1
00:00:00,200 --> 00:00:04,459
兄弟们以后不光是开不了户了
2
00:00:04,459 --> 00:00:06,809
以后再玩没股啊
3
00:00:06,809 --> 00:00:08,009
就违法了
4
00:00:08,009 --> 00:00:12,929
兄弟们这个今天的通知不知道有没有看啊
5
00:00:13,169 --> 00:00:15,570
虽然目前呢是针对公司啊
6
00:00:15,570 --> 00:00:18,449
说公司呢你要是对外投资不备案的话
7
00:00:18,449 --> 00:00:20,010
那涉嫌违法
8
00:00:20,010 --> 00:00:23,660
一个是没收经营所得啊
9
00:00:23,660 --> 00:00:25,579
还要处以罚金啊
10
00:00:25,579 --> 00:00:26,679
最严重的时候啊
11
00:00:26,679 --> 00:00:28,710
有可能还会判刑啊
12
00:00:28,910 --> 00:00:31,730
虽然目前呢个人是无法备案的啊
13
00:00:31,730 --> 00:00:36,130
就这个政策呢是针对的机构啊
14
00:00:36,130 --> 00:00:36,990
没有针对个人
15
00:00:36,990 --> 00:00:40,810
但是我估计在不远的将来啊
16
00:00:40,810 --> 00:00:43,310
个人很快也就被限制了
17
00:00:43,310 --> 00:00:48,259
这个呢是是迫在眉睫的一件事啊
18
00:00:48,259 --> 00:00:48,679
兄弟们
19
00:00:49,719 --> 00:00:49,960
当然了
20
00:00:49,960 --> 00:00:51,600
我今天看到这个信息之后呢
21
00:00:51,600 --> 00:00:53,340
心情比较沉重啊
22
00:00:53,340 --> 00:00:54,909
比较失落
23
00:00:54,979 --> 00:00:58,539
就是日本在过去的30年里面
24
00:00:58,539 --> 00:01:01,380
他是鼓励这些企业啊
25
00:01:01,380 --> 00:01:02,710
对全球投资的
26
00:01:02,710 --> 00:01:06,230
正是因为日本过去那几十年鼓励全球投资
27
00:01:06,230 --> 00:01:07,549
再到了两个日本
28
00:01:07,549 --> 00:01:08,969
所以到目前为止呢
29
00:01:08,969 --> 00:01:12,049
日本海外的资产是他比比他国内啊
30
00:01:12,049 --> 00:01:13,390
要多很多倍的
31
00:01:13,390 --> 00:01:17,010
所以日本的30年虽然看起来很失落
32
00:01:17,010 --> 00:01:18,989
但是他为什么这两年能爆发
33
00:01:18,989 --> 00:01:20,670
是因为他海外的资产太丰富了
34
00:01:20,670 --> 00:01:22,859
比如说他们在巴西啊
35
00:01:22,859 --> 00:01:25,060
基本上垄断了很多的矿产
36
00:01:25,060 --> 00:01:27,659
那这也是为什么巴菲特重创五大商社啊
37
00:01:27,659 --> 00:01:30,489
因为五大商社在巴西也在全球的资产太多了
38
00:01:30,489 --> 00:01:33,810
去变相的就布局了很多能源公司嘛
39
00:01:33,810 --> 00:01:36,609
但是啊反观我们这边呢
40
00:01:36,609 --> 00:01:38,930
他限制各种限制啊
41
00:01:38,930 --> 00:01:41,890
实际上这几年我经常分析啊
42
00:01:41,890 --> 00:01:44,129
如果放开啊
43
00:01:44,129 --> 00:01:46,189
让那些银行存款啊
44
00:01:46,189 --> 00:01:49,430
还有这些啊各种跨境的外汇啊
45
00:01:49,430 --> 00:01:50,549
买美股的话
46
00:01:50,549 --> 00:01:52,489
最起码这几年翻几倍吧
47
00:01:52,489 --> 00:01:54,579
咱不用说翻几倍翻一倍吧
48
00:01:54,579 --> 00:01:59,000
那嘿嘿随便打几万亿美金啊
49
00:01:59,000 --> 00:02:02,920
人均国内人均分个几千上万的没问题啊
50
00:02:02,920 --> 00:02:04,989
