美股 SPCE继续大暴涨！NVDA250亿发债的算计！2000亿美元IPO潮来袭！RKLB、MU、SOXL、NBIS、CRWV、PLTR、TSLA、黄金

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大家好

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我们继续分析美股

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本期内容包括对基本面的跟进

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随后分析大盘指数和热门股票

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从芯片到资本

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英伟达250亿发债背后的算力军备赛

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巨额发债与超额认购

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英伟达时隔5年重返投资级债券市场

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计划筹集250亿美元

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此次发行

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吸引了高达850亿美元的认购需求

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达到拟发售规模的三倍以上

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凸显出投资者对人工智能领域的极度看好

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与急切参与热情

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债券结构与低息定价

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此次债券发行分为七档

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期限覆盖两年至30年

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结构灵活

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得益于强劲的市场需求

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最长期限债券的最终收益率

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定价为

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较美国国债收益率高约0.65个百分点

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成功锁定了较低的长期融资成本

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资金用途与财务优化

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尽管英伟达现金流充沛

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但发债旨在优化资本结构

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募集资金将用于一般企业用途及再融资

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现有债务通过发行低成本长期债券

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降低平均资金成本

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同时避免股权融资

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稀释现有股东权益

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生态投资与股东回报

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为扩大AI生态系统

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英伟达正大举投资英特尔ANTHROPIC

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即OpenAI等合作伙伴

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同时公司也在提高对股东的回报

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这种对外书写与对内回馈并行的策略

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需要庞大的资金支持

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巨投融资与资本比拼

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alphabet和亚马逊等科技巨头正通过大规模发债

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涌入债务市场

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累计融资达数千亿美元

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这直观反映出AI基础设施建设规模空前

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AI产业竞争已演变为一场残酷的资本比拼

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基建投入成核心竞争点

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当前AI赛道的比拼不仅是芯片和模型性能

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更在于能否持续承担庞大的算力

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硬件投入

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随着数据中心等固定资产开支激增

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企业能否借助资本市场保障资金调度

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已成为核心竞争点

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绿协机制全额行使SPACEX857亿募资

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折射资本狂热

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律协机制推高募资总额

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SPACEX的承销商已正式行使超额配售前绿协机制

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使本次IPO总融资额达到857亿美元

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此前公司通过首轮发行已筹集750亿美元

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这一机制的启动

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通常意味着新股上市后市场表现强劲

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进一步凸显了资本市场的狂热

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首日暴涨

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市值破2万亿

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斯SPACEX在纳斯达克上市正式挂牌后

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首日股价大涨逾19%

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市值一举突破2万亿美元大关

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这种强劲的股价表现

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直接触发了成交商行使超额配售权的条件

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其超额配售规模也超过了有记录以来

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几乎所有科技公司的IPO

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火星百万人口愿景宏大

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SPACEX在招股书中反复强调

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其核心愿景是登月登陆火星

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即奔赴更远

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深空公司设定了极具挑战性的宏大目标

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只有当火星建成常住人口

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超过100万的殖民地时

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马斯克才能获得一笔限制性股票的奖励

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市场预测实现概率极低

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尽管愿景宏大

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但预测平台上的交易员普遍认为

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该目标实现尚需多年

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数据显示

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市场压注

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SPACEX在2030年前

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执行载人火星任务的概率仅为18%

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本10年内实现该目标的最高概率

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也从未超过25%

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观望态度明显

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招股书坦言技术难度极高

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SPACEX在招股书中明确表示

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暂无火星载人任务的落地时间表

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文件坦言

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诸多研发项目存在极高技术难度

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依赖尚未验证甚至不存在的全新技术

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因此这类前沿创新项目很难

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甚至完全无法确定推进时间表

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火星战略重心依然清晰

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尽管确切时间表无从知晓

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但SPACEX对火星项目的战略重心十分清晰

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招股书正文中

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火星一词出现了高达63次

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文件配图说明中也提及了一次

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彰显了其长期规划的坚定决心

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2000亿美元IPO潮来袭

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美股流动性面临空前考验

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IPO募资规模突破历史极值

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研究机构分析师警告

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2026年

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美股IPO募资规模有望达到约2000亿美元

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不仅远超1999年和2000年

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互联网泡沫时期的合计规模

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更是2021年投机高峰期

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约1190亿美元的近两倍

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创下历史极值

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全市场股票供给被严重低估

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除IPO外

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alpha bat meta等科技巨头的大规模增发与减持

