华尔街或将诞生史上最大2.4万亿IPO！真正的爆发点，竟是背后这3只没人注意的太空公司！90%人没看到的机会，必看！VELO,STM,IPX #trading

1
00:00:00,040 --> 00:00:01,879
美东时间周四下午06:30

2
00:00:01,879 --> 00:00:03,279
埃隆马斯克就要发射

3
00:00:03,279 --> 00:00:05,459
人类历史上最强大的火箭了

4
00:00:05,459 --> 00:00:07,160
这场发车有多重要呢

5
00:00:07,160 --> 00:00:08,060
如果成功

6
00:00:08,060 --> 00:00:10,740
此次在X最快下个月就可能开启

7
00:00:10,740 --> 00:00:13,750
价值2万亿美元的史上最大规模IPO

8
00:00:13,750 --> 00:00:14,810
如果失败了

9
00:00:14,810 --> 00:00:17,050
那我们下期视频就更有得聊了

10
00:00:17,050 --> 00:00:17,850
说白了

11
00:00:17,850 --> 00:00:20,600
这是space x上市前的终极一战

12
00:00:20,600 --> 00:00:21,559
只要成功

13
00:00:21,559 --> 00:00:24,660
华尔街的资本大佬们就会彻底吃下定心丸

14
00:00:24,660 --> 00:00:26,600
相信马斯克画的那些轨道

15
00:00:26,600 --> 00:00:29,739
数据中心和月球基地的大饼都能够实现

16
00:00:29,739 --> 00:00:32,460
所以现在无数投资者都在掘地三尺

17
00:00:32,460 --> 00:00:34,439
想要在它上市前分一杯羹

18
00:00:34,439 --> 00:00:35,380
hi朋友们

19
00:00:35,380 --> 00:00:36,759
欢迎来到ruby投资笔记

20
00:00:36,759 --> 00:00:38,539
我是你们的老朋友ruby

21
00:00:38,539 --> 00:00:41,320
但其实关注我们频道的老朋友们都知道

22
00:00:41,320 --> 00:00:42,780
这种太空造福神话

23
00:00:42,780 --> 00:00:44,649
我们早就聊过好几次了

24
00:00:44,649 --> 00:00:47,859
大家可以看看咱们在4月初布局的那几只股票

25
00:00:47,859 --> 00:00:49,479
RKLB直接翻倍

26
00:00:49,479 --> 00:00:50,780
暴涨了98%

27
00:00:50,780 --> 00:00:53,000
LUNR涨了48%

28
00:00:53,000 --> 00:00:55,219
RDW也充了53%

29
00:00:55,219 --> 00:00:58,219
这回报率懂行的朋友们应该知道有多惊人

30
00:00:58,219 --> 00:01:00,479
现在市场上的风向非常单纯

31
00:01:00,479 --> 00:01:03,659
c space x就是有史以来最大的IPO巨无霸

32
00:01:03,659 --> 00:01:04,980
掌舵的又是地表

33
00:01:04,980 --> 00:01:06,920
最富有自带流量的马斯克

34
00:01:06,920 --> 00:01:09,239
那最近的行情大家也都看到了

35
00:01:09,239 --> 00:01:12,379
只要能和4space x扯上一点点关系的股票

36
00:01:12,379 --> 00:01:13,719
全部都在疯涨

37
00:01:13,719 --> 00:01:15,040
所以今天这期视频

38
00:01:15,040 --> 00:01:16,099
我要跟大家介绍

39
00:01:16,099 --> 00:01:18,939
三家简单的space x供应链里的公司

40
00:01:18,939 --> 00:01:20,159
而在视频的最后

41
00:01:20,159 --> 00:01:22,780
我还会给你我全部的太空股清单

42
00:01:22,780 --> 00:01:24,739
所以本期视频你一定要看到

43
00:01:24,739 --> 00:01:26,879
最后记得订阅保持更新

44
00:01:26,879 --> 00:01:30,540
因为这很可能才是这个新市场趋势的开始

45
00:01:32,299 --> 00:01:35,549
咱们先来聊聊周四晚上即将发生的大事

46
00:01:35,549 --> 00:01:37,969
虽然仙剑之前已经飞了11次

47
00:01:37,969 --> 00:01:40,719
大家也都看到过不少大火球的场面

48
00:01:40,719 --> 00:01:42,060
但是老话说得好

49
00:01:42,060 --> 00:01:43,159
想要吃煎蛋卷

50
00:01:43,159 --> 00:01:45,159
你就得先打碎几个鸡蛋

51
00:01:45,159 --> 00:01:46,340
之前的试一次

52
00:01:46,340 --> 00:01:47,799
说白了都是试验品

53
00:01:47,799 --> 00:01:51,719
而这次要飞的是第一款真正的量产机新舰3号

54
00:01:51,719 --> 00:01:54,840
这也是space x未来用来发射下一代

55
00:01:54,840 --> 00:01:56,478
string link卫星的王牌

56
00:01:56,478 --> 00:02:00,340
这次升级最核心的就是新型的猛禽3号发动机

57
00:02:00,340 --> 00:02:03,280
海平面的推力直接飙到250吨

58
00:02:03,280 --> 00:02:05,280
