BV1TLL86zE2P · 浑水摸鱼清源1 00:00:00,640 --> 00:00:01,080 最近怎么样 2 00:00:01,080 --> 00:00:01,800 大家还好吧 3 00:00:01,800 --> 00:00:02,720 在今天的节目中 4 00:00:02,720 --> 00:00:04,200 我将解析价格走势 5 00:00:04,200 --> 00:00:08,439 今天早上又是那种 penny 股狂热的一天 6 00:00:08,439 --> 00:00:10,119 我们有很多 penny 股大幅上涨 7 00:00:10,119 --> 00:00:13,080 大家都在关注 penny 股，我理解 8 00:00:13,080 --> 00:00:15,019 这些是交易者手中的股票 9 00:00:15,019 --> 00:00:16,620 他们希望一夜之间翻倍获利 10 00:00:16,620 --> 00:00:19,219 于是他们大举买入 11 00:00:19,219 --> 00:00:19,620 我说啊 12 00:00:19,620 --> 00:00:22,670 当然你可以低价买入数十万股 13 00:00:22,670 --> 00:00:26,429 并希望这会是下一支涨到一美元或两美元的股票 14 00:00:26,429 --> 00:00:29,519 这样可以在达到这些价位时稳定卖出 15 00:00:29,519 --> 00:00:31,339 卖盘非常踊跃 16 00:00:31,339 --> 00:00:34,329 早期买入者的大额卖单 17 00:00:34,329 --> 00:00:34,829 而且 18 00:00:34,829 --> 00:00:35,170 你知道的 19 00:00:35,170 --> 00:00:35,789 在我看来 20 00:00:35,789 --> 00:00:37,750 这些人并非真正的叛徒 21 00:00:37,750 --> 00:00:40,109 更多是投机性质的 22 00:00:40,109 --> 00:00:41,469 接盘手 23 00:00:41,469 --> 00:00:42,549 或许可以称为叛徒 24 00:00:42,549 --> 00:00:45,219 但他们并非日内交易 25 00:00:45,219 --> 00:00:48,628 因为有些交易者会持仓几天甚至更久 26 00:00:48,628 --> 00:00:51,750 问题是胜率可能极低 27 00:00:51,750 --> 00:00:54,609 你知道每有一只股票成功 28 00:00:54,609 --> 00:00:55,310 你知道的 29 00:00:55,310 --> 00:00:56,189 这种走势 30 00:00:56,189 --> 00:00:57,149 不管怎样 31 00:00:57,149 --> 00:01:00,039 会有大量股票彻底失败 32 00:01:00,039 --> 00:01:03,000 所以即使这只股票出现大幅飙升 33 00:01:03,000 --> 00:01:08,390 但今天我的策略是观察市场并寻找明显机会 34 00:01:08,390 --> 00:01:08,849 我说啊 35 00:01:08,849 --> 00:01:11,409 早上看到 hcwb 持续拉升 36 00:01:11,409 --> 00:01:12,900 开市后 37 00:01:12,900 --> 00:01:14,400 从一美元涨至一美元四十 38 00:01:14,400 --> 00:01:14,739 涨至两美元 39 00:01:14,739 --> 00:01:15,379 涨至两美元四十 40 00:01:15,379 --> 00:01:16,280 两美元五十 41 00:01:16,280 --> 00:01:17,540 涨至三美元 42 00:01:17,540 --> 00:01:18,480 涨至三美元五十 43 00:01:18,480 --> 00:01:19,969 成交六千四百万股 44 00:01:19,969 --> 00:01:21,829 涨幅达207% 45 00:01:21,829 --> 00:01:23,829 显然 46 00:01:23,829 --> 00:01:24,530 这确实引人注目 47 00:01:24,530 --> 00:01:25,730 明显受到关注 48 00:01:25,730 --> 00:01:27,379 但这支股票我稍感棘手 49 00:01:27,620 --> 00:01:30,620 有几个原因 50 00:01:30,620 --> 00:01:31,640 出于几个原因 51 00:01:31,640 --> 00:01:32,569 第一 52 00:01:32,569 --> 00:01:33,609 该动作未发生 53 00:01:33,609 --> 00:01:34,750 窗口期内的预市交易 54 00:01:34,750 --> 