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将加剧供给压力

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未来3~4个月

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叠加各类股权融资市场

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每月将面临约1000亿美元的股票供给

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持续流涌入

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远超单一IPO数据所反映的体量

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供需缺口巨大且难以弥合

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全美每月新增储蓄仅约390亿美元

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根本无法消化每月1000亿美元的新股供给

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巨大的供需缺口

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意味着

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这一波发行浪潮足以耗尽整个市场的现金储备

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资金面捉襟见肘

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大规模发行抽走存量流动性

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股票发行并不创造新资金

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而是迫使投资者重新配置现有资本

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每一美元投入新股

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便是从其他市场抽走的一美元超级大单

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会与存量流动性形成竞争

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对现有股票价格构成实质性压制

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历史警示发行高峰是转折先兆

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2000年互联网泡沫与2021年spec热潮

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均显示

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创纪录的股票发行

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往往伴随内部人士大规模套现

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最后市场显著下跌

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历史一再表明

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这种极端发行规模并非繁荣的号角

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而是顶部将近的信号

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投资者需警惕出货实际风险

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创纪录的发行规模

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或许说明企业及内部人士认为

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当前正是出货的好时机

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投资者面临的核心问题并非明星公司前景

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而是市场是否有足够资本承接天量供给

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避免对现有资产价格造成冲击

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好我们看一下今天市场的表现

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那么由于这个重大的利好消息

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主要是这个和平协议的签署啊

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啊是一个消息面的一个利好啊

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所以市场呢啊

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在亚洲欧洲时代就已经拉涨了不少哈

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那么今天到美股时代呢去创了一个新高啊

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这是纳指期货

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我们看到啊

