BV1PJ7Q6AEwM · 浑水摸鱼清源1 00:00:00,020 --> 00:00:01,800 我是艾尔布鲁克斯 2 00:00:01,800 --> 00:00:05,299 感谢您收看布鲁克斯交易课程 3 00:00:06,349 --> 00:00:09,310 本视频是关于圆形顶部和底部的 4 00:00:09,310 --> 00:00:12,830 你通常听不到交易者谈论圆形顶部和底部 5 00:00:12,830 --> 00:00:17,039 那是因为他们几乎总是另有所指啊 6 00:00:24,839 --> 00:00:27,600 而交易者更喜欢使用其他术语 7 00:00:27,600 --> 00:00:30,780 大多数反转形态都涉及交易区间 8 00:00:30,780 --> 00:00:36,060 而圆形顶部或圆形底部就是交易区间啊 9 00:00:39,219 --> 00:00:40,619 名称并不重要 10 00:00:40,619 --> 00:00:42,659 这里我们有一个多头趋势 11 00:00:42,659 --> 00:00:44,939 市场进入了一个交易区间 12 00:00:44,939 --> 00:00:47,780 50%的机会使趋势恢复上涨 13 00:00:47,780 --> 00:00:50,759 50%的机会使趋势反转下跌 14 00:00:50,759 --> 00:00:54,179 有些交易者会称其为圆形顶部 15 00:00:56,479 --> 00:00:59,340 在过去交易者会称之为分布 16 00:00:59,340 --> 00:01:02,920 我很少使用圆形顶部这个术语 17 00:01:05,420 --> 00:01:08,120 相反我会将其视为多头趋势 18 00:01:08,120 --> 00:01:09,500 空头跌破通道 19 00:01:09,500 --> 00:01:12,599 以及尝试更低高点的主要趋势反转 20 00:01:12,599 --> 00:01:14,920 或者我也可以称之为三角形 21 00:01:14,920 --> 00:01:17,459 三次上推123 22 00:01:17,459 --> 00:01:18,859 然后向下反转 23 00:01:20,180 --> 00:01:25,379 所以这是一个三角形较低高点的主要趋势反转 24 00:01:28,900 --> 00:01:31,879 每当出现多头趋势和交易区间时 25 00:01:31,879 --> 00:01:34,040 交易区间几乎总是会出现 26 00:01:34,040 --> 00:01:36,260 某种类型的主要趋势反转 27 00:01:36,260 --> 00:01:38,319 这里我们有一个较低的高位 28 00:01:38,319 --> 00:01:40,359 主要趋势反转 29 00:01:43,260 --> 00:01:45,019 我们有一个反转下跌 30 00:01:45,019 --> 00:01:46,140 反转下跌 31 00:01:46,140 --> 00:01:47,239 反转下跌 32 00:01:47,239 --> 00:01:48,579 这是三次反转 33 00:01:48,579 --> 00:01:50,849 下跌形态是横向的 34 00:01:50,849 --> 00:01:53,209 我称之为三角形 35 00:01:53,209 --> 00:01:54,810 线是收敛的 36 00:01:54,810 --> 00:01:57,390 所以我肯定会称之为三角形 37 00:01:57,390 --> 00:01:59,049 但这并不重要 38 00:01:59,049 --> 00:02:01,650 重要的是我们有一个多头趋势 39 00:02:01,650 --> 00:02:02,870 然后出现回调 40 00:02:02,870 --> 00:02:05,759 回调增长到20条或更多 41 00:02:05,918 --> 00:02:09,938 市场恢复上涨的概率与反转下跌的概率相同 42 00:02:09,938 --> 00:02:13,079 在交易区间内有不同的形态 43 00:02:15,340 --> 00:02:17,680 你可以称之为头肩雄奇 44 00:02:17,680 --> 00:02:18,580 左肩头 45 00:02:18,580 --> 00:02:21,979 右肩三角形双底牛旗叫什么 46 00:02:21,979 --> 00:02:23,740 并不重要 47 00:02:24,169 --> 00:02:26,348 重要的是你必须明白 48 00:02:26,348 --> 00:02:27,908 市场之所以这样做 49 00:02:27,908 --> 00:02:30,748 是因为多头和空头是平衡的 50 00:02:30,748 --> 00:02:31,759 一方会赢 51 00:02:31,759 --> 00:02:33,199 另一方会输 52 00:02:33,199 --> 00:02:36,099 机会各占一半啊 53 00:02:41,659 --> 00:02:43,740 在这里我们出现了趋势反转 54 00:02:43,740 --> 00:02:45,400 交易者回过头来回说哦 55 00:02:45,400 --> 00:02:47,819 看那是一个圆形顶部 56 00:02:47,990 --> 00:02:49,830 即使是圆顶也没关系 57 00:02:49,830 --> 00:02:50,689 对我来说 58 00:02:50,689 --> 00:02:54,229 这是多头趋势后的一个交易区间 59 00:02:54,508 --> 00:02:56,588 我怎么称呼他并不重要 60 00:02:56,588 --> 00:02:59,439 重要的是有交易他的方法 61 00:02:59,439 --> 00:03:02,159 卖出低位高点的主要趋势反转 62 00:03:02,159 --> 00:03:03,840 卖出头肩顶雄起 63 00:03:03,840 --> 00:03:05,620 我们有一个空头突破 64 00:03:05,620 --> 00:03:08,469 回撤到一个小双顶再次卖出 65 00:03:08,469 --> 