【Ross Cameron - Warrior Trading】日内交易：生科股突发利好狂飙60%,交易员教你识破假突破

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最近怎么样

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大家还好吧

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在今天的节目中

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我要拆解我的交易策略

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今天上午我们关注了一只生物科技股在突发新闻刺激下快速上涨

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标题看起来不错

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这个标题很有吸引力

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但股价表现不如预期

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事实上我认为

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这样的消息应该能让股价暴涨两到三倍

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我果断入场

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我以为会有大幅拉升

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现在有点失望

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这让我有点意外

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这体现了交易者的挑战

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两家公司

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都可能有看似优秀的标题

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一家暴涨三倍

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另一家却毫无起色

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我怎么搞的

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为什么没成功

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现在

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存在一些表面之外的因素

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可以解释这种现象

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归根结底

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我们未必清楚具体是哪个变量

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导致涨幅受限

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可能需要几周或几个月后才能揭晓

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如果公司提交更多文件

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我们能更了解财务状况

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目前这只股票有过大幅拉升

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现在回吐涨幅令人失望

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不过我们仍要分析

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在今日回顾中

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股票代码是ERN A

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目前价格

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截至此刻

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仅上涨18%

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让我读一下标题

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这是治疗公司

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标题在这里

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宣布突破性进展

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临床前试验结果

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在卵巢癌模型中实现100%生存率和肿瘤清除

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看到这样的标题

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我确实

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作为生物科技股

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我对它持看涨态度

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尤其在股价持续上涨时

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从4到5涨到6

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于是我直到大约六点才进行了第一次入场

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这就是我介入的地方

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我将在十秒走势图上展示

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如何操作这笔交易

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股票在此处突然上涨

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我们迎来首个小幅回调

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价格一度涨至581美元

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随后回落

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接着回升至591美元

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在此处再次回落

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因为股票已经触发了我的扫描器