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这个数字呢

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已经标在了今天日线K线的最高点啊

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我们看一下我那日线强吗

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强啊多头强

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有人说这空头这么强也就这样了嗯

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因为这里边消息面太多哈

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这里边他一直在逆转这个空头的想法

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我们看一下这个5分钟图

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是吧

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这是我们之前画的线哈

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我们删掉了

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就说我们之前其实就比较比较简单啊

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画好下跌数线

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等待右侧进

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其实过程中还是很复杂的哈

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这里边啊这个波涛汹涌哈

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嗯好我们大概画一下近期的就可以了

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我们把这个局部的小曲线给它或者画长线吧

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画一个趋势线吧

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诶那现在这个位置呢

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我们看到多头还是相当强劲的哈

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那今天的这个跳空缺口

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就是就是消息面导致的哈

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最后市场一直上涨

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我们看到今天美股时段的后半时段呢

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是一个横盘整理哈

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所以接下来一个交易时段啊

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现在亚洲欧洲时段

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看一看空头会不会有强劲的抛盘

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如果有的话

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会不会直接微型反转起来

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如果直接V型反转起来就没问题了

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如果没有下跌的话

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就无所谓

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对不对

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好这里是横盘啊

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表明空头不强啊

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所以我们现在是多头强

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那么现在看起来空头就不强

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我们看下日线也是一样

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好我们看一下罗素

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罗素今天的涨幅不是那么理想哈

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好天空高开冲高回落哈

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没关系哈

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我们的趋势线这么画就可以了

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我们看一下日历的图表

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他的这个空头呢还是略微强了一点

