【NaNa说美股】20260612全美梭哈！

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大家好

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欢迎回到娜娜说美股今天是6月12号

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周五SPACEX上市的大日子

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毫无疑问

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整个华尔街的聚光灯都被他给抢走了

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首秀呢完美演绎了何为现象级狂热

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股价盘中一度涨超30%

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达到176.32美元

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即便尾盘涨幅有所收窄

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股价最后收窄160.95美元

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市值也冲上了2.1万亿美元

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令人瞠目结舌

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放眼整个美国市场啊

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目前也就只有英伟达

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苹果

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谷歌

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微软和亚马逊

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这五家公司的市值超过了2万亿美元

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被抽了多少血呀

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什么英伟达

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微软meta呀

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门前冷落

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无人光顾

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我呢申购了50股

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结果最后只拿到了四股

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好吧也算是聊胜于无啦

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重在参与

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与此同时

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这一场PO也让大量space x的员工财富自由了

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根据投资平台测算

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大约4400名现任以及前员工呢

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将成为百万美元富翁

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其中约400人的持股价值超过了1亿美元

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马斯克本人更是正式成为全球首位

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账面财富突破了万亿美元的超级富豪

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超过一半员工在IPO过程中

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还继续增持公司的股票

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总金额接近10亿美元

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虽然在上市之前啊

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这个各路人马对于SPACEX估值

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是否存在泡沫的争议不断

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不过呢市场的热情显然压过了这一些质疑声音

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本次IPO筹集资金中

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大约150亿美元来自于散户

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投资者

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600亿美元来自机构资金

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大量机构和散户

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实际上哈都没有拿到足够的筹码

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存在着这个补仓需求

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而且呢又有纳值100的接盘

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头15天几乎是无脑买入

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对于刚上市的超级明星股而言

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供需失衡

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往往是推动股价进一步上涨的重要动力

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这意味着股价呢很难下跌

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就是跌多了呀

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就会被这个买盘呢迅速进来抄底

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这股票才刚刚上市哈

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多家ETF发行机构就火速推出与股价挂钩的

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二倍做多和做空产品了

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个股期权也将在下周二正式开放交易

