【Financial Education】这只股票准备要“起飞”了！

1
00:00:00,040 --> 00:00:01,700
所以九十九年之前

2
00:00:01,700 --> 00:00:02,740
就在那个科技泡沫破裂前

3
00:00:02,740 --> 00:00:03,799
科技泡沫破裂前夕

4
00:00:03,799 --> 00:00:04,719
有一位医生

5
00:00:04,719 --> 00:00:06,440
他的患者称他为'Drunk'（醉酒者）

6
00:00:06,440 --> 00:00:08,609
他立刻回应道一切正常

7
00:00:08,609 --> 00:00:10,710
这让我想起今天的公开账户

8
00:00:10,710 --> 00:00:11,269
女士们先生们

9
00:00:11,269 --> 00:00:14,400
公开账户今日上涨七万多元

10
00:00:14,400 --> 00:00:15,279
祝贺大家

11
00:00:15,279 --> 00:00:16,079
所有在外面的朋友们

12
00:00:16,079 --> 00:00:18,640
今天都在这里有所斩获

13
00:00:18,640 --> 00:00:22,730
看看M D Amd Rowland

14
00:00:22,730 --> 00:00:23,230
今日到场

15
00:00:23,230 --> 00:00:27,109
公开账户今日上涨五万七千元

16
00:00:27,109 --> 00:00:27,589
祝贺大家

17
00:00:27,589 --> 00:00:28,269
所有AMD

18
00:00:28,269 --> 00:00:28,829
股东们

19
00:00:28,829 --> 00:00:30,070
我在视频中提到

20
00:00:30,070 --> 00:00:31,689
我觉得我录过视频

21
00:00:31,689 --> 00:00:32,088
呃

22
00:00:32,088 --> 00:00:32,709
你知道的

23
00:00:32,709 --> 00:00:33,628
周五对吧

24
00:00:33,628 --> 00:00:34,168
我说过

25
00:00:34,168 --> 00:00:34,848
小心点啊

26
00:00:34,848 --> 00:00:35,700
大家都在说

27
00:00:35,700 --> 00:00:36,859
AMD的死亡

28
00:00:36,859 --> 00:00:37,659
美光科技的死亡

29
00:00:37,659 --> 00:00:39,780
这些死亡被严重夸大了

30
00:00:39,780 --> 00:00:42,770
这些股票下周可能暴涨三十个百分点

31
00:00:42,770 --> 00:00:43,689
简直难以置信

32
00:00:43,689 --> 00:00:44,609
这些股票的暴跌方式

33
00:00:44,609 --> 00:00:45,530
所以我们在这里

34
00:00:45,530 --> 00:00:45,810
上涨

35
00:00:45,810 --> 00:00:49,250
Elf试图回升八个百分点

36
00:00:49,250 --> 00:00:49,770
我们称之为

37
00:00:49,770 --> 00:00:51,310
Elf试图回升八个百分点

38
00:00:51,310 --> 00:00:53,030
今日上涨六个百分点

39
00:00:53,030 --> 00:00:54,509
真实上涨且走势良好

40
00:00:54,509 --> 00:00:56,098
Revolve上涨3.5%

41
00:00:56,098 --> 00:00:59,279
蛋糕工厂上涨2.5%

42
00:00:59,279 --> 00:01:03,710
该股票正逼近七十美元，今日上涨2%

43
00:01:03,710 --> 00:01:06,250
看看美光科技今日暴涨

44
00:01:06,250 --> 00:01:08,310
现已回升至九百多

45
00:01:08,310 --> 00:01:09,340
此时此刻

46
00:01:09,340 --> 00:01:10,959
在两天暴跌之后

47
00:01:10,959 --> 00:01:11,920
真是艰难啊

48
00:01:11,920 --> 00:01:14,040
形势严峻，我正在寻找

49
00:01:14,040 --> 00:01:15,219
赚钱的方法

50
00:01:15,219 --> 00:01:18,948
看到这些女性周末赚了三十万

51
00:01:18,948 --> 00:01:20,968
一天二十万三千

52
00:01:20,968 --> 00:01:22,108
源于人工智能热潮

53
00:01:22,108 --> 00:01:23,269
我说嘿

54
00:01:23,269 --> 00:01:24,688
我们可能得做些调整

55
00:01:24,688 --> 00:01:25,429
我对格洛克说

56
00:01:25,429 --> 00:01:26,870
制作我的女性版本

57
00:01:26,870 --> 00:01:28,349
我觉得我们准备好摇滚了

58
00:01:28,349 --> 00:01:28,569
宝贝

59
00:01:28,569 --> 00:01:29,069
赚点钱吧

60
00:01:29,069 --> 00:01:32,170
要么这样，不然我得开始卖这些加了可乐的菠萝

61
00:01:32,170 --> 00:01:34,950
你们在社交媒体上看到这个正在疯传

62
00:01:34,950 --> 00:01:35,469
我说道

63
00:01:35,469 --> 00:01:36,010
我只是很开心

64
00:01:36,010 --> 00:01:37,849
大家都在学习创业

65
00:01:37,849 --> 00:01:38,269
嘿

66
00:01:38,269 --> 00:01:40,349
你知道在公司解雇我们之前

67
00:01:40,349 --> 00:01:41,090
你知道我们必须

68
00:01:41,090 --> 00:01:42,469
我们必须学习创业

69
00:01:42,469 --> 00:01:42,859
好的

70
00:01:42,859 --> 00:01:43,840
女士们先生们

71
00:01:43,840 --> 00:01:46,900
这段视频要讲三个严肃话题

72
00:01:46,900 --> 00:01:47,120
今天

73
00:01:47,120 --> 00:01:48,079
第一点

74
00:01:48,079 --> 00:01:52,750
我想告诉你达到十万美元投资组合需要多长时间

75
00:01:52,750 --> 00:01:54,209
百万美元投资组合

76
00:01:54,209 --> 00:01:55,290
千万美元投资组合

77
00:01:55,290 --> 00:01:56,329
它会给你一个框架

78
00:01:56,329 --> 00:01:58,819
关于很多人问我

79
00:01:58,819 --> 00:01:59,099
你知道的

80
00:01:59,099 --> 00:02:00,340
这类问题常常像

81
00:02:00,340 --> 00:02:02,780
达到这个或那个水平需要多久

82
00:02:02,780 --> 00:02:05,659
我将根据个人观点提供信息

83
00:02:05,659 --> 00:02:08,550
攀登每个阶段需要多少年

84
00:02:08,550 --> 00:02:09,310
第二点

85
00:02:09,310 --> 00:02:11,129
我要分享一些关键数据点

86
00:02:11,129 --> 00:02:11,729
如果你想了解

87
00:02:11,729 --> 00:02:12,810
这个市场是否见顶

88
00:02:12,810 --> 00:02:14,610
或者我们离顶部还很远

89
00:02:14,610 --> 00:02:16,439
这类问题我将展示给你

90
00:02:16,439 --> 00:02:20,340
除了pva指标等基本面之外

91
00:02:20,340 --> 00:02:21,979
最重要的外部观察数据

92
00:02:21,979 --> 00:02:24,889
这些能帮助你真正理解

93
00:02:24,889 --> 00:02:27,069
这个市场是否见顶

94
00:02:27,069 --> 00:02:30,449
答案会让很多人震惊

95
00:02:30,449 --> 00:02:30,949
好的

96
00:02:30,949 --> 00:02:33,789
第三点我们要讨论一些股票

97
00:02:33,789 --> 00:02:37,789
未来6到12个月将爆发惊人上涨

98
00:02:37,789 --> 00:02:41,030
我会在视频中分享这些股票

99
00:02:41,030 --> 00:02:42,340
唯一需要你们做的一件事

100
00:02:42,340 --> 00:02:45,259
请务必订阅频道并点赞

101
00:02:45,259 --> 00:02:46,840
我希望你能帮我做到这一点

102
00:02:46,840 --> 00:02:49,319
我把这些三十到四十分钟的视频拼接在一起

103
00:02:49,319 --> 00:02:50,900
我只求一个小小的点赞

104
00:02:50,900 --> 00:02:51,680
就是点赞按钮

105
00:02:51,680 --> 00:02:53,219
这难道对男人来说要求太高了吗

106
00:02:53,219 --> 00:02:54,240
这是我需要你们做的全部

107
00:02:54,240 --> 00:02:57,300
我感谢每一位特意为此付出的人

108
00:02:58,120 --> 00:03:00,080
还有一件事我想知道

109
00:03:00,080 --> 00:03:03,060
好的，我今天要浏览这个视频的评论

110
00:03:03,060 --> 00:03:03,699
好的

111
00:03:03,699 --> 00:03:06,680
你最大的持仓是什么

112
00:03:07,139 --> 00:03:11,900
你在整个投资组合中金额最多的持仓

113
00:03:11,900 --> 00:03:13,900
今天在评论区告诉我

114
00:03:13,900 --> 00:03:15,139
我要浏览这个评论区

115
00:03:15,139 --> 00:03:16,740
我只是很好奇

116
00:03:16,740 --> 00:03:19,729
你们最大的持仓是什么

117
00:03:19,729 --> 00:03:21,909
哦顺便说他们正在挖池子呢

118
00:03:21,909 --> 00:03:24,419
这里正在取得进展

119
00:03:24,419 --> 00:03:25,159
各位女士们先生们

120
00:03:25,159 --> 00:03:27,319
要积累到十万美元投资组合需要多久

121
00:03:27,319 --> 00:03:28,319
一百万美元投资组合

122
00:03:28,319 --> 00:03:29,719
一千万美元投资组合

123
00:03:29,719 --> 00:03:30,159
嗯

124
00:03:30,159 --> 00:03:32,460
让我展示给你们听

125
00:03:34,659 --> 00:03:36,120
在thousandxstocks.com网站

126
00:03:36,120 --> 00:03:38,800
我们有一个精美的复利计算器

127
00:03:38,800 --> 00:03:41,280
好的，这是一个你们提供的资源

128
00:03:41,280 --> 00:03:43,460
让大家可以输入一些数据

129
00:03:43,460 --> 00:03:44,520
大致计算一下

130
00:03:44,520 --> 00:03:46,319
你们未来几年的发展方向

131
00:03:46,319 --> 00:03:48,560
需要多久才能达到某个目标

132
00:03:48,560 --> 00:03:49,020
好的

133
00:03:49,020 --> 00:03:51,199
现在我们来玩个小游戏

134
00:03:51,199 --> 00:03:56,120
如果你考虑从零开始建立一个十万美元投资组合

135
00:03:56,120 --> 00:03:56,539
没错

136
00:03:56,539 --> 00:03:57,659
几个因素很重要

137
00:03:57,659 --> 00:03:59,419
你的初始投资金额是多少

138
00:03:59,419 --> 00:04:01,379
每月投入多少

139
00:04:01,379 --> 00:04:01,919
对的

140
00:04:01,919 --> 00:04:04,520
时间周期和预期收益率是多少

141
00:04:04,520 --> 00:04:06,669
对于所有这些例子

142
00:04:06,669 --> 00:04:09,330
我刚才说我们从两千元开始

143
00:04:09,330 --> 00:04:09,770
输入

144
00:04:09,770 --> 00:04:11,009
将两千元加入投资组合

145
00:04:11,009 --> 00:04:11,990
这根本不算大数目

146
00:04:11,990 --> 00:04:12,210
比如

147
00:04:12,210 --> 00:04:14,349
希望大家都有两千元闲钱

148
00:04:14,349 --> 00:04:16,199
如果你没有两千元闲钱

149
00:04:16,199 --> 00:04:17,660
赶紧去赚点钱吧

150
