515 00:19:44,339 --> 00:19:47,660 刚性需求一定会提供稳定的现金流 516 00:19:47,660 --> 00:19:51,460 适合作为账户的压仓石来平衡组合的波动 517 00:19:51,460 --> 00:19:54,009 来看一下宝洁这只个股的技术形态 518 00:19:54,009 --> 00:19:55,329 从高点跌下来 519 00:19:55,329 --> 00:19:58,170 其实这个位置已经在做一个横盘 520 00:19:58,170 --> 00:20:01,430 其实这个位置已经在做机构的吸筹信号了哈 521 00:20:01,430 --> 00:20:04,369 在顶底预警下面出现了价值洼地期间 522 00:20:04,369 --> 00:20:06,829 这里也有一个二次探底的B信号 523 00:20:06,829 --> 00:20:10,250 给到的参考价格是141.3 524 00:20:10,250 --> 00:20:13,480 而前面这个低点是140.7 525 00:20:13,480 --> 00:20:15,799 那大概率呢这个位置的二次探底 526 00:20:15,799 --> 00:20:17,279 B信号就已经形成了 527 00:20:17,279 --> 00:20:19,680 我们在上周视频跟大家提醒之后呢 528 00:20:19,680 --> 00:20:21,680 虽然说没有涨多少哈 529 00:20:21,680 --> 00:20:23,640 但他就是作为防御性的个股 530 00:20:23,640 --> 00:20:25,019 就是这么稳定的 531 00:20:25,019 --> 00:20:25,940 不会大涨 532 00:20:25,940 --> 00:20:27,180 但也不会大跌 533 00:20:27,180 --> 00:20:30,019 如果说手中没有防御性个股的 534 00:20:30,019 --> 00:20:32,940 现在uh呢又在一个关键的价格区间 535 00:20:32,940 --> 00:20:35,519 那大家不妨可以关注一下宝洁 536 00:20:35,519 --> 00:20:38,500 最后我们来做一下风险以及仓位的提示 537 00:20:38,500 --> 00:20:41,970 当下本周最大的风险呢就是停火协议失效 538 00:20:41,970 --> 00:20:44,829 如果4月22日停火协议没能够延期 539 00:20:44,829 --> 00:20:46,750 那如果中东局势恶化 540 00:20:46,750 --> 00:20:48,250 油价就会暴涨 541 00:20:48,250 --> 00:20:50,349 可能引发通胀的担忧 542 00:20:50,349 --> 00:20:52,109 美股也可能会面临 543 00:20:52,109 --> 00:20:54,720 3%到5%的急速回调 544 00:20:54,720 --> 00:20:57,400 这个是大家心中要做好准备的 545 00:20:57,400 --> 00:20:59,180 所以为什么我们的观点都是 546 00:20:59,180 --> 00:21:01,420 当下要由攻转守 547 00:21:01,420 --> 00:21:02,799 设好止盈位 548 00:21:02,799 --> 00:21:04,819 比你追涨更重要 549 00:21:04,819 --> 00:21:05,839 仓位建议 550 00:21:05,839 --> 00:21:07,660 如果你是激进型的投资者 551 00:21:07,660 --> 00:21:10,339 我们的配比可以科技股50% 552 00:21:10,339 --> 00:21:12,029 能源30% 553 00:21:12,029 --> 00:21:13,410 防御10% 554 00:21:13,410 --> 00:21:15,509 最后再留10%的现金 555 00:21:15,509 --> 00:21:17,329 而如果是稳健型的呢 556 00:21:17,329 --> 00:21:20,529 本周建议大家股债平衡就可以了 557 00:21:20,529 --> 00:21:23,089 好啦本周视频到这里就结束了 558 00:21:23,089 --> 00:21:24,369 如果喜欢AI的分享 559 00:21:24,369 --> 00:21:26,619 不要忘记点赞订阅和评论哦 560 00:21:26,619 --> 00:21:29,220 更多精彩内容记得锁定艾米 561 00:21:29,220 --> 00:21:31,019 每日盘前策略更新 562 00:21:31,019 --> 00:21:33,019 我们就明天视频再见啦 563 00:21:33,019 --> 00:21:33,819 拜拜
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