【Financial Education】油价飙升25%！道指周一或暴跌3000点？

1
00:00:00,120 --> 00:00:02,919
我们完全失控了

2
00:00:02,919 --> 00:00:04,379
股市正在发生的事情

3
00:00:04,379 --> 00:00:06,099
目前金融市场的状况

4
00:00:06,099 --> 00:00:07,950
难以置信的波动啊

5
00:00:07,950 --> 00:00:09,849
我特意在周日晚上录视频

6
00:00:11,429 --> 00:00:11,929
现在正是时候

7
00:00:11,929 --> 00:00:13,269
我们来谈谈这里的情况

8
00:00:13,269 --> 00:00:14,949
我想分享我的观点和看法

9
00:00:14,949 --> 00:00:15,769
我想展示给你看

10
00:00:15,769 --> 00:00:16,149
呃

11
00:00:16,149 --> 00:00:18,469
一些非常重要的信息让你理解现状

12
00:00:18,469 --> 00:00:19,870
以及接下来的发展趋势

13
00:00:19,870 --> 00:00:20,309
好的

14
00:00:20,309 --> 00:00:23,010
然后我要回应特朗普关于伊朗战争的视频

15
00:00:23,010 --> 00:00:26,079
理解这种思维框架非常重要

16
00:00:26,079 --> 00:00:27,239
以及市场将如何反应

17
00:00:27,239 --> 00:00:28,699
在看完这些内容之后

18
00:00:28,699 --> 00:00:30,059
我们将讨论哪些股票

19
00:00:30,059 --> 00:00:32,179
我明天打算买入的

20
00:00:32,179 --> 00:00:34,359
鉴于当前的混乱局面

21
00:00:34,359 --> 00:00:35,240
我只需要你们大家

22
00:00:35,240 --> 00:00:35,719
如果你们不介意的话

23
00:00:35,719 --> 00:00:37,359
请给我点个赞

24
00:00:37,359 --> 00:00:38,259
这对我来说意义重大

25
00:00:38,259 --> 00:00:39,880
不知道是否要发到反应频道

26
00:00:39,880 --> 00:00:41,159
主频道我只需要你们

27
00:00:41,159 --> 00:00:42,600
请给我点个赞

28
00:00:42,600 --> 00:00:44,679
请啊，毕竟这样

29
00:00:44,679 --> 00:00:45,960
我在周日晚上做这个视频

30
00:00:45,960 --> 00:00:48,399
这非常罕见

31
00:00:48,399 --> 00:00:49,479
局势必须疯狂

32
00:00:49,479 --> 00:00:51,500
我居然能做这个

33
00:00:51,500 --> 00:00:53,479
首先我们来谈谈

34
00:00:53,479 --> 00:00:53,859
听着

35
00:00:55,179 --> 00:00:56,770
石油简直疯狂

36
00:00:56,770 --> 00:00:59,229
刚刚突破113美元

37
00:00:59,229 --> 00:01:01,289
113美元

38
00:01:01,289 --> 00:01:02,329
我发誓石油

39
00:01:02,329 --> 00:01:03,729
就在几分钟前

40
00:01:03,729 --> 00:01:04,870
还只有60美元

41
00:01:04,870 --> 00:01:06,109
现在到了113

42
00:01:06,109 --> 00:01:08,510
目前上涨了24点

43
00:01:08,510 --> 00:01:10,530
这完全失控了

44
00:01:10,530 --> 00:01:12,409
道指期货大幅下跌

45
00:01:12,409 --> 00:01:12,849
我说

46
00:01:12,849 --> 00:01:16,399
如果维持这个走势 将会大幅下挫

47
00:01:16,399 --> 00:01:16,819
好的

48
00:01:16,819 --> 00:01:17,778
如果维持这个走势

49
00:01:17,778 --> 00:01:19,778
我认为这就是市场在等待的

50
00:01:19,778 --> 00:01:20,659
这有点像

51
00:01:20,659 --> 00:01:22,489
你知道这能撑住吗

52
00:01:22,489 --> 00:01:24,090
如果这种走势能持续

53
00:01:24,090 --> 00:01:25,730
我们看到油价飙升至百元以上

54
00:01:25,730 --> 00:01:27,519
尤其是突破十元大关

55
00:01:27,519 --> 00:01:32,799
你现在看到的将会比这更大规模的暴跌更戏剧化

56
00:01:32,799 --> 00:01:33,299
我是说

57
00:01:33,299 --> 00:01:34,138
我们被教导的是

58
00:01:34,138 --> 00:01:35,179
如果这能持续还能涨多少

59
00:01:35,179 --> 00:01:37,489
我认为明天道指会下跌

60
00:01:37,930 --> 00:01:41,668
我估计可能下跌两三千点

61
00:01:41,668 --> 00:01:42,188
简直

62
00:01:42,188 --> 00:01:43,248
如果这能持续

63
00:01:43,248 --> 00:01:44,009
这才是关键

64
00:01:44,009 --> 00:01:45,489
如果油价大幅回落

65
00:01:45,489 --> 00:01:45,769
接下来

66
00:01:45,769 --> 00:01:47,168
你知道现在是99到97

67
00:01:47,168 --> 00:01:48,299
当市场开盘时

68
00:01:48,299 --> 00:01:49,060
不会是

69
00:01:49,060 --> 00:01:50,260
仍将是个大幅下跌日

70
00:01:50,260 --> 00:01:51,359
但我不认为会这么夸张

71
00:01:51,359 --> 00:01:53,120
但如果这能持续

72
00:01:53,120 --> 00:01:54,019
我不会感到意外

73
00:01:54,019 --> 00:01:55,920
道指明天可能下跌两三千点

74
00:01:55,920 --> 00:01:58,840
但我们拭目以待看看发展

75
00:01:58,840 --> 00:02:00,920
关于比特币和以太坊

76
00:02:00,920 --> 00:02:02,519
它们目前走势稳健

77
00:02:02,519 --> 00:02:03,120
但需注意

78
00:02:03,120 --> 00:02:04,519
这些已经大幅下跌了

79
00:02:04,519 --> 00:02:07,120
比特币从历史高点跌去五成

80
00:02:07,120 --> 00:02:09,479
以太坊从高点跌超五成

81
00:02:09,479 --> 00:02:11,120
这些已遭受重创

82
00:02:11,120 --> 00:02:13,349
但它们实际保持得不错

83
00:02:13,349 --> 00:02:15,289
鉴于当前的疯狂局面

84
00:02:15,289 --> 00:02:16,389
外界正在发生的事情

85
00:02:16,389 --> 00:02:18,270
布伦特原油现涨两倍

86
00:02:18,270 --> 00:02:19,949
天然气也大幅上涨

87
00:02:19,949 --> 00:02:21,810
涨幅接近9%

88
00:02:21,810 --> 00:02:27,240
黄金简直失控了，几乎

89
00:02:27,240 --> 00:02:27,699
你知道的

90
00:02:27,699 --> 00:02:29,960
银价近期更显投机性

91
00:02:29,960 --> 00:02:31,840
但黄金实际保持稳健

92
00:02:31,840 --> 00:02:35,278
目前我发了这条

93
00:02:35,278 --> 00:02:37,278
我说油价持续飙升

94
00:02:37,278 --> 00:02:39,199
进一步上涨

95
00:02:39,199 --> 00:02:42,479
今年更多降息概率未降低

96
00:02:42,479 --> 00:02:43,120
非常少

97
00:02:43,120 --> 00:02:46,770
理解原因，现在看看谁能多步棋

98
00:02:46,770 --> 00:02:49,430
如果你只看一步棋

99
00:02:49,430 --> 00:02:50,650
你说好吧

100
00:02:50,650 --> 00:02:52,310
油价大幅飙升

101
00:02:52,310 --> 00:02:53,569
这引发了通货膨胀

102
00:02:53,569 --> 00:02:55,069
这意味着CPI将更高

103
00:02:55,069 --> 00:02:57,189
而且你知道这会传导到其他方面

104
00:02:57,189 --> 00:03:00,680
这意味着美联储无法降息

105
00:03:00,680 --> 00:03:02,419
这意味着美联储无法降息

106
00:03:02,419 --> 00:03:03,800
如果他们反而要加息

107
00:03:03,800 --> 00:03:05,539
因为CPI将更高

108
00:03:05,539 --> 00:03:07,039
可能PPI甚至更高

109
00:03:07,039 --> 00:03:08,449
这些情况就是如此

110
00:03:08,449 --> 00:03:11,969
你要多看几步棋

111
00:03:11,969 --> 00:03:16,039
所以我发在了我的X账号页面

112
00:03:16,039 --> 00:03:18,319
今天可能会在下方添加第二个图钉评论

113
00:03:18,319 --> 00:03:19,500
如果你想关注我的X账号

114
00:03:19,500 --> 00:03:20,520
它就在下方

115
00:03:20,520 --> 00:03:21,280
如果你想申请加入

116
00:03:21,280 --> 00:03:22,338
加入我的私密群组

117
00:03:22,338 --> 00:03:23,459
但我已经发布了这个

118
00:03:23,459 --> 00:03:26,299
我说这基于最近的就业报告

119
00:03:26,299 --> 00:03:26,818
顺便说一句

120
00:03:26,818 --> 00:03:28,438
那份最近的就业报告很糟糕

121
00:03:28,438 --> 00:03:30,000
这对复苏来说非常艰难

122
00:03:30,000 --> 00:03:32,360
基于最近的就业报告

123
00:03:32,360 --> 00:03:34,729
人们对经济的担忧更多了

124
00:03:34,729 --> 00:03:38,550
油价上涨这么多会更伤经济

125
00:03:38,550 --> 00:03:38,969
比如

126