00:04:17,660 --> 00:04:18,019
好的

151
00:04:18,019 --> 00:04:18,399
快点

152
00:04:18,399 --> 00:04:19,060
这太壮观了

153
00:04:19,060 --> 00:04:20,040
我说哥们

154
00:04:20,040 --> 00:04:20,579
好吧

155
00:04:20,579 --> 00:04:21,839
没有月度投资

156
00:04:21,839 --> 00:04:23,809
我这里写的是每周一千美元对吧

157
00:04:23,809 --> 00:04:26,680
这相当于每周约250美元

158
00:04:26,680 --> 00:04:27,740
不算夸张的数字

159
00:04:27,740 --> 00:04:32,680
尤其是对大多数看我频道的人来说这非常低

160
00:04:32,680 --> 00:04:35,360
你们很多人每周都投一千美元

161
00:04:35,360 --> 00:04:36,839
更别说每月一千美元了

162
00:04:36,839 --> 00:04:38,339
这数字很低

163
00:04:38,339 --> 00:04:39,019
没错

164
00:04:39,019 --> 00:04:41,600
如果你有两万美元初始资金

165
00:04:41,600 --> 00:04:43,459
每周一千美元

166
00:04:43,459 --> 00:04:43,959
或者抱歉

167
00:04:43,959 --> 00:04:44,980
每月一千美元

168
00:04:44,980 --> 00:04:46,800
相当于年投入一万二

169
00:04:46,800 --> 00:04:47,720
不算夸张

170
00:04:47,720 --> 00:04:49,709
如果你连一万二年投入都做不到

171
00:04:49,709 --> 00:04:51,649
你的首要目标应该是

172
00:04:51,649 --> 00:04:55,639
如何至少每年向投资组合注入一万二

173
00:04:55,639 --> 00:04:58,050
这必须成为你的首要目标

174
00:04:58,050 --> 00:04:59,689
我说的是六年时间

175
00:04:59,689 --> 00:05:01,250
对的，我们发现的是

176
00:05:01,250 --> 00:05:03,319
我采用了15%的中间值

177
00:05:03,319 --> 00:05:05,839
然后左右各5%的浮动范围

178
00:05:05,839 --> 00:05:07,339
所以10%、20%

179
00:05:07,339 --> 00:05:09,670
你会发现六年之后

180
00:05:09,670 --> 00:05:13,189
即使只有10%的回报也不够好

181
00:05:13,189 --> 00:05:14,889
我们必须非常明确

182
00:05:14,889 --> 00:05:18,500
10%的回报率并不理想

183
00:05:18,500 --> 00:05:19,139
好的

184
00:05:19,139 --> 00:05:21,060
这就是你应该做的

185
00:05:21,060 --> 00:05:22,980
如果你只是持有指数基金

186
00:05:22,980 --> 00:05:23,720
你应该能获得

187
00:05:23,720 --> 00:05:24,160
说实话

188
00:05:24,160 --> 00:05:25,560
即使长期持有指数基金

189
00:05:25,560 --> 00:05:26,860
你应该获得超过10%

190
00:05:26,860 --> 00:05:28,240
所以这不是好数字

191
00:05:28,240 --> 00:05:29,500
这一点必须明确

192
00:05:29,500 --> 00:05:32,459
好的，即使这样

193
00:05:32,459 --> 00:05:33,220
六年过去后

194
00:05:33,220 --> 00:05:34,779
你的投资组合已进入六位数

195
00:05:34,779 --> 00:05:36,139
在投资组合中

196
00:05:36,139 --> 00:05:38,189
现在投入的金额非常少

197
00:05:38,189 --> 00:05:39,769
如果你每年获得15%的收益

198
00:05:39,769 --> 00:05:41,069
这是一个好数字

199
00:05:41,069 --> 00:05:43,279
我可以称之为每年15%的收益

200
00:05:43,279 --> 00:05:45,079
你的资产增长到11.6万美元

201
00:05:45,079 --> 00:05:46,699
如果你每年增长百分之二十

202
00:05:46,699 --> 00:05:48,608
现在这个数字很棒

203
00:05:48,608 --> 00:05:49,788
你的投资组合大概在十三万

204
00:05:49,788 --> 00:05:51,728
五万美元左右

205
00:05:51,728 --> 00:05:52,209
好的

206
00:05:52,209 --> 00:05:55,749
所以这是进入六位数俱乐部的第一步

207
00:05:55,749 --> 00:05:57,249
我奖杯就放在那里

208
00:05:57,249 --> 00:05:57,949
就在那里

209
00:05:57,949 --> 00:05:58,668
钻石奖杯

210
00:05:58,668 --> 00:06:00,588
我们会发送给私密群成员

211
00:06:00,588 --> 00:06:01,839
当他们达到六位数

212
00:06:01,839 --> 00:06:02,779
在投资组合中

213
00:06:02,779 --> 00:06:05,399
我妻子上周刚发了五十个

214
00:06:05,399 --> 00:06:07,420
其实是一百五十一人

215
00:06:07,420 --> 00:06:07,920
好的

216
00:06:07,920 --> 00:06:09,279
接下来

217
00:06:09,279 --> 00:06:13,160
我们谈谈如何扩展到百万投资组合

218
00:06:13,160 --> 00:06:14,519
我们需要多长时间

219
00:06:14,519 --> 00:06:17,149
我保留了最初的两千美元

220
00:06:17,149 --> 00:06:18,189
这是我们投入的全部

221
00:06:18,189 --> 00:06:21,168
不是因为我们继承了五十万美元

222
00:06:21,168 --> 00:06:23,389
两千美元没错

223
00:06:23,389 --> 00:06:24,990
然后在这个阶段我提高了额度

224
00:06:24,990 --> 00:06:27,310
因为这是长期投资

225
00:06:27,310 --> 00:06:30,540
这应该是你的巅峰收入期

226
00:06:30,540 --> 00:06:31,540
大概在这里

227
00:06:31,540 --> 00:06:32,319
大致正确

228
00:06:32,319 --> 00:06:34,259
所以我将月供提高到一千五百美元

229
00:06:34,259 --> 00:06:35,639
这里的月供金额

230
00:06:35,639 --> 00:06:37,560
相当于每周三百五十美元

231
00:06:37,560 --> 00:06:38,600
这完全可以做到

232
00:06:38,600 --> 00:06:40,500
尤其是对许多美国人来说

233
00:06:40,500 --> 00:06:43,209
这个数字并不夸张

234
00:06:43,209 --> 00:06:45,850
时间跨度十六年

235
00:06:45,850 --> 00:06:47,050
我们会发现

236
00:06:47,050 --> 00:06:51,178
如果你能在整个周期获得十五%的稳定回报

237
00:06:51,178 --> 00:06:52,819
最终将接近一百万

238
00:06:52,819 --> 00:06:56,639
十六年后达到一百万美元

239
00:06:56,639 --> 00:06:58,000
如果你只获得十%

240
00:06:58,000 --> 00:06:59,660
这时候回报率至关重要

241
00:06:59,660 --> 00:07:03,158
十%的话大概七十余万

242
00:07:03,158 --> 00:07:04,478
百分之二十回报

243
00:07:04,478 --> 00:07:06,778
接近两百万

244
00:07:06,778 --> 00:07:07,459
达到一点

245
00:07:07,459 --> 00:07:07,759
七

246
00:07:07,759 --> 00:07:09,418
这里五百万美元

247
00:07:09,418 --> 00:07:09,990
对

248
00:07:09,990 --> 00:07:13,000
思考方式应该是

249
00:07:14,199 --> 00:07:15,959
我们完全能实现这个目标

250
00:07:15,959 --> 00:07:17,538
但需要十多年时间

251
00:07:17,538 --> 00:07:18,199
可能

252
00:07:18,199 --> 00:07:20,418
除非你有

253
00:07:20,418 --> 00:07:21,470
我们称之为

254
00:07:21,470 --> 00:07:24,670
如果你真的能做出重大贡献

255
00:07:24,670 --> 00:07:28,189
比如你能每年投入约三万美元用于投资

256
00:07:28,189 --> 00:07:30,550
或者类似四十万美元每年

257
00:07:30,550 --> 00:07:32,449
五万美元每年现在你真的在谈

258
00:07:32,449 --> 00:07:33,310
但要做到这一点

259
00:07:33,310 --> 00:07:35,310
你需要六位数以上的收入

260
00:07:35,310 --> 00:07:37,269
所以如果你有六位数以上的收入

261
00:07:37,269 --> 00:07:40,069
可能在不到十年内就能实现

262
00:07:40,069 --> 00:07:41,470
但对于我的那些听众

263
00:07:41,470 --> 00:07:44,560
可能年薪六十到九十万美元

264
00:07:44,560 --> 00:07:47,459
可能需要十五到十八年

265
00:07:47,459 --> 00:07:48,939
或者类似时间才能实现

266
00:07:48,939 --> 00:07:50,579
这已经非常稳固

267
00:07:50,579 --> 00:07:53,230
长期来看会有不错的回报

268
00:07:53,230 --> 00:07:55,350
但说到大额投资

269
00:07:55,350 --> 00:07:59,050
比如一千万美元

270
00:07:59,050 --> 00:08:00,750
你想成为真正富有的人

271
00:08:00,750 --> 00:08:01,449
好的

272
00:08:01,449 --> 00:08:03,110
我们来玩个游戏

273
00:08:03,589 --> 00:08:05,430
所以你想成为真正富有的人

274
00:08:05,430 --> 00:08:07,709
目标是达到一千万以上

275
00:08:07,709 --> 00:08:08,589
听着

276
00:08:08,589 --> 00:08:10,459
这很有趣

277
00:08:10,459 --> 00:08:13,490
即使是针对一千万美元的目标

278
00:08:13,490 --> 00:08:17,670
我们仍然保持初始两千元的投资额

279
00:08:17,670 --> 00:08:21,149
每月仅需十五美元的投入

280
00:08:21,149 --> 00:08:23,250
如果你想达到一千万以上

281
00:08:23,250 --> 00:08:24,550
这些数字并不大

282
00:08:24,550 --> 00:08:24,970
好的

283
00:08:24,970 --> 00:08:26,649
这些都是小数目

284
00:08:26,649 --> 00:08:27,370
现在

285
00:08:27,370 --> 00:08:29,149
真正关键的是

286
00:08:29,149 --> 00:08:29,870
显著地

287
00:08:29,870 --> 00:08:32,659
现在是你的回报率

288
00:08:32,659 --> 00:08:34,950
在投资期间的比例

289
00:08:34,950 --> 00:08:37,090
因为我们正在讨论三到二十年

290
00:08:38,169 --> 00:08:41,610
所以如果用这些数据三到二十年

291
00:08:41,610 --> 00:08:43,759
我们仍在努力进入

292
00:08:43,759 --> 00:08:45,200
我甚至还没进入八位数俱乐部

293
00:08:45,200 --> 00:08:48,159
私密群组里有很多八位数以上的股票持有者

294
00:08:48,159 --> 00:08:49,919
但我还没获得实际奖项

295
00:08:49,919 --> 00:08:51,690
我有一个七位数的成就

296
00:08:51,690 --> 00:08:53,570
我们有七位数俱乐部的奖项

297
00:08:54,850 --> 00:08:55,570
天啊

298
00:08:55,570 --> 00:08:56,399