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不过刚才按照我们日线图的这个

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趋势线的画法啊

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没什么太大问题啊

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那么在5分钟图上就是一个回调

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好我们以日线图为标准就好了

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嗯好注意

216
00:11:13,620 --> 00:11:16,399
今天回调也是日内日内级别的回调啊

217
00:11:16,399 --> 00:11:18,019
因为全天是收涨的

218
00:11:18,019 --> 00:11:20,259
因为今天是天空高开嘛

219
00:11:20,259 --> 00:11:21,980
缺口还有一点点没补上

220
00:11:23,700 --> 00:11:27,928
嗯到这今天是收了阳线哈

221
00:11:27,928 --> 00:11:31,389
我们简单看一下5分钟图嗯

222
00:11:31,389 --> 00:11:34,500
也有点回路哈好嘞

223
00:11:34,500 --> 00:11:36,519
但日线图看起来行就行吧

224
00:11:36,519 --> 00:11:38,440
哈日内图表也就那样吧

225
00:11:38,440 --> 00:11:40,389
无所谓啊

226
00:11:40,509 --> 00:11:43,169
嗯我们看一下这个标普

227
00:11:43,169 --> 00:11:44,870
标普和纳指类似哈

228
00:11:44,870 --> 00:11:47,059
创了新高高点好

229
00:11:47,059 --> 00:11:50,620
但我觉得将来在这里震一震的概率也是有的啊

230
00:11:50,620 --> 00:11:52,440
这里稍微震一荡啊

231
00:11:52,440 --> 00:11:53,240
震荡一下哈

232
00:11:53,240 --> 00:11:56,740
这样唉咱们就不去硬猜了哈

233
00:11:56,740 --> 00:11:57,679
他随便啊

234
00:11:57,679 --> 00:12:00,809
只要我们说不是熊市就没问题

235
00:12:01,090 --> 00:12:02,850
我们不用看5分钟图了

236
00:12:02,850 --> 00:12:06,298
我们看一下原油啊

237
00:12:06,298 --> 00:12:07,698
原油今天是啊

238
00:12:07,698 --> 00:12:09,599
消息面驱动的天空低开往下砸

239
00:12:09,599 --> 00:12:13,710
但你看它在日内交易者又遇到了这个反弹是吧

240
00:12:13,710 --> 00:12:16,330
所以5分钟图的交易者啊要注意哈

241
00:12:16,330 --> 00:12:18,470
你做的是日内交易是吧

242
00:12:18,470 --> 00:12:19,830
我们就不说了哈

243
00:12:19,830 --> 00:12:22,190
不要去碰这种图啊

244
00:12:22,190 --> 00:12:24,389
消息面还是挺复杂的哈

245
00:12:24,970 --> 00:12:27,289
呃另外就是黄金和白银啊

246
00:12:27,289 --> 00:12:29,570
我们先看我们就看一下黄金吧

247
00:12:29,570 --> 00:12:32,590
黄金今天是啊跳空低啊

248
00:12:32,590 --> 00:12:33,509
这个跳空高开

249
00:12:33,509 --> 00:12:34,350
随后冲高

250
00:12:34,350 --> 00:12:36,470
我们看到美股市单有所回落哈

251
00:12:36,470 --> 00:12:39,029
你们今天其实多头没有那么强烈

252
00:12:39,029 --> 00:12:40,450
没有不是那么强

253
00:12:40,450 --> 00:12:41,250
为啥呢

254
00:12:41,250 --> 00:12:43,610
因为他还处在下跌chin的下方啊

255
00:12:43,610 --> 00:12:46,200
上方密集的区域都是阻力区域哈

256
00:12:46,200 --> 00:12:49,080
所以它不是一个强多头的区域范围

257
00:12:49,080 --> 00:12:52,159
强多头的区域范围应该在夏季渲染的衣物侧

258
00:12:52,159 --> 00:12:53,129
会好一点

259
00:12:53,129 --> 00:12:54,610
所以你现在即便做多

260
00:12:54,610 --> 00:12:56,769
你还要提防着掉下来这种可能性

261
00:12:56,769 --> 00:12:58,509
因为你是空投啊

262
00:12:58,509 --> 00:13:00,889
空头范围内的一个反弹

263
00:13:01,009 --> 00:13:02,590
比如他可以上去啊

264
00:13:02,590 --> 00:13:03,330
是的啊

265
00:13:03,330 --> 00:13:04,289
一切皆有可能

266
00:13:04,289 --> 00:13:05,929
但是按照我们的理论呢

267
00:13:05,929 --> 00:13:08,259
是夏季川的下方是反弹

268
00:13:08,259 --> 00:13:09,860
只有多头极为乐观

269
00:13:09,860 --> 00:13:11,539
我们才假设他有突破的可能性

270
00:13:11,539 --> 00:13:13,139
马上突破

271
00:13:13,860 --> 00:13:15,980
前今天没突破啊

272
00:13:15,980 --> 00:13:16,820
今天有所回落

