【Ross Cameron - Warrior Trading】日内交易：账户$10万起步，目前已达$96.8万

1
00:00:00,660 --> 00:00:01,219
最近怎么样

2
00:00:01,219 --> 00:00:01,960
大家还好吧

3
00:00:01,960 --> 00:00:05,040
在今天的节目中，在我分析今日交易前

4
00:00:05,040 --> 00:00:07,719
我想谈谈我认为非常重要的话题

5
00:00:07,719 --> 00:00:11,789
我注意到许多交易者在这寒冷的市场中挣扎

6
00:00:11,789 --> 00:00:13,390
我们处于一个相对平淡的市场

7
00:00:13,390 --> 00:00:15,039
在过去的几周里

8
00:00:15,039 --> 00:00:16,820
实际上在过去的几个月里

9
00:00:16,820 --> 00:00:19,539
事实上可能有一天

10
00:00:19,539 --> 00:00:20,160
这很火热

11
00:00:20,160 --> 00:00:21,460
我们出现大幅波动

12
00:00:21,460 --> 00:00:22,620
然后我们说

13
00:00:22,620 --> 00:00:26,129
我们回来了但第二天又冷清了

14
00:00:26,129 --> 00:00:27,550
所以是热冷交替

15
00:00:27,550 --> 00:00:28,109
热冷交替

16
00:00:28,109 --> 00:00:28,730
热冷交替

17
00:00:28,730 --> 00:00:30,809
而在热的日子里

18
00:00:30,809 --> 00:00:32,469
因为你不确定是否要加仓

19
00:00:32,469 --> 00:00:33,770
因为昨天很冷

20
00:00:33,770 --> 00:00:35,070
而在冷的日子里

21
00:00:35,070 --> 00:00:35,530
你会说

22
00:00:35,530 --> 00:00:35,770
哦

23
00:00:35,770 --> 00:00:36,810
或许应该加仓

24
00:00:36,810 --> 00:00:37,770
昨天很热

25
00:00:37,770 --> 00:00:39,490
你这么做却亏损了

26
00:00:39,490 --> 00:00:40,409
现在你亏损了

27
00:00:40,409 --> 00:00:41,189
你打破了僵局

28
00:00:41,189 --> 00:00:44,679
却难以回本市场又冷清

29
00:00:44,679 --> 00:00:45,799
这是糟糕的一天

30
00:00:45,799 --> 00:00:47,820
你陷入困境

31
00:00:47,820 --> 00:00:50,518
我认为这一切源于

32
00:00:50,518 --> 00:00:51,478
嗯

33
00:00:51,478 --> 00:00:52,819
首先几点

34
00:00:52,819 --> 00:00:55,018
这就是我们所处的市场

35
00:00:55,018 --> 00:00:55,899
无论喜欢与否

36
00:00:55,899 --> 00:00:57,418
这就是现状

37
00:00:57,418 --> 00:00:58,649
确实比较平淡

38
00:00:58,649 --> 00:01:02,789
当然我们都希望在火热市场交易

39
00:01:02,789 --> 00:01:03,750
当然

40
00:01:03,750 --> 00:01:06,069
但今天不是

41
00:01:06,069 --> 00:01:10,349
我们必须接受当前市场并调整预期

42
00:01:10,349 --> 00:01:11,409
相应地

43
00:01:11,409 --> 00:01:12,510
第二点

44
00:01:12,510 --> 00:01:15,668
我认为主要问题源于我们的信念

45
00:01:15,668 --> 00:01:18,049
作为交易者认为必须每日交易

46
00:01:19,049 --> 00:01:20,980
交易者学习阶段

47
00:01:20,980 --> 00:01:24,319
我总觉得自己应该每日交易

48
00:01:24,319 --> 00:01:24,859
没错

49
00:01:24,859 --> 00:01:25,680
如果我要

50
00:01:25,680 --> 00:01:27,420
如果这就是我的工作

51
00:01:27,420 --> 00:01:28,719
我要一直做这个

52
00:01:28,719 --> 00:01:30,280
而不是有份普通工作

53
00:01:30,280 --> 00:01:31,500
我不能就这样坐着

54
00:01:31,500 --> 00:01:32,359
闲得无聊

55
00:01:32,359 --> 00:01:35,209
我应该每天积极交易

56
00:01:36,418 --> 00:01:38,858
我们是交易者

57
00:01:38,858 --> 00:01:40,159
当然我们要交易

58
00:01:40,159 --> 00:01:41,478
但我们并不交易

59
00:01:41,478 --> 00:01:43,950
只为交易而交易

60
00:01:43,950 --> 00:01:44,629
对吧

61
00:01:44,629 --> 00:01:46,670
实际上我们真正做的是

62
00:01:46,670 --> 00:01:47,909
最终结果是

63
00:01:47,909 --> 00:01:48,750
本质上是

64
00:01:48,750 --> 00:01:50,230
总结起来

65
00:01:50,230 --> 00:01:56,939
我们是波动率猎手和风险管理者

66
00:01:56,939 --> 00:01:58,480
我们需要波动率

67
00:01:58,480 --> 00:01:59,939
我们需要股票动起来

68
00:01:59,939 --> 00:02:00,780
没有股票动起来

69
00:02:00,780 --> 00:02:01,599
我们赚不到钱

70
00:02:01,599 --> 00:02:02,599
但当市场波动时

71
00:02:02,599 --> 00:02:04,259
我们也需要管理风险

72
00:02:04,259 --> 00:02:07,189
当我们在波动股上管理风险时

73
00:02:07,189 --> 00:02:09,129
这才是真正赚钱的时候

74
00:02:09,129 --> 00:02:13,259
所以我们交易是为了赚钱

75
00:02:13,259 --> 00:02:14,860
但我们只能

76
00:02:14,860 --> 00:02:18,340
在波动与风控结合时

77
00:02:18,340 --> 00:02:19,699
当市场冷静时

78
00:02:19,699 --> 00:02:20,800
这就是我们缺少的

79
00:02:20,800 --> 00:02:22,550
机会减少

80
00:02:22,550 --> 00:02:26,120
如果你只为交易而交易

81
00:02:26,120 --> 00:02:27,500
但缺乏波动

82
00:02:27,500 --> 00:02:28,539
你会亏钱

83
00:02:28,539 --> 00:02:29,560
