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今天发布一则往期主题
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当时目的是用逻辑和常识来对年轻人劝退
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买房的文章
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首发于2020年末
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彼时几乎正好是全国房价的巅峰期
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今天我们会结合一些最近的社会热点
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例如立功理论
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以及愈演愈烈的性别矛盾等
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对往期这则主题进行一些修改并重发
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我们先从房子的资产属性说起
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这些年有关房子
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我们听过最多的说法是
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房子是用来住的
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不是用来炒的
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可现在大多数人对房子的看法
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首先它是一个资产
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而且是一个在过去20年
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几乎只涨不跌的优质资产
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然后才会考虑他可以住
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就连开发商在打广告的时候
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也直言不讳地用上叉叉稀缺资产
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这种描述
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国人对房产的理解中
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资产属性早已远超居住属性
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如果不认同这个说法
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你也可以了解一下刚需买房时考虑的重要因素
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看看大多数人是不是会把增值潜力
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摆在非常重要的位置
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直到这几年
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房价遭遇重置式的大跌
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这个资产观念才刚刚开始出现一点点改变
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这几年我见到非常多这样的案例
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一个刚需要买房
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但预算有限
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只能买到偏远的城郊结合部
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于是就上车买到城郊结合部
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买房后继续在工作地点附近租房住
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买到手的房子就空着
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看到没有
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这类买房不是为了住
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而是为了拥有房产
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所以市场不存在刚需和投资投机的区别
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刚需即是投资
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投资即是刚需
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投资者买房源于对房价上涨的期待
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刚需买房源于对房价上涨的恐惧
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两者都基于同样的一个预期
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所以本质上没有任何区别
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现如今
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买房和结婚之间的联系
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已经被打造成了密不可分的状态
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不管现在年轻人或家长的思想有多开明
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买房就是结婚绕不开的一个坎
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大多数情况下还是最大的一道坎
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又因为房价高
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热点城市一套好一点的房子
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轻轻松松几百上千万
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一对新人结婚和买房
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完全不亚于两个公司进行资产兼并重组
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结婚对年轻人来说当然是越来越不轻松
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婚姻和买房的关系被各种因素强化
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比如居住
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落户工作学区安全感等等
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但在我看来
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这些都是借口
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一个月有1万出头的租金
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你就可以在热点城市
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租到一个价值1000万的豪宅
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而在现在这个抢人时代
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落户简单
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买房难
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找工作也不会看你是否有房作为主要考核标准
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至于学区
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很多人连生娃的打算都没有
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市场化的优质教育资源也在快速发展
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再说安全感
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那是人们基于房价一定永远上涨才说的话
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不信可以去问问
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2017年高位接盘的环北京和天津的购房者
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了解一下他们买房之后
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价格连续两次腰斩后带来的是怎样的安全感
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既然上面这些因素都是借口
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那么买房和结婚的本质联系是什么
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说简单点就两个因素
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一房产可以有效地对彼此和背后家庭的
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经济实力进行考察
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二房产可以针对未来可能的离婚增加阻力
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这两点过去很少有人主动去提
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因为这两个因素显得不那么冠冕堂皇
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甚至有些见不得人
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但事实就是这样
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我们仔细想想会发现
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买房就是一张遮羞布
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实质是双方必须有经济基础才能结婚
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因为过去房价够高
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增值前景够好
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房产承载了一个新生家庭的起步财富
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如果一个高富帅
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白富美名下没房
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但有上亿存款和股票
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他找对象一样是没压力的
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这让我想到最近流行网络的立功理论
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本质上道出了中低收入者
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或者说认知不在线者的艰难
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他们只有梭哈自己的身家才能拥有婚姻
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而且还并不稳固
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而这个社会的残酷之处在于
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越是有钱有势的人
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那么他获取异性资源的成本就越低
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甚至别人会愿意为他倒贴
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但对财富
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对认知
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对地位以及对美好生活的追求乃人之本性
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不分男女
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谁见了优秀的个体都会萌生好感
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这一点毛病都没有
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不应该指责
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但应当大大方方承认
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回到视频前面提到的买房的第二点功能
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仅买房对婚姻的另一个作用
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就是大幅增加双方未来可能破裂的阻力
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这种方式有那么一点自虐
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比如说一套房两方都交了首付
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月供也是一同承担
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那么一旦离异
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这个资产分割会带来相当大的争议和麻烦
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很多人想到这一步会觉得算了
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与其面临可能的经济损失
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不如搭帮凑合过下去得了
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横向对比
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把结婚和买房牢牢绑定在一起
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这种情况除了中国以外世所罕见
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对于婚姻的参与双方来说
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在房产和婚姻的强联系之下
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其实没有任何一方是赢家
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但似乎对社会有益
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因为它结合房价高
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买房难的现实
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让绝大多数人走上了一条非常固定的人生轨道
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让人一直有目标
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一直在忙碌
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攒首付
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买房供房生娃养娃
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准备为娃买房
