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小波啊
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你看今天的油价多少钱
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九一的多少钱
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六块七毛九
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你看比应激前加有什么变化吗
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嗯变便宜了
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便宜了3%
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前天咱从那个家门口价是不是七块二呀
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对呀
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你知道油价为什么变便宜了吗
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为啥不打没错
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美国和伊朗啊
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目前呢又签订了两个月的熄火协议
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你觉得这一次会不会彻底的战争停止啊
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会没错
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你知道为啥会停止吗
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为啥你就看这个消费
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你看今天这个周末
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你看这个shopping m是不是很少有购物的
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你看到没有
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知道为啥吗
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老百姓都没钱了
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美国老百姓就因为油价涨
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基本上消费不起了呵
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除了必须得加油吃饭
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啥也不买了
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说美国现在所有的这个耐用消费品都很差
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而且你知道对股票有什么影响吗
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嗯他们也买不起股股票了
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对消费类的股票啊
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基本上都一落千丈
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前天沃尔玛发了财报之后啊
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业绩不错
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但是股价也暴跌
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你刚才去沃尔玛看是不是沃尔玛生意很差呀
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对而且你知道吧
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就是双通报接哪来
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就是前全挡
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AI全让那些数据中心拿走了
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对基本上消费类的餐饮类的啊
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工厂类的实业类的股票都被吸光了
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所以你知道油价跌
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会不会对这些消费类的是好事呀
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不是消油价跌肯定对他们是好事呀
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对呀对油价低是不是它成本降低了对啊
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成本降低会不会利润提升啊
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所以你接下来你会发现消费呢随着油价的降低
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一定会有一小部分反弹
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而且呢第二个呢
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你知道川普为什么着急的结束战争吗
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因为他啊觉得老百姓就买就没法调
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那真利润来源了
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老百姓呢没钱收入降低
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消费增加就不选他
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不给他投票不投票
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是不是他整个党派中期选举就要落幕了
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对呀
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所以你看啊川普呢还是最想接受战争的
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但是呢他挑起战争的时候
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他想卖会带来什么后果吗
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没有没错
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所以呢这个战争可以来讲对美国是伤害很大的
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对老百姓承担了所有的后果
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所以呢接下来随着这个川普呢
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听掉他那种疯狂的想法之后啊
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我觉得接下来呢消费啊会有会有所反弹
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你认为呢对没错
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你就看接下来油价呢
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我估计啊应该掉到五块钱左右
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我觉得两三个月吧或三四个月没错
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一定会掉回去的