BV1GA5Y6nELs · 浑水摸鱼清源1 00:00:02,319 --> 00:00:04,559 欢迎观看布鲁克斯交易课程 2 00:00:04,559 --> 00:00:07,440 这是先行的第二节课 3 00:00:11,779 --> 00:00:13,480 首先我会说明一点 4 00:00:13,480 --> 00:00:15,660 很少有完美的楔形 5 00:00:17,699 --> 00:00:18,879 然后我会讲 6 00:00:18,879 --> 00:00:20,379 不管是不是收敛的 7 00:00:20,379 --> 00:00:23,339 大多数通道其实都是楔形 8 00:00:24,600 --> 00:00:28,239 最后我会讲到不同类型的楔形 9 00:00:33,280 --> 00:00:37,039 有时楔形的其中一段仅仅只是一根K线 10 00:00:38,149 --> 00:00:40,829 有时仅仅是一个十字星 11 00:00:43,579 --> 00:00:45,659 第一推两根阴线下 12 00:00:45,659 --> 00:00:47,460 第二推三根K线 13 00:00:47,460 --> 00:00:50,380 这里第三推可能是这根阴线 14 00:00:50,380 --> 00:00:53,520 也可能是这两根阴线后的这个低点 15 00:00:55,060 --> 00:00:56,539 一根K线下跌 16 00:00:56,539 --> 00:00:58,000 一根K线下跌 17 00:00:58,000 --> 00:01:00,420 两个小十字星下跌 18 00:01:01,390 --> 00:01:04,450 这里有四推123 19 00:01:04,450 --> 00:01:06,909 一些电脑程序会认为是一 20 00:01:06,909 --> 00:01:08,790 这些都是很小的结构 21 00:01:08,790 --> 00:01:12,329 可能要去更小的时间周期才能看得更清楚 22 00:01:12,329 --> 00:01:15,840 不过没必要去看更小的时间周期 23 00:01:15,840 --> 00:01:18,120 通过这张图就可以知道 24 00:01:18,120 --> 00:01:21,079 在小时间周期大概发生了什么 25 00:01:24,480 --> 00:01:30,280 不同的电脑程序有不同数波段的方法没有关系 26 00:01:31,799 --> 00:01:34,819 到底他是第一推还是他是第一推 27 00:01:34,819 --> 00:01:35,739 无所谓 28 00:01:35,739 --> 00:01:36,780 不管怎么数 29 00:01:36,780 --> 00:01:39,920 两个程序都看到相同的东西 30 00:01:40,239 --> 00:01:43,060 上涨通道也许有一点点收敛 31 00:01:43,060 --> 00:01:46,000 他们预期会跌破上涨通道 32 00:01:50,278 --> 00:01:52,558 和最左边的一样很窄的 33 00:01:52,558 --> 00:01:53,599 看起来不像楔形 34 00:01:54,799 --> 00:01:55,899 但是可以看出 35 00:01:55,899 --> 00:01:59,379 在更小的时间周期上存在三推的结构 36 00:02:00,558 --> 00:02:04,198 这里有三次下跌通道其实并不收敛 37 00:02:04,198 --> 00:02:06,810 然而三次下跌之后 38 00:02:06,810 --> 00:02:08,569 背景支持楔形反转 39 00:02:08,569 --> 00:02:10,620 急速下跌反弹 40 00:02:10,620 --> 00:02:11,919 然后进入通道 41 00:02:11,919 --> 00:02:13,939 两根大阴线足够强势 42 00:02:13,939 --> 00:02:15,649 至少还有一段下跌 43 00:02:15,649 --> 00:02:19,439 所以一二交易者会预期价格反转上涨 44 00:02:19,439 --> 00:02:22,080 如果一个结构越理想越完美 45 00:02:22,080 --> 00:02:24,879 他成功的概率就会越高 46 00:02:25,808 --> 00:02:28,408 所以如果一个楔形越漂亮 47 00:02:29,769 --> 00:02:31,729 就有更多的电脑程序和交易 48 00:02:31,729 --> 00:02:34,594 因此做反转的成功率就更高 49 00:02:41,000 --> 00:02:43,180 楔形牛旗上涨趋势 50 00:02:43,180 --> 00:02:46,800 楔形牛旗这个也是楔形牛旗 51 00:02:49,500 --> 00:02:51,900 这些牛起小的回调结构 52 00:02:51,900 --> 00:02:52,460 这里有 53 00:02:52,460 --> 00:02:53,659 这里有一根阴线 54 00:02:53,659 --> 00:02:55,080 这里几根阴线 55 00:02:55,080 --> 00:02:56,439 这里一根阴线 56 00:02:56,439 --> 00:02:58,210 一根阴线 57 00:02:58,740 --> 00:03:02,219 这些都是空投在尝试向下突破 58 00:03:03,569 --> 00:03:04,969 对于多头来说 59 00:03:04,969 --> 00:03:09,199 阴线之后的阳线是空头突破之后的反弹 60 00:03:09,360 --> 00:03:11,360 所以是反转跌破 61 00:03:11,360 --> 00:03:13,580 然后反弹再次下跌 62 00:03:13,580 --> 00:03:17,199 再反弹再下跌再反弹 63 00:03:17,439 --> 00:03:18,759 在某一时刻 64 00:03:18,759 --> 00:03:20,539 空投发现跌不下去 65 00:03:20,539 --> 00:03:22,680 于是停止抛售 66 00:03:25,180 --> 00:03:28,659 于是价格开始朝相反的方向移动 67 00:03:29,240 --> 00:03:31,840 所有这些反转的尝试都是小幅的 68 00:03:31,840 --> 00:03:35,280 因此只是震荡区间或牛骑的一部分 69 00:03:38,740 --> 00:03:39,840 楔形雄奇 70 00:03:39,840 --> 00:03:40,979 小的反弹结构 71 00:03:40,979 --> 00:03:42,580 向上的推动幅度很小 72 00:03:42,580 --> 00:03:44,520 可能只是1~3根阳线 73 00:03:44,520 --> 00:03:47,430 是反转下降趋势的尝试 74 00:03:50,099 --> 00:03:51,979 这里尝试反转 75 00:03:51,979 --> 00:03:53,180 上涨失败 76 00:03:53,180 --> 00:03:54,400 再次尝试上涨 77 00:03:54,400 --> 00:03:55,560 尝试上涨 78 00:03:55,560 --> 00:03:58,219 尝试上涨都失败了 79 00:03:58,219 --> 00:03:59,419 多头突破 80 00:03:59,419 --> 00:04:01,099 然后回调 81 00:04:03,860 --> 00:04:06,000 多头突破然后回调 82 00:04:06,000 --> 00:04:08,620 如果多头突破的尝试反复失败 83 00:04:08,620 --> 00:04:12,379 他们最终然后市场朝着另一个方向运行 84 00:04:15,360 --> 00:04:18,319 在震荡区间中反转很常见 85 00:04:18,319 --> 00:04:21,199 而且很多都是楔形反转 86 00:04:24,540 --> 00:04:28,360 强势的多头突破之后有一个小的下降趋势 87 00:04:28,360 --> 00:04:30,259 没有跌太多 88 00:04:30,420 --> 00:04:33,339 这个小区是小通道 89 