你会在卖价买入

84
00:02:29,560 --> 00:02:30,419
在买价卖出

85
00:02:30,419 --> 00:02:32,629
你会在点差中亏损

86
00:02:32,629 --> 00:02:34,090
经纪商不在乎

87
00:02:34,090 --> 00:02:35,689
经纪商赚的是钱

88
00:02:35,689 --> 00:02:37,969
无论你赚亏与否

89
00:02:37,969 --> 00:02:39,460
但对我们来说

90
00:02:39,460 --> 00:02:41,960
交易毫无意义

91
00:02:41,960 --> 00:02:44,080
如果你不会赚钱

92
00:02:44,080 --> 00:02:48,889
如果今天是红盘已知

93
00:02:48,889 --> 00:02:51,449
你会来今天吗

94
00:02:51,579 --> 00:02:53,218
如果知道会是红盘

95
00:02:53,218 --> 00:02:54,378
答案是否

96
00:02:54,378 --> 00:02:56,038
你不会来

97
00:02:56,038 --> 00:02:58,019
没必要来坐

98
00:02:58,019 --> 00:03:00,150
如果知道会是红盘

99
00:03:00,389 --> 00:03:04,659
当然我们不知道明天是绿盘还是红盘

100
00:03:04,659 --> 00:03:06,699
所以我们需要做的是

101
00:03:06,699 --> 00:03:09,319
我们必须看看他们表现如何

102
00:03:09,319 --> 00:03:11,280
我们处于什么样的市场

103
00:03:11,280 --> 00:03:15,750
然后我们基本上使用概率

104
00:03:15,750 --> 00:03:18,259
明天会是大日子的概率有多大

105
00:03:18,259 --> 00:03:21,219
因此我感觉今天会是平淡的一天

106
00:03:21,219 --> 00:03:22,020
因为是周五

107
00:03:22,020 --> 00:03:23,039
一周结束

108
00:03:23,039 --> 00:03:24,780
公司不会发布重大新闻

109
00:03:24,780 --> 00:03:27,680
通常周五市场也会比较冷清

110
00:03:27,680 --> 00:03:30,539
当市场火热时

111
00:03:30,539 --> 00:03:33,240
他们开始大量发布新闻

112
00:03:33,240 --> 00:03:35,199
他们煽风点火

113
00:03:35,199 --> 00:03:36,659
他们想要

114
00:03:36,659 --> 00:03:38,080
让交易者对股票兴奋起来

115
00:03:38,080 --> 00:03:39,020
他们抛出消息

116
00:03:39,020 --> 00:03:39,819
大量新闻

117
00:03:39,819 --> 00:03:40,780
但当市场冷清时

118
00:03:40,780 --> 00:03:41,979
他们全都保持沉默

119
00:03:41,979 --> 00:03:45,210
因为他们知道在冷清市场发布新闻

120
00:03:45,210 --> 00:03:46,229
只会落

121
00:03:46,229 --> 00:03:46,750
你知道的

122
00:03:46,750 --> 00:03:47,189
聋子的耳朵

123
00:03:47,189 --> 00:03:48,909
没人会关注

124
00:03:48,909 --> 00:03:51,240
这样毫无意义

125
00:03:51,240 --> 00:03:55,879
因此这些公司有策略地发布新闻稿

126
00:03:55,879 --> 00:04:01,110
策略是在最有效的时候发布新闻

127
00:04:01,110 --> 00:04:02,789
这并不令人意外

128
00:04:02,789 --> 00:04:03,210
事实上

129
00:04:03,210 --> 00:04:04,030
甚至现在

130
00:04:04,030 --> 00:04:07,909
如果某些公司推迟额外新闻

131
00:04:07,909 --> 00:04:11,229
等待进入更火热的市场周期

132
00:04:11,229 --> 00:04:12,469
现在这些银行

133
00:04:12,469 --> 00:04:15,750
这些公司与投资银行紧密合作

134
00:04:15,750 --> 00:04:18,709
投资银行密切掌握市场动态

135
00:04:18,709 --> 00:04:20,990
他们清楚市场状况

136
00:04:20,990 --> 00:04:24,050
因此他们指导公司何时

137
00:04:24,050 --> 00:04:24,550
你知道的

138
00:04:24,550 --> 00:04:26,009
发布这些新闻稿

139
00:04:26,009 --> 00:04:28,939
何时把握最佳时机

140
00:04:28,939 --> 00:04:30,399
因为这些承销商

141
00:04:30,399 --> 00:04:34,800
这些银行也在承销公司增发股票

142
00:04:34,800 --> 00:04:37,740
因此存在完整的策略

143
00:04:37,740 --> 00:04:42,220
我们可以在牛市中受益

144
00:04:42,220 --> 00:04:45,300
当一切上涨时在熊市

145
00:04:45,300 --> 00:04:48,000
我们必须警惕这些机制

146
00:04:48,000 --> 00:04:52,930
并了解市场这种完全不受控的底层结构

147
00:04:52,930 --> 00:04:56,410
但在市场火热时我们受其影响

148
00:04:56,410 --> 00:04:57,689
冷清时我们受益

149
00:04:57,689 --> 00:04:59,230
这会对我们造成伤害

150
00:04:59,230 --> 00:05:01,389
所以如果我们跳上屏幕

151
00:05:01,389 --> 00:05:02,269
立即分享

152
00:05:02,269 --> 00:05:04,930
我要展示我过去六十天的盈亏表

153
00:05:04,930 --> 00:05:09,639
你可以看到这里有个波折

154
00:05:09,639 --> 00:05:10,040
没错

155
00:05:10,040 --> 00:05:12,658
我的波折出现在四月初

156
00:05:12,658 --> 00:05:14,379
市场开始上涨

157
00:05:14,379 --> 00:05:16,899
你知道三月已经有点冷清了

158
00:05:16,899 --> 00:05:18,579
这和我之前说的一样

159
00:05:18,579 --> 00:05:21,329
就像周期性热日

160
00:05:21,329 --> 00:05:23,129
然后是许多平淡的日子

161
00:05:23,129 --> 00:05:25,879
红色交易日真的很平淡

162
00:05:25,879 --> 00:05:28,079
红色交易日两天大涨

163
00:05:28,079 --> 00:05:29,800
然后又回到平淡

164