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我当时正在阅读

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嗯

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我正在查看头条新闻

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我正在观察图表

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并关注此处从5点的短暂回落

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我考虑在此处530价位入场

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在538价位时

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出现了一些买盘

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这里似乎有支撑位

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我几乎要下单了

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但犹豫了

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我说

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我们再等一下

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所以为什么我犹豫呢

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这只股票的问题之一是顶部尾盘在此处

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我们曾涨至591美元高点

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并形成顶部尾盘

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随后回落

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而今早稍早时

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有一只股票完成了一轮往返

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价格一度上涨

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随后反转当日转跌

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这是一个V型反转

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所以V型反转发布新闻

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消息内容相当正面

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随后股价上涨

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但当日已下跌15%

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因为我们

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刚刚经历了这个

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我对

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埃娜

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最初持谨慎态度

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最初没有立即下单

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我稍作等待

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然后开始回升

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如果我不立即入场

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就会错过行情

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于是我在此处突破6点入场

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并在当前蜡烛图中执行

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价格从六美元一路攀升至七美元高位

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两两组合，我正在进场做多

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看来要开始了

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这个走势要涨到七七五八

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这正是我们期待的情况，可惜了

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如你所见价格回落

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于是我追加了突破头寸

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然后我必须尽快平仓止损

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为了保住利润

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我买得太高了

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价格又回调了

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价格再次回落

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一路跌回五点反弹

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回升至六点二

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好的

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关键时刻到了

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价格再次回调

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随后一路回升至新高

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在六五一线的这根K线

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这成为了该位置的小高点

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这里我本以为会再次冲高

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这就是我想要的

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关键转折点

