BV1cL7m6JEoQ · 请不要叫我梁同学1 00:00:07,860 --> 00:00:08,660 大家好 2 00:00:08,660 --> 00:00:11,140 今天是6月5日星期五 3 00:00:11,140 --> 00:00:13,289 我们继续分析美股 4 00:00:13,289 --> 00:00:16,350 本期内容包括对基本面的跟进 5 00:00:16,350 --> 00:00:20,050 随后分析大盘指数和热门股票 6 00:00:21,100 --> 00:00:24,160 强非农引爆加息预期 7 00:00:24,160 --> 00:00:27,539 美联储政策转向在即 8 00:00:28,329 --> 00:00:30,789 非农数据大超预期 9 00:00:30,789 --> 00:00:34,630 美国5月新增非农就业17.2万人 10 00:00:34,630 --> 00:00:36,460 远超华尔街预期 11 00:00:36,460 --> 00:00:41,460 这一强劲表现印证劳动力市场正在逐渐企稳 12 00:00:41,460 --> 00:00:44,390 结束了此前的震荡与疲软 13 00:00:44,390 --> 00:00:49,920 标志着就业形势迎来了实质性的回暖拐点 14 00:00:49,920 --> 00:00:52,560 历史数据同步上修 15 00:00:52,560 --> 00:00:57,000 3月和4月的就业数据被大幅上调 16 00:00:57,000 --> 00:00:57,880 两个月 17 00:00:57,880 --> 00:01:00,049 合计增加9.3万人 18 00:01:00,049 --> 00:01:02,170 修正后的数据表明 19 00:01:02,170 --> 00:01:07,219 过去三个月就业增幅创下近年最强表现 20 00:01:07,219 --> 00:01:10,060 失业率稳定在4.3% 21 00:01:10,060 --> 00:01:15,700 进一步夯实了劳动力市场基本面稳固的结论 22 00:01:16,569 --> 00:01:19,349 加息预期显著升温 23 00:01:19,349 --> 00:01:23,310 强劲的就业数据促使交易员押注 24 00:01:23,310 --> 00:01:27,039 美联储年内或将重启加息 25 00:01:27,039 --> 00:01:28,399 受此影响 26 00:01:28,399 --> 00:01:29,978 美债收益率飙升 27 00:01:29,978 --> 00:01:31,198 美元大涨 28 00:01:31,198 --> 00:01:33,099 市场定价显示 29 00:01:33,099 --> 00:01:36,969 美联储可能在12月启动加息 30 00:01:36,969 --> 00:01:41,289 以应对潜在的通胀上行压力 31 00:01:41,289 --> 00:01:42,888 股市承压 32 00:01:42,888 --> 00:01:44,168 板块分化 33 00:01:45,248 --> 00:01:49,109 加息预期的抬升对美股造成拖累 34 00:01:49,109 --> 00:01:51,209 纳指下挫明显 35 00:01:51,209 --> 00:01:52,870 从行业来看 36 00:01:52,870 --> 00:01:57,060 休闲酒店业成为新增就业主力 37 00:01:57,060 --> 00:02:01,198 地方政府与医疗行业岗位大增 38 00:02:01,198 --> 00:02:06,659 但航空运输业因企业破产导致岗位流失 39 00:02:06,659 --> 00:02:09,699 呈现结构性分化 40 00:02:11,090 --> 00:02:13,840 实际薪资面临缩水 41 00:02:13,840 --> 00:02:15,500 尽管就业市场回暖 42 00:02:15,500 --> 00:02:20,579 但5月薪资同比增速回落至3.4% 43 00:02:20,579 --> 00:02:23,669 低于最新通胀数据 44 00:02:23,669 --> 00:02:27,610 这意味着居民实际购买力正在缩水 45 00:02:27,610 --> 00:02:34,090 而稳健的就业也为美联储后续采取预防性加息 46 00:02:34,090 --> 00:02:37,229 提供了充足的操作空间 47 00:02:46,590 --> 00:02:51,289 面对顽固的通胀和偏弱的降息支撑 48 00:02:51,289 --> 00:02:56,079 他需在声明中删除宽松措施 49 00:02:56,359 --> 00:03:01,618 并在白宫降息的呼声下展现强硬态度 50 00:03:01,618 --> 00:03:05,479 以重塑债券市场的信任 51 00:03:07,960 --> 00:03:10,439 破解AI存储瓶颈 52 00:03:10,439 --> 00:03:15,199 英伟达敲定三大HBM4供应商 53 00:03:17,460 --> 00:03:20,889 存储三巨头全线入围认证 54 00:03:20,889 --> 00:03:24,689 英伟达CEO黄仁勋在首尔正式宣布 55 00:03:24,689 --> 00:03:26,210 三星SK 56 00:03:26,210 --> 00:03:31,729 海力士和美光均已通过HBM4资质认证 57 00:03:31,729 --> 00:03:33,610 并进入量产 58 00:03:33,610 --> 00:03:38,550 这是英伟达首次确认三家同时获得供应资格 59 00:03:38,550 --> 00:03:43,740 标志着下一代AI平台的存储供应链格局 60 00:03:43,740 --> 00:03:45,659 迎来重塑 61 00:03:46,060 --> 00:03:49,280 VERARUBIN平台全面量产 62 00:03:49,280 --> 00:03:54,370 VRRUBINAI系统已进入全面量产阶段 63 00:03:54,370 --> 00:03:58,300 整机产品将于今年第三季度出货 64 00:03:58,300 --> 00:04:04,949 该平台由VACPU与RUBINGPU集群搭建 65 00:04:04,949 --> 00:04:10,310 单台服务器将搭载tb级容量的HBM 66 00:04:10,310 --> 00:04:12,620 四高带宽内存 67 00:04:12,620 --> 00:04:17,139 为AI工作提供强劲算力支撑 68 00:04:19,540 --> 00:04:23,079 HBM4实现核心性能飞跃 69 00:04:23,079 --> 00:04:26,908 作为第六代高带宽存储产品 70 00:04:26,908 --> 00:04:28,369 H b m4 71 00:04:28,369 --> 00:04:35,610 相比前代HBM3E在接口宽度上实现了翻倍 72 00:04:35,610 --> 00:04:39,850 数据传输速度从约1tb每秒 73 00:04:39,850 --> 00:04:43,009 大幅提升至2tb每秒 74 00:04:43,009 --> 00:04:45,009 这一架构性突破 75 00:04:45,009 --> 00:04:49,350 有效缓解了高端存储短缺的产能瓶颈 76 00:04:49,350 --> 00:04:51,819 提升了整体效能 77 00:04:52,139 --> 00:04:57,038 三大厂商量产进度齐头并进 78 00:04:57,038 --> 00:05:01,619 三星于今年2月率先启动量产出货 79 00:05:01,619 --> 00:05:05,370 SK海力士年初进入全面量产 80 00:05:05,370 --> 00:05:08,930 镁光也于3月宣布量产 81 00:05:08,930 --> 00:05:11,480 且爬坡速度翻倍 82 00:05:11,480 --> 00:05:17,310 三家主导全球存储市场的厂商正全力赶工 83 00:05:17,310 --> 00:05:23,829 以保障VYRUBIN平台庞大且紧迫的供货需求 84 00:05:25,180 --> 00:05:27,639 韩国设立新研发中心 85 00:05:27,639 --> 00:05:32,810 为加强与合作伙伴在供应链方面的协调 86 00:05:32,810 --> 00:05:36,350 英伟达正在韩国设立新的研发中心 87 00:05:36,350 --> 00:05:38,810 并启动人员招聘 88 00:05:38,810 --> 00:05:41,829 此举旨在深化本土化布局 89 00:05:41,829 --> 00:05:46,329 进一步巩固其在亚洲AI硬件产业链中 90 00:05:46,329 --> 00:05:50,889 的核心枢纽地位与技术协同能力 91 00:05:51,670 --> 00:05:54,149 缓解AI产业链供应危机 92 00:05:54,149 --> 00:05:57,129 a arm首席执行官指出 93 00:05:57,129 --> 00:06:03,149 高端存储短缺是AI产业链最难攻克的瓶颈 94 00:06:03,149 --> 00:06:08,730 此番三大厂商同步获证并全速生产 95 00:06:08,730 --> 00:06:12,269 对缓解供应紧张具有积极意义 96 00:06:12,269 --> 00:06:16,129 也为全球云服务商和企业客户 97 00:06:16,129 --> 00:06:21,029 加速部署AI基础设施扫清了关键障碍 98 00:06:21,579 --> 00:06:24,199 好我们看一下今天市场的表现 99 00:06:27,009 --> 00:06:28,350 我们看到啊 100 00:06:28,350 --> 00:06:31,509 跌幅相对应该说非常大哈 101 00:06:31,509 --> 00:06:33,209 非常巨大 102 00:06:33,449 --> 00:06:35,529 下跌4.8%左右哈 103 00:06:35,529 --> 00:06:38,709 我看到这是一个非常强势的大阴线 104 00:06:38,709 --> 00:06:41,410 我们看一下5分钟的细节 105 00:06:45,579 --> 00:06:50,490 啊我们在今天盘前呢是在这片哈 106 00:06:50,490 --> 00:06:54,788 说让大家提防去测试这个位置的可能性是吧 107 00:06:54,788 --> 00:06:56,988 那么它不仅呢测试到了 108 00:06:56,988 --> 00:06:59,639 而且找到了更低的位置哈 109 00:06:59,639 --> 00:07:02,939 这个区域是重要的支撑位了对吧 110 00:07:02,939 --> 00:07:06,870 嗯好好说 111 00:07:06,870 --> 00:07:09,189 一下子就跌这么多嗯 112 00:07:10,579 --> 00:07:13,079 好嘞那爽了对吧 113 00:07:13,079 --> 00:07:14,019 那怎么办 114 00:07:14,019 --> 00:07:18,468 现在我们的指令是什么来着 115 00:07:18,468 --> 00:07:22,670 破调支撑位就是减仓的点位是吧 116 00:07:22,670 --> 00:07:23,230 一直破 117 00:07:23,230 --> 00:07:24,149 那就一直减 118 00:07:24,149 --> 00:07:26,089 然后等待更深的位置 119 00:07:26,089 --> 00:07:29,163 再等止跌架构再说了 120 00:07:30,279 --> 00:07:32,120 好我们再感受一下日线哈 121 00:07:33,240 --> 00:07:36,269 嗯日线K线这么大的话 122 00:07:36,269 --> 00:07:39,548 那很显然市场有进一步下跌的可能性 123 00:07:39,548 --> 00:07:41,329 因为空头太过强势哈 124 00:07:41,329 --> 00:07:42,968 多头儿不敢在这里做多 125 00:07:42,968 --> 00:07:47,410 相反的多头会不断的减仓或者是止盈离场啊 126 00:07:47,410 --> 00:07:49,889 这个止盈是相对于这波上涨而言的 127 00:07:49,889 --> 00:07:50,689 对吧 128 00:07:50,689 --> 00:07:53,970 嗯你看这个收盘了啊 129 00:07:53,970 --> 00:07:55,990 跌幅达到了5%哈 130 00:07:55,990 --> 00:07:58,870 表明获利盘太多哈 131 00:07:58,870 --> 00:08:00,029 都在跑 132 00:08:00,029 --> 00:08:08,180 是不是嗯因此呢正确的决策是卖出或者是做空 133 00:08:09,199 --> 00:08:15,920 我们看下小盘股罗素心心念念的大阴线来了哈 134 00:08:15,920 --> 00:08:18,579 那么多头呢没人愿意去拉高 135 00:08:18,579 --> 00:08:20,189 这里呢横了 136 00:08:20,189 --> 00:08:21,930 今天是第九个交易日 137 00:08:21,930 --> 00:08:23,050 对吧嗯 138 00:08:23,050 --> 00:08:26,439 它终于破掉了高位小横盘往下走了 139 00:08:26,439 --> 00:08:29,160 那这里呢就构成了楔形的反转形态 140 00:08:29,160 --> 00:08:33,808 那么下一个重要的支撑位呢是这根横线 141 00:08:34,489 --> 00:08:37,288 俺们看一下5分钟图的细节 142 00:08:38,679 --> 00:08:41,419 看我们给大家划出的震荡区间 143 00:08:41,419 --> 00:08:43,779 当它被有效向下破位的时候呢 144 00:08:43,779 --> 00:08:45,240 应该离场 145 00:08:46,129 --> 00:08:49,490 我看到这里向下突破这个支撑位反弹 146 00:08:50,610 --> 00:08:52,970 再往下确认的时候可以离场 147 00:08:53,659 --> 00:08:54,279 好 148 00:08:54,279 --> 00:08:57,519 那今天主要是大非农数据啊 149 00:08:57,519 --> 00:09:01,519 引发加息预期导致的对吧 150 00:09:01,519 --> 00:09:02,659 那么在技术面上呢 151 00:09:02,659 --> 00:09:05,639 你事后看他是一个斜形哈 152 00:09:06,679 --> 00:09:10,379 我们看一下道指也是如此哈 153 00:09:10,379 --> 00:09:12,399 昨天虽然有强劲的阳线 154 00:09:12,399 --> 00:09:15,019 但并不并不什么 155 00:09:15,019 --> 00:09:19,299 你并不能说今天就一定不会给出强劲的阴线啊 156 00:09:19,299 --> 00:09:21,139 事实上他可以给看到吧 157 00:09:21,139 --> 00:09:26,350 所以单根K线的强弱并不能绝对引导趋势 158 00:09:27,350 --> 00:09:29,649 我们看一下5分钟图啊 159 00:09:29,649 --> 00:09:33,730 你看我们说大家要提防再次掉落回来的 160 00:09:33,730 --> 00:09:34,750 这种可能性 161 00:09:34,750 --> 00:09:35,730 回来了吧 162 00:09:35,730 --> 00:09:38,909 因为空头认为这是楔形诶 163 00:09:38,909 --> 00:09:39,830 就来了一下 164 