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昨天举办了洛杉矶的第11次线下见面会啊
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我当时给这些兄弟也讲了
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我说这个模式呢做5年啊
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就得换一个模式
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这个呢我也是想给很多兄弟们提醒啊
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就是人的能力呢怎么提升的
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就是你在不同的阶段一定要做不同的事啊
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就比如说我刚开始从步步高当业务员啊
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一个月600块钱
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但是呢我很快啊做了他的代理的时候
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那一天啊可能就要赚大几10万了
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那后面呢真正做了自主品牌之后呢
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那基本上那可能一天赚的可能比做代理啊
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一个月一年赚的还要多
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这就是很多兄弟在这个创业或投资过程里面
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无法摆脱的一个魔咒啊
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就这也是我看了很多很多的人的困惑留言之后
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我给大家讲的意识
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就是你在每个阶段都要做
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每个阶段对应你身价
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对应你思考深度哈
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一对应你应该做的事
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他这个应该是什么意思呢
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就是你不能说一直重复昨天的故事啊
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就举个例子啊
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比如说我小时候
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那我们种地呢还是靠人拉
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那时候你想吧
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拖拉机肯定买不起啊
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牛呢虽然今天哈牛还不能一直干活哈
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你比如说我们兄弟们多
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我们很多时候我们有些地呢
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我们就会和人啊
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人去耕哈
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人去播种
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人去做牛的活
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但是你今天你怎么可能呢
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就再穷的农村人
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他也会用收割机联合收割机的
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但是呢很多兄弟他理解不了
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就是你今天几百万的身价
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是投资里面最容易亏的哈
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原因是什么呢
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就因为几百万他最容易着急翻倍啊
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包括呢这几百万呢最容易损失它的根本
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原因在于说几百万的人很很想的财富加零啊
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这也是我讲投资以来哈
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就是收到的最多的
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也是最难以去讲清楚的
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就是这几百万
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你要真没钱的人呢
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他反而他很务实
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因为没钱嘛就好好学习对吧
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要知道自己啊买不到一手茅台啊
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老老实实的啊
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就是一点点的成长啊
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也不抱有什么幻想
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然后呢几千万几个亿的呢
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大家知道哈
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你能做到年化10%
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在国内属于顶尖的收益了