273
00:13:16,820 --> 00:13:19,379
看到吧有所回落

274
00:13:19,970 --> 00:13:22,009
看下一个时代能不能再反弹起来

275
00:13:22,009 --> 00:13:24,169
再测试一下这个区域哈

276
00:13:25,919 --> 00:13:27,440
这个区域对吧

277
00:13:28,840 --> 00:13:30,080
这就是那个上影线哈

278
00:13:30,080 --> 00:13:32,220
日线级别的上影线就这么长

279
00:13:32,220 --> 00:13:35,529
我们再看一下日线嗯

280
00:13:35,529 --> 00:13:37,370
啊5分钟图的那个下跌

281
00:13:37,370 --> 00:13:39,850
就是这上影线这个幅度啊

282
00:13:39,850 --> 00:13:42,350
所以今天空头其实有一定的力度哈

283
00:13:42,350 --> 00:13:43,889
看看下一个时代

284
00:13:43,889 --> 00:13:46,659
接下来一到两个交易日能不能弹上去

285
00:13:46,659 --> 00:13:48,059
多头想要突破的话

286
00:13:48,059 --> 00:13:49,820
必须得有强势的大阳线啊

287
00:13:49,820 --> 00:13:51,620
像今天的阳线不强势啊

288
00:13:51,620 --> 00:13:52,500
中等偏强

289
00:13:52,500 --> 00:13:53,659
不是那么强

290
00:13:53,659 --> 00:13:55,539
影线过长

291
00:13:58,440 --> 00:14:01,000
好我们看一下市场分布的情况哈

292
00:14:01,000 --> 00:14:03,860
看一下美股啊

293
00:14:03,860 --> 00:14:08,029
今天啊半导体大涨啊

294
00:14:08,029 --> 00:14:08,990
半导体大涨

295
00:14:08,990 --> 00:14:11,870
软件基础设施OK互联网也OK

296
00:14:11,870 --> 00:14:13,389
消费电子也OK

297
00:14:13,389 --> 00:14:16,269
然后航空航天与国防是大涨啊

298
00:14:16,269 --> 00:14:17,629
就是space ex相关的咯

299
00:14:18,950 --> 00:14:21,970
嗯其他的半导体设备这里啊

300
00:14:21,970 --> 00:14:22,809
这不得弄哈

301
00:14:22,809 --> 00:14:24,110
按那设备这在这哈

302
00:14:25,149 --> 00:14:26,659
OK对吧

303
00:14:27,179 --> 00:14:28,100
应用软件

304
00:14:28,100 --> 00:14:29,299
OK计算机硬件

305
00:14:29,299 --> 00:14:31,639
OK今天就是油气资产

306
00:14:31,639 --> 00:14:33,220
医药好

307
00:14:33,220 --> 00:14:34,279
VD哈

308
00:14:34,279 --> 00:14:37,240
尤其资产就下跌的比较明明显是吧

309
00:14:37,240 --> 00:14:38,679
其他的都还好啊

310
00:14:38,679 --> 00:14:40,519
正常好

311
00:14:40,519 --> 00:14:43,779
我们看下领涨板块嗯

312
00:14:43,779 --> 00:14:45,980
那我们今天先看谁呀

313
00:14:45,980 --> 00:14:47,100
先看太空概念哈

314
00:14:47,100 --> 00:14:51,980
我们把这个space x和rocket lab都看一眼哈

315
00:14:53,120 --> 00:14:54,559
哇是吧

316
00:14:54,559 --> 00:14:57,220
今天天空高开稍微震荡一下

317
00:14:57,220 --> 00:14:58,120
拉上去了啊

318
00:14:58,120 --> 00:14:59,360
收在了高位啊

319
00:14:59,360 --> 00:15:01,730
看下市值2.52万亿啊

320
00:15:01,730 --> 00:15:03,470
不要涨的太快嘛

321
00:15:03,470 --> 00:15:05,990
慢一点长啊对吧

322
00:15:05,990 --> 00:15:07,450
每一天都涨这么多

323
00:15:07,450 --> 00:15:09,090
本来他这个盘子就不小

324
00:15:09,090 --> 00:15:11,669
一天涨百分之多少啊

325
00:15:11,669 --> 00:15:13,750
百分又是19%哈

326
00:15:14,099 --> 00:15:17,460
快下5分钟图是吧

327
00:15:17,460 --> 00:15:20,379
我们那我们第一个交易日是这是吧

328
00:15:20,379 --> 00:15:23,169
今天呢就往上跳了

329
00:15:23,409 --> 00:15:25,568
好今年是在这跳哈

330
00:15:25,889 --> 00:15:27,369
好我们仔细看哈

331
00:15:27,369 --> 00:15:29,428
就是说啊今天天文高开

332
00:15:29,428 --> 00:15:31,129
今天是消息面驱动的哈

333
00:15:31,129 --> 00:15:33,539
还是这个和平协议签署驱动的

334
00:15:33,539 --> 00:15:34,700
拉高之后啊

335
00:15:34,700 --> 00:15:36,059
发现空头也砸不动啊

336
00:15:36,059 --> 00:15:37,379
形成了一个双重底

337
00:15:37,379 --> 00:15:39,470
在这做多就可以了

338
00:15:39,470 --> 00:15:41,830
嗯你一开始在这儿做也可以哈

339
00:15:41,830 --> 00:15:44,429
但是我们的趋势线是这么画的对吧

