BV1NyGv6VEZ9 · 请不要叫我梁同学1 00:00:03,540 --> 00:00:04,299 大家好 2 00:00:04,299 --> 00:00:07,000 今天是5月22号星期五 3 00:00:07,000 --> 00:00:09,599 我们继续分析美股 4 00:00:09,599 --> 00:00:11,779 先看消息面 5 00:00:12,810 --> 00:00:14,669 AI驱动盈利增长 6 00:00:14,669 --> 00:00:16,730 标普500指数的盈利增长 7 00:00:16,730 --> 00:00:19,769 核心动力源于科技巨头 8 00:00:19,769 --> 00:00:23,469 人工智能公司被视为指数实现超20% 9 00:00:23,469 --> 00:00:26,109 盈利增长的主因 10 00:00:27,039 --> 00:00:30,260 科技巨头持续领跑科技板块 11 00:00:30,260 --> 00:00:31,160 由英伟达 12 00:00:31,160 --> 00:00:33,320 苹果和微软等公司主导 13 00:00:33,320 --> 00:00:35,030 表现强劲 14 00:00:35,030 --> 00:00:36,768 核心驱动力 15 00:00:36,768 --> 00:00:38,069 标普500指数 16 00:00:38,069 --> 00:00:41,448 盈利增长的核心动力仍来自科技巨头 17 00:00:41,448 --> 00:00:44,950 其中人工智能公司被视为2026年 18 00:00:44,950 --> 00:00:48,450 指数实现超20%盈利增长的主因 19 00:00:48,450 --> 00:00:51,018 板块表现强劲 20 00:00:51,018 --> 00:00:52,039 以英伟达 21 00:00:52,039 --> 00:00:56,130 苹果和微软等公司为主导的科技板块表现强劲 22 00:00:56,130 --> 00:00:58,049 超过90%的公司 23 00:00:58,049 --> 00:01:00,890 连续四个季度超出盈利预期 24 00:01:00,890 --> 00:01:02,950 分析师积极上调 25 00:01:02,950 --> 00:01:04,870 在第一季度结束后 26 00:01:04,870 --> 00:01:07,010 科技板块的整体盈利预期 27 00:01:07,010 --> 00:01:09,310 获得了分析师的积极上调 28 00:01:09,310 --> 00:01:11,909 市场信心充足 29 00:01:12,939 --> 00:01:14,789 多板块协同增长 30 00:01:14,789 --> 00:01:16,549 除医疗保健外 31 00:01:16,549 --> 00:01:19,409 各行业均呈增长态势 32 00:01:19,409 --> 00:01:22,519 能源与科技板块表现尤为突出 33 00:01:22,519 --> 00:01:24,599 行业增长广泛 34 00:01:24,599 --> 00:01:26,939 除医疗保健板块外 35 00:01:26,939 --> 00:01:29,659 各行业均呈现增长态势 36 00:01:29,659 --> 00:01:33,049 能源和科技板块的强劲表现 37 00:01:33,049 --> 00:01:37,769 有效对冲了因伊朗战争导致油价上涨而引发的 38 00:01:37,769 --> 00:01:39,739 消费者信心疲软 39 00:01:39,739 --> 00:01:41,728 通信服务超预期 40 00:01:41,728 --> 00:01:46,808 通信服务和可选消费品板块的表现最令人惊喜 41 00:01:46,808 --> 00:01:50,609 材料和工业板块也均超出了市场预期 42 00:01:50,609 --> 00:01:54,129 显示出增长势头的广泛性 43 00:01:55,379 --> 00:01:57,299 整体业绩创佳绩 44 00:01:57,299 --> 00:02:02,609 约93%的标普500成份股已公布财报 45 00:02:02,609 --> 00:02:06,489 其中83%的业绩超过分析师预期 46 00:02:07,200 --> 00:02:10,479 创下2021年以来的最高水平 47 00:02:11,069 --> 00:02:13,050 重演利润繁荣 48 00:02:13,050 --> 00:02:17,409 若周期性行业和非AI板块持续贡献 49 00:02:17,409 --> 00:02:20,330 同时AI板块继续创造利润 50 00:02:20,330 --> 00:02:22,210 2026年或将重演 51 00:02:22,210 --> 00:02:25,110 2021年疫情后的利润繁荣 52 00:02:25,110 --> 00:02:29,469 而非陷入周期末期的经济放缓 53 