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反正你也花不完嘛
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那几百万的这个人呢是吧
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你10%哎赚个10万20万
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他好像不够花的啊
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勉强诶
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而且呢翻倍呢就容易冒险
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他属于在高收益
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还有这个躺平收股息之间呢
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几百万的人
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他是最难以躺平的
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这个也是最难以讲清楚的一个阶段
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就比上哎比下有余
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比上不足
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但是呢你让他突破吧
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几百万人是最浮躁的
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为啥呢
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他老是定不下来
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老是想着哎我能不能找个十倍股啊
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啊也要一一夜暴富啊
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啊能不能这个是每一次下跌我都躲过哈
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每次上涨我都抓住
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这个几百万人的投机心态最强
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所以这个也是我做投资来哈
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说真的我就喜欢两个极端啊
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要么是超级有钱
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财务自由啊
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大家呢反正是吧
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心态都一样
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对不对
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就没有没有人会着急啊
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因为他很清楚赚大钱呢是着急不来的
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要不就很没钱啊
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大家呢就很感性
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对不对啊
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聊聊天喝喝酒是吧
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这也是我跟你讲哈
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我这些助理群里面呢基本上也是两个极端
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所以我跟他们聊天的时候
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我也你就告诉他们
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我说呃如果说啊你想赚大钱
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你重要的东西呢是把你的心态啊
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把你的价值观调对了对吧
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你不要去在意当下的结果
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你要在意的是未来啊
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你的人生方向在哪里对吧
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你举个例子啊
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比如说这两年很多济南的烟城兄弟找我很多
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他原来说做成一年上5000万的很多是吧
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年纪轻轻啊
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90年左右
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但这两年呢都在了
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我跟他们讲的时候
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我跟他们讲过
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我说我们85年做电商
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这十几年经历的事
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你们做直播电商一定是经理
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但他们会怎么想呢
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我比他们大个5~10岁吧是吧
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那你你你们没有抓住啊
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直播间他的风口
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直播间的风口是吧
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然后呢你就认为我们是吧
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怎么怎么样要像你一样啊
