黄金白银策略

1
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有不少朋友啊周末问到福哥

2
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福哥黄金白银暴跌了

3
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那么还有没有机会啊

4
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还能不能涨起来啊

5
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那福哥给大家一个定心丸啊

6
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黄金接下来呢本周啊即将会进入调整

7
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调整企稳以后啊

8
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那么黄金还有希望啊

9
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就是这个做长线的一个投资啊

10
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那白银呢我福哥也是长期干好

11
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但是啊家人们选点机会则是非常关键

12
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投资不是赌博

13
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我是一场有准备的筑基

14
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我是付哥

15
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那么黄金接下来行情啊

16
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他不是说在像这个上个月一样啊

17
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突飞猛进

18
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走的很顺了

19
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他肯定是走一个慢慢的慢慢的震荡企稳

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重心上移

21
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接下来福哥会给大家一个呃

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黄金和白银的一个操作策略

23
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让大家在这一周的操作当中啊

24
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不至于被陷入被动好吧

25
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那首先我们看看啊

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最近的这个黄金和白银

27
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的确是一个用劲爆来形容

28
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你看下单个月上涨了将近30%

29
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1月最后一个交易日

30
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黄金跌去了10%啊

31
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可以说波动非常大啊

32
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非常大

33
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那我们的这个白银也是啊

34
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也是可以说一个月啊

35
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就是上涨了将近60%

36
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1月的最后一个交易日跌跌了30%

37
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为什么明明涨得好好的对吧

38
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这个黄金和我们的白银就突然掉下来呢

39
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为什么跌那么多呢

40
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家人们首先我们要看一个重要的消息啊

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不仅呢黄金白银跌

42
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大家知道上周其实我们的道指也好

43
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标普也好

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也是下跌的

45
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因为大家知道啊

46
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就是我们的这个30号的时候

47
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周末啊

48
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这个消息发酵后出来才知道啊

49
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这个其实凯文末世啊

50
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其实他是有一些鹰派的特征的啊

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怎么看出来呢

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大家知道啊

53
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就是2008年的金融危机的时候

54
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他是反对啊

55
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这个美联储进行一个量化宽松的

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把反对去印钱去救这个市场

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但凯文沃茨支持这个降息

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但是他同时也支持美联储去缩表

59
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但是他现在美联储就有6.6万亿的债务啊

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表面上这个债务

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你发财以后才能把这个钱印出去

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所以他缩表的话就不会抽取市场流动性啊

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所以家人们就很担心啊

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哎呀这个凯文沃市上去以后啊

65
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会不会缩表啊

66
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抽取这个市场流动性

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所以造成了这个美债收益率飙升

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美元指数走向

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所以黄金白银啊

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这些可以说不生息的资产直接遭重锤

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所以我们高利率啊

72
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这抬高持有成本

73
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资金疯狂向啊美元美债啊

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大家知道

75
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有点像这个87年股灾时的恐慌性调仓啊

76
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情绪以来啊

77
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踩踏在所难免

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白银大招已经是

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可以说是单单一个月就上涨60%

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而且这些资金呢都是有大量的杠杆盘

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堆积起来的

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这波上涨

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那么我们的这个CM一一个月内

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大家知道啊

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三次上调白云期货

86
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白银的这个期货保证金

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累计啊上调了将近30%

88
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所以呢我们的这个黄金年也是同样有

89
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也是大量的一个大幅的一个上涨

90
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也是在不断的调上保证金

