【Seeking Alpha】超越英伟达：现在量化评分第一AI美股

1
00:00:00,000 --> 00:00:00,260
嘿

2
00:00:00,260 --> 00:00:00,560
大家好

3
00:00:00,560 --> 00:00:01,179
我是尼科莱

4
00:00:01,179 --> 00:00:06,339
本杰明，这里是Seeking Alpha的主持人，为您带来又一期每周评级节目

5
00:00:06,339 --> 00:00:07,860
与Steven Kress共同呈现

6
00:00:07,860 --> 00:00:12,339
我们将用最短时间为您解读市场洞察

7
00:00:12,339 --> 00:00:17,469
开始前简要说明：过往表现不预示未来结果

8
00:00:17,469 --> 00:00:20,339
内容仅作信息参考

9
00:00:20,339 --> 00:00:21,699
除非另有说明

10
00:00:21,699 --> 00:00:26,960
参与视频的所有人士均为第三方，包括专业投资者和散户

11
00:00:30,509 --> 00:00:31,708
除非另有说明

12
00:00:31,708 --> 00:00:35,420
所表达观点可能不代表Seeking Alpha整体立场

13
00:00:35,420 --> 00:00:38,840
内容准确性无法完全保证

14
00:00:38,840 --> 00:00:42,460
Seeking Alpha未考虑您的投资目标或财务状况

15
00:00:42,460 --> 00:00:44,799
不提供个性化投资建议

16
00:00:44,799 --> 00:00:47,020
Seeking Alpha非持牌证券商

17
00:00:47,020 --> 00:00:47,340
经纪商

18
00:00:47,340 --> 00:00:47,500
U

19
00:00:47,500 --> 00:00:47,679
S

20
00:00:47,679 --> 00:00:50,549
投资顾问或投行

21
00:00:50,549 --> 00:00:52,689
哦

22
00:00:52,689 --> 00:00:53,469
那是一只老鼠

23
00:00:53,469 --> 00:00:54,070
我们做到了

24
00:00:54,070 --> 00:00:59,119
我们成功了，现在

25
00:00:59,119 --> 00:01:00,399
Steven Kris

26
00:01:00,399 --> 00:01:00,780
大家好

27
00:01:00,780 --> 00:01:04,920
Seeking Alpha的量化策略副总裁

28
00:01:04,920 --> 00:01:09,719
他负责运营您可能在网站上看到的众多优质产品

29
00:01:09,719 --> 00:01:10,909
Alpha Pics

30
00:01:10,909 --> 00:01:11,829
Pro Quad

31
00:01:11,829 --> 00:01:12,989
Pro Folio

32
00:01:12,989 --> 00:01:16,150
如果您对这些产品感兴趣

33
00:01:16,150 --> 00:01:16,950
请继续

34
00:01:16,950 --> 00:01:19,519
去查看吧，对了

35
00:01:19,519 --> 00:01:21,248
立即开始

36
00:01:21,248 --> 00:01:23,269
Steve，我今天第一个问题

37
00:01:23,269 --> 00:01:24,668
我想直接切入主题

38
00:01:24,668 --> 00:01:26,808
大家都在关注英伟达

39
00:01:26,808 --> 00:01:32,728
您将美光列为全市场量化排名首位的股票

40
00:01:32,728 --> 00:01:38,370
美光是如何从周期性内存供应商

41
00:01:38,370 --> 00:01:43,629
转变为必须持有的关键AI基础设施

42
00:01:44,060 --> 00:01:45,459
确实如此

43
00:01:45,459 --> 00:01:46,459
我来告诉你

44
00:01:46,459 --> 00:01:50,219
所有数据都显示

45
00:01:50,219 --> 00:01:53,060
尤其是年初时的美光

46
00:01:53,060 --> 00:01:54,709
我们注意到

47
00:01:54,709 --> 00:01:55,310
嗯

48
00:01:55,310 --> 00:01:58,329
它拥有极佳的估值体系

49
00:01:58,329 --> 00:02:01,430
并且增长势头强劲

50
00:02:01,430 --> 00:02:04,730
今年以来这只股票表现惊人

51
00:02:04,730 --> 00:02:07,409
涨幅高达151%

52
00:02:07,409 --> 00:02:12,060
大多数人关注的英伟达今年涨幅仅20%

53
00:02:12,060 --> 00:02:16,840
像英伟达这样的公司估值确实过高

54
00:02:16,840 --> 00:02:23,710
如果看传统市盈率指标或英伟达的估值

55