00:04:33,589 --> 00:04:35,670 我会把它看作楔形牛旗 90 00:04:35,670 --> 00:04:37,350 预期市场向上突破 91 00:04:38,350 --> 00:04:39,430 回调结束了 92 00:04:39,430 --> 00:04:42,550 或者说回调是楔形牛旗的结构 93 00:04:44,100 --> 00:04:45,860 这里也是一样 94 00:04:46,060 --> 00:04:47,779 尝试形成下降趋势 95 00:04:47,779 --> 00:04:48,759 高点降低 96 00:04:48,759 --> 00:04:49,800 低点降低 97 00:04:49,800 --> 00:04:51,319 这是一个下降通道 98 00:04:51,319 --> 00:04:52,759 有楔形的结构 99 00:04:52,759 --> 00:04:56,399 同时也是左边上涨的50%回调 100 00:04:56,639 --> 00:04:59,959 所以这个楔形下降通道大概率会被向上突破 101 00:05:01,160 --> 00:05:04,199 因此它是上涨趋势中的回调 102 00:05:12,060 --> 00:05:14,620 这里下跌之后有一些反弹 103 00:05:14,620 --> 00:05:17,500 这个反弹具有楔形的结构 104 00:05:18,339 --> 00:05:20,160 这是一个小的上涨趋势 105 00:05:20,160 --> 00:05:22,279 有更高的高点和更高的低点 106 00:05:22,279 --> 00:05:24,019 但大概率会被向下突破 107 00:05:25,139 --> 00:05:27,620 所以你可以说他是楔形雄奇 108 00:05:31,680 --> 00:05:32,779 这里也是 109 00:05:32,779 --> 00:05:34,680 尽管它并不是楔形的形状 110 00:05:34,680 --> 00:05:37,538 但你也可以把三看作楔形雄奇 111 00:05:37,858 --> 00:05:39,199 小上涨趋势 112 00:05:39,199 --> 00:05:41,870 左边是更大的上涨趋势 113 00:05:42,069 --> 00:05:44,550 也许是50%反弹左右 114 00:05:44,550 --> 00:05:47,339 这其实不是一个很好的例子 115 00:05:47,339 --> 00:05:48,800 主要想说的是 116 00:05:48,800 --> 00:05:51,540 如果下降趋势之后有大约50% 117 00:05:51,540 --> 00:05:52,459 反而且可以看出 118 00:05:52,459 --> 00:05:55,779 在小时间周期上有三推楔形的结构 119 00:05:56,189 --> 00:05:58,110 那么他就是一个楔形雄奇 120 00:05:58,110 --> 00:05:59,050 这里也是一样 121 00:05:59,050 --> 00:06:01,250 它的楔形略微更明显一些 122 00:06:01,250 --> 00:06:03,149 是一个楔形顶 123 00:06:06,639 --> 00:06:08,360 谢行底 124 00:06:13,620 --> 00:06:16,779 我更倾向于把第一和第三个点连接起来 125 00:06:16,779 --> 00:06:19,860 第二推就超出了这条线的下方 126 00:06:21,759 --> 00:06:23,579 这里是楔形的开始 127 00:06:23,579 --> 00:06:25,160 这可能是楔形的结束 128 00:06:25,160 --> 00:06:27,480 我忽略了线外面的低点二 129 00:06:28,970 --> 00:06:31,209 这种情况在楔形里面很常见 130 00:06:31,209 --> 00:06:34,170 如果你连接一和三二 131 00:06:34,170 --> 00:06:35,589 经常会在线的外面 132 00:06:35,589 --> 00:06:37,490 这没有关系 133 00:06:39,639 --> 00:06:42,319 不同的画法一或者一 134 00:06:42,319 --> 00:06:44,480 然后二三 135 00:06:50,319 --> 00:06:53,040 这个上期视频讲过了多头突破 136 00:06:53,040 --> 00:06:55,639 跟随不好回调 137 00:06:56,348 --> 00:06:57,908 然后恢复上涨 138 00:06:57,908 --> 00:07:01,269 一些电脑把它算作回调的一部分 139 00:07:02,189 --> 00:07:03,728 尽管他创了新高 140 00:07:03,728 --> 00:07:05,949 但也可能属于回调的一部分 141 00:07:05,949 --> 00:07:07,709 回调从这根小阴线开始 142 00:07:07,709 --> 00:07:11,334 一些电脑程序将这整个过程看作一个三角形 143 00:07:12,110 --> 00:07:13,629 在他们的算法里 144 00:07:13,629 --> 00:07:17,029 这根大阳线属于回调的一部分 145 00:07:21,680 --> 00:07:24,240 大多数楔形都不完美 146 00:07:25,449 --> 00:07:26,629 广义上来说 147 00:07:26,629 --> 00:07:27,930 只要有三次推动 148 00:07:27,930 --> 00:07:29,350 就符合楔形的条件 149 00:07:29,350 --> 00:07:31,529 因此大多数通道都是楔形 150 00:07:31,529 --> 00:07:34,120 当你确定市场处于通道中时 151 00:07:34,120 --> 00:07:35,899 已经有了三次推动 152 00:07:35,899 --> 00:07:37,589 所以它是一种楔形 153 00:07:37,589 --> 00:07:39,889 它越接近理想的楔形形状 154 00:07:39,889 --> 00:07:43,790 反转成功赚钱的概率就越高 155 00:07:46,560 --> 00:07:47,759 三次向上推动 156 00:07:47,759 --> 00:07:49,279 我将一和三连接起来 157 00:07:50,439 --> 00:07:52,199 如果我使用一和二三 158 00:07:52,199 --> 00:07:54,079 就碰不到这条线了 159 00:07:55,290 --> 00:07:57,490 如果反转发生在这条线上 160 00:07:57,490 --> 00:07:58,490 更容易看清 161 00:07:58,490 --> 00:08:00,029 如果我看到这个阳线 162 00:08:00,029 --> 00:08:01,649 然后这里有一个阴线 163 00:08:01,649 --> 00:08:02,610 这里有一个音响 164 00:08:02,610 --> 00:08:03,930 我认为这是一个楔形 165 00:08:03,930 --> 00:08:04,769 画一条线 166 00:08:04,769 --> 00:08:06,370 一二我不在意 167 00:08:06,370 --> 00:08:08,730 二是否跑到了线的外面 168 00:08:13,759 --> 00:08:17,600 大多是急速变通道的趋势都已楔形结束 169 00:08:18,639 --> 00:08:20,298 强势的空头突破 170 00:08:20,298 --> 00:08:21,718 所以这是急速下跌 171 00:08:21,718 --> 00:08:26,238 并且可能是楔形底的第一推负123 172 00:08:28,319 --> 00:08:30,180 嵌套式的结构很常见 173 00:08:30,180 --> 00:08:32,019 这里是大的急速下跌 174 00:08:32,019 --> 00:08:34,480 这里是小的急速下跌 175 00:08:37,899 --> 00:08:39,119 之前讲过 176 