有最好的不选次好的

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做投资还是创业

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想赚大钱

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非常忌讳单一思维

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他不存在说我看好哪里

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不看好哪里

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它贵了

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你就是不能看好它便宜了

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而且有趋势就应该看得好

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那举个例子啊

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如果川普不打伊朗

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那石油就不会涨那么快

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他石油不涨那么快

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那科技呢也不会跌那么狠

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它原因是什么呢

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因为美国它现在那些下游的订单给了日本

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给了韩国

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给了台湾

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所以说这两年日本韩国台湾的这种半导体啊

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电子芯片啊非常好

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有有活嘛

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有利润嘛

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但反过来讲呢

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这是美国打伊朗呢

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那他们最主要的啊能源就是天然气

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石油直接断供了呀

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所以科技跌就是因为能源跟不上

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那中国的优势是什么呢

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那就是新能源多哈

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绿色电啊

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水电风电

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光伏电就这种电阻

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所以它的石油都占比这18%

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那中国肯定是制造业国里面影响最小的

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所以他不停的说看好谁不看好谁

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你要因此而变

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举下例子

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你你你你今天走路

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你到了悬崖边上

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你不改道

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你不掉下去了吗

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对不对

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你今天做生意啊

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都在亏损

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养猪啊

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亏的一塌糊涂

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那你还养它干嘛

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你说话规模呀啊

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你说不是不能养

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你

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原来1000桶你说成十头

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留留几个母猪啊

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等着这个大家都死了

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你再出来干不就完了嘛

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所以实际上

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我觉得中国很多人赚不到钱的原因呢

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就是他太聪明

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他不是笨啊

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就是他太单一

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他老是啊觉得这个事只能这样干

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各位投资这个东西啊

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千变万化

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但凡是啊从始至终不变的

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肯定死路一条呀

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我从2010年创业

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我原来做这个生意是他妈的经销商代理商

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如果我今天我还是做经销代理商

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我早就完蛋了对吧

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我们不符合体系

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为什么很多人最后没走出来呀

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他老是觉得哎呀唱播播高切歌的时候啊

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这个啊付出总有回报啊