00:02:31,520 --> 00:02:33,360 警惕市场泡沫风险 54 00:02:33,360 --> 00:02:34,979 策略师MICHAEL警告 55 00:02:34,979 --> 00:02:37,319 即将进行的超大型IPO 56 00:02:37,319 --> 00:02:39,620 可能推动科技股权重 57 00:02:39,620 --> 00:02:42,580 超过历史泡沫时期的集中度水平 58 00:02:44,659 --> 00:02:47,789 超级IPO引发警示 59 00:02:47,789 --> 00:02:48,990 策略师警告 60 00:02:48,990 --> 00:02:51,129 即将进行的超大型IPO 61 00:02:51,129 --> 00:02:53,289 可能推动科技股权重 62 00:02:53,289 --> 00:02:56,409 超过历史泡沫时期的集中度水平 63 00:02:56,409 --> 00:02:58,389 史上最大IPO计划 64 00:02:58,389 --> 00:03:00,270 马斯克旗下SPACEX 65 00:03:00,270 --> 00:03:04,530 已制定了全球最大规模的首次公开募股计划 66 00:03:04,530 --> 00:03:07,330 而ChatGPT开发商OpenAI 67 00:03:07,330 --> 00:03:10,800 也力图抢在竞争对手之前上市 68 00:03:10,800 --> 00:03:12,620 加剧市场集中度 69 00:03:12,620 --> 00:03:14,360 这些巨额股票发行 70 00:03:14,360 --> 00:03:18,860 将助长围绕科技股和人工智能股的乐观情绪 71 00:03:18,860 --> 00:03:22,419 而这种乐观情绪已经驱动了数10年来 72 00:03:22,419 --> 00:03:24,930 范围最窄的上涨行情之一 73 00:03:24,930 --> 00:03:26,830 泡沫味太浓 74 00:03:26,830 --> 00:03:29,689 市场呈现价格走势强劲 75 00:03:29,689 --> 00:03:32,490 散户狂热波动率下滑的特征 76 00:03:32,490 --> 00:03:36,120 他评价称泡沫味太浓 77 00:03:37,780 --> 00:03:39,659 集中度逼近红线 78 00:03:39,659 --> 00:03:41,620 科技股已占标普500指数 79 00:03:41,620 --> 00:03:43,719 超44%的权重 80 00:03:43,719 --> 00:03:44,800 超级IPO 81 00:03:44,800 --> 00:03:48,870 可能使其突破48%的历史泡沫红线 82 00:03:48,870 --> 00:03:50,710 权重已达峰值 83 00:03:50,710 --> 00:03:53,189 科技股已经占标普500指数 84 00:03:53,189 --> 00:03:55,349 超过44%的权重 85 00:03:55,349 --> 00:03:58,599 市场集中度风险已不容忽视 86 00:03:58,599 --> 00:04:00,939 突破历史泡沫水平 87 00:04:00,939 --> 00:04:05,469 若叠加SPACEX和OpenAI等AI巨头的体量 88 00:04:05,469 --> 00:04:09,370 市场集中度将轻易突破48% 89 00:04:09,370 --> 00:04:11,169 超越咆哮年代 90 00:04:11,169 --> 00:04:16,019 日本泡沫及科技互联网泡沫的历史峰值 91 00:04:16,019 --> 00:04:17,990 机构配置难题 92 00:04:17,990 --> 00:04:20,310 指数权重的过度倾斜 93 00:04:20,310 --> 00:04:22,910 给资产配置者带来棘手的风险 94 00:04:22,910 --> 00:04:23,850 管理难题 95 00:04:23,850 --> 00:04:26,990 迫使机构被动偏离基准 96 00:04:30,899 --> 00:04:32,420 科技板块的繁荣 97 00:04:37,988 --> 00:04:40,528 板块的潜在弱点 98 00:04:41,490 --> 00:04:44,110 掩盖板块弱点啊 99 00:04:44,110 --> 00:04:47,750 那么科技板块掩盖的弱点呢 100 00:04:47,750 --> 00:04:51,949 使得市场表面繁荣之下潜藏着结构性风险 101 00:04:51,949 --> 00:04:53,730 历史预警信号 102 00:04:53,730 --> 00:04:54,550 历史上 103 00:04:54,550 --> 00:04:57,160 沙特阿美和麦泰坦公司的上市 104 00:04:57,160 --> 00:05:00,779 已被证明对更广泛股市无关紧要 105 