我们的很多债务问题也解决了
51
00:02:04,989 --> 00:02:07,909
所以这就是验证的一个逻辑啊
52
00:02:07,909 --> 00:02:11,150
就如果哈哈没股能挣钱啊
53
00:02:11,150 --> 00:02:13,750
你你连货都开不了
54
00:02:13,750 --> 00:02:17,349
哎呀反正这个事呢咱们就不抱怨了哈
55
00:02:17,349 --> 00:02:19,810
因为很多事我们说了也不算啊
56
00:02:19,810 --> 00:02:20,710
我们自身角度啊
57
00:02:20,710 --> 00:02:22,500
我们怎么来看待这件事吧
58
00:02:22,500 --> 00:02:25,219
那第一个呢他没有明令说啊
59
00:02:25,219 --> 00:02:27,919
一定说要不然你把钱退回来啊
60
00:02:27,919 --> 00:02:30,009
他就说要报备
61
00:02:30,009 --> 00:02:32,990
但是呢个人呢是无法报备的
62
00:02:32,990 --> 00:02:34,009
那第二个呢
63
00:02:34,009 --> 00:02:36,770
那接下来呢管制肯定会越来越严
64
00:02:36,770 --> 00:02:38,699
这个毋庸置疑的对
65
00:02:38,699 --> 00:02:41,379
那如果接下来管的越来越严啊
66
00:02:41,379 --> 00:02:42,699
你要怎么看待这个事啊
67
00:02:42,699 --> 00:02:45,099
这个是很多兄弟要想明白的啊
68
00:02:45,099 --> 00:02:48,819
就是一旦开始严加管控的时候呢
69
00:02:48,819 --> 00:02:50,960
意味着很多事做不了了
70
00:02:50,960 --> 00:02:52,419
那这时候你怎么办呢
71
00:02:52,419 --> 00:02:56,729
好你有可能啊你要提前做好一些规划
72
00:02:56,729 --> 00:02:58,169
那怎么规划呢
73
00:02:58,169 --> 00:02:59,248
呵呵啊
74
00:02:59,248 --> 00:03:01,408
大家要去想一想啊
75
00:03:01,408 --> 00:03:05,680
还有一个呢就是背后的原因是什么呢
76
00:03:05,680 --> 00:03:09,219
实际上还是啊美股赚钱效应的问题嘛
77
00:03:09,219 --> 00:03:10,099
大家想嘛啊
78
00:03:10,099 --> 00:03:12,300
如果说那美股亏钱啊
79
00:03:12,300 --> 00:03:12,979
A股赚钱
80
00:03:12,979 --> 00:03:17,080
那谁去把这个钱啊去去海外投资呢
81
00:03:17,080 --> 00:03:18,860
啊就像咱举个例子啊
82
00:03:18,860 --> 00:03:22,090
能说权哥你这个啊为什么移民是吧
83
00:03:22,090 --> 00:03:23,009
为什么怎么样
84
00:03:23,009 --> 00:03:26,129
各位谁愿意背井离乡呢是吧
85
00:03:26,129 --> 00:03:26,810
大家想一想
86
00:03:26,810 --> 00:03:29,349
你说你的家再不好啊
87
00:03:29,349 --> 00:03:30,949
我老家济宁再不好
88
00:03:30,949 --> 00:03:31,909
那也是我的家呀
89
00:03:31,909 --> 00:03:32,969
对我骂他
90
00:03:32,969 --> 00:03:34,629
我也是希望他好呀对吧
91
00:03:34,629 --> 00:03:36,259
我也不是说希望他惨
92
00:03:36,259 --> 00:03:40,620
是我们最终啊也是每年拿出很多钱是吧
93
00:03:40,620 --> 00:03:42,780
去给自己的家乡啊
94
00:03:42,780 --> 00:03:43,729
给父母啊
95
00:03:43,729 --> 00:03:44,629
兄弟们啊
96
00:03:44,629 --> 00:03:45,150
对不对
97
00:03:45,150 --> 00:03:47,750
那第二个呢就是啊你公司还在嘛
98
00:03:47,750 --> 00:03:48,229
对不对
99
00:03:48,229 --> 00:03:49,430
那毕竟员工
100
00:03:49,430 --> 00:03:53,210
你像我这几年从18年交税务合规之后