00:03:38,969 --> 00:03:39,250
是的

127
00:03:39,250 --> 00:03:40,389
如果每个人都要多付一美元

128
00:03:40,389 --> 00:03:43,899
这周每加仑汽油比上周贵了

129
00:03:43,899 --> 00:03:44,739
天啊

130
00:03:44,739 --> 00:03:45,938
这太糟糕了

131
00:03:45,938 --> 00:03:49,580
没错这会增加更多经济担忧

132
00:03:49,580 --> 00:03:53,819
可能导致美联储比预期更快降息

133
00:03:53,819 --> 00:03:54,860
维持高利率

134
00:03:54,860 --> 00:03:56,780
这对降低油价毫无作用

135
00:03:56,780 --> 00:03:58,879
因为这是地缘政治问题

136
00:03:58,879 --> 00:04:00,759
美联储明天可能大幅加息

137
00:04:00,759 --> 00:04:01,099
没错

138
00:04:01,099 --> 00:04:04,088
但这对降低油价毫无帮助

139
00:04:04,088 --> 00:04:04,368
哦

140
00:04:04,368 --> 00:04:05,949
神奇般让油价下跌

141
00:04:05,949 --> 00:04:07,219
或者类似的情况

142
00:04:07,219 --> 00:04:08,759
归根结底

143
00:04:08,759 --> 00:04:10,500
这超出了美联储的控制

144
00:04:10,500 --> 00:04:16,870
他们可以选择在经济状况本就脆弱时维持高利率加剧经济伤害

145
00:04:16,870 --> 00:04:18,350
基于最新就业报告

146
00:04:18,350 --> 00:04:21,009
至少看起来有点可疑

147
00:04:21,009 --> 00:04:23,870
然后看到一些公司公布的裁员数据

148
00:04:23,870 --> 00:04:24,550
还有人工智能

149
00:04:24,550 --> 00:04:27,100
这些都让人感到一丝恐惧

150
00:04:27,100 --> 00:04:28,300
然后利率飙升了

151
00:04:28,300 --> 00:04:30,420
人们被石油问题搞得四分五裂

152
00:04:30,420 --> 00:04:31,399
这可不是好事

153
00:04:31,399 --> 00:04:34,670
我的观点是随着这次石油价格飙升

154
00:04:34,670 --> 00:04:36,370
我认为实际上在增加

155
00:04:36,370 --> 00:04:37,509
不是在减少

156
00:04:37,509 --> 00:04:39,750
美联储降息的概率

157
00:04:39,750 --> 00:04:40,230
好的

158
00:04:40,230 --> 00:04:42,689
这与传统观点相悖

159
00:04:42,689 --> 00:04:42,970
好的

160
00:04:42,970 --> 00:04:43,310
好的

161
00:04:43,310 --> 00:04:44,529
现在我们来讨论特朗普

162
00:04:44,529 --> 00:04:47,350
之后我们将继续讨论一些股票

163
00:04:47,350 --> 00:04:48,790
我正在关注的

164
00:04:48,790 --> 00:04:52,980
很可能明天早上买入

165
00:04:55,189 --> 00:04:56,970
我们表达了敬意我很高兴

166
00:04:56,970 --> 00:04:58,209
这很艰难

167
00:04:58,209 --> 00:04:59,870
这是个艰难的局面

168
00:04:59,870 --> 00:05:00,670
优秀的人们

169
00:05:00,670 --> 00:05:01,230
优秀的父母

170
00:05:02,430 --> 00:05:03,809
妻子和家人

171
00:05:03,809 --> 00:05:05,449
多美的仪式啊

172
00:05:05,449 --> 00:05:07,189
看来你看到了

173
00:05:07,189 --> 00:05:10,319
至少没有问题

174
00:05:10,319 --> 00:05:11,639
特朗普总统做了什么

175
00:05:11,639 --> 00:05:12,620
你刚刚目睹的

176
00:05:12,620 --> 00:05:16,180
让你重新考虑继续这场战争

177
00:05:16,180 --> 00:05:18,720
甚至派兵中东

178
00:05:18,720 --> 00:05:20,300
我们正在赢得战争

179
00:05:20,300 --> 00:05:21,579
兄弟真棒

180
00:05:21,579 --> 00:05:25,500
我们摧毁了他们的邪恶帝国

181
00:05:26,540 --> 00:05:28,949
这里还会继续上涨一阵

182
00:05:29,310 --> 00:05:32,430
但我对祈祷者的人民感到自豪

183
00:05:32,430 --> 00:05:34,949
父母为他们的

184
00:05:36,189 --> 00:05:36,670
他们的儿子

185
00:05:36,670 --> 00:05:37,430
他们称呼他

186
00:05:37,430 --> 00:05:38,514
我的儿子

187
00:05:39,060 --> 00:05:41,120
以防这位女士

188
00:05:41,120 --> 00:05:43,300
教区非常自豪

189
00:05:43,699 --> 00:05:45,439
其中许多人是军人

190
00:05:45,439 --> 00:05:47,360
音乐

191
00:05:47,360 --> 00:05:49,439
但这总是令人悲伤

192
00:05:49,439 --> 00:05:51,740
战争本身进行得不可思议

193
00:05:51,740 --> 00:05:54,779
这已经很好了

194
00:05:54,779 --> 00:05:57,649
我们在这里达到峰值

195
00:05:57,649 --> 00:05:59,930
而这边你可以说

196
00:05:59,930 --> 00:06:01,569
我们还有一些问题

197
00:06:01,569 --> 00:06:03,209
我让他回去吧

198
00:06:03,209 --> 00:06:03,670
先生

199
00:06:03,670 --> 00:06:05,930
所以你现在休息一个周末

200
00:06:05,930 --> 00:06:07,790
多久了首先

201
00:06:07,790 --> 00:06:08,149
你知道吗

202
00:06:08,149 --> 00:06:08,610
特朗普说

203
00:06:08,610 --> 00:06:09,259
说

204
00:06:09,259 --> 00:06:10,079
这正在发生

205
00:06:10,079 --> 00:06:11,300
你知道灰色或什么的

206
00:06:11,300 --> 00:06:13,139
他在这里基本上是在回避这一点

207
00:06:13,139 --> 00:06:14,560
你知道战争进行得非常顺利

208
00:06:14,560 --> 00:06:17,360
听着这为后续留下了空间

209
00:06:17,360 --> 00:06:19,019
如果他想结束这一切

210
00:06:19,019 --> 00:06:21,100
在接下来的一到两周内

211
00:06:21,100 --> 00:06:22,839
他可以玩这个游戏

212
00:06:22,839 --> 00:06:24,019
就像嘿

213
00:06:24,019 --> 00:06:24,579
我们进展很好

214
00:06:24,579 --> 00:06:25,519
我们正在摧毁他们

215
00:06:25,519 --> 00:06:26,658
我们几乎胜利了

216
00:06:26,658 --> 00:06:27,358
嗯

217
00:06:27,358 --> 00:06:28,978
我们几乎完成了任务

218
00:06:28,978 --> 00:06:29,718
我们需要完成

219
00:06:29,718 --> 00:06:30,158
所以

220
00:06:30,158 --> 00:06:31,288
你知道

221
00:06:31,288 --> 00:06:33,129
一周或两周后宣布胜利

222
00:06:33,129 --> 00:06:34,569
然后局势会平静下来

223
00:06:34,569 --> 00:06:36,360
他正在布置这些棋子

224
00:06:36,360 --> 00:06:37,839
这很重要要理解这一点

225
00:06:37,839 --> 00:06:38,639
从第一部分来看

226
00:06:38,639 --> 00:06:40,060
这就是预期的

227
00:06:40,060 --> 00:06:43,639
公司一周内比任何人想象的更快

228
00:06:43,838 --> 00:06:45,158
摧毁了他们的海军

229
00:06:45,158 --> 00:06:46,338
四艘舰船

230
00:06:46,338 --> 00:06:48,199
我们摧毁了他们的空军

231
00:06:48,199 --> 00:06:49,298
每一架飞机

232
00:06:49,298 --> 00:06:51,259
我们摧毁了大部分导弹

233
00:06:51,259 --> 00:06:51,579
你看

234
00:06:51,579 --> 00:06:53,358
导弹不再大量来袭

235
00:06:53,358 --> 00:06:54,298
我们也隐藏了它们

236
00:06:54,298 --> 00:06:57,889
制造导弹的区域难以找到

237
00:06:59,810 --> 00:07:02,569
他们的无人机能力大幅下降

238
00:07:03,600 --> 00:07:06,230
我们已造成重创

239
00:07:09,889 --> 00:07:10,649
我们已击溃

240
00:07:10,649 --> 00:07:12,589
你不会预期长达六周

241
00:07:12,589 --> 00:07:15,029
这是持续进行的

242
00:07:15,029 --> 00:07:16,250
基本上你知道

243
00:07:16,250 --> 00:07:17,649
让他处于可以

244
00:07:17,649 --> 00:07:19,649
如果他想一周或两周后宣布胜利

245
00:07:19,649 --> 00:07:21,170
他可以说

246
00:07:21,170 --> 00:07:21,889
我们摧毁了这个

247
00:07:21,889 --> 00:07:22,550
我们摧毁了这个

248
00:07:23,509 --> 00:07:24,129
这些就是

249
00:07:24,129 --> 00:07:25,370
我不知道

250
00:07:25,370 --> 00:07:28,370
我从不拒绝无论付出什么代价

251
00:07:28,509 --> 00:07:33,728