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怎么怎么样

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就是付出不一定有回报

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各位

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但你不付出肯定没有回报

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所以步步高企业哥里面讲的那些付出终有回报

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后来老段呢又说改歌词啊

78
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后来直接把企业给取消了

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原因就是这个事

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它不是因果关系

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就是你你想得到

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你确实要付出

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当你付出了

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你不一定能得到

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这就是一个现实问题

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但是你不能说啊

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因为这个文化里面假的付出有回报

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那我们小时候

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那现在大家发现剩一个确实不行了对吧

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你最起码生两个吧

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等你老了得病了

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你快躺卧

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病不起

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卧床不起的时候

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最起码你不能让一个孩子榨干一个孩子吧

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所以实际上这就是现实问题

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就是投资呢他一定是千变万化的

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是一定是这个你要想到很多很多逻辑啊

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就是永远不能说哇这只一个套路啊

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或者说你你只是啊

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你只说我这么干啊

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就一直这么干

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实际上呢最好的方式是什么啊

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就是哪里好

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在哪里下注啊

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就像我前两年啊

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从22年做直播

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我就讲全球资产配置对吧

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那那如果说你不配置美国科技

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你肯定错过这几年大牛市了

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那第二个呢中国的科技呢

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它一定是美国科技的下游

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你看看中国所有的赚了大钱的

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要不就是啊前几年是几是苹果烈啊

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丽品金币啊

116
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戈尔升学啊

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要不这两年呢是运用牙裂啊

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易中天恒盛科技啊

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要不今年呢是数据中心链

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甲骨文亚马逊

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微软的下游产业链

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其实你说这高压电缆变压器长得好

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包括我在群里面讲的那个潍柴动力翻两三倍

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不都是因为数据中心吗

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包括这些有色有事也是因为美国的数据中心哈

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需求量太大

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这7000亿订单下来啊

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基本上每一个家参与的都分到肉了

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实际上为什么投美国呢

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是因为他是始作俑者

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他第一个啊能够研发创新啊

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开始赚钱的

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后面跟着他都喝汤了啊

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有的还吃了大肉了

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但如果说你单一思维哈

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你不看这个美国的现在方向啊

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你不看这个美国现在的整个产业的逻辑

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你就失去了第一波

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各位你知道中国所有的创业者

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马云为什么搞那个中国行业