101
00:03:53,210 --> 00:03:55,270
公司的利润呢就不到一个点
102
00:03:55,270 --> 00:03:57,569
而且呢很多项目呢也是巨亏
103
00:03:57,569 --> 00:03:59,770
但实际上我们还在做嘛是吧
104
00:03:59,770 --> 00:04:01,759
并不是说说真的
105
00:04:01,759 --> 00:04:04,099
最近这56年吧
106
00:04:04,099 --> 00:04:06,400
没有从公司拿走一毛钱
107
00:04:06,680 --> 00:04:07,360
为什么呢
108
00:04:07,360 --> 00:04:08,620
因为你需要经营嘛
109
00:04:08,620 --> 00:04:09,500
你需要周转嘛
110
00:04:09,500 --> 00:04:10,120
对不对
111
00:04:10,120 --> 00:04:13,870
那这个公司还有这么多人大几千万的投资对吧
112
00:04:13,870 --> 00:04:15,590
那你说公司不赚钱
113
00:04:15,590 --> 00:04:16,569
你要再抽钱
114
00:04:16,569 --> 00:04:17,870
那公司现金流不就断了嘛
115
00:04:17,870 --> 00:04:21,850
所以说最近这56年基本都是靠美股投资
116
00:04:21,850 --> 00:04:24,259
在美股买房买车
117
00:04:24,259 --> 00:04:26,980
然后呢继续在做做生意啊
118
00:04:26,980 --> 00:04:28,699
做美国品牌
119
00:04:28,699 --> 00:04:33,339
实际上你说这个过程在美国赚钱啊
120
00:04:33,339 --> 00:04:35,620
在中国维持这个企业
121
00:04:35,620 --> 00:04:37,430
它其实没有什么坏处
122
00:04:37,430 --> 00:04:39,149
特别是很多个人啊
123
00:04:39,149 --> 00:04:42,470
你看这些粉丝兄弟们这几年也是一样的是吧
124
00:04:42,470 --> 00:04:45,189
就是在美股赚点钱啊
125
00:04:45,189 --> 00:04:46,839
在国内改善生活
126
00:04:47,120 --> 00:04:49,459
你看我们粉丝啊会员多少人
127
00:04:49,459 --> 00:04:51,560
这这几年翻了好多倍啊
128
00:04:51,560 --> 00:04:56,060
然后最终这个钱呢你肯定回国还是要花的嘛
129
00:04:56,060 --> 00:04:57,579
买房买房买车买车
130
00:04:57,579 --> 00:04:59,639
再加上美股呢赚了钱之后呢
131
00:04:59,639 --> 00:05:01,459
这几年国内的房价也便宜
132
00:05:01,459 --> 00:05:02,540
物价也便宜
133
00:05:02,540 --> 00:05:04,120
很多人生活更好了
134
00:05:04,120 --> 00:05:06,769
这是一个双赢的决策
135
00:05:06,769 --> 00:05:09,110
但是为什么不让干啊
136
00:05:09,110 --> 00:05:11,889
这就是非常值得商榷的问题了
137
00:05:11,889 --> 00:05:16,098
比如说我自己啊这些年的成长
138
00:05:16,098 --> 00:05:17,738
我就准备一个经验啊
139
00:05:17,738 --> 00:05:19,639
就如果一件事是个好事啊
140
00:05:19,639 --> 00:05:20,860
是个双赢的事
141
00:05:20,860 --> 00:05:24,019
但上瘾这事如果还是有人限制的话
142
00:05:24,019 --> 00:05:28,658
那说明还是啊还是想的太短浅了
143
00:05:28,658 --> 00:05:32,550
所以我觉得管理啊就像我自己做企业一样
144
00:05:32,550 --> 00:05:35,189
管理这个事呢也不是不能管啊
145
00:05:35,189 --> 00:05:36,470
但是有一个前提是什么
146
00:05:36,470 --> 00:05:39,389
就是你得管到地方是吧
147
00:05:39,389 --> 00:05:41,490
你得让大家都好啊
148
00:05:41,490 --> 00:05:42,329
国家好啊
149
00:05:42,329 --> 00:05:43,730