但我们的军队几乎不存在

252
00:07:33,728 --> 00:07:36,709
如果你愿意我们可以狠狠打击军队本身

253
00:07:36,709 --> 00:07:38,860
但也许我们会

254
00:07:38,860 --> 00:07:39,480
也许我们会

255
00:07:39,480 --> 00:07:41,019
我们还没有做出这个决定

256
00:07:41,019 --> 00:07:43,980
你觉得现在我应该直接处理汽油价格问题吗

257
00:07:43,980 --> 00:07:46,180
你现在担心汽油价格吗

258
00:07:46,180 --> 00:07:46,730
不

259
00:07:46,730 --> 00:07:47,589
这就是原因

260
00:07:47,589 --> 00:07:53,288
这是一次短暂的插曲本应在四七年就完成的事

261
00:07:53,288 --> 00:07:55,788
四七年才完成这件事

262
00:07:55,788 --> 00:07:58,100
而且没有总统有胆量去做

263
00:07:59,139 --> 00:07:59,540
好的

264
00:07:59,540 --> 00:08:01,939
所以这可能让市场感到恐慌

265
00:08:01,939 --> 00:08:04,019
因为特朗普基本上置之不理

266
00:08:04,019 --> 00:08:05,920
像油价和汽油价格

267
00:08:05,920 --> 00:08:06,720
等等对吧

268
00:08:06,720 --> 00:08:07,980
所以这种情况下

269
00:08:07,980 --> 00:08:10,100
你知道这肯定会让市场担忧

270
00:08:10,100 --> 00:08:10,600
哦 wow

271
00:08:10,600 --> 00:08:12,180
他其实根本不关心这个

272
00:08:12,180 --> 00:08:14,120
但请记住他说的话

273
00:08:14,120 --> 00:08:16,629
你知道吗

274
00:08:16,629 --> 00:08:19,230
也许他实际上觉得可能有不同情况

275
00:08:19,230 --> 00:08:19,850
你知道的

276
00:08:19,850 --> 00:08:22,589
基于你在新闻发布会上的言论与

277
00:08:22,589 --> 00:08:24,990
你实际感受之间的差异

278
00:08:24,990 --> 00:08:27,269
或者考虑返回多佛

279
00:08:27,269 --> 00:08:27,490
为了

280
00:08:27,490 --> 00:08:28,410
为了更多这类

281
00:08:28,410 --> 00:08:31,663
如此庄重的交接

282
00:08:31,749 --> 00:08:33,908
我虽然肯定很讨厌

283
00:08:33,908 --> 00:08:35,609
但这属于战争的一部分

284
00:08:35,609 --> 00:08:36,870
不是吗

285
00:08:37,350 --> 00:08:39,110
你是《华盛顿邮报》的记者吗

286
00:08:40,110 --> 00:08:40,549
你怎么说

287
00:08:40,549 --> 00:08:41,110
这是其中一部分

288
00:08:41,110 --> 00:08:42,070
为了

289
00:08:42,860 --> 00:08:45,539
确实伤亡是其中一部分

290
00:08:45,539 --> 00:08:46,600
这是战争的一部分

291
00:08:46,600 --> 00:08:48,139
这是悲伤的一部分

292
00:08:48,139 --> 00:08:51,179
这是总统先生的糟糕部分

293
00:08:51,179 --> 00:08:53,620
美国是否轰炸了伊朗南部一所女校

294
00:08:53,620 --> 00:08:55,259
在战争首日并造成175人死亡

295
00:08:55,259 --> 00:08:58,059
根据我所见这是伊朗所为

296
00:08:58,059 --> 00:09:02,179
基于我所见这是伊朗所为

297
00:09:02,179 --> 00:09:03,980
这是真的吗总统先生

298
00:09:03,980 --> 00:09:05,179
这是一个人所为

299
00:09:05,179 --> 00:09:07,450
我们仍在深入调查

300
00:09:07,450 --> 00:09:12,519
唯一针对平民的势力是伊拉克

301
00:09:13,039 --> 00:09:15,879
我们认为这是伊朗所为

302
00:09:15,879 --> 00:09:17,740
你的说法非常不准确

303
00:09:17,740 --> 00:09:18,320
正如你所知

304
00:09:18,320 --> 00:09:21,480
他们的弹药毫无精度可言

305
00:09:21,480 --> 00:09:23,289
无论怎样都是伊朗所为

306
00:09:23,289 --> 00:09:27,370
你能描述一下你眼中的无条件投降是什么样子吗

307
00:09:27,370 --> 00:09:27,809
我的意思是

308
00:09:27,809 --> 00:09:28,850
你想要从伊朗得到什么

309
00:09:28,850 --> 00:09:29,330
我说过

310
00:09:29,330 --> 00:09:30,009
无条件

311
00:09:30,009 --> 00:09:31,210
你喜欢这样吗

312
00:09:31,210 --> 00:09:32,330
我说过在

313
00:09:32,330 --> 00:09:33,830
那是他们哭诉的时候

314
00:09:33,830 --> 00:09:36,669
求饶还是无法继续战斗

315
00:09:36,669 --> 00:09:40,690
周围没人能促成这种局面

316
00:09:40,690 --> 00:09:41,409
因为你知道

317
00:09:45,129 --> 00:09:47,240
音乐

318
00:09:47,240 --> 00:09:48,379
如果他们投降

319
00:09:48,379 --> 00:09:51,100
或者周围无人可投降

320
00:09:51,100 --> 00:09:54,480
但他们已失去军事价值

321
00:09:54,480 --> 00:09:55,000
哦

322
00:09:55,000 --> 00:09:56,179
这本身就是个大问题

323
00:09:56,179 --> 00:09:58,460
如果无人可投降

324
00:09:58,460 --> 00:10:02,509
这样一来又为两周内宣布胜利留了余地

325
00:10:02,509 --> 00:10:03,669
如果他选择这样做

326
00:10:03,669 --> 00:10:04,009
或许

327
00:10:04,009 --> 00:10:05,210
他可能不会选择

328
00:10:05,210 --> 00:10:06,580
但请听好

329
00:10:06,580 --> 00:10:09,440
他在这里留了所有可能

330
00:10:09,440 --> 00:10:12,340
以便两周内宣布胜利

331
00:10:12,340 --> 00:10:13,720
如果他选择

332
00:10:13,720 --> 00:10:16,340
我们几乎摧毁了所有目标

333
00:10:16,340 --> 00:10:16,840
嗯

334
00:10:17,980 --> 00:10:21,850
可能已无人可投降

335
00:10:21,850 --> 00:10:23,289
他留有余地

336
00:10:23,289 --> 00:10:26,470
如果他选择两周内宣布胜利

337
00:10:26,470 --> 00:10:27,769
他可以

338
00:10:27,769 --> 00:10:29,210
我们现在拭目以待

339
00:10:29,210 --> 00:10:30,110
显然特朗普

340
00:10:30,110 --> 00:10:32,070
不希望此事拖延多方面原因

341
00:10:32,070 --> 00:10:33,289
但请记住

342
00:10:33,289 --> 00:10:35,309
中期选举将在今年晚些举行

343
00:10:35,309 --> 00:10:38,409
你希望尽快清理此类事件

344
00:10:38,409 --> 00:10:39,620
控制汽油价格

345
00:10:39,620 --> 00:10:41,379
希望结束后价格回落

346
00:10:41,379 --> 00:10:42,299
以及类似事项

347
00:10:42,299 --> 00:10:44,220
彼得昨天问过你一个问题

348
00:10:44,220 --> 00:10:46,460
这并非当时合适的时间

349
00:10:46,460 --> 00:10:50,820
但他询问是否有迹象表明俄罗斯是否在支持伊朗

350
00:10:50,820 --> 00:10:52,759
某种程度上在这件事中

351
00:10:52,759 --> 00:10:56,100
我完全没有这方面的迹象

352
00:10:56,100 --> 00:10:57,080
如果他们确实

353
00:10:57,080 --> 00:10:58,399
他们做得并不出色

354
00:10:58,399 --> 00:11:01,278
因为伊朗目前处境不佳

355
00:11:01,278 --> 00:11:02,639
霍尔木兹海峡的情况如何

356
00:11:02,639 --> 00:11:04,578
实际上几乎没有船只通行

357
00:11:04,578 --> 00:11:04,879
这确实

358
00:11:04,879 --> 00:11:05,339
你知道的

359
00:11:05,339 --> 00:11:06,158
船只的选择

360
00:11:06,158 --> 00:11:08,450
但我们尚未彻底清理

361
00:11:08,450 --> 00:11:10,029
我们已摧毁了他们的海军

362
00:11:10,029 --> 00:11:13,379
海军现在沉入海底

363
00:11:13,379 --> 00:11:15,519
这就是选择

364
00:11:15,519 --> 00:11:16,940
这是一次考察

365
00:11:16,940 --> 00:11:18,700
我们预判油价会上涨

366
00:11:18,700 --> 00:11:19,839
它们确实会上涨

367
00:11:19,839 --> 00:11:21,298
它们也会下跌

368
00:11:21,298 --> 00:11:22,399
会迅速下跌

369
00:11:22,399 --> 00:11:27,379
我们将彻底消除地球上的重大隐患

370
00:11:27,379 --> 00:11:29,419
我们将根除这一隐患

371
00:11:29,419 --> 00:11:29,980
你知道的

372
00:11:29,980 --> 00:11:31,279
别忘了7月7日

373
00:11:31,279 --> 00:11:34,500
别忘了这些年发生的一切

374
00:11:34,500 --> 00:11:37,120
所有这些都由这些人造成

375