00:09:39,830 --> 00:09:43,509 那么接下来当前这个支撑位如果无效的话 165 00:09:43,509 --> 00:09:45,519 有可能继续往下摸哈 166 00:09:45,519 --> 00:09:46,960 也就是继续下跌 167 00:09:46,960 --> 00:09:48,320 跌到下一个支撑位 168 00:09:48,320 --> 00:09:49,440 下一个不够的话 169 00:09:49,440 --> 00:09:51,279 继续往下跌 170 00:09:52,399 --> 00:09:55,240 好我们看到这里空头相当的强势 171 00:09:55,240 --> 00:09:57,960 包括尾盘还在抛售 172 00:10:03,460 --> 00:10:04,620 我们看一下标普 173 00:10:07,360 --> 00:10:10,240 你看他就摸到下一个重要的支撑位了吧 174 00:10:10,240 --> 00:10:12,328 这片差不多吧 175 00:10:12,659 --> 00:10:13,379 大不大 176 00:10:14,539 --> 00:10:16,700 那么前两天这根阴线好 177 00:10:16,700 --> 00:10:18,220 就是破位K线哈 178 00:10:18,220 --> 00:10:20,799 虽然昨天有点有点反弹哈 179 00:10:20,799 --> 00:10:24,879 但好DOTA没有能延续反拉升是吧 180 00:10:25,309 --> 00:10:27,250 相反今天给出了大阴线 181 00:10:27,250 --> 00:10:29,269 我们看一下 182 00:10:29,339 --> 00:10:31,698 这里虽然有反弹 183 00:10:31,698 --> 00:10:34,359 我们让大家提防这个支撑区的有效性 184 00:10:34,359 --> 00:10:38,849 下边这个我看他他也是一样哈 185 00:10:38,849 --> 00:10:41,288 这里跌破之后反弹无力 186 00:10:41,288 --> 00:10:43,928 继续往下确认多头离场 187 00:10:44,480 --> 00:10:46,659 我记得很早之前我们说过哈 188 00:10:46,659 --> 00:10:47,720 对于NAS来说 189 00:10:47,720 --> 00:10:48,559 我们要提防 190 00:10:48,559 --> 00:10:52,399 突然有一天啪嚓一下子跌个5% 191 00:10:52,620 --> 00:10:55,820 那是不是跌了5% 192 00:10:57,379 --> 00:11:00,259 这个坚持看的老粉丝肯定是知道哈 193 00:11:00,259 --> 00:11:05,340 嗯好这样的话我们看一下谁呢 194 00:11:05,340 --> 00:11:06,519 我们看一下美元吧 195 00:11:06,519 --> 00:11:08,259 今天都看一眼哈 196 00:11:08,259 --> 00:11:10,539 美元今天是收涨一点点哈 197 00:11:10,539 --> 00:11:11,659 上涨了一丢丢 198 00:11:11,659 --> 00:11:13,399 这是日线图 199 00:11:13,399 --> 00:11:14,960 是不是这样的话 200 00:11:14,960 --> 00:11:15,840 有加息预期的话 201 00:11:15,840 --> 00:11:17,860 可能往上再移动一下啊 202 00:11:17,860 --> 00:11:21,320 涨一点涨到105这一代嗯 203 00:11:23,179 --> 00:11:25,740 好我们看下黄金 204 00:11:27,139 --> 00:11:29,360 黄金在这磨叽了好久啊 205 00:11:29,360 --> 00:11:30,879 热线妥 206 00:11:31,120 --> 00:11:33,340 今天借着大分钟数据啊 207 00:11:33,340 --> 00:11:34,460 直接往下砸了 208 00:11:34,460 --> 00:11:38,539 那这样的话进入到熊市的概率大大的提高了 209 00:11:38,539 --> 00:11:40,240 大不大嗯 210 00:11:40,240 --> 00:11:41,360 概率大哈 211 00:11:41,360 --> 00:11:42,320 K线也大 212 00:11:42,320 --> 00:11:43,080 空头强 213 00:11:44,480 --> 00:11:46,799 我们看一下5分钟的细节 214 00:11:49,139 --> 00:11:51,179 我们画了下跌趋势线 215 00:11:51,179 --> 00:11:54,860 没有进入到右侧或者上方给你做多的机会 216 00:11:54,860 --> 00:11:57,379 如果你是支撑区的交易者做多的话 217 00:11:57,379 --> 00:12:00,340 你在这些区域都应该止止损离场 218 00:12:03,399 --> 00:12:04,779 看 219 00:12:06,519 --> 00:12:08,139 今天只能做空 220 00:12:08,139 --> 00:12:09,879 不能做多 221 00:12:11,340 --> 00:12:15,039 好直升区的交易者胜率也不是百分之百啊 222 00:12:15,039 --> 00:12:16,460 多头不是百分之百 223 00:12:16,460 --> 00:12:18,419 你看这不就跌下来了 224 00:12:19,499 --> 00:12:21,418 看下原油 225 00:12:23,659 --> 00:12:26,179 我们让大家的预测呢 226 00:12:26,179 --> 00:12:29,679 是对它有一个无序震荡的一个预期哈 227 00:12:29,679 --> 00:12:32,389 而不是过于强势的多头和空头 228 00:12:32,389 --> 00:12:34,090 那今天给出了阴线哈 229 00:12:34,090 --> 00:12:35,149 昨天也是阴线 230 00:12:35,149 --> 00:12:36,909 这里震啊震啊震的 231 00:12:36,909 --> 00:12:40,190 我们看一下5分钟图嗯 232 00:12:40,190 --> 00:12:43,409 我们画了下期下下跌的趋势线 233 00:12:43,409 --> 00:12:44,929 画了支撑位哈 234 00:12:44,929 --> 00:12:47,289 跌破的话还是做空的机会 235 00:12:47,289 --> 00:12:48,490 现在做多嘛 236 00:12:48,490 --> 00:12:50,629 现在最好还是等待下跌扇的右侧 237 00:12:50,629 --> 00:12:52,190 再去找机会做多 238 00:12:52,190 --> 00:12:54,850 注意这都是日内交易者的指令哈 239 00:12:54,850 --> 00:12:56,909 日内交易者才能去找机会 240 00:12:57,990 --> 00:13:00,279 日线级别没什么机会 241 00:13:00,600 --> 00:13:03,059 因为日线级别都是波段交易者啊 242 00:13:03,059 --> 00:13:06,440 那只能到日内去找小波段去交易了 243 00:13:06,629 --> 00:13:10,429 好这是今天的市场的整体的情况 244 00:13:11,730 --> 00:13:14,610 我们看一下市场的这个分布情况 245 00:13:14,610 --> 00:13:17,960 半导体行业大跌8% 246 00:13:18,159 --> 00:13:21,360 软件基础设施4%下跌哈 247 00:13:21,360 --> 00:13:25,889 互联网和消费电子也都下跌嗯 248 00:13:25,889 --> 00:13:28,009 汽车制造也是暴跌啊 249 00:13:28,009 --> 00:13:31,529 也就是特斯拉相关的半导体设备与材料 250 00:13:31,529 --> 00:13:33,149 也是大暴跌 251 00:13:33,429 --> 00:13:34,110 还有谁 252 00:13:34,110 --> 00:13:36,750 你通信设备也是暴跌啊 253 00:13:37,389 --> 00:13:39,269 还有一些微微领涨的小行业 254 00:13:40,350 --> 00:13:44,399 我们看一下领涨的再保险 255 00:13:44,399 --> 00:13:47,318 然后是家庭和个人用品 256 00:13:47,538 --> 00:13:50,318 这些都是我们没有怎么跟进过的哈 257 00:13:50,318 --> 00:13:52,099 传统行业好 258 00:13:52,099 --> 00:13:54,818 我们回到我们的龙头股列表 259 00:14:00,120 --> 00:14:01,039 都跌了是吧 260 00:14:02,200 --> 00:14:04,039 都跌了都是卖点哈 261 00:14:04,039 --> 00:14:06,039 我们反过来看哈 262 00:14:06,039 --> 00:14:09,210 我们看一下SOOXL好 263 00:14:10,100 --> 00:14:13,139 昨天是绿色的阴线哈 264 00:14:13,139 --> 00:14:14,860 因为收盘价比这里要低 265 00:14:14,860 --> 00:14:17,620 那今天是跳空低开啊 266 00:14:17,620 --> 00:14:19,379 因为昨天收盘价在这里 267 00:14:19,379 --> 00:14:23,710 然后大幅的下跌是什么位置是卖点 268 00:14:23,710 --> 00:14:26,250 考虑到市场整体有暴跌的倾向哈 269 00:14:26,250 --> 00:14:26,909 是卖点 270 00:14:27,950 --> 00:14:30,190 我们看一下5分钟图 271 00:14:31,799 --> 00:14:32,480 好吧 272 00:14:32,480 --> 00:14:34,080 按照我们的交易逻辑呢 273 00:14:34,080 --> 00:14:37,519 我们是要考虑这个支撑区的有效性的 274 00:14:37,519 --> 00:14:39,799 对不对嗯 275 00:14:39,799 --> 00:14:41,960 