340
00:15:44,429 --> 00:15:45,349
它没有跌破

341
00:15:45,349 --> 00:15:45,989
没有跌破

342
00:15:45,989 --> 00:15:48,129
就一直拿着后续二次探底哈

343
00:15:48,129 --> 00:15:50,269
今今天的人家二次探底探了一下

344
00:15:50,269 --> 00:15:51,980
给了一个做多的机会哈

345
00:15:51,980 --> 00:15:53,860
走的时候一直拿着就行了

346
00:15:53,860 --> 00:15:56,309
只不过我们的趋势下呢需要微调哈

347
00:15:56,309 --> 00:15:57,029
为啥呢

348
00:15:57,029 --> 00:15:58,809
因为这个点它不一定准哈

349
00:15:58,809 --> 00:16:01,960
我们根据新的K线图调一调啊

350
00:16:02,399 --> 00:16:04,600
也只有一天的K线嘛对吧

351
00:16:04,600 --> 00:16:06,460
今天是第二天

352
00:16:06,460 --> 00:16:06,960
哎

353
00:16:06,960 --> 00:16:09,480
我们这样画一下就OK了

354
00:16:10,899 --> 00:16:13,720
是不我们同时画一个支撑位哈

355
00:16:13,720 --> 00:16:17,269
那么这个横盘这里这片它其实是一个双底

356
00:16:17,269 --> 00:16:20,059
他也是为了洗掉这个阻力区哈

357
00:16:20,059 --> 00:16:22,179
我看到这个阻力区被洗上去之后

358
00:16:22,179 --> 00:16:22,919
回踩止跌

359
00:16:22,919 --> 00:16:23,940
回踩止跌

360
00:16:23,940 --> 00:16:25,360
拉升拉升拉升

361
00:16:25,360 --> 00:16:26,340
回踩止跌

362
00:16:26,340 --> 00:16:27,690
回踩止跌是吧

363
00:16:27,690 --> 00:16:29,169
这又是一个回调哈

364
00:16:29,169 --> 00:16:30,009
然后又止跌

365
00:16:30,009 --> 00:16:32,240
应该继续做多再做多

366
00:16:32,240 --> 00:16:33,899
这是5分钟图标哈

367
00:16:33,899 --> 00:16:36,059
所以今天给了这么多双底

368
00:16:36,059 --> 00:16:37,539
还有小型的回调

369
00:16:37,539 --> 00:16:39,349
都是做多的机会

370
00:16:39,349 --> 00:16:41,928
当市场整体是氛围是乐观的情况下

371
00:16:41,928 --> 00:16:44,549
每次回调都应该继续做多啊

372
00:16:44,629 --> 00:16:46,629
那现在还能做多少吃的呀

373
00:16:46,629 --> 00:16:47,909
我们能踩顶吗

374
00:16:47,909 --> 00:16:50,590
不能对啊

375
00:16:50,590 --> 00:16:53,059
不能我们看日线多么大呀

376
00:16:53,059 --> 00:16:55,179
但这东西也说不准哈

377
00:16:55,179 --> 00:16:56,860
明天没准震一震什么的

378
00:16:56,860 --> 00:16:58,299
这我就猜不到了哈

379
00:16:58,299 --> 00:17:00,470
这个我们要一天看一天的

380
00:17:00,470 --> 00:17:02,110
再看一下5分钟图

381
00:17:02,110 --> 00:17:04,250
要是上涨高潮马上就调回来

382
00:17:04,250 --> 00:17:06,269
也有可能也有可能调回来一下

383
00:17:06,269 --> 00:17:07,589
给一个进场的机会啊

384
00:17:07,589 --> 00:17:10,430
建仓的机会是熊市吧

385
00:17:10,430 --> 00:17:14,589
不是别看它只有一不到两天的这个K线啊

386
00:17:14,589 --> 00:17:17,630
也就基本上将近两天的K线图

387
00:17:17,630 --> 00:17:20,160
它也不是熊市啊

388
00:17:22,619 --> 00:17:24,579
这个去不去火星呢很难说哈

389
00:17:24,579 --> 00:17:27,180
也要看AI这个进化的速度

390
00:17:27,180 --> 00:17:30,579
或许AI会辅助解决一些技术问题啊

391
00:17:31,818 --> 00:17:34,098
啊这是另外我们这个太空概念

392
00:17:34,098 --> 00:17:35,338
还有一个老朋友哈

393
00:17:35,338 --> 00:17:36,259
Rocket lab

394
00:17:37,298 --> 00:17:38,058
我们看一眼啊

395
00:17:38,058 --> 00:17:41,960
我们把这个线条梳理一下啊

396
00:17:41,960 --> 00:17:43,809
这个图一直都在涨啊

397
00:17:43,809 --> 00:17:45,529
整体趋势是没变啊

398
00:17:45,529 --> 00:17:47,390
只不过程中又有回调

399
00:17:47,390 --> 00:17:48,890
这里呢又出现回调

400
00:17:48,890 --> 00:17:51,849
下跌反弹下跌反弹下跌止跌

401
00:17:51,849 --> 00:17:53,930
那么如果明天还是阳线的话

402
00:17:53,930 --> 00:17:55,809
恢复做多

403
00:17:56,539 --> 00:18:01,099
我们把这个支撑器计划在这里看对吧

404
00:18:01,099 --> 00:18:02,579
它拉升上去之后啊

405
00:18:02,579 --> 00:18:03,680
有所回调

406