真空推力275吨

59
00:02:05,280 --> 00:02:08,258
单台原始推力足足提升了8%

60
00:02:08,258 --> 00:02:09,098
你要知道

61
00:02:09,098 --> 00:02:12,459
光是第一级助推器上就密密麻麻装了39台

62
00:02:12,459 --> 00:02:13,680
这样的发动机

63
00:02:13,680 --> 00:02:14,680
推力暴涨

64
00:02:14,680 --> 00:02:16,759
意味着运载能力发生质变

65
00:02:16,759 --> 00:02:18,719
星链卫星可以做的更大

66
00:02:18,719 --> 00:02:21,530
每个轨道能传输的带宽也更多

67
00:02:21,530 --> 00:02:24,969
现在新链的全球付费用户已经突破了1000万

68
00:02:24,969 --> 00:02:27,889
供不先的space x将近80%的收入

69
00:02:27,889 --> 00:02:30,090
如果这次V3顺利升空

70
00:02:30,090 --> 00:02:31,550
那新链的增长曲线

71
00:02:31,550 --> 00:02:34,319
直接就要坐上无阻力的太空电梯

72
00:02:34,319 --> 00:02:35,400
反过来说

73
00:02:35,400 --> 00:02:36,599
如果这次搞砸了

74
00:02:36,599 --> 00:02:37,219
不要惊讶

75
00:02:37,219 --> 00:02:38,949
IPO可能会推迟

76
00:02:38,949 --> 00:02:42,719
这也是为什么周四这一季发射至关重要的原因

77
00:02:42,719 --> 00:02:45,699
因为在华尔街那本引爆全球的招股书里

78
00:02:45,699 --> 00:02:47,159
新建V3的成功率

79
00:02:47,159 --> 00:02:49,939
直接决定了SPSPACEX的底层财务逻辑

80
00:02:49,939 --> 00:02:51,579
也就是单位经济学

81
00:02:51,579 --> 00:02:53,179
只要星期四成了

82
00:02:53,179 --> 00:02:56,519
space x就能把每公斤载荷的运轨成本

83
00:02:56,519 --> 00:03:00,500
从现在的2000美元直接砍掉90%以上

84
00:03:00,500 --> 00:03:01,879
这是什么概念呢

85
00:03:01,879 --> 00:03:02,900
这就意味着

86
00:03:02,900 --> 00:03:05,740
先烈的毛利率将直接逼近80%

87
00:03:05,740 --> 00:03:08,909
彻底变成一台躺着数钱的超级印钞机

88
00:03:08,909 --> 00:03:11,870
那当然风险与暴力往往是并存的

89
00:03:11,870 --> 00:03:14,110
招股书里面同样写满了警示

90
00:03:14,110 --> 00:03:17,229
其中最知名的一条就是核心人物风险

91
00:03:17,229 --> 00:03:19,189
说白了这家2万亿的公司

92
00:03:19,189 --> 00:03:21,960
要是没有了马斯克或者马斯克的经历

93
00:03:21,960 --> 00:03:24,620
被X特斯拉XAI榨干了

94
00:03:24,620 --> 00:03:26,909
那就是整个帝国最大的隐患

95
00:03:26,909 --> 00:03:28,069
但目前来看

96
00:03:28,069 --> 00:03:29,919
现在的状况还良好

97
00:03:29,919 --> 00:03:31,439
那今天这期视频呢

98
00:03:31,439 --> 00:03:34,360
我又毫无保留的把我整个太空概念股

99
00:03:34,360 --> 00:03:36,159
的核心清单分享出来

100
00:03:36,159 --> 00:03:39,650
那现在我们先从第一大公司开始讲起

101
00:03:41,520 --> 00:03:44,319
我们要聊的第一家公司呢是做工业技术

102
00:03:44,319 --> 00:03:45,879
3D打印vo three d

103
00:03:45,879 --> 00:03:47,469
股票代码VELO

104
00:03:47,469 --> 00:03:50,349
这支股票最近在美股市场上热度极高

105
00:03:50,349 --> 00:03:52,590
属于典型的高动能暴涨形态

106
00:03:52,590 --> 00:03:53,550
就在周二呢

107
00:03:53,550 --> 00:03:55,469
他刚公布了今年一季度的财报

108
00:03:55,469 --> 00:03:55,870
业绩

109
00:03:55,870 --> 00:03:57,449
直接让华尔街看傻眼

110
00:03:57,449 --> 00:04:00,519
营收比市场预期整整高出了40%

111
00:04:00,519 --> 00:04:01,519
消息一出来

112
00:04:01,519 --> 00:04:03,618
股价隔夜先飙升了18%

113
00:04:03,618 --> 00:04:05,979
收盘前又往上拉了25%

114
00:04:05,979 --> 00:04:08,199
关注小盘股的朋友们应该知道

115
00:04:08,199 --> 00:04:11,419
VELO现在的市值只有5.52亿美元

116
00:04:11,419 --> 00:04:12,659
弹性非常大

117
00:04:12,659 --> 00:04:16,040
过去经常在几天或者几周内就实现翻倍

118
