1
00:00:00,220 --> 00:00:01,419
想一想嗯
2
00:00:01,419 --> 00:00:04,700
你还记得4月5号那天咱俩拍了个视频吗
3
00:00:04,700 --> 00:00:07,278
记得当时你怎么说嘞
4
00:00:07,278 --> 00:00:11,278
我说如果两个月以内停站的话啊
5
00:00:12,319 --> 00:00:14,140
我们就打个赌
6
00:00:14,339 --> 00:00:15,380
当时怎么打的呀
7
00:00:15,380 --> 00:00:16,260
我说一个月内停站
8
00:00:16,260 --> 00:00:16,739
对不对呀
9
00:00:16,739 --> 00:00:18,600
对我说两个月内停站
10
00:00:18,600 --> 00:00:20,800
实际上现在已经不到一个月就停战了呀
11
00:00:20,800 --> 00:00:22,339
你当时怎么堵的嘞
12
00:00:22,339 --> 00:00:24,399
打赌1000块钱是吧
13
00:00:24,399 --> 00:00:26,719
就是这个一个月你你赔我1000是吧
14
00:00:26,719 --> 00:00:28,100
对那我问你
15
00:00:28,100 --> 00:00:31,280
你当时为什么为什么敢参与呢
16
00:00:31,280 --> 00:00:33,289
明明你都不知道这个事的进程
17
00:00:33,289 --> 00:00:35,869
因为因为你都说了
18
00:00:35,869 --> 00:00:37,310
那我也跟着说
19
00:00:39,070 --> 00:00:39,810
我跟你讲
20
00:00:39,810 --> 00:00:41,049
你知道这个事为什么很重要吧
21
00:00:41,049 --> 00:00:44,490
哈就那天10月5号咱说完之后啊
22
00:00:44,490 --> 00:00:45,850
那就相当于美股的低点
23
00:00:45,850 --> 00:00:46,329
你知道吗
24
00:00:46,329 --> 00:00:47,670
你要这几天的时间
25
00:00:47,670 --> 00:00:48,869
这五天的时间
26
00:00:48,869 --> 00:00:51,579
把之前跌了三个月的钱全涨回来了
27
00:00:51,579 --> 00:00:53,740
但是呢很多人没熬到
28
00:00:53,740 --> 00:00:56,380
就如果那天啊啊就咱拍那个视频的时候
29
00:00:56,380 --> 00:00:58,020
有的人耐心的看完
30
00:00:58,020 --> 00:00:59,000
咱俩就打赌
31
00:00:59,000 --> 00:01:00,399
耐心的看完我的分析
32
00:01:00,399 --> 00:01:02,439
他打赌你知道现在会有什么结果吗
33
00:01:02,439 --> 00:01:04,959
它又涨了多达30%
34
00:01:04,959 --> 00:01:06,519
今天美股的哈
35
00:01:06,519 --> 00:01:09,519
我说那些公司啊涨了30%多嗯
36
00:01:09,519 --> 00:01:11,649
那你觉得拿走的多
37
00:01:11,649 --> 00:01:12,688
还没拿走的多
38
00:01:12,688 --> 00:01:14,489
没拿住的没错
39
00:01:14,489 --> 00:01:15,448
大部分是绝望的
40
00:01:15,448 --> 00:01:18,340
大部分当时就觉得美国和伊朗停不下来
41
00:01:18,340 --> 00:01:19,859
因为当时那个川普不是威胁吗
42
00:01:19,859 --> 00:01:21,939
说要把这个伊朗打回石器时代吗
43
00:01:21,939 --> 00:01:23,700
而且呢那个美国和伊朗谈判
44
00:01:23,700 --> 00:01:26,019
不是中间就是没有谈成嘛
45
00:01:26,019 --> 00:01:27,659
但是呢我知道这个事肯定成了
46
00:01:27,659 --> 00:01:28,680
你知道我怎么看出来的吗
47
00:01:28,680 --> 00:01:29,620
咋看出来的
48
00:01:29,620 --> 00:01:30,620
我当时说几个点吧
49
00:01:30,620 --> 00:01:34,250
第一个点就是这个美国能够深入伊朗内部
50
00:01:34,250 --> 00:01:35,730
把这个士兵救出来
51
00:01:35,730 --> 00:01:38,560
你觉得伊朗害不害怕害怕
52
00:01:38,560 --> 00:01:41,920
在伊朗内部已经是没有防防备力量了
53
00:01:41,920 --> 00:01:42,760
对不对嗯
54
00:01:42,760 --> 00:01:44,439
那第二个呢美国的决心大不大
55
00:01:44,439 --> 00:01:46,200
要不要被他一定要被他干
56
00:01:46,200 --> 00:01:48,099
到底有对呀
57
00:01:48,099 --> 00:01:51,189