00:02:23,710 --> 00:02:25,930
在我们的平台上看起来非常昂贵

56
00:02:25,930 --> 00:02:29,099
但实际给予F级估值

57
00:02:29,099 --> 00:02:33,449
因为美光科技在这些指标上过于昂贵

58
00:02:33,449 --> 00:02:36,610
市盈率仅为11.69倍

59
00:02:36,610 --> 00:02:40,460
不仅相比标普500指数便宜

60
00:02:40,460 --> 00:02:44,460
相比IT行业也异常低廉

61
00:02:44,460 --> 00:02:45,219
但

62
00:02:45,219 --> 00:02:45,860
更重要的是

63
00:02:45,860 --> 00:02:47,129
当我们看增长性

64
00:02:47,129 --> 00:02:48,629
我们给予A+评级

65
00:02:48,629 --> 00:02:52,969
因为公司增长远超行业平均水平

66
00:02:52,969 --> 00:02:56,120
营收增长率达90%

67
00:02:56,120 --> 00:02:58,840
而行业平均仅11.5%

68
00:02:58,840 --> 00:03:03,259
每股收益年同比增长412%

69
00:03:03,259 --> 00:03:06,039
未来增长率为329%

70
00:03:06,039 --> 00:03:09,360
相比行业约16%

71
00:03:09,360 --> 00:03:15,699
从量化和数据角度很容易判断

72
00:03:15,699 --> 00:03:21,060
拥有惊人增长、估值框架和盈利能力

73
00:03:21,060 --> 00:03:21,879
所以这确实

74
00:03:21,879 --> 00:03:26,389
这确实是个容易推荐的案例 好，接下来我的下一个问题

75
00:03:26,389 --> 00:03:31,930
我看图表显示像闪迪等标的

76
00:03:31,930 --> 00:03:33,550
硬盘和美光科技

77
00:03:33,550 --> 00:03:36,750
在如此波动的市场中

78
00:03:36,909 --> 00:03:44,909
您的分析如何帮助投资者提前发现高胜率标的

79
00:03:44,909 --> 00:03:45,430
是的

80
00:03:45,430 --> 00:03:49,069
所有这些股票都被评为强烈买入

81
00:03:49,069 --> 00:03:50,750
并且表现极为出色

82
00:03:50,750 --> 00:03:52,069
正如我提到的英伟达

83
00:03:52,069 --> 00:03:56,500
年初我们曾持观望态度，如今仅涨20%

84
00:03:56,500 --> 00:04:03,539
这些股票的共同特点是增长优势显著

85
00:04:03,539 --> 00:04:04,479
估值更优

86
00:04:04,479 --> 00:04:06,520
从量化视角来看

87
00:04:06,520 --> 00:04:07,889
当我们分析股票时

88
00:04:07,889 --> 00:04:12,180
寻找具备投资优势的公司

89
00:04:12,180 --> 00:04:14,000
即增长、价值

90
00:04:14,000 --> 00:04:15,000
盈利能力

91
00:04:15,000 --> 00:04:17,360
动量和EPS修正

92
00:04:17,360 --> 00:04:21,220
如果这些投资特征全面突出

93
00:04:21,220 --> 00:04:22,920
通常会被评为强烈买入

94
00:04:22,920 --> 00:04:25,939
以英伟达为例

95
00:04:25,939 --> 00:04:28,879
尽管公司增长惊人

96
00:04:28,879 --> 00:04:31,500
但估值框架过于昂贵

97
00:04:31,500 --> 00:04:33,959
这增加了投资风险

98
00:04:33,959 --> 00:04:35,019
这相对容易选择

99
00:04:35,019 --> 00:04:36,819
拥有优秀的估值框架

100
00:04:36,819 --> 00:04:38,019
同比增长

101
00:04:38,019 --> 00:04:39,399
所以呃

102
00:04:39,399 --> 00:04:40,680
他们推出了

103
00:04:40,680 --> 00:04:41,100
你知道的

104
00:04:41,100 --> 00:04:45,889
强烈双向推荐现在有效

105
00:04:45,889 --> 00:04:46,810
你知道的

106
00:04:46,810 --> 00:04:50,889
许多投资者的最大担忧是在顶部买入

107
00:04:50,889 --> 00:04:52,870
特别是对于美光科技

108
00:04:52,870 --> 00:04:56,490
过去一年股价上涨超600%

109
00:05:04,209 --> 00:05:05,490
我猜

110
00:05:05,490 --> 00:05:10,069
分析如何判定处于历史高点的股票