个人好啊
150
00:05:43,730 --> 00:05:45,029
大家好才是真的好嘛
151
00:05:45,029 --> 00:05:48,410
那如果说你管了之后呢
152
00:05:48,410 --> 00:05:49,689
大家不好了
153
00:05:49,689 --> 00:05:52,310
那你说你管管的目的是什么呢
154
00:05:52,310 --> 00:05:52,709
对吧
155
00:05:52,709 --> 00:05:54,610
那你要说总有一个人好
156
00:05:54,610 --> 00:05:57,490
那就像拼多多做价格战一样
157
00:05:57,490 --> 00:05:58,930
拼多多短期好了
158
00:05:58,930 --> 00:06:01,778
那你现在来看他不也坏了吗
159
00:06:01,778 --> 00:06:02,338
为什么呢
160
00:06:02,338 --> 00:06:06,499
因为这些商家基本上看都差不多了
161
00:06:06,499 --> 00:06:07,658
对不对
162
00:06:07,658 --> 00:06:09,658
商家基本上没钱了啊
163
00:06:09,658 --> 00:06:10,720
头不动流了
164
00:06:13,120 --> 00:06:14,500
那你接下来怎么办呀
165
00:06:14,500 --> 00:06:15,860
你说一帮穷人
166
00:06:15,860 --> 00:06:16,980
你再怎么炸呀
167
00:06:16,980 --> 00:06:19,720
一帮人啊饿得皮包骨头
168
00:06:19,720 --> 00:06:22,100
那你说也没什么油水
169
00:06:22,100 --> 00:06:24,959
你看你哪来的长期发展
170
00:06:24,959 --> 00:06:25,399
对不对
171
00:06:25,399 --> 00:06:26,279
杀鸡取卵
172
00:06:26,279 --> 00:06:28,079
竭泽而渔有啥意义呢
173
00:06:28,079 --> 00:06:28,788
对不对
174
00:06:28,788 --> 00:06:32,548
所以很多时候呢我自己呢啊就是创业者嘛
175
00:06:32,548 --> 00:06:36,428
我也很清楚我公司的员工啊
176
00:06:36,500 --> 00:06:39,120
哎呀说白了他们也很无辜啊
177
00:06:39,120 --> 00:06:42,879
就像我带他们在10年到17年啊
178
00:06:42,879 --> 00:06:44,680
大家很多人跟着我赚了钱
179
00:06:44,680 --> 00:06:47,399
但是到了18年之后呢
180
00:06:47,399 --> 00:06:49,160
公司不赚钱啊
181
00:06:49,160 --> 00:06:50,899
他们呢也赚不了什么钱了
182
00:06:50,899 --> 00:06:52,759
只能说能按时发工资啊
183
00:06:52,759 --> 00:06:54,319
不降薪啊
184
00:06:54,319 --> 00:06:55,720
然后还有点福利是吧
185
00:06:55,720 --> 00:06:57,879
还有一个相对不错的东西
186
00:06:57,879 --> 00:06:59,699
那是背后的老板的支撑呀
187
00:06:59,699 --> 00:07:03,439
他并不是说这个公司还有长期的啊
188
00:07:03,439 --> 00:07:05,120
能够大家看到希望的没有呀
189
00:07:05,120 --> 00:07:06,279
那还是老板在支撑
190
00:07:06,279 --> 00:07:06,839
对不对
191
00:07:06,839 --> 00:07:08,639
拿着老板的钱啊
192
00:07:08,639 --> 00:07:09,870
慢慢的去消耗
193
00:07:09,870 --> 00:07:12,870
这就是伟大家讲的让人很窒息的地方哈
194
00:07:12,870 --> 00:07:16,848
就是你知道你要走下坡路对吧
195
00:07:16,848 --> 00:07:18,829
哪怕说当下还在维持
196
00:07:18,829 --> 00:07:19,709
还要能赚钱
197
00:07:19,709 --> 00:07:21,649
但那种绝望和那种无奈
198
00:07:21,649 --> 00:07:24,449
他实际上是让一个人最痛苦的地方
199
00:07:24,449 --> 00:07:26,689