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阿里巴巴国际站

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是因为他来到美国

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看到林internet回国之后就开始做互联网了

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你再看下美团

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王兴当时在美国有一个团购鼻祖啊

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group是吧

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你可以查一下

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那他回去之后呢

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他就开始做

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开始做团购对吧

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你再看一下这个黄征在谷歌干过两年啊

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美国有个卫士做低价的

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回去之后呢

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过了两年开始创立拼多多是吧

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你再看一下这个呃

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所有的创业者哪一个不是啊

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因为你在美国学到新东西了

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回去之后开始搞的

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包括抖音TIKTOK

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TIKTOK也是美国创立的

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后来抖音收购了

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把人家放上完学化玩过来

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所以目前为止哈

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包括支付哈

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最早的时候啊

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支付宝学的配配偶啊

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京东学的亚马逊

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各位都是一比一的抄呀

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到现在为止

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各位你说我们的原创是什么

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那帝国SIG没有他的EDP

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哪来的帝国sic呀是吧

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你还在人家开源基础上学习训练蒸馏

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就是你永远不能说我靠我我我放个先进的东西

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我不学啊

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我就是自认为自己是对的

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你没见过好的

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你怎么知道你是差的呀

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你没见过高的

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你怎么知道你你很矮呀

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是不是你没见过最好的

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你怎么知道哪个更好呀

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所以你在中国呢就有一条哈

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就是如果说哈你想有成就

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你最好的话

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是一定要找那些真的能看到世界的人

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比如我为什么我觉得啊

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白色的段永平非常值得大家学习呢

189
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甚至人家看到的世界老段如果不来美国

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他在中国投资

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他也干成徐强了

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干成散户了

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他不在美国

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他不去买那些苹果呀是吧

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谷歌呀

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这些伟大的公司

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他他去他给我买的茅台

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茅台5年都没涨对吧

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那他的一世英名也毁在茅台上了

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很正常呀

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那茅台他是他是这个11415年买的

202
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但是你完了你后续怎么办啊

203
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他还181千一千八一千九还买过呢

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对不对

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你拉长时间年化有10%左右嘛

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但是因为他买了苹果还挺年代对吧

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资产的话就大几百亿美金了

208
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他买茅台的话

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他可能只有5年资产不增长