00:04:16,040 --> 00:04:19,519
那为什么我现在要专门拿出来分析这家公司呢

119
00:04:19,519 --> 00:04:20,819
是因为它的基本面

120
00:04:20,819 --> 00:04:23,480
确实出现了一些非常关键的变化

121
00:04:23,480 --> 00:04:26,259
从最新2026年一季度的财报来看

122
00:04:26,259 --> 00:04:28,709
这家公司正迎来他的财务拐点

123
00:04:28,709 --> 00:04:30,610
第一它的营收在放量

124
00:04:30,610 --> 00:04:33,589
一季度的收入是达到了1380万美元

125
00:04:33,589 --> 00:04:35,319
同比大涨48%

126
00:04:35,319 --> 00:04:38,120
这说明他们不再只是单纯的卖设备

127
00:04:38,120 --> 00:04:40,300
而是通过快速生产解决方案

128
00:04:40,300 --> 00:04:42,408
拿到更稳定的长尾收入

129
00:04:42,408 --> 00:04:44,569
第二是它的毛利率终于转正了

130
00:04:44,569 --> 00:04:45,908
这是最性感的一点

131
00:04:45,908 --> 00:04:49,069
去年同期他们的毛利率只有7.5%

132
00:04:49,069 --> 00:04:52,100
今年一季度直接拉到了17.2%

133
00:04:52,100 --> 00:04:53,579
公司高管还挑明了

134
00:04:53,579 --> 00:04:55,060
随着规模效应上来

135
00:04:55,060 --> 00:04:56,500
今年下半年的毛利率

136
00:04:56,500 --> 00:04:58,548
是奔着30%以上去的

137
00:04:58,548 --> 00:05:01,300
第三是他的债务报负卸掉了一大半

138
00:05:01,300 --> 00:05:03,079
之前市场最担心他的负债

139
00:05:03,079 --> 00:05:06,500
但是这次他们通过债转股的形式和偿还票据

140
00:05:06,500 --> 00:05:09,029
一口气砍掉了70%的未偿债务

141
00:05:09,029 --> 00:05:12,470
现在手里只剩下900多万左右的设备贷款

142
00:05:12,470 --> 00:05:14,879
资产负债表一下子干净了很多

143
00:05:14,879 --> 00:05:18,560
当然这只股票真正的灵魂还是他和斯space x之间

144
00:05:18,560 --> 00:05:19,939
深度绑定的故事

145
00:05:19,939 --> 00:05:22,040
VELO做的3D打印机

146
00:05:22,040 --> 00:05:24,180
专门用来制造那些传统工艺

147
00:05:24,180 --> 00:05:27,120
根本搞不定的火箭发动机的核心零部件

148
00:05:27,120 --> 00:05:29,699
SUSPACEX是他们公开的明星客户

149
00:05:29,699 --> 00:05:33,379
即将发射的星舰飞船以及它搭载的猛禽发动机

150
00:05:33,379 --> 00:05:35,740
里面就有VELO打印的部件

151
00:05:35,740 --> 00:05:37,740
那现在市场的逻辑很简单

152
00:05:37,740 --> 00:05:40,100
space x1旦把新建的产量

153
00:05:40,100 --> 00:05:42,449
从一年几枚提升到一年几十枚

154
00:05:42,449 --> 00:05:44,550
成千上万个发动机的核心件

155
00:05:44,550 --> 00:05:45,490
找谁来做呢

156
00:05:45,490 --> 00:05:47,089
只能找VELO

157
00:05:47,089 --> 00:05:50,149
而且这家公司他们不光是能印零件

158
00:05:50,149 --> 00:05:51,310
最核心的护城河

159
00:05:51,310 --> 00:05:53,930
在于一套叫做integrate fusion的技术

160
00:05:53,930 --> 00:05:56,569
它解决了传统3D打印良品率低

161
00:05:56,569 --> 00:05:58,379
零件一致性差的痛点

162
00:05:58,379 --> 00:05:59,899
对于space x这种

163
00:05:59,899 --> 00:06:02,339
对于出货速度极度敏感的公司来说

164
00:06:02,339 --> 00:06:04,680
VELO卖的其实不是打印机

165
00:06:04,680 --> 00:06:07,060
而是量产良品率的终极保障

166
00:06:07,060 --> 00:06:10,160
更何况人家的技术已经开始从商业航天

167
00:06:10,160 --> 00:06:11,819
向国防工业进军

168
00:06:11,819 --> 00:06:13,300
今年2月份的时候

169
00:06:13,300 --> 00:06:16,439
他们刚拿下了美国陆军地面车辆系统中心

170
00:06:16,439 --> 00:06:18,459
GVSC的5年期大单

171
00:06:18,459 --> 00:06:20,939
成了军方的金属增材制造供应商

172
00:06:20,939 --> 00:06:22,920
那听完我讲这家公司的基本面

173
00:06:22,920 --> 00:06:25,769
你会觉得这家公司的故事非常性感对吧

174
00:06:25,769 --> 00:06:28,529