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急流勇退
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实际上今年都找我了
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昨天晚上还给一个兄弟聊哈
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他一年也做个赚个四五千万啊
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做五六个亿的生意啊
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但是今年呢很清楚啊
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权哥你这个高血压怎么好的好
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你这个投资怎么弄的啊
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钱哥你能不能教教我实话手
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教教我
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我怎么投呢
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那我怎么就亏钱呢
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我怎么心态就不稳定呢
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狗真的哈哈
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其实我跟大家讲啊
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这个人啊
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他在好的时候永远不会想灾难
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但是人在灾难的时候呢
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很多时候就过度悲观
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真的是这样
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各位你知道吧
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就是这个人是这样哈
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就是芒哥讲的哈
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40岁之前没有价值投资
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这个是真的
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你除非说你有悟性啊
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我是到了40岁啊
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我今年41嘛
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我到40岁的时候
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其实我对投资的理解和38岁都不一样啊
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今年更不一样
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就是你发现你这个人心态越来越好了
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而且呢你看人看的越来越准了
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而且你越来越清晰的能看明白每个人背后
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他发生的故事
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他在想什么
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实际上你每个人你最终的财富也好
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结局也好
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都是你的价值观的映射
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这也是我反复的讲的
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什么叫价值观呢
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我说价值观是可以量化的
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价值观是你认同和你坚持的东西对吧
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比如说我的价值观理念是吧
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诚信自驱学习
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专注创新
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所以我的价值观来是没有一条不上进的
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但我是个很上进的人对吧
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其实我也是个很勤奋的人
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当然我也是一个很愿意去帮助别人的人
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但实际上呢当你是这种有价值观的人之后呢
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你是很容易知道谁是没有价值观的
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所以你就很难帮他
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就像我刚才说的
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我说几百万的人就容易亏
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为什么呢
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他的价值观不明确啊
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如果说你是走巴菲特的复利路线是吧
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不拿10年不买一天啊
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不买一分钟
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是不是建立一个口碑需要10年
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或者他只需要一分钟