00:05:00,779 --> 00:05:03,899 而visa等公司上市后9~12个月 106 00:05:03,899 --> 00:05:05,740 市场往往走低 107 00:05:05,740 --> 00:05:07,079 泡沫终结者 108 00:05:07,079 --> 00:05:07,920 他表示 109 00:05:07,920 --> 00:05:09,399 债券收益率的飙升 110 00:05:09,399 --> 00:05:14,970 将是终结当前市场繁荣和泡沫的关键因素 111 00:05:15,290 --> 00:05:18,139 好我们看一下今天市场的表现 112 00:05:18,139 --> 00:05:19,819 纳指收涨一点点 113 00:05:19,819 --> 00:05:23,019 我们看到市场测试了左边最高点附近之后呢 114 00:05:23,019 --> 00:05:24,800 出现了长长的上影线 115 00:05:24,800 --> 00:05:27,759 那么二次探顶的交易者也就是空头呢 116 00:05:27,759 --> 00:05:30,120 可能会尝试做空哈 117 00:05:30,750 --> 00:05:32,209 那么对于DOTA来说呢 118 00:05:32,209 --> 00:05:33,829 你也可以减仓 119 00:05:33,829 --> 00:05:36,110 也可以继续看一看 120 00:05:36,350 --> 00:05:38,730 因为空头并非那么强势哈 121 00:05:38,730 --> 00:05:41,149 那么即便是今天啊有上影线 122 00:05:41,149 --> 00:05:42,990 今天仍旧还是收涨 123 00:05:42,990 --> 00:05:46,470 我们看一下15分钟图对吧 124 00:05:46,470 --> 00:05:50,310 市场啊慢慢悠悠的又到了钱包附近 125 00:05:50,310 --> 00:05:52,050 那空头怎么不发力呢 126 00:05:52,050 --> 00:05:55,750 嗯确实啊看起来不是太有力度哈是吧 127 00:05:55,750 --> 00:05:56,829 哎空头不是太强 128 00:05:56,829 --> 00:05:59,509 目前看起来说会不会见顶 129 00:05:59,790 --> 00:06:00,970 应该不会吧 130 00:06:00,970 --> 00:06:03,129 啊是吧 131 00:06:03,129 --> 00:06:05,370 呃市场很复杂的 132 00:06:05,370 --> 00:06:06,649 其实同一个位置啊 133 00:06:06,649 --> 00:06:07,649 你看啥都可以 134 00:06:08,649 --> 00:06:09,649 但是你要看空吗 135 00:06:09,649 --> 00:06:13,309 现在好像也没有正确答案是吧啊 136 00:06:13,309 --> 00:06:14,548 也可以继续看涨 137 00:06:14,548 --> 00:06:17,668 或者稍微震荡洗一下盘也可以啊 138 00:06:17,668 --> 00:06:20,579 特别是个别股票涨势不足哈 139 00:06:20,579 --> 00:06:23,540 啊所以究竟会怎么样呢 140 00:06:23,540 --> 00:06:25,300 嗯大家可以各抒己见哈 141 00:06:25,300 --> 00:06:28,279 但我目前还不能猜更大的回撤 142 00:06:28,279 --> 00:06:30,300 目前还是多头哈 143 00:06:30,500 --> 00:06:31,939 我们看一下罗素的感觉 144 00:06:31,939 --> 00:06:36,139 你看罗素过去这三个交易日又是阳线哈 145 00:06:36,139 --> 00:06:36,939 三根阳线 146 00:06:36,939 --> 00:06:38,819 你说踩顶吗 147 00:06:39,379 --> 00:06:40,980 好猜点也是有道理的 148 00:06:40,980 --> 00:06:41,459 猜吗 149 00:06:41,459 --> 00:06:43,500 不想猜嗯 150 00:06:44,579 --> 00:06:47,038 好我们看一下谁呢 151 00:06:47,038 --> 00:06:48,939 我们看下道指诶 152 00:06:48,939 --> 00:06:50,598 你看道指上去了 153 00:06:50,598 --> 00:06:51,629 创了新高 154 00:06:51,629 --> 00:06:52,509 对不对 155 00:06:52,509 --> 00:06:53,009 诶 156 00:06:53,009 --> 00:06:54,889 连着三根阳线上来创了新高 157 00:06:54,889 --> 00:06:57,029 