人无远虑必有近忧

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今天一个浙江的电商兄弟啊

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给我留言

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和泉哥

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早在67年前

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你就跟我们讲要做资产配置

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那个时候我听不懂

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今天呢我才知道

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每个人的认知决定了自己的财富上限

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我在2020年到2022年

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我在没有做IP之前

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我就跟很多同行兄弟讲

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我说今天做电商这条路大概的死路一条

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我讲了三个原因嘛

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第一个原因猛投流进项不能抵扣

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第二猛刷单照常补税

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第三价格战最后还要补税

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各位当今年我说的所有的决策变成现实的时候

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这些兄弟但凡没有听的

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都是痛不欲生

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为什么他把这几年赚的钱全退回去了

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而且还要道歉

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税务局钱

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你可以往前翻

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我在3年前4年前说的每一个分析

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今天是不是都变成了现实

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我昨天发了个视频啊

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我其实还是挺难过的

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就是因为太多人给我留言

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给田哥

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道歉了

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真破产了

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这是个真的很现实很现实

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我从18年一九年我就在思考

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我说我怎么样做到一个合规还能赚钱

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我现在真的做不到

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因为我从181年我公司合规之后

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我确实不到一个点利润

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你想想1819年那个时候电商很多

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浙江的兄弟

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广东兄弟是暴富的时候

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但因为我们合规做的早

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我们就不赚钱

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看着人家是吧

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天天豪车豪宅

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我的心里面也是纠结的

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但是我知道你看我雪球写的文章

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我说我经历的所有的事

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你们早晚一天会有经历

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所以我预言开始就得往海外转

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跨境海外资产配置美股

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哼所以这个事已经过去了6年

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今天很多兄弟来找我的时候

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我说可能有点晚啊

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可能有点晚

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但是你现在转海外也比在国内这么耗强

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因为你在国内你确实太难赚钱了

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但是很多人呢还是理解不了啊

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各位我昨天发了视频

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我说了这个事之后呢

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很多人居然还冷风热嘲啊

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说你这个对等处罚

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美国限制投资中国啊

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中国同样限制投资美

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美国很正常的唉

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我做美股做了6年了

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我从来没见过美国限制个人买中盖

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不买是因为真的不赚钱

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赚钱真的是要买的

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没人劝得了

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就是你的钱是你的钱

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没有人会限制个人的财富自由权利

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为什么

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因为这是你自己的钱呀

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你政府要是敢管你的钱

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那这个那肯定要换是吧

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这个事情大家好好想一想吧

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所以很多事情就是每个人的认知

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和他的苦难是相等的

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所以呢你在成长路上呢

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你最好能找那么几个已经走出来

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经历了痛苦

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而且呢把痛苦转化为动力和方法论的人

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只有这种人才能告诉你接下来该怎么走

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以及说未来的方向在哪里

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哈哈所以实际上如果说22年看我的视频

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做好配置的

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其实今天即使国内不赚钱

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个人的财富有的增长的

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而且他不累

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而且很自由