00:03:10,389 或者等待收盘时卖出 66 00:03:10,389 --> 00:03:12,849 关于趋势恢复和趋势反转 67 00:03:12,849 --> 00:03:14,860 以及交易区间内的形态 68 00:03:14,860 --> 00:03:19,199 我将在交易区间视频中详细介绍一 69 00:03:24,979 --> 00:03:26,639 这是圆形底部吗 70 00:03:26,639 --> 00:03:28,539 我们有一个强大的抛售 71 00:03:28,539 --> 00:03:29,800 我们有一个回撤 72 00:03:29,800 --> 00:03:31,379 一个雄起 73 00:03:31,539 --> 00:03:33,219 市场有可能继续下跌 74 00:03:33,219 --> 00:03:35,219 但回调幅度会不断扩大 75 00:03:35,219 --> 00:03:36,960 五条十条都有可能 76 00:03:36,960 --> 00:03:37,879 在某些时候 77 00:03:37,879 --> 00:03:39,860 它不再是回调和空头趋势 78 00:03:39,860 --> 00:03:41,919 这是一个多头趋势 79 00:03:42,419 --> 00:03:45,240 这是一个非常紧密的多头通道 80 00:03:45,240 --> 00:03:48,620 这是在更大周期图上的突破 81 00:03:49,020 --> 00:03:51,419 大跌大涨大混乱 82 00:03:51,419 --> 00:03:52,599 可能是横盘 83 00:03:52,599 --> 00:03:54,180 但也可能是反转 84 00:03:54,180 --> 00:03:56,740 这是一种圆形底部 85 00:03:58,159 --> 00:04:00,319 你有一个强劲的空头趋势 86 00:04:00,319 --> 00:04:02,919 然后你有很多交易区间类型的K线 87 00:04:02,919 --> 00:04:04,460 然而它不是横盘 88 00:04:04,460 --> 00:04:06,560 而是向上倾斜 89 00:04:06,778 --> 00:04:07,699 对我来说 90 00:04:07,699 --> 00:04:08,959 这是一种圆形底部 91 00:04:08,959 --> 00:04:11,090 同样我不使用这个术语 92 00:04:11,090 --> 00:04:13,490 我会称其为无休止的回调 93 00:04:13,490 --> 00:04:15,189 我们有一个空头趋势 94 00:04:15,189 --> 00:04:16,759 一个雄奇的回调 95 00:04:16,759 --> 00:04:19,500 然而越来越多的K线图加入其中 96 00:04:19,500 --> 00:04:21,759 在某些时候 97 00:04:27,779 --> 00:04:31,360 你不得不停止称其为回调和空头趋势 98 00:04:31,360 --> 00:04:34,540 你不得不称其为小幅回调的多头趋势 99 00:04:34,540 --> 00:04:37,418 在这里我们明显突破了 100 00:04:37,418 --> 00:04:38,639 这里有突破 101 00:04:38,639 --> 00:04:39,619 这里有突破 102 00:04:39,619 --> 00:04:40,759 这里也有突破 103 00:04:40,759 --> 00:04:42,358 这些突破都不是很大 104 00:04:42,358 --> 00:04:45,060 现在我们开始出现三四根多头K线 105 00:04:45,060 --> 00:04:46,139 十字星K线 106 00:04:46,139 --> 00:04:48,480 五六根多头K线 107 00:04:48,870 --> 00:04:49,990 在这一点上 108 00:04:49,990 --> 00:04:51,250 交易者得出结论 109 00:04:51,250 --> 00:04:53,310 市场现在处于多头趋势中 110 00:04:53,310 --> 00:04:54,250 自低点以来 111 00:04:54,250 --> 00:04:56,250 市场一直处于多头趋势中 112 00:04:56,250 --> 00:04:58,404 但这一点已达成共识 113 00:04:58,850 --> 00:05:00,910 这是空投放弃的地方 114 00:05:00,910 --> 00:05:04,029 这是雄奇上方的多头突破 115 00:05:04,029 --> 00:05:05,350 这是一个雄奇 116 00:05:05,350 --> 00:05:06,709 我们有一个小突破 117 00:05:06,709 --> 00:05:08,370 这是一个新型雄奇 118 00:05:08,370 --> 00:05:10,329 123推上去 119 00:05:10,329 --> 00:05:12,449 我们在上面有一个多头突破 120 00:05:12,449 --> 00:05:16,300 然后是一个更大的楔形雄起 121 00:05:16,300 --> 00:05:17,759 123 122 00:05:17,759 --> 00:05:21,420 我们在其上方实现了多头突破 123 00:05:23,660 --> 00:05:25,360 每当出现这样的雄奇 124 00:05:25,360 --> 00:05:27,600 且通道像这样非常紧密时 125 00:05:27,600 --> 00:05:29,779 就很有可能卖出并止损 126 00:05:29,779 --> 00:05:30,639 一般来说 127 00:05:30,639 --> 00:05:31,908 如果你想卖出 128 00:05:31,908 --> 00:05:37,279 最好等到出现强势空头突破后再低价卖出啊 129 00:05:38,100 --> 00:05:40,920 这对空投来说很危险 130 00:05:40,920 --> 00:05:43,560 这是一个非常紧密的多头通道 131 00:05:43,560 --> 00:05:47,089 因此很可能是在较大周期图上的突破 132 00:05:47,089 --> 00:05:48,310 在某些时候 133 00:05:48,310 --> 00:05:51,790 你必须判断市场可能始终处于多头状态 134 00:05:51,790 --> 00:05:54,000 我会从这根K线开始怀疑 135 00:05:54,000 --> 00:05:56,519 然后再从这几根K线开始怀疑 136 00:05:56,519 --> 00:05:58,360 一旦我们开始到达这里 137 00:05:58,360 --> 00:06:00,500 我就 138 00:06:02,959 --> 00:06:05,180 会开始认为我们有可能会走高 139 00:06:05,180 --> 00:06:06,199 而不是走低 140 00:06:06,199 --> 00:06:09,139 连续四根多头K线形图空投放弃了 141 00:06:09,139 --> 00:06:10,079 在这一点上 142 00:06:10,079 --> 00:06:11,079 人们一致认为 143 00:06:11,079 --> 00:06:13,920 这不再是雄奇空头区 144 00:06:16,540 --> 00:06:19,759 尽管我们没有突破迈出高潮的顶部 145 00:06:19,759 --> 00:06:22,100 但这是一种共识 146 00:06:22,529 --> 00:06:23,990 这是空投放弃 147 00:06:23,990 --> 00:06:25,790 而多头充满信心 148 00:06:25,790 --> 00:06:26,889 如果你愿意 149 00:06:26,889 --> 00:06:29,689 可以称其为圆形底部 150 00:06:32,680 --> 00:06:35,759 很多时候圆形底部就是这个样子 151 00:06:35,759 --> 00:06:38,560 同样这基本上是一个空头趋势 152 00:06:38,560 --> 00:06:39,720 然后是混乱 153 00:06:39,720 --> 00:06:41,519 这里是一个交易区间 154 00:06:41,519 --> 00:06:42,740 然后是回调 155 00:06:42,740 --> 00:06:45,360 然后是反转上涨 156 00:06:46,180 --> 00:06:47,839 如果是向下突破 157 00:06:47,839 --> 00:06:49,600 你不会称之为圆底 158 00:06:49,600 --> 00:06:52,060 你会称之为雄起 159 00:06:54,720 --> 00:06:56,639 另一个无休止的回调 160 00:06:56,639 --> 00:06:58,699 非常强劲的多头突破 161 00:06:58,699 --> 00:07:01,019 然后回调现在是一个通道 162 00:07:01,019 --> 00:07:03,399 然后我们开始回调 163 00:07:03,709 --> 00:07:05,529 这仍然是一个回调 164 00:07:05,529 --> 00:07:06,509 一个牛企 165 00:07:06,509 --> 00:07:08,800 更有可能的是我们会走高 166 00:07:08,800 --> 00:07:11,040 但在十或20个交易日之后 167 00:07:11,040 --> 00:07:14,430 我开始称其为无休止的回调 168 00:07:14,550 --> 00:07:16,910 一旦出现无休止的回调趋势 169 00:07:16,910 --> 00:07:20,250 恢复上涨的概率就会下降到50%左右 170 00:07:20,250 --> 00:07:21,629 空头突破并反转 171 00:07:21,629 --> 00:07:24,134 下跌的概率为50% 172 00:07:24,790 --> 00:07:25,970 如果你愿意 173 00:07:25,970 --> 00:07:27,870 可以称其为圆形顶部 174 00:07:27,870 --> 00:07:28,829 在我看来 175 00:07:28,829 --> 00:07:30,920 这是一个无止境的回调 176 00:07:30,920 --> 00:07:32,019 在这一点上 177 00:07:32,019 --> 00:07:34,860 你有一对连续的K线型大空头 178 00:07:34,860 --> 00:07:39,279 K线形收益低点可能是一个测量缺口 179 00:07:39,279 --> 00:07:42,540 一个交易区间突破至少是一个测量移动下降 180 00:07:42,540 --> 00:07:43,480 大家都同意 181 00:07:43,480 --> 00:07:46,269 这不再是多头趋势中的回调 182 00:07:47,019 --> 00:07:48,358 现在是空头趋势 183 00:07:48,358 --> 00:07:49,538 连续的空头K线 184 00:07:49,538 --> 00:07:51,680 大空头K线在低点收盘 185 00:07:51,680 --> 00:07:54,439 无休止的回调和紧密的通道 186 00:07:54,439 --> 00:07:57,279 这是一个抛物线楔形顶 187 00:08:01,459 --> 00:08:03,699 三四次推升一次回调 188 00:08:03,699 --> 00:08:05,629 两次回调三四次 189 00:08:05,629 --> 00:08:09,269 当抛物线新形顶开始回调五六个交易日后 190 00:08:09,269 --> 00:08:15,339 市场可能会回调十个交易日或更多交易日 191 00:08:15,339 --> 00:08:18,759 然后决定是趋势恢复向上还是趋势反转向下 192 00:08:18,759 --> 00:08:20,740 这在抛物线楔形顶之后很常见 193 00:08:21,779 --> 00:08:23,480 123或三 194 00:08:23,480 --> 00:08:25,980 你会开始看到五或十根K线 195 00:08:25,980 --> 00:08:28,000 和一个紧密的空头通道 196 00:08:28,000 --> 00:08:29,920 这告诉你在这一点上 197 00:08:29,920 --> 00:08:33,120 我会说这是一个抛物线楔形顶 198 00:08:33,990 --> 00:08:37,049 我们有5050的机会反转下跌 199 00:08:37,049 --> 00:08:39,669 多头试图恢复上涨 200 00:08:43,678 --> 00:08:45,859 他们试图扭转空头突破 201 00:08:45,859 --> 00:08:49,200 但看看后续走势没有跟进 202 00:08:49,200 --> 00:08:50,379 这里是突破模式 203 00:08:50,379 --> 00:08:51,899 你可以称之为三角形 204 00:08:51,899 --> 00:08:54,360 我们涨了涨了涨了三次 205 00:08:54,360 --> 00:08:57,870 推升水平形态突破模式 206 00:08:57,870 --> 00:08:59,610 这一点很重要 207 00:08:59,610 --> 00:09:02,970 连续的大空头在低点收盘 208 00:09:03,438 --> 00:09:07,278 这就是市场明显始终处于空头状态的地方 209 00:09:07,278 --> 00:09:10,879 空投突破了多头所希望的牛企 210 00:09:17,419 --> 00:09:18,700 多头放弃了 211 00:09:18,700 --> 00:09:20,340 现在是空头趋势 212 00:09:20,340 --> 00:09:23,019 这不再是多头趋势中的回调 213 00:09:23,019 --> 00:09:24,919 在出现这样的突破后 214 00:09:24,919 --> 00:09:27,299 我们很可能会出现下跌走势 215 00:09:27,299 --> 00:09:30,568 这可能至少会有一个小的第二段下跌 216 00:09:30,568 --> 00:09:32,168 一次回调两次 217 00:09:32,168 --> 00:09:33,928 根据这个牛骑的高度 218 00:09:33,928 --> 00:09:36,688 很可能会导致一波下跌 219 00:09:37,068 --> 00:09:39,969 我们得到的不止这些这个多头蓝 220 00:09:39,969 --> 00:09:42,149 我们有一个缺口 221 00:09:46,960 --> 00:09:48,960 缺口的终点是这条线 222 00:09:48,960 --> 00:09:50,960 这就是向下的量度移动 223 00:09:50,960 --> 00:09:52,059 通常情况下 224 00:09:52,059 --> 00:09:53,100 我首先会看 225 00:09:53,100 --> 00:09:56,539 从多头趋势顶部到突破点的测量移动 226 00:09:56,539 --> 00:09:59,490 这个低点或那个低点 227 00:09:59,889 --> 00:10:02,490 有时如果跌破了这个低点 228 00:10:02,490 --> 00:10:04,529 我就会查看缺口的终点 229 00:10:04,529 --> 00:10:07,559 这种向上反转的尝试和这些低点 230 00:10:07,559 --> 00:10:09,159 我们跌到了那个价位 231 00:10:09,159 --> 00:10:12,460 你可以看到有一些买盘啊 232 00:10:12,590 --> 00:10:14,759 通道底部也有买盘 233 00:10:14,759 --> 00:10:15,620 急速回调 234 00:10:15,620 --> 00:10:18,089 通道通常会在这里出现买盘 235 00:10:18,089 --> 00:10:20,649 然而这并没有持续下去 236 00:10:20,649 --> 00:10:22,948 空头出现了两个低位雄起 237 00:10:22,948 --> 00:10:25,489 我们又下跌了一段 238 00:10:27,100 --> 00:10:28,059 如果你愿意 239 00:10:28,059 --> 00:10:29,559 可以称其为圆形顶部 240 00:10:29,559 --> 00:10:30,750 这并不重要 241 00:10:30,750 --> 00:10:32,450 在这种特殊情况下 242 00:10:32,450 --> 00:10:35,870 我会称其为无尽回撤中的抛物线新形顶 243 00:10:35,870 --> 00:10:40,070 然后如果你想要一个小的双顶雄旗或三角形 244 00:10:40,070 --> 00:10:41,169 在这一点上 245 00:10:41,169 --> 00:10:44,909 我们处于空头趋势的概率大幅上升 246 00:10:46,299 --> 00:10:50,080 此时收盘60%的可能性是震荡下跌 247 00:10:50,080 --> 00:10:51,139 多头趋势 248 00:10:51,139 --> 00:10:54,220 空头突破小双顶低点 249 00:10:58,899 --> 00:11:03,080 所以双顶低点主要趋势反转圆顶 250 00:11:03,080 --> 00:11:04,940 然后回调 251 00:11:11,179 --> 00:11:12,320 如果你愿意 252 00:11:12,320 --> 00:11:14,940 可以称之为倒杯柄形态悲壮 253 00:11:14,940 --> 00:11:16,179 然后是大点数 254 00:11:16,179 --> 00:11:16,899 对我来说 255 00:11:16,899 --> 00:11:18,740 这是一个较低的高点 256 00:11:18,740 --> 00:11:21,440 主要趋势反转大杯型 257 00:11:21,440 --> 00:11:23,600 然后回撤到小大点数 258 00:11:23,600 --> 00:11:24,700 多头趋势 259 00:11:24,700 --> 00:11:26,659 圆形顶部 260 00:11:33,139 --> 00:11:36,700 同样我认为这是交易区间内的多头趋势 261 00:11:36,700 --> 00:11:38,299 因此是突破模式 262 00:11:38,299 --> 00:11:39,980 它最初是一个回撤 263 00:11:39,980 --> 00:11:40,940 一个回撤 264 00:11:40,940 --> 00:11:42,000 一个扭起 265 00:11:42,000 --> 00:11:45,220 但是一旦他开始增长到20条或更多 266 00:11:45,220 --> 00:11:46,759 趋势恢复向上的概率 267 00:11:46,759 --> 00:11:49,899 就会下降到与趋势反转向下的概率差不多 268 00:11:49,899 --> 00:11:51,940 这是一个圆形顶部 269 00:11:52,509 --> 00:11:55,049 但我们得到的不是市场反转 270 00:11:55,049 --> 00:11:56,490 而是多头突破 271 00:11:56,490 --> 00:11:59,289 回调幅度达到或超过20条时 272 00:11:59,289 --> 00:12:01,059 我不再称之为回调 273 00:12:01,059 --> 00:12:05,899 因为回调意味着市场可能会恢复上涨啊 274 00:12:09,440 --> 00:12:11,980 一旦回调增长到20条或更多 275 00:12:11,980 --> 00:12:13,519 那就是无休止的回调 276 00:12:13,519 --> 00:12:15,559 我称之为交易区间 277 00:12:15,559 --> 00:12:17,759 一旦我称之为交易区间 278 00:12:17,759 --> 00:12:18,740 我就意味着 279 00:12:18,740 --> 00:12:22,279 多头突破的概率与空头突破的概率差不多 280 00:12:22,279 --> 00:12:23,720 空投如果做空 281 00:12:23,720 --> 00:12:28,139 希望出现圆弧顶或无休止的回调和反转下跌 282 00:12:28,139 --> 00:12:31,279 他们就会买回空头啊 283 00:12:38,340 --> 00:12:41,919 我们有三个连续的多头K线形图 284 00:12:41,919 --> 00:12:43,820 我们正在突破这个高点 285 00:12:43,820 --> 00:12:46,599 这是趋势恢复上涨的开始 286 00:12:46,599 --> 00:12:48,099 多头也会买入 287 00:12:48,099 --> 00:12:49,979 要么在高点上方止损 288 00:12:49,979 --> 00:12:51,620 要么我们出现回调 289 00:12:51,620 --> 00:12:55,299 他们会在这个回调K线的高点上方止损买入 290 00:12:55,299 --> 00:12:57,659 他们会在这里成交 291 00:12:59,620 --> 00:13:01,720 这个大多头K线告诉你 292 00:13:01,720 --> 00:13:04,159 很多交易者买入了空头的空头 293 00:13:04,159 --> 00:13:07,289 也买入了多头的空头与期制少 294 00:13:07,289 --> 00:13:09,009 会有一个小的第二波上涨 295 00:13:09,009 --> 00:13:12,289 同样你可以称其为圆形底部 296 00:13:17,340 --> 00:13:20,580 你可以称其为多头突破和小幅高低 297 00:13:20,580 --> 00:13:21,940 主要趋势反转 298 00:13:21,940 --> 00:13:22,799 头肩底 299 00:13:22,799 --> 00:13:23,460 左肩 300 00:13:23,460 --> 00:13:24,870 头部右肩 301 00:13:24,870 --> 00:13:28,629 你可以把整个空头通道称为多头反转的回调 302 00:13:28,629 --> 00:13:32,789 即使抛售回调跌破了多头反转的底部 303 00:13:35,159 --> 00:13:36,139 在我看来 304 00:13:36,139 --> 00:13:38,679 这仍然只是多头反转的回调 305 00:13:38,679 --> 00:13:41,909 有时回调跌破了多头趋势的底部 306 00:13:41,909 --> 00:13:44,490 尽管它跌破了多头趋势的底部 307 00:13:44,490 --> 00:13:47,870 但基本上仍然只是一个牛企 308 00:13:50,860 --> 00:13:51,980 从技术上讲 309 00:13:51,980 --> 00:13:53,539 我会称其为空头趋势 310 00:13:53,539 --> 00:13:56,519 多头突破和更高更低的主要趋势反转 311 00:13:56,519 --> 00:13:57,480 也许是楔形 312 00:13:57,480 --> 00:13:58,340 更高更低 313 00:13:58,340 --> 00:14:00,720 三次向下推动123 314 00:14:00,720 --> 00:14:03,460 尽管这不是一个很好的楔形 315 00:14:04,309 --> 00:14:04,950 交易者 316 00:14:04,950 --> 00:14:07,190 要么会在这根K线的高点上方买入 317 00:14:07,190 --> 00:14:09,679 要么会等待一对强劲的多头K线 318 00:14:09,679 --> 00:14:10,879 然后在这里买入 319 00:14:10,879 --> 00:14:12,679 现在我们有了一个更大的高低 320 00:14:12,679 --> 00:14:13,720 主要趋势反转 321 00:14:14,840 --> 00:14:17,870 空头趋势非常强劲的多头突破 322 00:14:17,870 --> 00:14:20,220 