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如果你真的是一个看长远的人
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那你应该怎么做呢
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你就应该坚持这条路一直到底是吧
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你不要改了啊
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你说改我也是微调是吧
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我也是想着去怎么怎么样
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就昨天我拍的视频里面好多人留言说哎呀
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权哥哦
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原来惠当家是你的品牌
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我说是呀
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我说我做了十几年了
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我说一口锅我做了16年
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我从2010年做多功能电热锅多情的总代理
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到后来做汇当家
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整整做了16年
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我都没改过行
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为什么不改行呢
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所以我觉得做一个行业学习方向非常非常难
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你坚持它
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你坐下去他就没有好差了
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实际上最难的就是你能不能把牢底坐穿
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能不能长期坚持
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这个是所有就是几百万身价的人
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他往往他没有这种恒心和毅力
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他更静不下心来说
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我把这个事研究透
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它
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把一个行业搞明白
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他是吧
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我不要想着老是十倍股
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八倍股
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翻倍股可遇不可求啊
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你一年遇到一次
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那叫运气
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遇不到那叫正常
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如果能遇到翻倍
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巴菲特就不是20%年化
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他应该百分百啊
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200%
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因为他是个天才
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他也只能做到20%
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最近10年巴菲特的回报8%到十
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最近哈美股暴跌20%
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这是个机会啊
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各位明白我意思吗
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就是很多时候大家就是因为过度恐慌
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过度看衰
234
00:07:06,509 --> 00:07:07,889
但是大家想过没有哈
235
00:07:07,889 --> 00:07:10,720
一个公司建立护城河需要30年
236
00:07:10,720 --> 00:07:12,199
他毁掉护城河
237
00:07:12,199 --> 00:07:13,899
他也没有那么容易
238
00:07:13,899 --> 00:07:17,519
就公司本质上他的商业模式变化没有那么快
239
00:07:17,519 --> 00:07:19,620
所以你不用天天担心说啊
240
00:07:19,620 --> 00:07:21,399
我买了一个我家的公司哈
241
00:07:21,399 --> 00:07:22,000
我今天跌了
242
00:07:22,000 --> 00:07:23,040
明天明天弄了
243
00:07:23,040 --> 00:07:23,480
然后呢
244
00:07:23,480 --> 00:07:24,079
我怎么怎么样
245
00:07:24,079 --> 00:07:25,810
各位千万不要
246
00:07:25,810 --> 00:07:29,569
你要知道大钱靠的是长驱哈
247
00:07:29,569 --> 00:07:31,678
靠的是日积月累
248
00:07:31,678 --> 00:07:33,459
靠着10年如一日的沉淀哈
249
00:07:33,459 --> 00:07:36,079
靠的是点点滴滴的做对的事
250
00:07:36,079 --> 00:07:37,759
这个才是大钱的玩法
251
00:07:37,759 --> 00:07:39,329
如果说你能理解大钱
252
00:07:39,329 --> 00:07:40,430
你就理解了人性
253
00:07:40,430 --> 00:07:42,110
你也知道哪些人能赚大钱
254
00:07:42,110 --> 00:07:45,170
这也是为什么段永平看到黄灯的时候
255
00:07:45,170 --> 00:07:47,428
200304年看到黄灯
256
00:07:47,428 --> 00:07:49,689
就知道将来他的上限不可限量
257
00:07:49,689 --> 00:07:52,009