这有时候创新高也可以见顶啊 158 00:06:57,029 --> 00:06:57,930 你可以再调回来 159 00:06:57,930 --> 00:06:58,970 那倒是 160 00:06:58,970 --> 00:07:01,410 但是那是逆势交易者的想法 161 00:07:01,410 --> 00:07:03,029 我们是顺势交易者 162 00:07:03,029 --> 00:07:05,040 近期的波段很有效哈 163 00:07:05,040 --> 00:07:07,519 特别是之前这个阴线来的时候 164 00:07:07,519 --> 00:07:10,149 后边啊没有使劲砸盘哈 165 00:07:10,149 --> 00:07:12,949 那么这周啊多头上去了 166 00:07:12,949 --> 00:07:15,589 所以现在呢还是多头更强啊 167 00:07:15,589 --> 00:07:17,689 我们看一下15分钟头啊 168 00:07:17,689 --> 00:07:18,550 上去之后呢 169 00:07:18,550 --> 00:07:21,310 有一定的震荡很正常 170 00:07:24,060 --> 00:07:27,730 好我们看一下标普啊 171 00:07:27,730 --> 00:07:29,189 标普整体而言也是一样哈 172 00:07:29,189 --> 00:07:30,569 和纳指类似 173 00:07:30,569 --> 00:07:33,170 看下15分钟图嗯 174 00:07:33,170 --> 00:07:34,970 这是一个高位和盘震荡啊 175 00:07:34,970 --> 00:07:37,550 不能看空啊 176 00:07:37,550 --> 00:07:39,389 当然也有人可以看空哈 177 00:07:39,389 --> 00:07:42,019 暂时我是不看空啊 178 00:07:42,379 --> 00:07:44,420 我们好记得这波回撤的时候 179 00:07:44,420 --> 00:07:46,860 就说先看一看回撤的深浅问题啊 180 00:07:46,860 --> 00:07:50,069 比较浅好 181 00:07:50,069 --> 00:07:52,490 我们看一下市场分布的情况啊 182 00:07:52,490 --> 00:07:57,120 嗯今天的市场半导体微跌一点点哈 183 00:07:57,120 --> 00:07:58,740 互联网也是危机啊 184 00:07:58,740 --> 00:08:01,060 消费电子和软件上涨 185 00:08:01,060 --> 00:08:03,379 药品上涨嗯 186 00:08:03,379 --> 00:08:04,399 应用软件上涨 187 00:08:05,560 --> 00:08:06,620 半导体设备上涨 188 00:08:06,620 --> 00:08:08,240 汽车OK哈 189 00:08:08,240 --> 00:08:12,639 计算机硬件和这个通讯设备OK是吧 190 00:08:12,639 --> 00:08:13,839 其他的都一般啊 191 00:08:13,839 --> 00:08:16,699 所以今天不是一个空头交易日哈 192 00:08:16,699 --> 00:08:18,279 今天是一个多头交易日 193 00:08:18,279 --> 00:08:20,660 只不过市场再次摸到了前方高点啊 194 00:08:20,660 --> 00:08:21,860 有一定的回撤 195 00:08:21,860 --> 00:08:25,410 至于啊后续啊怎么变 196 00:08:25,410 --> 00:08:28,709 我们还需要看空头儿进一步反攻的情况啊 197 00:08:28,709 --> 00:08:33,509 啊今天领涨的板块呢有铝太空主题啊 198 00:08:33,509 --> 00:08:34,590 激光雷达 199 00:08:35,830 --> 00:08:39,919 这个特斯拉自动驾驶3D打印计算机硬件 200 00:08:39,919 --> 00:08:43,379 你看我们之前这个戴尔和这个RJTI是吧 201 00:08:43,379 --> 00:08:44,259 量子计算啊 202 00:08:44,259 --> 00:08:46,470 今天都是暴涨吧 203 00:08:47,070 --> 00:08:49,470 好太阳能也是OK的是吧 204 00:08:49,470 --> 00:08:52,889 那么整体而言呢广度应该在增加哈 205 00:08:52,889 --> 00:08:55,149 因为英伟达也没怎么涨 206 00:08:55,360 --> 00:08:58,068 我们不妨先看一下戴尔啊 207 00:08:58,389 --> 00:09:00,489 嗯大暴涨 208 00:09:00,489 --> 00:09:04,428 我清晰的记得我们头肩大底那些形态是吧 209 00:09:04,428 --> 