实际上打败一个人的真的不是贫穷
200
00:07:26,689 --> 00:07:28,608
也不是痛苦
201
00:07:28,608 --> 00:07:30,548
而是让你看不到希望对吧
202
00:07:30,548 --> 00:07:33,060
就像我经常讲一个爬山的故事啊
203
00:07:33,060 --> 00:07:37,259
我从2022年我不去公司
204
00:07:37,259 --> 00:07:38,019
我天天爬山
205
00:07:39,019 --> 00:07:43,060
我爸哼济南的很多悬崖都踩出了一条路啊
206
00:07:43,060 --> 00:07:44,120
到了后面呢
207
00:07:44,120 --> 00:07:46,699
我开始组织会员见面会的时候
208
00:07:46,699 --> 00:07:48,680
我让他们走我的悬崖路
209
00:07:48,680 --> 00:07:50,480
他们说权哥这个路是你踩的吗
210
00:07:50,480 --> 00:07:51,819
我说必须是我踩的呀
211
00:07:53,199 --> 00:07:55,048
然后我把一个悬崖踩这条路
212
00:07:55,048 --> 00:07:57,369
但是呢我在爬山的过程里面
213
00:07:57,369 --> 00:07:58,889
我真的恐慌是什么
214
00:07:58,889 --> 00:08:00,668
并不是上下100米啊
215
00:08:00,668 --> 00:08:02,249
并不是垂直90度啊
216
00:08:02,249 --> 00:08:04,439
还是说我在第一次爬的时候
217
00:08:04,439 --> 00:08:06,699
我根本就不知道什么时候是个头
218
00:08:06,699 --> 00:08:11,290
就是我在一个只有十公十公分宽的一个路上
219
00:08:11,290 --> 00:08:12,668
一个悬崖上爬
220
00:08:12,668 --> 00:08:14,788
但是呢我不知道什么时候是终点
221
00:08:14,788 --> 00:08:16,149
我不知道什么时候爬出去
222
00:08:16,149 --> 00:08:17,908
我爬了四个多小时啊
223
00:08:17,908 --> 00:08:20,110
后来我带他们爬两个小时能爬完
224
00:08:20,110 --> 00:08:22,009
但是我第一次爬时候爬了四个多小时
225
00:08:22,009 --> 00:08:24,009
因为我走一步我在观察
226
00:08:24,009 --> 00:08:25,069
我怕走错路
227
00:08:25,069 --> 00:08:26,110
我要走一错路
228
00:08:26,110 --> 00:08:26,930
再爬四个小时
229
00:08:26,930 --> 00:08:28,370
我也怕走到绝路上
230
00:08:28,370 --> 00:08:30,470
所以这就是今天的创业者的心态
231
00:08:30,470 --> 00:08:35,289
唉说真的最近啊状态不是很好啊
232
00:08:35,289 --> 00:08:36,889
虽然他赚了很多钱啊
233
00:08:36,889 --> 00:08:39,049
之前分析的甲骨文是吧
234
00:08:39,049 --> 00:08:39,950
马上也翻倍了
235
00:08:39,950 --> 00:08:43,309
很多兄弟说钱哥你重仓的这么多翻倍的啊
236
00:08:43,309 --> 00:08:45,299
你你应该很开心吧
237
00:08:45,299 --> 00:08:50,529
哎赚钱对我来讲其实也没有多少成就感是吧
238
00:08:50,529 --> 00:08:52,179
那虽然说别人赚了钱
239
00:08:52,179 --> 00:08:53,720
可能我的车源好一点
240
00:08:53,720 --> 00:08:56,279
我最大的困惑就在于这个地方
241
00:08:56,279 --> 00:09:02,219
就是如果说你共赢的事情不能够持续
242
00:09:03,219 --> 00:09:05,000
持续的事情不能共赢
243
00:09:05,799 --> 00:09:10,169
那接下来哼能看得见的是越来越差
244
00:09:10,169 --> 00:09:12,009
你你该怎么办呢
245
00:09:12,009 --> 00:09:13,250
对不对
246
00:09:13,250 --> 00:09:16,690
那你对我来讲没有影响
247
00:09:16,690 --> 00:09:18,049