但是为什么我在2018年我看黄灯看不懂
258
00:07:52,009 --> 00:07:52,848
原因是什么
259
00:07:52,848 --> 00:07:55,319
没有段永平的思考能力
260
00:07:55,319 --> 00:07:58,319
但今天为什么我也很清楚哪个人能不能成呢
261
00:07:58,319 --> 00:08:00,550
是因为也像段永平一样去思考了
262
00:08:00,550 --> 00:08:02,029
你第一年龄到了啊
263
00:08:02,029 --> 00:08:04,209
第二个呢做事呢更看长远了
264
00:08:04,209 --> 00:08:06,189
第三个呢确实也不缺钱对吧
265
00:08:06,189 --> 00:08:07,899
你也没有必要啊
266
00:08:07,899 --> 00:08:09,649
就为了赚一个快钱
267
00:08:09,649 --> 00:08:10,910
然后呢把自己牺牲掉
268
00:08:10,910 --> 00:08:14,110
这也是很多真的没有走过这条路的人
269
00:08:14,110 --> 00:08:15,350
在看到张雪峰的时候
270
00:08:15,350 --> 00:08:16,889
和我们是完全不一样的
271
00:08:16,889 --> 00:08:17,730
为啥呢
272
00:08:17,730 --> 00:08:21,410
因为他们在透支我们在生命家庭金钱面前
273
00:08:21,410 --> 00:08:22,589
我们是想的是平衡
274
00:08:22,589 --> 00:08:25,459
但张雪峰呢他把身体透支掉
275
00:08:25,459 --> 00:08:31,240
他把这个所有的生命呢定格在四十一二岁的
276
00:08:31,240 --> 00:08:32,600
很可惜各位
277
00:08:32,600 --> 00:08:36,159
如果说你是想着通过长期活100年
278
00:08:36,159 --> 00:08:38,740
你还20%和一年翻十倍
279
00:08:38,740 --> 00:08:39,899
那是两个不同的概念
280
00:08:39,899 --> 00:08:41,039
就像当皇帝一样
281
00:08:41,039 --> 00:08:42,820
有的人当了18年皇帝啊
282
00:08:42,820 --> 00:08:44,970
有的人过了18个年就没了
283
00:08:44,970 --> 00:08:47,429
所以如果说你能想明白这个区别
284
00:08:47,429 --> 00:08:50,049
你是可以抢发挥的一样
285
00:08:50,049 --> 00:08:53,309
50岁以后赚取你人生的95%的财富
286
00:08:53,309 --> 00:08:55,830
但是如果说你像张雪峰一样
287
00:08:55,830 --> 00:08:56,970
你是一场直播
288
00:08:56,970 --> 00:08:58,549
还卖了好几个亿啊
289
00:08:58,549 --> 00:08:59,470
赚个把个亿
290
00:08:59,470 --> 00:09:02,019
但问题是你未来的没有了呀
291
00:09:02,019 --> 00:09:03,019
你到了42岁
292
00:09:03,019 --> 00:09:03,820
你终止了呀
293
00:09:03,820 --> 00:09:04,629
对不对
294
00:09:04,629 --> 00:09:06,649
那如果说你不终止呢
295
00:09:06,649 --> 00:09:08,289
你用一个长期的心态呢
296
00:09:08,289 --> 00:09:10,250
你比如说就像我做这个生意一样的
297
00:09:10,250 --> 00:09:15,200
我后边发现人生意都是一个定局的时候
298
00:09:15,200 --> 00:09:18,440
比如说我在2019年我就不再招人了对吧
299
00:09:18,440 --> 00:09:20,080
我公司从四五百个人干到现在
300
00:09:20,080 --> 00:09:22,080
10%的原来的人数啊
301
00:09:22,080 --> 00:09:22,669
第二个呢
302
00:09:22,669 --> 00:09:24,029
我做我做直播
303
00:09:24,029 --> 00:09:25,429
我发现直播这个模式走不通
304
00:09:25,429 --> 00:09:26,389
我立马转IP
305
00:09:26,389 --> 00:09:27,029
我转IP的时候
306
00:09:27,029 --> 00:09:28,590
我吸取了我直播所有的教训
307
00:09:28,590 --> 00:09:29,750
绝对不搞大团队
308
00:09:29,750 --> 00:09:31,409
绝对不走大团队模式
309
00:09:31,409 --> 00:09:32,789
然后我现在很舒服呀
310
00:09:32,789 --> 00:09:34,149
生活从开始做IP的时候
311
00:09:34,149 --> 00:09:36,610
我就很清楚这个事是一定无法做大的
312
00:09:36,610 --> 00:09:37,629
你们可以在学球看
313
00:09:37,629 --> 00:09:39,649
我22年6月份22号写的文章
314
00:09:39,649 --> 00:09:41,519
我说一个人一部手机一个亿
315
00:09:41,519 --> 00:09:43,080
为什么一个人我当时很会
316
00:09:43,080 --> 00:09:45,679
我说IP走不了大谈对话
317
00:09:45,679 --> 00:09:47,509
因为你IP的核心是思想
318
00:09:47,509 --> 00:09:48,850
你想你想想思考
319
00:09:48,850 --> 00:09:50,149
你就没有精力去管理
320
00:09:50,149 --> 00:09:52,120
你要想管理你就没有时间去思考
321
00:09:52,120 --> 00:09:53,740
那为什么一部手机一个亿呢
322
00:09:53,740 --> 00:09:55,240
因为我很清楚我是有这个能力的
323
00:09:55,240 --> 00:09:56,240
因为我赚过对吧
324
00:09:56,240 --> 00:09:57,679
我很清楚我知道该怎么赚
325
00:09:57,679 --> 00:09:59,799
我是有这个成功的经验
326
00:09:59,799 --> 00:10:00,899
我也有失败的教训
327
00:10:00,899 --> 00:10:02,659
我也有很多很多对人性的理解
328
00:10:02,659 --> 00:10:06,470
只是说IP让我把人性呢完全量化了
329
00:10:06,470 --> 00:10:07,769
就像今天我看人一样
330
00:10:07,769 --> 00:10:11,490
我和2015年10年前看人完全不一样
331
00:10:11,490 --> 00:10:12,990
各位我今天看人
332
00:10:12,990 --> 00:10:15,370
我是从看他思想里面的bug
333
00:10:15,370 --> 00:10:20,028
就他哪些想法是它好和坏的根源
334
00:10:20,028 --> 00:10:21,629
但时间前我不可能看懂
335
00:10:21,629 --> 00:10:22,509
那第二个呢
336
00:10:22,509 --> 00:10:24,629
我现在看人我也不像以前似的对吧
337
00:10:24,629 --> 00:10:27,429
通过啊点点滴滴的一个结果看人
338
00:10:27,429 --> 00:10:28,110
我也不是
339
00:10:28,110 --> 00:10:30,159
我是从他的起点看他
340
00:10:30,159 --> 00:10:32,100
就他的思想的起源是什么
341
00:10:32,100 --> 00:10:33,568
他为什么会这么思考
342
00:10:33,568 --> 00:10:35,168
就像我看到很多很多人对吧
343
00:10:35,168 --> 00:10:36,408
他的结局不好是吧
344
00:10:36,408 --> 00:10:38,369