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很自在

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你知道吗

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其实有些东西呢就是如果这个人有悟性呢

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你也不用多讲

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如果这个人没有悟性的

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你讲了也没用

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如果这个人和价值观和你一致呢

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你不需要说什么

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他也能听懂

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即使他不专业

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他也能听懂

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但他相信你吗

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如果这个人价值观和你不一致

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你说什么都白搭

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而且你说多了

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他还会举报你

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这就是我分享以来我遇到最多的奇葩和案例啊

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当然这些和我都没有关系了哈

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其实我有时候我经常我这个人呢啊

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喜欢根据现实分析一些逻辑哈

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分析一些啊各种各样的哈哈哈个人想法

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但这仅仅代表我个人想法啊

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我也不就我也不认为我说的对的啊

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只不过是发生在我身上啊

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我就想去看一下啊

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什么原因

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什么原因导致的哈

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有没有更好的方法啊

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怎么样破这个局

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说我是一个分析者

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这个是好者啊

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是个投资者啊

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是一个创业者

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所以天人呢就会喜欢打包

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他问到底啊

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天然就喜欢琢磨分析啊研究

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这是我的习惯啊

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不代表说我只跟同道中人交流

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这也是为什么我做IP的时候

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我讲我说我在雪球写文章啊

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写了很多年是吧

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影响了很多人啊

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我现在呢我在抖音上啊

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也是几亿的播放量

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也影响很多人

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第三个呢我创业啊

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我也是带了一批人出来啊

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在这个过程里面呢

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其实经历了很多的哈挫折

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痛苦啊

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纠结无奈

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到现在还是一个人在往前跑啊

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其实我到现在状态还是可以的

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如果我在22年哈

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如果说我没有今天这个行为和思考

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那我今天遇到的兄弟

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和今天找我的兄弟一模一样

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我要把之前赚的钱全吐出去好

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我要道歉

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但这个结果肯定不好

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因为你是辛苦的亏的是吧

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比如说我我玩股票

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我我躺着亏了

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我躺着亏

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我认了

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对不对

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因为我不累

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我只是他妈烦

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但如果说你你很累

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你又很烦

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你又很亏欠你这个状态你能想到有多差

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对不对

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希望你好

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辛苦搬砖好

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在工厂里面一个月赚几千块钱

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结果呢被罚没了

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你不得玩命

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你不得是不是

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所以我讲的这个意思啊

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就是每个人的悲欢离合并不一样

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每个人的出身处地不一样

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但是我作为一个从那个穷穷沟里面走出来的人

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我太理解穷人的无奈了

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太理解这种创业者都痛痛苦啊

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所以我最近我在思考啊

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就是我能给大家哈做什么呢

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就是第一个虽然海外不好做

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但是也比国内要好做一点

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因为它没那么卷啊

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第二个呢虽然你现在这个生意呢不好是吧

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罚就罚的很厉害

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但是你还得熬啊