00:05:29,800 --> 00:05:32,278
然后我变得固执

165
00:05:32,278 --> 00:05:36,199
那天市场并不火热

166
00:05:36,199 --> 00:05:39,139
我过于激进被套牢了

167
00:05:39,139 --> 00:05:42,180
我买入了一支股票十万股仓位

168
00:05:42,180 --> 00:05:42,699
我亏损了

169
00:05:42,699 --> 00:05:43,980
每股亏损五毛钱

170
00:05:43,980 --> 00:05:46,310
完全是最蠢的决定

171
00:05:46,310 --> 00:05:48,029
这是个糟糕的决策

172
00:05:48,029 --> 00:05:50,069
我没有管理风险

173
00:05:50,069 --> 00:05:51,529
市场缺乏波动性

174
00:05:51,529 --> 00:05:55,370
我只是固执了所以承受了不必要的损失

175
00:05:55,370 --> 00:05:57,470
这就是这次回撤

176
00:05:57,470 --> 00:05:58,910
这让我倒退到这里

177
00:05:58,910 --> 00:06:02,369
需要多久才能恢复到之前水平

178
00:06:02,369 --> 00:06:06,908
差不多三周才慢慢回本

179
00:06:06,908 --> 00:06:10,809
短暂的判断失误浪费了所有时间

180
00:06:10,809 --> 00:06:12,829
我保持了相当自律

181
00:06:12,829 --> 00:06:17,879
在这段期间还算有纪律

182
00:06:17,879 --> 00:06:20,600
然后经历了两天纪律松懈

183
00:06:20,600 --> 00:06:24,319
之后又恢复了纪律

184
00:06:24,319 --> 00:06:26,639
但那次小失误代价很大

185
00:06:26,639 --> 00:06:28,399
然后一周恢复纪律

186
00:06:28,399 --> 00:06:29,720
接着又出现一次失误

187
00:06:29,720 --> 00:06:33,110
再坚持一周又失误

188
00:06:33,110 --> 00:06:37,990
因为判断失误成本极高

189
00:06:37,990 --> 00:06:42,548
可能轻易抹去数周纪律

190
00:06:42,548 --> 00:06:47,220
这是市场中极具挑战的现实

191
00:06:47,220 --> 00:06:50,959
现在最难的部分就是作为交易者

192
00:06:50,959 --> 00:06:52,420
交易者最难的部分

193
00:06:52,420 --> 00:06:55,500
是应对亏损和冷市交易

194
00:06:55,500 --> 00:06:56,920
因为这不是我们想要的

195
00:06:56,920 --> 00:06:58,579
我们想在热市交易

196
00:06:58,579 --> 00:06:59,720
我们想要盈利

197
00:06:59,720 --> 00:07:01,529
当情况不是这样时

198
00:07:01,529 --> 00:07:02,649
就会很困难

199
00:07:02,649 --> 00:07:06,149
所以现在认识到这是最难的部分

200
00:07:06,149 --> 00:07:11,480
我希望这能给你力量，让你明白如果你能熬过这一关

201
00:07:11,480 --> 00:07:13,060
你可以到达另一边

202
00:07:13,060 --> 00:07:14,620
你无法享受热市行情

203
00:07:14,620 --> 00:07:16,199
如果你无法度过冷市寒冬

204
00:07:16,199 --> 00:07:17,740
所以你必须挺过它们

205
00:07:17,740 --> 00:07:19,060
这意味着现在就要行动

206
00:07:19,060 --> 00:07:20,529
加固船舱准备风暴

207
00:07:20,529 --> 00:07:22,009
减少持股规模

208
00:07:22,009 --> 00:07:23,629
从账户中撤出资金

209
00:07:23,629 --> 00:07:26,310
不要让自己犯错

210
00:07:26,310 --> 00:07:31,350
这可能危及你参与下一波牛市的能力

211
00:07:31,350 --> 00:07:34,709
这是我最重要的忠告

212
00:07:34,709 --> 00:07:36,459
当市场重新活跃时

213
00:07:36,459 --> 00:07:42,120
最不想看到的是在市场转向前爆仓

214
00:07:42,120 --> 00:07:43,668
然后我们将进入牛市

215
00:07:43,668 --> 00:07:45,249
所以你会对自己说

216
00:07:45,249 --> 00:07:45,908
哇

217
00:07:45,908 --> 00:07:50,459
我简直不敢相信在行情回升前爆仓了

218
00:07:50,459 --> 00:07:52,240
同时你会对自己说

219
00:07:52,240 --> 00:07:54,819
为什么我会承担那么多风险

220
00:07:54,819 --> 00:07:56,860
而市场并不需要这样做

221
00:07:56,860 --> 00:07:58,579
我一直在承担全部风险

222
00:07:58,579 --> 00:08:02,310
但在熊市中我能真正获得什么

223
00:08:02,310 --> 00:08:02,910
但这并非如此

224
00:08:02,910 --> 00:08:04,230
我们现在并不处于熊市

225
00:08:04,230 --> 00:08:06,509
但在更冷的市场中可以冒险

226
00:08:06,509 --> 00:08:08,798
但回报却很少

227
00:08:08,798 --> 00:08:09,978
这就是问题所在

228
00:08:09,978 --> 00:08:11,918
因为不可避免地承担风险

229
00:08:11,918 --> 00:08:13,759
最终会承受损失

230
00:08:13,759 --> 00:08:16,019
因为没有人能每次都正确

231
00:08:16,019 --> 00:08:17,180
所以你继续冒险

232
00:08:17,180 --> 00:08:18,100
你持续承担风险

233
00:08:18,100 --> 00:08:19,100
却得不到太多回报

234
00:08:19,100 --> 00:08:20,100
得不到太多回报

235
00:08:20,100 --> 00:08:22,560
最终必然承受损失

236
00:08:22,560 --> 00:08:24,180
对我来说

237
00:08:24,180 --> 00:08:27,319
每天坐下来时我都在问自己

238
00:08:27,319 --> 00:08:32,230
是否有股票符合我的五项选股标准

239
00:08:32,230 --> 00:08:38,970
五项选股标准是我大胜股票共有的五大共同点

240
00:08:38,970 --> 00:08:40,649
这不仅适用于我的大胜股票

241
00:08:40,649 --> 00:08:42,909
也适用于我的盈利周期

242