00:08:39,119 --> 00:08:42,269 我认为楔形和通道是同义词 177 00:08:42,269 --> 00:08:43,809 如果通道线收敛 178 00:08:43,809 --> 00:08:45,149 我称之为楔形 179 00:08:45,149 --> 00:08:47,070 如果通道线更为平行 180 00:08:47,070 --> 00:08:49,110 我就称之为通道 181 00:08:54,860 --> 00:08:56,039 反转上涨 182 00:08:56,039 --> 00:08:57,559 尝试反转上涨 183 00:08:57,559 --> 00:08:58,700 并且有不错的 184 00:08:58,700 --> 00:09:00,639 每当我看到两次反转的尝试 185 00:09:00,639 --> 00:09:02,580 我就开始划线 186 00:09:03,559 --> 00:09:05,419 我把这两个低点连起来 187 00:09:05,419 --> 00:09:07,799 然后延长看看会发生什么 188 00:09:07,799 --> 00:09:09,080 如果向上反弹 189 00:09:09,080 --> 00:09:10,440 然后再次下跌到这 190 00:09:10,440 --> 00:09:12,610 那就是一个潜在的楔形底 191 00:09:15,940 --> 00:09:18,360 我想看看价格回到这条线的时候 192 00:09:18,360 --> 00:09:19,480 会有什么行为 193 00:09:19,480 --> 00:09:21,659 会向上反转吗 194 00:09:22,350 --> 00:09:23,750 横盘了一段时间 195 00:09:23,750 --> 00:09:25,610 然后再次空头突破 196 00:09:25,610 --> 00:09:28,590 但是看价格接近那条线附近时 197 00:09:28,590 --> 00:09:29,950 发生了什么十字星 198 00:09:29,950 --> 00:09:32,068 然后有一个小双底 199 00:09:32,068 --> 00:09:33,928 我认为这是一个楔形 200 00:09:33,928 --> 00:09:36,788 尽管它的形状不是很好 201 00:09:38,960 --> 00:09:42,240 第三次下跌没有完全碰到那条线 202 00:09:42,840 --> 00:09:46,600 所以你可能会怀疑会不会再下跌一些 203 00:09:46,769 --> 00:09:48,370 这是一次短缺 204 00:09:48,370 --> 00:09:52,450 短缺就是指这次推动没有完全碰到这条线 205 00:09:55,179 --> 00:09:58,980 因为交易者怀疑他是否会继续下跌一些 206 00:09:59,309 --> 00:10:02,009 所以在这根K线棕色上方买入 207 00:10:02,009 --> 00:10:04,149 使第二做多入场点的胜率更高 208 00:10:04,149 --> 00:10:06,720 绿色这里有一个小双底 209 00:10:06,720 --> 00:10:08,139 是第二入场点 210 00:10:08,139 --> 00:10:09,919 而且有不错的做多信号 211 00:10:09,919 --> 00:10:11,039 K 212 00:10:13,299 --> 00:10:15,379 结果是非常强势的 213 00:10:15,379 --> 00:10:19,259 多头突破至少会有小的第二段上涨 214 00:10:21,879 --> 00:10:24,639 同样一看到两次反转尝试 215 00:10:24,639 --> 00:10:26,720 我就画线向下反转 216 00:10:26,720 --> 00:10:28,799 尝试向下反转画一条 217 00:10:28,799 --> 00:10:31,970 然后我观察当价格再次碰到这条线的时候 218 00:10:31,970 --> 00:10:32,629 会发生什么 219 00:10:32,629 --> 00:10:36,070 如果之后确实再次碰到这条线的话 220 00:10:37,539 --> 00:10:40,620 这里碰到了那条线 221 00:10:40,620 --> 00:10:42,080 稍微超出了一点 222 00:10:42,080 --> 00:10:45,379 然后所以这是一个潜在的楔形顶 223 00:10:45,700 --> 00:10:48,279 因为这个大阳线突破太强势了 224 00:10:48,279 --> 00:10:49,940 很可能只是小幅反转 225 00:10:49,940 --> 00:10:51,960 意味着更有可能是震荡区间 226 00:10:51,960 --> 00:10:54,500 而不是下降趋势 227 00:10:57,399 --> 00:10:58,580 小的突刺 228 00:10:58,580 --> 00:11:00,240 这是抢购高潮 229 00:11:00,240 --> 00:11:01,759 开始反转下跌 230 00:11:03,039 --> 00:11:06,279 如果多头突破失败之后开始反转下跌 231 00:11:08,399 --> 00:11:10,720 出现下跌波段的概率就更高 232 00:11:10,720 --> 00:11:13,039 尤其是这里有一个不错的做空信号 233 00:11:13,039 --> 00:11:15,078 K线入场K线也很不错 234 00:11:15,078 --> 00:11:16,798 这里的K线很小 235 00:11:16,798 --> 00:11:20,558 所以看起来价格不会跌的太远或太快 236 00:11:22,340 --> 00:11:25,500 通常如果我做空之后看到这种东西 237 00:11:25,500 --> 00:11:27,940 我就会离开很窄的震荡区间 238 00:11:30,980 --> 00:11:34,980 阴线下方是合理的做空入场点急速回调 239 00:11:34,980 --> 00:11:36,919 预期跌回到通道的起点 240 00:11:36,919 --> 00:11:39,940 但市场花了很长时间才跌到那里 241 00:11:40,110 --> 00:11:41,690 正如之前所说 242 00:11:41,690 --> 00:11:43,529 当出现这种价格行为时 243 00:11:43,529 --> 00:11:45,789 非常展现离场 244 00:11:47,980 --> 00:11:50,059 虽然我把它看作楔形 245 00:11:50,059 --> 00:11:54,139 但不代表所有的电脑程序都把它看作楔形 246 00:11:58,360 --> 00:12:02,000 而且不同的电脑会使用不同的高低点 247 00:12:02,000 --> 00:12:03,840 来创建楔形 248 00:12:05,419 --> 00:12:08,080 多头突破三次向上推动 249 00:12:08,080 --> 00:12:10,340 所以是一个小楔形顶 250 00:12:11,440 --> 00:12:13,559 而在其他程序的算法中 251 00:12:13,559 --> 00:12:16,159 也许是123 252 00:12:16,159 --> 00:12:19,159 第三推没有完全碰到这条线 253 00:12:19,159 --> 00:12:22,000 也许你也可以把它看做一个扩张三角形 254 00:12:22,000 --> 00:12:26,539 但一些电脑程序会这样看123 255 00:12:27,019 --> 00:12:28,820 一些程序认为是这样的 256 00:12:28,820 --> 00:12:30,399 123 257 00:12:30,399 --> 00:12:32,259 并且不把它看作楔形 258 00:12:32,259 --> 00:12:33,789 就是一个上涨通道 259 00:12:33,789 --> 00:12:36,129 他们预期市场会反转下跌 260 00:12:36,129 --> 00:12:38,149 尤其是第二次尝试向下反转 261 00:12:38,149 --> 