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即将重新测试当日高点

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但我们未能实现

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我成功清仓剩余股份

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在此区域我进行了买入

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在上升支撑位回调时加仓

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我们再次回升

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但未能重新测试当日高点

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当价格回落时

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跌破蓝色

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上升支撑线

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果然如此

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没戏了

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结束了，看到失败我很难过

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随后价格在此横盘

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盘前剩余时间基本如此

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有趣的是

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这只股票

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持续横盘

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交易异常活跃

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突然涌现大量买盘

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同时大量卖盘涌现

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价格纹丝不动

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从极度清淡交易

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大幅波动突然

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转为极度活跃且压缩至狭窄区间

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相对狭窄

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这里的最高价

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你知道六二五

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而这个范围的低点大概是

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你知道在这里周围

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所以这是一个75%的波动范围

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但仍然是一个相对紧缩的区间

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然后开盘时突然拉升

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一度冲至六二五

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无法突破这个价位

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随后回落整理

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横盘震荡

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再次下行

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遇阻回落

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现在行情正在逐步消化

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在日线图上

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当我第一次调出这张图

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发现它距离200日均线仍有较大空间

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均线位于44美元高位

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并且近期进行了反向拆股

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所以这只股票近期有所下跌

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但近期走势相对平稳

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只是最近一段时期

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因此我认为这可能是一个反转机会

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这不是频繁拆股的股票

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并且只是

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你知道它大幅下跌

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股价持续下行

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当然

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但感觉这里可能适合反转

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可惜我们并未成功

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总之

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这就是当前的标题

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显然交易中的一大挑战

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就是很难精通所有领域

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我们交易AI概念股

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我们交易加密货币概念股