天啊

299
00:08:56,399 --> 00:08:57,700
天啊

300
00:08:57,700 --> 00:08:58,320
就在那里

301
00:08:59,440 --> 00:09:00,000
就在那里

302
00:09:00,000 --> 00:09:00,720
就在那里

303
00:09:00,720 --> 00:09:03,259
七位数俱乐部就在六位数俱乐部旁边

304
00:09:03,259 --> 00:09:05,649
看看这15%的回报率

305
00:09:05,649 --> 00:09:06,509
你达到了11点

306
00:09:06,509 --> 00:09:08,610
两百万美元

307
00:09:08,730 --> 00:09:11,870
20%回报率四百万美元

308
00:09:11,870 --> 00:09:13,009
所以如果你能获得高回报

309
00:09:13,009 --> 00:09:14,009
你做得太棒了对吧

310
00:09:14,009 --> 00:09:16,629
但如果你每年只有10%

311
00:09:16,629 --> 00:09:20,049
糟糕糟糕三十八万美元

312
00:09:20,049 --> 00:09:21,549
这其实很正常

313
00:09:21,549 --> 00:09:23,889
但这还没到一千万美元

314
00:09:23,889 --> 00:09:27,950
长期来看回报率差异显著

315
00:09:27,950 --> 00:09:28,629
没错

316
00:09:28,629 --> 00:09:30,490
你投入的时间长短

317
00:09:30,490 --> 00:09:33,120
如果我看公开持仓

318
00:09:33,120 --> 00:09:33,580
对

319
00:09:33,580 --> 00:09:35,740
公开持仓由富达计算

320
00:09:35,740 --> 00:09:37,700
投资有530

321
00:09:37,700 --> 00:09:39,679
公开持仓年化2%回报

322
00:09:39,679 --> 00:09:40,950
从我开始到现在

323
00:09:40,950 --> 00:09:41,549
标普

324
00:09:41,549 --> 00:09:43,789
那段时间标普500上涨约200%

325
00:09:43,789 --> 00:09:45,230
略超200%

326
00:09:45,230 --> 00:09:45,649
对

327
00:09:45,649 --> 00:09:46,929
至少根据AI

328
00:09:46,929 --> 00:09:48,450
这就是数据对吧

329
00:09:48,450 --> 00:09:50,289
为了更好理解

330
00:09:50,289 --> 00:09:51,309
当你看到公开持仓

331
00:09:51,309 --> 00:09:54,958
若非那惊人回报

332
00:09:54,958 --> 00:09:58,409
公开账户不会在这里或接近这个水平

333
00:09:58,409 --> 00:10:00,429
记住我经历过大量亏损

334
00:10:00,429 --> 00:10:02,490
不是所有卖出的股票

335
00:10:02,490 --> 00:10:04,840
或买入的股票都是完美

336
00:10:04,840 --> 00:10:07,019
这些年有过重大亏损

337
00:10:07,019 --> 00:10:08,480
包括当年的厨师股

338
00:10:08,480 --> 00:10:10,240
公开账户曾遭受巨大损失

339
00:10:10,240 --> 00:10:15,919
尽管有500%以上回报

340
00:10:15,919 --> 00:10:19,129
绝对摧毁性

341
00:10:19,370 --> 00:10:20,929
摧毁标普500

342
00:10:20,929 --> 00:10:23,590
这些数据由富达投资计算

343
00:10:23,590 --> 00:10:23,970
对

344
00:10:23,970 --> 00:10:25,970
这个回报率

345
00:10:25,970 --> 00:10:28,279
确实影响巨大

346
00:10:28,279 --> 00:10:29,299
当我看公开持仓

347
00:10:29,299 --> 00:10:33,318
我认为这个公开持仓有机会突破一千万美元

348
00:10:33,318 --> 00:10:35,139
今天市值四十一万美元

349
00:10:35,139 --> 00:10:37,139
如果我们快进几年

350
00:10:37,139 --> 00:10:39,659
你会看到千万美元以上的投资组合

351
00:10:39,659 --> 00:10:42,259
可能在2029到2032年之间

352
00:10:42,259 --> 00:10:43,139
这就是我的猜测

353
00:10:44,200 --> 00:10:45,089
我们坚持下去

354
00:10:45,089 --> 00:10:46,288
持续努力

355
00:10:46,288 --> 00:10:47,889
我觉得我们能达到这个目标

356
00:10:47,889 --> 00:10:49,948
届时将是一个重大里程碑

357
00:10:49,948 --> 00:10:51,448
无论那一天何时到来

358
00:10:51,448 --> 00:10:53,980
因为你将看到公众持仓的增长

359
00:10:53,980 --> 00:10:56,799
你知道我们可以称之为十五年以内

360
00:10:56,799 --> 00:10:58,000
你将见证公众持仓的变化

361
00:10:58,000 --> 00:11:03,019
从零到千万美元以上的投资组合

362
00:11:03,019 --> 00:11:05,659
所以总结一下这十万美元

363
00:11:05,659 --> 00:11:09,799
从开始建仓到五年到七年达成是现实的

364
00:11:09,799 --> 00:11:10,679
你付出努力

365
00:11:10,679 --> 00:11:11,259
勤奋工作

366
00:11:11,259 --> 00:11:11,759
聪明工作

367
00:11:11,759 --> 00:11:13,659
你应该能在五年到七年实现

368
00:11:13,659 --> 00:11:14,769
一百万美元

369
00:11:14,769 --> 00:11:18,789
现实情况下可能需要十五到二十年才能完成

370
00:11:18,789 --> 00:11:21,730
除非再次获得极高回报率

371
00:11:21,730 --> 00:11:24,980
或年收入六位数

372
00:11:24,980 --> 00:11:28,080
对了，如果我们谈论千万美元以上

373
00:11:28,080 --> 00:11:31,039
大概需要二十五到三十五年

374
00:11:31,039 --> 00:11:34,740
除非你有超高收入和超高回报

375
00:11:36,450 --> 00:11:38,929
这就是整体思路

376
00:11:38,929 --> 00:11:39,730
时间至关重要

377
00:11:39,730 --> 00:11:42,509
这也是为什么你要尽早开始投资并认真对待

378
00:11:42,509 --> 00:11:43,370
越早越好

379
00:11:43,370 --> 00:11:46,559
我经常遇到不重视投资的人

380
00:11:46,559 --> 00:11:47,240
他们会说

381
00:11:47,240 --> 00:11:48,000
比如

382
00:11:48,000 --> 00:11:48,360
哦

383
00:11:48,360 --> 00:11:49,578
我两到三岁

384
00:11:49,578 --> 00:11:51,058
为什么我要认真投资

385
00:11:51,058 --> 00:11:53,470
你不必这样生活

386
00:11:53,470 --> 00:11:54,809
选择你想选择的

387
00:11:54,809 --> 00:11:57,830
但如果你23岁就开始认真投资

388
00:11:57,830 --> 00:11:59,549
到33岁时

389
00:11:59,549 --> 00:12:01,210
你可能已经为终身做好准备

390
00:12:01,210 --> 00:12:01,909
或者已经

391
00:12:01,909 --> 00:12:05,549
至少处于可以提前退休的绝佳位置

392
00:12:05,549 --> 00:12:09,479
你知道四十岁左右

393
00:12:09,479 --> 00:12:10,519
一切都在你掌握中

394
00:12:10,519 --> 00:12:11,479
你知道你可以

395
00:12:11,479 --> 00:12:12,558
你可以选择继续工作

396
00:12:12,558 --> 00:12:13,438
七十岁高龄

397
00:12:13,438 --> 00:12:14,809
做不喜欢的工作

398
00:12:14,809 --> 00:12:16,929
如果这是你的选择

399
00:12:16,929 --> 00:12:22,849
或者早做准备让生活处于绝佳状态

400
00:12:22,849 --> 00:12:24,849
你知道随着时间推移你会非常非常成功

401
00:12:24,849 --> 00:12:26,139
对然后人们会说好吧

402
00:12:26,139 --> 00:12:26,820
你知道吗

403
00:12:26,820 --> 00:12:28,379
如果我死了被公交车撞了

404
00:12:28,379 --> 00:12:30,299
就像这种事情随时可能发生

405
00:12:30,299 --> 00:12:34,389
但你要明白机会都站在你这边

406
00:12:34,389 --> 00:12:36,710
大概能活到八十到一百岁

407
00:12:36,710 --> 00:12:38,149
如果你现在还年轻正在看

408
00:12:38,149 --> 00:12:39,690
如果你是青少年二十多岁

409
00:12:39,690 --> 00:12:40,870
甚至三十多岁

410
00:12:40,870 --> 00:12:43,870
你的几率是活到八十到一百岁

411
00:12:43,870 --> 00:12:48,720
对所以计划活到八十到一百岁

412
00:12:48,720 --> 00:12:50,539
这就是为什么要尽早行动

413
00:12:50,539 --> 00:12:52,539
所以当你三十多岁时

414
00:12:52,539 --> 00:12:54,250
就能按自己意愿生活

415
00:12:54,250 --> 00:12:56,289
并且财务状况良好

416
00:12:56,289 --> 00:12:58,789
如果你三十多岁终于开始这个游戏系列

417
00:12:58,789 --> 00:12:59,690
太棒了

418
00:12:59,690 --> 00:13:01,450
希望到四十多岁时

419
00:13:01,450 --> 00:13:05,049
你能处于能自主生活的状态

420
00:13:05,049 --> 00:13:05,289
对

421
00:13:05,289 --> 00:13:06,539
这就是魔法

422
00:13:06,539 --> 00:13:08,220
当你能做到时

423
00:13:08,220 --> 00:13:10,879
这并非按特定顺序

424
00:13:10,879 --> 00:13:12,639
但三件事都至关重要

425
00:13:12,639 --> 00:13:15,360
你的收益率比例至关重要

426
00:13:15,360 --> 00:13:16,730
比如我们说的

427
00:13:16,730 --> 00:13:21,320
多年下来可能累积数千万美元

428
00:13:21,320 --> 00:13:23,240
肯定有数百万

429
00:13:23,240 --> 00:13:25,480
你的存款金额至关重要

430
00:13:25,480 --> 00:13:28,710
这涉及到收入与支出的时间因素

431
00:13:28,710 --> 00:13:30,549
你想要时间站在自己这边

432
00:13:30,549 --> 00:13:32,190
在投资方面

433
00:13:32,190 --> 00:13:32,590
对

434
00:13:32,590 --> 00:13:35,269
如果你想大幅提高投资水平

435
00:13:35,269 --> 00:13:36,719
你现在所处的位置

436
00:13:36,719 --> 00:13:38,339
对并且要学习所有知识

437
00:13:38,339 --> 00:13:39,979
要访问我的全部课程体系

438
00:13:39,979 --> 00:13:41,099
下方固定评论

439
00:13:41,099 --> 00:13:42,318
点击那个表单

440
00:13:42,318 --> 00:13:45,099
大约两周后我们将关闭新成员入口

441
00:13:45,099 --> 00:13:46,589
请记住这一点

442
00:13:46,589 --> 00:13:49,349
我正在规划今年夏天的假期

443
00:13:49,349 --> 00:13:50,168
各种事情

444
00:13:50,168 --> 00:13:52,399
我们将长时间关闭

445
00:13:52,399 --> 00:13:53,700
我给团队放个大假

446
00:13:53,700 --> 00:13:56,580