00:12:39,129 第一次尝试 262 00:12:39,129 --> 00:12:41,470 然后第二次尝试 263 00:12:44,519 --> 00:12:46,620 市场多次尝试突破新高 264 00:12:46,620 --> 00:12:48,320 但失败了 265 00:12:49,960 --> 00:12:51,860 没有多少人愿意追涨 266 00:12:51,860 --> 00:12:54,519 反而是很多人在逢高卖出 267 00:12:55,200 --> 00:12:58,470 刚刚超过前期的高点就反转下跌 268 00:12:58,470 --> 00:13:00,370 超过这里下跌 269 00:13:00,370 --> 00:13:02,110 超过这里下跌 270 00:13:02,110 --> 00:13:03,710 超过这里下跌 271 00:13:03,710 --> 00:13:07,039 多头和空头都认为价格太高了 272 00:13:07,399 --> 00:13:09,679 不管你说他是楔形扩张 273 00:13:09,679 --> 00:13:12,519 三角形还是通道市场 274 00:13:12,519 --> 00:13:15,879 每次创新高之后就反转下跌 275 00:13:16,659 --> 00:13:19,460 通常之后价格会反向移动 276 00:13:19,460 --> 00:13:22,139 因为现在已经涨得抬高了 277 00:13:25,580 --> 00:13:28,350 你可以说它是形状不好的楔形 278 00:13:28,350 --> 00:13:32,750 你可以说它是扩张三角形或者加速突破形失败 279 00:13:32,750 --> 00:13:34,419 123 280 00:13:34,419 --> 00:13:35,460 重要的是 281 00:13:35,460 --> 00:13:37,100 市场并不重尝试上涨 282 00:13:37,100 --> 00:13:38,789 但是失败必须考虑 283 00:13:38,789 --> 00:13:41,190 它有可能会向相反的方向移动 284 00:13:41,190 --> 00:13:45,350 所以交易者会在反转下跌时卖出做空 285 00:13:46,289 --> 00:13:49,490 可以是在这根K线下方反转的十字星 286 00:13:49,490 --> 00:13:53,450 或者但是更高的坐收在最低的阴线下方 287 00:13:58,139 --> 00:14:00,860 之前已经多次强调划线有很多 288 00:14:00,860 --> 00:14:02,919 不同的电脑使用不同的算法 289 00:14:02,919 --> 00:14:05,340 他们划线的方式不同 290 00:14:06,298 --> 00:14:09,158 三次下跌123 291 00:14:09,158 --> 00:14:11,558 其他电脑会认为第一推在这里 292 00:14:11,558 --> 00:14:14,219 123 293 00:14:15,320 --> 00:14:16,820 这里的回调之后 294 00:14:16,820 --> 00:14:21,500 市场制造了新的高点下降通道 295 00:14:21,500 --> 00:14:24,080 但市场经常处于过渡阶段 296 00:14:24,080 --> 00:14:28,589 经常同时处于上涨和下降趋势及震荡区间 297 00:14:28,589 --> 00:14:29,849 这就是为什么 298 00:14:29,849 --> 00:14:32,668 下降趋势在上涨趋势结束前就开始了 299 00:14:33,788 --> 00:14:37,068 因为市场处于两者之间的过渡阶段 300 00:14:40,480 --> 00:14:41,679 你可以画一条线 301 00:14:41,679 --> 00:14:43,399 123 302 00:14:43,399 --> 00:14:45,159 然后这是一个短缺 303 00:14:45,159 --> 00:14:46,960 没有完全碰到这条线 304 00:14:46,960 --> 00:14:48,149 之前说过 305 00:14:48,149 --> 00:14:51,129 如果我看到第三次下跌之后的反转上涨 306 00:14:51,129 --> 00:14:52,850 在直播室讲解的时候 307 00:14:52,850 --> 00:14:54,950 我通常会连接一和二三 308 00:14:54,950 --> 00:14:55,610 All brooks 309 00:14:55,610 --> 00:14:57,789 每天直播交易持续了10年 310 00:14:57,789 --> 00:14:59,129 现在大部分时间 311 00:14:59,129 --> 00:15:01,450 由其他优秀的交易员分析和讲解 312 00:15:01,450 --> 00:15:04,110 每次下跌之后都有反弹 313 00:15:04,419 --> 00:15:05,679 第三推之后 314 00:15:05,679 --> 00:15:08,059 交易者会在反转上涨时买入 315 00:15:08,059 --> 00:15:12,019 这里有不同的方法来画这三段下跌 316 00:15:15,360 --> 00:15:20,320 三次下跌123不是一个很漂亮的做多信号 317 00:15:20,320 --> 00:15:20,899 K线 318 00:15:20,899 --> 00:15:22,830 而且左边是两根阴线 319 00:15:22,830 --> 00:15:25,549 第二做多入场点的胜率会更高 320 00:15:25,549 --> 00:15:28,309 也就是这根K线的上方 321 00:15:30,539 --> 00:15:33,200 一个多头突破跟随很糟糕 322 00:15:33,200 --> 00:15:34,419 第一次下跌 323 00:15:34,419 --> 00:15:35,279 第二推 324 00:15:35,279 --> 00:15:36,279 第三推 325 00:15:36,279 --> 00:15:38,480 短缺没有完全碰到 326 00:15:38,480 --> 00:15:40,080 现在第一次回调之后 327 00:15:40,080 --> 00:15:42,120 价格创了新高 328 00:15:43,529 --> 00:15:48,009 这个阳线你可以说它是上涨趋势的一部分 329 00:15:48,809 --> 00:15:51,450 或者你也可以说它属于回调的一部分 330 00:15:51,450 --> 00:15:55,009 当上涨趋势向下降趋势过渡的时候 331 00:15:55,289 --> 00:15:57,009 通常会有一段时间 332 00:15:57,009 --> 00:15:59,090 市场既处于上涨趋势 333 00:15:59,090 --> 00:16:01,529 又处于下降趋势 334 00:16:02,460 --> 00:16:04,620 楔形牛旗多头突破 335 00:16:04,620 --> 00:16:06,000 交易者会在这里 336 00:16:06,000 --> 00:16:08,589 这里和这里的阳线上方买入 337 00:16:08,589 --> 00:16:10,089 这不是一个阳县 338 00:16:10,089 --> 00:16:12,059 但背景是楔形牛旗 339 00:16:12,059 --> 00:16:15,080 更多交易者会在这根K线的上方买入 340 00:16:15,080 --> 00:16:17,179 因为它是双价最高的大阳线 341 00:16:17,179 --> 00:16:19,259 大约是左边上涨的50% 342 00:16:19,259 --> 00:16:22,779 回调你可以说他是楔形牛起 343 00:16:22,779 --> 00:16:25,379 你可以说他是低点抬高的大反转 344 00:16:25,379 --> 00:16:29,059 交易者会在反转上涨时买入做多 345 00:16:32,460 --> 00:16:36,039 楔形顶1231I 346 00:16:36,039 --> 00:16:37,659 