91
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所以呢如果啊就是我们的这个价格嗯一直涨

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那没事

93
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因为现在呢很有很多的量化的这个交易

94
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资损跟崩盘

95
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所以只要你说啊这个黄金它跌破一个关键点后

96
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就会形成一个量化的批量强平

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可以说演变成一个崩塌式的一个下跌

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大家知道跟这个2020年3月

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美股熔断的流动性踩踏如出一辙

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而且大知道

101
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金银这一前期涨得非常极度超买状态

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叠加这个地缘啊风险缓和对吧

103
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有这个中东这个局势降温

104
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可以说让避险溢价消退

105
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随着我们获利盘集中涌出来

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形成长买单槽

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价格跌更多

108
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平仓的恶性循环

109
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这就像这个超级碗赛后的狂欢

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散场人潮一一拥而出啊

111
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谁都想先离场

112
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所以啊造成这个黄金

113
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那也可以说是我觉得是情绪性的一个

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可以说是一个修复吧

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因为前期市场太过乐观了

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像中国股说的要乐极生悲

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阴极则阳生

118
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所以政策预期反转化

119
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其实情绪啊就从狂热变成一个恐慌

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多杀多局面出现

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那何况是白银

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白银也是呃体量非常小

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流动性比黄金弱很多了

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那跌幅进一步放大啊

125
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可以说

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白银这个盘中一度跌超了37%啊

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哦还有黄金

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黄金他买盘买卖盘比较深啊

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幅度小一点

130
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10%也很大了啊

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一年有10%

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有超好久没有10%了吧

133
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所以这样的啊

134
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我觉得就是这波暴跌以后啊

135
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就是处于一个情绪修复期

136
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黄金的这个他的情绪没有接触

137
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我们从这个技术面上我们也知道了

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他技术面上啊

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他重心上涨的重心啊

140
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依然海军支持往上啊

141
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那么第二点

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大家无论是欧洲啊也好

143
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中国也好啊

144
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都在啊这个纷纷的这个购入这个黄金

145
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英国也在买油换黄金

146
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所以我觉得就是如果这个情绪企稳以后啊

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这个黄金有望海市重回上升轨道

148
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其实无论是美国也好啊

149
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欧洲也好

150
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其实包括这个中国也好

151
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其实都是处于一个债务高企的啊

152
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政府的债务额真的是不是很透明

153
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企业债我们透明

154
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但是政府债务不透明

155
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所以造成了不确定性

156
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而且大家知道啊

157
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那么我们的这个地缘冲突也是频发

158
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所以黄金呢他终极的一个避险价值不变啊

159
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长期的配置逻辑就是没有变啊

160
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所以我们接下来怎么黄金来这的

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我们怎么做

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大家知道这周肯定是不会是马上上去的

163
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那么这周的黄金肯定会在5000点到4700啊

164
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这个位置会调整啊

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情绪企稳调整企稳企稳

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调整后下周可能会就慢慢往上攻

167
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本周啊就是会是一个调整期

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4000点到5000点啊

169
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做一个调整

170
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如果加呢你想这个错这个槽底的这个黄金的话

171
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那就做这个呃歌LD啊

172
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就是黄金的这个ETF啊

173
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这个美股当中它的这个流动性啊非常好啊

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那么我们的这个风险呢比黄金期货啊

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这个杠杆的东西要低很多

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他是没有杠杆的

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哎这样呢我给到大黄金的一个ETF一个操作策略

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让大家能够赢在先进

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本周的震荡啊