如果你想在关闭前加入私密群组

447
00:13:56,580 --> 00:13:58,519
点击下方固定评论加入

448
00:13:58,519 --> 00:13:59,120
正如我说的

449
00:13:59,120 --> 00:14:00,679
大约两周后就要关闭了

450
00:14:00,679 --> 00:14:02,320
大致来说，我大概没有确切的日期

451
00:14:02,320 --> 00:14:02,919
搞定了

452
00:14:02,919 --> 00:14:04,200
你还能访问我的Discord

453
00:14:04,200 --> 00:14:05,940
享受独家每周视频

454
00:14:05,940 --> 00:14:07,320
所有优质内容

455
00:14:07,320 --> 00:14:10,179
我们将把你的专属会员卡寄到你家

456
00:14:10,179 --> 00:14:12,379
一旦你加入他们的私密群组

457
00:14:12,379 --> 00:14:13,940
你的千倍卡

458
00:14:13,940 --> 00:14:16,580
如果你选择终身加入

459
00:14:16,580 --> 00:14:18,299
我们将寄送黑卡给你

460
00:14:18,299 --> 00:14:19,879
哦宝贝

461
00:14:19,879 --> 00:14:21,259
我会在那里固定留言

462
00:14:21,259 --> 00:14:21,679
好的

463
00:14:21,679 --> 00:14:22,639
这里已经混乱了

464
00:14:22,639 --> 00:14:24,720
让我们看看一些数据点并讨论

465
00:14:24,720 --> 00:14:27,940
如果我们处于市场见顶的临界点

466
00:14:27,940 --> 00:14:29,679
或者我们离那还有一段距离

467
00:14:29,679 --> 00:14:30,220
好的

468
00:14:30,220 --> 00:14:32,779
在私密群组里每周五特雷弗

469
00:14:32,779 --> 00:14:34,419
我会发布这份报告给你们

470
00:14:34,419 --> 00:14:36,860
这份报告名为《私密群组投资者报告》

471
00:14:36,860 --> 00:14:43,289
它为你提供股票估值的深度背景和信息

472
00:14:43,289 --> 00:14:44,289
市场情绪

473
00:14:44,289 --> 00:14:45,330
这些内容对吧

474
00:14:45,330 --> 00:14:47,149
哪些股票正在大幅波动

475
00:14:47,149 --> 00:14:48,090
你知道的

476
00:14:48,090 --> 00:14:51,590
许多私密群成员都有体面的工作

477
00:14:51,590 --> 00:14:53,330
或经营自己的生意

478
00:14:53,330 --> 00:14:54,970
他们没时间参与市场

479
00:14:54,970 --> 00:14:55,789
全天候24/4/7

480
00:14:55,789 --> 00:14:56,929
就像我一样对吧

481
00:14:56,929 --> 00:14:57,669
我周一

482
00:14:57,669 --> 00:14:58,070
到周五

483
00:14:58,070 --> 00:15:00,330
从起床到入睡的时间

484
00:15:00,330 --> 00:15:00,649
你知道的

485
00:15:00,649 --> 00:15:02,649
都能在市场中观察一切动态

486
00:15:02,649 --> 00:15:03,809
并非人人都有这样的能力

487
00:15:03,809 --> 00:15:04,328
对吧

488
00:15:04,328 --> 00:15:07,328
通过这份投资者报告

489
00:15:07,328 --> 00:15:10,879
你能深入了解市场动态

490
00:15:10,879 --> 00:15:13,100
无需每日盯盘

491
00:15:13,100 --> 00:15:14,360
每周每一天

492
00:15:14,360 --> 00:15:14,860
对吧

493
00:15:14,860 --> 00:15:16,659
全天24小时

494
00:15:16,659 --> 00:15:19,500
我们还会发布AI投资者情绪分析

495
00:15:19,500 --> 00:15:21,340
他们已进行这项调查数十年

496
00:15:21,340 --> 00:15:22,500
此时此刻

497
00:15:22,500 --> 00:15:25,139
帮助你判断投资者对市场未来六个月的态度

498
00:15:25,139 --> 00:15:28,769
是看涨、看跌还是中性

499
00:15:28,769 --> 00:15:29,409
对吧

500
00:15:29,409 --> 00:15:34,480
现在我们正在发现的是类似

501
00:15:34,480 --> 00:15:35,659
如果你看历史平均水平

502
00:15:35,659 --> 00:15:36,480
通常大约三

503
00:15:36,480 --> 00:15:40,669
七点五%的投资者对市场持乐观态度

504
00:15:40,669 --> 00:15:41,450
未来六个月

505
00:15:41,450 --> 00:15:43,009
我们有120个基点

506
00:15:43,009 --> 00:15:46,289
未来六个月市场看多的个人更少

507
00:15:46,289 --> 00:15:46,850
对的

508
00:15:46,850 --> 00:15:48,730
这通常不是顶部形态

509
00:15:48,730 --> 00:15:51,730
当你感觉处于市场顶部时

510
00:15:51,730 --> 00:15:55,139
通常是投资者极度看涨的时候

511
00:15:55,139 --> 00:15:57,340
这通常是一个非常危险的信号

512
00:15:57,340 --> 00:16:01,299
如果你处于市场看多者较少的地方

513
00:16:01,299 --> 00:16:02,360
比平时更少人看多市场

514
00:16:02,360 --> 00:16:03,820
这通常不表示顶部

515
00:16:03,820 --> 00:16:06,279
此外我们上涨了600个基点

516
00:16:06,279 --> 00:16:07,509
看空数据

517
00:16:07,509 --> 00:16:09,509
通常约有三十

518
00:16:09,509 --> 00:16:11,710
一点%的投资者对市场持悲观态度

519
00:16:11,710 --> 00:16:12,309
未来六个月

520
00:16:12,309 --> 00:16:14,210
我们达到37%

521
00:16:14,210 --> 00:16:17,549
这是我们2023年

522
00:16:17,549 --> 00:16:18,289
2024年

523
00:16:18,289 --> 00:16:20,289
2025年和2026年

524
00:16:20,289 --> 00:16:22,980
每年都大量投资者看空市场

525
00:16:22,980 --> 00:16:24,159
年复一年

526
00:16:24,159 --> 00:16:25,179
我们再次发现

527
00:16:25,179 --> 00:16:28,059
这完全不是顶部信号

528
00:16:28,419 --> 00:16:30,000
通常当你处于顶部时

529
00:16:30,000 --> 00:16:31,840
或应非常警惕顶部

530
00:16:31,840 --> 00:16:34,318
当似乎无人看空时

531
00:16:34,318 --> 00:16:35,839
而所有人都看涨

532
00:16:35,839 --> 00:16:37,239
但我们并非如此

533
00:16:37,239 --> 00:16:40,759
仍有大量投资者看空市场

534
00:16:40,759 --> 00:16:42,399
市场难以形成顶部

535
00:16:42,399 --> 00:16:45,230
当人们普遍看空时

536
00:16:45,230 --> 00:16:46,470
此外上周

537
00:16:46,470 --> 00:16:50,210
投资者看多人数有所改善

538
00:16:50,210 --> 00:16:53,299
更少人看空市场

539
00:16:53,299 --> 00:16:56,000
这是两个积极信号

540
00:16:56,000 --> 00:16:57,980
这里数据正在改善

541
00:16:57,980 --> 00:16:58,259
对的

542
00:16:58,259 --> 00:16:59,080
这是好兆头

543
00:16:59,080 --> 00:17:02,068
此外我们极度看空

544
00:17:02,068 --> 00:17:04,989
投资者对市场未来六个月看空程度远超常态

545
00:17:04,989 --> 00:17:07,749
这实际上是反向积极信号

546
00:17:07,749 --> 00:17:09,189
这不显示任何

547
00:17:09,189 --> 00:17:11,759
我们处于市场顶部或类似情况

548
00:17:11,759 --> 00:17:14,140
然后他们做CNN恐惧与贪婪指数

549
00:17:14,140 --> 00:17:15,900
对的，如果你看这个

550
00:17:15,900 --> 00:17:18,059
这周的当前情况

551
00:17:18,059 --> 00:17:20,519
我们正对市场感到恐惧

552
00:17:20,519 --> 00:17:22,180
这不是很强的顶部信号

553
00:17:22,180 --> 00:17:24,200
通常如果你处于市场顶部

554
00:17:24,200 --> 00:17:25,759
你会极度贪婪

555
00:17:25,759 --> 00:17:26,828
类似这样的情况对吧

556
00:17:26,828 --> 00:17:28,229
我们现在处于恐惧中

557
00:17:28,229 --> 00:17:29,740
这不是很强的顶部

558
00:17:29,740 --> 00:17:31,859
看看这些类别中的部分

559
00:17:31,859 --> 00:17:34,039
股票价格走势显示恐惧

560
00:17:34,039 --> 00:17:37,329
股票价格动能处于恐惧和避险状态

561
00:17:37,329 --> 00:17:38,309
避险需求同样在恐惧中

562
00:17:38,309 --> 00:17:38,589
是的

563
00:17:38,589 --> 00:17:39,630
如果你看看周五

564
00:17:39,630 --> 00:17:41,769
我记得周五的市场情况

565
00:17:41,769 --> 00:17:42,869
避险股票

566
00:17:42,869 --> 00:17:45,250
因为我有千倍x的避险股票观察列表

567
00:17:45,250 --> 00:17:47,089
这些股票表现惊人

568
00:17:47,089 --> 00:17:51,130
而当天市场其他股票几乎全被打压

569
00:17:51,130 --> 00:17:52,849
这通常是恐惧的信号

570
00:17:52,849 --> 00:17:53,990
但不是顶部信号

571
00:17:53,990 --> 00:17:56,160
这说明人们已经很恐慌了

572
00:17:56,160 --> 00:17:58,579
如果我们看密歇根消费者信心指数

573
00:17:58,579 --> 00:18:00,640
通常在市场顶部时

574
00:18:00,640 --> 00:18:02,720
消费者信心通常会很好

575
00:18:02,720 --> 00:18:06,409
消费者信心指数是个灾难

576
00:18:06,409 --> 00:18:11,088
最新数据是44.8，低于苹果的读数

577
00:18:11,088 --> 00:18:13,868
而苹果的49.8已是垃圾数据

578
00:18:13,868 --> 00:18:16,750
这些数据更糟糕

579
00:18:16,750 --> 00:18:17,849
让我展示有多差

580
00:18:17,849 --> 00:18:20,759
看看这个

581
00:18:21,160 --> 00:18:25,160
这是过去十年的密歇根消费者信心数据

582
00:18:25,160 --> 00:18:27,079
我们从未见过如此低的水平

583
00:18:27,079 --> 00:18:29,420
数据低至历史最低

584
00:18:29,420 --> 00:18:32,359
他们进行了数十年的调查

585
00:18:32,359 --> 00:18:33,640
调查始于很久以前

586
00:18:33,640 --> 00:18:36,140
我记得我出生时就已存在

587
00:18:36,140 --> 00:18:36,819
我出生时

588
00:18:36,819 --> 00:18:37,180
天啊

589
00:18:37,180 --> 00:18:38,380
这项调查持续了很长时间

590
00:18:38,380 --> 00:18:40,200
我认为他们可能一直在做这项调查

591
00:18:40,200 --> 00:18:42,299
从我父母小时候开始

592
00:18:42,299 --> 00:18:44,220
这项调查持续了这么久

593
00:18:44,220 --> 00:18:46,700