第二根运线是阴线 347 00:16:37,659 --> 00:16:41,179 所以交易者会在它的下方一个tick开仓做空 348 00:16:41,179 --> 00:16:42,019 小双顶 349 00:16:42,019 --> 00:16:44,059 这根K线上涨下跌 350 00:16:45,179 --> 00:16:48,539 然后这根K线上涨下跌 351 00:16:52,059 --> 00:16:55,379 现在我想讲一下不同类型的楔形 352 00:17:01,159 --> 00:17:04,140 看这个明显的空头突破 353 00:17:04,140 --> 00:17:06,289 然后第二段下跌 354 00:17:06,730 --> 00:17:08,230 这里也有大阴线 355 00:17:08,230 --> 00:17:10,170 但它形成了一个更高的低点 356 00:17:11,250 --> 00:17:13,769 这实际上是一种楔形 357 00:17:14,878 --> 00:17:16,578 有三次下跌 358 00:17:16,578 --> 00:17:18,959 如果这个低点低于那个低点 359 00:17:18,959 --> 00:17:20,519 你会说他是楔形 360 00:17:20,519 --> 00:17:22,999 这里实际上是一个短缺 361 00:17:24,069 --> 00:17:27,109 第三个低点高于第二个低点 362 00:17:27,808 --> 00:17:31,929 实际上他根本没有接近楔形底的趋势线 363 00:17:33,210 --> 00:17:37,730 然而它和楔形底的形成原理是一样的 364 00:17:38,519 --> 00:17:41,019 当多头看到这个向上的反转时 365 00:17:41,019 --> 00:17:43,380 他们知道可能会有一个新的低点 366 00:17:43,380 --> 00:17:45,509 然而他们非常确信 367 00:17:45,509 --> 00:17:48,589 在这个低点下方会有很多买盘 368 00:17:48,950 --> 00:17:52,230 所以很多多头把限价买单挂在了这个低点的上 369 00:17:52,230 --> 00:17:52,910 以防万一 370 00:17:52,910 --> 00:17:54,990 价格没有跌破前期低点就被买起来 371 00:17:54,990 --> 00:17:56,630 所以形成了抬高的低点 372 00:17:56,630 --> 00:17:58,349 然后反转上涨 373 00:17:58,349 --> 00:18:00,990 然而这也是三推的结构 374 00:18:00,990 --> 00:18:04,509 123你可以说它是缩减版的楔形 375 00:18:04,509 --> 00:18:06,460 第三推小于第二推 376 00:18:06,460 --> 00:18:08,079 多头提前买入 377 00:18:08,079 --> 00:18:11,720 是因为他们知道如果跌破低点二 378 00:18:11,720 --> 00:18:14,809 会有非常多的人想要逢低买入 379 00:18:15,089 --> 00:18:17,529 所以他们抢先买入 380 00:18:19,240 --> 00:18:21,220 那么等着逢低买入的人 381 00:18:21,220 --> 00:18:24,140 就不得不追高助推上涨注 382 00:18:24,140 --> 00:18:27,199 这其实是多头之间的博弈 383 00:18:27,719 --> 00:18:29,519 形状看上去很难看 384 00:18:29,519 --> 00:18:30,659 不像是楔形 385 00:18:30,659 --> 00:18:32,038 第三推没有跌破 386 00:18:32,038 --> 00:18:32,769 第二推 387 00:18:32,769 --> 00:18:34,430 这些不完美并不重要 388 00:18:34,430 --> 00:18:37,890 它和楔形的形成原理是相同的 389 00:18:42,200 --> 00:18:44,359 你可以说他是低点抬高的大 390 00:18:44,359 --> 00:18:45,259 确实是够 391 00:18:45,259 --> 00:18:48,039 但他也是楔形底的一种变体 392 00:18:52,039 --> 00:18:54,759 市场三次尝试空头突破 393 00:18:54,759 --> 00:18:57,779 这里这里还有这里 394 00:18:57,779 --> 00:18:59,799 三次都失败了 395 00:19:00,849 --> 00:19:03,710 然后市场决定朝着相反的方向移动 396 00:19:03,710 --> 00:19:05,819 这正是楔形反转的原理 397 00:19:05,819 --> 00:19:08,059 市场做了三次下跌的尝试 398 00:19:08,059 --> 00:19:11,299 尽管通常第三推会低于第二推 399 00:19:12,529 --> 00:19:14,009 三次尝试都失败了 400 00:19:14,009 --> 00:19:15,230 市场跌不下去了 401 00:19:15,230 --> 00:19:18,130 说明现在的价格已经太低 402 00:19:19,049 --> 00:19:23,289 于是开始朝着相反的方向探寻公平价格 403 00:19:28,220 --> 00:19:32,279 当多头和空头都确信第三次下跌创新低之后 404 00:19:32,279 --> 00:19:33,460 会楔形反转时 405 00:19:34,940 --> 00:19:37,119 很多多头就会抢先买入 406 00:19:37,769 --> 00:19:40,869 同时很多空投提前止盈离场之前 407 00:19:40,869 --> 00:19:42,190 空投逢高做空 408 00:19:42,190 --> 00:19:44,069 压住反转失败 409 00:19:44,069 --> 00:19:45,769 他们可能会在这里做空 410 00:19:45,769 --> 00:19:50,119 然而如果他们发现这是一个很好的做多机会 411 00:19:50,119 --> 00:19:52,339 比如这个非常强的大阳线 412 00:19:52,339 --> 00:19:54,440 在它的下方很可能有很多买卖 413 00:19:54,440 --> 00:19:56,740 这些空头就会提前止盈 414 00:19:56,740 --> 00:20:00,460 以防市场没有形成新低就开始上涨 415 00:20:01,039 --> 00:20:03,160 所以空头开始提前平仓 416 00:20:03,160 --> 00:20:05,809 而多头变得更加自信 417 00:20:06,210 --> 00:20:08,029 这里的反弹很不错 418 00:20:08,029 --> 00:20:10,089 这里有一个非常好的阳线 419 00:20:10,089 --> 00:20:12,410 空投的抛售并不算太强势 420 00:20:12,410 --> 00:20:13,690 这里比较强势 421 00:20:13,690 --> 00:20:16,519 但是看左边下降趋势 422 00:20:16,519 --> 00:20:18,240 但很弱 423 00:20:18,880 --> 00:20:21,200 现在不管是多头还是空投 424 00:20:21,200 --> 00:20:24,940 都确信下降趋势已经没有多少下跌的空间了 425 00:20:24,940 --> 00:20:26,839 所以没有形成新的低点 426 00:20:26,839 --> 00:20:28,279 反而低点太高了 427 00:20:28,279 --> 00:20:30,700 但这仍然是楔形底的一种变体 428 00:20:30,700 --> 00:20:33,740 注重要的是形成原理 429 00:20:34,220 --> 00:20:37,819 太多交易者在第二个低点附近买入 430 00:20:38,700 --> 00:20:40,980 多头买入压住上涨的波段 431 00:20:40,980 --> 