00:08:42,909 --> 00:08:47,559
如果股票不符合至少四项五大共同点

243
00:08:47,559 --> 00:08:49,440
现在不应进行交易

244
00:08:49,440 --> 00:08:50,059
各位观众

245
00:08:50,059 --> 00:08:52,389
如果是第一次观看

246
00:08:52,389 --> 00:08:53,830
我会在描述中提供链接

247
00:08:53,830 --> 00:08:57,230
大家可以下载我的选股标准PDF

248
00:08:57,230 --> 00:08:58,940
详细解析这五大支柱

249
00:08:58,940 --> 00:09:00,080
深入阐述细节

250
00:09:00,080 --> 00:09:03,129
技术分析会给你一个K线工作表

251
00:09:03,129 --> 00:09:08,230
这样你们就可以利用这些免费资源进行交易

252
00:09:08,230 --> 00:09:09,110
但对我来说

253
00:09:09,110 --> 00:09:10,129
当我坐下来分析时

254
00:09:10,129 --> 00:09:11,750
今天早上就是一个完美例子

255
00:09:11,750 --> 00:09:13,309
我正在调出扫描器

256
00:09:13,309 --> 00:09:14,578
并查看股票

257
00:09:14,578 --> 00:09:16,839
我在寻找波动性机会

258
00:09:16,839 --> 00:09:18,139
这是我要做的第一件事

259
00:09:18,139 --> 00:09:20,278
我寻找正在变动的标的

260
00:09:20,278 --> 00:09:24,769
今天早上出现了一些波动

261
00:09:24,769 --> 00:09:27,149
但主要集中在低价股

262
00:09:27,149 --> 00:09:28,250
如你所见

263
00:09:28,250 --> 00:09:29,509
其中两只股价低于一美元

264
00:09:29,509 --> 00:09:31,049
这只股价低于三美元

265
00:09:31,049 --> 00:09:34,409
它们合计成交量超两亿股

266
00:09:34,409 --> 00:09:35,970
但这些是低价股

267
00:09:35,970 --> 00:09:38,549
低价股通常在狭窄区间交易

268
00:09:38,549 --> 00:09:44,679
啊诶拉伊艾奥特拉乌 现在特拉乌有催化剂

269
00:09:44,679 --> 00:09:49,320
关于汉他病毒治疗的潜在候选药物进展

270
00:09:49,320 --> 00:09:52,529
这显然与这艘邮轮事件相关

271
00:09:52,529 --> 00:09:55,629
当时发生了多起汉他病毒感染

272
00:09:55,629 --> 00:09:57,639
但说实话

273
00:09:57,799 --> 00:10:02,720
这似乎是一家公司搭上热门主题

274
00:10:02,720 --> 00:10:04,580
希望借此吸引关注

275
00:10:04,580 --> 00:10:05,279
为了

276
00:10:05,279 --> 00:10:07,379
你知道为了股价

277
00:10:07,379 --> 00:10:08,659
我不确定

278
00:10:08,659 --> 00:10:11,720
这是否会获得广泛关注

279
00:10:11,720 --> 00:10:16,700
你知道汉他病毒早已存在

280
00:10:16,700 --> 00:10:18,000
你知道存在很久了

281
00:10:18,000 --> 00:10:19,039
大概吧

282
00:10:19,039 --> 00:10:23,549
它可以通过啮齿类动物传播

283
00:10:23,549 --> 00:10:28,090
这是否与呼吸道病毒风险相同

284
00:10:28,090 --> 00:10:30,000
比如新冠病毒

285
00:10:30,000 --> 00:10:33,919
我认为答案明确是不

286
00:10:33,919 --> 00:10:37,080
尽管死亡率很高

287
00:10:37,080 --> 00:10:38,399
这是一种严重疾病

288
00:10:38,399 --> 00:10:39,879
毫无疑问

289
00:10:39,879 --> 00:10:43,830
但我不认为这会引发

290
00:10:43,830 --> 00:10:44,870
你知道下一场大流行

291
00:10:44,870 --> 00:10:45,870
或类似情况

292
00:10:45,870 --> 00:10:48,950
这家公司正蹭这波热点

293
00:10:48,950 --> 00:10:50,210
但

294
00:10:50,210 --> 00:10:51,730
但我看了一下

295
00:10:51,730 --> 00:10:53,210
我发现价格偏低

296
00:10:53,210 --> 00:10:55,960
我发现股票已高度活跃

297
00:10:55,960 --> 00:11:00,259
我已对催化剂的实际意义存疑

298
00:11:00,259 --> 00:11:01,240
因此我对这个持怀疑态度

299
00:11:01,240 --> 00:11:03,259
我认为这只不符合我的标准

300
00:11:03,259 --> 00:11:05,080
于是我在七点坐下

301
00:11:05,080 --> 00:11:06,320
我看了看扫描仪

302
00:11:06,320 --> 00:11:08,460
然后我在等待重大新闻

303
00:11:08,460 --> 00:11:13,159
突发新闻将是股票突然飙升并成为优质标的的机会

304
00:11:13,159 --> 00:11:14,620
因为它现在波动性增加

305
00:11:14,620 --> 00:11:15,679
因为有催化剂推动

306
00:11:15,679 --> 00:11:16,919
我们没有等到这个机会

307
00:11:16,919 --> 00:11:20,210
今天就是这样一天

308
00:11:20,210 --> 00:11:23,070
七点零八分八点三十九分

309
00:11:23,070 --> 00:11:25,779
它们来来去去都没有重大新闻

310
00:11:25,779 --> 00:11:29,320
所以我必须决定保持观望

311
00:11:29,320 --> 00:11:31,440
因此今天我没有做任何交易

312
00:11:31,440 --> 00:11:33,450
这绝对是正确的决定

313
00:11:33,450 --> 00:11:37,318
如果昨天就知道今天会是无交易日

314
00:11:37,318 --> 00:11:39,019
我就不会今天来上班

315
00:11:39,019 --> 00:11:40,769
但无法预知这些

316
00:11:40,769 --> 00:11:43,490
虽然概率略高于今天

317
00:11:43,490 --> 00:11:44,610
可能又是无交易日

318
00:11:44,610 --> 00:11:45,970
因为昨天更冷

319
00:11:45,970 --> 00:11:47,529
而且是周五

320
00:11:47,529 --> 00:11:48,970