这个支撑区被向下破位 276 00:14:41,960 --> 00:14:42,580 反弹无力 277 00:14:42,580 --> 00:14:45,559 应该离场是吧 278 00:14:46,600 --> 00:14:49,259 非常强势的砸破了我画的这根横线哈 279 00:14:49,259 --> 00:14:51,080 跟以往的回调是不一样的 280 00:14:51,080 --> 00:14:53,139 性质好 281 00:14:53,139 --> 00:14:55,399 我们看到尾盘反弹下跌 282 00:14:55,399 --> 00:14:57,019 反弹还要再抛盘 283 00:14:57,019 --> 00:15:00,710 可见任何反弹都是多头离场的机会 284 00:15:00,990 --> 00:15:03,470 因此你不要在这个高位踩底哈 285 00:15:03,470 --> 00:15:06,190 我们再看一下日日线 286 00:15:06,730 --> 00:15:10,710 因为今天是一个非常强大的强势的一个阴线啊 287 00:15:10,710 --> 00:15:12,570 不能在这踩底 288 00:15:12,570 --> 00:15:14,769 应该在这踩顶 289 00:15:15,438 --> 00:15:16,438 对不对 290 00:15:16,438 --> 00:15:18,278 注意它可以暴涨 291 00:15:18,278 --> 00:15:19,879 也可以大暴跌啊 292 00:15:19,879 --> 00:15:22,919 我们说直勾勾的运动可以是双向的 293 00:15:22,919 --> 00:15:24,600 这也是这个股的特点啊 294 00:15:24,600 --> 00:15:28,720 你看之前这些啪嚓啪嚓的往下掉啊 295 00:15:28,720 --> 00:15:33,350 是你不要觉得30%的跌幅是很大哈 296 00:15:33,350 --> 00:15:34,690 对他来说不大 297 00:15:34,690 --> 00:15:36,809 因为它涨的时候好几百好几百的涨 298 00:15:36,809 --> 00:15:39,210 你看从39涨到284 299 00:15:39,210 --> 00:15:40,350 涨了五倍哈 300 00:15:40,350 --> 00:15:42,700 也就是500个百分点 301 00:15:42,700 --> 00:15:46,599 换取30个百分点的下跌啊 302 00:15:47,078 --> 00:15:49,719 好这是半导体行业 303 00:15:51,600 --> 00:15:54,639 那么我们的美光也是近期的龙头 304 00:15:54,639 --> 00:15:57,259 也应该考虑卖出啊 305 00:15:57,259 --> 00:15:59,129 我们不应该太乐观 306 00:15:59,129 --> 00:16:02,100 说这么大阴线就应该是卖点吧 307 00:16:02,340 --> 00:16:03,539 感觉像是哈 308 00:16:03,539 --> 00:16:06,019 嗯我们看一下应该是了哈 309 00:16:06,019 --> 00:16:07,940 因为大盘那么大的阴线 310 00:16:07,940 --> 00:16:10,409 你说个股它能好吗 311 00:16:10,769 --> 00:16:12,289 看下5分钟图 312 00:16:12,289 --> 00:16:15,049 我们一步一步的找支撑位 313 00:16:15,409 --> 00:16:18,509 那么这个图今天是大幅的跳空低开 314 00:16:18,509 --> 00:16:20,669 小反弹往下砸 315 00:16:20,669 --> 00:16:22,570 再反弹上不去哈 316 00:16:22,570 --> 00:16:24,625 往下砸的时候应该离涨 317 00:16:25,129 --> 00:16:28,049 只不过很多人不相信一天会跌很多哈 318 00:16:29,129 --> 00:16:30,250 被我说中了吧 319 00:16:30,250 --> 00:16:32,529 好市场一切皆有可能哈 320 00:16:32,529 --> 00:16:36,850 趁着这个啊反弹无力哈离场 321 00:16:36,850 --> 00:16:40,259 那么后续呢后续再看哈 322 00:16:40,259 --> 00:16:43,259 他最乐观的情形就是高位震荡了哈 323 00:16:43,259 --> 00:16:44,298 稍微悲观一点 324 00:16:44,298 --> 00:16:46,499 继续下跌 325 00:16:46,759 --> 00:16:54,019 我们说直勾勾的运动可以是双向的暴涨暴跌 326 00:16:54,019 --> 00:16:55,919 对吧嗯 327 00:16:58,759 --> 00:17:02,639 嗯就是这个我们看下a arm也是类似哈 328 00:17:02,639 --> 00:17:05,140 a arm还好比较温和哈 329 00:17:05,140 --> 00:17:08,380 那么昨天也有一根啊阴线啊 330 00:17:08,380 --> 00:17:09,960 这绿色的是阴线 331 