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总结起来就是稳定和奋斗
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这个模式对于激发社会短期的发展动力
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特别对劳动力的榨取是最好的
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但对于追求美好生活的个体来说
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却几乎可以肯定不是最优路线
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回到标题这个问题
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结婚是不是必须买房
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答案是在现有社会环境和思维定势之下
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如果你实力足够
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你就有足够的选择权
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买不买随意
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但如果你财富和地位还没有高到
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可以克服上文提到两个因素的程度
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那很无奈
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基本上是非买不可
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无论你愿不愿意
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总会有一股力量会逼着你去买房
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如果你能克服这股力量
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你将成为人生赢家
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如果不能
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未来可能将举步维艰
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房价现状也带来一个问题
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那就是全社会生育率越来越低
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因为如果一个人不结婚
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不买房
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不生娃
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那生活成本真的可以很低很低
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游戏难度完全就变了
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现在的后浪大都思想前卫
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我行我素
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他们之中有多少人愿意主动增加难度呢
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可以预见
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若不能有效缓解这些压力
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单身社会的规模会越来越大
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刺激生育也会越来越难
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最近互联网上盛行的立功理论
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可能是近几年来互联网上出现过的
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最对社会影响最大
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最直白也最具有觉醒意义的一条
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大体意思就是说
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当下年轻人婚恋买房以及彩礼问题
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根源在于传统父权观念
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这个父权观念下
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每个男性不惜一切代价
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以成家生子为成功的标准
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也强迫女性成为男性的忠实附属
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但这套观念已濒临破裂
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因为现在很多女性已经思想觉醒
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拒绝这套观念
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可无数中低阶层普通男性仍然执迷不悟
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默认攒够了彩礼
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买到了房子
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就可以拥有长期的爱情和稳定的家庭
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最终自己逼自己梭哈
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换来巨大风险和未知
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客观来说
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在这套传统观念里
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无论男性还是女性
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双方都是受害者
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因此受害者之间不应该对立起来
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反而应该相互鼓励包容并且寻求进步
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具体来说
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无论你是男性还是女性
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每个人都应该把钱和时间用在自己身上
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让自己更好
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从而让身边的人和事都更好
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而不是把自己的一切都寄托
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甚至梭哈在一个虚无缥缈的信念之上
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因为他一点都不靠谱
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横向对比
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日韩的社会发展阶段
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大约比中国大陆领先20年
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所以日服韩服今天的玩法
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大概率就是国服未来的玩法
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20年前日本和韩国的年轻人面临的问题
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和我们今天差不多
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但到现在可以去日本和韩国看看
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感受一下他们年轻人是什么状态
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他们无论是男是女
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都投入在自己身上
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他们重视运动
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极少有胖子
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衣服虽然不都很贵
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但普遍好看得体
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男性化妆品销量不亚于女性
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婚恋市场上也没有什么捞男捞女
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大部分情侣之间吃饭也都是AA制
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说到底
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父权观念对男性和女性均
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框定了不公平的角色任务
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男的就要养家糊口
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女的就要貌美如花
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这套逻辑伴随经济发展不断极化
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直到价值崩坏
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矛盾爆发
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想过没有
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这样的分工本身是不合理的
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女性就不想和帅哥在一起吗
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男性就不希望老婆有钱吗
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这个分工让很多男性认为
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多赚一些钱就能够压过一切
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事实是
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如果你本事够大
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大到超过一个小目标
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那基本上确实可以压过一切
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但对大多数普通人而言
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再努力也到不了这个程度
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却因为对这种分工的执念
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忘记了一些本应做好的事
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我生活中接触到的很多男性群体
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工作都十分勤劳
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为人也热情善良
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但抽烟的比例至少1/3
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口臭的比例大约有一半
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很多人在非夏季要几天才洗一次头
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那你站在女性角度去想
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你是否愿意与他们亲近
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所以他们只能去用更多的彩礼来补了
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在我看来
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立功不是指体力劳动者
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不是指中低收入者
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而是一种落后思维
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这就是为什么有些人明明很有钱
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但言语和行为都非常屌丝
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回到今天的主题
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结婚是不是必须买房
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我的建议
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特别是给尚未开窍的立功兄弟们的建议是
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与其攒钱准备买房彩礼
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甚至为了攒钱
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把自己的生活状态和形象都搞得一塌糊涂
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不如给自己买几件好看的衣服
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不如去用心运动
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去优化饮食结构
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或者做几次护肤
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整一整牙齿
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这些成本和彩礼婚房相比
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那都不叫钱
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做好了这些事
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首先你100%提升了自己
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其次你可能还给未来节省了大钱
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如果你喜欢本期视频
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希望可以点赞关注
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支持一波
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这将对我有很大的帮助