我仍然到场

321
00:11:48,970 --> 00:11:50,110
我每天都来

322
00:11:50,110 --> 00:11:52,330
因为谁也无法预料

323
00:11:52,330 --> 00:11:52,750
我的意思是

324
00:11:52,750 --> 00:11:55,110
我们只需要一个好催化剂

325
00:11:55,110 --> 00:11:55,850
突然之间

326
00:11:55,850 --> 00:11:59,919
正如周一看到的CNP制药公司

327
00:11:59,919 --> 00:12:01,139
一个好催化剂

328
00:12:01,139 --> 00:12:03,879
股票突然上涨三倍

329
00:12:03,879 --> 00:12:07,039
这只股票从两美元涨到十美元

330
00:12:07,039 --> 00:12:09,210
我赚了四万六千元

331
00:12:09,210 --> 00:12:11,850
所以我现在状况良好

332
00:12:11,850 --> 00:12:19,590
五月这个月得益于周一和周三的股票

333
00:12:19,590 --> 00:12:22,190
其实不需要太多

334
00:12:22,190 --> 00:12:27,299
只需保持纪律保存筹码

335
00:12:27,299 --> 00:12:29,679
直到出现完美机会

336
00:12:29,679 --> 00:12:31,360
这发生在周一

337
00:12:31,360 --> 00:12:32,990
这四万六千元

338
00:12:32,990 --> 00:12:34,250
这是周二

339
00:12:34,250 --> 00:12:34,789
随便啦

340
00:12:34,789 --> 00:12:37,009
这就是周三

341
00:12:37,009 --> 00:12:38,919
然后周四没有交易

342
00:12:38,919 --> 00:12:41,220
现在我处于五月月末

343
00:12:41,220 --> 00:12:41,960
你知道的

344
00:12:41,960 --> 00:12:44,519
五月刚过三天

345
00:12:44,519 --> 00:12:45,669
现在已五天过去

346
00:12:45,669 --> 00:12:48,389
但本月已赚到六万元

347
00:12:48,389 --> 00:12:51,299
总共进行了十三笔交易

348
00:12:51,299 --> 00:12:55,080
我们可以看看这个月的准确率

349
00:12:55,080 --> 00:12:58,970
本月盈亏比应该不错

350
00:12:58,970 --> 00:13:00,960
因为我的平均赢家规模很大

351
00:13:00,960 --> 00:13:03,519
平均赢家是5300，平均输家是3400

352
00:13:03,519 --> 00:13:07,870
盈亏比3.4:1，准确率92%

353
00:13:07,870 --> 00:13:08,830
这太棒了

354
00:13:08,830 --> 00:13:11,230
我能不能整个月都保持这个水平

355
00:13:11,230 --> 00:13:12,149
我不确定

356
00:13:12,149 --> 00:13:13,889
但假设一下

357
00:13:13,889 --> 00:13:14,990
假设我做到了

358
00:13:14,990 --> 00:13:17,919
假设我保持90%准确率

359
00:13:17,919 --> 00:13:23,279
如果你知道每十笔交易中有九笔会赢

360
00:13:23,279 --> 00:13:27,340
你会在所有交易中加大仓位

361
00:13:27,340 --> 00:13:28,230
没错

362
00:13:28,230 --> 00:13:30,730
这是合乎逻辑的，因为你清楚

363
00:13:30,730 --> 00:13:31,710
即使我做得很好

364
00:13:31,710 --> 00:13:33,519
假设做100笔交易

365
00:13:33,519 --> 00:13:34,639
在100笔交易中

366
00:13:34,639 --> 00:13:35,779
会有10笔亏损

367
00:13:35,779 --> 00:13:37,340
即使有10笔亏损

368
00:13:37,340 --> 00:13:39,440
我知道剩下的都是赢家

369
00:13:39,440 --> 00:13:43,279
仅凭准确率就能支撑我

370
00:13:43,279 --> 00:13:44,360
它会带我前进

371
00:13:44,360 --> 00:13:51,000
要维持高准确率必须保持高标准

372
00:13:51,000 --> 00:13:52,600
所以专注于交易

373
00:13:52,600 --> 00:13:54,100
选择最佳交易机会

374
00:13:54,100 --> 00:13:57,970
交易最佳，其余放弃

375
00:13:57,970 --> 00:14:00,429
当市场稍有

376
00:14:00,429 --> 00:14:02,549
稍微活跃时

377
00:14:02,549 --> 00:14:06,559
我会在质量把控上采取不同策略

378
00:14:06,679 --> 00:14:09,039
我现在开启白板摄像头

379
00:14:09,039 --> 00:14:12,240
这样可以直接在白板上展示

380
00:14:12,240 --> 00:14:14,440
我这里有这个

381
00:14:14,440 --> 00:14:18,419
我要画出一个有趣的交易模式

382
00:14:18,419 --> 00:14:19,799
我们来看看

383
00:14:19,799 --> 00:14:20,759
我们该怎么做

384
00:14:20,759 --> 00:14:21,730
嗯

385
00:14:22,090 --> 00:14:22,929
我们要做

386
00:14:24,009 --> 00:14:24,509
再看看

387
00:14:24,509 --> 00:14:27,090
我们先画这样的图表

388
00:14:27,090 --> 00:14:28,328
嗯

389
00:14:30,548 --> 00:14:33,589
我们要做盈利分析

390
00:14:34,749 --> 00:14:39,789
总盈利在这边

391
00:14:39,789 --> 00:14:42,859
然后这边是

392
00:14:42,859 --> 00:14:43,339
不

393
00:14:43,339 --> 00:14:44,318
应该是更多

394
00:14:44,318 --> 00:14:45,379
资金在这里

395
00:14:45,379 --> 00:14:50,639
而交易质量和数量的关系是

396
00:14:50,639 --> 00:14:52,120
嗯

397
00:14:53,059 --> 00:14:56,220
如果我们这样做

398
00:14:56,779 --> 00:14:58,220
我们可以做质量分析

399
00:14:58,220 --> 00:15:00,080
不确定这是否是最好的方法

400
00:15:00,080 --> 00:15:06,740
但我们将会执行a b c质量操作

401
00:15:06,740 --> 00:15:09,299