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如果说你合规之后呢能保本哈

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不亏钱

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那你就合规就行了

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对没必要

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这个我我给财务很多年前我讲我说能合规

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全部合规

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没有必要

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因为你你不合规

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你也赚不了什么钱

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你合规呢无非就是不挣不挣钱而已

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但你合规之后亏钱就直接关掉

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各位真的啊

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合规之后如果亏钱直接关掉

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合规之后如果保本啊

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就像熬夜熬是吧

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如果不合规

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赚一点点钱去找合规算了

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真的没有必要烦

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很麻烦的真的

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所以这就是我作为一个经历了很多的痛苦啊

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比很多人提前很多年经历痛苦的人

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说真的哈

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因为为什么我们经历的早呢

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因为1819年我们的规模很大嘛

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朋友们大家也知道哈

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1819年的时候盛情刷单

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你知道吗

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那时候真刷单啊

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我们刷单比例算少的啊

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3~5个点

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但是我们送赠品

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送赠品送到什么程度啊

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各位我做手机VIVO啊

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一年三个亿

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10%的正品没有进项票

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你就想一下啊

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我卖三个亿的手机

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我送10%的赠品3000万

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他算是我的利润

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我根本就不挣钱啊

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我根本不挣你钱

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他非得按3000万利润来算

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你想想都没有增值税发票

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所以我在189年比比今天的很多兄弟

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提前体验了痛苦

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所以我后来把手机给关掉了

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我真的是做不下去了

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所以我提前67年经历了痛苦

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关掉之后呢

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然后就玩股票去了

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呵呵把手机的钱拿股票这几年翻了很多倍

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然后呢在美国买的房

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买的车哈

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买的一切东西都是因为把手机关掉之后

237
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在美股赚的钱买的

238
00:07:17,870 --> 00:07:18,970
你说是不是命运

239
00:07:18,970 --> 00:07:20,048
但是我同行

240
00:07:20,048 --> 00:07:22,129
但凡在手机上还没有抢明白

241
00:07:22,129 --> 00:07:22,829
还在熬

242
00:07:22,829 --> 00:07:23,889
还在偷留的

243
00:07:23,889 --> 00:07:24,848
今天全吐回去了

244
00:07:24,848 --> 00:07:28,298
我估计我是2019年20年做VIO

245
00:07:28,298 --> 00:07:28,899
亏了500万

246
00:07:30,019 --> 00:07:30,978
及时止损哈

247
00:07:30,978 --> 00:07:34,899
然后如果哈到现在还没有关呢

248
00:07:34,899 --> 00:07:37,399
我觉得应该把13年赚的钱退回去了

249
00:07:37,399 --> 00:07:39,980
反正至少我认识的那些手机大卖呢

250
00:07:39,980 --> 00:07:43,290
基本上都是哈拿出来几千万上亿啊

251
00:07:43,290 --> 00:07:44,209
做一个手机

252
00:07:44,209 --> 00:07:47,639
但是各位手机这玩意真的是不赚钱

253
00:07:47,639 --> 00:07:49,839
今年别说代理商了

254
00:07:49,839 --> 00:07:52,300
连小米这厂家都很痛苦

255
00:07:52,300 --> 00:07:53,399
因为内存涨价

256
00:07:53,399 --> 00:07:56,480
你你就知道这个行业多么变态了

257
00:07:56,480 --> 00:07:56,959
知道吗

258
00:07:56,959 --> 00:07:59,199
所以当你走过来之后呢

259
00:07:59,199 --> 00:08:02,160
你再回头看你就知道哈

260
00:08:02,160 --> 00:08:04,519
人嘛还是有一点价值观的

261
00:08:04,519 --> 00:08:06,798
真的哈就是还是有一点是非观的

262
00:08:06,798 --> 00:08:08,358
就是你还是要明白哈

263
00:08:08,358 --> 00:08:08,879
哪些是对

264
00:08:08,879 --> 00:08:09,478
哪些是错的

265
00:08:09,478 --> 00:08:10,899
哪些事是哪些是非的

266
00:08:10,899 --> 00:08:12,319
因为如果说你什么都不明白

267
00:08:12,319 --> 00:08:15,600
说真的你都不知道你身在何处

268
00:08:15,600 --> 00:08:17,240
你都不知道从哪里来到哪里去

269
00:08:17,240 --> 00:08:18,839
你最终的结果怎么会好呢

270
00:08:18,839 --> 00:08:21,819
那这个呢是说我作为一个创业者啊

271
00:08:21,819 --> 00:08:24,158
一个真正辛苦过来的人呢

272
00:08:24,158 --> 00:08:26,079
给大家分享我个人的亲身经历啊

273
00:08:26,079 --> 00:08:28,889
希望呢能给大家呢指条明路哈

274
00:08:28,889 --> 00:08:31,110
就像我跟我同学啊

275
00:08:31,110 --> 00:08:33,409
在杭州上海做生意的同学啊

276
00:08:33,409 --> 00:08:34,129
给那些老乡

277
00:08:34,129 --> 00:08:36,029
在慈溪浙江做生意老乡

278
00:08:36,029 --> 00:08:37,389
给很多同事哈

279
00:08:37,389 --> 00:08:37,950
还是步步高的

280
00:08:37,950 --> 00:08:38,309
广东的

281
00:08:38,309 --> 00:08:39,750
我都提过很多的建议

282
00:08:39,750 --> 00:08:41,049
到今天为止哈

283
00:08:41,049 --> 00:08:42,909
他们没有遵守的

284
00:08:44,889 --> 00:08:46,929
真的每个人不一样

285
00:08:46,929 --> 00:08:50,129
但是现实面前人人平等

286
00:08:50,129 --> 00:08:52,169
所以说我也用我的个人经历给大家

287
00:08:53,529 --> 00:08:54,730
也只能讲到这

288
00:08:54,730 --> 00:08:56,179
大家好好想一想吧

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