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这预示着后面股价波动可能会加剧

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短期走势呢将会受到情绪

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交易和交易结构的影响

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并不是受基本面影响啊

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大家一定要记住

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所以还去什么拉斯维加斯呀

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这华尔街大赌场不是更刺激吗

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说到SPACEX

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如果你想参与这一波商业航天热潮

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其实有个问题很多朋友都会遇到

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就是你知道SPACEX很牛

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但你根本不知道除了SPACEX之外呢

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还有哪些公司可能跟着受益

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某某就有一个功能非常实用

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如果你打开某某进入市场每股投资主题

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然后找到航天主题

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他会直接帮你把航航空

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航天相关的核心公司全部整理好

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不用一个个搜股票

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也不用到处找资料

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整个主题里面有哪些公司最近水涨的强

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整个板块走势怎么样

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一眼就能看到

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如果你觉得不错

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还能直接一键加入自选

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这是个快速寻找机会

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比较省时间的方法

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但如果SPACEX上市之后真的出现比较大的波动

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我还是比较建议大家了解一下

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陌陌的高级订单功能

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想跟踪止损trailing sto

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股价上涨的时候呢

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止损位会自动往上移动

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行情继续涨

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你就继续拿着行情开始转弱

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它帮你锁定部分利润

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还有止损限价单和止盈限价单

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提前把计划设定好

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赚多少走亏多少车

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特别适合这一种上市初期波动特别大的股票

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不用一天到晚的盯着盘看

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也能帮助管理风险

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感兴趣的朋友可以自己去体验一下这些功能

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另外最近某某呢还和纳斯达克一起举办

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加拿大top trader实盘交易比赛

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奖金池超过100万加币

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个人最高奖励超过10万加币

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收益率前50%都有奖励参与

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还有抽奖和任务奖励

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如果你本来就在交易美股

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或者准备开始做美股的

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都可以顺手参加一下

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相当于一份额外福利了

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比赛7月31号结束

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6月30号之前都可以报名参赛

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具体活动信息我放视频下面了

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现在某某还有限时福利

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加拿大用户用我的专属链接开户入金

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1000能抽十股免费股票

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入金8000就能抽取30股免费股票