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他也去改行了

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所以我要讲的意思就是以我们每个人的都是看

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做投资都是一个趋势啊

213
00:06:06,120 --> 00:06:07,800
跟着这个行业趋势啊

214
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跟着这个上坡路啊

215
00:06:09,399 --> 00:06:11,240
就是说白了电梯啊

216
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咱就学会坐电梯

217
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那16电梯啊

218
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呃稳定啊

219
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放风快

220
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然后楼层高

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咱修哪个对吧

222
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你说你总共两层楼

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你爬着爬着是吧

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你就你没没没没

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基本上走停滞了哈

226
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走下坡路了

227
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那我没必要做嘛

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对不对

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所以你看我是什么心态呢

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哪里好投

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哪里是吧

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我们不是中国

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中国好处很多呀

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中国那制造业真的很好对吧

235
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中国人又便宜又听话啊

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脑袋又又干净

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对不对

238
00:06:37,189 --> 00:06:39,750
中国人那只有美国人工成本的几分之一啊

239
00:06:39,750 --> 00:06:41,620
美国到现在10×20

240
00:06:41,620 --> 00:06:42,240
是不是

241
00:06:42,240 --> 00:06:43,519
咱咱一天八小时

242
00:06:43,519 --> 00:06:44,860
一天挣一一百六十美金

243
00:06:44,860 --> 00:06:46,959
那中国呢实现20人民币啊

244
00:06:46,959 --> 00:06:47,879
还不一定到啊

245
00:06:47,879 --> 00:06:49,759
现在的大学毕业生啊

246
00:06:49,759 --> 00:06:52,290
本科生那和10年前没有什么区别哈

247
00:06:52,290 --> 00:06:54,199
现在本科也就三四千块钱底薪了

248
00:06:54,199 --> 00:06:55,720
北大清华的可能1万块钱

249
00:06:55,720 --> 00:06:56,740
2万块钱能找到了

250
00:06:56,740 --> 00:06:58,620
所以实际上你在10年前你敢想吗

251
00:06:58,620 --> 00:07:00,920
你在5年前敢想不敢想的对吧

252
00:07:00,920 --> 00:07:02,199
所以说这就是核心问题

253
00:07:02,199 --> 00:07:03,658
当然你说你是北大清华的

254
00:07:03,658 --> 00:07:06,218
那那你肯定不能说我再干个4000人民币的哈

255
00:07:06,218 --> 00:07:09,439
你可以找一个啊四五千美金的先练练啊

256
00:07:09,439 --> 00:07:10,619
去谷歌制镀金啊

257
00:07:10,619 --> 00:07:12,978
那你将来肯定是大家都抢着要你吧

258
00:07:12,978 --> 00:07:15,478
所以这个才是这个人类的真相

259
00:07:15,478 --> 00:07:16,119
就有最好的

260
00:07:16,119 --> 00:07:17,370
不想吃好的啊

261
00:07:17,370 --> 00:07:18,350
不要单一思维

262
00:07:18,350 --> 00:07:20,949
我们所有逻辑呢就是投资是吧

263
00:07:20,949 --> 00:07:22,370
追求更高的回报率啊

264
00:07:22,370 --> 00:07:23,290
更健康是吧

265
00:07:23,290 --> 00:07:25,038
然后更跟更优秀的人聊

266
00:07:25,038 --> 00:07:26,598
尽可能避免堵心啊

267
00:07:26,598 --> 00:07:26,959
我说实话

268
00:07:26,959 --> 00:07:28,899
我来美国这一年啊

269
00:07:28,899 --> 00:07:30,259
就是写文章写的少了

270
00:07:30,259 --> 00:07:31,120
写不出来了

271
00:07:31,120 --> 00:07:32,620
但没有国内的那些感受

272
00:07:32,620 --> 00:07:33,399
你回国哇

273
00:07:33,399 --> 00:07:34,720
靠那个感受太强烈了

274
00:07:34,720 --> 00:07:37,778
哇那真的是你感觉哇好心塞呀

275
00:07:37,778 --> 00:07:38,918
那真的好心酸呀

276
00:07:38,918 --> 00:07:41,119
那那真的是哈哈哈

277
00:07:41,119 --> 00:07:43,759
实上你你也没必要去动他们的思想

278
00:07:43,759 --> 00:07:45,639
那实际上你看比如我们做企业啊

279
00:07:45,639 --> 00:07:47,160
我在步步高带了多年

280
00:07:47,160 --> 00:07:47,800
我发现问题啊

281
00:07:47,800 --> 00:07:49,939
这步步高为什么能发展那么快啊

282
00:07:49,939 --> 00:07:52,800
实际上在2006年我去播播的时候

283
00:07:52,800 --> 00:07:54,879
不过我提了一个叫人海战术啊

284
00:07:54,879 --> 00:07:56,220
叫做农村包围城市

285
00:07:56,220 --> 00:07:59,120
那不就是我们伟大的哈啊领导人说的吗

286
00:07:59,120 --> 00:08:02,488
实际上他这个逻辑呢就是低成本啊

287
00:08:02,488 --> 00:08:03,168
压榨员工

288
00:08:03,168 --> 00:08:04,569
我当时只不过干嘛呢

289
00:08:04,569 --> 00:08:06,160
站柜台发产业

290
00:08:06,160 --> 00:08:07,199
一个月600块钱嗯

291
00:08:07,199 --> 00:08:07,800
不给交社保

292
00:08:07,800 --> 00:08:08,740
我到了2011年

293
00:08:08,740 --> 00:08:09,439
我创业之后

294
00:08:09,439 --> 00:08:10,339
我才自己交的社保

295
00:08:10,339 --> 00:08:11,240
不不不给交社保

296
00:08:11,240 --> 00:08:13,048
当时啊他那一代有钱

297
00:08:13,048 --> 00:08:13,709