180
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就是我们看如果430啊

181
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回踩到430低阶就行了啊

182
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周五出现一个单针探底

183
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就说明430下方有支撑了啊

184
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如果到420的

185
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那更要买啊

186
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因为他这个重心啊

187
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重心还是往上啊

188
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接下来会反弹到哪

189
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到450啊

190
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450的这周呢

191
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那我哥LD会议可能会在430啊

192
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450震荡

193
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我们本周的一个呃黄金的一个操作策略啊

194
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来给到大家到只要回调

195
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大概回调就拿下了435啊

196
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到这个425呃

197
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码用就行啊

198
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一层就可以

199
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两层也其实啊标到低值没问题

200
00:05:34,579 --> 00:05:35,480
做一个波段啊

201
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这个挣点零花钱应该是很简单的啊

202
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近期目标是就是5450

203
00:05:39,579 --> 00:05:40,860
本周啊目标啊

204
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做短期就这样做啊

205
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如果你做长期的话

206
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你就可以在这个420回踩的时候慢慢接啊

207
00:05:45,500 --> 00:05:46,100
做长线的话

208
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胡歌你看到哪了

209
00:05:46,939 --> 00:05:48,810
那我肯定会可以看到500点啊

210
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他还肯定会重新上新高的

211
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过几个月后吧

212
00:05:51,269 --> 00:05:52,910
好近期的我就做一个短炒啊

213
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短炒的话你就十三五十五慢慢买入啊

214
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长期的话你就持有吧

215
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尽量回调买入啊

216
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不用追

217
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因为他处于情绪修复期

218
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他肯定会啊冲上去以后会继续回落回踩

219
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但确认底部啊

220
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好这是黄金的啊

221
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一个策略

222
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那同时啊

223
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其实白银虽然短期啊他有在75~80啊

224
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震荡的一个需要上面的抛盘太猛了

225
00:06:10,920 --> 00:06:12,399
所以它不可能是马上的往上涨的

226
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那么中长线啊

227
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其实白银我还是看涨

228
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因为白银他有工业金属的属性

229
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那么像我们的这个要发展这个AI

230
00:06:18,920 --> 00:06:21,660
那就需要这种这个清洁的低廉的能源

231
00:06:21,660 --> 00:06:23,160
那么光伏发电啊

232
00:06:23,160 --> 00:06:24,920
需要这个银电子的工业啊

233
00:06:24,920 --> 00:06:26,579
AI的发展也需要这个银

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00:06:26,579 --> 00:06:29,529
那现在D呢可以说处于一个低库存期吧

235
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啊所以呢我们长期这个银的长期潜力啊也大

236
00:06:32,009 --> 00:06:33,370
但是波动性啊远超黄金

237
00:06:33,370 --> 00:06:34,029
所以家人们啊

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00:06:34,029 --> 00:06:36,589
我建议大家呢尽量啊其实去做一些

239
00:06:36,589 --> 00:06:38,509
适合风险承受力强的一个投资者啊

240
00:06:38,509 --> 00:06:39,350
可以做白银啊

241
00:06:39,350 --> 00:06:40,029
做白银的话

242
00:06:40,029 --> 00:06:42,550
那尽量啊做这个白银的etf sliver啊

243
00:06:42,550 --> 00:06:43,149
同样的道理啊

244
00:06:43,149 --> 00:06:43,550
家人们

245
00:06:43,550 --> 00:06:44,509
那是这个白银

246
00:06:44,509 --> 00:06:47,889
其实会在七零期五会震荡一段时间

247
00:06:47,889 --> 00:06:48,749
准周啊

248
00:06:48,749 --> 00:06:50,769
企稳以后会继续冲击100啊

249
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100啊

250
00:06:51,369 --> 00:06:53,339
估计这把本周的策略给到大家啊

251
00:06:53,339 --> 00:06:55,100
本周应该会有一个回踩的动作啊

252
00:06:55,100 --> 00:06:56,300
到时候大家可以sliver上

253
00:06:56,300 --> 00:06:57,420
可以做一些低阶的动作

254
00:06:57,420 --> 00:07:00,079
回调呢我们的这个710~65

255
00:07:00,079 --> 00:07:00,959
其实七二也可以啊

256
00:07:00,959 --> 00:07:02,839
71601乘就行

257
00:07:02,839 --> 00:07:04,339
这是确定性比较高的机会

258
00:07:04,339 --> 00:07:07,230
那近期目标其实就是七五啊

259
00:07:07,230 --> 00:07:08,910
到这个巴黎福特

260
00:07:08,910 --> 00:07:11,699
比他大的这个白银的一个看见啊

261
00:07:11,699 --> 00:07:13,040
白银的波动性啊比较大

262
00:07:13,040 --> 00:07:14,019
所以家人们要注意啊

263
00:07:14,019 --> 00:07:15,180
就是尽量啊不要追

264
00:07:15,180 --> 00:07:16,660
也是等它回踩到福哥

265
00:07:16,660 --> 00:07:18,779
给大家一个比较关键的支撑位后啊

266
00:07:18,779 --> 00:07:19,660
去买进啊

267
00:07:19,660 --> 00:07:20,699
你想做长线也好

268
00:07:20,699 --> 00:07:21,339
中线也好

269
00:07:21,339 --> 00:07:21,980
短线也好

270
00:07:21,980 --> 00:07:25,220
你在这种比较稳的位置买进了就量了

271
00:07:25,220 --> 00:07:26,220
就会亏啊

272
00:07:26,220 --> 00:07:27,370
挣多挣少而已啊

273
00:07:27,370 --> 00:07:30,089
好这是福哥的这个老大一个操作策略

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00:07:30,089 --> 00:07:30,709
家人们

275
00:07:30,709 --> 00:07:33,029
那你对黄金和白银有什么看法吗

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你觉得他们还能继续创新高吗

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欢迎大家啊

278
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把这大家的这个给黄金和白银的一个看见啊

279
00:07:39,610 --> 00:07:42,069
发到副歌的这个呃视频的下方当中

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谷歌看到的我会第一时间回复大家

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家人们再见

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