第三个还有一条呢就是当时我分析股票的时候
58
00:01:51,189 --> 00:01:52,030
发现一个问题是什么啊
59
00:01:52,030 --> 00:01:55,638
就是这些人基本上都快绝望了
60
00:01:55,638 --> 00:01:57,478
你在这个市场上大部分人绝望的时候
61
00:01:57,478 --> 00:01:58,489
意味着什么
62
00:01:58,489 --> 00:02:00,430
意味着不到底部了
63
00:02:00,430 --> 00:02:03,010
对就是别人恐惧我贪婪
64
00:02:03,010 --> 00:02:03,950
别人贪婪我恐惧
65
00:02:03,950 --> 00:02:05,349
我就发现一个规律啊
66
00:02:05,349 --> 00:02:06,969
当所有人都看衰的时候
67
00:02:06,969 --> 00:02:09,050
意味着基本上是个阶段性的地步
68
00:02:09,050 --> 00:02:10,740
当所有人都看好的时候呢
69
00:02:10,740 --> 00:02:12,500
他就是到顶了
70
00:02:12,500 --> 00:02:13,800
要降了没错
71
00:02:13,800 --> 00:02:15,900
所以为什么90%的人注定了
72
00:02:15,900 --> 00:02:17,180
在股票里面赚不到钱
73
00:02:17,180 --> 00:02:18,340
就因为他做反了
74
00:02:18,340 --> 00:02:18,960
你知道吗
75
00:02:18,960 --> 00:02:20,120
就因为这个事啊
76
00:02:20,120 --> 00:02:21,479
就那天十小我和我们聊完
77
00:02:21,479 --> 00:02:22,280
我又开直播
78
00:02:22,280 --> 00:02:26,429
我又给他们看美国美国的啊经济啊生活
79
00:02:26,429 --> 00:02:27,209
我就给他们讲
80
00:02:27,209 --> 00:02:28,639
我说美国这边没受到影响
81
00:02:28,639 --> 00:02:30,240
然后美国这边生活呢还是很好
82
00:02:30,240 --> 00:02:32,780
我还专门去了那个那天你还记得你打篮球吗
83
00:02:32,780 --> 00:02:33,960
我我不是接你接网了
84
00:02:33,960 --> 00:02:34,819
你还记得吗
85
00:02:34,819 --> 00:02:35,740
那天打篮球
86
00:02:35,740 --> 00:02:36,719
当时我我给你讲了
87
00:02:36,719 --> 00:02:39,030
我说去那个一个迪士尼小镇嘛
88
00:02:39,030 --> 00:02:40,269
我去调研去了
89
00:02:40,669 --> 00:02:41,389
我拍了很多视频
90
00:02:41,389 --> 00:02:43,088
迪士尼小镇人满为患
91
00:02:43,088 --> 00:02:44,389
那天你也等着急了
92
00:02:44,389 --> 00:02:45,149
你还记得吗
93
00:02:45,149 --> 00:02:46,729
嗯你等急了吗
94
00:02:46,729 --> 00:02:47,409
你说你去哪了
95
00:02:47,409 --> 00:02:48,409
我说我在迪森小镇
96
00:02:48,409 --> 00:02:49,050
你还记得吧
97
00:02:49,050 --> 00:02:52,269
哦对因为那个篮球馆附近就是迪士尼
98
00:02:52,269 --> 00:02:54,288
对我当时军小队我去调研去了
99
00:02:54,288 --> 00:02:54,788
我就调研
100
00:02:54,788 --> 00:02:55,669
我拍了三个视频
101
00:02:55,669 --> 00:02:55,989
我一看
102
00:02:55,989 --> 00:02:57,199
我说你看这么多人
103
00:02:57,199 --> 00:02:58,800
老美的消费能力这么强啊
104
00:02:58,800 --> 00:03:01,719
老美在线人呢天天还是在happy夜夜笙歌
105
00:03:01,719 --> 00:03:03,439
那个时候呢就是传递一个信号
106
00:03:03,439 --> 00:03:04,649
就是你不用担心
107
00:03:04,649 --> 00:03:06,049
我说你拿住对吧
108
00:03:06,049 --> 00:03:07,288
你拿住熬一熬
109
00:03:07,288 --> 00:03:08,229
坚持一下
110
00:03:08,229 --> 00:03:09,329
基本上就能回来
111
00:03:09,329 --> 00:03:12,609
但是但是看到的人你觉得他们听懂了吗
112
00:03:12,609 --> 00:03:15,300
没就是会员群里大部分人听懂了
113
00:03:15,300 --> 00:03:16,419
因为小部分听不懂的
114
00:03:16,419 --> 00:03:18,419
就那几天很多人开始质疑
115