00:09:06,788 你看这市场上去了吧 210 00:09:06,788 --> 00:09:13,359 嗯所以啊不能过于的看什么点强空 211 00:09:13,359 --> 00:09:15,078 所以这里能猜逆势吗 212 00:09:15,078 --> 00:09:17,599 不能我们发现有很多图片都可以 213 00:09:17,599 --> 00:09:18,719 一直直勾勾的涨 214 00:09:18,719 --> 00:09:20,719 因此你不能老是频繁猜逆势啊 215 00:09:20,719 --> 00:09:22,669 不能猜老是踩顶是吧 216 00:09:22,759 --> 00:09:24,200 这是戴尔 217 00:09:24,200 --> 00:09:26,899 我们看一下他日内的15分钟图哇 218 00:09:26,899 --> 00:09:28,080 直接弄上来 219 00:09:28,080 --> 00:09:29,720 空头也不使劲砸盘 220 00:09:30,799 --> 00:09:32,370 目前不能看空 221 00:09:37,440 --> 00:09:39,799 那么这里我们还比较熟悉的是谁呢 222 00:09:39,799 --> 00:09:41,240 是这个量子计算哈 223 00:09:41,240 --> 00:09:42,179 我们看一下 224 00:09:42,179 --> 00:09:44,039 然后大阳线啊 225 00:09:44,039 --> 00:09:46,750 这个我们关注了好久了吧 226 00:09:47,759 --> 00:09:50,360 好那么怎么办 227 00:09:51,139 --> 00:09:52,499 继续看涨也可以哈 228 00:09:52,499 --> 00:09:54,219 中间这块又遇到阻力区了啊 229 00:09:54,219 --> 00:09:55,940 要注意嗯 230 00:09:56,899 --> 00:09:58,940 好这是两个领涨的 231 00:09:58,940 --> 00:10:01,690 我们回到我们的列表 232 00:10:02,169 --> 00:10:05,110 我们的高通今天也是大暴涨哈 233 00:10:05,110 --> 00:10:09,330 那么这里止跌之后连着涨上来了对吧 234 00:10:09,809 --> 00:10:12,610 他也是测试了高点之后的一个回调 235 00:10:12,610 --> 00:10:14,730 回调之后再次恢复上涨 236 00:10:14,730 --> 00:10:17,850 我们不妨画一个新的上涨趋势线 237 00:10:19,320 --> 00:10:21,820 我们看一下25分钟图嗯 238 00:10:21,820 --> 00:10:22,919 连涨之后啊 239 00:10:22,919 --> 00:10:24,460 高位窄幅横盘啊 240 00:10:24,460 --> 00:10:26,519 空头不强 241 00:10:27,779 --> 00:10:28,759 没人愿意卖 242 00:10:28,759 --> 00:10:31,399 就叫空头步枪都愿意买 243 00:10:31,399 --> 00:10:32,840 才会出现大阳线 244 00:10:32,840 --> 00:10:33,620 当然啊 245 00:10:33,620 --> 00:10:34,779 这句话不是绝对的 246 00:10:34,779 --> 00:10:37,789 但目前而言可以这么说啊 247 00:10:37,789 --> 00:10:39,190 就是说根据当前的状况 248 00:10:39,190 --> 00:10:43,009 我先这么一个给这么给这么一个判断啊 249 00:10:43,009 --> 00:10:44,590 还是多头在买入啊 250 00:10:44,590 --> 00:10:46,190 而不是要卖 251 00:10:47,210 --> 00:10:48,649 好这是这个 252 00:10:48,649 --> 00:10:51,169 那么之前那些底部股呢也都在涨 253 00:10:51,169 --> 00:10:54,578 我们看一下AMD啊啊你看按AMD又上去了 254 00:10:54,578 --> 00:10:55,499 按照我们的画法 255 00:10:55,499 --> 00:10:56,938 趋势线应该调整到这里来 256 00:10:56,938 --> 00:10:58,330 跟大盘保持一致 257 00:10:58,330 --> 00:10:59,690 那他又创了新高 258 00:10:59,690 --> 00:11:01,289 你看道指都在创新高呢 259 00:11:01,289 --> 00:11:04,879 你说这个风口浪尖上的热门股票 260 00:11:04,879 --> 00:11:08,799 是创新高概率高还是筑顶概率高呢 261 00:11:09,490 --> 00:11:10,809 