我们见证了最差的数据

594
00:18:46,700 --> 00:18:50,200
这显示消费者当前受损严重

595
00:18:50,200 --> 00:18:51,000
没错

596
00:18:51,000 --> 00:18:52,900
这不是很强的顶部信号

597
00:18:52,900 --> 00:18:54,400
通常你会在顶部时

598
00:18:54,400 --> 00:18:56,579
当消费者信心

599
00:18:56,579 --> 00:18:57,579
你知道的，高涨

600
00:18:57,579 --> 00:18:58,539
大家都感觉很棒

601
00:18:58,539 --> 00:18:59,460
就是这样的情况对吧

602
00:18:59,460 --> 00:19:00,259
因为你会开始观察它

603
00:19:00,259 --> 00:19:01,819
从这里开始只会继续走低

604
00:19:01,819 --> 00:19:02,980
在这个时间点

605
00:19:02,980 --> 00:19:06,450
数据如此糟糕，感觉只能越来越好

606
00:19:06,450 --> 00:19:07,430
难道会变得更糟吗

607
00:19:07,430 --> 00:19:09,750
消费者信心指数会跌到三十几吗

608
00:19:09,750 --> 00:19:11,069
现在真的会这么糟糕吗

609
00:19:11,069 --> 00:19:12,440
在这个时间点没错

610
00:19:12,440 --> 00:19:14,279
再关注另一个信号

611
00:19:14,279 --> 00:19:16,160
如果你认为市场即将见顶

612
00:19:16,160 --> 00:19:16,579
没错

613
00:19:16,579 --> 00:19:17,680
注意看这些

614
00:19:17,680 --> 00:19:18,759
这里这些蓝色线条

615
00:19:18,759 --> 00:19:21,630
这是保证金债务随时间变化的情况

616
00:19:21,630 --> 00:19:23,769
这是标普500指数

617
00:19:23,769 --> 00:19:26,220
我们正在见证非常好的现象

618
00:19:26,220 --> 00:19:29,140
当前保证金债务并未大幅增长

619
00:19:29,140 --> 00:19:30,480
有所上升

620
00:19:30,480 --> 00:19:31,700
但并不剧烈

621
00:19:31,700 --> 00:19:35,839
而标普500在过去一年大幅上涨

622
00:19:35,839 --> 00:19:38,650
这其实是个非常好的信号

623
00:19:38,650 --> 00:19:40,789
如果保证金债务失控

624
00:19:40,789 --> 00:19:41,589
为何标普500没有明显上涨

625
00:19:41,589 --> 00:19:43,769
这会令人担忧

626
00:19:43,769 --> 00:19:45,529
但当标普100大幅上涨且保证金债务增加

627
00:19:45,529 --> 00:19:51,200
但增幅并不剧烈

628
00:19:51,200 --> 00:19:52,220
这也是积极信号

629
00:19:52,220 --> 00:19:53,940
同样值得肯定

630
00:19:53,940 --> 00:19:55,859
我们接连收到信号

631
00:19:55,859 --> 00:19:57,079
接连出现良好信号

632
00:19:57,079 --> 00:20:00,150
很难做出负面评论

633
00:20:00,150 --> 00:20:02,269
市场可能在非黑天鹅事件中见顶

634
00:20:02,269 --> 00:20:04,869
黑天鹅事件可能突然导致市场下跌

635
00:20:04,869 --> 00:20:07,880
无论指标如何显示

636
00:20:11,160 --> 00:20:13,059
再考虑市场情绪

637
00:20:13,059 --> 00:20:14,579
整体市场情绪

638
00:20:14,579 --> 00:20:15,059
没错

639
00:20:15,059 --> 00:20:17,859
市场对AI行情充满怀疑

640
00:20:17,859 --> 00:20:21,019
芯片股行情也备受质疑

641
00:20:21,019 --> 00:20:22,700
人们正在审视这些公司

642
00:20:22,700 --> 00:20:24,299
AMD和美光科技

643
00:20:24,299 --> 00:20:24,940
英伟达

644
00:20:24,940 --> 00:20:26,559
这些受益企业

645
00:20:26,559 --> 00:20:29,039
外界存在大量质疑

646
00:20:29,039 --> 00:20:33,420
他们说不知道能否持续

647
00:20:33,420 --> 00:20:35,299
这些公司能否继续投入

648
00:20:35,299 --> 00:20:37,529
这些公司能否交出亮眼数据

649
00:20:37,529 --> 00:20:40,569
关于SpaceX的IPO存在很多怀疑态度

650
00:20:40,569 --> 00:20:43,089
我对SpaceX的IPO似乎没什么兴奋感

651
00:20:43,089 --> 00:20:44,670
除了第一天可能

652
00:20:44,670 --> 00:20:47,029
但我不听到有人真正大力宣传这个

653
00:20:47,029 --> 00:20:47,589
天啊

654
00:20:47,589 --> 00:20:48,230
我得赶紧入手

655
00:20:48,230 --> 00:20:50,349
我要投资这个十年

656
00:20:50,349 --> 00:20:53,400
我听不到这种宣传热潮

657
00:20:53,400 --> 00:20:55,680
但确实有些热度

658
00:20:55,680 --> 00:20:57,920
但人们都在关注估值

659
00:20:57,920 --> 00:21:01,980
我不知道OpenAI已经几乎失去所有增长

660
00:21:01,980 --> 00:21:05,059
此时此刻OpenAI毫无兴奋感

661
00:21:05,059 --> 00:21:08,359
这些公司可能将在未来几个月上市

662
00:21:08,359 --> 00:21:12,019
因此外界充满怀疑

663
00:21:12,019 --> 00:21:13,539
有很多怀疑

664
00:21:13,539 --> 00:21:16,440
这也是需要关注的点

665
00:21:16,440 --> 00:21:17,779
如果你要进入市场

666
00:21:17,779 --> 00:21:20,200
当所有人都觉得一切都在月球上

667
00:21:20,200 --> 00:21:22,140
没有丝毫怀疑

668
00:21:22,140 --> 00:21:23,259
这有点可怕

669
00:21:23,259 --> 00:21:24,759
这会是个危险时刻

670
00:21:24,759 --> 00:21:25,180
呃

671
00:21:25,180 --> 00:21:25,630
哦

672
00:21:25,630 --> 00:21:27,069
我们可能面临麻烦

673
00:21:27,069 --> 00:21:28,710
看看英伟达股价

674
00:21:28,710 --> 00:21:30,410
英伟达股价是完美例子

675
00:21:30,410 --> 00:21:32,690
我们查看英伟达股价

676
00:21:32,690 --> 00:21:34,589
英伟达今日走势

677
00:21:34,589 --> 00:21:37,809
我记得是208

678
00:21:37,809 --> 00:21:41,019
不是在11月吗

679
00:21:41,019 --> 00:21:43,140
英伟达当时两百多

680
00:21:43,140 --> 00:21:45,980
不是万圣节前后吗

681
00:21:46,339 --> 00:21:51,240
去年万圣节前后英伟达没在两百多交易

682
00:21:51,240 --> 00:21:51,920
猜怎么着

683
00:21:51,920 --> 00:21:54,299
现在刚过两百

684
00:21:54,299 --> 00:21:55,699
这就是

685
00:21:55,699 --> 00:21:57,919
这就是AI概念股

686
00:21:57,919 --> 00:22:01,960
英伟达与AI最相关

687
00:22:01,960 --> 00:22:07,160
但英伟达股价几乎持平去年

688
00:22:07,160 --> 00:22:08,579
万圣节前后

689
00:22:08,579 --> 00:22:09,720
这很有趣

690
00:22:09,720 --> 00:22:11,400
这说明

691
00:22:11,400 --> 00:22:14,069
外界充满怀疑

692
00:22:14,069 --> 00:22:16,769
人们看英伟达这样的公司

693
00:22:16,769 --> 00:22:18,569
英伟达的前向

694
00:22:18,569 --> 00:22:20,450
P和E比率

695
00:22:20,450 --> 00:22:22,829
这些指标甚至不高

696
00:22:22,829 --> 00:22:24,470
像视频交易

697
00:22:24,470 --> 00:22:26,130
我正尝试调取数据

698
00:22:26,130 --> 00:22:28,529
在千禧年交易所英伟达交易

699
00:22:28,529 --> 00:22:29,789
天啊

700
00:22:29,789 --> 00:22:31,730
二十亿三千万四百万

701
00:22:31,730 --> 00:22:32,950
以这样的增长率

702
00:22:32,950 --> 00:22:35,789
其市值达到二十万亿

703
00:22:35,789 --> 00:22:38,549
十二个月市盈率在英伟达三十一倍

704
00:22:39,409 --> 00:22:41,509
这些数字低得惊人

705
00:22:41,509 --> 00:22:43,368
对于一家增长如此迅猛的公司

706
00:22:43,368 --> 00:22:47,440
这家公司处于人工智能领域的前沿

707
00:22:47,440 --> 00:22:49,720
这充分体现了人们的怀疑态度

708
00:22:49,720 --> 00:22:54,420
人们甚至不愿为英伟达支付超过二三十倍市盈率

709
00:22:54,420 --> 00:23:00,000
英伟达今年预期每股收益增长77%

710
00:23:00,000 --> 00:23:05,480
英伟达今年预期营收增长67%

711
00:23:05,599 --> 00:23:08,380
但投资者却只看成二三十倍市盈率

712
00:23:08,380 --> 00:23:10,480
这几乎低于市场估值水平

713
00:23:10,480 --> 00:23:11,388
不是

714
00:23:11,388 --> 00:23:12,528
我不想买

715
00:23:12,528 --> 00:23:14,088
这显示出大量怀疑情绪

716
00:23:14,088 --> 00:23:16,068
这显示出大量怀疑情绪

717
00:23:16,068 --> 00:23:16,548
天啊

718
00:23:16,548 --> 00:23:19,348
即使明年预期每股收益增长

719
00:23:19,348 --> 00:23:21,890
分析师预测为30%以上

720
00:23:21,890 --> 00:23:25,950
明年预期营收增长分析师预计30%以上

721
00:23:25,950 --> 00:23:28,950
明年营收增长30%以上

722
00:23:28,950 --> 00:23:29,549
每股收益

723
00:23:29,549 --> 00:23:34,269
但人们仍不愿为该股票支付超过二三十倍市盈率

724
00:23:34,269 --> 00:23:35,890
这相当谨慎

725
00:23:35,890 --> 00:23:37,730
这非常谨慎

726
00:23:37,730 --> 00:23:41,549
如果市场真的不那么谨慎

727
00:23:41,549 --> 00:23:43,690
人们愿意支付五六十倍

728
00:23:43,690 --> 00:23:46,029
甚至七十倍市盈率给英伟达

729
00:23:46,029 --> 00:23:49,930
凭借公司已证明的增长率

730
00:23:49,930 --> 00:23:55,529
以及未来几年预期的增长率

731
00:23:55,529 --> 00:23:56,930
这非常谨慎

732
00:23:56,930 --> 00:23:57,569
没错

733
00:23:57,569 --> 00:23:58,670
此外

734
00:23:58,670 --> 00:24:00,809
我们可以看看以下两点

735
00:24:00,809 --> 00:24:04,910
过去十年到十五年来的两大指标

736
00:24:04,910 --> 00:24:06,410
若市场处于风险偏好状态

737
00:24:06,410 --> 00:24:07,710
我们可能过热

738
00:24:07,710 --> 00:24:08,930
或转向风险规避

739
00:24:08,930 --> 00:24:09,750
看看比特币

740
00:24:09,750 --> 00:24:10,690