但是这里呢我必须要和大家提前说清楚

175
00:06:28,529 --> 00:06:31,620
这家公司绝对不是什么躺赚的蓝筹股

176
00:06:31,620 --> 00:06:33,740
我必须要给打算入场的朋友们

177
00:06:33,740 --> 00:06:35,620
提示两个非常硬核的风险

178
00:06:35,620 --> 00:06:37,339
首先是他的钱不够花

179
00:06:37,339 --> 00:06:39,189
他的股本有被稀释的风险

180
00:06:39,189 --> 00:06:41,569
别看他光完成了5000万美元的增发

181
00:06:41,569 --> 00:06:43,110
但是截至今年3月底

182
00:06:43,110 --> 00:06:46,339
公司账面上就剩下1660万美元的现金

183
00:06:46,339 --> 00:06:49,860
他们公司呢也在财报里面大方承认这点钱不够

184
00:06:49,860 --> 00:06:51,100
接下来撑12个月的

185
00:06:51,100 --> 00:06:52,000
这意味着什么

186
00:06:52,000 --> 00:06:55,199
意味着这家公司在真正实现自我造血之前

187
00:06:55,199 --> 00:06:57,079
未来大概率还要继续增发

188
00:06:57,079 --> 00:06:58,800
继续去稀释股东的权益

189
00:06:58,800 --> 00:07:02,000
那这种情况带来的影响就是它的股价会下跌

190
00:07:02,000 --> 00:07:05,319
其次就是他的业务具有很强的项目制的特征

191
00:07:05,319 --> 00:07:08,350
虽然他手里攒了3000万美元的订单积压

192
00:07:08,350 --> 00:07:10,069
但是这种工业级的订单

193
00:07:10,069 --> 00:07:13,569
极易受到政府预算的周期或者是单一核心客户

194
00:07:13,569 --> 00:07:16,110
比如说慈space x订单延期的影响

195
00:07:16,110 --> 00:07:19,089
它属于典型的高贝塔的股票波动极大

196
00:07:19,089 --> 00:07:20,009
总结来说呢

197
00:07:20,009 --> 00:07:22,730
就是VELO目前正处在一个高风险

198
00:07:22,730 --> 00:07:24,290
高回报的危险窗口期

199
00:07:24,290 --> 00:07:27,170
他是个激进型的投资者

200
00:07:28,740 --> 00:07:30,740
今天我们要聊的第二家公司

201
00:07:30,740 --> 00:07:32,480
可能会让你们有点意外

202
00:07:32,480 --> 00:07:35,110
依法半导体股票代码STM

203
00:07:35,110 --> 00:07:36,589
之所以说意外呢

204
00:07:36,589 --> 00:07:38,970
是因为在大多数人的刻板印象里

205
00:07:38,970 --> 00:07:42,750
STM就是一家中规中矩的欧洲老牌芯片厂

206
00:07:42,750 --> 00:07:45,170
他平时做的无非就是汽车传感器

207
00:07:45,170 --> 00:07:48,199
工业零件这些听起来蛮枯燥的东西

208
00:07:48,199 --> 00:07:50,959
但是如果你真正去翻他的技术白皮书

209
00:07:50,959 --> 00:07:52,220
和底层的供应链

210
00:07:52,220 --> 00:07:53,139
就会发现

211
00:07:53,139 --> 00:07:56,209
华尔街其实完全低估了他的想象空间

212
00:07:56,209 --> 00:07:57,649
可能很多人不知道

213
00:07:57,649 --> 00:07:59,550
SPM和space x之间

214
00:07:59,550 --> 00:08:02,750
有着长达10年的独家联合研发背景

215
00:08:02,750 --> 00:08:05,269
你想想string link的地面接收器

216
00:08:05,269 --> 00:08:06,790
凭什么能够实时追踪

217
00:08:06,790 --> 00:08:10,439
在时速近3万公里的高空飞过的低维卫星呢

218
00:08:10,439 --> 00:08:13,538
靠的就是极其复杂的相控阵天线技术

219
00:08:13,538 --> 00:08:16,978
而STM生产的恰恰就是这里面最核心

220
00:08:16,978 --> 00:08:20,918
最不可替代的电振化相控阵射频ASS芯片

221
00:08:20,918 --> 00:08:24,379
这种芯片采用了极其先进的硅基氮化钾技术

222
00:08:24,379 --> 00:08:26,019
技术壁垒高得吓人

223
00:08:26,019 --> 00:08:27,259
在目前的市场上

224
00:08:27,259 --> 00:08:29,819
space x根本找不到第二大供应商

225
00:08:29,819 --> 00:08:31,899
能够同时满足高频低功耗

226
00:08:31,899 --> 00:08:35,298
而且还能提供千万级稳定量产能力的公司

227
00:08:35,298 --> 00:08:38,720
所以这就带来了一个绝佳的低估错位机会

228
00:08:38,720 --> 00:08:39,779
过去一年呢

229
00:08:39,779 --> 00:08:43,509
全球传统的汽车电子行业在走去库存的周期

230
00:08:43,509 --> 00:08:45,309
STM的整体财报