00:01:35,930 我通常在这里交易最佳 55 00:01:35,930 --> 00:01:37,629 这发生在开盘铃响后 56 00:01:37,629 --> 00:01:39,890 这意味着我们必须应对止损单 57 00:01:39,890 --> 00:01:42,299 暂停层级和市价单 58 00:01:42,299 --> 00:01:43,700 所以波动更大 59 00:01:43,700 --> 00:01:45,780 我们调出该股票的第二层级 60 00:01:45,780 --> 00:01:47,319 Hc wb 61 00:01:47,319 --> 00:01:51,509 你会看到这是一只交易更活跃的股票 62 00:01:51,509 --> 00:01:54,629 目前它正在挤升至380水平 63 00:01:54,629 --> 00:01:55,950 这就是暂停层级 64 00:01:55,950 --> 00:01:57,670 因此无法继续上涨 65 00:01:57,670 --> 00:02:00,049 由于熔断机制暂停 66 00:02:00,049 --> 00:02:01,849 因此存在上限 67 00:02:01,849 --> 00:02:05,870 在触发暂停前能快速移动的幅度 68 00:02:05,870 --> 00:02:08,829 或者它会下跌 69 00:02:08,989 --> 00:02:14,009 所以我对这类股票的问题在于通常你会 70 00:02:14,009 --> 00:02:18,430 会有大量低价买入的彩票式交易者 71 00:02:18,430 --> 00:02:22,129 现在会抛出五万至七万股 72 00:02:22,129 --> 00:02:25,259 大量卖出订单以清仓 73 00:02:25,659 --> 00:02:26,900 这是个挑战 74 00:02:26,900 --> 00:02:28,340 所以你知道 75 00:02:28,340 --> 00:02:31,780 目前该股票的热点水平 76 00:02:31,780 --> 00:02:33,039 已升至390 77 00:02:33,039 --> 00:02:34,639 因此多出十美分 78 00:02:34,639 --> 00:02:40,069 但感觉这一区域更难操作 79 00:02:40,229 --> 00:02:43,990 因此我的结论是未交易该股票 80 00:02:43,990 --> 00:02:45,349 很高兴看到它上涨 81 00:02:45,349 --> 00:02:47,830 我对这类情况有些不耐烦 82 00:02:47,830 --> 00:02:50,919 因为这里有1.2万股卖单 83 00:02:50,919 --> 00:02:52,699 随着价格上涨 84 00:02:52,699 --> 00:02:55,099 推升后又回落 85 00:02:55,099 --> 00:02:57,139 推升后又回落 86 00:02:57,139 --> 00:03:01,050 尽管上涨了270% 87 00:03:01,050 --> 00:03:06,009 我不认为这是分钟图上的抛物线走势 88 00:03:06,370 --> 00:03:07,849 走势过于震荡 89 00:03:07,849 --> 00:03:09,269 卖压过大 90 00:03:09,269 --> 00:03:10,429 是的 91 00:03:10,429 --> 00:03:11,549 现在开始上涨 92 00:03:11,549 --> 00:03:14,628 热点水平升至398，将持续上移 93 00:03:14,628 --> 00:03:15,829 大约五八美分 94 00:03:15,829 --> 00:03:16,528 十美分 95 00:03:16,528 --> 00:03:18,000 现为407 96 00:03:18,000 --> 00:03:19,639 将持续上涨 97 00:03:19,639 --> 00:03:22,069 空头将被部分挤压 98 00:03:22,069 --> 00:03:24,990 随后会有获利回吐抛售 99 00:03:24,990 --> 00:03:26,590 有人市价单离场 100 00:03:26,590 --> 00:03:27,370 获利了结 101 00:03:27,370 --> 00:03:28,479 你获得了一笔下跌 102 00:03:28,479 --> 00:03:30,819 你获得了一些更大的卖家堆积 103 00:03:30,819 --> 00:03:32,569 而人们看到了这些 104 00:03:32,969 --> 00:03:36,969 你知道我认为这就是必须买入的股票类型 105 00:03:36,969 --> 00:03:37,909 它的回调 106 00:03:37,909 --> 00:03:40,819 你只需在它抛售时买入 107 00:03:40,819 --> 00:03:43,389 这有点违背直觉 