【NaNa说美股】20260305俺不中嘞😩！

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大家好

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欢迎回到娜娜说

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美股今天是3月5号

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周四市场震荡行情延续

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美股三大股指集体收跌

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标普500指数盘中一度跌超1.4%

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尾盘最后一小时被资金强行拉起

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收复了日内大部分失地

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估计是短线空头回补

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不敢过夜

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道指今天跌幅超过1.6%

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明显跑输标普与纳指

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周期股表现疲软

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市场情绪依然被地缘政治主导

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避险与风险资产之间的资金呢轮动非常明显

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中东战争已经进入第六天

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目前战局走势依然不明朗

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原油又开始飙了

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油价一涨

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美股就跌

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今天这个剧本又重新上演了一遍

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伊朗伊斯兰革命卫队表示

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当天凌晨

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一艘美国游轮在波斯湾北部

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被他的海军发射导弹所击中

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游轮起火燃烧

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如果未来几天再听到

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有什么重要能源设施或者邮轮遭到袭击

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油价可能还会继续往上冲

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川普今天在接受采访的时候表示

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他并不担心油价上涨问题

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军事行动更重要

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这句话呢直接鼓励了原油多头

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现在各种真真假假的消息满天飞

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盘前嗯

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阿拉伯天空新闻报道称

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伊朗可能会考虑放弃和计划

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前提是美国给出足够有吸引力的替代性方案

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不过华尔街日报随后分析称

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双方重回谈判桌的概率很小

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都已经打到这个地步了

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无论美国还是以色列

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都要推翻现任政权

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扶持一个亲美政权上来

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才算是完成这一次的军事目标

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宜兰这一边呢似乎也有点打疯了

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颇有一种要拉所有邻国垫背的架势

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这几天又是导弹飞向土耳其

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搞得这两个原本保持中立的国家呢也开始火大

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中东王爷们更是一个个对伊朗恨得牙痒

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伊朗方面当然是坚决否认

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他还说自己目前并没有封锁霍尔木兹海峡

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至于大家信不信

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那就随便了

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毕竟现在伊朗中央政权已经被严重削弱

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全国30一个省实际上都各自为战了

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一些分析认为

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伊朗在故意扩大战争范围

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目的就是让国际舆论倒逼美国停止军事行动

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这个逻辑听起来好像有一定道理

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但是川普可不是在乎国际舆呃

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舆论与压力的那种人呐

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另外呢

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神权集团的决策思维

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也不能以常规政治思维去推断

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也许人家就是想着

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既然我不好过

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那大家也都别好过呢

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蚂蚁虽小

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哪怕咬不死大象

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也能给大象身上咬出几个包来

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承认

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伊朗无人机攻势比原本预期的要更难对付

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这些一次性无人机造价只有3万美元

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可是呢却具备着不小的杀伤能力

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堪称空中AK47啊

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美国用1350万美元的爱国者导弹

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去击落它

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代价太高昂了

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这长期消耗不起

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五角大楼与部分海湾国家

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目前正考虑采购乌克兰研发的一种拦截无人机

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这种无人机成本只有几千美元

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专门用来拦截那些一次性的自杀无人机

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乌克兰和大俄已经打了34年仗了

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在无人机作战方面确实积累有大量的经验以后

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也算是欧洲军事强国了

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与此同时

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据媒体报道

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美军中央司令部正请求五角大楼增派情报人员

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以支持针对伊朗的长期军事行动

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内部评估认为

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这场军事行动啊可能至少会持续100天

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就一直到这个秋季

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此前市场一直希望冲突能够速战速决

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现在看来这种预期基本已经落空

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在这样的背景之下

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标普500指数今天就不出意外的再次回落

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其实主要还是因为碰到这个上方

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6900呃阻力位

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所以又掉下去

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在6700和7000点这个博弈区间

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就好比一台滚筒洗衣机

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多空双方在里面都被甩得晕头转向的

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在宏观层面上呢

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市场现在把注意力放到了

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周五即将公布的非农就业报告上

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以判断美联储年内降息路径是否会进一步调整

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波动率指数一次又再次回升哈

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没有这个跌破20

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最近走势也是相当的混乱

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就忽上忽下

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像只无头苍蝇

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市场情绪可能随时逆转

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关键就看未来几天

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中东局势是呃继续升级呢

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还是逐渐降温