以太坊

741
00:24:10,690 --> 00:24:12,650
这些完全属于风险规避

742
00:24:12,650 --> 00:24:13,789
它们暴跌了

743
00:24:13,789 --> 00:24:15,009
它们正在暴跌

744
00:24:15,009 --> 00:24:17,829
比特币从高点下跌约50%

745
00:24:17,829 --> 00:24:21,009
以太坊从高点下跌60%以上

746
00:24:21,009 --> 00:24:24,519
这不像一个健康的市场

747
00:24:24,519 --> 00:24:25,439
天啊

748
00:24:25,439 --> 00:24:26,759
嗯

749
00:24:26,759 --> 00:24:28,559
物价高得离谱

750
00:24:28,559 --> 00:24:29,579
比如你知道的

751
00:24:29,579 --> 00:24:31,500
市场早就该崩盘了

752
00:24:31,500 --> 00:24:34,160
如果市场真的有机会

753
00:24:34,160 --> 00:24:36,849
比特币应该涨到十五万美元

754
00:24:36,849 --> 00:24:37,950
现在两万美元了

755
00:24:37,950 --> 00:24:40,869
现在以太坊四分之一的价格是十万美元

756
00:24:40,869 --> 00:24:42,549
汤姆·李会数钱数到

757
00:24:42,549 --> 00:24:44,000
简直疯狂对吧

758
00:24:44,000 --> 00:24:45,279
但我们没有这个

759
00:24:45,279 --> 00:24:46,480
所以我正在展示给你看

760
00:24:46,480 --> 00:24:51,279
指标接指标接指标接指标接指标都在显示

761
00:24:51,279 --> 00:24:52,700
感觉不到过热

762
00:24:52,700 --> 00:24:53,759
对吧

763
00:24:53,759 --> 00:24:57,098
当然黑天鹅事件随时可能发生

764
00:24:57,098 --> 00:25:01,690
明天、下周或下月可能会有疯狂事态

765
00:25:01,690 --> 00:25:02,490
导致市场下跌

766
00:25:02,490 --> 00:25:03,349
或者类似情况

767
00:25:03,349 --> 00:25:04,930
黑天鹅事件始终可能发生

768
00:25:04,930 --> 00:25:08,130
但除了黑天鹅事件或多起黑天鹅事件

769
00:25:08,130 --> 00:25:10,069
很难说市场过热

770
00:25:10,069 --> 00:25:11,690
这纯粹是乱枪打鸟

771
00:25:11,690 --> 00:25:13,009
如果你在玩类似的游戏

772
00:25:13,009 --> 00:25:13,210
哦

773
00:25:13,210 --> 00:25:14,250
市场即将下跌

774
00:25:14,250 --> 00:25:17,279
为什么因为处于历史新高

775
00:25:17,279 --> 00:25:19,680
你知道市场触及历史新高时会发生什么

776
00:25:19,680 --> 00:25:21,579
会再创更高新高

777
00:25:22,660 --> 00:25:26,099
市场触及历史新高时就是这样

778
00:25:26,099 --> 00:25:29,900
大家必须明白不要关注市场

779
00:25:29,900 --> 00:25:32,740
太多人重复犯这个错误

780
00:25:32,740 --> 00:25:36,259
他们只关注市场不会下跌

781
00:25:36,259 --> 00:25:37,019
会涨吗

782
00:25:37,019 --> 00:25:37,740
会去哪里

783
00:25:37,740 --> 00:25:38,599
会涨跌不定

784
00:25:38,599 --> 00:25:39,000
对吧

785
00:25:39,000 --> 00:25:40,220
你需要专注的是

786
00:25:40,220 --> 00:25:41,989
你能控制的两件事

787
00:25:41,989 --> 00:25:44,209
一是个股机会

788
00:25:44,209 --> 00:25:45,490
做研究

789
00:25:45,490 --> 00:25:47,329
发现市场中的优质机会

790
00:25:47,329 --> 00:25:49,049
寻找下一个AMD

791
00:25:49,049 --> 00:25:49,890
下一个META

792
00:25:49,890 --> 00:25:51,029
下一个谷歌

793
00:25:51,029 --> 00:25:51,720
下一个

794
00:25:51,720 --> 00:25:53,019
你知道的ELF

795
00:25:53,019 --> 00:25:54,799
下一个Celsius并谈论ELF

796
00:25:54,799 --> 00:25:55,920
当年我买入A股时

797
00:25:55,920 --> 00:25:56,460
你知道的

798
00:25:56,460 --> 00:25:57,140
呃

799
00:25:57,140 --> 00:25:57,960
你知道吗

800
00:25:57,960 --> 00:25:59,579
 Celsius 仍然是一个股票

801
00:25:59,579 --> 00:26:00,140
在过去

802
00:26:00,140 --> 00:26:02,599
你知道六七年时间大幅上涨对吧

803
00:26:02,599 --> 00:26:04,359
我知道最近它表现很差

804
00:26:04,359 --> 00:26:07,000
但如果你六年前买入 Celsius

805
00:26:07,000 --> 00:26:07,900
七年前买入的话

806
00:26:07,900 --> 00:26:09,900
就像八年前赚了改变人生的钱

807
00:26:09,900 --> 00:26:10,788
对吧嗯

808
00:26:11,788 --> 00:26:12,148
你知道吗

809
00:26:12,148 --> 00:26:12,989
寻找下一个帕兰提尔

810
00:26:12,989 --> 00:26:14,548
或类似的这类股票测试

811
00:26:14,548 --> 00:26:15,969
这才是你应该关注的

812
00:26:15,969 --> 00:26:16,500
没错

813
00:26:16,500 --> 00:26:18,559
第二件事是收入与支出

814
00:26:18,559 --> 00:26:20,888
这两点你都可以控制

815
00:26:20,888 --> 00:26:23,608
你可以控制研究公司的程度

816
00:26:23,608 --> 00:26:25,169
以及你能赚多少

817
00:26:25,169 --> 00:26:27,128
还有你能花多少钱

818
00:26:27,128 --> 00:26:29,289
如果要讨论反向支出

819
00:26:29,289 --> 00:26:31,269
更大的重点应放在收入上

820
00:26:31,269 --> 00:26:32,130
确实

821
00:26:32,130 --> 00:26:33,490
这更容易

822
00:26:33,490 --> 00:26:38,000
仅通过观察他人和回顾自己的生活

823
00:26:38,000 --> 00:26:40,819
尝试专注于每年多赚2万美元

824
00:26:40,819 --> 00:26:42,640
而不是每年多存2000美元

825
00:26:42,640 --> 00:26:47,960
对啊有些年入40万美元的人却一无所有

826
00:26:47,960 --> 00:26:50,170
因为他们的开支完全失控对吧

827
00:26:50,170 --> 00:26:51,569
但这只是很小的

828
00:26:51,569 --> 00:26:52,849
像少数群体

829
00:26:52,849 --> 00:26:54,829
大多数人存在收入问题

830
00:26:54,829 --> 00:26:55,829
所以你知道

831
00:26:55,829 --> 00:26:58,869
如果你一直专注于如何多赚五到十

832
00:26:58,869 --> 00:26:59,950
每年2万美元

833
00:26:59,950 --> 00:27:00,990
天啊

834
00:27:00,990 --> 00:27:04,380
这对长期投资组合意味着什么

835
00:27:04,380 --> 00:27:06,220
我喜欢读到人们评论

836
00:27:06,220 --> 00:27:06,700
你知道吗

837
00:27:06,700 --> 00:27:07,539
他们找到了第二份工作

838
00:27:07,539 --> 00:27:09,500
于是往投资组合里投入更多

839
00:27:09,500 --> 00:27:10,599
或开始副业

840
00:27:10,599 --> 00:27:11,929
或者其他什么对吧

841
00:27:11,929 --> 00:27:13,169
举个好例子

842
00:27:13,169 --> 00:27:15,269
这个周末遇到一位先生

843
00:27:15,269 --> 00:27:19,099
他专门翻新家具对吧所以如果你不了解

844
00:27:19,099 --> 00:27:20,779
我现在在卖老房子

845
00:27:20,779 --> 00:27:22,200
我们搬进了新家这里

846
00:27:22,200 --> 00:27:24,480
而这位先生

847
00:27:24,480 --> 00:27:25,200
我说

848
00:27:25,200 --> 00:27:26,519
你做这个全职多久了

849
00:27:26,519 --> 00:27:27,599
他说了六年

850
00:27:27,599 --> 00:27:28,859
他一直在养家

851
00:27:28,859 --> 00:27:29,359
他娶了妻子

852
00:27:29,359 --> 00:27:30,440
他有个孩子

853
00:27:30,440 --> 00:27:33,328
嗯要赚个体面收入

854
00:27:33,328 --> 00:27:37,279
就是翻新家具之类的，所以你知道他买了我的沙发

855
00:27:37,279 --> 00:27:40,299
那个沙发是我从RH买的

856
00:27:40,299 --> 00:27:40,779
呃

857
00:27:40,779 --> 00:27:41,920
大概五年前

858
00:27:41,920 --> 00:27:43,519
花了两万美元

859
00:27:43,519 --> 00:27:44,240
对的

860
00:27:44,240 --> 00:27:46,279
他花了1600美元买下

861
00:27:46,279 --> 00:27:47,339
我赢了两千元

862
00:27:47,339 --> 00:27:48,359
他压低了我的报价

863
00:27:48,359 --> 00:27:50,490
最终我们定在1600美元对吧

864
00:27:50,490 --> 00:27:53,869
我猜他大概能卖四千块

865
00:27:53,869 --> 00:27:55,579
对啊然后就这么成交了

866
00:27:55,579 --> 00:27:57,140
因为他facebook上有很好的口碑

867
00:27:57,140 --> 00:27:58,259
在Marketplace发布

868
00:27:58,259 --> 00:27:59,079
以及各种渠道

869
00:27:59,079 --> 00:28:01,589
他知道如何找到这类买家

870
00:28:01,589 --> 00:28:03,150
所以我大概能卖四千

871
00:28:03,150 --> 00:28:04,250
可能五千

872
00:28:04,250 --> 00:28:05,109
就这样

873
00:28:05,109 --> 00:28:06,210
两三千美元

874
00:28:06,210 --> 00:28:07,890
他可能一个月内就能赚到

875
00:28:07,890 --> 00:28:10,170
对因为不会立刻找到买家

876
00:28:10,170 --> 00:28:11,490
可能需要一个月

877
00:28:11,490 --> 00:28:13,849
但这就是我说的对吧

878
00:28:13,849 --> 00:28:15,509
那个人靠这个做全职收入

879
00:28:15,509 --> 00:28:18,750
这里有很多机会能多赚五万

880
00:28:18,750 --> 00:28:20,150
十万十五万一年

881
00:28:20,150 --> 00:28:23,809
对了这些机会需要你自己把握

882
00:28:23,809 --> 00:28:26,190
人们却花太多时间纠结

883
00:28:26,190 --> 00:28:27,970
我需要入市吗

884
00:28:27,970 --> 00:28:28,509
我说兄弟

885
00:28:28,509 --> 00:28:31,469
专注多赚钱 找下一支潜力股

886
00:28:31,469 --> 00:28:32,409
这就是我

887
00:28:32,409 --> 00:28:33,648
这就是我专注的事

888
00:28:33,648 --> 00:28:36,400
十八岁开始

889
00:28:36,400 --> 00:28:38,460