00:03:18,419 --> 00:03:18,819
你知道吧
116
00:03:18,819 --> 00:03:20,020
就那天我说的那几个公式啊
117
00:03:20,020 --> 00:03:20,900
比如甲骨文呐
118
00:03:20,900 --> 00:03:23,639
他们开始质疑结果来执意的人
119
00:03:23,639 --> 00:03:24,620
你觉得赚到钱了吗
120
00:03:24,620 --> 00:03:25,840
没没错
121
00:03:25,840 --> 00:03:27,080
熬过来的全部赚钱了
122
00:03:27,080 --> 00:03:28,960
到现在为止大家都已经创新高了
123
00:03:28,960 --> 00:03:30,520
嗯实际上呢我跟你讲啊
124
00:03:30,520 --> 00:03:31,639
就是赚钱这个事哈
125
00:03:31,639 --> 00:03:33,400
他也不需要什么高深的技能
126
00:03:33,400 --> 00:03:36,699
你就是逻辑常识啊推理
127
00:03:36,699 --> 00:03:38,599
但是你知道为什么国内大部分人
128
00:03:38,599 --> 00:03:40,020
他没有这个逻辑和推理能力吗
129
00:03:40,020 --> 00:03:40,960
为啥你知道吗
130
00:03:40,960 --> 00:03:41,879
为什么
131
00:03:41,879 --> 00:03:43,509
因为他的环境
132
00:03:43,509 --> 00:03:44,469
他的环境导致的
133
00:03:44,469 --> 00:03:46,169
比如说你身边的人都没有逻辑
134
00:03:46,169 --> 00:03:47,150
如果你有逻辑
135
00:03:47,150 --> 00:03:48,659
你会不会自我质疑啊
136
00:03:48,659 --> 00:03:49,860
会对呀
137
00:03:49,860 --> 00:03:51,000
如果你身边人都有逻辑
138
00:03:51,000 --> 00:03:53,659
然后呢你会不会跟着他们一样有逻辑没错
139
00:03:53,659 --> 00:03:54,620
实际上他们看到的
140
00:03:54,620 --> 00:03:57,830
比如说你在国内看到的是失业倒闭啊
141
00:03:57,830 --> 00:03:58,830
美国完蛋了啊
142
00:03:58,830 --> 00:03:59,990
伊朗越来越强啊
143
00:03:59,990 --> 00:04:01,909
伊朗要把美国拖到战场里面
144
00:04:01,909 --> 00:04:03,800
你天天看这种看那种视频
145
00:04:03,800 --> 00:04:06,019
你你你觉得美国会赢吗
146
00:04:06,019 --> 00:04:07,299
不会对呀
147
00:04:07,299 --> 00:04:10,179
你天天看到的是俄罗斯又赢了赢麻了
148
00:04:10,179 --> 00:04:11,498
然后伊朗赢了赢麻了
149
00:04:11,498 --> 00:04:13,739
伊朗伊朗又把这个川普拖下台了
150
00:04:13,739 --> 00:04:15,000
一拖下水了是吧
151
00:04:15,000 --> 00:04:17,319
然后呢这个油价美国老百姓快不下去了
152
00:04:17,319 --> 00:04:18,000
你天天看这种视频
153
00:04:18,000 --> 00:04:20,120
是不是你变得越来越弱智了没错
154
00:04:20,120 --> 00:04:21,839
所以呢我跟你讲这个逻辑啊
155
00:04:21,839 --> 00:04:24,240
就是环境重不重要重要
156
00:04:24,240 --> 00:04:26,139
身边的人重不重要重要
157
00:04:26,139 --> 00:04:28,360
如果你的环境和身边人都都不行的时候
158
00:04:28,360 --> 00:04:29,220
那你该怎么办
159
00:04:29,220 --> 00:04:30,699
不听他们说话对
160
00:04:30,699 --> 00:04:31,759
第一个不要听他们说话啊
161
00:04:31,759 --> 00:04:33,879
第二个呢就是赶快换环境对
162
00:04:33,879 --> 00:04:34,860
如果说你在国内呢
163
00:04:34,860 --> 00:04:36,470
你处于这种环境下呢
164
00:04:36,470 --> 00:04:38,600
你要想办法去给自己塑造一个好环境
165
00:04:38,600 --> 00:04:40,360
要不然的话你的信息来源有问题
166
00:04:40,360 --> 00:04:41,040
你做投资的时候
167
00:04:41,040 --> 00:04:42,540
你觉得会经常失误的
168
00:04:42,540 --> 00:04:44,240
所以我恭喜那些拿住的兄弟们
169
00:04:44,240 --> 00:04:45,220
现在已经是新高了
170
00:04:45,220 --> 00:04:46,620
好吧好杨