00:17:10,480 --> 00:17:11,640 今天也是天皇帝 332 00:17:11,640 --> 00:17:12,500 刚往下砸 333 00:17:12,500 --> 00:17:15,099 是卖点差不多哈 334 00:17:15,099 --> 00:17:17,730 你不能老是弃养长池 335 00:17:17,730 --> 00:17:22,009 我们看一下5分钟图都一样啊 336 00:17:22,009 --> 00:17:25,598 这个高位的这些横盘啊 337 00:17:25,598 --> 00:17:26,858 别往下破 338 00:17:26,858 --> 00:17:28,659 反弹无力的时候是卖点 339 00:17:30,189 --> 00:17:31,028 这就是顶 340 00:17:31,028 --> 00:17:31,949 这就是头肩顶 341 00:17:34,108 --> 00:17:35,989 或者叫圆弧顶 342 00:17:37,199 --> 00:17:39,338 好日线呢也是比较清晰哈 343 00:17:39,338 --> 00:17:40,878 大阴线 344 00:17:43,680 --> 00:17:46,079 好我们看继续挑几只啊 345 00:17:46,079 --> 00:17:47,940 我们看一下谁呢 346 00:17:47,940 --> 00:17:49,440 我们看一下高通吧 347 00:17:50,640 --> 00:17:52,460 嗯还好哈 348 00:17:52,460 --> 00:17:55,240 今天是比较明显的一根阴线啊 349 00:17:55,240 --> 00:17:59,349 之前这里飘在这里也未必说非得要下跌对吧 350 00:17:59,349 --> 00:18:01,910 你看今天就比较明显哈 351 00:18:02,990 --> 00:18:06,500 我们看一下5分钟嗯 352 00:18:06,500 --> 00:18:08,079 淘尖顶 353 00:18:08,269 --> 00:18:10,569 我说横盘呢也有可能往上哈 354 00:18:10,569 --> 00:18:12,390 就像那个罗素一样对吧 355 00:18:12,390 --> 00:18:14,630 你看之后看你这个跌破颈线 356 00:18:14,630 --> 00:18:17,828 无论如何都是不利的信号 357 00:18:17,828 --> 00:18:18,929 对不对 358 00:18:19,528 --> 00:18:24,509 跌破这三个这个头肩顶这个小形态啊 359 00:18:24,509 --> 00:18:25,609 是不利的征兆 360 00:18:25,609 --> 00:18:27,190 那么下一个支撑位就到这了 361 00:18:27,190 --> 00:18:30,089 190这一带了嗯 362 00:18:31,250 --> 00:18:32,529 好 363 00:18:33,369 --> 00:18:36,609 我看到尾盘一根5分钟K线还在抛售哈 364 00:18:36,609 --> 00:18:38,430 可见没人愿意做多 365 00:18:38,430 --> 00:18:39,809 有人愿意做多的话 366 00:18:39,809 --> 00:18:44,269 那就是说逆着这个大阴线在做啊 367 00:18:44,269 --> 00:18:46,329 这是错误的 368 00:18:47,579 --> 00:18:49,660 因为他不是我们之前抄底了哈 369 00:18:49,660 --> 00:18:52,099 现在是涨了巨幅暴涨 370 00:18:52,099 --> 00:18:54,680 翻倍之后的一个一个一个阴线啊 371 00:18:54,680 --> 00:18:58,279 要注意我们看一下特斯拉 372 00:19:00,140 --> 00:19:02,519 特斯拉也跌破了这个支撑区域 373 00:19:02,519 --> 00:19:04,460 以理论上是减仓 374 00:19:04,460 --> 00:19:06,160 有人说一切皆有可能吗 375 00:19:06,160 --> 00:19:08,420 嗯现在有些人终于明白什么叫 376 00:19:08,420 --> 00:19:10,369 一切皆有可能了哈 377 00:19:10,730 --> 00:19:12,250 他也不是半导体 378 00:19:12,250 --> 00:19:14,930 他才是跟着那个什么 379 00:19:14,930 --> 00:19:19,460 是因为资金整体都这个叫什么来着啊 380 00:19:19,460 --> 00:19:21,299 对风险比较敏感哈 381 00:19:21,299 --> 00:19:23,619 索性它也跟着跌了 382 00:19:24,529 --> 00:19:27,579 我看5分钟图嗯 383 00:19:27,579 --> 00:19:29,759 这个看起来像是一个AABC哈 384 00:19:29,759 --> 00:19:31,839 所以下周看看能不能反弹一下 385 00:19:31,839 --> 00:19:33,220 就像我们刚才说的 386 00:19:33,220 --> 00:19:34,759 他毕竟不是芯片股哈 387 00:19:34,759 --> 00:19:38,660 嗯不是纯芯片股是吧 388 00:19:38,660 --> 00:19:39,880 哎如果继续跌的话 389 00:19:39,880 --> 00:19:41,299 要减持了哈 390 00:19:41,299 --> 00:19:42,400 我说为什么 391 00:19:42,400 --> 00:19:44,480 因为这个图不能信仰长池 392 00:19:44,480 --> 00:19:45,819 就像我们说的 393 00:19:45,819 --> 00:19:47,539 他其实不是纯芯片股 394 00:19:48,539 --> 00:19:51,779 更不能太乐观好 395 00:19:51,779 --> 00:19:53,339 所以他也可以再调回来吗 396 00:19:54,460 --> 00:19:56,319 大家看左边 397 00:19:56,720 --> 00:19:58,779 现在很多人终于知道了啊 398 00:19:58,779 --> 00:19:59,960 即便是热门股票 399 00:19:59,960 --> 00:20:02,440 他也可以升跌 400 00:20:07,099 --> 00:20:11,299 英伟达跌破了应该是买点 401 00:20:12,500 --> 00:20:14,579 我们看下5分钟图 402 00:20:16,240 --> 00:20:18,259 我让大家关注这个支撑未来吧 403 00:20:18,259 --> 00:20:20,279 往下破其实就是风险哈 404 00:20:21,440 --> 00:20:23,799 把下跌确认划一下 405 00:20:26,099 --> 00:20:30,720 嗯那么下一个支撑位是在195了啊 406 00:20:30,720 --> 00:20:32,660 要注意 407 00:20:33,640 --> 00:20:36,039 好我们再看一下日线 408 00:20:36,599 --> 00:20:38,680 所以也可以再跌回来嗯 409 00:20:38,680 --> 00:20:40,160 我们提醒过大家哈 410 00:20:40,160 --> 00:20:42,299 它可以宽幅震荡拉升 411 00:20:42,299 --> 00:20:44,450 大回落再弹起来 412 00:20:44,450 --> 00:20:46,390 那他这个看着是窄哈 413 00:20:46,390 --> 00:20:48,450 实际上你要是跌到下一个支撑位的话 414 00:20:48,450 --> 00:20:50,869 还有20%的空间啊 415 00:20:50,869 --> 00:20:53,430 甚至更低啊对吧 416 00:20:53,430 --> 00:20:54,650 他跌个40% 417 00:20:54,650 --> 00:20:56,630 你不要感到意外哈 418 00:20:56,990 --> 00:20:58,450 这是一种猜测 419 00:20:58,450 --> 00:21:00,029 所以空头太强的话 420 00:21:00,029 --> 00:21:04,170 大家不要轻易的猜底好吧 421 00:21:05,559 --> 00:21:06,880 好其他的图标 422 00:21:06,880 --> 00:21:09,599 我们看一下苹果嗯 423 00:21:09,599 --> 00:21:11,259 也是卖点啊 424 00:21:11,259 --> 00:21:13,990 我看下5分钟图 425 00:21:14,898 --> 00:21:17,118 嗯他跌的最慢哈 426 00:21:17,118 --> 00:21:20,190 嗯是一定会跌吧 427 00:21:20,190 --> 00:21:22,309 应该不知道呢呢 428 00:21:22,309 --> 00:21:24,670 大家关注这片305这一带 429 00:21:24,670 --> 00:21:27,984 深城区在下周早些时候的表现 430 00:21:29,839 --> 00:21:30,680 是吧 431 00:21:30,680 --> 00:21:32,160 说这也是头肩顶吧 432 00:21:32,160 --> 00:21:33,400 嗯有点那意思 433 00:21:33,400 --> 00:21:36,000 头肩左侧右侧 434 00:21:37,480 --> 00:21:39,000 观察吧 435 00:21:41,380 --> 00:21:43,220 好今年苹果跌的比较少 436 00:21:44,259 --> 00:21:46,380 当然还有一些传统股啊 437 00:21:46,380 --> 00:21:48,059 没有跌哈 438 00:21:48,839 --> 00:21:49,400 好嘞 439 00:21:50,440 --> 00:21:52,380 最后呢欢迎大家成为会员哈 440 00:21:52,380 --> 00:21:54,740 我们周末呢要录制这些内容 441 00:21:54,740 --> 00:21:55,279 好 442 00:21:55,279 --> 00:21:57,710 也欢迎大家周末来看内容哈 443 00:21:57,710 --> 00:21:59,430 好待会儿见
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