他不给你交

298
00:08:13,709 --> 00:08:14,649
那他真的是这样的

299
00:08:14,649 --> 00:08:15,928
各位就给你600块钱

300
00:08:15,928 --> 00:08:17,329
他一看你你也不叫唤

301
00:08:17,329 --> 00:08:17,649
你听话

302
00:08:17,649 --> 00:08:18,769
他就给你得细干的活

303
00:08:18,769 --> 00:08:20,608
全是那些小学生也能干得了的

304
00:08:20,608 --> 00:08:22,949
但是呢我们这些人毕竟上过大学嘛

305
00:08:22,949 --> 00:08:24,209
是有心眼的对吧

306
00:08:24,209 --> 00:08:25,329
学会了之后立马走了

307
00:08:25,329 --> 00:08:26,230
如果不走呢

308
00:08:26,230 --> 00:08:27,550
正好现在被淘汰了

309
00:08:27,550 --> 00:08:29,149
绝对不可能给你任何机会赔偿

310
00:08:29,149 --> 00:08:29,709
绝对没有

311
00:08:29,709 --> 00:08:31,389
那那当时呢你别说我们没有了

312
00:08:31,389 --> 00:08:33,279
当时步步高电子教育啊

313
00:08:33,279 --> 00:08:34,940
被被啊被裁员的时候

314
00:08:34,940 --> 00:08:36,519
那公司怎么怎么裁的呢

315
00:08:36,519 --> 00:08:37,600
搬家是吧

316
00:08:37,600 --> 00:08:38,639
济南的公司搬青岛去

317
00:08:38,639 --> 00:08:39,379
你去不去

318
00:08:39,379 --> 00:08:40,220
那怎么可能呀

319
00:08:40,220 --> 00:08:41,379
你老婆孩子都在济南对吧

320
00:08:41,379 --> 00:08:43,059
那直接搬家就是步步高达

321
00:08:43,059 --> 00:08:43,779
现在也这样

322
00:08:43,779 --> 00:08:44,139
各位啊

323
00:08:44,139 --> 00:08:47,068
所以说你不要谈什么那个东西没吊用

324
00:08:47,068 --> 00:08:48,609
就是以我这些年的经验

325
00:08:48,609 --> 00:08:50,349
压榨式的第一桶金

326
00:08:50,349 --> 00:08:51,548
金的压榨式的成长过来的

327
00:08:51,548 --> 00:08:54,249
步步高最早的时候全是靠低成本

328
00:08:54,249 --> 00:08:55,769
高效率压榨洗脑

329
00:08:55,769 --> 00:08:56,708
这就是真相

330
00:08:56,708 --> 00:08:57,109
对不对

331
00:08:57,109 --> 00:08:58,259
那那被洗脑的人呢

332
00:08:58,259 --> 00:08:59,500
他他不知道真相

333
00:08:59,500 --> 00:09:02,389
他认为哎呀这个这个是可以的

334
00:09:02,389 --> 00:09:03,308
感觉说得过去

335
00:09:03,308 --> 00:09:04,729
为啥没见过好东西嘛

336
00:09:04,729 --> 00:09:06,629
那你你要知道这个啊

337
00:09:06,629 --> 00:09:08,528
我我后来我去了步步高公司啊

338
00:09:08,528 --> 00:09:10,009
去了广东深圳东莞

339
00:09:10,009 --> 00:09:12,028
我发现我靠那同样干的活

340
00:09:12,028 --> 00:09:13,448
那是你的十倍的收益啊

341
00:09:13,448 --> 00:09:15,850
那我后来真的做了品牌

342
00:09:15,850 --> 00:09:18,509
我才发现我靠在广东那太简单了呀

343
00:09:18,509 --> 00:09:19,549
你山东太难了呀

344
00:09:19,549 --> 00:09:20,610
那广东你做个产品

345
00:09:20,610 --> 00:09:21,909
那东西又好又便宜

346
00:09:21,909 --> 00:09:24,879
而且呢这个没有给你谈那些乱七八糟的是吧

347
00:09:24,879 --> 00:09:26,600
其实一个人跟你谈条件也好

348
00:09:26,600 --> 00:09:28,360
包括跟你谈那些乱七八糟东西

349
00:09:28,360 --> 00:09:28,840
原因很简单

350
00:09:28,840 --> 00:09:29,480
他就没能力

351
00:09:29,480 --> 00:09:29,919
对不对

352
00:09:29,919 --> 00:09:31,120
有能力的人很痛快的

353
00:09:31,120 --> 00:09:31,840
没有那么多费事

354
00:09:31,840 --> 00:09:33,759
你在北方你做点事哎呀

355
00:09:33,759 --> 00:09:34,639
还要谈建

356
00:09:34,639 --> 00:09:35,279
还要沟通

357
00:09:35,279 --> 00:09:36,159
还要谈心

358
00:09:36,159 --> 00:09:37,179
还要谈感情

359
00:09:37,559 --> 00:09:38,480
不不谈还不干

360
00:09:38,480 --> 00:09:39,360
就是没能力

361
00:09:39,360 --> 00:09:40,629
他做起来太费劲了

362
00:09:40,629 --> 00:09:41,870
它不但要你的情绪价值

363
00:09:41,870 --> 00:09:42,629
它还有经济价值

364
00:09:42,629 --> 00:09:44,039
还要你的一切的东西

365
00:09:44,039 --> 00:09:45,360
所以这个才是真相

366
00:09:45,360 --> 00:09:46,419
各位你要记住

367
00:09:46,419 --> 00:09:48,279
现实生活中有能力的人

368
00:09:48,279 --> 00:09:50,149
很少有能力的人是很简单的

369
00:09:50,149 --> 00:09:51,009
越有钱越简单

370
00:09:51,009 --> 00:09:52,389
你比如说我们平时问我

371
00:09:52,389 --> 00:09:52,909
我啥时候

372
00:09:52,909 --> 00:09:54,169
我我自己我都是实拍

373
00:09:54,169 --> 00:09:55,039
简单吧

374
00:09:55,039 --> 00:09:55,879
我都是实盘

375
00:09:55,879 --> 00:09:56,980
我为什么不怕打脸呢

376
00:09:56,980 --> 00:09:58,059
因为我说的很清楚

377
00:09:58,059 --> 00:09:59,100
我为什么买它

378
00:09:59,100 --> 00:10:01,549
我买了多少啊啊我怎么估值的

379
00:10:01,549 --> 00:10:02,690
我的预期回报多少

380
00:10:02,690 --> 00:10:04,409
我的投资回报都借多少

381
00:10:04,409 --> 00:10:05,730
我说的很清楚

382
00:10:05,730 --> 00:10:07,839
所以我根本就不在乎这个事

383
00:10:07,839 --> 00:10:08,499
我说的很明白

384
00:10:08,499 --> 00:10:10,678
但是我们这些粉丝群里的人

385
00:10:10,678 --> 00:10:12,239
互相群的人也说的很高呀

386
00:10:12,239 --> 00:10:13,139
他能听懂呀

387
00:10:13,139 --> 00:10:15,529
各位我讲的东西你没做过企业

388
00:10:15,529 --> 00:10:17,429
你听起来还是很吃力的

389
00:10:17,429 --> 00:10:18,370
你只是个打工的

390
00:10:18,370 --> 00:10:21,169
你只是一个被洗脑的或者能性很强的人

391
00:10:21,169 --> 00:10:22,519
你怎么知道我在说什么

392
00:10:22,519 --> 00:10:24,240
所以这个东西呢它一定是相互的

393
00:10:24,240 --> 00:10:26,639
就是你要看到好东西

394
00:10:26,639 --> 00:10:28,639
然后你可以真正看懂好东西

395
00:10:28,639 --> 00:10:29,419
人在一块

396
00:10:29,419 --> 00:10:31,519
这样的话呢你才会越来越好

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