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全球市场里最夸张的剧情反而发生在韩国

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昨天韩国股市救市计划一选股

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这效果立竿见影

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韩国综合指数今天暴力反弹超11%

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涨幅过大

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导致盘中一度触发熔断

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一个国家的大盘指数哈

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硬是被炒出了山寨币的感觉

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自去年10月以来

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韩国股市与比特币之间的负相关性快速上升

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感觉是原来炒币的那群韩国散户们

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最近几个月都跑去炒自家的股市了

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前两天韩国股市暴跌的时候啊

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比特币突然大涨

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现在谜题解开了哈

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原来是韩国欧巴们卖股买币避险了

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难怪今天比特币回落

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韩国资金又重新跑回去

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他们的股市抄底去了吗

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所以说这个韩国散户

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绝对是全球最有代表性的群体之一哈

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都太疯狂了

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难怪出了bu hu这种传奇人物

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贵金属市场今天呢整体走低

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美元走强

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加上市场对美联储放缓降息的预期啊

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黄金价格回落

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今天美股盘中跳水的时候

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一些投资者也抛售黄金来换取流动性

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弥补股票市场的损失

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现在很多投资者把黄金当作是一种流动性来源

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多过于传统意义上的避险资产

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搞得资产所都不好意思再打压贵金属了

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今天盘后宣布下调对黄金白银的保证金要求

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所以这个游戏规则是想变就变哈

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坐庄就是爽

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个股方面

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英伟达股价今天盘中走出深V

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据彭博社报道

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美国政府正在起草一项法规

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计划将AI芯片出口管制扩展到全球范围以后啊

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英伟达和AMD生产的AI芯片

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如果想要出口

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与此同时呢

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美国还在考虑将不同国家分成多个等级

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根据安全关系与投资情况来分配AI算力的资源

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简单来说

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如果一个国家想要获得更多的美国AI芯片

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就很可能需要投资美国本土的数据中心

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或者呢提供更多的安全合作保障

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川普强调

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这项草案的目的并不是禁止英伟达出口

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而是要掌控全球AI算力的流向

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诶这个事情听起来怎么感觉那么熟悉呢

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不就是去年对等关税那一套吗

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呃这个事情吧其实情绪冲击哈大于实际影响嗯

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英伟达最大的几个客户都是美国科技巨头啊

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比如微软meta

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甲骨文

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欧PAI等等

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真正的需求中心就在美国本土

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所以呢虽然短期情绪利空

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中期影响就比较有限了

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主要还是看AI算力需求是否持续增长

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嗯虽然实际影响不大

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但仍可能成为股价短期回调的借口

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因为大股价

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昨天刚刚把上周五的跳空缺口给回补了

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花了三个交易日

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前几天咱们就说过哈

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在正常的市场环境中

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一只强势股通常会在3~5个交易日内回补

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向下跳空缺口

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今天这个事情就完成啦

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那空头就可以作妖了

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嗯所以今天盘中放出这个全球管控的消息

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肯定不是凑巧

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都是安排好的哈

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白宫起草这个法规

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难道是昨天不知道吗

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其实就是要等缺口回补完成之后

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才故意放出来的

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我感觉我对达子的爱正在消失

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这支股票基本面那么强劲

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但是鬼故事太多了

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就好心累啊

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各种路边消息还满天飞

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想要他突破200美元大关

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犹如渡天劫一样

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AAMD呢也受到了影响

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股价盘中一度跳水

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虽然尾盘也拉起来了

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但是没能够成功转涨

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依然收跌

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下方这么大个缺口

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早晚是要回补掉的

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定制芯片龙头博通

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今天股价呢逆势收涨

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公司预计到明年

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它的AI芯片营收将会超过1000亿美元

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00:09:29,460 --> 00:09:32,860
这表明在英伟达主导的AI市场之外

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00:09:32,860 --> 00:09:36,669
定制AI芯片的需求正在快速增长

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00:09:36,669 --> 00:09:40,750
虽然市场对人工智能支出的担忧仍将持续

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00:09:40,750 --> 00:09:42,029
但是博通呢表示

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00:09:42,029 --> 00:09:43,750
它的AI收入的增长速度

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将会快于整体半导体市场

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并且有望持续到2028年

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00:09:49,120 --> 00:09:52,340
市场对公司毛利率的担忧也有所缓解

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00:09:52,340 --> 00:09:54,220
经营杠杆效果明显

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00:09:54,220 --> 00:09:55,200
更重要的是

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美国政府的那个AI芯片出口管控

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00:09:58,799 --> 00:10:00,340
并不怎么影响拨通