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有机会抽到SPACEX

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英伟达等热门股票哦

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美国用户最高可拿1000美元

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英伟达股票奖励

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还有高达8.1%的闲置资金年化利息

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大家点击视频描述区和置顶评论里

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某某的链接就可以领取啦

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回到今天的美股盘面上

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受益于每一局势持续缓和

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以及SPACEX成功上市带来的风险偏好提升

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美股三大股指呢今天集体收涨

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宏观数据也给市场送来了助攻

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美国6月密歇根大学消费者信心指数

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指入的48.9

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明显高于市场预期的46

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以及前值44.8

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此前中东冲突导致油价大涨

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消费者情绪持续受到压制

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而随着近期原油价格回落

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汽油价格下降

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美国消费者呢对于未来经济的担忧也有所缓解

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与此同时

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美国6月1年期通胀预期

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初值降到了4.6%

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明显低于预期4.9%

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无论是真实改善还是统计口径的变化哈

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至少市场看到的是一个结果

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就是消费者信心在恢复

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而通胀预期呢在下降

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对于风险资产来说

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这已经足够构成利好了

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美伊局势依然牵动着市场神经

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美国和伊朗已经就和平协议文案达成了一致

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和平从未像现在这样触手可及

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双方距离最终达成谅解备忘录

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比任何时候都更加接近

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看这个样子

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似乎下周真要签了

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虽然前脚签了

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后脚也可能就拿去擦屁股了

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路透社报道援引嗯消息人士称

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阿联已经同意向伊朗释放

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总计100亿美元的资金

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其中超过30亿美元已经支付了

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另外两名消息人士则提到了总额为200亿美元

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并且还补充称

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这个举措呢是作为伊朗

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停止对阿联酋发动袭击的交换条件而达成的

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中东王爷们是真的惨哈

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要向美国和伊朗两头交保护费

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WTI原油期货价格呢跌近4%

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低于85美元

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伊朗媒体披露的最新协议内容显示

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霍尔木兹海峡将在未来30天内

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逐步恢复正常通航

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缓解了市场对原有供应受阻的担忧

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美国能源部产补充称

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目前每天有约700万桶石油和燃料通过

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霍尔木兹海峡

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大约是伊朗战争初期自流量的一半