然后我们

402
00:15:09,299 --> 00:15:11,039
如果你交易d质量布局

403
00:15:11,039 --> 00:15:12,590
你实际上是在亏钱

404
00:15:12,590 --> 00:15:16,629
所以假设在a市场交易质量布局时

405
00:15:16,629 --> 00:15:17,149
我将会执行

406
00:15:17,149 --> 00:15:19,048
我将会做蓝色然后红色

407
00:15:19,048 --> 00:15:20,548
所以蓝色代表冷市场

408
00:15:20,548 --> 00:15:23,828
在蓝色市场中的质量布局

409
00:15:24,090 --> 00:15:28,179
让我们看看这里的质量布局会产生

410
00:15:28,179 --> 00:15:28,700
你知道的

411
00:15:28,700 --> 00:15:30,600
假设实际利润达到这个数额

412
00:15:30,600 --> 00:15:31,080
让我们开始

413
00:15:31,080 --> 00:15:32,539
让我们切换到准确性

414
00:15:32,539 --> 00:15:33,899
这就是准确性

415
00:15:33,899 --> 00:15:36,179
准确率高达百分之九十

416
00:15:36,179 --> 00:15:36,980
这是百分之百

417
00:15:36,980 --> 00:15:37,679
好的

418
00:15:37,679 --> 00:15:40,860
所以在a b b质量布局中

419
00:15:40,860 --> 00:15:43,669
大概会是

420
00:15:44,269 --> 00:15:45,669
这里显示九十

421
00:15:45,669 --> 00:15:49,029
这将是约八十c质量布局

422
00:15:49,029 --> 00:15:50,250
你知道的会迅速下降

423
00:15:50,250 --> 00:15:51,409
这并非按比例缩放

424
00:15:51,409 --> 00:15:55,269
但现在可能降至六十%

425
00:15:55,269 --> 00:15:57,279
在热市场中

426
00:15:57,279 --> 00:15:59,200
交易质量布局

427
00:15:59,200 --> 00:16:01,320
突然在热市场中

428
00:16:01,320 --> 00:16:03,440
准确率高达百分之九十五

429
00:16:03,440 --> 00:16:04,919
热市场效果更佳

430
00:16:04,919 --> 00:16:09,789
这里九十%准确率，这里可能八十%

431
00:16:09,789 --> 00:16:14,580
在极度热市场中甚至可能

432
00:16:14,580 --> 00:16:16,080
这里可能六十%

433
00:16:16,080 --> 00:16:20,568
在极度热市场中可以交易低质量布局

434
00:16:20,568 --> 00:16:22,469
但市场降温后

435
00:16:22,469 --> 00:16:23,808
必须立即退出

436
00:16:23,808 --> 00:16:27,668
因此当处于极度热市场时

437
00:16:27,668 --> 00:16:30,789
可以增加交易总量

438
00:16:30,789 --> 00:16:33,990
因为可以引入低质量布局

439
00:16:33,990 --> 00:16:36,309
但由于整体市场非常热

440
00:16:36,309 --> 00:16:39,529
仍保持高于平均水平的准确率

441
00:16:39,529 --> 00:16:45,240
正是牛市整体趋势带来的优势

442
00:16:45,240 --> 00:16:49,320
但目前小盘股市场并非强牛市

443
00:16:49,320 --> 00:16:52,710
我们注意到准确率

444
00:16:52,710 --> 00:16:56,169
即使在质量布局中也有所下降

445
00:16:56,169 --> 00:16:58,950
准确率大幅下降

446
00:16:58,950 --> 00:17:02,029
事实上我现在无法交易c质量布局

447
00:17:02,029 --> 00:17:06,130
因为收益不足不值得承担风险

448
00:17:06,130 --> 00:17:09,049
这些准确率可能略高

449
00:17:09,049 --> 00:17:09,329
我的意思是

450
00:17:09,329 --> 00:17:09,529
是的

451
00:17:09,529 --> 00:17:11,069
这周我达到了92分

452
00:17:11,069 --> 00:17:11,950
但呃

453
00:17:11,950 --> 00:17:12,369
你知道的

454
00:17:12,369 --> 00:17:13,410
也许在更冷的市场

455
00:17:13,410 --> 00:17:16,710
那大概在80左右，再低一点可能到70左右

456
00:17:16,710 --> 00:17:22,599
所以结果是你其实只有两种选择

457
00:17:22,599 --> 00:17:23,019
是的

458
00:17:23,019 --> 00:17:23,240
你

459
00:17:23,240 --> 00:17:23,640
你可以

460
00:17:23,640 --> 00:17:24,740
你面前出现了一个岔路口

461
00:17:24,740 --> 00:17:27,220
当你面临这个岔路口

462
00:17:27,220 --> 00:17:29,240
你可以选择两条路中的任意一条

463
00:17:29,240 --> 00:17:31,279
第一条路径

464
00:17:31,279 --> 00:17:33,440
第一条是交易

465
00:17:33,440 --> 00:17:34,759
减少

466
00:17:35,859 --> 00:17:37,400
第二条是

467
00:17:37,400 --> 00:17:39,259
坚持硬扛

468
00:17:39,259 --> 00:17:42,019
如果你选择硬扛

469
00:17:42,019 --> 00:17:44,019
其实你是在说

470
00:17:44,019 --> 00:17:46,480
我只会继续坚持

471
00:17:46,480 --> 00:17:48,759
并且保持同样的交易量

472
00:17:48,759 --> 00:17:50,839
维持相同的持仓规模

473
00:17:50,839 --> 00:17:53,099
然后硬着头皮继续操作

474
00:17:53,099 --> 00:17:53,940
我打算

475
00:17:53,940 --> 00:17:56,539
这纯粹是蛮力操作

476
00:17:56,539 --> 00:18:00,859
这就是脑力与体力的结合

477
00:18:00,859 --> 00:18:02,799
如果你尝试硬扛

478
00:18:02,799 --> 00:18:08,849
你会发现市场变冷时准确性下降

479
00:18:08,849 --> 00:18:11,409
盈亏比降低

480
00:18:11,409 --> 00:18:14,588
总盈利水平也下降

481
00:18:14,588 --> 00:18:18,808