然后多次尝试更高的低点 323 00:14:20,220 --> 00:14:21,820 然后是第二段上升 324 00:14:21,820 --> 00:14:22,940 第一段回调 325 00:14:22,940 --> 00:14:25,080 第二段一个大的头肩底 326 00:14:25,080 --> 00:14:28,220 左肩头部右肩 327 00:14:31,039 --> 00:14:32,659 圆形底部再说一遍 328 00:14:32,659 --> 00:14:33,820 我不用这个词 329 00:14:33,820 --> 00:14:35,490 我使用其他术语 330 00:14:35,490 --> 00:14:37,529 如更高更低的主要趋势 331 00:14:37,529 --> 00:14:39,529 反转不是强烈的买入信号 332 00:14:39,529 --> 00:14:42,490 K线也不是强烈突破空头趋势线 333 00:14:42,490 --> 00:14:46,509 然而在这里我们有一对非常大的多头K线型 334 00:14:46,509 --> 00:14:48,110 授予高位 335 00:14:51,399 --> 00:14:52,919 也许在这一点上 336 00:14:52,919 --> 00:14:55,139 市场始终处于多头状态 337 00:14:55,139 --> 00:14:56,860 我们至少会走高一点 338 00:14:56,860 --> 00:14:59,769 也许至少会有一个有限度的上升 339 00:14:59,769 --> 00:15:02,090 也许是基于交易区间的高度 340 00:15:02,090 --> 00:15:05,509 也许是基于这两个K线形的高度 341 00:15:05,749 --> 00:15:08,369 从这个K线形的开盘到那个K线形的收盘 342 00:15:08,369 --> 00:15:09,889 非常强劲的突破 343 00:15:09,889 --> 00:15:11,090 在这一点上 344 00:15:11,090 --> 00:15:13,029 我们要么处于多头趋势中 345 00:15:13,029 --> 00:15:14,830 并将迎来第二波上涨 346 00:15:14,830 --> 00:15:16,539 要么处于交易区间中 347 00:15:16,539 --> 00:15:18,120 并出现深度回调 348 00:15:18,120 --> 00:15:19,460 无论哪种情况 349 00:15:19,460 --> 00:15:21,360 多头都会买入抛售 350 00:15:21,360 --> 00:15:25,279 期待交易区间回测区间顶部或第二段上扬 351 00:15:25,279 --> 00:15:28,009 形成多头趋势啊 352 00:15:28,730 --> 00:15:32,149 你在这里得到了一次回调幅度超过50% 353 00:15:32,149 --> 00:15:34,809 他也在测试这个狭窄交易区间的顶部 354 00:15:34,809 --> 00:15:37,825 我们正试图在多头K线上方反转 355 00:15:38,349 --> 00:15:39,208 小双底 356 00:15:39,208 --> 00:15:40,448 也许是楔形 357 00:15:40,448 --> 00:15:43,149 1232 358 00:15:43,149 --> 00:15:43,908 不低于三 359 00:15:43,908 --> 00:15:44,749 也没关系 360 00:15:44,749 --> 00:15:46,428 无所谓 361 00:15:47,840 --> 00:15:51,700 我们在多头趋势的底部上方空投之后的抛售 362 00:15:51,700 --> 00:15:54,039 后续表现不佳 363 00:15:54,490 --> 00:15:56,769 这可能是交易区间或牛 364 00:15:56,769 --> 00:15:58,269 其中的空头K线 365 00:15:58,269 --> 00:16:01,809 空头将寻求买入反转上涨 366 00:16:04,379 --> 00:16:05,320 如果你愿意 367 00:16:05,320 --> 00:16:06,720 可以称其为圆形底部 368 00:16:06,720 --> 00:16:09,950 我们有一个空头趋势和一个圆形底部 369 00:16:10,029 --> 00:16:13,269 我认为这是一个大的更高更低的主要趋势 370 00:16:13,269 --> 00:16:14,529 反转空头趋势 371 00:16:14,529 --> 00:16:16,649 一个邋遢疲软的空头趋势 372 00:16:16,649 --> 00:16:20,489 但空头趋势极强的多头突破 373 00:16:20,489 --> 00:16:22,729 然后回撤到更高的低点 374 00:16:22,729 --> 00:16:23,828 回撤很深 375 00:16:23,828 --> 00:16:27,828 但仍保持在多头突破的底部之上 376 00:16:29,009 --> 00:16:31,990 这是一次异常强劲的多头突破 377 00:16:31,990 --> 00:16:34,110 即使出现这样的深度回调 378 00:16:34,110 --> 00:16:37,529 我们也很有可能迎来第二波上涨 379 00:16:45,360 --> 00:16:48,750 多头认为这是空投的一次微弱反转尝试 380 00:16:48,750 --> 00:16:51,210 他们知道这不会是空头趋势 381 00:16:51,210 --> 00:16:53,289 我们不会跌破这个低点 382 00:16:53,289 --> 00:16:56,669 因此他们开始在K线下方买入 383 00:16:58,980 --> 00:17:01,159 他们会在这根K线下方买入 384 00:17:01,159 --> 00:17:02,759 他们开始积累头寸 385 00:17:02,759 --> 00:17:04,839 当市场出现圆形底部时 386 00:17:04,839 --> 00:17:07,119 在过去你知道的50年前 387 00:17:07,119 --> 00:17:08,098 100年前 388 00:17:08,098 --> 00:17:11,900 交易者会把这称为累积区啊 389 00:17:13,480 --> 00:17:14,828 现在也是一样 390 00:17:14,828 --> 00:17:16,848 交易者在K线下方买入 391 00:17:16,848 --> 00:17:17,788 开始建仓 392 00:17:17,788 --> 00:17:19,608 在这个K线下方买入 393 00:17:19,608 --> 00:17:20,989 赌突破会失败 394 00:17:20,989 --> 00:17:24,749 在这些低点下方买入 395 00:17:24,749 --> 00:17:27,180 赌空投的突破尝试会失败 396 00:17:27,180 --> 00:17:30,180 多头将空头恢复空头趋势的所有 397 00:17:30,180 --> 00:17:34,660 这些尝试视为以高价买入的绝佳机会 398 00:17:36,180 --> 00:17:38,200 空投突破这一低点后 399 00:17:38,200 --> 00:17:40,299 市场非但没有继续下跌 400 00:17:40,299 --> 00:17:41,680 反而反转上升 401 00:17:41,680 --> 00:17:45,150 空投并没有在这一低点积极抛售 402 00:17:46,599 --> 00:17:49,720 这里发生的部分情况是再次卖出的 403 00:17:49,720 --> 00:17:53,059 空头利用突破新低买回空投空头 404 00:17:53,059 --> 00:17:54,680 黄多头再买回空头 405 00:17:54,680 --> 00:17:57,940 因此空头黄多头正在倒卖 406 00:17:57,940 --> 00:18:00,279 他们对市场走低没有信心 407 00:18:00,279 --> 00:18:03,509 而多头也买入了突破空头 408 00:18:03,509 --> 00:18:05,569 知道这是图表的主要特征 409 00:18:05,569 --> 00:18:07,170 市场有可能走高 410 00:18:07,170 --> 00:18:08,309 只要能赚钱 411 00:18:08,309 --> 00:18:09,450 他们就会卖出 412 00:18:09,450 --> 00:18:13,200 但他们知道价格太低了啊 413 00:18:19,700 --> 00:18:23,279 最终他们卖出卖出赚钱卖出 414 00:18:23,279 --> 00:18:24,359 然后放弃 415 00:18:24,359 --> 00:18:27,660 一旦他们看到一对像这样的大多头K线 416 00:18:27,660 --> 00:18:30,799 我们就有可能开始震荡上行 417 00:18:31,819 --> 00:18:34,519 这里是一个圆形顶部 418 00:18:34,519 --> 00:18:36,220 一个头肩止损位 419 00:18:36,220 --> 00:18:38,220 左肩头部右肩 420 00:18:38,220 --> 00:18:40,619 它发展成一个更大的圆形顶 421 00:18:40,619 --> 00:18:43,839 不一个头肩止损位上方的失败突破 422 00:18:43,839 --> 00:18:47,980 现在我们有一个嵌套的头肩止损位 423 00:18:51,019 --> 00:18:54,880 左肩头部右肩他变成了一个更大的头肩止损位 424 00:18:54,880 --> 00:18:56,359 左肩头部右肩 425 00:18:56,359 --> 00:18:57,099 再说一遍 426 00:18:57,099 --> 00:18:58,859 我不把这称为圆顶 427 00:18:58,859 --> 00:19:00,259 我不用这个词 428 00:19:00,259 --> 00:19:01,880 这里没有明确的信号 429 00:19:01,880 --> 00:19:03,579 也许在这里下方卖出 430 00:19:03,579 --> 00:19:05,470 也许在这里下方卖出 431 00:19:05,470 --> 00:19:08,009 你在多头K线下方卖出概率不高 432 00:19:08,009 --> 00:19:11,299 尽管三次推升123概率较高 433 00:19:11,299 --> 00:19:13,880 你要等待一对大空头K线和突破 434 00:19:13,880 --> 00:19:15,960 然后开始卖出平仓 435 00:19:16,720 --> 00:19:18,480 多头通道非常紧密 436 00:19:18,480 --> 00:19:21,220 可能第一次向下反转是小反转 437 00:19:21,220 --> 00:19:22,500 市场会横盘 438 00:19:22,500 --> 00:19:27,140 然后可能形成低位高位的大趋势反转啊 439 00:19:35,579 --> 00:19:37,859 你可以去看双顶更低的高点 440 00:19:37,859 --> 00:19:39,019 主要趋势反转 441 00:19:39,019 --> 00:19:40,819 像样的卖出信号栏 442 00:19:40,819 --> 00:19:43,779 很多空头投资者会持有空头止损 443 00:19:43,779 --> 00:19:44,880 在这个高点之上 444 00:19:44,880 --> 00:19:46,980 他们不会再反转上涨势离场 445 00:19:46,980 --> 00:19:49,319 有些空投会在下跌两段后退出 446 00:19:49,319 --> 00:19:50,740 一段是回调两段 447 00:19:50,740 --> 00:19:52,619 一段是训练区间的底部 448 00:19:52,619 --> 00:19:56,849 然后他们会在这里或这个微型双顶下方 449 00:19:56,849 --> 00:19:59,289 