231
00:08:45,309 --> 00:08:47,610
被这片工业周期的乌云给笼罩

232
00:08:47,610 --> 00:08:49,990
导致它的估值被严重压制

233
00:08:49,990 --> 00:08:52,210
但是大资金往往忽略了一件事

234
00:08:52,210 --> 00:08:55,759
它的内部string link业务正在以指数级的速度爆发

235
00:08:55,759 --> 00:08:59,179
目前他们已经悄悄出货了75亿个组件

236
00:08:59,179 --> 00:09:01,220
但这仅仅只是个开始

237
00:09:01,220 --> 00:09:02,600
随着周四的新建

238
00:09:02,600 --> 00:09:03,700
如果成功着陆

239
00:09:03,700 --> 00:09:06,818
c space x就会正式迈入V3卫星时代

240
00:09:06,818 --> 00:09:09,198
更大的卫星意味着更大的带宽

241
00:09:09,198 --> 00:09:12,918
更意味着地球上的用户终端将从现在的百万级

242
00:09:12,918 --> 00:09:14,849
直接向千万级跃升

243
00:09:14,849 --> 00:09:17,969
所以当传统的汽车去库存周期见底

244
00:09:17,969 --> 00:09:21,700
叠加新链业务的纯度在财务里完全释放的时候

245
00:09:21,700 --> 00:09:25,019
SDM将会迎来一场经典的戴维斯双击

246
00:09:25,019 --> 00:09:28,179
不仅是产能利用率提升带来的毛利率暴涨

247
00:09:28,179 --> 00:09:29,159
更重要的是

248
00:09:29,159 --> 00:09:32,399
华尔街会把他的定位从一家传统汽车芯片厂

249
00:09:32,399 --> 00:09:35,940
重估为全球低轨卫星通信的独家军火商

250
00:09:35,940 --> 00:09:39,200
这种故事所说的虫姑才是真正的暴力来源

251
00:09:39,200 --> 00:09:40,799
而且这家公司的市值

252
00:09:40,799 --> 00:09:44,000
相比于我今天讲的这两家公司的市值都比较高

253
00:09:44,000 --> 00:09:45,589
它有500多亿的市值

254
00:09:45,589 --> 00:09:46,948
所以相比较来说

255
00:09:46,948 --> 00:09:49,469
这家公司的交易流动性会比较好

256
00:09:49,469 --> 00:09:53,229
那接下来我们就来继续第三家公司的讲解

257
00:09:55,159 --> 00:09:58,299
很多人都在看斯space x发射仙剑的热闹

258
00:09:58,299 --> 00:10:00,460
但很少有人注意到一个细节

259
00:10:00,460 --> 00:10:03,700
每一艘从发射台拔地而起的新舰身上

260
00:10:03,700 --> 00:10:06,259
都含着几千磅的高等级的钛合金

261
00:10:06,259 --> 00:10:09,820
从承受极高温度的热量部件到核心结构件

262
00:10:09,820 --> 00:10:11,360
再到整个燃料系统

263
00:10:11,360 --> 00:10:12,360
没有钛合金

264
00:10:12,360 --> 00:10:16,360
马斯克的商业航天和星链帝国根本就无从谈起

265
00:10:16,360 --> 00:10:19,210
钛才是这个时代真正的硬通货

266
00:10:19,210 --> 00:10:22,289
但这里面藏着一个巨大的地缘政治漏洞

267
00:10:22,289 --> 00:10:24,649
美国其实根本没有大规模生产

268
00:10:24,649 --> 00:10:26,700
这种航天级钛材的能力

269
00:10:26,700 --> 00:10:28,539
听起来很不可思议对吧

270
00:10:28,539 --> 00:10:31,549
作为一个全球军事和航天头号大国

271
00:10:31,549 --> 00:10:34,909
美国本土最后一座传统的海绵钛生产厂

272
00:10:34,909 --> 00:10:36,919
早就在几年前彻底关停

273
00:10:36,919 --> 00:10:38,940
本土产能基本上是等于零

274
00:10:38,940 --> 00:10:42,659
那目前美国有接近2/3的航天级的钛合金

275
00:10:42,659 --> 00:10:44,009
全靠进口过去

276
00:10:44,009 --> 00:10:45,649
大部分拿的是俄罗斯的货

277
00:10:45,649 --> 00:10:47,879
那剩下的就是靠中国和日本

278
00:10:47,879 --> 00:10:50,120
2022年地缘冲突爆发之后

279
00:10:50,120 --> 00:10:52,500
俄罗斯的这条供应链就直接熔断

280
00:10:52,500 --> 00:10:56,940
所以你看一边是SPSPACEX新店新建在疯狂的扩张

281
00:10:56,940 --> 00:11:00,379
但是另一边支撑这个万亿赛道的底层战略金属

282
00:11:00,379 --> 00:11:03,580
却掉进了一个随时可能被人卡脖子的地缘政治

283
00:11:03,580 --> 00:11:04,450
无人区

284
00:11:04,450 --> 00:11:06,629
面对这种火烧眉毛的局面

285
00:11:06,629 --> 00:11:08,409
五角大楼彻底坐不住了

286
00:11:08,409 --> 00:11:11,470