00:20:43,539 空头买入止盈平仓 432 00:20:48,160 --> 00:20:49,480 再来看这个案例 433 00:20:49,480 --> 00:20:50,680 这里有一个双顶 434 00:20:50,680 --> 00:20:51,519 有头肩底 435 00:20:51,519 --> 00:20:52,720 左肩头 436 00:20:52,720 --> 00:20:54,029 右肩 437 00:20:54,390 --> 00:20:56,250 右肩有双底的结构 438 00:20:56,250 --> 00:20:58,630 现在多头突破了头肩底的颈线 439 00:20:59,950 --> 00:21:03,109 或者说这个双顶雄起被突破了 440 00:21:06,200 --> 00:21:08,000 思考一下发生了什么 441 00:21:08,000 --> 00:21:11,019 一多头尝试反转失败了 442 00:21:11,019 --> 00:21:12,519 多头再次尝试反转 443 00:21:12,519 --> 00:21:15,230 多头第三次尝试反转能成功吗 444 00:21:16,349 --> 00:21:17,390 看上去正在失败 445 00:21:17,390 --> 00:21:19,269 这是一个三推的模式 446 00:21:19,269 --> 00:21:20,829 当你看到一个双顶 447 00:21:20,829 --> 00:21:22,269 然后向上突破 448 00:21:22,269 --> 00:21:24,009 这就是三推注 449 00:21:24,009 --> 00:21:25,109 如果第三推失败 450 00:21:25,109 --> 00:21:25,670 12推了 451 00:21:25,670 --> 00:21:27,329 市场向下反转 452 00:21:27,329 --> 00:21:29,779 这就是楔形顶的一种变体 453 00:21:29,779 --> 00:21:32,200 电脑程序会把它看作楔形 454 00:21:32,200 --> 00:21:34,160 三次强势的向上推动 455 00:21:34,160 --> 00:21:35,180 每次都反转 456 00:21:35,180 --> 00:21:36,099 下交易者压住 457 00:21:36,099 --> 00:21:38,339 市场已经涨不上去了 458 00:21:38,588 --> 00:21:40,548 也许价格已经太高 459 00:21:40,548 --> 00:21:42,868 也许市场会开始向下探 460 00:21:42,868 --> 00:21:44,509 寻公平价格 461 00:21:47,839 --> 00:21:50,180 空头看到的是双顶雄奇 462 00:21:50,180 --> 00:21:52,519 他们会在这里做空 463 00:21:53,250 --> 00:21:56,430 其中很多人的止损就放在双顶的上方 464 00:21:56,430 --> 00:21:58,470 当价格突破双顶时 465 00:21:58,470 --> 00:22:00,529 他们就在这里离场 466 00:22:00,809 --> 00:22:02,329 空头回补离场 467 00:22:02,329 --> 00:22:04,349 多头也会买入 468 00:22:04,750 --> 00:22:06,670 当价格突破双顶时 469 00:22:06,670 --> 00:22:09,490 多头期待达到上方的MM目标位 470 00:22:09,490 --> 00:22:11,259 注把双顶的高度 471 00:22:11,259 --> 00:22:12,220 然而上翻一倍 472 00:22:12,220 --> 00:22:13,579 市场反转下跌 473 00:22:13,579 --> 00:22:14,920 上影线很长 474 00:22:14,920 --> 00:22:16,449 然后又是阴线 475 00:22:16,449 --> 00:22:18,368 交易者开始卖出 476 00:22:18,368 --> 00:22:22,069 还没来得及止盈的多头会卖出平仓 477 00:22:22,230 --> 00:22:24,470 而空投会开始入场做空 478 00:22:24,470 --> 00:22:27,150 在他或者等看到连续的阴线再入场 479 00:22:27,150 --> 00:22:28,289 胜率更高 480 00:22:28,289 --> 00:22:29,990 比如这里的D2熊奇 481 00:22:29,990 --> 00:22:31,650 这根K线下方是第一 482 00:22:31,650 --> 00:22:33,509 那根K线下方是第二 483 00:22:33,509 --> 00:22:35,269 空头会在这里开仓做空 484 00:22:35,269 --> 00:22:38,059 再看到345根阴线之后 485 00:22:38,059 --> 00:22:40,079 在开仓做空的胜率更高 486 00:22:40,079 --> 00:22:43,049 但这两个卖点都是合理的 487 00:22:43,289 --> 00:22:47,369 这里或这里或者在这根大阴线的收盘 488 00:22:54,039 --> 00:22:57,000 仅仅有三次推动是不够的 489 00:22:57,339 --> 00:22:59,920 这三次推动必须足够强势 490 00:22:59,920 --> 00:23:01,819 注要有明显的背景 491 00:23:01,819 --> 00:23:02,180 很重要 492 00:23:02,180 --> 00:23:06,000 趋势左边必须存在趋势才称得上是反转 493 00:23:06,000 --> 00:23:08,640 否则市场就只是在横向震荡 494 00:23:10,398 --> 00:23:11,739 这里有一个楔形 495 00:23:11,739 --> 00:23:14,959 三次向上推动123 496 00:23:14,959 --> 00:23:15,959 但没有东西 497 00:23:15,959 --> 00:23:17,859 市场并没有上涨很多 498 00:23:17,859 --> 00:23:20,299 它只是震荡区间的一部分 499 00:23:20,299 --> 00:23:23,000 所以反转下跌不会有大的波段 500 00:23:23,000 --> 00:23:25,429 只是继续震荡而已 501 00:23:25,868 --> 00:23:29,509 第一段上涨上涨并不强势 502 00:23:30,329 --> 00:23:33,109 第三段上涨并不强势 503 00:23:33,109 --> 00:23:36,569 大部分电脑程序不会把它看作三推楔形 504 00:23:36,569 --> 00:23:39,009 因为没有强势的上涨 505 00:23:39,529 --> 00:23:41,130 第二推比较强势 506 00:23:41,130 --> 00:23:43,480 但其他两次较弱 507 00:23:43,599 --> 00:23:46,880 交易者会把它看作是震荡区间里的涨跌 508 00:23:46,880 --> 00:23:48,900 并且预期震荡会继续 509 00:23:48,900 --> 00:23:52,799 而不是三次强势上涨后的失败反转 510 00:23:55,759 --> 00:23:57,839 这里有三次向下的推动 511 00:23:57,839 --> 00:24:01,519 123或者这是三 512 00:24:02,009 --> 00:24:04,269 然而市场处于窄震荡区间 513 00:24:04,269 --> 00:24:05,990 没有趋势可以反转 514 00:24:05,990 --> 00:24:07,750 市场也许会上涨 515 00:24:07,750 --> 00:24:10,930 但更有可能的是继续窄幅震荡 516 00:24:11,450 --> 00:24:12,769 市场有惯性 517 00:24:12,769 --> 00:24:15,559 他们往往会继续前期的走势 518 00:24:15,920 --> 00:24:19,160 