00:11:37,120 --> 00:11:39,250
我们所做的是一件大事

376
00:11:39,250 --> 00:11:40,710
不仅关乎我们国家

377
00:11:40,710 --> 00:11:42,470
不仅关乎以色列

378
00:11:42,470 --> 00:11:43,870
不仅关乎中东地区

379
00:11:45,330 --> 00:11:48,929
特朗普在此说法是否准确

380
00:11:48,929 --> 00:11:51,659
油价将迅速下跌

381
00:11:53,120 --> 00:11:54,120
胜利已宣告

382
00:11:54,120 --> 00:11:57,659
若未来数月中东局势总体缓和

383
00:11:57,659 --> 00:11:57,960
是的

384
00:11:57,960 --> 00:11:58,919
他说得正确

385
00:11:58,919 --> 00:12:01,470
油价将大幅下降

386
00:12:01,470 --> 00:12:03,490
但你必须

387
00:12:03,490 --> 00:12:06,590
必须大幅降温局势

388
00:12:06,809 --> 00:12:10,580
暂时允许部分俄罗斯石油销售

389
00:12:10,580 --> 00:12:12,179
或可抛售其他资产

390
00:12:12,179 --> 00:12:13,299
包括战略储备

391
00:12:13,299 --> 00:12:14,019
曾有一些

392
00:12:14,019 --> 00:12:16,000
我只是想缓解一点压力

393
00:12:16,000 --> 00:12:18,360
但我认为油价压力

394
00:12:18,360 --> 00:12:20,360
但石油储备充足

395
00:12:20,360 --> 00:12:22,029
我们拥有大量石油

396
00:12:22,029 --> 00:12:24,190
我国拥有海量石油

397
00:12:24,190 --> 00:12:24,879
而且我们有

398
00:12:24,879 --> 00:12:26,500
那里有很多石油

399
00:12:26,500 --> 00:12:28,139
这会很快恢复

400
00:12:28,139 --> 00:12:32,210
如果你考虑使用SPR或在某个时候动用SPR

401
00:12:32,929 --> 00:12:34,759
这也是战略性的

402
00:12:34,759 --> 00:12:35,940
是我建起来的

403
00:12:35,940 --> 00:12:39,539
可能会用它们以获取选举中的额外选票

404
00:12:39,539 --> 00:12:41,360
结果发现并非他参选

405
00:12:41,360 --> 00:12:42,919
是卡玛拉

406
00:12:42,919 --> 00:12:45,600
而她显然没有获得额外选票

407
00:12:45,600 --> 00:12:48,240
因为我们绝对胜利了

408
00:12:48,240 --> 00:12:50,100
他本应为此使用它

409
00:12:50,100 --> 00:12:51,100
他用它来获取

410
00:12:51,100 --> 00:12:52,779
我加满了油

411
00:12:52,929 --> 00:12:55,389
他将其降至最低水平

412
00:12:55,389 --> 00:12:56,269
这从未有过的

413
00:12:56,269 --> 00:12:58,679
我们将适时启动

414
00:12:58,679 --> 00:13:00,879
这基本上是直觉判断

415
00:13:00,879 --> 00:13:03,779
我们将开始填充这些战略储备

416
00:13:03,779 --> 00:13:06,700
在什么情况下会派遣地面部队

417
00:13:06,700 --> 00:13:07,879
你如何看待这个问题

418
00:13:07,879 --> 00:13:09,240
我现在甚至不想讨论

419
00:13:09,240 --> 00:13:11,568
我的意思是啊

420
00:13:12,048 --> 00:13:13,928
我认为这不是恰当的问题

421
00:13:13,928 --> 00:13:15,668
你知道我不想回答

422
00:13:15,668 --> 00:13:18,408
是否有极好的理由可能

423
00:13:18,408 --> 00:13:21,125
必须有极好的理由

424
00:13:21,389 --> 00:13:23,309
我会说好吧

425
00:13:23,309 --> 00:13:25,669
女士们先生们

426
00:13:25,669 --> 00:13:30,110
谈论派遣地面部队会让人们感到恐惧

427
00:13:30,110 --> 00:13:31,509
他说我无法提及

428
00:13:31,509 --> 00:13:33,965
但可能性很大请听

429
00:13:34,320 --> 00:13:36,820
这听起来像拖延局面

430
00:13:36,820 --> 00:13:38,679
这意味着中东局势紧张

431
00:13:38,679 --> 00:13:40,299
持续一段时间

432
00:13:40,539 --> 00:13:41,720
意味着油价

433
00:13:41,720 --> 00:13:42,440
持续一段时间

434
00:13:42,440 --> 00:13:45,480
这肯定会吓坏市场

435
00:13:45,480 --> 00:13:46,820
我现在甚至不想讨论

436
00:13:46,820 --> 00:13:49,159
我的意思是啊

437
00:13:49,639 --> 00:13:51,519
我认为这不是恰当的问题

438
00:13:51,519 --> 00:13:53,279
你知道我不想回答

439
00:13:53,279 --> 00:13:56,000
是否有极好的理由可能

440
00:13:56,000 --> 00:13:58,710
必须有极好的理由

441
00:13:58,980 --> 00:14:01,000
如果我们要这么做

442
00:14:01,000 --> 00:14:04,740
他们会遭受重创无法地面作战

443
00:14:04,740 --> 00:14:06,399
想想那座油库

444
00:14:06,399 --> 00:14:06,700
那里

445
00:14:06,700 --> 00:14:07,740
那里有座油库

446
00:14:07,740 --> 00:14:12,029
位于伊朗海岸可由地面部队保护

447
00:14:12,029 --> 00:14:14,399
有人猜测这可能是一个目标

448
00:14:14,399 --> 00:14:15,960
你知道这些猜测的内容

449
00:14:15,960 --> 00:14:18,600
但我肯定不能告诉你

450
00:14:18,600 --> 00:14:20,559
如果我告诉你，我自己也会陷入麻烦

451
00:14:20,559 --> 00:14:23,210
如果作为商业行为告诉你

452
00:14:23,210 --> 00:14:28,539
你需要地面部队确保核设施的浓缩铀

453
00:14:28,539 --> 00:14:29,759
查明这件事

454
00:14:29,759 --> 00:14:31,100
我们还没讨论过

455
00:14:31,100 --> 00:14:33,899
那是一场彻底的毁灭

456
00:14:33,899 --> 00:14:36,089
他们还没能触及它

457
00:14:36,089 --> 00:14:38,028
或许将来我们会行动

458
00:14:38,028 --> 00:14:40,328
你知道这会是个大好事

459
00:14:40,328 --> 00:14:43,090
但眼下我们还在

460
00:14:43,090 --> 00:14:44,929
我们只是在摧毁他们

461
00:14:44,929 --> 00:14:47,049
但我们还没

462
00:14:47,049 --> 00:14:48,490
我们还没去对付它

463
00:14:48,490 --> 00:14:50,940
但这是以后可以做的

464
00:14:50,940 --> 00:14:52,899
我们不想现在做这件事

465
00:14:52,899 --> 00:14:53,960
也许我们正在做

466
00:14:53,960 --> 00:14:57,399
谁将参与下一任的选拔

467
00:14:58,240 --> 00:14:59,340
他提到的

468
00:14:59,340 --> 00:15:01,480
我不想每十年就回来一次

469
00:15:01,480 --> 00:15:03,120
大多数将是总统

470
00:15:03,120 --> 00:15:04,899
大多数不会这么做

471
00:15:04,899 --> 00:15:07,909
因为他们不懂

472
00:15:07,909 --> 00:15:12,169
但我们不想每五年或十年回来重做

473
00:15:12,169 --> 00:15:13,870
所以我们需要选一位总统

474
00:15:13,870 --> 00:15:16,809
不会带领国家发动战争

475
00:15:16,809 --> 00:15:18,889
你们有要问皮特或史蒂夫的问题吗

476
00:15:18,889 --> 00:15:20,269
上来吧

477
00:15:22,820 --> 00:15:26,500
我怀念那段工作

478
00:15:27,460 --> 00:15:33,460
硅基材料是否仍有与伊朗政府残余势力达成协议的空间

479
00:15:33,539 --> 00:15:37,840
我认为是的，我认为这将由总统决定

480
00:15:37,840 --> 00:15:39,460
这就是我的看法

481
00:15:39,460 --> 00:15:40,320
但

482
00:15:40,320 --> 00:15:43,559
但他们在这似乎不太合作

483
00:15:43,559 --> 00:15:45,200
在首轮谈判中

484
00:15:45,200 --> 00:15:46,659
你听到我说的

485
00:15:46,659 --> 00:15:49,259
他们声称拥有不可剥夺的浓缩权

486
00:15:50,259 --> 00:15:59,440
他们吹嘘拥有60%浓缩燃料足够造11枚核弹

487
00:15:59,440 --> 00:16:01,539
他们告诉我和贾雷德

488
00:16:01,539 --> 00:16:03,120
我们不会给你

489
00:16:03,120 --> 00:16:03,600
呃

490
00:16:03,600 --> 00:16:04,379
从外交层面

491
00:16:04,379 --> 00:16:06,019
你能军事上获取的东西

492
00:16:06,019 --> 00:16:09,269
所以我认为他们需要态度转变

493
00:16:09,269 --> 00:16:11,609
你希望协议中包含什么内容

494
00:16:11,609 --> 00:16:12,129
我说

495
00:16:12,129 --> 00:16:15,649
你认为现在拥有最大谈判筹码吗

496
00:16:15,649 --> 00:16:18,509
我认为总统证明了我们拥有

497
00:16:18,509 --> 00:16:19,909