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他还表示

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美国不会为了压低油价而实施石油出口禁令

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受这个油价下跌影响

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美债收益率整体下行

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事件期

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美债收益率呢重新跌回到4.5%以下

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支撑美股反弹

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川普的塔口红线果然不是白叫的哈

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反正每次突破之后

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几天内就会被大统领放利好给压下去

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标普500指数触及月均线后遇阻

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日K处出一根阳线

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十字星夹在5日与20日均线之间

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多空双方呢暂时进入了平衡状态

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迎接下周新的波动

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值得注意的是

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在过去几天下跌中

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市场的广度呢反而出现了改善

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这意味着这一轮调整是属于健康回调

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而并不是趋势反转

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资金并没有大规模撤离市场

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而是在内部轮动

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如果真的是熊市开始的话

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那么市场广度呢通常会出现同步崩塌

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所以目前的情况更像是机构在高位获利了结

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部分热门股

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同时呢重新布局新的主线方向

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这种健康的调整

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让股市未来上涨的基础可以变得更加稳固

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而不是更加脆弱

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7600点并非本轮AI牛市的终点哈

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只是一个阶段性的高点

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不过呢短期风险依然存在嗯

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本周指数虽然累涨0.65%

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但是周线仍然收在这条五周均线下方

217
00:09:09,379 --> 00:09:11,960
前面连续九周上涨

218
00:09:11,960 --> 00:09:15,759
积累的大量获利盘呢尚未完全消化

219
00:09:19,019 --> 00:09:20,809
仍可能引发新的波动

220
00:09:20,809 --> 00:09:22,990
本周的深V反转

221
00:09:22,990 --> 00:09:24,450
还有昨天周四的大涨

222
00:09:24,450 --> 00:09:27,500
还有一个重要原因来自于期权市场

223
00:09:27,500 --> 00:09:30,740
QQ和s spy的看跌期权成交量呢

224
00:09:30,740 --> 00:09:33,559
同时出现了历史级别的爆发

225
00:09:33,559 --> 00:09:38,419
QQ看跌期权成交量一度达到了740万张

226
00:09:38,419 --> 00:09:42,519
而s spy put成交量更是达到了惊人的

227
00:09:42,519 --> 00:09:44,399
1120万赞

228
00:09:44,399 --> 00:09:49,429
大量交易员在恐慌中疯狂买入保护性看跌期权

229
00:09:49,429 --> 00:09:53,259
如此密集海量的看跌期权买盘呢

230
00:09:53,259 --> 00:09:55,980
在加剧了大盘下跌的同时哈

231
00:09:55,980 --> 00:09:59,509
也是给随后的暴利反弹埋下了伏笔

232
00:09:59,509 --> 00:10:01,169
在技术分析中

233
00:10:01,169 --> 00:10:04,769
put交易量创下历史极端新高

234
00:10:04,769 --> 00:10:08,389
往往是短期底部的重要特征

235
00:10:08,389 --> 00:10:12,700
每一次put的成交量摸到阶段性高点的时候

236
00:10:12,700 --> 00:10:15,519
往往都是对应着大盘指数

237
00:10:15,519 --> 00:10:17,919
在技术面上的超跌底部

238
00:10:17,919 --> 00:10:21,360
所以这个呃前天周三这个低点哈

239
00:10:21,360 --> 00:10:23,080
就是一个超跌的底部

240
00:10:23,080 --> 00:10:26,179
因此呢嗯周二的出现深V

241
00:10:26,179 --> 00:10:28,460
还有昨天周四川普一句话

242
00:10:28,460 --> 00:10:30,860
纳指就能够在原地起飞

243
00:10:30,860 --> 00:10:33,299
额暴涨2.54%

244
00:10:33,299 --> 00:10:35,019
它也完美的解释了

245
00:10:35,019 --> 00:10:38,559
为什么近日波动率指数VIX大起大落

246
00:10:38,559 --> 00:10:42,679
在weeks没有重新回落到16以下之前呢

247
00:10:42,679 --> 00:10:44,980
意味着市场尚未恢复稳定

248
00:10:44,980 --> 00:10:48,740
指数下周很可能维持这个高位震荡哈

249
00:10:48,740 --> 00:10:52,529
大概率会由于宏观流动性的收紧而再度承压

250
00:10:52,529 --> 00:10:56,429
这两天的超跌反弹是一次宝贵的调仓换股

251