果泰已经在窄区间内运行了15或20根K线 519 00:24:19,160 --> 00:24:21,599 它更有可能继续在窄区间内运行 520 00:24:21,599 --> 00:24:23,180 而不是向上突破 521 00:24:23,180 --> 00:24:25,960 恢复左边的弱上涨趋势 522 00:24:31,180 --> 00:24:33,339 如果一个结构看起来不对劲 523 00:24:33,339 --> 00:24:34,920 电脑会忽略它 524 00:24:34,920 --> 00:24:36,910 你也应该忽略它 525 00:24:36,910 --> 00:24:39,789 通常交易者会用其他名词来描述它 526 00:24:41,230 --> 00:24:45,130 比如如果几次反转都发生在相同的价格区域 527 00:24:45,130 --> 00:24:47,390 交易者会说他是三重顶 528 00:24:47,390 --> 00:24:48,410 三重底 529 00:24:48,410 --> 00:24:49,289 而不是歇息 530 00:24:49,289 --> 00:24:50,469 如果背景良好 531 00:24:50,469 --> 00:24:52,449 而且左边是明确的趋势 532 00:24:52,449 --> 00:24:55,480 仍然是反转的机会 533 00:24:58,700 --> 00:25:00,019 三次向上推动 534 00:25:00,019 --> 00:25:01,819 也许这是一个楔形顶 535 00:25:01,819 --> 00:25:04,740 实际上我会称之为小突破后的小突破 536 00:25:04,740 --> 00:25:09,440 注奇怪的三小幅突破了二两小幅突破了一 537 00:25:09,720 --> 00:25:11,660 基本上是横向震荡 538 00:25:11,660 --> 00:25:13,920 尝试向下反转 539 00:25:14,289 --> 00:25:15,990 如果价格向上突破 540 00:25:15,990 --> 00:25:19,130 有很高的概率会去到上方的MM目标位 541 00:25:19,130 --> 00:25:20,199 通常来说 542 00:25:20,199 --> 00:25:22,078 如果楔行被顺势突破 543 00:25:22,078 --> 00:25:24,549 突破有50%的概率会成功 544 00:25:24,549 --> 00:25:26,269 50%的概率会失败 545 00:25:26,269 --> 00:25:27,829 但如果是横向的三推 546 00:25:27,829 --> 00:25:29,470 基本上是震荡区间 547 00:25:29,470 --> 00:25:31,909 比如这种小突破之后的小突破 548 00:25:31,909 --> 00:25:35,729 突破后有60%的概率会去到MM目标位 549 00:25:35,729 --> 00:25:38,388 或者说会有上涨的波段 550 00:25:42,960 --> 00:25:44,680 两根很不错的阳线 551 00:25:44,680 --> 00:25:46,460 这里有不错的阳线 552 00:25:46,460 --> 00:25:49,079 震荡区间内的买压在增加 553 00:25:49,079 --> 00:25:50,880 更有可能向上突破 554 00:25:50,880 --> 00:25:53,000 形成上涨波段 555 00:25:56,400 --> 00:25:59,039 你也可以说他是头肩底 556 00:25:59,390 --> 00:26:01,990 左肩头更低的低点 557 00:26:01,990 --> 00:26:03,420 然后是右肩 558 00:26:03,420 --> 00:26:06,200 你也可以说是双底反转后的回调 559 00:26:06,200 --> 00:26:07,799 双底回调 560 00:26:07,799 --> 00:26:09,179 这接近三角形 561 00:26:09,179 --> 00:26:11,138 尽管这个低点比他更低 562 00:26:11,138 --> 00:26:13,538 同样一个结构不同的人有不同 563 00:26:13,538 --> 00:26:16,759 比如说我称之为小突破后的小突破 564 00:26:16,960 --> 00:26:19,400 其中三段上涨都有不错的买压 565 00:26:19,400 --> 00:26:24,160 并且在第三次上涨之后有一个反转下跌的尝试 566 00:26:26,660 --> 00:26:28,920 市场也处在宽上涨通道中 567 00:26:28,920 --> 00:26:31,539 低点和高点都在抬高 568 00:26:32,130 --> 00:26:34,829 而且距离通道上沿还有一定距离 569 00:26:34,829 --> 00:26:36,430 可能会去碰上沿 570 00:26:36,430 --> 00:26:38,730 所以存在做多的理由 571 00:26:38,920 --> 00:26:42,039 如果在窄区间内出现了足够强势的小波段 572 00:26:43,079 --> 00:26:45,680 你有剥头皮做小反转的机会 573 00:26:45,680 --> 00:26:47,799 但很难抓到波段 574 00:26:50,099 --> 00:26:52,529 三次向上推动一二 575 00:26:52,529 --> 00:26:54,950 在它下方一个这里有空头压I结构 576 00:26:54,950 --> 00:26:57,210 连续两根运线都是阴线 577 00:26:57,210 --> 00:26:59,349 第二根运线的方向更为重要 578 00:26:59,349 --> 00:27:00,529 在这里卖出 579 00:27:00,529 --> 00:27:03,329 更有可能得到震荡区间内的一小段下跌 580 00:27:03,329 --> 00:27:04,990 因此是剥头皮交易 581 00:27:04,990 --> 00:27:07,289 而不是波段交易 582 00:27:08,819 --> 00:27:12,969 三次向下推动123并不是很强 583 00:27:12,969 --> 00:27:14,489 第二做多入场点 584 00:27:14,489 --> 00:27:16,568 但大概率只能做一笔包头皮 585 00:27:16,568 --> 00:27:19,509 这里价格涨到了区间的上沿 586 00:27:19,509 --> 00:27:21,679 但后续的跟随很糟糕 587 00:27:21,679 --> 00:27:23,259 然后开始窄幅震荡 588 00:27:23,259 --> 00:27:24,358 这里也没有任何交易 589 00:27:24,358 --> 00:27:26,598 三次向下推动并不是很强 590 00:27:26,598 --> 00:27:28,298 基本处于窄震荡区间 591 00:27:28,298 --> 00:27:29,740 如果你在这里买入 592 00:27:29,740 --> 00:27:33,339 就只是拿到区间上沿的一笔包头皮嗯 593 00:27:38,380 --> 00:27:41,960 所有这些都不是理想的楔形形状 594 00:27:41,960 --> 00:27:43,859 但它们都起到了楔形的作用 595 00:27:43,859 --> 00:27:46,279 市场三次尝试向某个方向前进 596 00:27:46,279 --> 00:27:48,029 但都失败了 597 00:27:48,049 --> 00:27:51,049 于是放弃开始尝试另一个方向 598 00:27:51,049 --> 00:27:52,969 和楔形的形成原因相同 599 00:27:52,969 --> 00:27:54,949 只不过这里的幅度更小 600 00:27:54,949 --> 00:27:56,449 而且主要是横向震荡 601 00:27:56,449 --> 00:27:57,528 他们是小反转 602 00:27:57,528 --> 00:27:59,608 是包头皮交易 603 00:28:05,420 --> 00:28:08,539 通常当我看到这种不像楔形的结构 