111
00:05:10,069 --> 00:05:14,069
仍被视为估值优惠

112
00:05:14,069 --> 00:05:15,389
所以呃

113
00:05:15,389 --> 00:05:17,048
股价可能上涨10%

114
00:05:17,048 --> 00:05:17,949
上涨100%

115
00:05:17,949 --> 00:05:21,189
600%的估值仍具吸引力

116
00:05:21,189 --> 00:05:22,470
相对于行业

117
00:05:22,470 --> 00:05:23,949
该股买入评级

118
00:05:23,949 --> 00:05:25,410
人们无需担忧

119
00:05:25,410 --> 00:05:29,569
你知道可以看看任何长期表现优异的股票

120
00:05:29,569 --> 00:05:31,389
你知道决策已转为买入

121
00:05:31,389 --> 00:05:36,360
应综合增长与价值及估值判断

122
00:05:36,360 --> 00:05:37,160
正如你可以看到

123
00:05:37,160 --> 00:05:39,220
若查看因子评级卡

124
00:05:39,220 --> 00:05:43,339
六个月前评级为B-

125
00:05:43,339 --> 00:05:46,120
现在估值评级为B

126
00:05:46,120 --> 00:05:49,860
当前估值比六个月前更具吸引力

127
00:05:49,860 --> 00:05:53,480
尽管股价飙升

128
00:05:53,870 --> 00:05:54,329
嗯

129
00:05:54,329 --> 00:05:56,189
这对我来说听起来不错

130
00:05:57,089 --> 00:05:57,589
现在

131
00:05:57,589 --> 00:06:01,970
我看到阿尔法视图组合目前表现优异

132
00:06:01,970 --> 00:06:06,428
自成立以来超越标普500近400%

133
00:06:06,428 --> 00:06:10,668
当我们看到全球不确定性与市场波动时

134
00:06:10,668 --> 00:06:14,620
哪些数据点触发了

135
00:06:14,620 --> 00:06:20,970
这些强烈买入信号让投资者信心坚定

136
00:06:21,290 --> 00:06:23,529
特别是阿尔法精选

137
00:06:23,529 --> 00:06:24,009
呃

138
00:06:24,009 --> 00:06:25,449
我们每两周进行一次

139
00:06:25,449 --> 00:06:29,310
向个人推荐我们的量化强买标的

140
00:06:29,310 --> 00:06:30,769
正如我之前提到的

141
00:06:30,769 --> 00:06:34,360
这五个投资特征是所有标的的核心

142
00:06:34,360 --> 00:06:35,759
所以呃

143
00:06:35,759 --> 00:06:41,288
基本上每两周我们聚焦符合投资特征的优质公司

144
00:06:41,288 --> 00:06:42,329
正如你可以看到

145
00:06:42,329 --> 00:06:43,408
回报已显现

146
00:06:43,408 --> 00:06:46,968
自2022年7月成立以来

147
00:06:46,968 --> 00:06:51,709
相比标普上涨近400%，而标普仅涨约100%

148
00:06:51,709 --> 00:06:54,290
而标普500指数

149
00:06:54,290 --> 00:06:59,668
你获得的股票可能基本面差、好或一般

150
00:06:59,668 --> 00:07:00,749
借助阿尔法选股

151
00:07:00,749 --> 00:07:04,009
我们专注于基本面最好的公司

152
00:07:04,009 --> 00:07:07,920
这也是为什么表现如此卓越

153
00:07:07,920 --> 00:07:08,839
我们就讲到这里

154
00:07:08,839 --> 00:07:09,740
非常感谢

155
00:07:09,740 --> 00:07:11,220
感谢史蒂夫今天加入我们

156
00:07:11,220 --> 00:07:13,339
也感谢所有收听的朋友们

157
00:07:13,339 --> 00:07:14,408
请继续

158
00:07:14,408 --> 00:07:15,749
点击文章链接

159
00:07:15,749 --> 00:07:17,749
在Seeking Alpha关注史蒂夫

160
00:07:17,749 --> 00:07:19,769
看看阿尔法选股是否适合你

161
00:07:19,769 --> 00:07:22,309
看看专业量化组合是否适合你

162
00:07:22,309 --> 00:07:24,519
或许还有美光科技

163
00:07:24,519 --> 00:07:27,519
我们下次节目再见

164
00:07:27,519 --> 00:07:28,060
谢谢

共 3 条，按点赞数排序。

采集完成，该视频无弹幕