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并非加密货币本身

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而是带有加密货币题材的股票

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我们在疫情期间交易过相关股票

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涉及不同疗法等事项

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我们不可能掌握所有专业知识

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无法理解所有技术术语

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这不是我的专业领域

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我不是

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科学家

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或许不具备相关知识

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医生

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但我能理解的是价格走势

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当我看到标题时

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阅读其核心内容

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同时观察到股价大幅上涨

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然后我得出结论，这显然是因为这条新闻

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刚刚发布的头条新闻

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并且市场反应积极

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如果在某个时间点

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突然股价走势开始讲述与头条不符的故事

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那么我必须选择坚持哪一方

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我是要坚持己见说不

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这条新闻很好

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我要持有股票

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还是说这条新闻看起来不错

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但价格走势在告诉我应该离场

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因此在某个时候必须止损

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这笔交易

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我必须退出

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如果这意味着降低预期这次会是大胜

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或许只是小胜

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或者从大胜变为亏损

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或者从小亏损

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你知道不管怎样

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我必须调整预期

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如果我固执己见

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那就是事情会变得非常糟糕

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所以我觉得er是嗯

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这将是一个生物科技股突发新闻的有趣案例

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看起来是个好头条

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但因不明原因股价未能维持

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现在我们可以查看相关文件

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Bam scc RNA

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如果我们查看10-K文件

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你可以为任何公司这样做

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当然我们可以深入查看财务数据

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其中一个挑战是过度分析

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再次过度分析

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然后你会形成一个理论或偏见，认为它应该继续上涨

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即使图表显示相反

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这可能为我们提供一个叙事

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或帮助我们解释为何股价未更好表现

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嗯

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我们可以这样分析

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他们拥有

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他们没有任何收入

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好的

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只是有支出

244
00:09:12,309 --> 00:09:12,830
好的

245
00:09:12,830 --> 00:09:15,090
生物科技公司常见这种情况

246
00:09:15,090 --> 00:09:17,000
尤其是在研发阶段

247
00:09:17,000 --> 00:09:19,379
他们在大量投入研发资金

248