15分钟也是一样哈 262 00:11:10,809 --> 00:11:12,409 其实都有可能哈 263 00:11:12,409 --> 00:11:13,529 都有可能 264 00:11:13,529 --> 00:11:14,610 但倾向于谁呢 265 00:11:14,610 --> 00:11:17,009 还是多头都有可能哈 266 00:11:17,009 --> 00:11:19,169 可能性不能排除 267 00:11:20,509 --> 00:11:22,110 好我们继续看几只啊 268 00:11:23,309 --> 00:11:25,799 嗯我们看下特斯拉是吧 269 00:11:25,799 --> 00:11:28,019 今特斯拉这周止跌之后啊 270 00:11:28,019 --> 00:11:29,279 又弹起来了吧 271 00:11:29,279 --> 00:11:31,159 整体态势没有变啊 272 00:11:31,159 --> 00:11:32,690 我们之前说过哈 273 00:11:32,690 --> 00:11:33,690 就这片儿啊 274 00:11:33,690 --> 00:11:36,809 当前这片的做法有可能像这样震也这震 275 00:11:36,809 --> 00:11:40,370 或者这种震荡上行都可以接受啊 276 00:11:40,370 --> 00:11:42,370 这种走法是熊市吗 277 00:11:42,370 --> 00:11:43,490 不是 278 00:11:44,960 --> 00:11:48,940 很多人就希望听到啊安全这两个字啊 279 00:11:48,940 --> 00:11:51,899 目前是安全的好 280 00:11:51,899 --> 00:11:53,399 我们继续挑几值 281 00:11:53,399 --> 00:11:55,538 刚才提到了meta是meta 282 00:11:55,538 --> 00:11:56,379 这个还可以做多吗 283 00:11:56,379 --> 00:11:56,859 可以啊 284 00:11:56,859 --> 00:11:58,370 为什么不能呢 285 00:11:58,649 --> 00:11:59,570 它怎么不涨呢 286 00:11:59,570 --> 00:12:00,009 有人说 287 00:12:01,129 --> 00:12:02,049 甭管他为什么啊 288 00:12:02,049 --> 00:12:03,370 反正也猜不准 289 00:12:03,370 --> 00:12:05,759 反正没跌就行了是吧 290 00:12:06,039 --> 00:12:07,220 这片横着 291 00:12:07,220 --> 00:12:09,220 我们说横盘最难判断了哈 292 00:12:09,220 --> 00:12:11,179 你看我们这些小小规律哈 293 00:12:11,179 --> 00:12:13,080 小定律还都挺重要的 294 00:12:13,080 --> 00:12:14,990 这小横盘最难判断了 295 00:12:14,990 --> 00:12:16,830 按照当前的感觉呢 296 00:12:16,830 --> 00:12:20,720 整体的氛围呢感觉还是上涨概率高一点哈 297 00:12:20,720 --> 00:12:22,720 但是说上方有个缺口 298 00:12:22,720 --> 00:12:23,740 下方也有缺口 299 00:12:23,740 --> 00:12:25,200 它是涨还是跌呢 300 00:12:25,200 --> 00:12:27,379 好像两个缺口都有吸引力是吧 301 00:12:27,379 --> 00:12:28,440 它可以把它吸下去 302 00:12:28,440 --> 00:12:30,419 也可以把它弄上吸上去 303 00:12:30,419 --> 00:12:32,039 所以这就是震荡行情了 304 00:12:32,039 --> 00:12:35,539 震荡行情做多之后止损放在下方嗯 305 00:12:37,100 --> 00:12:39,679 好这是meta好 306 00:12:39,679 --> 00:12:41,820 我们看到也有红色区域啊 307 00:12:41,820 --> 00:12:43,220 我们看一下PALETIER 308 00:12:43,220 --> 00:12:44,059 Talent tier 309 00:12:44,059 --> 00:12:46,818 在这墨迹呢跟meta似的是吧 310 00:12:46,818 --> 00:12:48,899 嗯但是啊DOTA止损没打掉啊 311 00:12:48,899 --> 00:12:50,239 所以只能先守着 312 00:12:50,239 --> 00:12:51,019 对 313 00:12:51,019 --> 00:12:52,979 不用做决策 314 00:12:53,509 --> 00:12:54,749 不用做决策 