我们今天都在这里

498
00:16:19,909 --> 00:16:22,429
指责我们拥有谈判筹码

499
00:16:22,429 --> 00:16:23,389
也许是最高的

500
00:16:23,389 --> 00:16:25,828
但我们无意妥协

501
00:16:25,828 --> 00:16:27,168
他们希望达成和解

502
00:16:27,168 --> 00:16:29,028
我们无意调和

503
00:16:29,028 --> 00:16:32,580
新政府现在提供了一些基地的使用权

504
00:16:32,580 --> 00:16:33,120
英国人

505
00:16:33,120 --> 00:16:35,960
英国政府现在提供了一些基地的使用权

506
00:16:35,960 --> 00:16:39,179
你之前还说对他们非常失望

507
00:16:39,919 --> 00:16:41,679
我的英国基地

508
00:16:41,679 --> 00:16:43,818
我刚刚发布的回应

509
00:16:43,818 --> 00:16:45,658
我刚刚发布了回应

510
00:16:45,658 --> 00:16:48,318
给我提供派遣两艘航母的提议

511
00:16:48,318 --> 00:16:51,568
也许可能但还不确定

512
00:16:51,568 --> 00:16:53,349
我刚刚发布了回应

513
00:16:53,349 --> 00:16:57,139
我说我们不需要

514
00:16:57,139 --> 00:16:58,860
时机不对

515
00:16:58,860 --> 00:17:01,220
两周前能见到他就好了

516
00:17:01,220 --> 00:17:02,919
但那个

517
00:17:02,919 --> 00:17:04,740
我发布的回应

518
00:17:04,740 --> 00:17:07,519
我认为说得很清楚

519
00:17:09,759 --> 00:17:13,910
关于在获取海水淡化厂

520
00:17:13,910 --> 00:17:15,049
他们说不

521
00:17:15,049 --> 00:17:18,059
现在我将对基础设施发动其他打击

522
00:17:18,059 --> 00:17:19,099
不是我们

523
00:17:19,099 --> 00:17:22,240
也为对其他打击敞开大门

524
00:17:22,240 --> 00:17:24,400
不回应美国的指控

525
00:17:25,559 --> 00:17:28,180
他们是史上最邪恶的恶棍

526
00:17:28,180 --> 00:17:30,250
他们斩首婴儿

527
00:17:30,250 --> 00:17:32,230
他们将妇女斩成两半

528
00:17:32,230 --> 00:17:34,529
看看十月七日发生的事

529
00:17:34,529 --> 00:17:38,269
看看他们过去四年七个月的所作所为

530
00:17:38,269 --> 00:17:41,369
我对海水淡化厂一无所知

531
00:17:41,369 --> 00:17:42,700
除了说

532
00:17:42,700 --> 00:17:46,259
如果他们抱怨海水淡化厂

533
00:17:46,259 --> 00:17:49,900
我们抱怨他们应该停止斩首婴儿

534
00:17:49,900 --> 00:17:50,589
好的

535
00:17:50,589 --> 00:17:51,430
尼科夫先生

536
00:17:51,430 --> 00:17:52,990
你已向俄罗斯通报

537
00:17:52,990 --> 00:17:57,329
不要提供目标情报和其他援助给伊朗

538
00:17:57,329 --> 00:17:59,349
明确表示

539
00:17:59,349 --> 00:18:00,710
你是否相信他们

540
00:18:02,029 --> 00:18:03,549
我希望他们不是

541
00:18:04,539 --> 00:18:04,859
你

542
00:18:04,859 --> 00:18:05,740
看到任何证据

543
00:18:05,740 --> 00:18:06,420
我们不知道

544
00:18:06,420 --> 00:18:07,859
但效果不佳

545
00:18:07,859 --> 00:18:09,160
如果他们确实

546
00:18:09,160 --> 00:18:10,579
也没什么帮助

547
00:18:10,579 --> 00:18:13,700
如果你看看过去一周伊朗发生了什么

548
00:18:14,069 --> 00:18:14,609
呃

549
00:18:14,609 --> 00:18:16,349
如果他们正在获取信息

550
00:18:16,349 --> 00:18:17,849
这帮助不大

551
00:18:17,849 --> 00:18:18,710
这对你会有什么意义

552
00:18:18,710 --> 00:18:19,269
如果他们这样做的话

553
00:18:19,269 --> 00:18:19,549
我是说

554
00:18:19,549 --> 00:18:21,130
即使这对伊朗人没有帮助

555
00:18:21,130 --> 00:18:21,910
尤其没有太大帮助

556
00:18:21,910 --> 00:18:24,970
但他们仍在参与自己并不

557
00:18:24,970 --> 00:18:26,910
他们说我们是针对他们行动

558
00:18:26,910 --> 00:18:27,150
不会

559
00:18:27,150 --> 00:18:28,309
他们不会

560
00:18:28,309 --> 00:18:30,950
他们说我们是针对他们行动

561
00:18:32,779 --> 00:18:34,079
我不知道你看

562
00:18:34,079 --> 00:18:38,170
他们可以提供所有想要的信息

563
00:18:38,170 --> 00:18:42,200
但接收信息的人已经不堪重负

564
00:18:42,519 --> 00:18:44,420
俄罗斯也会不堪重负

565
00:18:44,420 --> 00:18:45,740
任何人都是不堪重负

566
00:18:45,740 --> 00:18:47,799
我们拥有地球上最强大的军队

567
00:18:47,799 --> 00:18:50,259
而且我在第一个任期内就建立了它

568
00:18:50,259 --> 00:18:53,750
现在不幸不得不使用它

569
00:18:53,750 --> 00:18:57,190
但当你看看我们在委内瑞拉做的事

570
00:18:57,190 --> 00:19:01,328
当我们看到V-2导弹的行动是多么重要

571
00:19:01,328 --> 00:19:05,648
因为伊朗将在两到三周内拥有核武器

572
00:19:05,648 --> 00:19:07,249
这阻止了他们

573
00:19:07,249 --> 00:19:09,309
彻底阻止了他们

574
00:19:09,309 --> 00:19:10,730
当你谈到

575
00:19:10,730 --> 00:19:15,490
或许回溯过去以便在关键时刻发生作用

576
00:19:15,490 --> 00:19:18,140
因为导弹和无人机

577
00:19:18,140 --> 00:19:20,700
或者你期待这些反击会持续

578
00:19:20,700 --> 00:19:22,859
我不需要那种生产能力

579
00:19:22,859 --> 00:19:25,730
我们也严重打击了生产能力

580
00:19:25,730 --> 00:19:29,670
他们现在仅能发出最初两天的9%

581
00:19:29,670 --> 00:19:32,420
我们认为这是因为他们储备不足

582
00:19:32,420 --> 00:19:37,450
同时我们摧毁了约70%的火箭发射装置

583
00:19:37,450 --> 00:19:39,150
导弹发射是个大问题

584
00:19:39,150 --> 00:19:41,029
非常难以获取且昂贵

585
00:19:41,029 --> 00:19:44,289
每天都在增强我们的杠杆优势

586
00:19:44,289 --> 00:19:46,069
我们拥有越来越多的杠杆

587
00:19:46,069 --> 00:19:48,230
因为我们具备更多能力

588
00:19:48,230 --> 00:19:50,230
我们打击力度越来越强

589
00:19:50,230 --> 00:19:52,769
而他们的防御能力越来越弱

590
00:19:52,769 --> 00:19:55,500
我们每天都在加强攻势

591
00:19:55,500 --> 00:19:58,799
为总统后续行动创造所需全部杠杆

592
00:19:58,799 --> 00:20:00,500
这似乎他们已资源耗尽

593
00:20:00,500 --> 00:20:02,119
这两种无人机的情况如何

594
00:20:02,119 --> 00:20:03,200
当你仔细观察

595
00:20:03,200 --> 00:20:04,779
我是说他们投入的更少了

596
00:20:04,779 --> 00:20:05,740
无人机数量大幅减少

597
00:20:06,900 --> 00:20:08,909
他们现在正在遭受重创

598
00:20:08,909 --> 00:20:11,788
你知道总有一天我会觉得没人剩下

599
00:20:11,788 --> 00:20:14,529
也许这是在说我们投降了

600
00:20:14,529 --> 00:20:16,170
但他们正在被大量消灭

601
00:20:16,170 --> 00:20:19,730
当你突然注意到

602
00:20:19,730 --> 00:20:22,339
他们向中东国家道歉

603
00:20:22,339 --> 00:20:23,259
所以这

604
00:20:23,259 --> 00:20:24,039
你知道的

605
00:20:24,039 --> 00:20:26,119
这简直是完美的

606
00:20:26,119 --> 00:20:27,039
非常重要

607
00:20:27,039 --> 00:20:29,000
所有人都归咎于特朗普

608
00:20:29,000 --> 00:20:29,880
继续提及

609
00:20:29,880 --> 00:20:31,380
可能没人剩下投降了

610
00:20:31,380 --> 00:20:32,339
这能让他脱身

611
00:20:32,339 --> 00:20:34,420
就像我们期待无条件投降

612
00:20:34,420 --> 00:20:35,779
他可以打这张牌

613
00:20:35,779 --> 00:20:38,230
如果他想说没人投降了

614
00:20:38,230 --> 00:20:40,150
这基本就是无条件投降

615
00:20:40,150 --> 00:20:41,710
没错这就结束了

616
00:20:41,710 --> 00:20:42,190
我们结束了

617
00:20:42,190 --> 00:20:43,730
我们离开这里你知道的

618
00:20:43,730 --> 00:20:44,109
完成这件事

619
00:20:44,109 --> 00:20:45,369