00:09:19,379 --> 00:09:26,029
通过公开市场发行股票筹集更多资金以继续研发

249
00:09:26,029 --> 00:09:29,379
并希望最终出现这样的头条新闻

250
00:09:29,379 --> 00:09:35,519
公司拥有可能对大型制药公司有价值的资产

251
00:09:35,519 --> 00:09:37,849
价值数千万美元

252
00:09:37,849 --> 00:09:42,110
谁知道可能更多，而公司价值一夜之间

253
00:09:42,110 --> 00:09:42,509
可能

254
00:09:42,509 --> 00:09:43,710
你知道一百万

255
00:09:43,710 --> 00:09:44,129
X

256
00:09:44,129 --> 00:09:44,570
我的意思是

257
00:09:44,570 --> 00:09:47,139
这就是这种交易的类型

258
00:09:47,139 --> 00:09:48,019
嗯

259
00:09:48,019 --> 00:09:54,309
不盈利的公司常见吗

260
00:09:54,309 --> 00:09:57,149
或者有存档注册的公司

261
00:09:57,149 --> 00:09:58,230
这两种情况都很常见

262
00:09:58,230 --> 00:10:02,220
如果你说我不交易任何有存档注册的小盘股

263
00:10:02,220 --> 00:10:04,659
或任何没有

264
00:10:04,659 --> 00:10:06,279
正收益的小盘股

265
00:10:06,279 --> 00:10:11,059
你将排除大量高度投机的

266
00:10:11,059 --> 00:10:13,809
高度波动的特性

267
00:10:13,809 --> 00:10:17,730
虽然有些效果不如其他好，但你不会

268
00:10:17,730 --> 00:10:20,849
在我看来，你不应完全排除所有

269
00:10:20,849 --> 00:10:23,649
否则会错过太多机会

270
00:10:23,649 --> 00:10:27,419
这就是我们面临的平衡点

271
00:10:27,820 --> 00:10:28,220
嗯

272
00:10:29,259 --> 00:10:29,580
你知道的

273
00:10:29,580 --> 00:10:33,399
在当下做出决定

274
00:10:33,399 --> 00:10:35,578
是否执行交易

275
00:10:36,099 --> 00:10:37,379
是否不执行交易

276
00:10:37,379 --> 00:10:40,419
执行交易前要做多少研究

277
00:10:40,419 --> 00:10:40,860
对

278
00:10:40,860 --> 00:10:42,460
我没时间查阅文件

279
00:10:42,460 --> 00:10:44,360
我没时间核查注册信息

280
00:10:44,360 --> 00:10:46,309
即使我有时间

281
00:10:46,710 --> 00:10:49,309
这会改变我的决策吗

282
00:10:49,309 --> 00:10:52,750
如果股票正在快速上涨

283
00:10:52,750 --> 00:10:53,950
我立即入场

284
00:10:53,950 --> 00:10:55,669
如果不再上涨

285
00:10:55,669 --> 00:10:59,309
开始进入横盘整理阶段

286
00:10:59,309 --> 00:11:00,909
这时我查阅了文件

287
00:11:00,909 --> 00:11:01,669
然后我说

288
00:11:01,669 --> 00:11:02,710
他们有存档注册吗

289
00:11:02,710 --> 00:11:03,470
我看到确实有

290
00:11:03,470 --> 00:11:03,970
然后我想

291
00:11:03,970 --> 00:11:04,269
好吧

292
00:11:04,269 --> 00:11:06,899
这可能是原因

293
00:11:06,899 --> 00:11:08,340
有可能

294
00:11:08,340 --> 00:11:09,200
嗯

295
00:11:09,200 --> 00:11:10,139
你知道的

296
00:11:10,139 --> 00:11:12,720
公司是否出售过认股权证

297
00:11:12,720 --> 00:11:13,500
你知道的

298
00:11:13,500 --> 00:11:14,159
是的

299
00:11:14,159 --> 00:11:15,580
行权价是多少

300
00:11:15,580 --> 00:11:16,659
它们很高

301
00:11:16,659 --> 00:11:18,720
因为公司进行了多次反向拆股

302
00:11:18,720 --> 00:11:22,809
所以可能不是机构投资者在行使认股权证

303
00:11:22,809 --> 00:11:23,409
你知道的

304
00:11:23,409 --> 00:11:26,250
所以你要试着把这些信息拼凑起来

305
00:11:27,450 --> 00:11:30,870
但最终这一切仍属于推测

306
00:11:30,870 --> 00:11:33,620
答案就在我们眼前

307
00:11:33,620 --> 00:11:35,360
那就是股价横盘震荡

308
00:11:35,360 --> 00:11:37,539
这不需要再进行更多交易

309
00:11:37,539 --> 00:11:39,919
我希望能看到价格重返高位

310
00:11:39,919 --> 00:11:42,909
对的，回顾我们近期的其他走势

311
00:11:42,909 --> 00:11:43,570
嗯

312
00:11:43,570 --> 00:11:44,990
你知道最近几周

313
00:11:44,990 --> 00:11:48,789
这只股票表现活跃，你知道最初的上涨

314
00:11:48,789 --> 00:11:50,529
随后回调至高位

315
00:11:50,529 --> 00:11:52,590
我得切换到不同时间框架来查看

316
00:11:52,590 --> 00:11:54,700
不过无论如何

317
00:11:54,700 --> 00:11:59,639
过去几周我们确实有不错的表现

318
00:11:59,639 --> 00:12:01,419
但涨跌反复无常

319
00:12:01,419 --> 00:12:04,559
有时候一天就能涨两到三倍

320
00:12:04,559 --> 00:12:05,980
就像我们在

321
00:12:05,980 --> 00:12:07,820
周二的情况

322
00:12:07,820 --> 00:12:08,259
不，是周一

323
00:12:08,259 --> 00:12:09,009
周一

324
00:12:09,009 --> 00:12:10,870
然后第二天就毫无动静

325
00:12:10,870 --> 00:12:13,370
周一是个上涨46000美元的绿色交易日

326
00:12:13,370 --> 00:12:16,929
而周二今天就毫无生气

327
00:12:16,929 --> 00:12:17,990
还算不错

328
00:12:17,990 --> 00:12:22,330
但我交易的这只股不再大幅上涨

329
00:12:22,330 --> 00:12:25,450
明天会怎样呢？明天可能又是冷清的一天

330
00:12:25,450 --> 00:12:27,710
或许会有短暂波动

331
00:12:27,710 --> 00:12:29,090
持续几分钟后就结束

332
00:12:29,090 --> 00:12:33,049
或者明天会再次活跃

333
00:12:33,049 --> 00:12:35,070
这就是这种温吞市场

334
00:12:35,070 --> 00:12:37,029
交易者在寻找机会

335
00:12:37,029 --> 00:12:38,970
他们关注有动向的标的

336