315 00:12:54,749 --> 00:12:55,908 可以叠吗 316 00:12:55,908 --> 00:12:57,908 一切皆有可能哈 317 00:12:57,908 --> 00:12:59,688 这么窄幅的波动哈 318 00:12:59,688 --> 00:13:01,519 这么不起不不 319 00:13:01,519 --> 00:13:03,490 这个叫不愿意暴涨 320 00:13:03,730 --> 00:13:07,769 那么下跌的概率就比较比之前要增加了几分啊 321 00:13:07,769 --> 00:13:09,950 多头一定要提高警惕 322 00:13:09,950 --> 00:13:11,070 为什么呢 323 00:13:11,070 --> 00:13:12,789 因为这图之前暴涨过了 324 00:13:14,190 --> 00:13:16,909 他对吧 325 00:13:18,360 --> 00:13:20,600 好我们看下谁 326 00:13:20,600 --> 00:13:22,360 我们看一下英伟达 327 00:13:22,360 --> 00:13:25,019 英伟达今天还在回踩这个支撑位哈 328 00:13:25,019 --> 00:13:27,629 这支撑位现在能猜熊市吗 329 00:13:27,629 --> 00:13:30,269 感觉还不能猜熊市啊是吧 330 00:13:30,269 --> 00:13:32,139 还有那些图带领涨的 331 00:13:32,139 --> 00:13:34,139 所以说他是这个图呢 332 00:13:34,139 --> 00:13:36,120 他就是走一波回撤一步 333 00:13:36,120 --> 00:13:37,750 那真要见顶的话 334 00:13:37,750 --> 00:13:39,830 自然会会有感触感受到的哈 335 00:13:39,830 --> 00:13:40,549 现在是吗 336 00:13:40,549 --> 00:13:41,529 不是啊 337 00:13:41,529 --> 00:13:42,409 还不是啊 338 00:13:42,409 --> 00:13:43,509 目前不确定 339 00:13:43,509 --> 00:13:45,820 那么今天的阴线一般吧 340 00:13:45,820 --> 00:13:47,120 中等偏强一点 341 00:13:47,120 --> 00:13:49,019 我们看下15分钟到啊 342 00:13:49,019 --> 00:13:50,740 他就是回踩这个支撑位的哈 343 00:13:50,740 --> 00:13:53,179 当然这是目前的一个看法 344 00:13:53,179 --> 00:13:54,220 那么能否止跌 345 00:13:54,220 --> 00:13:56,879 需要下周来止跌确认会更好啊 346 00:13:56,879 --> 00:13:58,919 那如果下周是选择向下的话 347 00:13:58,919 --> 00:14:00,340 那就麻烦了 348 00:14:00,340 --> 00:14:02,500 那就有更更深的回调啊 349 00:14:02,500 --> 00:14:03,740 更宽幅的震荡 350 00:14:03,740 --> 00:14:09,389 也就是说英伟达走一两到这走一两条腿之后啊 351 00:14:09,389 --> 00:14:10,809 就要不断的无序震荡 352 00:14:10,809 --> 00:14:13,649 这个对于大部分交易者来说都是难的哈 353 00:14:13,649 --> 00:14:15,649 因为他不是波段交易者 354 00:14:15,649 --> 00:14:18,730 所以英伟达的风险在于交易难度在增加 355 00:14:18,730 --> 00:14:22,500 就跟过去两三年特斯拉的走势类似啊 356 00:14:22,500 --> 00:14:25,399 大家一定要注意他为什么这边走呢 357 00:14:25,399 --> 00:14:26,980 因为它市值太大了哈 358 00:14:26,980 --> 00:14:29,179 大资金不愿意拉动了 359 00:14:29,179 --> 00:14:30,379 这都说不准啊 360 00:14:30,379 --> 00:14:31,700 我们继续观察吧 361 00:14:31,700 --> 00:14:33,200 如果走宽幅震荡的话 362 00:14:33,200 --> 00:14:38,240 这就有交易难度嗯是吧好 363 00:14:38,240 --> 00:14:39,460 这个周末呢 364 00:14:39,460 --> 00:14:42,759 我们将录制牛股内容和热热股内容哈 365 00:14:42,759 --> 00:14:45,679 大家可以去成为绿宝石会员观看啊
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