108 00:03:43,389 --> 00:03:44,750 而我不擅长这样做 109 00:03:44,750 --> 00:03:46,830 但此刻我不想这么做 110 00:03:46,830 --> 00:03:49,990 因为五分钟图上已经连续三根大阳线 111 00:03:49,990 --> 00:03:51,629 它已大幅延伸 112 00:03:51,629 --> 00:03:52,509 现在你要考虑 113 00:03:52,509 --> 00:03:52,669 嗯 114 00:03:52,669 --> 00:03:54,459 我得等待下一次回调 115 00:03:54,459 --> 00:03:56,758 等到那时 116 00:03:56,758 --> 00:03:58,538 这只股票是否会完全反转 117 00:03:58,538 --> 00:04:01,498 你知道它是否已脱离行情 118 00:04:02,030 --> 00:04:04,830 这是否会成为明显的顶部信号 119 00:04:04,830 --> 00:04:06,669 在五分钟图上的这一走势 120 00:04:06,669 --> 00:04:08,930 我们还不清楚 121 00:04:08,930 --> 00:04:10,259 目前的情况是 122 00:04:10,259 --> 00:04:11,639 我很高兴看到这一走势 123 00:04:11,639 --> 00:04:15,599 毕竟开盘后你们有交易可做 124 00:04:15,599 --> 00:04:16,379 但对我来说 125 00:04:16,379 --> 00:04:17,100 我并不觉得 126 00:04:17,100 --> 00:04:19,620 能有效管理风险 127 00:04:19,620 --> 00:04:23,329 获得让我认可交易的解决结果 128 00:04:23,329 --> 00:04:23,949 所以是的 129 00:04:23,949 --> 00:04:24,790 它继续上涨 130 00:04:24,790 --> 00:04:28,490 如果早知道的话我只需买入然后离场现在卖出 131 00:04:28,490 --> 00:04:30,370 但这是事后诸葛亮 132 00:04:30,370 --> 00:04:31,920 实际情况并非如此 133 00:04:31,920 --> 00:04:35,160 我们有MWC这只股票 134 00:04:35,160 --> 00:04:36,019 这很有趣 135 00:04:36,019 --> 00:04:37,420 它在盘前大幅拉升 136 00:04:37,420 --> 00:04:38,529 如你所见 137 00:04:38,529 --> 00:04:39,389 这里从5跳至27 138 00:04:39,389 --> 00:04:41,829 然后一路回落 139 00:04:41,829 --> 00:04:43,449 随后反弹至低位 140 00:04:43,449 --> 00:04:45,629 再从低点反弹 141 00:04:45,829 --> 00:04:47,449 我难以应对这类走势 142 00:04:47,449 --> 00:04:51,129 因为大幅回调本身显示看跌 143 00:04:51,129 --> 00:04:52,670 交易这次反弹 144 00:04:52,670 --> 00:04:54,990 尽管成交量高于初期上涨 145 00:04:54,990 --> 00:04:57,209 仍感觉不够安全 146 00:04:57,209 --> 00:04:59,990 对此不做任何交易 147 00:04:59,990 --> 00:05:02,110 这只更便宜些的股票早些时候上涨 148 00:05:02,110 --> 00:05:03,790 我对它也不感兴趣 149 00:05:03,790 --> 00:05:05,480 我保持观望 150 00:05:05,800 --> 00:05:08,779 这确实需要极高自律 151 00:05:08,779 --> 00:05:11,000 观察这些股票的走势 152 00:05:11,000 --> 00:05:12,240 然后说不 153 00:05:12,240 --> 00:05:13,199 我不会交易它 154 00:05:13,199 --> 00:05:14,850 我只是袖手旁观 155 00:05:14,850 --> 00:05:17,290 当然我希望每天都能赚钱 156 00:05:17,290 --> 00:05:18,149 谁不想呢 157 00:05:18,149 --> 00:05:18,610 你知道的 158 00:05:18,610 --> 00:05:23,720 但对这些我感觉风险大于收益 159 00:05:23,720 --> 00:05:25,740 所以我可以采取一些策略 160 00:05:25,740 --> 00:05:26,699 也许能赚点钱 