00:12:38,970 --> 00:12:42,309
但一旦股价开始疲软

337
00:12:42,309 --> 00:12:46,349
并且横盘整理

338
00:12:46,349 --> 00:12:47,740
人们就会放弃

339
00:12:47,740 --> 00:12:49,419
所以交易者非常善变

340
00:12:49,419 --> 00:12:50,279
在这方面

341
00:12:50,279 --> 00:12:51,379
他们全仓投入

342
00:12:51,379 --> 00:12:52,360
然后迅速撤离

343
00:12:52,360 --> 00:12:53,659
我现在退出这个标的

344
00:12:53,659 --> 00:12:55,019
转向其他机会

345
00:12:55,019 --> 00:12:57,120
如果观察今日市场成交量

346
00:12:57,120 --> 00:13:01,659
可以看到确实有几只低价股有成交量

347
00:13:01,659 --> 00:13:04,080
比如6100万股

348
00:13:04,080 --> 00:13:05,379
我没兴趣参与

349
00:13:05,379 --> 00:13:06,480
价格太低了

350
00:13:06,480 --> 00:13:08,679
我知道这类交易通常赚不到钱

351
00:13:08,679 --> 00:13:12,399
所以我拒绝了那个GTK，也觉得太便宜了

352
00:13:12,399 --> 00:13:14,379
麦奇，好吧

353
00:13:14,379 --> 00:13:15,100
这就是一个

354
00:13:15,100 --> 00:13:19,129
你知道这是高流通股股票

355
00:13:19,129 --> 00:13:19,750
高价股

356
00:13:19,750 --> 00:13:20,769
AMD

357
00:13:20,769 --> 00:13:21,429
我是说

358
00:13:21,429 --> 00:13:21,629
是的

359
00:13:21,629 --> 00:13:23,789
我明白现在这些都在交易中

360
00:13:23,789 --> 00:13:24,940
但呃

361
00:13:24,940 --> 00:13:28,139
你知道标普500明显上涨了很多

362
00:13:28,139 --> 00:13:33,240
所以可能今天分散了一些注意力

363
00:13:33,240 --> 00:13:33,740
比如今天

364
00:13:33,740 --> 00:13:35,899
也许交易员会说

365
00:13:35,899 --> 00:13:36,120
哦

366
00:13:36,120 --> 00:13:37,519
我不会交易小盘股

367
00:13:37,519 --> 00:13:39,240
也许今天我要交易大盘股

368
00:13:39,240 --> 00:13:40,000
或者我要交易

369
00:13:40,000 --> 00:13:42,620
你知道AMD，或者交易某个期权

370
00:13:42,620 --> 00:13:47,690
我不知道交易员是否经常这样大幅调整

371
00:13:47,690 --> 00:13:49,330
从交易小盘股

372
00:13:49,330 --> 00:13:50,049
到转为

373
00:13:50,049 --> 00:13:51,730
交易大盘股期权

374
00:13:51,730 --> 00:13:52,889
但呃

375
00:13:52,889 --> 00:13:55,970
但今天市场其他领域有机会

376
00:13:55,970 --> 00:13:58,509
这可能有点

377
00:13:58,509 --> 00:14:02,629
你知道是种分心或吸引了注意力

378
00:14:02,629 --> 00:14:04,409
远离我通常擅长的领域

379
00:14:04,409 --> 00:14:07,190
我认为观察领涨股

380
00:14:07,190 --> 00:14:10,049
可以看出领涨股是高流通股

381
00:14:10,049 --> 00:14:13,739
这不是我通常会交易的第二名

382
00:14:13,739 --> 00:14:18,219
我是说今天可能不会有

383
00:14:18,219 --> 00:14:19,979
你知道的本垒打

384
00:14:19,979 --> 00:14:22,190
因为很明显

385
00:14:22,190 --> 00:14:23,690
不符合

386
00:14:23,690 --> 00:14:24,129
什么

387
00:14:24,129 --> 00:14:25,710
我通常赚钱的领域

388
00:14:25,710 --> 00:14:27,919
尽管如此

389
00:14:28,200 --> 00:14:28,919
如你所见

390
00:14:28,919 --> 00:14:30,399
我确实有些利润

391
00:14:30,399 --> 00:14:31,759
这在我的Roth IRA里

392
00:14:31,759 --> 00:14:34,000
在退休账户中

393
00:14:34,000 --> 00:14:35,039
稳步积累

394
00:14:35,039 --> 00:14:36,059
绿色代表盈利

395
00:14:36,059 --> 00:14:38,539
我很感激周一行情不错

396
00:14:38,539 --> 00:14:40,240
周二收红

397
00:14:40,240 --> 00:14:41,720
今天行情良好

398
00:14:41,720 --> 00:14:44,639
为五月积累缓冲

399
00:14:44,639 --> 00:14:45,470
而且

400
00:14:45,470 --> 00:14:46,169
你知道

401
00:14:46,169 --> 00:14:48,710
让我们看看这周剩下的时间会给我们带来什么

402
00:14:48,710 --> 00:14:50,629
接下来可能会有些波折

403
00:14:50,629 --> 00:14:53,750
但每天早晨我都会坐下自问

404
00:14:53,750 --> 00:14:56,169
你知道我只是在对自己说

405
00:14:56,169 --> 00:14:58,440
我只需要找到一个好交易

406
00:14:58,440 --> 00:15:00,960
如果看到一个良好布局

407
00:15:00,960 --> 00:15:03,259
一只符合选股五要素的股票

408
00:15:03,259 --> 00:15:04,259
我将采取行动

409
00:15:04,259 --> 00:15:05,639
我要积极出击

410
00:15:05,639 --> 00:15:08,279
我以为erna有更大的潜力

411
00:15:08,279 --> 00:15:11,200
今天它没涨更多让我有些泄气

412
00:15:11,200 --> 00:15:14,240
我已做好充分准备迎接大幅上涨

413
00:15:14,240 --> 00:15:16,960
但它表现不佳

414
00:15:16,960 --> 00:15:20,899
但我知道必须继续迎难而上

415
00:15:20,899 --> 00:15:24,120
过去几周已经证明这一点

416
00:15:24,120 --> 00:15:25,480
如果我主动出击

417
00:15:25,480 --> 00:15:26,769
全力一搏

418
00:15:26,769 --> 00:15:29,710
其中一些会带来巨大回报

419
00:15:29,710 --> 00:15:30,389
我要

420
00:15:30,389 --> 00:15:31,929
我要抓住几个好交易

421
00:15:31,929 --> 00:15:33,710
所以我必须坚持

422
00:15:33,710 --> 00:15:34,500
你知道的

423
00:15:34,500 --> 00:15:35,399
坚持下去

424
00:15:35,399 --> 00:15:38,019
尽管今天感到有些沮丧

425