再次迈出双顶更低的高点 450 00:19:59,289 --> 00:20:00,670 主要趋势反转 451 00:20:00,670 --> 00:20:02,250 我们有一个多头突破 452 00:20:02,250 --> 00:20:03,894 但失败了 453 00:20:06,920 --> 00:20:07,880 如果你愿意 454 00:20:07,880 --> 00:20:10,089 可以称之为楔形高点降低 455 00:20:10,089 --> 00:20:11,369 我们有一个高点 456 00:20:11,369 --> 00:20:12,309 更低的高点 457 00:20:12,309 --> 00:20:13,210 更低的高点 458 00:20:13,210 --> 00:20:14,250 我们有一个低点 459 00:20:14,250 --> 00:20:15,130 更低的低点 460 00:20:15,130 --> 00:20:16,029 更低的低点 461 00:20:16,029 --> 00:20:18,279 一个早期空头趋势 462 00:20:18,519 --> 00:20:22,710 因此一些交易者会寻求低价抛售机械型 463 00:20:22,710 --> 00:20:23,829 更低的高点 464 00:20:23,829 --> 00:20:26,809 更高的概率是在例如第二次收盘后 465 00:20:26,809 --> 00:20:28,944 开始卖出收盘价 466 00:20:30,740 --> 00:20:32,220 两个大空头趋势 467 00:20:32,220 --> 00:20:35,799 K线形收盘价低于过去50条左右的低点 468 00:20:35,799 --> 00:20:37,659 我们很可能会走低 469 00:20:37,659 --> 00:20:41,598 交易者开始在这里这里这里卖出收盘价 470 00:20:41,598 --> 00:20:44,618 在哪里卖出都无所谓 471 00:20:45,380 --> 00:20:47,819 止损点在这里止损点很远 472 00:20:47,819 --> 00:20:49,000 风险很大 473 00:20:49,000 --> 00:20:51,339 然而你得到的是高概率 474 00:20:51,339 --> 00:20:55,900 很多交易者不介意为高概率付出更大的风险 475 00:20:56,589 --> 00:20:57,450 要知道 476 00:20:57,450 --> 00:21:01,869 有时读到的旧书会把圆形顶部称为分布形态 477 00:21:01,869 --> 00:21:04,730 强势多头在K线上方卖出头寸 478 00:21:04,730 --> 00:21:08,390 将头寸派发给弱势多头和空头 479 00:21:21,240 --> 00:21:22,460 这就是分布形态 480 00:21:22,460 --> 00:21:23,119 对我来说 481 00:21:23,119 --> 00:21:24,420 这是一个多头趋势 482 00:21:24,420 --> 00:21:25,420 一个交易区间 483 00:21:25,420 --> 00:21:27,319 市场处于突破模式 484 00:21:27,319 --> 00:21:29,920 50%的机会使趋势恢复向上 485 00:21:29,920 --> 00:21:32,380 50%的机会使趋势反转向下 486 00:21:32,380 --> 00:21:34,480 一旦出现这样的一对大空头K线 487 00:21:34,480 --> 00:21:37,779 60%的可能性就是震荡下跌 488 00:21:38,209 --> 00:21:41,048 强势空头寻找这些多头突破 489 00:21:41,048 --> 00:21:43,400 他们认为市场正在见顶 490 00:21:43,400 --> 00:21:47,380 每当他们看到强势多头K线在高位收盘时 491 00:21:47,380 --> 00:21:49,599 他们就会卖出 492 00:21:53,779 --> 00:21:54,640 他们卖出 493 00:21:54,640 --> 00:21:56,289 你可以看到后续走势 494 00:21:56,289 --> 00:21:59,029 一根多头K线空头就卖出 495 00:21:59,029 --> 00:22:01,089 因此强势空头压住 496 00:22:01,089 --> 00:22:04,569 所有这些反转尝试都会失败 497 00:22:07,599 --> 00:22:10,019 强势多头也怀疑价格过高 498 00:22:10,019 --> 00:22:11,880 希望买入更低的价格 499 00:22:11,880 --> 00:22:14,259 最终只剩下疲软的多头 500 00:22:14,259 --> 00:22:16,240 他们放弃了 501 00:22:17,539 --> 00:22:19,400 强势多头想买低点 502 00:22:19,400 --> 00:22:20,579 所以他们不买 503 00:22:20,579 --> 00:22:22,440 他们想在这里买入 504 00:22:22,440 --> 00:22:24,039 若是多头买入 505 00:22:24,039 --> 00:22:28,000 然后他们放弃圆形顶部和底部 506 00:22:33,519 --> 00:22:35,159 我不使用这些术语 507 00:22:35,159 --> 00:22:37,699 因为这些形态总是另有寓意 508 00:22:37,699 --> 00:22:39,078 比如头肩形态 509 00:22:39,078 --> 00:22:40,479 主要趋势反转 510 00:22:40,479 --> 00:22:42,859 我是艾尔布鲁克斯 511 00:22:46,079 --> 00:22:48,779 感谢您收看布鲁克斯交易课程 512 00:22:48,779 --> 00:22:50,339 圆顶和圆底视频 513 00:22:50,339 --> 00:22:54,319 到此结束结束结束
评论采集失败
采集完成，该视频无弹幕