开始砸重金去搞本土供应链的救援

287
00:11:11,470 --> 00:11:13,470
其中最大的一笔钱就投给了

288
00:11:13,470 --> 00:11:15,590
一家叫做IPX的公司

289
00:11:15,590 --> 00:11:19,269
目前的股价是在30~35美元附近震荡

290
00:11:19,269 --> 00:11:21,269
研究完它的底层逻辑之后

291
00:11:21,269 --> 00:11:23,389
我觉得他极有可能成为下一个FA

292
00:11:23,389 --> 00:11:24,039
川耐克

293
00:11:24,039 --> 00:11:27,059
也就是当初因为压中了新链的视频组件

294
00:11:27,059 --> 00:11:30,068
让机构抱团疯狂翻倍的供应链黑马

295
00:11:30,068 --> 00:11:33,708
那为什么五角大楼和这些商业巨头非他不可呢

296
00:11:33,708 --> 00:11:36,349
咱们不去聊那些枯燥的学术名词

297
00:11:36,349 --> 00:11:38,850
直接来看它的商业模式的杀伤力

298
00:11:38,850 --> 00:11:40,809
全世界传统的变态方法

299
00:11:40,809 --> 00:11:43,889
用的还是上世纪40年代发明的克罗尔法

300
00:11:43,889 --> 00:11:46,389
这套老工艺不仅过程极其繁琐

301
00:11:46,389 --> 00:11:47,250
耗电量惊人

302
00:11:47,250 --> 00:11:48,350
而且污染大

303
00:11:48,350 --> 00:11:51,679
最关键的是它没有办法直接用废料再生产

304
00:11:51,679 --> 00:11:54,779
而IPX手里握着一套颠覆性的技术

305
00:11:54,779 --> 00:11:58,100
叫做HAM2轻辅助镁还原技术

306
00:11:58,100 --> 00:12:01,179
这套技术对于传统工艺简直是降维打击

307
00:12:01,179 --> 00:12:04,159
第一它能直接砍掉50%的能耗

308
00:12:04,159 --> 00:12:06,419
碳排放直降90%以上

309
00:12:06,419 --> 00:12:09,029
直接把链钛变成了环保产业

310
00:12:09,029 --> 00:12:10,850
第二它能变废为宝

311
00:12:10,850 --> 00:12:14,110
直接把市面上通常当做垃圾处理的高氧钛谢

312
00:12:14,110 --> 00:12:16,149
和各类的工业废料回收

313
00:12:16,149 --> 00:12:19,889
转化成完全符合航天标准的纯度极高的钛粉

314
00:12:19,889 --> 00:12:22,789
而这种高质量的钛粉正好是航空航天

315
00:12:22,789 --> 00:12:25,100
3D打印梦寐以求的完美燃料

316
00:12:25,100 --> 00:12:26,460
利润率高得吓人

317
00:12:26,460 --> 00:12:28,259
那没有俄罗斯的供应链风险

318
00:12:28,259 --> 00:12:29,940
也没有环保的烂摊子

319
00:12:29,940 --> 00:12:32,259
五角大楼直接通过国防生产法

320
00:12:32,259 --> 00:12:34,820
给他砸了4700万美元的联邦资金

321
00:12:34,820 --> 00:12:36,649
帮助他建厂扩产

322
00:12:36,649 --> 00:12:37,450
你要知道

323
00:12:37,450 --> 00:12:39,110
美国政府直接掏大洋

324
00:12:39,110 --> 00:12:41,730
帮一家没有怎么盈利的小盘股建厂

325
00:12:41,730 --> 00:12:43,919
只有在两种情况下才会发生

326
00:12:43,919 --> 00:12:46,279
第一就是这东西关乎国家命脉

327
00:12:46,279 --> 00:12:49,099
第二就是政府真的确信他能够交出货

328
00:12:49,099 --> 00:12:50,259
那作为投资者

329
00:12:50,259 --> 00:12:52,198
我最看重IPX的一点是

330
00:12:52,198 --> 00:12:53,418
他不是那种让你干

331
00:12:53,418 --> 00:12:54,019
等3年

332
00:12:54,019 --> 00:12:55,909
纯靠PPT讲故事的股票

333
00:12:55,909 --> 00:12:57,309
接下来的12个月

334
00:12:57,309 --> 00:12:58,850
他有四个定好的时间

335
00:12:58,850 --> 00:13:00,740
实打实的催化剂要落地

336
00:13:00,740 --> 00:13:02,860
第一个就是商业化全面启动

337
00:13:02,860 --> 00:13:05,600
他们在弗吉尼亚州的泰坦氢化工厂

338
00:13:05,600 --> 00:13:08,600
已经正式从之前的试点规模转型成了全天候

339
00:13:08,600 --> 00:13:10,909
24小时连续商业化运转

340
00:13:10,909 --> 00:13:13,860
这说明下游的订单已经催得非常急

341
00:13:13,860 --> 00:13:15,539
工厂必须满负荷的运转

342
00:13:15,539 --> 00:13:18,000
那第二个就是产能的火箭式爆发

343
00:13:18,000 --> 00:13:21,039
预估是在2026年底到2027年中

344