但同时你的资金曲线不再呈现

482
00:18:18,808 --> 00:18:20,190
就像这样

483
00:18:20,190 --> 00:18:22,029
开始变得像这样

484
00:18:22,029 --> 00:18:23,210
你会逐渐

485
00:18:23,210 --> 00:18:24,699
开始横盘震荡

486
00:18:24,699 --> 00:18:25,699
很多时候

487
00:18:25,699 --> 00:18:26,798
那些硬扛的人

488
00:18:26,798 --> 00:18:28,219
最终陷入横盘

489
00:18:28,219 --> 00:18:29,019
或者更糟

490
00:18:29,019 --> 00:18:30,138
他们实际上在

491
00:18:30,138 --> 00:18:32,390
逐渐小幅下跌

492
00:18:32,390 --> 00:18:33,910
所以正在亏损

493
00:18:33,910 --> 00:18:34,750
是的

494
00:18:34,750 --> 00:18:35,769
他们每天都在操作

495
00:18:35,769 --> 00:18:37,250
每天都进行交易

496
00:18:37,250 --> 00:18:40,029
但另一方面却举步维艰

497
00:18:40,029 --> 00:18:46,500
这会导致信心丧失和绝望感

498
00:18:46,500 --> 00:18:47,240
失望

499
00:18:47,240 --> 00:18:48,359
另一方面

500
00:18:48,359 --> 00:18:49,440
减少交易

501
00:18:49,440 --> 00:18:50,500
这是大脑

502
00:18:50,500 --> 00:18:51,680
这是纪律

503
00:18:51,680 --> 00:18:53,720
这才是真正的思考

504
00:18:54,000 --> 00:18:55,779
我的工作是管理风险

505
00:18:55,779 --> 00:18:57,480
我的职责是捕捉波动

506
00:18:57,480 --> 00:18:59,960
我的工作不只是交易和敲键盘

507
00:18:59,960 --> 00:19:01,289
而是创造利润

508
00:19:01,289 --> 00:19:04,769
结果反而会变成这样

509
00:19:04,769 --> 00:19:06,930
这就是典型的牛市

510
00:19:07,249 --> 00:19:09,750
最终反而更像这样

511
00:19:09,750 --> 00:19:11,049
你依然保持稳定

512
00:19:11,049 --> 00:19:12,430
所以交易更少

513
00:19:12,430 --> 00:19:14,329
但仍有几天亏损

514
00:19:14,329 --> 00:19:18,910
然而你仍保持高准确率

515
00:19:18,910 --> 00:19:25,559
维持高准确率的方法是保持质量标准

516
00:19:25,559 --> 00:19:27,119
高标准的质量

517
00:19:27,119 --> 00:19:30,279
因此盈亏比可能略有下降

518
00:19:30,279 --> 00:19:32,339
因为没有大幅盈利

519
00:19:32,339 --> 00:19:34,240
利润亏损比下降

520
00:19:34,240 --> 00:19:37,160
但你的准确率可能略有下降

521
00:19:37,160 --> 00:19:38,960
但不像强行操作时那么严重

522
00:19:38,960 --> 00:19:40,900
仍在交易所有波动标的

523
00:19:40,900 --> 00:19:44,650
最终结果是成功存活

524
00:19:44,650 --> 00:19:46,509
你度过了风暴

525
00:19:46,509 --> 00:19:48,750
当风暴过去后

526
00:19:48,750 --> 00:19:50,990
你没有出现回撤

527
00:19:50,990 --> 00:19:52,450
没有遭受重创

528
00:19:52,450 --> 00:19:53,910
没有承受太多损失

529
00:19:53,910 --> 00:19:54,690
没错

530
00:19:54,690 --> 00:19:56,329
你成功存活下来

531
00:19:56,329 --> 00:19:59,279
甚至取得了一点进展

532
00:19:59,279 --> 00:20:01,259
当局势明朗时

533
00:20:01,259 --> 00:20:03,000
立即全力出击

534
00:20:03,000 --> 00:20:05,400
突然开始大幅领先

535
00:20:05,400 --> 00:20:07,940
这就是正确交易方式

536
00:20:07,940 --> 00:20:11,789
这与多数人做法相反

537
00:20:11,789 --> 00:20:13,369
许多人固执己见

538
00:20:13,369 --> 00:20:14,589
强行操作

539
00:20:14,589 --> 00:20:15,190
他们说

540
00:20:15,190 --> 00:20:15,930
我是交易员

541
00:20:15,930 --> 00:20:18,549
必须每天频繁交易

542
00:20:18,549 --> 00:20:21,069
我会交易所有策略组合

543
00:20:21,069 --> 00:20:23,880
即使部分策略在冷市失效

544
00:20:23,880 --> 00:20:27,000
我仍强行操作

545
00:20:28,359 --> 00:20:33,220
强行操作不是冷市解药

546
00:20:34,619 --> 00:20:37,269
我再次强调

547
00:20:37,269 --> 00:20:40,170
这本书《学会何时离场》

548
00:20:40,170 --> 00:20:42,130
如果周末想阅读

549
00:20:42,130 --> 00:20:44,089
听音频版本

550
00:20:44,089 --> 00:20:45,890
这是一本很棒的书

551
00:20:45,890 --> 00:20:49,089
它不仅讨论了这个话题还深入探讨了许多细节

552
00:20:49,089 --> 00:20:51,799
关于我们现在讨论的心理学层面

553
00:20:51,799 --> 00:20:52,559
嗯

554
00:20:52,559 --> 00:20:55,259
我要说这本书

555
00:20:55,259 --> 00:20:59,039
它还谈到了在更大尺度上何时该果断退出

556
00:20:59,039 --> 00:21:01,388
不仅仅是某一天

557
00:21:01,388 --> 00:21:07,569
但我觉得这个概念可以贯穿并应用到每一天

558
00:21:07,849 --> 00:21:16,910
我对当前市场的感受是虽然困难且不有趣

559
00:21:18,109 --> 00:21:19,019
我

560
00:21:19,019 --> 00:21:22,619
我因现在这是交易中最艰难的部分而感到安心

561
00:21:22,619 --> 00:21:23,700
作为交易者

562
00:21:23,700 --> 00:21:25,180