00:10:56,429 --> 00:10:59,479
或者呢阶段性嗯锁定利润

252
00:10:59,479 --> 00:11:01,198
提高现金的机会

253
00:11:06,250 --> 00:11:09,889
今天纳斯达克公布了纳值100季度调整结果

254
00:11:09,889 --> 00:11:12,710
五家公司将被纳入该指数

255
00:11:12,710 --> 00:11:16,009
三家AI基建股阿lab call wave

256
00:11:16,009 --> 00:11:19,350
还有NBIS1家太空股working lab

257
00:11:19,350 --> 00:11:21,830
还有一家机器人公司TER

258
00:11:21,830 --> 00:11:28,029
分别代替CHTRCTSHINSM呃

259
00:11:28,029 --> 00:11:31,000
VRSK和this color

260
00:11:31,000 --> 00:11:32,100
这个调整呢

261
00:11:32,100 --> 00:11:35,840
将会于6月22号星期一开盘前生效

262
00:11:35,840 --> 00:11:37,259
可以看得出来哈

263
00:11:37,259 --> 00:11:40,089
这个钠值在进行大换血

264
00:11:40,089 --> 00:11:41,708
AI基础设施

265
00:11:41,708 --> 00:11:47,109
太空经济和机器人正式进入指数核心资产名单

266
00:11:47,109 --> 00:11:51,568
而传统的软件与服务行业呢开始让出位置

267
00:11:51,568 --> 00:11:53,850
市场正在用脚投票

268
00:11:53,850 --> 00:11:56,590
阿拉B股价今天再创历史新高

269
00:11:56,590 --> 00:11:59,539
作为该网络交换芯片核心受益者

270
00:11:59,539 --> 00:12:04,139
公司目前呢仍然处于机构资金持续加仓的阶段

271
00:12:04,139 --> 00:12:07,779
call waver则是借助这个利好消息继续反弹

272
00:12:07,779 --> 00:12:09,559
脱离低点区域

273
00:12:09,559 --> 00:12:12,340
昨天我们提到的105美元目标位

274
00:12:12,340 --> 00:12:14,600
今天盘中已经摸到了哈

275
00:12:14,600 --> 00:12:17,700
可惜这里呢存在着多条均线阻力

276
00:12:17,700 --> 00:12:20,600
更主要的是他大哥英伟达也不争气啦

277
00:12:20,600 --> 00:12:24,019
所以这个反弹到105又掉下去了

278
00:12:24,019 --> 00:12:26,860
好在距离6月22号进入纳值100呢

279
00:12:26,860 --> 00:12:28,289
还有一周的时间

280
00:12:28,289 --> 00:12:33,009
被动资金效应仍可能继续推动股价走强哈

281
00:12:33,009 --> 00:12:36,830
如果下周市场环境保持稳定的话

282
00:12:36,830 --> 00:12:38,250
就不要暴跌

283
00:12:38,250 --> 00:12:40,009
小涨小跌没有关系

284
00:12:40,009 --> 00:12:43,519
一百十五美元附近呢仍有机会去挑战

285
00:12:43,519 --> 00:12:45,580
如果看不上这个call web

286
00:12:45,580 --> 00:12:47,600
选择NBIS也是可以的哈

287
00:12:47,600 --> 00:12:49,240
反正逻辑类似了

288
00:12:49,240 --> 00:12:51,960
此前股价回撤接近28%了

289
00:12:51,960 --> 00:12:55,259
目前呢也开始出现了明显的修复迹象

290
00:12:55,259 --> 00:12:57,220
在正式进入NAS之前

291
00:12:57,220 --> 00:13:00,490
重新回到前高区域并非不可能

292
00:13:00,490 --> 00:13:03,029
费城半导体指数连续两天反弹

293
00:13:03,029 --> 00:13:06,919
多家国际投行开始收紧对SK海力士

294
00:13:06,919 --> 00:13:11,740
三星电子等亚洲芯片龙头的杠杆融资业务

295
00:13:11,740 --> 00:13:13,019
花旗高盛

296
00:13:13,019 --> 00:13:13,759
摩根大通

297
00:13:13,759 --> 00:13:14,580
美国银行

298
00:13:14,580 --> 00:13:17,759
瑞银等机构呢纷纷提高融资成本

299
00:13:17,759 --> 00:13:20,120
并且限制新增仓位

300
00:13:20,120 --> 00:13:21,480
这其实是好事哈

301
00:13:21,480 --> 00:13:26,250
因为适度降温反而有利于整个板块走得更远

302
00:13:26,250 --> 00:13:28,549
杠杆过高容易玩脱缰了

303
00:13:28,549 --> 00:13:30,190
把所有人都给玩崩了

304
00:13:30,190 --> 00:13:31,809
嗯相比之下呢

305
00:13:31,809 --> 00:13:34,529
太空板块今天就明显受到了

306
00:13:34,529 --> 00:13:38,210
SPACEX上市后的虹吸效应冲击

307
00:13:38,210 --> 00:13:41,230
大量资金从这些杂牌军中撤离

308
00:13:41,230 --> 00:13:43,789
直接冲向绝对龙头NASA

309
00:13:47,269 --> 00:13:48,389
过去几个月

310
00:13:48,389 --> 00:13:52,970
散户热炒的大量太空概念股都出现了集体杀跌

311
00:13:52,970 --> 00:13:56,580
尤其是在space x开盘后的头半个小时

312
00:13:56,580 --> 00:13:59,379
太空股的跌幅当时就急剧扩大

313
00:13:59,379 --> 00:14:00,960
未来很长时间

314
00:14:00,960 --> 00:14:04,899
SPACEX呢都将成为整个太空产业的估值毛

315
00:14:04,899 --> 00:14:08,820
而大部分其他太空股本质上仍然是情绪交易

316
00:14:08,820 --> 00:14:11,940
真正具备长期竞争力的公司并不多

317
00:14:12,399 --> 00:14:16,379
WORKLAB是其中少数值得重点关注的标的之一

318
00:14:16,379 --> 00:14:18,379
如果它的股价继续回调呢

319
00:14:18,379 --> 00:14:20,179
其实是可以分批布局的

320
00:14:20,179 --> 00:14:22,799
100美元附近我们可以开始观察了

321
00:14:22,799 --> 00:14:26,779
90美元和80美元区域分层加仓哈

322
00:14:26,779 --> 00:14:28,720
风险收益比会更合理

323
00:14:28,720 --> 00:14:31,500
如果实在是怕这个踏空的话

324
00:14:31,500 --> 00:14:34,899
那100+1点点也作为底仓也是可以的

325
00:14:34,899 --> 00:14:37,720
MNT今天再次宣布增发

326
00:14:37,720 --> 00:14:40,049
2500万美元的股票

327
00:14:40,049 --> 00:14:44,860
5月份他才刚刚筹集大约8460万美元

328
00:14:44,860 --> 00:14:47,259
虽然公司现金状况并不差

329
00:14:47,259 --> 00:14:48,980
而且呢也没有债务压力

330
00:14:48,980 --> 00:14:50,940
但是连续融资仍然说明

331
00:14:50,940 --> 00:14:54,220
公司管理层希望尽快扩大产能

332
00:14:54,220 --> 00:14:56,779
对于成长型航天公司而言

333