但你对你的粉丝
248
00:09:18,049 --> 00:09:21,019
你这会员对你在国内那些员工
249
00:09:21,019 --> 00:09:22,379
国内那些亲人怎么办呢
250
00:09:22,379 --> 00:09:23,039
对吧
251
00:09:23,039 --> 00:09:25,899
这个就是一个很现实的问题啊
252
00:09:25,899 --> 00:09:27,990
唉说真的
253
00:09:28,309 --> 00:09:30,009
这是来美国啊
254
00:09:30,009 --> 00:09:33,029
第一次如此的如此的失望啊
255
00:09:33,029 --> 00:09:37,080
这种失望的心情就是感觉啊
256
00:09:37,080 --> 00:09:39,039
有点鱼刺卡在喉咙上
257
00:09:39,039 --> 00:09:40,360
拉屎拉不出来
258
00:09:40,360 --> 00:09:42,289
就这种感受啊
259
00:09:42,289 --> 00:09:43,750
非常的不舒服
260
00:09:43,750 --> 00:09:46,370
这种不舒服比我在34月份
261
00:09:46,370 --> 00:09:47,870
因为我分享甲骨文
262
00:09:47,870 --> 00:09:49,809
分享高空被他们举报
263
00:09:49,809 --> 00:09:50,509
很难受啊
264
00:09:50,509 --> 00:09:51,789
就那个时候被举报
265
00:09:51,789 --> 00:09:53,610
我知道肯定能涨回来啊
266
00:09:53,610 --> 00:09:55,399
大家最终还是会赚钱的
267
00:09:55,399 --> 00:09:58,159
他这种难受呢是你看不到希望
268
00:09:58,159 --> 00:09:59,240
看不到尽头
269
00:09:59,240 --> 00:10:05,190
看不到哪一天这些吃苦的人能够能变好对吧
270
00:10:05,190 --> 00:10:06,950
就像我父母一样
271
00:10:06,950 --> 00:10:07,470
对不对
272
00:10:07,470 --> 00:10:09,230
那吃了一辈子的苦
273
00:10:09,230 --> 00:10:11,149
最后儿子没有钱了
274
00:10:11,149 --> 00:10:13,429
还是还是在吃苦
275
00:10:13,429 --> 00:10:15,769
就是不知道怎么享受人生
276
00:10:15,769 --> 00:10:19,590
所以这种人生呢哼说说吃点喝点啊
277
00:10:19,590 --> 00:10:21,029
像动物一样活着
278
00:10:21,029 --> 00:10:22,950
基本上没有太多的希望
279
00:10:22,950 --> 00:10:25,529
所以也只能这么讲吧
280
00:10:25,529 --> 00:10:29,269
也许有一天唉不给国内弟兄弟的联系
281
00:10:29,269 --> 00:10:31,429
可能就会好一点是吧
282
00:10:31,429 --> 00:10:32,710
眼不见为净嘛
283
00:10:32,710 --> 00:10:36,720
但是这也不是一个最终的解决方案
284
00:10:37,879 --> 00:10:39,000
所以兄弟们
285
00:10:39,000 --> 00:10:39,980
你们哼
286
00:10:39,990 --> 00:10:41,360
你们怎么看
287
00:10:41,360 --> 00:10:45,500
当你几年前预言的事情一件发生
288
00:10:45,860 --> 00:10:50,570
你在几年前大众疾呼讲资产配置
289
00:10:50,570 --> 00:10:54,970
讲各种各样的呵生意哈
290
00:10:54,970 --> 00:10:56,289
缩小规模
291
00:10:56,289 --> 00:10:57,720
降低风险
292
00:10:57,720 --> 00:11:00,360
当所有的事情变成现实的时候
293
00:11:00,360 --> 00:11:02,200
难道你真的会很快乐吗
294
00:11:02,200 --> 00:11:03,840
真的没有
295
00:11:03,929 --> 00:11:07,389
唉说大家想买句话
296
00:11:07,389 --> 00:11:09,309
人无远虑必有近忧啊
297
00:11:09,309 --> 00:11:11,500
唉希望大家多赚钱吧