604 00:28:09,849 --> 00:28:13,009 而且背景也不存在可以被反转的趋势 605 00:28:13,009 --> 00:28:15,210 我就不用楔形这个词了 606 00:28:15,210 --> 00:28:16,609 而是用其他的描述方式 607 00:28:16,609 --> 00:28:19,410 比如三角形或者三重顶三重 608 00:28:19,410 --> 00:28:21,589 或者直接说他是窄震荡区间 609 00:28:21,589 --> 00:28:23,900 与其纠结他到底是不是楔形 610 00:28:23,900 --> 00:28:26,119 我就直接把它看作窄震荡区间 611 00:28:26,119 --> 00:28:27,900 然后包头皮 612 00:28:30,000 --> 00:28:33,180 刚才讲到过向上突破双顶失败 613 00:28:33,180 --> 00:28:34,500 是楔形顶 614 00:28:34,500 --> 00:28:37,579 同样如果双底被向下跌破 615 00:28:37,579 --> 00:28:38,700 但是很快反转 616 00:28:38,700 --> 00:28:40,259 也是三次向下的推动 617 00:28:40,259 --> 00:28:42,819 注双底本来就有两次推动 618 00:28:42,819 --> 00:28:46,619 电脑程序会把它看作是这里一和两本来是双底 619 00:28:46,619 --> 00:28:48,199 三尝试跌破塔 620 00:28:48,199 --> 00:28:50,679 三次向下推动一二 621 00:28:50,679 --> 00:28:51,618 在我看来 622 00:28:51,618 --> 00:28:53,558 它和楔形底的功能是一样的 623 00:28:53,558 --> 00:28:55,598 可以在这里都提供条线转上涨的机会 624 00:28:55,598 --> 00:28:57,279 你可以说它是三角形 625 00:28:57,279 --> 00:29:00,829 你可以说它是和楔形底的形成原理是一样的 626 00:29:00,829 --> 00:29:02,269 三次向下推动 627 00:29:02,269 --> 00:29:03,650 如果双底被跌破 628 00:29:03,650 --> 00:29:05,650 但是很快反转上涨 629 00:29:05,650 --> 00:29:08,009 它就有楔形相同的功能 630 00:29:08,009 --> 00:29:10,289 所以应该寻找反转上涨做多的 631 00:29:10,289 --> 00:29:12,470 这里市场处于窄震荡区间 632 00:29:12,470 --> 00:29:14,049 所以无法期待大的上涨 633 00:29:14,049 --> 00:29:17,109 最终在回调之后也只是小的第二段上涨 634 00:29:17,109 --> 00:29:19,750 但通常来说跌破双底失败 635 00:29:19,750 --> 00:29:21,230 然后反转上涨 636 00:29:21,230 --> 00:29:23,159 这是楔形底的一种变体 637 00:29:23,159 --> 00:29:25,159 因为它有三次向下推动 638 00:29:25,159 --> 00:29:27,358 而且三次都反转上涨 639 00:29:27,358 --> 00:29:28,778 这里也是一样 640 00:29:28,778 --> 00:29:32,730 双底空头突破反转上涨 641 00:29:32,730 --> 00:29:34,369 第二次反转上涨 642 00:29:34,369 --> 00:29:36,569 注我不会说他只接第二次 643 00:29:36,569 --> 00:29:38,769 我会称之为跌破双底失败 644 00:29:38,769 --> 00:29:41,279 然而他是楔形的一种 645 00:29:41,279 --> 00:29:42,720 三次向下推动 646 00:29:42,720 --> 00:29:44,920 三次都反转 647 00:29:49,420 --> 00:29:55,980 双底空头突破反转上涨和楔形底的功能相同 648 00:29:57,920 --> 00:30:00,279 双顶向上突破失败 649 00:30:00,279 --> 00:30:03,759 反转下跌有三次向上推动 650 00:30:03,759 --> 00:30:06,700 1233次都反转 651 00:30:06,700 --> 00:30:09,089 视察发现上涨不是正确的方向 652 00:30:09,089 --> 00:30:11,490 所以开始向下探索公平价格 653 00:30:11,490 --> 00:30:12,450 它是楔形的一种 654 00:30:12,450 --> 00:30:14,369 我通常描述它为向上突破 655 00:30:14,369 --> 00:30:15,809 双底失败 656 00:30:21,579 --> 00:30:23,660 这里也是一样 657 00:30:23,660 --> 00:30:25,599 双顶向上突破 658 00:30:25,599 --> 00:30:28,929 三次向上推动123 659 00:30:28,929 --> 00:30:30,489 然后反转下跌 660 00:30:30,489 --> 00:30:31,949 你可以说他是楔形 661 00:30:31,949 --> 00:30:33,169 它确实是楔形的 662 00:30:33,169 --> 00:30:34,888 它和楔形的原理是一样的 663 00:30:34,888 --> 00:30:38,779 很多交易者会直接称之为三重顶或者向上突破 664 00:30:38,779 --> 00:30:39,500 双顶失败 665 00:30:39,500 --> 00:30:41,079 或者结合左边的背景 666 00:30:41,079 --> 00:30:42,699 这是窄震荡区间 667 00:30:42,699 --> 00:30:45,179 向上突破区间失败 668 00:30:48,500 --> 00:30:49,819 大阴线突破 669 00:30:49,819 --> 00:30:52,750 收盘在楔形的最低点下方 670 00:30:52,950 --> 00:30:56,549 收盘在过去30~40根K线的最低点下方 671 00:30:56,549 --> 00:30:58,960 大概率会继续下跌 672 00:30:59,400 --> 00:31:02,799 交易者会在这根反转阴线的下方开仓做空 673 00:31:02,799 --> 00:31:04,579 或者在大阴线跌破后 674 00:31:04,579 --> 00:31:05,799 这个反弹是熊奇 675 00:31:05,799 --> 00:31:07,730 他们会在这根阴线下方做空 676 00:31:07,730 --> 00:31:09,730 压住下降趋势会继续 677 00:31:10,890 --> 00:31:13,650 在看到强势的空投突破之后再做空 678 00:31:13,650 --> 00:31:15,650 胜率会更高 679 00:31:20,559 --> 00:31:24,319 这节课我主要讲的内容是很少有完美的楔形 680 00:31:24,319 --> 00:31:27,799 另外大多数通道无论是否收敛 681 00:31:27,799 --> 00:31:29,500 都是楔形的变体 682 00:31:30,130 --> 00:31:32,650 然后我讲了不同种类的楔形 683 00:31:32,650 --> 00:31:35,069 比如向上突破双底失败 684 00:31:35,069 --> 00:31:37,730 或者向下突破双底失败 685 00:31:41,880 --> 00:31:43,240 我是阿尔布鲁克斯 686 00:31:43,240 --> 00:31:45,799 感谢观看布鲁克斯交易课程先行的 687 00:31:45,799 --> 00:31:48,220 第二节课就先讲到这里
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