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同一根K线
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三个人三种判断
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第一个人说阳线买
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第二个人说看涨吞没
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符合形态买
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第三个人沉默了十秒
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说不碰
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三个月后
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第三个人是对的腿
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一根K线为什么结果完全不同
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答案不在经验
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不在指标
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不在运气
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在于他第一眼落在了哪里
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大多数人学K线第一件事是背形态
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锤子线
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十字星吞没运线背了几十个
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上了实盘发现一件让人崩溃的事
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同一个形态有时候涨
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有时候跌
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有时候原地震荡三天
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很多人以为是自己没背够
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继续背
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甚至觉得自己态度不够虔诚
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没有从天道的角度来认真学习
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其实问题根本不在这里
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形态没有错
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是你用它的顺序错了
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就像你在还没读完一整句话之前
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就开始猜某个词的意思
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脱离了上下文
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猜到的十有八九是歪的
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K线的形态
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就是那个词
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你跳过了前面的余景
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直接开始猜
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当然猜不准
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那正确的顺序是什么
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分三层
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第一层位置拿到一张图
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第一眼不是看K线
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是看这根K线出现在什么地方
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这是趋势运行的中段
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还是来到了前高压力位的下方
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是横盘震荡区间的边缘
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还是一段急涨之后的高位位置
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决定剧情背景
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同一根阳线出现在有效突破位
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是进攻信号
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出现在前高压力区是风险警告
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形态一模一样
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含义天壤之别
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很多新手在高位追进去
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不是因为判断力差
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是因为只看了K线
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没看K线在哪里
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没有位置
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形态是一个孤立的词
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读不出意思
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第二层节奏
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价格是怎么走到来
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这里的连续大阳线强势推进
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几乎没有回调
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还是阴阴阳阳反复拉锯
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磨了很久才走到这里
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前者说明有持续的力量在推动
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买方控场动能充足
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后者说明多空势均力敌
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所以就没有真正占到便宜
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这种位置的突破失败率会高很多
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K线的节奏告诉你的是
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这段走势背后的力量结构
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这是任何单一形态都没法告诉你的信息
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问自己一个问题
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到这里为止
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谁在出力
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谁在犹豫
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想清楚这个问题
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再去看当下这根K线
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你的感受会完全不一样
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第三层细节
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前两层确认之后才打开这根K线本身
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上影线长说明上方有人在卖价格试图上涨
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但被压了回来
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下影线长说明下方有人在接抛压出现
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但被消化了
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尸体很小
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说明多空势均力敌
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这根K线没有产生明确的结论
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同样的细节放在不同的位置和节奏里
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含义完全不同
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高位出现的长上影线
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是主力在出货都不会出现的
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长上影线可能只是正常回踩
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测试之后仍然延续方向赌细节必须有预警
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没有预警
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就是在拆三层
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有了
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接下来说怎么用
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下次打开图表
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按这个顺序走一遍
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第一步标出当前价格所处的区域性值
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是趋势运行中创建支撑压力附近
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还是没有明显结构的震荡区间
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这一步不需要太精确
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初判断就够
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目的是给自己建立一个背景框架
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第二步往左数20根K线
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看来路的力度是强势推进还是抹上来
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中途有没有过回踩
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确认亮的是放大还是萎缩
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这20根K线的质量
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决定了当下这根K线的可信程度
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第三步再看当下这根K线的实体大小
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上下影线的比例以及它和前一根的关系
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此时你已经有了位置判断和解除判断
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细节的解读自然会清晰很多
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2分钟之内可以走完
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养成习惯之后
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你对图表的判断速度会快很多
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更重要的是方向感会稳
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不再随K线的涨跌摇摆
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现在用这三步回去看开场的根K线位置
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前高压地区正下方
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此前刚刚完成一段急涨
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期间没有任何有效回踩节奏
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五根大阳线连续推进
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动能看起来很强
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但正因为没有回踩
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透支的风险也在同步累积
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细节上影线开始偏长
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K线实体明显缩小
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量能同步萎缩
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多空博弈的主动权在悄悄转移
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三个信号指向同一个结论
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这里不是买入时机
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是转弱预警
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散户看到阳线买技术派
139
00:03:52,509 --> 00:03:53,669
看到突破形态买
140
00:03:53,669 --> 00:03:54,629
看懂顺序的人
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00:03:54,629 --> 00:03:55,569
看到的是位置高
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节奏透支
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细节转弱
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三层同时亮起黄灯
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选择不动
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结果没有悬念
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00:04:01,919 --> 00:04:02,819
K线不难
148
00:04:02,819 --> 00:04:04,099
难的是用对顺序
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00:04:04,099 --> 00:04:07,960
位置节奏细节缺任何一层结论都容易偏
150
00:04:07,960 --> 00:04:10,960
而大多数亏损的交易往往不是判断方向错了
151
00:04:10,960 --> 00:04:13,379
是跳过了某一层就开始行动了
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下次打开图表
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先问自己一个问题
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这里是哪里
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答完这个问题
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你已经比大多数新手看的更远了