00:15:38,019 --> 00:15:39,740
这只股没大幅拉升

426
00:15:39,740 --> 00:15:43,210
这也部分因为昨天在cllrb上

427
00:15:43,210 --> 00:15:43,970
嗯

428
00:15:43,970 --> 00:15:45,210
今天是红色交易日

429
00:15:45,210 --> 00:15:47,529
连续两天如此

430
00:15:47,529 --> 00:15:51,009
我预判了可能发生的情况

431
00:15:51,009 --> 00:15:52,490
但并未按预期发展

432
00:15:52,490 --> 00:15:54,889
当然昨天是

433
00:15:54,889 --> 00:15:55,789
稍微有些不同

434
00:15:55,789 --> 00:15:58,090
这次完全失败了

435
00:15:58,090 --> 00:16:01,730
erna今日小幅上涨

436
00:16:01,730 --> 00:16:02,610
是的

437
00:16:02,610 --> 00:16:03,049
这

438
00:16:03,049 --> 00:16:04,029
这有点

439
00:16:04,029 --> 00:16:06,710
我们处于一个有趣的局面

440
00:16:06,710 --> 00:16:13,179
AI头条最近几周表现良好

441
00:16:13,179 --> 00:16:16,340
或许可以重回AI主题

442
00:16:16,340 --> 00:16:17,179
其中一个挑战

443
00:16:17,179 --> 00:16:22,708
生物科技公司的固有风险在于融资

444
00:16:22,708 --> 00:16:25,489
这些公司通常没有现金流

445
00:16:25,489 --> 00:16:26,469
不盈利

446
00:16:26,469 --> 00:16:29,519
且大量投入研发

447
00:16:29,519 --> 00:16:31,980
开发药物需要巨额资金

448
00:16:31,980 --> 00:16:35,279
这些公司通常进行二次融资

449
00:16:35,279 --> 00:16:37,279
常进行反向分割

450
00:16:37,279 --> 00:16:38,779
还有存托登记

451
00:16:38,779 --> 00:16:40,190
是的

452
00:16:40,190 --> 00:16:40,929
你可以获得

453
00:16:40,929 --> 00:16:41,309
你知道的

454
00:16:41,309 --> 00:16:43,669
两三百个百分点的低点获利

455
00:16:43,669 --> 00:16:44,659
呃

456
00:16:45,019 --> 00:16:45,940
确实如此

457
00:16:45,940 --> 00:16:48,980
而且我们确实已经厌倦了这些

458
00:16:48,980 --> 00:16:50,539
它们值得交易

459
00:16:50,539 --> 00:16:53,759
但你也必须小心

460
00:16:53,759 --> 00:16:55,720
不要在不奏效时固执己见

461
00:16:55,720 --> 00:17:00,250
因为我们都见过太多例子

462
00:17:00,250 --> 00:17:03,230
最终会回吐所有收益

463
00:17:03,230 --> 00:17:04,789
当然当这种情况发生时

464
00:17:04,789 --> 00:17:07,490
真是令人失望

465
00:17:07,490 --> 00:17:09,750
然后你可能会想

466
00:17:09,750 --> 00:17:10,069
嗯

467
00:17:10,069 --> 00:17:10,710
开始了

468
00:17:10,710 --> 00:17:12,130
这有点

469
00:17:12,609 --> 00:17:13,349
他们

470
00:17:13,349 --> 00:17:14,410
我不知道这

471
00:17:14,410 --> 00:17:15,210
就像那个

472
00:17:15,210 --> 00:17:18,680
公司以股东利益为代价小有斩获

473
00:17:18,680 --> 00:17:19,980
你知道的 我们并非

474
00:17:19,980 --> 00:17:21,299
我不是股东

475
00:17:21,299 --> 00:17:22,680
更像一个交易者

476
00:17:22,680 --> 00:17:27,509
但感觉公司通过抛售股份获利

477
00:17:27,509 --> 00:17:29,470
当我们积极交易时

478
00:17:29,470 --> 00:17:30,829
我们知道在交易时

479
00:17:30,829 --> 00:17:32,430
这个标的可能大幅波动

480
00:17:32,430 --> 00:17:37,490
而公司是否在该波动中抛售股份

481
00:17:37,609 --> 00:17:40,079
这种情况确实令人遗憾

482
00:17:40,079 --> 00:17:41,720
不知道这次会不会

483
00:17:41,720 --> 00:17:42,460
还不确定

484
00:17:42,460 --> 00:17:43,240
CNP

485
00:17:43,240 --> 00:17:44,720
回到周一

486
00:17:44,720 --> 00:17:47,000
这是我们获得的漂亮

487
00:17:47,000 --> 00:17:48,819
一段非常不错的行情

488
00:17:48,819 --> 00:17:51,019
从两美元一路涨至

489
00:17:51,019 --> 00:17:52,160
你知道的 十美元

490
00:17:52,160 --> 00:17:54,859
而这一只仍在八美元附近徘徊

491
00:17:54,859 --> 00:17:57,000
是否回撤了一些

492
00:17:57,000 --> 00:17:57,839
是的 有点回撤

493
00:17:57,839 --> 00:18:01,359
但仍保持超过半数涨幅

494
00:18:01,359 --> 00:18:02,539
看到这一点很好

495
00:18:02,539 --> 00:18:03,859
这种持续性值得肯定

496
00:18:03,859 --> 00:18:04,559
现在

497
00:18:04,559 --> 00:18:06,450
这家公司会

498
00:18:06,450 --> 00:18:08,809
未来几天周我们将有更多机会

499
00:18:08,809 --> 00:18:10,049
若继续上行

500
00:18:10,049 --> 00:18:10,949
如果我们操作

501
00:18:10,949 --> 00:18:14,848
它可能在首个交易日就创下新高

502
00:18:14,848 --> 00:18:17,829
这种情况下通常更稳妥

503
00:18:17,829 --> 00:18:19,849
如果出现新的头条新闻

504
00:18:19,849 --> 00:18:20,839
嗯

505
00:18:20,839 --> 00:18:22,799
如果进行了私募配售

506
00:18:22,799 --> 00:18:25,579
你知道周一的头条就是这个

507
00:18:25,579 --> 00:18:27,480
但如果进行另一次私募配售

508
00:18:27,480 --> 00:18:28,539
更多股份

509
00:18:28,539 --> 00:18:34,119
更多投资者入场以更合理的价格为现有股东提供资金

510
00:18:34,119 --> 00:18:35,380
类似这样的情况可能是看涨信号

511
00:18:35,380 --> 00:18:36,640
我们可能迎来新一轮上涨

512
00:18:36,640 --> 00:18:40,029
但最终需要突破前期高点

513
00:18:40,029 --> 00:18:41,990
有时候会发生的事情是

514