161 00:05:26,699 --> 00:05:28,060 然后是最后一笔交易 162 00:05:28,060 --> 00:05:29,699 却抹去了所有盈利 163 00:05:29,699 --> 00:05:33,339 我亏损了，非常沮丧 164 00:05:33,339 --> 00:05:38,360 当盈亏比倒置时令人挫败 165 00:05:38,360 --> 00:05:40,480 因为你可能连续五到六次盈利 166 00:05:40,480 --> 00:05:42,930 然后一次亏损就全部抵消 167 00:05:42,930 --> 00:05:46,029 总的来说 168 00:05:46,029 --> 00:05:52,798 盈亏比失衡源于选择不够强势的交易方案 169 00:05:52,798 --> 00:05:56,538 你没有选择真正有潜力大幅波动的交易机会 170 00:05:56,538 --> 00:05:58,439 所以你的盈利只有五七 171 00:05:58,439 --> 00:05:59,418 八美分一股 172 00:05:59,418 --> 00:06:01,040 根本不够大 173 00:06:01,040 --> 00:06:03,279 但一旦遇到亏损 174 00:06:03,279 --> 00:06:04,699 你知道你会全额亏损 175 00:06:04,699 --> 00:06:06,319 比如二三十美分 176 00:06:06,319 --> 00:06:06,959 无论多少 177 00:06:06,959 --> 00:06:10,860 如果你在hcw b突破时入场 178 00:06:10,860 --> 00:06:13,680 在四美元突破时入场 179 00:06:13,680 --> 00:06:14,540 例如 180 00:06:14,540 --> 00:06:16,860 现在每股亏损七角 181 00:06:16,860 --> 00:06:18,980 你原本能赚多少 182 00:06:18,980 --> 00:06:20,740 因为关键价位只能涨到 183 00:06:20,740 --> 00:06:21,300 比如四元 184 00:06:21,300 --> 00:06:23,180 七七美分 185 00:06:23,180 --> 00:06:24,160 就这些 186 00:06:24,160 --> 00:06:25,100 你知道的 187 00:06:25,100 --> 00:06:26,420 其实并不多 188 00:06:26,420 --> 00:06:28,670 所以 189 00:06:28,670 --> 00:06:30,610 这就像退步了一步 190 00:06:30,610 --> 00:06:31,870 我不知道 191 00:06:31,870 --> 00:06:32,500 只是 192 00:06:32,500 --> 00:06:35,040 对我来说感觉并不值得 193 00:06:35,040 --> 00:06:36,680 根本不值得 194 00:06:36,680 --> 00:06:37,459 总之 195 00:06:37,459 --> 00:06:40,800 这就是hcw b a b c 196 00:06:40,800 --> 00:06:43,540 这就是这个例子 197 00:06:43,540 --> 00:06:44,600 成交量较低 198 00:06:44,600 --> 00:06:46,110 没有交易记录 199 00:06:46,110 --> 00:06:47,009 Codx 200 00:06:47,009 --> 00:06:48,629 我们昨天讨论过这个 201 00:06:48,629 --> 00:06:53,370 你知道到了这个时候，我只是不想多待了 202 00:06:54,259 --> 00:06:57,779 最好的日子从一开始就充满活力，我建立势头 203 00:06:57,779 --> 00:07:01,319 而今天我没有能够建立任何势头 204 00:07:01,319 --> 00:07:04,908 所以最好的办法是停止并明天再试 205 00:07:04,908 --> 00:07:06,548 所以我正是要这么做 206 00:07:06,548 --> 00:07:08,839 我明天一大早就会继续 207 00:07:08,839 --> 00:07:10,980 我一如既往地提醒大家交易有风险 208 00:07:10,980 --> 00:07:11,939 我的结果并不典型 209 00:07:11,939 --> 00:07:13,548 所以要管理好风险 210 00:07:13,548 --> 00:07:18,309 慢慢来，总是在投入真金白银前先在模拟器练习 211 00:07:18,309 --> 00:07:21,439 明天七点见，我们直播再见
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