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因为他的客户基本全都是美国本土科技巨头

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广告技术公司TTD啊

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00:10:06,500 --> 00:10:08,100
枯木逢春哈

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00:10:08,100 --> 00:10:10,100
股价突然跳空暴涨

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有消息称

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OpenAI已经与TTD就合作事宜展开了早期洽谈

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00:10:15,720 --> 00:10:20,279
希望借助TTT平台发展广告销售业务

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00:10:20,279 --> 00:10:21,320
今年2月初

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00:10:21,320 --> 00:10:24,700
OpenAI开始在叉GBT中测试广告业务了

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00:10:24,700 --> 00:10:29,039
初期呢很可能依赖外合作伙伴帮助销售广告

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并且迅速扩大规模

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00:10:30,940 --> 00:10:34,419
TTD本身就是一个自动化广告投放平台

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00:10:34,419 --> 00:10:37,899
具备精准定向和效果评估技术

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00:10:37,899 --> 00:10:38,620
此外呢

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00:10:38,620 --> 00:10:43,129
公司董事最近还增持了600万股普通股

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00:10:43,129 --> 00:10:46,049
价值大约1.48亿美元哈

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00:10:46,049 --> 00:10:48,730
比其他那些公司的股东们

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花个两三百万要大手笔的多

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00:10:52,009 --> 00:10:56,019
以真金白银来提振投资者对该股的信心

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00:10:56,019 --> 00:10:58,899
前两天我才刚提到这只地心探险股呢

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结果立即就反向毒奶成功了

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00:11:01,870 --> 00:11:03,529
还有哪只破产股

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那个可以让我关注一下的

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00:11:05,549 --> 00:11:07,129
我也去毒奶一下

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00:11:09,590 --> 00:11:12,720
公司宣布扩大增发股份规模

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00:11:12,720 --> 00:11:16,340
从此前的10亿美元直接增加到60亿美元

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00:11:16,340 --> 00:11:18,849
相当于于公司当前市值的一半

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00:11:18,849 --> 00:11:22,249
空头认为这会带来严重的股权稀释

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00:11:22,249 --> 00:11:26,169
而多头呢则把它看作是公司在压住未来

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人工智能算力需求的长期增长

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00:11:28,909 --> 00:11:31,809
所以呢这个多空到底谁占理哈

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00:11:31,809 --> 00:11:35,399
那就看各自的个这个判断了

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00:11:37,820 --> 00:11:40,700
盘中一度跌破年限后才被资金拉回

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00:11:40,700 --> 00:11:44,669
油价上涨直接就压缩了航空公司的利润空间

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00:11:44,669 --> 00:11:45,649
另一方面呢

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达美航空管理层近期也出现了一些变动

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00:11:49,169 --> 00:11:51,409
反正航空股跌的有多惨

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00:11:51,409 --> 00:11:53,730
能源股就涨得有多欢

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00:11:53,730 --> 00:11:57,059
标普油气开采指数ETFOOP

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00:11:57,059 --> 00:11:58,919
自今年1月中旬以来啊

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00:11:58,919 --> 00:12:02,419
几乎走出了一条45度角向上的趋势线

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00:12:02,419 --> 00:12:06,620
称为近期美股表现最强的板块之一

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00:12:06,620 --> 00:12:07,799
中概股方面

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00:12:07,799 --> 00:12:09,200
京东财报发布之后

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利空落地

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股价日内低开高走

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00:12:11,980 --> 00:12:15,240
公司第四季度营收同比增长了1.5%

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00:12:15,240 --> 00:12:16,919
略高于市残余单

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00:12:16,919 --> 00:12:19,100
是外卖业务的持续投入

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00:12:19,100 --> 00:12:22,019
导致成本压力明显增加

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00:12:22,019 --> 00:12:24,279
公司单季由盈转亏

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00:12:24,279 --> 00:12:26,980
录得27亿元净亏损

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全年新业务经营亏损达到了466亿元

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00:12:31,639 --> 00:12:34,839
成为拖累整体盈利的核心因素

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00:12:34,839 --> 00:12:38,259
在当前宏观环境仍然不确定的情况之下

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00:12:38,259 --> 00:12:42,359
市场对于这种持续烧钱扩张模式的容忍度哈

286
00:12:42,359 --> 00:12:43,769
显然正在下降

287
00:12:43,769 --> 00:12:48,009
股价都快回到20这个历史低位水平附近了

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00:12:48,009 --> 00:12:50,600
哈行今天我们就简单说到这里吧

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那我们明天见拜拜

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