已经不错了

890
00:28:38,460 --> 00:28:39,680
难道没让我赚到吗

891
00:28:39,680 --> 00:28:43,000
对现在我还是这样

892
00:28:43,000 --> 00:28:44,859
谈到生意和金钱

893
00:28:44,859 --> 00:28:45,819
同样道理

894
00:28:45,819 --> 00:28:47,160
我怎么赚更多

895
00:28:47,160 --> 00:28:48,519
如何投资更多

896
00:28:48,519 --> 00:28:50,490
下一只潜力股在哪

897
00:28:50,490 --> 00:28:51,329
一直都是这样

898
00:28:51,329 --> 00:28:52,990
从最低工资开始

899
00:28:52,990 --> 00:28:54,049
爱因斯坦贝果

900
00:28:54,049 --> 00:28:55,210
后厨洗碗

901
00:28:55,210 --> 00:28:56,609
然后在沃尔格林

902
00:28:56,609 --> 00:28:57,470
然后快速出行

903
00:28:57,470 --> 00:28:58,809
然后在快速商店升职

904
00:28:58,809 --> 00:29:00,410
然后创立房地产营销公司

905
00:29:00,410 --> 00:29:01,490
然后入驻YouTube

906
00:29:01,490 --> 00:29:02,170
对吧

907
00:29:02,170 --> 00:29:04,289
完全一样的事

908
00:29:05,369 --> 00:29:06,349
如何赚更多钱

909
00:29:06,349 --> 00:29:07,670
如何投资更多钱

910
00:29:07,670 --> 00:29:10,400
下一个优质股票在哪

911
00:29:10,400 --> 00:29:13,619
你玩这个游戏五到十年甚至二十年

912
00:29:13,619 --> 00:29:14,769
你会震惊的

913
00:29:14,769 --> 00:29:16,369
你手头的钱会比以前多

914
00:29:16,369 --> 00:29:17,609
你知道该怎么处理

915
00:29:17,609 --> 00:29:19,109
我甚至不知道该怎么处理这些钱

916
00:29:19,109 --> 00:29:21,099
我再买一辆法拉利

917
00:29:21,099 --> 00:29:21,579
呃

918
00:29:21,579 --> 00:29:23,740
再买更大的房子对吧

919
00:29:23,740 --> 00:29:25,000
这么多钱到底怎么花

920
00:29:25,000 --> 00:29:26,539
这就是长期能实现的

921
00:29:26,539 --> 00:29:29,630
但我知道自己玩了稀缺游戏

922
00:29:29,630 --> 00:29:31,269
这得看你自己了

923
00:29:31,269 --> 00:29:33,230
但另一个游戏回报更高

924
00:29:33,230 --> 00:29:33,809
对

925
00:29:33,809 --> 00:29:34,750
接下来这个

926
00:29:34,750 --> 00:29:38,589
聊聊即将爆发的股票

927
00:29:38,589 --> 00:29:39,869
未来六到十二个月

928
00:29:39,869 --> 00:29:40,930
个人观点

929
00:29:40,930 --> 00:29:41,680
好的

930
00:29:41,680 --> 00:29:42,859
第一个推荐

931
00:29:42,859 --> 00:29:43,279
哦

932
00:29:43,279 --> 00:29:44,660
这个有争议

933
00:29:44,660 --> 00:29:46,970
这太有争议了

934
00:29:47,450 --> 00:29:49,230
耐克耐克

935
00:29:49,230 --> 00:29:53,138
我认为这只股票即将大幅上涨

936
00:29:53,138 --> 00:29:56,789
没错，可能本周就开始上涨

937
00:29:56,789 --> 00:30:00,730
这只股票将快速涨至60以上

938
00:30:00,730 --> 00:30:02,349
看看这只股票

939
00:30:02,349 --> 00:30:04,970
显然处于某种模式

940
00:30:04,970 --> 00:30:05,450
它

941
00:30:05,450 --> 00:30:06,029
它

942
00:30:06,029 --> 00:30:07,730
我觉得现在已见底

943
00:30:07,730 --> 00:30:09,089
耐克能涨到30区间吗

944
00:30:09,089 --> 00:30:10,829
一切皆有可能

945
00:30:10,829 --> 00:30:11,230
对

946
00:30:11,230 --> 00:30:14,720
但这里交易价太低了

947
00:30:14,920 --> 00:30:17,000
再看看消费情绪

948
00:30:17,000 --> 00:30:17,319
就像

949
00:30:17,319 --> 00:30:18,059
你能变得更糟吗

950
00:30:18,059 --> 00:30:19,019
一切皆有可能

951
00:30:19,019 --> 00:30:19,519
但天啊

952
00:30:19,519 --> 00:30:20,039
我们正在

953
00:30:20,039 --> 00:30:22,690
我们可以说是史上最差的消费者信心

954
00:30:22,690 --> 00:30:25,670
我觉得在未来几年只会越来越好

955
00:30:25,670 --> 00:30:28,559
因此随着消费者信心改善

956
00:30:28,559 --> 00:30:30,740
我相信耐克股票会表现良好

957
00:30:30,740 --> 00:30:33,000
耐克已经扭转了业务

958
00:30:33,000 --> 00:30:33,759
关键在于

959
00:30:33,759 --> 00:30:35,819
华尔街什么时候想要

960
00:30:36,539 --> 00:30:37,819
但它们变成了企业

961
00:30:37,819 --> 00:30:39,380
我认为这里很快就会发生

962
00:30:39,380 --> 00:30:41,819
所以我预期耐克会大幅上涨

963
00:30:41,819 --> 00:30:43,099
我要做短期交易吗

964
00:30:43,099 --> 00:30:44,819
你知道或不知道不重要

965
00:30:44,819 --> 00:30:46,259
但我买了大量股份

966
00:30:46,259 --> 00:30:50,019
我押上筹码相信这只股票将迅速上涨

967
00:30:50,019 --> 00:30:51,480
这里下一个

968
00:30:51,480 --> 00:30:53,910
Elf正在努力重返货架

969
00:30:53,910 --> 00:30:55,319
Elf美妆对吧

970
00:30:55,319 --> 00:30:57,359
Elf美妆今日股价五十二美元

971
00:30:57,359 --> 00:30:58,559
这只股票已售罄

972
00:30:58,559 --> 00:30:59,380
这根本不滑稽

973
00:30:59,380 --> 00:31:00,460
它显示了支撑位

974
00:31:00,460 --> 00:31:01,900
大约五十美元价位

975
00:31:01,900 --> 00:31:02,500
多次测试

976
00:31:02,500 --> 00:31:04,480
在关税风波期间

977
00:31:04,480 --> 00:31:07,279
跌至四十九并反弹

978
00:31:07,279 --> 00:31:10,680
最新抛售同样如此跌至四十九

979
00:31:10,680 --> 00:31:12,140
此后保持平衡

980
00:31:12,140 --> 00:31:12,920
我认为它

981
00:31:12,920 --> 00:31:13,509
你知道的

982
00:31:13,509 --> 00:31:15,089
未来走势强劲

983
00:31:15,089 --> 00:31:18,220
Elf长期股价将超两百美元

984
00:31:18,220 --> 00:31:18,900
依我之见

985
00:31:18,900 --> 00:31:20,420
基于我看到的营收增长

986
00:31:20,420 --> 00:31:23,519
利润率和每股收益增长

987
00:31:23,519 --> 00:31:25,690
股价将重返两百以上

988
00:31:25,690 --> 00:31:29,960
但如果讨论短期六到十二个月

989
00:31:29,960 --> 00:31:31,720
我认为股价可升至九十美元

990
00:31:31,720 --> 00:31:33,299
相当快

991
00:31:33,299 --> 00:31:35,279
比许多人预期更快

992
00:31:35,279 --> 00:31:37,460
因为你不了解Elf公司

993
00:31:37,460 --> 00:31:38,980
它只是小幅上涨

994
00:31:38,980 --> 00:31:40,500
走势非常剧烈

995
00:31:40,500 --> 00:31:42,259
尤其是超卖公司

996
00:31:42,259 --> 00:31:43,900
这不是一家

997
00:31:43,900 --> 00:31:45,099
他们会破产吗

998
00:31:45,099 --> 00:31:45,819
他们会

999
00:31:45,819 --> 00:31:46,339
呃

1000
00:31:46,339 --> 00:31:47,460
被AI打乱

1001
00:31:47,460 --> 00:31:48,670
那些担忧都没有了

1002
00:31:48,670 --> 00:31:50,089
股票只是大幅抛售

1003
00:31:50,089 --> 00:31:51,779
像在荒谬的水平

1004
00:31:51,779 --> 00:31:52,960
在愚蠢的水平

1005
00:31:52,960 --> 00:31:54,000
说句实话

1006
00:31:54,000 --> 00:31:55,539
他们还拥有道路资产

1007
00:31:55,539 --> 00:31:56,140
这不仅仅是

1008
00:31:56,140 --> 00:31:56,599
你知道的

1009
00:31:56,599 --> 00:31:58,269
还有诺托里姆公司

1010
00:31:58,269 --> 00:31:59,549
天啊

1011
00:31:59,549 --> 00:32:02,289
在我看来，埃尔夫的动向将会非常戏剧化

1012
00:32:02,289 --> 00:32:04,579
这会是个有趣的走势

1013
00:32:04,579 --> 00:32:07,859
因为人们通常不会预期化妆品公司会大涨

1014
00:32:07,859 --> 00:32:08,420
这种飙升行情

1015
00:32:08,420 --> 00:32:09,670
埃尔夫股价将会上涨

1016
00:32:09,670 --> 00:32:12,930
但我要提醒的是，我曾快速观察过这只股票

1017
00:32:12,930 --> 00:32:14,309
当我刚开始买入时

1018
00:32:14,309 --> 00:32:15,369
股价是七美元

1019
00:32:15,369 --> 00:32:17,130
从七美元涨到两美元

1020
00:32:17,130 --> 00:32:17,690
像这样的走势

1021
00:32:17,690 --> 00:32:19,069
人们都惊呆了

1022
00:32:19,069 --> 00:32:20,170
这涨幅太大了

1023
00:32:20,170 --> 00:32:23,789
然后从二十几美元涨到两百

1024
00:32:23,789 --> 00:32:25,710
嗯

1025
00:32:25,710 --> 00:32:28,150
什么化妆品公司啊

1026
00:32:28,150 --> 00:32:30,980
一家美容公司对吧，嗯

1027
00:32:30,980 --> 00:32:32,859
随后从两百跌到四十九

1028
00:32:32,859 --> 00:32:37,349
没错，然后从四十九涨到一百二十多

1029
00:32:37,349 --> 00:32:41,410
最近又从一百二十跌回四十九

1030
00:32:41,410 --> 00:32:44,829
没错，我认为这只股票即将迎来重大行情

1031
00:32:44,829 --> 00:32:46,359
在未来六到十二个月

1032
00:32:46,359 --> 00:32:48,299
我正在审视每一份股份

1033
00:32:48,299 --> 00:32:51,279
我正尽可能积极买入股票，同时理解

1034
00:32:51,279 --> 00:32:52,640
即使开始上涨时

1035
00:32:52,640 --> 00:32:53,400
我仍会继续买入

1036
00:32:53,400 --> 00:32:55,089
我认为并非只有我这样

1037
00:32:55,089 --> 00:32:57,509
我认为有很多长期投资者想持有这家公司

1038
00:32:57,509 --> 00:32:59,150
因为它将成为两百美元以上的股票

1039