如果他想打这张牌

620
00:20:45,369 --> 00:20:48,089
我们拭目以待我不预测他是否要出牌

621
00:20:48,089 --> 00:20:49,970
但局势是

622
00:20:49,970 --> 00:20:50,710
完美无缺

623
00:20:50,710 --> 00:20:52,369
这是一个完美的布局

624
00:20:52,369 --> 00:20:53,809
我惊讶地看到

625
00:20:53,809 --> 00:20:54,390
他们确实这么做了

626
00:20:54,390 --> 00:20:57,230
但你要记下这是我们的胜利

627
00:20:57,230 --> 00:20:58,789
也是对中东国家的胜利

628
00:20:58,789 --> 00:21:01,559
我们是他们的真正朋友

629
00:21:01,559 --> 00:21:04,440
但我想他们不会再攻击他们了

630
00:21:04,440 --> 00:21:07,680
他们道歉我们拭目以待

631
00:21:07,680 --> 00:21:09,799
但这是一场重大损失

632
00:21:09,799 --> 00:21:11,059
这就是投降

633
00:21:11,059 --> 00:21:12,859
我今晚就称这是投降

634
00:21:12,859 --> 00:21:16,140
当他们道歉并停止攻击时

635
00:21:16,140 --> 00:21:22,109
这对那些国家来说就是投降

636
00:21:22,109 --> 00:21:26,710
伊朗人担心库尔德人会割据自治地区

637
00:21:26,710 --> 00:21:28,269
就像在叙利亚和伊拉克那样

638
00:21:28,269 --> 00:21:31,585
但不会深入讨论库尔德人介入

639
00:21:32,069 --> 00:21:33,549
我们与库尔德人关系密切

640
00:21:33,549 --> 00:21:34,049
你知道的

641
00:21:34,049 --> 00:21:37,200
但我们不希望战争更复杂

642
00:21:37,200 --> 00:21:39,119
它已经够复杂了

643
00:21:39,119 --> 00:21:39,799
我们不希望

644
00:21:39,799 --> 00:21:41,079
我已裁定

645
00:21:41,079 --> 00:21:42,888
我不想库尔德人介入

646
00:21:42,888 --> 00:21:45,909
我不想看到库尔德人受伤

647
00:21:45,909 --> 00:21:47,210
被杀了

648
00:21:47,210 --> 00:21:48,789
我们一直保持着良好的关系

649
00:21:48,789 --> 00:21:49,769
他们愿意行动

650
00:21:49,769 --> 00:21:51,549
但我已经告诉过他们

651
00:21:51,549 --> 00:21:53,119
我不想让他们进去

652
00:21:53,119 --> 00:21:55,440
如果你认为伊朗的地图会保持不变

653
00:21:55,440 --> 00:21:59,470
战争已经够复杂了，别再牵扯库尔德人

654
00:21:59,470 --> 00:22:02,049
你觉得伊朗的地图还是一样吗

655
00:22:02,049 --> 00:22:03,390
等这一切结束后

656
00:22:03,390 --> 00:22:06,469
我恐怕不能告诉你

657
00:22:06,628 --> 00:22:10,969
你知道哪家航运公司接受了美国的保险报价

658
00:22:10,969 --> 00:22:12,949
通过霍尔木兹海峡

659
00:22:12,949 --> 00:22:13,788
我们已经安排好了

660
00:22:13,788 --> 00:22:17,150
我们拥有完善的保险和再保险体系

661
00:22:17,150 --> 00:22:19,318
但我不这么认为

662
00:22:19,318 --> 00:22:21,199
当你谈论这场冲突的结局

663
00:22:21,199 --> 00:22:22,638
我们将迎来更安全的世界

664
00:22:22,638 --> 00:22:26,230
你知道这只是一个小插曲

665
00:22:26,230 --> 00:22:29,529
但当这一切结束时

666
00:22:29,529 --> 00:22:33,539
我们将消除大量病态和疯狂的人

667
00:22:36,400 --> 00:22:38,559
我们已清除第二层级领导

668
00:22:38,559 --> 00:22:41,799
现在他们处于第三或第四层级

669
00:22:41,799 --> 00:22:44,880
如今他们的领导人甚至不为人知

670
00:22:44,880 --> 00:22:45,960
非常感谢

671
00:22:45,960 --> 00:22:46,440
大家

672
00:22:46,440 --> 00:22:49,279
谢谢大家

673
00:22:49,279 --> 00:22:50,619
我们快过去

674
00:22:50,619 --> 00:22:51,180
嗯

675
00:22:51,180 --> 00:22:51,880
一些股票

676
00:22:51,880 --> 00:22:53,640
我明天早上会考虑买入

677
00:22:53,640 --> 00:22:54,940
假设市场下跌

678
00:22:54,940 --> 00:22:55,740
巨大

679
00:22:55,740 --> 00:22:56,599
好的各位

680
00:22:56,599 --> 00:22:57,640
我们开始讨论

681
00:22:57,640 --> 00:22:57,920
好的

682
00:22:57,920 --> 00:22:59,099
所以啊

683
00:22:59,099 --> 00:22:59,940
贝丝和身体护理

684
00:22:59,940 --> 00:23:00,299
你知道的

685
00:23:00,299 --> 00:23:00,839
这是其中之一

686
00:23:00,839 --> 00:23:03,789
我可能不会新开仓位

687
00:23:03,789 --> 00:23:05,609
直到四月

688
00:23:05,609 --> 00:23:08,690
所以贝丝和身体护理将是我的新仓位

689
00:23:08,690 --> 00:23:10,609
这是一家非常便宜的股票

690
00:23:10,609 --> 00:23:12,709
优质公司必将繁荣

691
00:23:12,709 --> 00:23:13,969
无论发生什么

692
00:23:13,969 --> 00:23:15,028
短期展望

693
00:23:15,028 --> 00:23:16,509
该股价格为七

694
00:23:16,509 --> 00:23:17,869
但正如我所说

695
00:23:17,869 --> 00:23:20,450
我现在真的不想新开任何仓位

696
00:23:20,450 --> 00:23:20,970
四月

697
00:23:20,970 --> 00:23:24,140
我可能会在某些公司开始新职位

698
00:23:24,140 --> 00:23:26,240
Rh 是另一个完美的例子嗯

699
00:23:26,240 --> 00:23:26,660
你知道的

700
00:23:26,660 --> 00:23:28,480
我现在不想开始新职位

701
00:23:28,480 --> 00:23:30,759
如果这个市场看起来很大

702
00:23:30,759 --> 00:23:31,019
明天

703
00:23:31,019 --> 00:23:33,359
Rh 可能会触及125

704
00:23:33,359 --> 00:23:36,259
如果市场明天大幅下跌

705
00:23:36,259 --> 00:23:37,599
或者我说被彻底摧毁

706
00:23:37,599 --> 00:23:39,299
如果这个市场明天被摧毁

707
00:23:39,299 --> 00:23:41,409
或者h可能触及125

708
00:23:42,199 --> 00:23:42,719
是的

709
00:23:42,719 --> 00:23:45,679
我说这些都是非常大的事情

710
00:23:45,679 --> 00:23:46,398
你知道的

711
00:23:46,398 --> 00:23:47,679
全球运输

712
00:23:47,679 --> 00:23:50,558
当谈到他们的家具和油价上涨时

713
00:23:50,558 --> 00:23:52,398
这显然没有计划

714
00:23:52,398 --> 00:23:53,538
嗯fubo

715
00:23:53,538 --> 00:23:54,058
我的意思是

716
00:23:54,058 --> 00:23:54,439
你知道的

717
00:23:54,439 --> 00:23:55,138
fubo

718
00:23:55,138 --> 00:23:56,479
这是一只有趣的股票

719
00:23:56,479 --> 00:23:57,358
当然在这里

720
00:23:57,358 --> 00:24:00,380
但可能不在我的首选

721
00:24:00,380 --> 00:24:02,740
作为明天打算买入的首选

722
00:24:02,740 --> 00:24:04,099
我确实想买入更多foo

723
00:24:04,099 --> 00:24:05,559
但不一定在明天

724
00:24:05,559 --> 00:24:06,140
呃

725
00:24:06,140 --> 00:24:06,500
hood

726
00:24:06,500 --> 00:24:08,380
Robinhood 也是类似的情况

727
00:24:08,380 --> 00:24:09,099
我可以买入

728
00:24:09,099 --> 00:24:11,480
我对hood暂时没兴趣

729
00:24:11,480 --> 00:24:13,480
如果市场继续下跌趋势

730
00:24:13,480 --> 00:24:14,140
你可能会

731
00:24:14,140 --> 00:24:15,220
持续一段时间

732
00:24:15,220 --> 00:24:16,700
尤其是如果持续下去

733
00:24:16,700 --> 00:24:19,500
而且油价仍是问题

734
00:24:20,099 --> 00:24:22,200
Robinhood 的财报可能开始恶化

735
00:24:22,200 --> 00:24:23,259
随着年份推进

736
00:24:23,259 --> 00:24:24,279
可能会错过预期数据

737
00:24:24,279 --> 00:24:26,200
如果加密货币继续出问题

738
00:24:26,200 --> 00:24:26,819
比特币

739
00:24:26,819 --> 00:24:27,480
以太坊

740
00:24:27,480 --> 00:24:31,259
Rh 的财报可能在今年末崩盘

741
00:24:31,259 --> 00:24:36,219
所以这也是我可能最终转向惠而浦的例子

742
00:24:36,219 --> 00:24:37,999
另一个股票的完美例子