00:13:21,039 --> 00:13:23,600
他们现在的年产能只有50吨左右

345
00:13:23,600 --> 00:13:27,068
但是管理层的目标是今年年底拉到200吨

346
00:13:27,068 --> 00:13:28,989
那明年年年中直接翻七倍

347
00:13:28,989 --> 00:13:30,249
达到1400吨

348
00:13:30,249 --> 00:13:33,849
也就是说从50吨到1400吨的跨越式暴涨

349
00:13:33,849 --> 00:13:36,230
只需要14~16个月的时间

350
00:13:36,230 --> 00:13:37,909
第三个是财务拐点

351
00:13:37,909 --> 00:13:40,110
也就是2026年底会发生的事情

352
00:13:40,110 --> 00:13:43,649
管理层预计在今年年底实现ABT的彻底转正

353
00:13:43,649 --> 00:13:46,889
那过去几年他在这个资本市场里是个故事股

354
00:13:46,889 --> 00:13:49,129
没有人能够准确的定价这家公司

355
00:13:49,129 --> 00:13:51,029
它的股价经常的过山车

356
00:13:51,029 --> 00:13:52,950
但是只要利润表一转正

357
00:13:52,950 --> 00:13:55,029
那市场上玩家就会发生质变

358
00:13:55,029 --> 00:13:56,269
投机者会离场

359
00:13:56,269 --> 00:13:58,830
那成长型的机构资金开始疯狂建仓

360
00:13:58,830 --> 00:14:00,629
这帮正规军只要一进来

361
00:14:00,629 --> 00:14:02,870
那对股价的拉动是非常可怕的

362
00:14:02,870 --> 00:14:05,629
第四个呢是加利油矿的垂直闭环落地

363
00:14:05,629 --> 00:14:07,450
预估是在今年的第二季度

364
00:14:07,450 --> 00:14:08,629
他们在田纳西州

365
00:14:08,629 --> 00:14:11,090
百分之百控股了一个关键矿产公司

366
00:14:11,090 --> 00:14:13,909
也是北美最大的钛锆矿场之一

367
00:14:13,909 --> 00:14:15,129
那今年二季度

368
00:14:15,129 --> 00:14:18,419
这个项目的最终可行性研究报告就要发布

369
00:14:18,419 --> 00:14:20,100
这个报告一旦通过

370
00:14:20,100 --> 00:14:22,019
它就不再是可能这里有矿

371
00:14:22,019 --> 00:14:24,779
而是变成了法律上真正可行的印钞机

372
00:14:24,779 --> 00:14:26,740
一旦他的矿产报告过关

373
00:14:26,740 --> 00:14:29,580
那IPX将完成田纳西采矿

374
00:14:29,580 --> 00:14:32,919
然后弗吉尼亚加工到直接供应到百分之百

375
00:14:32,919 --> 00:14:35,200
美国本土垂直一体化的闭环

376
00:14:35,200 --> 00:14:36,440
那在美股市场

377
00:14:36,440 --> 00:14:39,440
这种既有独家核心技术家里又有矿的公司

378
00:14:39,440 --> 00:14:41,809
往往能够拿到极高的估值溢价

379
00:14:41,809 --> 00:14:45,129
目前呢华尔街分析师们给出的平均目标价

380
00:14:45,129 --> 00:14:47,589
大概是在每股55美元左右

381
00:14:47,589 --> 00:14:49,629
对比现在32美元的股价

382
00:14:49,629 --> 00:14:51,308
看着好像有58%

383
00:14:51,308 --> 00:14:53,379
接近60%的上涨空间

384
00:14:53,379 --> 00:14:55,379
但我跟很多机构聊完之后

385
00:14:55,379 --> 00:14:58,129
发现这个供水价其实算保守

386
00:14:58,129 --> 00:15:00,129
因为很多分析师的模型里面

387
00:15:00,129 --> 00:15:02,600
还没有把下面两张王牌算进去

388
00:15:02,600 --> 00:15:03,279
第一张

389
00:15:03,279 --> 00:15:07,059
我买着space x潜在的这个碳材料的长期采购合同

390
00:15:07,059 --> 00:15:08,480
只要新建一量产

391
00:15:08,480 --> 00:15:09,899
这份合同一旦落地

392
00:15:09,899 --> 00:15:11,779
就是引爆股价的深水炸弹

393
00:15:11,779 --> 00:15:14,500
第二张王牌呢是他们已经悄悄拿下的

394
00:15:14,500 --> 00:15:15,589
巨头的朋友圈

395
00:15:15,589 --> 00:15:17,849
别以为IPX只靠航天

396
00:15:17,849 --> 00:15:20,149
他早就开始闷声发大财了

397
00:15:20,149 --> 00:15:22,070
军工界的老大洛克希德马丁

398
00:15:22,070 --> 00:15:23,610
已经跟他们签了协议

399
00:15:23,610 --> 00:15:25,789
给F35战机等项目测试

400
00:15:25,789 --> 00:15:27,620
太不健的供应链交给了他们

401
00:15:27,620 --> 00:15:30,759
甚至在消费电子和汽车轻量化的领域