00:32:59,150 --> 00:33:00,809
长期来看我们相信

1040
00:33:00,809 --> 00:33:02,690
我们将继续增持股份

1041
00:33:02,690 --> 00:33:03,990
所以当股价涨到六十

1042
00:33:03,990 --> 00:33:06,069
你以为我们会停止买入吗

1043
00:33:06,069 --> 00:33:07,049
当涨到七十

1044
00:33:07,049 --> 00:33:11,539
你以为我们会停止买入吗，到九十、一百

1045
00:33:11,539 --> 00:33:14,660
所以持续买入不会停止

1046
00:33:14,660 --> 00:33:18,720
我认为至少到一百美元

1047
00:33:18,720 --> 00:33:20,200
然后人们需要理解

1048
00:33:20,200 --> 00:33:20,720
好吧

1049
00:33:20,720 --> 00:33:22,519
我们是否确定相信这一点

1050
00:33:22,519 --> 00:33:23,140
即将上涨到两百点

1051
00:33:23,140 --> 00:33:24,619
这是否是一只三百美元的股票

1052
00:33:24,619 --> 00:33:25,990
长期目标四百点左右

1053
00:33:25,990 --> 00:33:27,849
总会有那么一刻你会明白

1054
00:33:27,849 --> 00:33:29,750
人们需要弄清楚自己要怎么做

1055
00:33:29,750 --> 00:33:32,049
但人们还是会买入

1056
00:33:32,049 --> 00:33:33,809
这些长期投资者像我这样的

1057
00:33:33,809 --> 00:33:36,920
他们会继续推高股价直到一百点

1058
00:33:37,039 --> 00:33:40,400
因此股价必须翻倍才能让我们停止买入

1059
00:33:40,400 --> 00:33:41,539
仔细想想这一点

1060
00:33:41,539 --> 00:33:43,920
或者至少考虑停止买入

1061
00:33:44,480 --> 00:33:45,119
这太惊人了

1062
00:33:46,119 --> 00:33:47,359
接下来是下一个

1063
00:33:47,359 --> 00:33:48,680
凯尔西斯控股

1064
00:33:48,680 --> 00:33:49,759
凯尔西斯控股

1065
00:33:49,759 --> 00:33:51,720
目前这只股票在二十几美元区间

1066
00:33:51,720 --> 00:33:55,089
我认为未来九到十二个月内可能涨至四十几美元

1067
00:33:55,089 --> 00:33:55,890
接下来是第九个

1068
00:33:55,890 --> 00:33:55,970
我是

1069
00:33:55,970 --> 00:33:58,289
我要去买入凯尔西斯看涨期权吗

1070
00:33:58,289 --> 00:33:59,829
市场可能非理性

1071
00:33:59,829 --> 00:34:00,250
没错

1072
00:34:00,250 --> 00:34:03,048
但这只股票所有担忧都存在

1073
00:34:03,048 --> 00:34:03,729
以及

1074
00:34:03,729 --> 00:34:05,568
我正在查看尼尔森数据

1075
00:34:05,568 --> 00:34:06,709
你们应该明白

1076
00:34:06,709 --> 00:34:08,630
你可以看到尼尔森数据对吧

1077
00:34:08,630 --> 00:34:11,070
关于餐饮和饮料的数据

1078
00:34:11,070 --> 00:34:12,289
这些显示

1079
00:34:12,289 --> 00:34:14,150
你知道这些产品的销量如何

1080
00:34:14,150 --> 00:34:16,309
以及销量和价格数据

1081
00:34:16,309 --> 00:34:18,938
这是公开可查的数据

1082
00:34:18,938 --> 00:34:23,039
我确实关注一个会转发数据的X账号

1083
00:34:23,039 --> 00:34:25,000
如果你想订阅数据

1084
00:34:25,000 --> 00:34:25,679
你可以订阅

1085
00:34:25,679 --> 00:34:27,320
但我觉得订阅费用非常高

1086
00:34:27,320 --> 00:34:29,320
但这些信息总会泄露出来

1087
00:34:29,320 --> 00:34:32,150
凯尔西斯的数据表现优异

1088
00:34:32,150 --> 00:34:32,869
比如

1089
00:34:32,869 --> 00:34:33,889
我现在就明白了

1090
00:34:33,889 --> 00:34:34,809
所以这只股票

1091
00:34:34,809 --> 00:34:36,769
我之前和怪物公司玩过这个游戏

1092
00:34:36,769 --> 00:34:38,119
这是我第一次经历

1093
00:34:38,119 --> 00:34:42,860
在能源饮料公司处于高速增长阶段时遭遇质疑

1094
00:34:42,860 --> 00:34:45,119
该品类的长期增长潜力有多大

1095
00:34:45,119 --> 00:34:47,860
以及这家公司具体情况等等

1096
00:34:47,860 --> 00:34:48,989
老生常谈的话题

1097
00:34:48,989 --> 00:34:50,818
吃鸡称重正确

1098
00:34:50,818 --> 00:34:53,039
凯尔西斯即将迎来大幅上涨

1099
00:34:53,039 --> 00:34:54,358
目前股价大约在中期二十几

1100
00:34:54,358 --> 00:34:57,358
未来九个月内股价突破四十几我也不会感到意外

1101
00:34:57,358 --> 00:34:59,019
到十二个月后

1102
00:34:59,019 --> 00:34:59,940
嗯

1103
00:34:59,940 --> 00:35:01,340
这个可能会让一些人震惊

1104
00:35:02,460 --> 00:35:07,320
AMD 显然没有显示出这波行情结束的迹象

1105
00:35:07,320 --> 00:35:09,358
完全没有迹象

1106
00:35:09,358 --> 00:35:12,978
我们甚至还没看到这波行情的疯狂之处

1107
00:35:12,978 --> 00:35:16,369
我们甚至还没迎来一个又一个惊喜

1108
00:35:16,369 --> 00:35:18,510
这可能在即将到来的季度就出现

1109
00:35:18,510 --> 00:35:19,489
这些数据将会公布

1110
00:35:19,489 --> 00:35:20,590
该季度的财务数据

1111
00:35:20,590 --> 00:35:24,278
大概一个月半到两个月后就会公布

1112
00:35:24,278 --> 00:35:25,478
这可能会带来惊喜

1113
00:35:25,478 --> 00:35:26,599
总之

1114
00:35:27,840 --> 00:35:31,739
从数据来看，过去季度的表现将令人瞩目

1115
00:35:31,739 --> 00:35:33,710
但我要说

1116
00:35:33,710 --> 00:35:35,429
指引数据将成为关键

1117
00:35:35,429 --> 00:35:37,219
这会让所有人震惊

1118
00:35:37,219 --> 00:35:40,539
接下来的指引也会同样令人震惊

1119
00:35:40,539 --> 00:35:41,300
此外

1120
00:35:41,300 --> 00:35:44,400
我认为 AMD 将迎来连续两个季度

1121
00:35:44,400 --> 00:35:45,980
充满惊喜与突破

1122
00:35:45,980 --> 00:35:49,170
在下一季度的指引发布时

1123
00:35:49,170 --> 00:35:51,130
以及后续季度的指引

1124
00:35:51,130 --> 00:35:53,530
人们可能会措手不及

1125
00:35:53,530 --> 00:35:56,869
然后华尔街会问 AMD 发生了什么

1126
00:35:56,869 --> 00:35:58,469
这只股票已经大幅上涨

1127
00:35:58,469 --> 00:36:01,809
却没人真正理解原因

1128
00:36:01,809 --> 00:36:05,750
当 NVIDIA 开始那些惊人的行情时

1129
00:36:05,750 --> 00:36:07,050
简直疯狂

1130
00:36:07,050 --> 00:36:12,130
因为它们有充分的支撑和理由

1131
00:36:12,130 --> 00:36:13,079
没错

1132
00:36:13,079 --> 00:36:14,239
他们会说

1133
00:36:14,239 --> 00:36:15,059
你看到那个季度的数据了吗

1134
00:36:15,059 --> 00:36:18,940
AMD 的各项数据远超预期

1135
00:36:21,019 --> 00:36:22,739
但我们还没看到实际数据

1136
00:36:22,739 --> 00:36:24,960
接下来两个季度我们将见证真相

1137
00:36:24,960 --> 00:36:26,639
重点关注指引数据

1138
00:36:26,639 --> 00:36:28,989
同时请记住

1139
00:36:28,989 --> 00:36:32,458
Lisa Su 以保守策略著称

1140
00:36:32,458 --> 00:36:34,559
当她公布指引时

1141
00:36:34,559 --> 00:36:35,119
所有指引数据

1142
00:36:35,119 --> 00:36:36,099
我认为她会这么做

1143
00:36:36,099 --> 00:36:37,840
人们会惊呼到底怎么回事

1144
00:36:37,840 --> 00:36:39,179
AMD 啊

1145
00:36:39,179 --> 00:36:40,920
我都要翻白眼了

1146
00:36:40,920 --> 00:36:45,119
最后我认为即将爆发的股票

1147
00:36:45,119 --> 00:36:47,840
上涨行情是 ServiceNow

1148
00:36:47,840 --> 00:36:48,820
现在股票

1149
00:36:48,820 --> 00:36:52,239
这只股票显然显示出了底部右侧

1150
00:36:52,239 --> 00:36:55,519
从这里开始它处于上升周期中

1151
00:36:55,519 --> 00:36:58,679
这很有趣，因为我认为就在过去几周

1152
00:36:58,679 --> 00:37:02,300
人们开始理解现在服务的机会

1153
00:37:02,300 --> 00:37:05,909
因此随着越来越多的华尔街人士开始理解

1154
00:37:05,909 --> 00:37:08,570
我认为你会看到更多服务的动量

1155
00:37:08,570 --> 00:37:09,250
开始行动

1156
00:37:09,250 --> 00:37:10,010
女士们先生们

1157
00:37:10,010 --> 00:37:11,250
聚焦长期

1158
00:37:11,250 --> 00:37:14,110
未来五十年十五年二十年你将有大量增长

1159
00:37:14,110 --> 00:37:15,869
不要被

1160
00:37:15,869 --> 00:37:18,789
当天市场的任何主题所干扰

1161
00:37:18,789 --> 00:37:20,070
保持长期专注

1162
00:37:20,070 --> 00:37:21,230
你拥有绝佳机会

1163
00:37:21,230 --> 00:37:24,269
如果你想以最高水平向我学习

1164
00:37:24,269 --> 00:37:25,550
将加入我的私密群组

1165
00:37:25,550 --> 00:37:27,269
今日置顶评论处可见

1166
00:37:27,269 --> 00:37:27,710
再次提醒

1167
00:37:27,710 --> 00:37:29,800
我们即将关闭新成员注册

1168
00:37:29,800 --> 00:37:32,219
如果你想在关闭前加入

1169
00:37:32,219 --> 00:37:33,480
点击下方置顶评论

1170
00:37:33,480 --> 00:37:33,920
联邦表格

1171
00:37:33,920 --> 00:37:34,699
立即加入

1172
00:37:34,699 --> 00:37:36,719
获取所有课程大纲

1173
00:37:36,719 --> 00:37:38,880
加入我的私人Discord

1174
00:37:38,880 --> 00:37:39,300
聊天

1175
00:37:39,300 --> 00:37:40,809
独家每周视频

1176
00:37:40,809 --> 00:37:41,489
洞察动向

1177
00:37:41,489 --> 00:37:43,449
我正在创造千倍星盘

1178
00:37:43,449 --> 00:37:43,750
获取权限

1179
00:37:43,750 --> 00:37:44,730
所有优质内容

1180
00:37:44,730 --> 00:37:46,659
衷心祝福，祝你愉快

共 4 条，按点赞数排序。

采集完成，该视频无弹幕