260506-高盛-韩国开盘 - 内存、构造、自动售货、卖空

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大家好

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欢迎来到今天的深度拆解

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今天我们要啃一块难啃但绝对诱人的硬骨头

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一份来自高盛的重磅韩国市场开盘简报

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这份长篇报告里

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全是密集的资金流向和市场洞察

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不过别担心

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我们的任务就是帮你把这些复杂的数据揉碎了

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在今天开盘钟声敲响前

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为你提炼出绝对不能错过的核心干货

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准备好了吗

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咱们直接开始

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首先我们脑海里都有一个巨大的问号

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到底是什么力量

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正在疯狂的把韩国综合股价指数

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一路推向7000点大关

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其实随着中东地缘政治紧张

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局势稍微松了口气

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再加上科技股猛烈飙升

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大盘简直就是蓄势待发的状态

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整个市场的情绪正在发生一种极其强烈的反转

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而这正是我们接下来要为大家抽丝剥茧的重点

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7000点嗯

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你没听错

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就是这个极具魔力的数字

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对于KOSP指数来说

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这可不仅仅是图表上的一个刻度

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它是一个超级震撼的宏观里程碑

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它代表着市场信心

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巨量资本流动

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还有大家对未来的预期

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当大盘逼近这个关口时

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哪怕是再小的数据

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也会被市场拿着放大镜死死盯住

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那么今天的路线图很清晰

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咱们分四步走

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第一看看宏观视野和芯片行业

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第二聊聊汽车板块的大分化

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第三我们要预警一个创纪录的巨大加空风险

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最后落地到具体的企业动态和财报

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涨好先进入第一部分

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宏观视野与芯片行业

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在这个市场里最聪明的做法永远是跟着资金走

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大家看看图上这些高耸的柱子

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外资简直是在拿着真金白银疯狂扫货啊

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具体有多夸张呢

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他们竟然往SK海力士砸了整整11.5亿美元

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向三星电子也投入了8.15亿美元

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大家想想

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这绝对不是什么小打小闹

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这种航母级别的资金涌入

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直接给大盘冲击7000点

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打下了最硬的底座

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你可能会问外资凭什么这么上头

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其实背后有几个极其重磅的催化剂

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首先是科技圈的大八卦

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据说苹果正在跟英特尔和三星电子频频接触

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想找台积电之外的备选芯片大厂

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这直接把整个内存和芯片板块给点燃了

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其次大家坐稳了未来10年对韩国的投资承诺

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总额高达3500亿美元

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最后在能源这块儿

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路易斯安那州的液化天然气出口端端

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预计会成为关税谈判后

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韩国第一个真金白银的美国投资项目

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这些宏大的叙事对吧

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给市场打了满满的鸡血

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接下来第二部分

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我们把目光转向汽车行业的分化

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这绝对是两大巨头冰火两重天的故事

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这个对比真的太有意思了

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看左边老大哥

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现代汽车的全球批发销量

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竟然同比下滑了8.0个

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Bs

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跌到了32.5万辆左右

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高盛说

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这是因为去年基数太高了

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但是你往右看

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明明是同一个集团的起亚居然逆势突围了

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靠着韩国国内老百姓的强劲买单

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起亚硬生生涨了1.0个percent

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达到了27.7万辆

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这生动的告诉我们

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即便是在一模一样的宏观天气里

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不同品牌的日子也能过得天差地别

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起鸭子

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这局算是赢麻了

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好重头戏来了

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第三部分

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创纪录的扎空风险

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这可是设计数百亿美元的生死博弈

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大家仔细品品屏幕上这句话的分量

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as S3 partners的数据显示

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做空机构正在疯狂加大

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他们看跌韩国股市的筹码

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空头头寸总额已经飙到了创纪录的

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204亿美元

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有没有搞错

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更离谱的是

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仅仅在过去的30天里

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就凭空新增了17亿美元的空头仓位

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这是一个极其庞大且非常危险的反向牙主

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为了确保咱们都在同一个频道上

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我快速解释一下什么是炸空

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简单来说

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空头借了股票卖掉

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本来指望这股票大跌

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他们好大赚一笔

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结果呢股价不仅没跌

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反而像坐了火箭一样往上涨

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为了不再亏更多的钱

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这些空头只好流着泪

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不计成本地把股票买回来平仓

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当所有空投都在疯狂抢筹码的时候

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市场上根本没那么多漂

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于是股价就被硬生生推到了一个

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不可思议的高度

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这就是所谓的炸空

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那么这新增的17亿元美元子弹都瞄准了谁呢

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看图表

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有1/3的星空头头寸呢

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全都密密麻麻的扎堆在工业板块

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看看这两个名字

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现代重工

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还有咱们刚才说外资在疯狂买入的SK海力士

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这就太刺激了

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在SK海力士身上

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外资在死命往上买

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空投在拼命往下砸

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如果大盘继续维持这种创纪录的上涨势头

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这些空头将被卷入一场极度痛苦的牙空风暴里

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简直可以说是粉身碎骨

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最后让我们把镜头拉近

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进入第四部分

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看看企业动态与盈利的微观视角

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咱们来一波急速联播

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快速过一下这些催化剂

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国防板块

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韩华航空航天准备在公开市场砸下5000亿韩元

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增持KAI的股份

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L i g lex one

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更是刚刚跟阿联酋签了

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建立国防制造枢纽的大单

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电池

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这块动作极快

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postco future m据说已经强炮

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跟一家日本车企死死绑定了固态电池

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正极材料的独家合同

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最后在生物科技圈

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ALOGEN正被cos stock方面要求重新考虑

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他们转版COSPY的计划

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正是这些不同板块满天飞的劲爆消息

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让整个市场维持着极高的活跃度

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结尾咱们看一份很能说明问题的财报

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江原乐园一进度的盈利暴跌了没达标

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最戏剧性的是什么

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其实人家VIP客人的博彩粮是非常给力的

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强劲增长了14%

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业务本身干的热火朝天

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没毛病啊

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那利润去哪儿了

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同比缩水了整整49

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percent只剩397亿韩元

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原因竟然是3月份中东那边一打仗

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金融市场震荡

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直接导致他们手里拿的固定收益资产大幅贬值

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这完美的展示了一个残酷的现实

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遥远的全球宏观事件

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就是这样悄无声息地穿透重重迷雾

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结结实实地锤到了一家博彩公司财报的底线上

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这就引出了咱们今天深度拆解的终极悬念

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你们看一边是外资在疯狂扫货

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宏观利好满天飞

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KSOPI指数被死死推向7000点大关

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但另一边呢

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头顶上就悬着

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那把重达24亿美元的空头巨斧

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那么多头的洪荒之力

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到底能不能一鼓作气把空头逼上绝路

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引爆一场史诗级的夹空行情

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还是说空投最终能把大盘压垮

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开盘后的这场世纪对决

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简直太让人期待了

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好的感谢大家收看今天的深度拆解

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带着这些关键信息

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祝大家今天交易顺利

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我们下期再见

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