00:18:41,990 --> 00:18:42,839
嗯

515
00:18:42,839 --> 00:18:47,380
这类股票偶尔会出现首个高成交量交易日

516
00:18:47,380 --> 00:18:50,579
这一天成交量达到8300万股

517
00:18:50,579 --> 00:18:53,220
随后连续两天下跌

518
00:18:53,220 --> 00:18:55,500
仅成交25万手

519
00:18:55,500 --> 00:18:58,039
市场已完全放弃这只股票

520
00:18:58,039 --> 00:18:59,509
人们已遗忘它

521
00:18:59,509 --> 00:19:02,769
如果突然回升至10美元

522
00:19:02,769 --> 00:19:04,509
甚至涨到12或14美元

523
00:19:04,509 --> 00:19:09,759
通常成交量会较初期大幅萎缩

524
00:19:09,759 --> 00:19:11,470
所以你知道

525
00:19:11,470 --> 00:19:13,930
如果现在有买家入场

526
00:19:13,930 --> 00:19:14,990
有新消息发布

527
00:19:14,990 --> 00:19:17,269
股价飙升至12美元伴随100万股成交

528
00:19:17,269 --> 00:19:20,150
成交量仍远低于前日水平

529
00:19:20,150 --> 00:19:23,190
有时会出现这种背离现象

530
00:19:23,190 --> 00:19:26,430
股价可能继续上涨

531
00:19:26,430 --> 00:19:28,619
但成交量较轻

532
00:19:28,619 --> 00:19:29,740
不幸的是

533
00:19:29,740 --> 00:19:32,279
虽然这是延续性走势

534
00:19:32,279 --> 00:19:34,670
这类走势同样难以交易

535
00:19:34,670 --> 00:19:36,430
因为流动性不足

536
00:19:36,430 --> 00:19:37,289
它们不够活跃

537
00:19:37,289 --> 00:19:39,359
进出不易

538
00:19:39,359 --> 00:19:41,359
所以目前

539
00:19:41,359 --> 00:19:42,099
嗯

540
00:19:42,099 --> 00:19:44,980
生物科技似乎成为本周主题

541
00:19:44,980 --> 00:19:46,940
但

542
00:19:46,940 --> 00:19:47,779
你知道的

543
00:19:47,779 --> 00:19:51,140
需保持谨慎

544
00:19:51,140 --> 00:19:53,259
这些能否持续发力

545
00:19:53,259 --> 00:19:55,799
本周尚未出现持续上涨的案例

546
00:19:55,799 --> 00:20:00,750
全天持续强劲拉升

547
00:20:00,750 --> 00:20:04,359
我认为我们需要

548
00:20:04,680 --> 00:20:07,119
或许能吓退部分空头

549
00:20:07,119 --> 00:20:12,680
同时增强多头信心认为可能继续上涨

550
00:20:12,680 --> 00:20:13,339
目前看来

551
00:20:13,339 --> 00:20:14,160
这就像

552
00:20:14,160 --> 00:20:16,160
这只会持续五分钟吗

553
00:20:16,160 --> 00:20:17,490
然后就结束了

554
00:20:17,490 --> 00:20:18,289
你知道的

555
00:20:18,289 --> 00:20:20,589
这真的会继续上涨吗

556
00:20:20,589 --> 00:20:22,599
现在的情况是

557
00:20:22,599 --> 00:20:24,039
所以现在有点难说

558
00:20:24,039 --> 00:20:25,559
如果我们脱离生物科技板块

559
00:20:25,559 --> 00:20:28,920
转而关注AI催化剂之类的

560
00:20:28,920 --> 00:20:30,140
这可能也不错

561
00:20:30,140 --> 00:20:33,670
但但最终作为交易者

562
00:20:33,670 --> 00:20:34,630
我们只是

563
00:20:34,630 --> 00:20:35,230
我们在交易

564
00:20:35,230 --> 00:20:35,990
眼前看到的

565
00:20:35,990 --> 00:20:37,130
什么是波动的

566
00:20:37,130 --> 00:20:38,970
生物科技板块

567
00:20:38,970 --> 00:20:39,549
你知道的

568
00:20:39,549 --> 00:20:41,950
多年来一直表现稳健

569
00:20:41,950 --> 00:20:45,069
你知道的，这

570
00:20:45,069 --> 00:20:50,990
我想起《相亲对象》里

571
00:20:50,990 --> 00:20:51,720
嗯

572
00:20:52,960 --> 00:20:58,269
欧文·威尔逊的角色在和格雷格对话

573
00:20:58,454 --> 00:20:59,849
他说道

574
00:20:59,849 --> 00:21:00,509
你知道的

575
00:21:00,509 --> 00:21:01,170
哦对啊

576
00:21:01,170 --> 00:21:04,329
你知道参与生物科技IPO之类的事

577
00:21:04,329 --> 00:21:05,630
它们会突然爆发

578
00:21:05,630 --> 00:21:07,809
因为格雷格在医疗领域

579
00:21:07,809 --> 00:21:08,700
嗯

580
00:21:08,700 --> 00:21:12,930
所以你知道那是2003年的剧情

581
00:21:12,930 --> 00:21:14,289
我意思是这没什么新意

582
00:21:14,289 --> 00:21:18,440
这是一个成熟稳定的

583
00:21:18,440 --> 00:21:20,960
市场波动性板块

584
00:21:20,960 --> 00:21:24,339
但你知道有风险也有回报

585
00:21:24,339 --> 00:21:25,519
总之

586
00:21:25,519 --> 00:21:26,450
嗯是的

587
00:21:26,450 --> 00:21:27,549
明天见分晓

588
00:21:27,549 --> 00:21:30,289
我将继续在早上七点直播

589
00:21:30,289 --> 00:21:33,569
还没体验两周试用的朋友们

590
00:21:33,569 --> 00:21:35,390
我会在描述中放链接

591
00:21:35,390 --> 00:21:37,150
链接也会置顶评论区

592
00:21:37,150 --> 00:21:38,609
可体验两周试用

593
00:21:38,609 --> 00:21:39,730
跟我一起实时观看

594
00:21:39,730 --> 00:21:43,650
我在交易，希望本周能抓住机会收尾

595
00:21:43,650 --> 00:21:44,430
周四和周五

596
00:21:44,430 --> 00:21:45,388
那就好了

597
00:21:45,388 --> 00:21:48,328
明天早上见大家，提醒一下

598
00:21:48,328 --> 00:21:50,028
交易有风险

599
00:21:50,028 --> 00:21:51,009
我的结果不具典型性

600
00:21:51,009 --> 00:21:52,088
请管理好风险

601
00:21:52,088 --> 00:21:57,789
慢慢来，每次在投入真实资金之前都要先在模拟器中练习

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