无论是家庭破裂啊
345
00:10:38,369 --> 00:10:39,948
然后返贫是吧
346
00:10:39,948 --> 00:10:42,879
还是资产不断的贬值啊
347
00:10:42,879 --> 00:10:44,340
还是整个人的健康状态很差
348
00:10:44,340 --> 00:10:46,820
实际上你通过他的言谈举止
349
00:10:46,820 --> 00:10:49,210
你是能够感觉到他为什么是这样子的
350
00:10:49,210 --> 00:10:51,389
这是因为你长时间的投资思考
351
00:10:51,389 --> 00:10:52,230
人性思考
352
00:10:52,230 --> 00:10:54,590
包括了大量的数据的样本去对比
353
00:10:54,590 --> 00:10:56,769
你是很清楚这个事发生了什么
354
00:10:56,769 --> 00:10:59,159
但是如果说你的嫌疑钱是不可能的
355
00:10:59,159 --> 00:11:00,559
所以我讲的这个意思就是
356
00:11:00,559 --> 00:11:01,340
第一个呢
357
00:11:01,340 --> 00:11:04,480
我们最终呢只能跟同道中人打交道对吧
358
00:11:04,480 --> 00:11:05,399
他认同他理解
359
00:11:05,399 --> 00:11:06,320
他看明白了
360
00:11:06,320 --> 00:11:07,169
第二个呢
361
00:11:07,169 --> 00:11:08,210
有没有钱
362
00:11:08,210 --> 00:11:09,250
其实真的不是最重要的
363
00:11:09,250 --> 00:11:10,570
就是如果说你是对的
364
00:11:10,570 --> 00:11:11,759
你不可能没有钱
365
00:11:11,759 --> 00:11:12,639
如果你是错的
366
00:11:12,639 --> 00:11:13,840
你有钱也会凑回去
367
00:11:13,840 --> 00:11:15,820
这就是这个世界的残酷之处
368
00:11:15,820 --> 00:11:17,039
但是你说这个事很重要吗
369
00:11:17,039 --> 00:11:17,909
一点都不重要
370
00:11:17,909 --> 00:11:18,889
重要的是什么呢
371
00:11:18,889 --> 00:11:20,950
就你是不是真的能看懂他
372
00:11:20,950 --> 00:11:22,110
想明白这个逻辑
373
00:11:22,110 --> 00:11:24,110
所以说我现在的想法是
374
00:11:24,110 --> 00:11:26,950
我不想跟那些价值观不一的人去聊
375
00:11:26,950 --> 00:11:28,250
因为他必然会栽的
376
00:11:28,250 --> 00:11:29,870
我为什么要和一个栽的人去聊呢
377
00:11:29,870 --> 00:11:30,539
对不对
378
00:11:30,539 --> 00:11:31,820
所以这就是问题的核心
379
00:11:31,820 --> 00:11:33,879
就是好的路其实就那么几条
380
00:11:33,879 --> 00:11:36,019
但是差的路有千千万万条
381
00:11:36,019 --> 00:11:37,700
差的点有很多很多的
382
00:11:37,700 --> 00:11:39,980
所以我在讲这些东西的时候
383
00:11:39,980 --> 00:11:42,500
我想的是让我们在往好的地方去走啊
384
00:11:42,500 --> 00:11:44,269
这样我在56年前
385
00:11:44,269 --> 00:11:46,210
我给我身边所有做电焊兄弟都讲过
386
00:11:46,210 --> 00:11:48,149
我有几个生意一定是死路一条的
387
00:11:48,149 --> 00:11:50,299
代理生意死路一条对吧
388
00:11:50,299 --> 00:11:51,700
买房死路一条
389
00:11:51,700 --> 00:11:55,250
所有的资产在一个市场死路一条对吧
390
00:11:55,250 --> 00:11:56,889
然后完美的卷价格啊
391
00:11:56,889 --> 00:11:57,578
拼效率
392
00:11:57,578 --> 00:11:59,619
累死自己恶手凤凰死路一条对吧
393
00:11:59,619 --> 00:12:01,438
然后完全依附于平台死路一条
394
00:12:01,438 --> 00:12:03,139
不做品牌死路一条啊
395
00:12:03,139 --> 00:12:04,909
完全拼效率死路一条对吧
396
00:12:04,909 --> 00:12:06,549
完全打架搁那死路一条对吧
397
00:12:06,549 --> 00:12:08,820
然后呢花天酒地夜总会死路一条
398
00:12:08,820 --> 00:12:11,659
那你跟那些酒肉朋友啊
399
00:12:11,659 --> 00:12:13,679
天天搞得他娘的哈
400
00:12:13,679 --> 00:12:15,110
深根马叶死路一条
401
00:12:15,110 --> 00:12:17,629
实际上这些死路一条的事很多很多种
402
00:12:17,629 --> 00:12:19,090
但是好的路呢就很少
403
00:12:19,090 --> 00:12:21,409
比如说一个人思考啊
404
00:12:21,409 --> 00:12:23,690
比如说啊思考而子激流勇退啊
405
00:12:23,690 --> 00:12:25,230
比如说评估资产配置啊
406
00:12:25,230 --> 00:12:27,589
再比如说价值投资这些东西呢
407
00:12:27,589 --> 00:12:29,308
它都是看到朝鲜的东西
408
00:12:29,308 --> 00:12:30,879
但是它没有什么乐趣
409
00:12:30,879 --> 00:12:32,279
他没有什么激情哈
410
00:12:32,279 --> 00:12:33,240
他没有什么振奋
411
00:12:33,240 --> 00:12:35,620
他没有什么像哈张伟峰一样那种
412
00:12:35,620 --> 00:12:38,299
哼那瞬间灿烂昙花一现
413
00:12:38,299 --> 00:12:40,570
各位这就是大的区别
414
00:12:40,570 --> 00:12:42,809
所以如果说你要是从价值观角度
415
00:12:42,809 --> 00:12:44,669
你去想明白这个事情
416
00:12:44,669 --> 00:12:46,789
你何愁将来不好的
417
00:12:46,789 --> 00:12:47,350
对不对
418
00:12:47,350 --> 00:12:49,190
再说我给很多做电商的兄弟讲
419
00:12:49,190 --> 00:12:50,679
我说你曾经几百个人
420
00:12:50,679 --> 00:12:51,299
几千个人
421
00:12:51,299 --> 00:12:51,759
几个亿
422
00:12:51,759 --> 00:12:52,399
几十个亿
423
00:12:52,399 --> 00:12:53,240
那都是过去
424
00:12:53,240 --> 00:12:55,480
各位今天这个时代不适合了
425
00:12:55,480 --> 00:12:57,850
各位今天这个时代它适合的什么呢
426
00:12:57,850 --> 00:13:01,330
就是专业精准
427
00:13:01,330 --> 00:13:02,289
物以类聚
428
00:13:02,289 --> 00:13:03,029
人以群分
429
00:13:03,029 --> 00:13:05,769
就只跟你同道中人打交道
430
00:13:05,769 --> 00:13:08,719
足以人没必要快啊
431
00:13:08,719 --> 00:13:10,058
长期复利
432
00:13:10,058 --> 00:13:11,499
100年活100岁
433
00:13:11,499 --> 00:13:13,379
这才是人生最重要的事