00:18:03,680 --> 00:18:05,638
这里计划一个

407
00:18:05,638 --> 00:18:07,659
今天是一个内包的阳线哈

408
00:18:07,659 --> 00:18:09,999
这里有可能是下跌高潮内包阳线

409
00:18:09,999 --> 00:18:14,410
所以多头看明天如果是阳线直接跟进去做赌啊

410
00:18:14,410 --> 00:18:15,289
如果是阴线的

411
00:18:15,289 --> 00:18:16,490
那就不行啊

412
00:18:16,490 --> 00:18:18,490
这就变成横盘下跌中继

413
00:18:18,490 --> 00:18:20,470
继续测试下方的趋势线

414
00:18:20,470 --> 00:18:23,539
趋势线哈啊这就是好

415
00:18:23,539 --> 00:18:25,900
其实这个区域呢是一个横盘区域哈

416
00:18:25,900 --> 00:18:29,119
只有大阳线再给一根或者是大阴线再给一根

417
00:18:29,119 --> 00:18:31,309
才能方向更加明确

418
00:18:32,859 --> 00:18:35,579
好这是太空概念的两只图表

419
00:18:35,579 --> 00:18:39,160
那今天的SOOL纯这个是什么来着

420
00:18:39,160 --> 00:18:41,319
储备概念也OK啊

421
00:18:41,319 --> 00:18:42,579
这个我们不看啊

422
00:18:42,579 --> 00:18:44,569
不熟嗯

423
00:18:44,569 --> 00:18:48,068
这边这个我们也不熟哈

424
00:18:48,068 --> 00:18:50,209
存储概念今天又是领涨哈

425
00:18:50,209 --> 00:18:52,789
我们看一下这个美光吧

426
00:18:53,349 --> 00:18:58,549
嗯嗯其实今天的行情对他来说还是有点复杂

427
00:18:58,549 --> 00:19:01,180
我们看到上周五收盘说在这儿哈

428
00:19:01,180 --> 00:19:02,880
今天是大幅天空高开

429
00:19:02,880 --> 00:19:04,839
但是有所回落测试哈

430
00:19:04,839 --> 00:19:06,920
但如果一旦收出阴线啊

431
00:19:06,920 --> 00:19:09,380
就是二次探顶那种视觉感觉了

432
00:19:09,380 --> 00:19:10,888
但是呢又拉了起来

433
00:19:10,888 --> 00:19:13,088
表明空头确实尝试做空啊

434
00:19:13,088 --> 00:19:14,559
但是没有坚持

435
00:19:14,559 --> 00:19:16,319
相反多头非常强势啊

436
00:19:16,319 --> 00:19:18,960
给你给你打败了空头是吧

437
00:19:18,960 --> 00:19:22,809
我们看下5分钟图是不是这样嗯

438
00:19:23,250 --> 00:19:27,609
好跳空高开是这不是这哈

439
00:19:27,609 --> 00:19:29,890
跳空高开好往上拉手

440
00:19:29,890 --> 00:19:31,659
怎么看着不像呢

441
00:19:31,979 --> 00:19:33,919
嗯看着不像呢

442
00:19:33,919 --> 00:19:37,259
这日历的图表跟那个有点不一样啊

443
00:19:37,259 --> 00:19:39,049
这缺口没补上啊

444
00:19:39,170 --> 00:19:41,529
啊那就以日线为标准哈

445
00:19:41,529 --> 00:19:43,490
就说它回落的深度不够哈

446
00:19:43,490 --> 00:19:44,409
我感觉哈

447
00:19:44,409 --> 00:19:47,169
所以这个日线图看起来不匹配啊

448
00:19:47,169 --> 00:19:49,288
因为这日线图下影线过长啊

449
00:19:49,288 --> 00:19:51,378
嗯对吧

450
00:19:51,378 --> 00:19:55,019
过长就意味着过程中有很多很深的下跌哈

451
00:19:55,019 --> 00:19:57,338
再看一下5分钟图

452
00:19:58,920 --> 00:20:01,059
嗯没有把缺口补上

453
00:20:01,059 --> 00:20:03,339
刚才我们看到那下眼线往下刺了一下是吧

454
00:20:03,339 --> 00:20:04,079
是这吧

455
00:20:04,079 --> 00:20:05,900
我看见啊好吧

456
00:20:05,900 --> 00:20:06,500
就这样吧

457
00:20:06,500 --> 00:20:08,759
反正还是多头不用踩顶了

458
00:20:08,759 --> 00:20:10,859
好一致下为标准哈

459
00:20:10,859 --> 00:20:13,960
5分钟图竟然跟这根K线不匹配哈

460
00:20:13,960 --> 00:20:15,519
还是我看错了呀

461
00:20:15,519 --> 00:20:16,900
啊不不重要哈

462
00:20:16,900 --> 00:20:19,210
把曲线画好好

463
00:20:19,210 --> 00:20:20,490
这是这几个哈

464
00:20:20,490 --> 00:20:23,159
我们看一下我们的龙头股的表现

465
00:20:23,159 --> 00:20:24,199
看涨幅

466
00:20:25,239 --> 00:20:29,888
我们看一下SXL啥线的阳线呢

467
00:20:30,409 --> 00:20:32,368
有人特别希望大暴跌哈

468
00:20:32,368 --> 00:20:34,628
其实是也有大暴跌的那些图

469
00:20:34,628 --> 00:20:36,789
但这个没有啊

470
00:20:36,789 --> 00:20:39,910
我们说空头必须得连续往下砸啊

471
00:20:39,910 --> 00:20:41,670
没有这根阳线恢复之后