743
00:24:37,999 --> 00:24:39,538
我可能四月开始买入

744
00:24:39,538 --> 00:24:40,798
这些都是非常大的事情

745
00:24:40,798 --> 00:24:43,118
需要全球运输的大型家电

746
00:24:43,118 --> 00:24:43,789
对

747
00:24:43,789 --> 00:24:45,390
这不是理想的情况

748
00:24:45,390 --> 00:24:47,130
埃斯特拉德埃尔

749
00:24:47,130 --> 00:24:49,059
我真的很喜欢那个

750
00:24:49,059 --> 00:24:51,119
一百美元以下都是超值买入

751
00:24:51,119 --> 00:24:51,660
这是个公司

752
00:24:51,660 --> 00:24:54,269
我长期持有感觉非常舒适

753
00:24:54,269 --> 00:24:56,250
五年后的情况

754
00:24:56,250 --> 00:24:56,890
七年之后

755
00:24:56,890 --> 00:24:57,450
十年之后

756
00:24:57,450 --> 00:25:01,289
任何时候股价低于一百美元的钢铁股交易

757
00:25:01,289 --> 00:25:04,150
亚马逊亚马逊永远是买入选择

758
00:25:04,150 --> 00:25:05,730
我总是这样评价亚马逊

759
00:25:05,730 --> 00:25:06,970
昨天就是买入时机

760
00:25:06,970 --> 00:25:07,890
上周已买入

761
00:25:07,890 --> 00:25:08,650
上个月就是买入时机

762
00:25:08,650 --> 00:25:09,450
去年就是买入时机

763
00:25:09,450 --> 00:25:10,430
明天就是买入时机

764
00:25:10,430 --> 00:25:11,329
下个月就是买入时机

765
00:25:11,329 --> 00:25:12,490
一年后就是买入时机

766
00:25:12,490 --> 00:25:13,569
这只是一个优质股票

767
00:25:13,569 --> 00:25:15,460
你可以大量买入

768
00:25:15,460 --> 00:25:16,920
你知道这是一家 phenomenal 公司

769
00:25:16,920 --> 00:25:18,039
显然从长期来看

770
00:25:18,039 --> 00:25:20,220
自九十年代上市以来一直是买入选择

771
00:25:20,220 --> 00:25:21,400
至今仍是买入时机

772
00:25:21,400 --> 00:25:25,950
同样情况适用于 meta

773
00:25:25,950 --> 00:25:27,109
对啊

774
00:25:27,109 --> 00:25:30,529
这类股票都是科技巨头

775
00:25:30,529 --> 00:25:33,049
你知道他们

776
00:25:33,130 --> 00:25:35,089
似乎无法恢复昔日辉煌

777
00:25:35,089 --> 00:25:36,410
我认为大家都在等待

778
00:25:36,410 --> 00:25:38,849
如果 cax 继续上涨到这些公司

779
00:25:38,849 --> 00:25:42,170
但这些都是优质买入标的

780
00:25:42,170 --> 00:25:43,269
如果你尚未持有

781
00:25:43,269 --> 00:25:45,529
如果你想长期持有优质公司

782
00:25:45,529 --> 00:25:46,470
一些大型科技股

783
00:25:46,470 --> 00:25:48,659
没错 meta 和亚马逊

784
00:25:48,659 --> 00:25:49,679
轻松买入

785
00:25:49,679 --> 00:25:50,378
轻松买入

786
00:25:50,378 --> 00:25:50,759
你知道的

787
00:25:50,759 --> 00:25:51,618
股票价格现在

788
00:25:51,618 --> 00:25:52,298
一个月后

789
00:25:52,298 --> 00:25:54,380
现在 meta 可能涨到五百五十

790
00:25:54,380 --> 00:25:55,619
我们知道如果市场暴跌

791
00:25:55,619 --> 00:25:59,059
亚马逊可能跌至一百八十二

792
00:25:59,059 --> 00:26:00,599
但归根结底

793
00:26:00,599 --> 00:26:02,220
想想三年后的这些公司

794
00:26:02,220 --> 00:26:02,839
五年后

795
00:26:02,839 --> 00:26:03,500
七年后的样子

796
00:26:03,500 --> 00:26:04,160
十年后

797
00:26:04,160 --> 00:26:07,400
将远高于他们目前的水平

798
00:26:07,400 --> 00:26:10,660
这会让这些公司的当前定价显得极其便宜

799
00:26:10,660 --> 00:26:11,339
没错

800
00:26:11,339 --> 00:26:12,400
芝士蛋糕工厂

801
00:26:12,400 --> 00:26:13,420
永远值得买入

802
00:26:13,420 --> 00:26:14,440
永远值得买入

803
00:26:14,440 --> 00:26:16,019
显然随着油价上涨

804
00:26:16,019 --> 00:26:16,720
人们担心

805
00:26:16,720 --> 00:26:19,789
或许人们将没有足够的钱外出就餐

806
00:26:19,789 --> 00:26:21,210
这些都是短期问题

807
00:26:21,210 --> 00:26:22,920
这一切都是短期杂事

808
00:26:22,920 --> 00:26:24,240
你知道油价正在上涨

809
00:26:24,240 --> 00:26:24,900
然后突然

810
00:26:24,900 --> 00:26:25,319
你知道的

811
00:26:25,319 --> 00:26:27,519
如果特朗普几周或一个月后宣布胜利

812
00:26:27,519 --> 00:26:28,019
或者什么的

813
00:26:28,019 --> 00:26:31,119
油价也会暴跌

814
00:26:31,119 --> 00:26:33,079
最终归结起来

815
00:26:33,079 --> 00:26:35,500
我们只需理解短期波动

816
00:26:35,500 --> 00:26:36,240
这只是

817
00:26:36,240 --> 00:26:37,599
但这就是现状

818
00:26:37,599 --> 00:26:38,839
所有情况都是如此

819
00:26:38,839 --> 00:26:41,900
我知道每个人在经历那一刻时

820
00:26:41,900 --> 00:26:42,160
哦

821
00:26:42,160 --> 00:26:43,339
这似乎不同

822
00:26:43,339 --> 00:26:44,450
这次不是

823
00:26:44,450 --> 00:26:45,430
仍是老一套

824
00:26:45,430 --> 00:26:47,029
一遍又一遍

825
00:26:47,029 --> 00:26:48,890
人们似乎从未吸取教训

826
00:26:48,890 --> 00:26:49,309
比如

827
00:26:49,309 --> 00:26:50,930
你正在陷入相同陷阱

828
00:26:50,930 --> 00:26:52,509
不断重复

829
00:26:52,509 --> 00:26:52,990
没错

830
00:26:52,990 --> 00:26:53,869
天啊

831
00:26:53,869 --> 00:26:54,730
你以为这是新情况

832
00:26:54,730 --> 00:26:55,849
就像你知道的

833
00:26:55,849 --> 00:26:57,309
中东冲突

834
00:26:57,309 --> 00:26:58,809
天啊好吧

835
00:26:58,809 --> 00:27:00,250
让我倒回几千年前

836
00:27:00,250 --> 00:27:01,569
我们可以回到那时

837
00:27:01,569 --> 00:27:03,388
美国运通AMEC股票

838
00:27:03,388 --> 00:27:04,429
天啊

839
00:27:04,429 --> 00:27:05,989
我现在是否喜欢这只股票

840
00:27:05,989 --> 00:27:08,048
这可能明天遭重挫

841
00:27:08,048 --> 00:27:08,950
如果真的发生

842
00:27:08,950 --> 00:27:11,630
我将毫不犹豫买入美国运通

843
00:27:11,630 --> 00:27:14,179
明天早上买入股票

844
00:27:14,179 --> 00:27:15,378
十七点四

845
00:27:15,378 --> 00:27:16,419
如果明天暴跌

846
00:27:16,419 --> 00:27:19,439
我们可能要在每股16美元的价格买入美国运通股票

847
00:27:19,439 --> 00:27:20,589
哥们别闹了

848
00:27:20,589 --> 00:27:21,349
这太疯狂了

849
00:27:21,349 --> 00:27:22,650
目前钢铁交易进展顺利

850
00:27:22,650 --> 00:27:23,990
低于24美元以下的

851
00:27:23,990 --> 00:27:26,630
目前是买入理想温度

852
00:27:26,630 --> 00:27:27,589
这可能

853
00:27:27,589 --> 00:27:27,910
这可能

854
00:27:27,910 --> 00:27:29,130
明天可能触及33点

855
00:27:29,130 --> 00:27:30,630
39.38美元

856
00:27:30,630 --> 00:27:31,890
如果市场真的大幅下跌

857
00:27:31,890 --> 00:27:32,609
这是有可能的

858
00:27:32,609 --> 00:27:34,109
在4.2美元时是绝佳买入点

859
00:27:34,109 --> 00:27:34,930
这甚至更好买

860
00:27:34,930 --> 00:27:36,190
如果跌至39美元

861
00:27:36,190 --> 00:27:38,890
耐克在此5.7美元是绝佳买入

862
00:27:38,890 --> 00:27:40,069
没错再说一次

863
00:27:40,069 --> 00:27:40,750
这些公司

864
00:27:40,750 --> 00:27:41,759
我明白了

865
00:27:41,759 --> 00:27:43,119
短期汽油价格

866
00:27:43,119 --> 00:27:44,339
 blah blah blah

867
00:27:44,339 --> 00:27:45,500
谁在乎啊兄弟