402
00:15:30,759 --> 00:15:32,440
顶级的奢侈手表品牌

403
00:15:32,440 --> 00:15:33,200
高端车企

404
00:15:33,200 --> 00:15:35,879
比如说福特以及其他3D打印巨头

405
00:15:35,879 --> 00:15:38,119
都在给他们开展实质性的合作

406
00:15:38,119 --> 00:15:39,938
那转到技术盘上面来看

407
00:15:39,938 --> 00:15:43,159
日线级别的底部形态已经购置得非常漂亮

408
00:15:43,159 --> 00:15:45,019
最近市场的几次调整之中

409
00:15:45,019 --> 00:15:46,799
这支股票表现的很有韧性

410
00:15:46,799 --> 00:15:48,519
他的苦微调幅度越来越小

411
00:15:48,519 --> 00:15:50,919
而且下购时的成交量明显萎缩

412
00:15:50,919 --> 00:15:53,659
这是非常典型的主力蓄势突破的形态

413
00:15:53,659 --> 00:15:57,120
那这家公司呢也是我们交流圈的重点监测对象

414
00:15:57,120 --> 00:15:59,200
如果有和我们是一样的想法

415
00:15:59,200 --> 00:16:01,000
正在等待它企稳的朋友们

416
00:16:01,000 --> 00:16:03,000
可以点击评论区的置顶链接

417
00:16:03,000 --> 00:16:03,600
加入我们

418
00:16:03,600 --> 00:16:05,370
一起等待下一个信号

419
00:16:05,370 --> 00:16:06,850
那最后我想说的是

420
00:16:06,850 --> 00:16:07,950
space x的上市

421
00:16:07,950 --> 00:16:10,399
这确实是一个惊天动地的大新闻

422
00:16:10,399 --> 00:16:13,360
但真正的不对称机会往往藏在那种下行

423
00:16:13,360 --> 00:16:14,139
风险极小

424
00:16:14,139 --> 00:16:16,940
但是上级想象空间巨大的公司之中

425
00:16:16,940 --> 00:16:18,659
我们在市场里面做投资

426
00:16:18,659 --> 00:16:20,580
追求的无非就是两个字赔率

427
00:16:20,580 --> 00:16:23,460
你想想真正聪明的资金都在盯着哪里

428
00:16:23,460 --> 00:16:24,850
都在盯着供应链

429
00:16:24,850 --> 00:16:27,009
每一次SPSPACEX的火箭升空

430
00:16:27,009 --> 00:16:28,210
每一次无价到楼

431
00:16:28,210 --> 00:16:30,970
给军工巨头砸下CP的钛合金订单

432
00:16:30,970 --> 00:16:33,289
甚至每一次硅谷那几家科技巨头

433
00:16:33,289 --> 00:16:33,610
Mag

434
00:16:33,610 --> 00:16:33,870
七

435
00:16:37,279 --> 00:16:40,480
那些藏在背后名不见经传的供应链小公司

436
00:16:40,480 --> 00:16:43,129
才是真正赚得盆满钵满的隐形冠军

437
00:16:43,129 --> 00:16:45,850
那为了帮大家省去沙里投机的麻烦

438
00:16:45,850 --> 00:16:48,049
我最近特意整理了一份高弹性

439
00:16:48,049 --> 00:16:50,690
高爆发的航天板块的核心股票清单

440
00:16:50,690 --> 00:16:52,330
这里面不仅包含了

441
00:16:52,330 --> 00:16:54,610
直接打入c space x供应链的黑马

442
00:16:54,610 --> 00:16:57,110
还包括了像PLORKOB这类

443
00:16:57,110 --> 00:16:59,240
随时可能被行情引爆的同行

444
00:16:59,240 --> 00:17:02,379
那当然还有大家都很熟悉的ASTS等等

445
00:17:02,379 --> 00:17:04,539
这些股票都有一个共同的特点

446
00:17:04,539 --> 00:17:05,680
只要风口一到

447
00:17:05,680 --> 00:17:08,440
它的拉升速度和幅度都会非常的惊人

448
00:17:08,440 --> 00:17:12,009
那这份含金量极高的清单我已经打包整理好了

449
00:17:12,009 --> 00:17:15,130
想要的朋友们可以直接点击评论区的置顶链接

450
00:17:15,130 --> 00:17:16,539
就可以免费领取

451
00:17:16,539 --> 00:17:18,619
那本期视频到这里就结束了

452
00:17:18,619 --> 00:17:22,019
如果你对于space x上市有什么不一样的看法

453
00:17:22,019 --> 00:17:24,739
也欢迎你在评论区把自己的观点表达出来

454
00:17:24,739 --> 00:17:26,380
我们可以互相探讨一下

455
00:17:26,380 --> 00:17:28,839
同时也欢迎点赞订阅ruby投资笔记

456
00:17:28,839 --> 00:17:30,559
不错过下一期精彩视频

457
00:17:30,559 --> 00:17:31,420
我是ruby

458
00:17:31,420 --> 00:17:33,559
咱们一起也会下期再见拜

共 2 条，按点赞数排序。

采集完成，该视频无弹幕