我正在度过这个难关

563
00:21:25,180 --> 00:21:26,509
我正在生存

564
00:21:26,509 --> 00:21:28,309
寒冷的市场很难

565
00:21:28,309 --> 00:21:30,049
我经历过冷淡的年份

566
00:21:30,049 --> 00:21:34,069
现在我真的很幸运处于今年的良好位置

567
00:21:34,069 --> 00:21:34,509
你知道的

568
00:21:34,509 --> 00:21:35,230
我并不总是

569
00:21:35,230 --> 00:21:35,829
我是说

570
00:21:35,829 --> 00:21:38,390
我并不总是处于这样的良好位置

571
00:21:38,390 --> 00:21:39,869
截至今年目前

572
00:21:39,869 --> 00:21:42,589
五月八日我持有

573
00:21:42,589 --> 00:21:46,039
让我们看看八十六万八千美元

574
00:21:46,039 --> 00:21:48,640
今年我用十万资金注资账户

575
00:21:48,640 --> 00:21:52,829
年初账户里有十万美元

576
00:21:52,829 --> 00:21:54,369
现在我的账户余额为

577
00:21:54,369 --> 00:21:57,329
九十六万八千美元左右

578
00:21:57,329 --> 00:21:58,849
就是这样对吧

579
00:21:58,849 --> 00:22:01,349
八十六万八加上十万

580
00:22:01,349 --> 00:22:03,630
因此我的账户已达九倍

581
00:22:03,630 --> 00:22:04,710
今年以来表现

582
00:22:04,710 --> 00:22:06,980
我的准确率是70%

583
00:22:06,980 --> 00:22:09,179
盈亏比相当不错

584
00:22:09,179 --> 00:22:09,578
是的

585
00:22:09,578 --> 00:22:10,979
我有过几次重大亏损

586
00:22:10,979 --> 00:22:12,358
当时失去控制

587
00:22:12,358 --> 00:22:13,638
失去冷静

588
00:22:13,638 --> 00:22:15,679
但也有非常稳健的盈利

589
00:22:15,679 --> 00:22:18,480
最终我取得了良好进展

590
00:22:18,480 --> 00:22:22,400
去年这个时候我在哪里

591
00:22:22,400 --> 00:22:25,559
年初时曾达到一百五十万美元

592
00:22:25,559 --> 00:22:27,579
准确率72%

593
00:22:27,579 --> 00:22:30,279
累计交易了1300笔

594
00:22:30,279 --> 00:22:31,059
再次说明

595
00:22:31,059 --> 00:22:33,019
我们切换回年度至今数据

596
00:22:33,019 --> 00:22:34,900
今年我进行了多少笔交易

597
00:22:34,900 --> 00:22:36,490
四百三十七笔

598
00:22:36,490 --> 00:22:38,710
我减少了交易量

599
00:22:38,710 --> 00:22:40,869
准确率保持稳定

600
00:22:40,869 --> 00:22:41,890
盈亏比率

601
00:22:41,890 --> 00:22:42,190
实际上

602
00:22:42,190 --> 00:22:43,670
平均盈利者规模稍大

603
00:22:43,670 --> 00:22:45,299
部分得益于这次大胜

604
00:22:45,299 --> 00:22:48,440
但交易总量较低

605
00:22:48,440 --> 00:22:51,119
对我来说这就是

606
00:22:51,119 --> 00:22:53,440
这是否超出我的控制范围

607
00:22:53,440 --> 00:22:56,380
市场为我们提供的机会数量

608
00:22:56,380 --> 00:22:58,019
我能够控制的是

609
00:22:58,019 --> 00:23:01,380
是否降低质量标准去交易所有波动标的

610
00:23:01,380 --> 00:23:03,740
或者坚守立场并说

611
00:23:03,740 --> 00:23:06,460
我只交易最佳质量的布局

612
00:23:06,460 --> 00:23:08,059
大多数情况下

613
00:23:08,059 --> 00:23:09,888
我始终坚持这一点

614
00:23:09,888 --> 00:23:13,588
这就是我在这寒冷市场中生存的方式

615
00:23:13,588 --> 00:23:16,230
当行情开始升温时

616
00:23:16,230 --> 00:23:17,950
我的账户创历史新高

617
00:23:17,950 --> 00:23:19,890
我将能迅速启动交易

618
00:23:19,890 --> 00:23:21,049
我已经准备扩大仓位

619
00:23:21,049 --> 00:23:23,539
我的账户拥有近一百万美元的买入资金

620
00:23:23,539 --> 00:23:27,230
我们知道看到五美元的股票开始表现优异

621
00:23:27,230 --> 00:23:28,869
我可以大额交易这只股票

622
00:23:28,869 --> 00:23:31,289
我可以买入数十万股这些股票

623
00:23:31,289 --> 00:23:33,349
所以我可以积极出击

624
00:23:33,349 --> 00:23:35,009
时机到来时

625
00:23:35,009 --> 00:23:36,990
我只需耐心等待

626
00:23:36,990 --> 00:23:38,289
我必须保持耐心

627
00:23:38,289 --> 00:23:45,000
我希望大家周末思考接下来一周

628
00:23:45,000 --> 00:23:49,519
专注于等待最佳质量的交易机会

629
00:23:49,519 --> 00:23:55,460
不要过度交易那些对我们许多人来说成为干扰的垃圾股

630
00:23:55,460 --> 00:23:59,000
并避免不必要的亏损来源

631
00:23:59,000 --> 00:24:00,440
今天的内容就到这里

632
00:24:00,440 --> 00:24:01,960
一如既往感谢大家收看

633
00:24:01,960 --> 00:24:04,160
我会在这里添加几集

634
00:24:04,160 --> 00:24:05,720
在本集结尾

635
00:24:05,720 --> 00:24:07,888
大家可以查看是否想继续观看

636
00:24:07,888 --> 00:24:09,929
我再次提醒大家交易有风险

637
00:24:09,929 --> 00:24:11,009
我的结果并不典型

638
00:24:11,009 --> 00:24:12,209
请管理好风险

639
00:24:12,209 --> 00:24:14,489
慢慢来 我会在周一早上见

640
00:24:14,489 --> 00:24:16,500
周一早上七点

共 2 条，按点赞数排序。

采集完成，该视频无弹幕