472
00:20:41,670 --> 00:20:44,209
特别是这根阳线非常明确之后啊

473
00:20:44,209 --> 00:20:46,990
在后边要看回调直接的情况进场

474
00:20:46,990 --> 00:20:48,950
他今年是消息面驱动的哈

475
00:20:48,950 --> 00:20:50,630
那后期应该继续做读

476
00:20:51,670 --> 00:20:53,000
不用多分析

477
00:20:53,519 --> 00:20:54,720
这个牛逼死

478
00:20:54,720 --> 00:20:55,960
这个图也是做多啊

479
00:20:55,960 --> 00:20:56,440
都一样啊

480
00:20:56,440 --> 00:20:59,160
这个图我们挑几个不一样的啊

481
00:20:59,160 --> 00:21:01,329
看下扣web靠北

482
00:21:01,329 --> 00:21:02,450
我今天也是阳线啊

483
00:21:02,450 --> 00:21:03,710
周五是阳线对吧

484
00:21:03,710 --> 00:21:05,750
上周五是阳线周多吧

485
00:21:05,750 --> 00:21:09,759
这个区域啊你看拉伸回路来说哈

486
00:21:09,759 --> 00:21:12,839
对停顿洗盘的洗这片的吧

487
00:21:12,839 --> 00:21:16,440
这篇洗完之后往上侧再在这在这洗一洗

488
00:21:16,440 --> 00:21:19,710
然后再上去抄底类的是吧

489
00:21:20,950 --> 00:21:22,500
我们看下排练题

490
00:21:22,500 --> 00:21:25,220
我们说PENALTIER的交易手法很简单啊

491
00:21:25,220 --> 00:21:26,039
它不震荡吗

492
00:21:26,039 --> 00:21:27,660
在直升机做多就可以了

493
00:21:27,660 --> 00:21:29,019
那如果做多失败呢

494
00:21:29,019 --> 00:21:29,940
他就是大阴线

495
00:21:29,940 --> 00:21:31,490
我们就离场诶

496
00:21:31,490 --> 00:21:32,170
今天巧了

497
00:21:32,170 --> 00:21:34,289
给了个大阳线对吧

498
00:21:34,289 --> 00:21:36,920
所以趁荡行情走多就对了

499
00:21:37,119 --> 00:21:40,500
其实我们也不知道为什么市场就不跌下去啊

500
00:21:40,500 --> 00:21:43,579
我们就简单的去分析和交易就可以了

501
00:21:43,579 --> 00:21:44,980
有人说不喜欢这种图了

502
00:21:44,980 --> 00:21:47,259
那就不要做啊

503
00:21:48,819 --> 00:21:50,400
我们看一下甲骨文

504
00:21:50,400 --> 00:21:50,940
哎

505
00:21:50,940 --> 00:21:52,240
我看一下这个英伟达

506
00:21:52,240 --> 00:21:54,380
英伟达今天是大大涨啊

507
00:21:54,380 --> 00:21:57,009
天空高开拉升做啥呀

508
00:21:57,009 --> 00:21:59,450
做多不用看人类了

509
00:21:59,849 --> 00:22:01,109
还有好多啊

510
00:22:03,349 --> 00:22:05,309
我们画的局部趋势线哈

511
00:22:05,309 --> 00:22:06,130
突上去了

512
00:22:06,130 --> 00:22:09,035
做多看一下5分钟多少

513
00:22:09,309 --> 00:22:11,910
我们说DOTA如果回归的话

514
00:22:11,910 --> 00:22:13,869
今天突上去回来直接做多

515
00:22:13,869 --> 00:22:15,369
如果明天还有回落

516
00:22:15,369 --> 00:22:18,259
直接想继续做多对吧

517
00:22:18,259 --> 00:22:19,859
如果明天直接往上拉升

518
00:22:19,859 --> 00:22:21,888
那就只能继续做多了

519
00:22:21,888 --> 00:22:26,788
回落止跌做多拉升回落止跌做多都要做多

520
00:22:26,788 --> 00:22:29,169
因为这是一波回调

521
00:22:32,319 --> 00:22:33,640
还有谁来着

522
00:22:33,640 --> 00:22:36,089
特斯拉好

523
00:22:36,089 --> 00:22:37,829
特斯拉今天是一根小阳线啊

524
00:22:37,829 --> 00:22:39,569
实际九多头没那么强势

525
00:22:39,569 --> 00:22:42,630
但是这个区域做多吧

526
00:22:42,630 --> 00:22:44,690
我们的趋势线是这么画啊

527
00:22:44,690 --> 00:22:47,829
这么画是熊市吗

528
00:22:47,829 --> 00:22:49,029
不是好

529
00:22:49,029 --> 00:22:50,910
暂时不是熊市

530
00:22:52,069 --> 00:22:53,029
也有下跌的

531
00:22:53,029 --> 00:22:54,470
别觉得今天都大涨哈

532
00:22:54,470 --> 00:22:56,269
这么多图都大跌

533
00:22:56,269 --> 00:22:56,990
好嘞

534
00:22:56,990 --> 00:23:00,009
我们不分析那个下跌的了哈

535
00:23:00,009 --> 00:23:02,690
好最后欢迎大家成为绿宝石会员哈

536
00:23:03,970 --> 00:23:06,250
好我们明天盘前再见

537
00:23:06,250 --> 00:23:06,980
拜拜

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