868
00:27:45,500 --> 00:27:46,799
如果你有长期投资眼光

869
00:27:46,799 --> 00:27:48,460
你会考虑这些公司未来几年的发展

870
00:27:48,460 --> 00:27:51,609
你现在能以极低价格买入这些公司

871
00:27:52,699 --> 00:27:54,179
这里是个不错买入点

872
00:27:54,179 --> 00:27:54,999
呃卡瓦

873
00:27:54,999 --> 00:27:55,699
不是好买入时机

874
00:27:55,699 --> 00:27:56,219
现在

875
00:27:56,219 --> 00:27:56,679
这家公司

876
00:27:56,679 --> 00:27:58,278
公司的财报表现糟糕

877
00:27:58,278 --> 00:28:00,338
我在私人股票群的Discord频道发过

878
00:28:00,338 --> 00:28:03,559
聊天区和财报显示情况不妙

879
00:28:03,559 --> 00:28:03,839
再次强调

880
00:28:03,839 --> 00:28:05,319
如果你想加入私人投资群

881
00:28:05,319 --> 00:28:06,599
那将是主要置顶评论

882
00:28:06,599 --> 00:28:09,539
我的X页面将是第二个置顶评论

883
00:28:09,539 --> 00:28:12,949
遗憾的是 hymns 明天可能大涨

884
00:28:12,949 --> 00:28:15,568
我在主频道刚发了一段做空分析

885
00:28:15,568 --> 00:28:16,729
就在几天前

886
00:28:19,308 --> 00:28:20,789
我正在考虑买入

887
00:28:20,789 --> 00:28:22,569
四月份开始关注 hymns

888
00:28:22,569 --> 00:28:26,509
然后 hymns 传来重大利好消息

889
00:28:26,509 --> 00:28:27,999
所以不要惊讶

890
00:28:27,999 --> 00:28:29,699
如果 hymns 明天暴涨

891
00:28:29,699 --> 00:28:31,679
即使市场明天不好

892
00:28:31,679 --> 00:28:33,199
这非常令人沮丧

893
00:28:33,199 --> 00:28:35,309
你知道 elf 是绝佳买入

894
00:28:35,309 --> 00:28:37,670
如果你考虑消费者处境艰难

895
00:28:37,670 --> 00:28:38,630
因为油价上涨

896
00:28:38,630 --> 00:28:39,849
精灵从中受益

897
00:28:39,849 --> 00:28:41,920
人们不会停止使用化妆品

898
00:28:41,920 --> 00:28:44,299
而精灵就是直接受益者

899
00:28:44,299 --> 00:28:46,099
他们还会发送这类东西

900
00:28:46,099 --> 00:28:47,390
就像小东西一样

901
00:28:47,390 --> 00:28:48,609
你知道的小物件

902
00:28:48,609 --> 00:28:50,509
睫毛膏之类的

903
00:28:50,509 --> 00:28:52,769
美容产品这类小东西

904
00:28:52,769 --> 00:28:54,119
不像大件

905
00:28:54,119 --> 00:28:55,140
这就是运输

906
00:28:55,140 --> 00:28:58,420
你知道要运两百磅的沙发对吧

907
00:28:58,420 --> 00:29:01,569
还有150磅的咖啡桌

908
00:29:01,569 --> 00:29:02,150
有那么

909
00:29:02,150 --> 00:29:04,430
你知道他们运输的大件

910
00:29:04,430 --> 00:29:05,869
正是油价上涨

911
00:29:05,869 --> 00:29:06,670
严重打击公司

912
00:29:06,670 --> 00:29:08,269
比如精灵公司

913
00:29:08,269 --> 00:29:10,250
没什么没什么

914
00:29:10,250 --> 00:29:10,869
呃

915
00:29:10,869 --> 00:29:11,150
说实话

916
00:29:11,150 --> 00:29:11,950
再见

917
00:29:11,950 --> 00:29:13,269
这次购买太棒了

918
00:29:13,269 --> 00:29:14,349
惊人平衡

919
00:29:14,349 --> 00:29:16,269
财务报表造假已清理

920
00:29:16,269 --> 00:29:17,430
软件股啊

921
00:29:17,430 --> 00:29:19,069
看看这些是否持续有动量

922
00:29:19,069 --> 00:29:20,349
它们确实见底了

923
00:29:20,349 --> 00:29:21,539
但正如我说的

924
00:29:21,539 --> 00:29:22,960
最后冲刺还在

925
00:29:22,960 --> 00:29:25,599
软件股即将见底

926
00:29:25,599 --> 00:29:27,640
如果纳斯达克暴跌

927
00:29:27,640 --> 00:29:27,960
没错

928
00:29:27,960 --> 00:29:28,839
但这些公司

929
00:29:28,839 --> 00:29:31,390
现在突然有人纷纷回流

930
00:29:31,390 --> 00:29:32,210
猜猜看

931
00:29:32,210 --> 00:29:33,730
他们无需担心

932
00:29:33,730 --> 00:29:35,019
油价问题

933
00:29:35,019 --> 00:29:37,619
不像要运输产品对吧

934
00:29:37,619 --> 00:29:38,099
所以现在

935
00:29:38,099 --> 00:29:38,579
一些人

936
00:29:38,579 --> 00:29:41,099
所有价值投资者开始关注这类股票

937
00:29:41,099 --> 00:29:42,099
他们说

938
00:29:42,099 --> 00:29:43,490
这些其实看起来很

939
00:29:43,490 --> 00:29:44,170
呃

940
00:29:44,170 --> 00:29:45,009
这里价格极具吸引力

941
00:29:45,009 --> 00:29:46,029
让我们调出Adobe

942
00:29:46,029 --> 00:29:48,549
调出CRM的Salesforce

943
00:29:48,549 --> 00:29:52,750
再调出ServiceNow查看这些股票

944
00:29:52,750 --> 00:29:53,730
这太有趣了

945
00:29:53,730 --> 00:29:54,440
你知道吗

946
00:29:54,440 --> 00:29:56,799
几周前没人想要这些股票，现在却不同了

947
00:29:56,799 --> 00:29:58,539
有些人正蜂拥而回抢购这些股票

948
00:29:58,539 --> 00:29:58,859
没错

949
00:29:58,859 --> 00:29:59,559
看看Adobe

950
00:29:59,559 --> 00:30:00,200
Adobe福特

951
00:30:00,200 --> 00:30:01,939
P十一Salesforce

952
00:30:01,939 --> 00:30:03,778
十七ServiceNow

953
00:30:03,778 --> 00:30:05,150
三十Keyon服务

954
00:30:05,150 --> 00:30:08,190
现在可能是一家能增长营收和每股收益的公司

955
00:30:08,190 --> 00:30:09,289
大约二十个百分点

956
00:30:09,289 --> 00:30:12,410
未来几年仍有上涨空间

957
00:30:12,410 --> 00:30:13,009
说吧

958
00:30:13,009 --> 00:30:13,869
你知道吗

959
00:30:13,869 --> 00:30:14,269
天啊

960
00:30:14,269 --> 00:30:15,670
这些股票就是铁定交易

961
00:30:15,670 --> 00:30:16,549
铁定交易

962
00:30:16,549 --> 00:30:17,289
你知道吗

963
00:30:17,289 --> 00:30:17,890
所以

964
00:30:17,890 --> 00:30:18,410
是啊

965
00:30:18,410 --> 00:30:19,769
明天早上会有人买吗

966
00:30:19,769 --> 00:30:20,349
大概率

967
00:30:20,349 --> 00:30:21,490
我们拭目以待

968
00:30:21,490 --> 00:30:23,240
除了所有这些

969
00:30:23,240 --> 00:30:23,519
哦

970
00:30:23,519 --> 00:30:25,700
我的天啊油价暴涨了30%

971
00:30:25,700 --> 00:30:27,240
涨到了18美元

972
00:30:27,240 --> 00:30:28,339
我告诉你

973
00:30:28,339 --> 00:30:29,679
如果这个走势

974
00:30:29,679 --> 00:30:32,500
如果这能持续我敢保证

975
00:30:32,500 --> 00:30:36,140
我认为道指明天要跌2000到3000点

976
00:30:36,140 --> 00:30:36,779
请注意

977
00:30:36,779 --> 00:30:37,140
石油

978
00:30:37,140 --> 00:30:37,900
股票可能受益

979
00:30:37,900 --> 00:30:39,220
这或许能部分抵消影响

980
00:30:39,220 --> 00:30:41,789
但会很惨

981
00:30:42,990 --> 00:30:44,250
但请记住

982
00:30:44,250 --> 00:30:46,059
当我发布在推特上

983
00:30:46,059 --> 00:30:47,299
你知道的

984
00:30:47,299 --> 00:30:47,619
那就是

985
00:30:47,619 --> 00:30:47,859
嗯

986
00:30:47,859 --> 00:30:49,240
会成为下方第二个置顶评论

987
00:30:49,240 --> 00:30:50,240
请记住

988
00:30:50,240 --> 00:30:50,720
好的

989
00:30:50,720 --> 00:30:51,720
保持大家信息同步

990
00:30:51,720 --> 00:30:53,079
这周视频会很忙

991
00:30:53,079 --> 00:30:54,680
一如既往感谢大家

992
00:30:54,680 --> 00:30:56,059
祝大家有美好的一天

共 6 条，按点赞数排序。

采集完成，该视频无弹幕