00:14:56,779 --> 00:14:58,620
这种融资未必是坏事

334
00:14:58,620 --> 00:15:02,679
但是呢对于短线已经在场内的股东们来说呢

335
00:15:02,679 --> 00:15:05,318
汤伯效应显然不是什么好消息

336
00:15:05,318 --> 00:15:09,058
谷歌是这一次SPACEX上市背后最大的赢家之一

337
00:15:09,058 --> 00:15:12,419
公司持有SPACEX大约4.9%的股份

338
00:15:12,419 --> 00:15:15,700
目前价值已经超过了1050亿美元

339
00:15:15,700 --> 00:15:19,578
这可能是谷歌历史上最成功的一笔私募投资

340
00:15:19,578 --> 00:15:22,979
但是呢这完全不妨碍谷歌自身股价

341
00:15:22,979 --> 00:15:25,438
近期不断遭遇资金流出

342
00:15:25,438 --> 00:15:28,960
机构们一边享受SPACEX带来的账面收益

343
00:15:28,960 --> 00:15:31,139
一边呢无差别卖出

344
00:15:33,340 --> 00:15:36,470
筹措资金参与SPACEX交易

345
00:15:36,470 --> 00:15:37,409
最近哈

346
00:15:37,409 --> 00:15:39,509
这个350美元附近

347
00:15:39,509 --> 00:15:41,549
已经成为股价重要支撑位了

348
00:15:41,549 --> 00:15:44,309
只要能够守住长期上升趋势

349
00:15:44,309 --> 00:15:45,559
就没有被破坏

350
00:15:45,559 --> 00:15:48,000
英伟达实在是太弱鸡了

351
00:15:48,000 --> 00:15:51,539
股价已经连续三天运行在50日均线下方

352
00:15:51,539 --> 00:15:53,909
甚至连5日均线都站不上去

353
00:15:53,909 --> 00:15:57,929
短期资金呢显然被SPACEX给吸走了不少

354
00:15:57,929 --> 00:16:01,840
虽然这并没有改变AI产业产逻辑

355
00:16:01,840 --> 00:16:04,419
但出去实在是不好意思和人说

356
00:16:04,419 --> 00:16:05,659
我是英伟达股东啊

357
00:16:05,659 --> 00:16:08,379
看到美观闪迪那边的股东们

358
00:16:08,379 --> 00:16:09,639
我更是躲着走

359
00:16:09,639 --> 00:16:11,799
不敢上去打招呼啊

360
00:16:11,799 --> 00:16:16,019
现在最关键的是200整数关口能否守住哈

361
00:16:16,019 --> 00:16:18,259
只要这个位置不失手呢

362
00:16:18,259 --> 00:16:21,809
嗯中长期趋势仍然保持健康

363
00:16:21,809 --> 00:16:23,590
一旦要是跌穿了200

364
00:16:23,590 --> 00:16:26,009
那大家就193件了哈

365
00:16:26,009 --> 00:16:30,039
电视机顶盒子work co股价今天涨超2%时

366
00:16:30,039 --> 00:16:31,100
彭博社报道称

367
00:16:31,100 --> 00:16:34,080
公司已经与至少一家美国媒体公司

368
00:16:34,080 --> 00:16:36,990
就潜在出售事宜展开了磋商

369
00:16:36,990 --> 00:16:38,350
消息传出之后呢

370
00:16:38,350 --> 00:16:39,610
资金迅速涌入

371
00:16:39,610 --> 00:16:41,909
虽然目前尚未做出最终决定

372
00:16:41,909 --> 00:16:45,429
相关讨论也可能不会促成实质性的交易

373
00:16:45,429 --> 00:16:48,690
软件管得比季后股价跳空低开

374
00:16:48,690 --> 00:16:50,159
跌了6.8%

375
00:16:50,159 --> 00:16:52,519
尽管公司Q2营收超预期

376
00:16:52,519 --> 00:16:54,700
并且大幅上调全年展望

377
00:16:54,700 --> 00:16:57,100
但是突然宣布离职

378
00:16:57,100 --> 00:16:59,220
跳槽去了迈威尔科技

379
00:16:59,220 --> 00:17:00,580
而就在三个月前

380
00:17:00,580 --> 00:17:02,710
CEO也宣布今年卸任

381
00:17:06,630 --> 00:17:08,950
就自然引发了市场担忧

382
00:17:08,950 --> 00:17:12,690
软件板块目前呢整体情绪都很悲观

383
00:17:12,690 --> 00:17:14,970
即便今天他这个K线

384
00:17:14,970 --> 00:17:17,490
有那么点利空出尽的味道哈

385
00:17:17,490 --> 00:17:20,269
但还需要更多的时间验证

386
00:17:20,269 --> 00:17:23,150
还是AI硬件这边表现顽强呀

387
00:17:23,150 --> 00:17:25,700
英特尔股价都快回到前高了

388
00:17:25,700 --> 00:17:28,900
但是我不是鼓励大家这个时候去追高哈

389
00:17:28,900 --> 00:17:32,079
下周还有两个重磅风险事件呢

390
00:17:32,079 --> 00:17:34,440
嗯到时候估计还会再起波澜

391
00:17:34,440 --> 00:17:36,279
这两天市场大力反弹

392
00:17:36,279 --> 00:17:40,319
主要就是因为华尔街要给SPACEXIPO保驾护航

393
00:17:40,319 --> 00:17:44,400
以及对美伊协议即将落地的乐观预期

394
00:17:44,400 --> 00:17:45,940
但是下周开始

395
00:17:45,940 --> 00:17:49,569
市场焦点呢将会全面转向美联储会议

396
00:17:49,569 --> 00:17:51,170
届时利率路径

397
00:17:51,170 --> 00:17:52,089
经济展望

398
00:17:52,089 --> 00:17:55,130
尤其是流动性预期就是要不要缩表

399
00:17:55,130 --> 00:17:56,759
将会重新定价

400
00:17:56,759 --> 00:17:58,900
在这个结果揭晓之前

401
00:17:58,900 --> 00:18:04,179
市场情绪将会在避险与危险之间剧烈摇摆

402
00:18:04,179 --> 00:18:06,778
因此呢我还是维持此前的观点哈

403
00:18:06,778 --> 00:18:08,759
就这一轮反弹值得尊重

404
00:18:08,759 --> 00:18:12,130
但暂时这个位置还不值得去追高

405
00:18:12,130 --> 00:18:15,529
市场可能会再次进行压力测试

406
00:18:15,529 --> 00:18:17,638
仓位布局呢不要太激进

407
00:18:17,638 --> 00:18:18,398
不要太低的

408
00:18:18,398 --> 00:18:19,919
意思就是不要满仓空

409
00:18:19,919 --> 00:18:21,159
也不要满仓多

410
00:18:21,159 --> 00:18:22,919
就最好保持啊

411
00:18:22,919 --> 00:18:25,650
50%仓位保守一些哈

412
00:18:25,650 --> 00:18:29,039
或许会是一个更舒服的选择行

413
00:18:29,039 --> 00:18:30,960
今天我们就说到这里

414
00:18:30,960 --> 00:18:32,380
那祝大家这周末愉快

415
00:18:32,380 --> 00:18:33,859
我们下次见拜拜

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